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EMU

Eastern Michigan 30 at Miami (OH) 44

M-OH
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:01 · Mitchell Tomasek punt for 45 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 30Home team on offense+2.0Pregame prior+23.3Score differential+0.4Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:46: Noah Kim pass complete to Harold Mack for 51 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK) — EMU win probability +6.2 pts (now 24%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:26: Noah Kim pass complete to Harold Mack for 12 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK) — EMU win probability +8.6 pts (now 24%) (top driver: Defense has -3 timeouts left).
  3. TD · Q3 5:28: Dequan Finn run for 1 yd for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK) — M-OH win probability +7.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:07: Nick Devereaux 19 Yd pass from Noah Kim (Noah Kim Pass to Porter Rooks for Two-Point Conversion) — EMU win probability +4.5 pts (now 6%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:58: Nick Devereaux 21 Yd pass from Noah Kim (Noah Kim Pass to Joshua Long for Two-Point Conversion) — EMU win probability +5.4 pts (now 6%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 14:22EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:56M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:42EMU 4th & 6 at EMU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:01EMU 4th & 14 at EMU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:28M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    79.0%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:05M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%−1.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:56EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:15M-OH 4th & 18 at M-OH 32, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 2:40EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 27, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:04EMU 4th & 8 at M-OH 44, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 5:25M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:41M-OH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:46EMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:17M-OH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:26EMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:28M-OH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:35M-OH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:07EMU Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    3.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:52M-OH Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:58EMU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:3522% → 22%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
78.0%
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 3 yds to the EMU 28Similar
Q1 14:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
77.9%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Dontae McMillanSimilar
Q1 14:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
77.9%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Joshua LongSimilar
Q1 14:22
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
77.9%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the M-OH 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2178% → 77%
Q1 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
77.9%
Josh Ringer run for 2 yds to the M-OH 23Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+1
77.7%
Jordan Brunson run for 1 yd to the M-OH 24Similar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 7
OWN 24
0
77.5%
Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Lynel Billups-WilliamsSimilar
Q1 12:56
4TH & 7
OWN 24
+4
77.4%
Pierse Stainton punt for 59 yds , Juan Salas returns for 4 yds to the EMU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0723% → 23%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
77.5%
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 9 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 1
OWN 30
-5
77.3%
Noah Kim sacked by Jackson Pons for a loss of 5 yards to the EMU 25Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
77.3%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Porter RooksSimilar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
77.4%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Lynel Billups-Williams at the M-OH 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 6:1077% → 79%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
77.3%
Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Kam PerrySimilar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+16
77.2%
Jordan Brunson run for 16 yds to the M-OH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
77.3%
Jordan Brunson run for 2 yds to the M-OH 49Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+6
77.2%
Jordan Brunson run for 6 yds to the EMU 45Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+3
77.1%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Brian Shane for 3 yds to the EMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
76.9%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Braylon Isom for 7 yds to the EMU 35Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+22
76.9%
Dequan Finn run for 22 yds to the EMU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
76.8%
Jordan Brunson run for 4 yds to the EMU 9Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
76.7%
Jordan Brunson run for no gain to the EMU 9Similar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+8
76.3%
Dequan Finn run for 8 yds to the EMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.0%
Jordan Brunson run for 1 yd for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:1822% → 21%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
78.1%
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the EMU 28 Eastern Michigan Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ben Prosper) to the EMU 18Similar
Q1 5:08
1ST & 17
OWN 18
0
78.2%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Ben ProsperSimilar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 17
OWN 18
-8
78.3%
Noah Kim sacked by Malcolm McCain for a loss of 8 yards to the EMU 10Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 25
OWN 10
+11
78.5%
Noah Kim run for 11 yds to the EMU 21Similar
Q1 4:01
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
78.7%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6TD
22 plays · 66 yds · 11:1278% → 84%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
78.4%
(03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Brunson,Jordan rush right for 6 yards gain to the MIA40 (Manning,Barry; Evans,Carter) PENALTY MIA Holding (Rohrs,Gavin) 10 yards from MIA34 to MIA24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+1
78.3%
Jordan Brunson run for 1 yd to the M-OH 25Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 19
OWN 25
+18
78.2%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Cole Weaver for 18 yds to the M-OH 43Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
78.6%
Jordan Brunson run for no gain to the M-OH 43Similar
Q1 1:28
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+2
78.1%
Jordan Brunson run for 2 yds to the M-OH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
78.9%
Jordan Brunson run for 1 yd to the M-OH 46Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
-6
78.9%
Dequan Finn sacked by Tyrell Martin for a loss of 6 yards to the M-OH 40Similar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 15
OWN 40
+16
78.0%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Cole Weaver for 16 yds to the EMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
79.1%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jordan Brunson for 5 yds to the EMU 39Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
79.2%
Keith Reynolds run for 19 yds Miami (OH) Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Brian Shane) to the EMU 35Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 1
OPP 35
0
79.3%
Jordan Brunson run for no gain to the EMU 35Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+2
78.9%
Jordan Brunson run for 2 yds to the EMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
79.4%
Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Cole WeaverSimilar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
79.4%
Keith Reynolds run for 5 yds to the EMU 28Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+12
78.9%
Dequan Finn run for 12 yds to the EMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
79.3%
Keith Reynolds run for 3 yds to the EMU 13Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+6
79.4%
Jordan Brunson run for 6 yds to the EMU 7Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+3
79.0%
Jordan Brunson run for 3 yds to the EMU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
79.5%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
79.5%
Jordan Brunson run for 1 yd to the EMU 3Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
83.5%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Josh Ringer for 3 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:5217% → 24%
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.7%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Porter RooksSimilar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
82.9%
Dontae McMillan run for 9 yds to the EMU 34Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+15
82.4%
(07:06) Shotgun McMillan,Dontae rush right for 2 yards loss to the EMU32 (Blakey,Eli) PENALTY MIA Face Mask 15 yards from EMU34 to EMU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
76.3%
Noah Kim pass complete to Harold Mack for 51 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2279% → 84%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
78.5%
Jordan Brunson run for 20 yds to the M-OH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
79.9%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Brian Shane for 17 yds to the EMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
80.3%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Brian Shane for 16 yds to the EMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
80.4%
Keith Reynolds run for 2 yds to the EMU 20Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+20
84.4%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Brian Shane for 20 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:4017% → 17%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
83.4%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 2 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-11
83.3%
Noah Kim pass intercepted Corban Hondru return for 11 yds to the EMU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10FUMBLE
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:3585% → 87%
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
84.9%
Josh Ringer run for 1 yd to the EMU 30Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
85.3%
Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Josh RingerSimilar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+14
84.9%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Keith Reynolds for 14 yds to the EMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
87.3%
Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Keith ReynoldsSimilar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
87.3%
Keith Reynolds run for no gain to the EMU 16 Keith Reynolds fumbled, recovered by EMU Bryce LlewellynSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 1:1216% → 24%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
84.4%
Harold Mack run for 1 yd to the EMU 17Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
84.3%
Dontae McMillan run for no gain to the EMU 17Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 9
OWN 17
+11
84.7%
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 11 yds to the EMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
84.5%
Noah Kim pass complete to Tavierre Dunlap for 4 yds to the EMU 32Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
84.3%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Harold MackSimilar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+50
86.7%
Noah Kim pass complete to Harold Mack for 50 yds to the M-OH 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
84.1%
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 6 yds to the M-OH 12Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+12
75.7%
Noah Kim pass complete to Harold Mack for 12 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
81.0%
D. Finn takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:4979% → 78%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
79.2%
Jordan Brunson run for 1 yd to the M-OH 30Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+6
79.2%
Jordan Brunson run for 6 yds to the M-OH 36Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 3
OWN 36
-5
79.5%
(13:33) PENALTY MIA False Start (Weaver,Cole) 5 yards from MIA36 to MIA31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
78.6%
Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Josh RingerSimilar
Q3 13:05
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
77.5%
Pierse Stainton punt for 65 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14INT
9 plays · 63 yds · 4:2321% → 26%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
78.6%
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the EMU 7Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+5
78.9%
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 5 yds to the EMU 12Similar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 2
OWN 12
+2
79.5%
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the EMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
78.5%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Nick DevereauxSimilar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+3
78.7%
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the EMU 17Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+23
79.4%
Noah Kim pass complete to Harold Mack for 23 yds to the EMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+25
77.1%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 25 yds to the M-OH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
74.4%
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the M-OH 33Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-7
74.3%
Noah Kim pass intercepted Eli Blakey return for 7 yds to the M-OH 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 3:0482% → 91%
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
81.9%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Braylon Isom for 17 yds to the EMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
83.7%
Jordan Brunson run for 6 yds to the EMU 39Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+38
83.8%
Jordan Brunson run for 38 yds to the EMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
84.1%
(07:03) PENALTY MIA False Start (Becker,Chase) 5 yards from EMU01 to EMU06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
84.1%
Jordan Brunson run for 3 yds to the EMU 3Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
84.2%
Jordan Brunson run for 2 yds to the EMU 1Similar
Q3 5:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.2%
Dequan Finn run for 1 yd for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:2111% → 9%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.8%
Noah Kim pass complete to Jamarien Wheeler for 3 yds to the EMU 28Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
89.0%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Porter RooksSimilar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-5
89.8%
PENALTY EMU False Start (Gallegos,Nicholas) 5 yards from EMU23 to EMU18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
89.7%
(04:45) PENALTY EMU False Start (Anderson,Joshua) 5 yards from EMU28 to EMU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+10
89.9%
Noah Kim pass complete to Tavierre Dunlap for 10 yds to the EMU 28Similar
Q3 3:56
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+15
90.6%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 42 yds , Lynel Billups-Williams returns for 15 yds to the M-OH 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:1592% → 98%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
92.2%
Josh Ringer run for 7 yds to the EMU 48Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+9
92.4%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Kam Perry for 9 yds to the EMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
93.7%
Dequan Finn run for 2 yds to the EMU 37Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
93.8%
Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Brian ShaneSimilar
Q3 1:36
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+14
94.0%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Lynel Billups-Williams for 14 yds to the EMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
94.4%
Dequan Finn run for 9 yds to the EMU 14Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+6
94.6%
Dequan Finn run for 6 yds to the EMU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
94.6%
Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Kam PerrySimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
94.6%
(14:55) Shotgun Finn,Dequan rush right for 5 yards loss to the EMU13 (Deener,Tyrelle) PENALTY EMU Block Below Waist (Gonzalez,Hector) 4 yards from EMU08 to EMU04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.4%
Dequan Finn run for 4 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18SF
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:152% → 1%
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
98.4%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
98.4%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Jamarien WheelerSimilar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 10
OWN 12
0
98.6%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:07
4TH & 10
OWN 12
-12
98.6%
run for a loss of 12 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · -8 yds · 2:3999% → 99%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
98.7%
Josh Ringer run for a loss of 2 yards to the M-OH 38Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 12
OWN 38
-10
98.7%
(13:18) Shotgun Finn,Dequan rush right for 0 yards to the MIA38 (Manning,Barry), out of bounds PENALTY MIA Holding (Shane,Brian) 10 yards from MIA38 to MIA28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 22
OWN 28
+4
98.6%
Josh Ringer run for 4 yds to the M-OH 32Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 18
OWN 32
+5
98.7%
Josh Ringer run for 5 yds to the M-OH 37Similar
Q4 11:21
4TH & 13
OWN 37
-5
98.7%
PENALTY MIA Delay Of Game (Stainton,Pierse) 5 yards from MIA37 to MIA32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:15
4TH & 18
OWN 32
0
98.7%
Pierse Stainton punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Porter Rooks at the EMU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:031% → 6%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
98.8%
Dontae McMillan run for 4 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+16
98.8%
Dontae McMillan run for 6 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST down Miami (OH) Penalty, Defensive Holding (Roosevelt Andrews III) to the EMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+33
98.8%
Noah Kim pass complete to Harold Mack for 33 yds to the M-OH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
98.6%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Porter RooksSimilar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+2
98.7%
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the M-OH 19Similar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+19
94.2%
Nick Devereaux 19 Yd pass from Noah Kim (Noah Kim Pass to Porter Rooks for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:0696% → 100%
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.1%
D'Shawntae Jones run for 4 yds to the M-OH 29Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+46
96.3%
D'Shawntae Jones run for 46 yds to the EMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
96.8%
Josh Ringer run for 4 yds to the EMU 21Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+5
97.0%
Josh Ringer run for 5 yds to the EMU 16Similar
Q4 5:48
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+2
97.1%
D'Shawntae Jones run for 2 yds to the EMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
97.5%
D'Shawntae Jones run for 9 yds to the EMU 5Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+2
97.7%
D'Shawntae Jones run for 2 yds to the EMU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
97.7%
D'Shawntae Jones run for 1 yd to the EMU 2Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
D'Shawntae Jones run for 2 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22TD
16 plays · 82 yds · 2:451% → 6%
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
99.4%
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 6 yds to the EMU 24Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 4
OWN 24
0
99.4%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+3
99.4%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 3 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q4 2:40
4TH & 1
OWN 27
+6
99.4%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 6 yds to the EMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
99.4%
Noah Kim run for 4 yds to the EMU 37Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+4
99.4%
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 4 yds to the EMU 41Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+3
99.4%
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the EMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
99.4%
Noah Kim pass complete to Harold Mack for 10 yds to the M-OH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
99.4%
Noah Kim sacked by Christian McKinney for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 14
50
+6
99.6%
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 6 yds to the M-OH 44Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
99.5%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Joshua LongSimilar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 8
OPP 44
+23
99.5%
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 23 yds to the M-OH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
94.1%
Nick Devereaux 21 Yd pass from Noah Kim (Noah Kim Pass to Joshua Long for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:4799% → 99%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
99.3%
H. Hesson takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 49
-2
99.3%
H. Hesson takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:26
Noah Kim pass complete to Harold Mack for 12 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)
-8.6
TD · Q3 5:28
Dequan Finn run for 1 yd for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)
+7
TD · Q2 6:46
Noah Kim pass complete to Harold Mack for 51 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)
-6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com