EMU
Eastern Michigan 30 at Miami (OH) 44
M-OH2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Yager Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey play
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EMU · Drive 1PUNT · 5 plays · 3 yds
Q1 15:00
Kellan McLaughlin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
81.4%
0.0
Q1 14:57
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 3 yds to the EMU 28
79.9%
-1.6
Q1 14:34
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Dontae McMillan
79.1%
-0.8
Q1 14:30
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Joshua Long
79.1%
0.0
Q1 14:22
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the M-OH 21
79.1%
0.0
M-OH · Drive 2PUNT · 4 plays · 3 yds
Q1 14:17
Josh Ringer run for 2 yds to the M-OH 23
81.2%
+2.1
Q1 13:43
Jordan Brunson run for 1 yd to the M-OH 24
81.2%
0.0
Q1 13:07
Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Lynel Billups-Williams
81.2%
0.0
Q1 12:56
Pierse Stainton punt for 59 yds , Juan Salas returns for 4 yds to the EMU 21
81.0%
-0.2
EMU · Drive 3PUNT · 4 plays · 4 yds
Q1 12:49
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 9 yds to the EMU 30
79.1%
-1.9
Q1 12:22
Noah Kim sacked by Jackson Pons for a loss of 5 yards to the EMU 25
79.1%
0.0
Q1 11:49
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Porter Rooks
79.1%
0.0
Q1 11:42
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Lynel Billups-Williams at the M-OH 31
79.1%
0.0
M-OH · Drive 4TD · 11 plays · 69 yds
Q1 11:35
Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Kam Perry
81.2%
+2.1
Q1 11:28
Jordan Brunson run for 16 yds to the M-OH 47 for a 1ST down
81.2%
0.0
Q1 10:42
Jordan Brunson run for 2 yds to the M-OH 49
81.9%
+0.7
Q1 9:45
Jordan Brunson run for 6 yds to the EMU 45
81.9%
0.0
Q1 9:11
Dequan Finn pass complete to Brian Shane for 3 yds to the EMU 42 for a 1ST down
82.4%
+0.5
Q1 8:32
Dequan Finn pass complete to Braylon Isom for 7 yds to the EMU 35
82.5%
+0.1
Q1 7:55
Dequan Finn run for 22 yds to the EMU 13 for a 1ST down
82.6%
+0.1
Q1 7:24
Jordan Brunson run for 4 yds to the EMU 9
82.6%
0.0
Q1 6:45
Jordan Brunson run for no gain to the EMU 9
82.6%
0.0
Q1 5:56
Dequan Finn run for 8 yds to the EMU 1 for a 1ST down
81.4%
-1.2
Q1 5:25
Jordan Brunson run for 1 yd for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)
89.0%
+7.6
EMU · Drive 5PUNT · 6 plays · -4 yds
Q1 5:25
Kellan McLaughlin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
88.7%
-0.3
Q1 5:19
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the EMU 28 Eastern Michigan Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ben Prosper) to the EMU 18
86.6%
-2.0
Q1 5:08
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Ben Prosper
86.6%
0.0
Q1 5:02
Noah Kim sacked by Malcolm McCain for a loss of 8 yards to the EMU 10
86.6%
0.0
Q1 4:24
Noah Kim run for 11 yds to the EMU 21
86.6%
-0.1
Q1 4:01
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 45 yds
86.6%
0.0
M-OH · Drive 6TD · 22 plays · 66 yds
Q1 3:53
(03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Brunson,Jordan rush right for 6 yards gain to the MIA40 (Manning,Barry; Evans,Carter) PENALTY MIA Holding (Rohrs,Gavin) 10 yards from MIA34 to MIA24. NO PLAY.
88.6%
+2.1
Q1 3:35
Jordan Brunson run for 1 yd to the M-OH 25
88.6%
0.0
Q1 2:46
Dequan Finn pass complete to Cole Weaver for 18 yds to the M-OH 43
88.6%
0.0
Q1 2:05
Jordan Brunson run for no gain to the M-OH 43
88.7%
0.0
Q1 1:28
Jordan Brunson run for 2 yds to the M-OH 45 for a 1ST down
88.2%
-0.4
Q1 0:48
Jordan Brunson run for 1 yd to the M-OH 46
88.6%
+0.4
Q1 0:00
Dequan Finn sacked by Tyrell Martin for a loss of 6 yards to the M-OH 40
88.4%
-0.2
Q2 14:44
Dequan Finn pass complete to Cole Weaver for 16 yds to the EMU 44 for a 1ST down
88.3%
-0.1
Q2 14:04
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jordan Brunson for 5 yds to the EMU 39
88.6%
+0.3
Q2 13:23
Keith Reynolds run for 19 yds Miami (OH) Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Brian Shane) to the EMU 35
88.7%
+0.1
Q2 13:14
Jordan Brunson run for no gain to the EMU 35
88.7%
0.0
Q2 12:40
Jordan Brunson run for 2 yds to the EMU 33 for a 1ST down
88.6%
-0.1
Q2 11:56
Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Cole Weaver
88.9%
+0.3
Q2 11:47
Keith Reynolds run for 5 yds to the EMU 28
88.9%
0.0
Q2 11:14
Timeout Miami (OH), clock 11:14
88.3%
-0.6
Q2 11:04
Dequan Finn run for 12 yds to the EMU 16 for a 1ST down
88.3%
0.0
Q2 10:27
Keith Reynolds run for 3 yds to the EMU 13
88.4%
+0.1
Q2 9:50
Jordan Brunson run for 6 yds to the EMU 7
88.4%
0.0
Q2 9:12
Jordan Brunson run for 3 yds to the EMU 4 for a 1ST down
88.3%
-0.1
Q2 8:29
Dequan Finn pass incomplete
88.4%
+0.1
Q2 8:22
Jordan Brunson run for 1 yd to the EMU 3
88.4%
0.0
Q2 7:41
Dequan Finn pass complete to Josh Ringer for 3 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)
93.9%
+5.5
EMU · Drive 7TD · 5 plays · 75 yds
Q2 7:41
Kellan McLaughlin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
93.9%
0.0
Q2 7:38
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Porter Rooks
92.5%
-1.4
Q2 7:31
Dontae McMillan run for 9 yds to the EMU 34
92.5%
0.0
Q2 7:00
(07:06) Shotgun McMillan,Dontae rush right for 2 yards loss to the EMU32 (Blakey,Eli) PENALTY MIA Face Mask 15 yards from EMU34 to EMU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
92.5%
0.0
Q2 6:46
Noah Kim pass complete to Harold Mack for 51 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)
85.9%
-6.6
M-OH · Drive 8TD · 6 plays · 75 yds
Q2 6:46
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
86.6%
+0.7
Q2 6:39
Jordan Brunson run for 20 yds to the M-OH 45 for a 1ST down
88.2%
+1.6
Q2 6:13
Dequan Finn pass complete to Brian Shane for 17 yds to the EMU 38 for a 1ST down
88.4%
+0.3
Q2 5:36
Dequan Finn pass complete to Brian Shane for 16 yds to the EMU 22 for a 1ST down
88.7%
+0.3
Q2 5:00
Keith Reynolds run for 2 yds to the EMU 20
88.7%
0.0
Q2 4:17
Dequan Finn pass complete to Brian Shane for 20 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)
94.1%
+5.4
EMU · Drive 9INT · 3 plays · 2 yds
Q2 4:17
Kellan McLaughlin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
94.1%
-0.1
Q2 4:10
Tavierre Dunlap run for 2 yds to the EMU 27
92.6%
-1.5
Q2 3:30
Noah Kim pass intercepted Corban Hondru return for 11 yds to the EMU 31
92.6%
0.0
M-OH · Drive 10FUMBLE · 6 plays · 15 yds
Q2 3:24
Josh Ringer run for 1 yd to the EMU 30
94.4%
+1.8
Q2 2:42
Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Josh Ringer
94.4%
0.0
Q2 2:32
Dequan Finn pass complete to Keith Reynolds for 14 yds to the EMU 16 for a 1ST down
94.4%
-0.1
Q2 2:00
Timeout Miami (OH), clock 02:00
94.3%
0.0
Q2 1:56
Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Keith Reynolds
94.3%
0.0
Q2 1:49
Keith Reynolds run for no gain to the EMU 16 Keith Reynolds fumbled, recovered by EMU Bryce Llewellyn
94.3%
0.0
EMU · Drive 11TD · 12 plays · 84 yds
Q2 1:38
Harold Mack run for 1 yd to the EMU 17
93.3%
-1.0
Q2 1:14
Timeout Miami (OH), clock 01:14
93.3%
0.0
Q2 1:13
Dontae McMillan run for no gain to the EMU 17
93.3%
0.0
Q2 1:06
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 11 yds to the EMU 28 for a 1ST down
93.3%
0.0
Q2 0:54
Timeout Miami (OH), clock 00:54
93.3%
0.0
Q2 0:51
Noah Kim pass complete to Tavierre Dunlap for 4 yds to the EMU 32
93.3%
0.0
Q2 0:48
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Harold Mack
93.3%
0.0
Q2 0:48
Timeout Miami (OH), clock 00:48
93.3%
0.0
Q2 0:39
Noah Kim pass complete to Harold Mack for 50 yds to the M-OH 18 for a 1ST down
94.0%
+0.7
Q2 0:31
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 6 yds to the M-OH 12
93.6%
-0.4
Q2 0:31
Timeout Miami (OH), clock 00:31
93.6%
0.0
Q2 0:26
Noah Kim pass complete to Harold Mack for 12 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)
84.4%
-9.2
M-OH · Drive 12END OF HALF · 2 plays · -2 yds
Q2 0:26
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
85.6%
+1.2
Q2 0:00
D. Finn takes a knee
83.7%
-1.9
M-OH · Drive 13PUNT · 6 plays · 2 yds
Q3 14:54
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 65 yds , Keith Reynolds return for 29 yds to the M-OH 29
85.0%
+1.3
Q3 14:54
Jordan Brunson run for 1 yd to the M-OH 30
88.1%
+3.1
Q3 14:54
Jordan Brunson run for 6 yds to the M-OH 36
88.1%
0.0
Q3 14:54
(13:33) PENALTY MIA False Start (Weaver,Cole) 5 yards from MIA36 to MIA31. NO PLAY.
88.3%
+0.2
Q3 14:54
Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Josh Ringer
88.1%
-0.2
Q3 13:05
Pierse Stainton punt for 65 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMU 4
88.0%
-0.1
EMU · Drive 14INT · 9 plays · 63 yds
Q3 13:00
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the EMU 7
84.7%
-3.3
Q3 12:21
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 5 yds to the EMU 12
84.7%
0.0
Q3 11:44
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the EMU 14 for a 1ST down
84.5%
-0.1
Q3 11:11
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Nick Devereaux
84.5%
0.0
Q3 11:10
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the EMU 17
84.5%
0.0
Q3 10:25
Noah Kim pass complete to Harold Mack for 23 yds to the EMU 40 for a 1ST down
84.4%
-0.1
Q3 9:49
Tavierre Dunlap run for 25 yds to the M-OH 35 for a 1ST down
84.1%
-0.3
Q3 9:19
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the M-OH 33
83.0%
-1.1
Q3 8:37
Noah Kim pass intercepted Eli Blakey return for 7 yds to the M-OH 38
83.0%
0.0
M-OH · Drive 15TD · 7 plays · 62 yds
Q3 8:32
Dequan Finn pass complete to Braylon Isom for 17 yds to the EMU 45 for a 1ST down
88.8%
+5.8
Q3 7:57
Jordan Brunson run for 6 yds to the EMU 39
88.9%
+0.1
Q3 7:14
Jordan Brunson run for 38 yds to the EMU 1 for a 1ST down
89.1%
+0.2
Q3 7:01
(07:03) PENALTY MIA False Start (Becker,Chase) 5 yards from EMU01 to EMU06. NO PLAY.
89.1%
0.0
Q3 6:48
Jordan Brunson run for 3 yds to the EMU 3
89.1%
0.0
Q3 6:04
Jordan Brunson run for 2 yds to the EMU 1
89.1%
0.0
Q3 5:28
Dequan Finn run for 1 yd for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)
95.5%
+6.5
EMU · Drive 16PUNT · 7 plays · 3 yds
Q3 5:28
Kellan McLaughlin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
95.5%
0.0
Q3 5:17
Noah Kim pass complete to Jamarien Wheeler for 3 yds to the EMU 28
94.1%
-1.4
Q3 4:46
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Porter Rooks
93.6%
-0.4
Q3 4:46
PENALTY EMU False Start (Gallegos,Nicholas) 5 yards from EMU23 to EMU18. NO PLAY.
93.6%
0.0
Q3 4:46
(04:45) PENALTY EMU False Start (Anderson,Joshua) 5 yards from EMU28 to EMU23. NO PLAY.
93.6%
0.0
Q3 4:39
Noah Kim pass complete to Tavierre Dunlap for 10 yds to the EMU 28
93.6%
0.0
Q3 3:56
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 42 yds , Lynel Billups-Williams returns for 15 yds to the M-OH 45
93.6%
0.0
M-OH · Drive 17TD · 10 plays · 55 yds
Q3 3:50
Josh Ringer run for 7 yds to the EMU 48
95.7%
+2.1
Q3 3:04
Dequan Finn pass complete to Kam Perry for 9 yds to the EMU 39 for a 1ST down
95.7%
0.0
Q3 2:25
Dequan Finn run for 2 yds to the EMU 37
96.2%
+0.4
Q3 1:44
Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Brian Shane
96.2%
0.0
Q3 1:36
Dequan Finn pass complete to Lynel Billups-Williams for 14 yds to the EMU 23 for a 1ST down
96.4%
+0.2
Q3 0:58
Dequan Finn run for 9 yds to the EMU 14
96.5%
+0.2
Q3 0:00
Dequan Finn run for 6 yds to the EMU 8 for a 1ST down
96.7%
+0.2
Q4 15:00
Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Kam Perry
96.7%
0.0
Q4 14:47
(14:55) Shotgun Finn,Dequan rush right for 5 yards loss to the EMU13 (Deener,Tyrelle) PENALTY EMU Block Below Waist (Gonzalez,Hector) 4 yards from EMU08 to EMU04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
96.7%
0.0
Q4 14:35
Dequan Finn run for 4 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)
99.1%
+2.4
EMU · Drive 18SF · 5 plays · -12 yds
Q4 14:31
Kellan McLaughlin kickoff for 64 yds , Jayvin Norman return for 11 yds to the EMU 12
99.1%
0.0
Q4 14:22
Noah Kim pass incomplete
98.9%
-0.3
Q4 14:14
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Jamarien Wheeler
98.9%
0.0
Q4 14:07
Noah Kim pass incomplete
98.9%
0.0
Q4 14:07
run for a loss of 12 yards for a SAFETY
98.9%
0.0
M-OH · Drive 19PUNT · 7 plays · -8 yds
Q4 14:01
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 73 yds , Keith Reynolds return for 33 yds to the M-OH 40
98.9%
0.0
Q4 13:54
Josh Ringer run for a loss of 2 yards to the M-OH 38
99.2%
+0.3
Q4 13:12
(13:18) Shotgun Finn,Dequan rush right for 0 yards to the MIA38 (Manning,Barry), out of bounds PENALTY MIA Holding (Shane,Brian) 10 yards from MIA38 to MIA28. NO PLAY.
99.2%
0.0
Q4 12:52
Josh Ringer run for 4 yds to the M-OH 32
99.2%
0.0
Q4 12:04
Josh Ringer run for 5 yds to the M-OH 37
99.2%
0.0
Q4 11:21
PENALTY MIA Delay Of Game (Stainton,Pierse) 5 yards from MIA37 to MIA32. NO PLAY.
99.2%
0.0
Q4 11:15
Pierse Stainton punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Porter Rooks at the EMU 26
99.2%
0.0
EMU · Drive 20TD · 6 plays · 74 yds
Q4 11:10
Dontae McMillan run for 4 yds to the EMU 30
98.9%
-0.3
Q4 10:43
Dontae McMillan run for 6 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST down Miami (OH) Penalty, Defensive Holding (Roosevelt Andrews III) to the EMU 46 for a 1ST down
98.9%
0.0
Q4 10:16
Noah Kim pass complete to Harold Mack for 33 yds to the M-OH 21 for a 1ST down
98.9%
0.0
Q4 9:52
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Porter Rooks
98.8%
-0.1
Q4 9:46
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the M-OH 19
98.8%
0.0
Q4 9:07
Nick Devereaux 19 Yd pass from Noah Kim (Noah Kim Pass to Porter Rooks for Two-Point Conversion)
95.6%
-3.2
M-OH · Drive 21TD · 12 plays · 75 yds
Q4 9:07
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
95.7%
+0.1
Q4 8:58
D'Shawntae Jones run for 4 yds to the M-OH 29
97.1%
+1.3
Q4 8:08
D'Shawntae Jones run for 46 yds to the EMU 25 for a 1ST down
97.0%
-0.1
Q4 7:22
Josh Ringer run for 4 yds to the EMU 21
97.1%
+0.1
Q4 6:32
Josh Ringer run for 5 yds to the EMU 16
97.1%
0.0
Q4 5:48
D'Shawntae Jones run for 2 yds to the EMU 14 for a 1ST down
97.1%
0.0
Q4 4:58
D'Shawntae Jones run for 9 yds to the EMU 5
97.2%
+0.1
Q4 4:06
D'Shawntae Jones run for 2 yds to the EMU 3 for a 1ST down
97.2%
0.0
Q4 4:05
Timeout Miami (OH), clock 04:05
97.0%
-0.2
Q4 3:59
D'Shawntae Jones run for 1 yd to the EMU 2
97.0%
0.0
Q4 3:59
Timeout Miami (OH), clock 03:59
96.9%
-0.1
Q4 3:52
D'Shawntae Jones run for 2 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)
99.1%
+2.2
EMU · Drive 22TD · 16 plays · 82 yds
Q4 3:48
Kellan McLaughlin kickoff for 65 yds , Jayvin Norman return for 18 yds to the EMU 18
99.1%
0.0
Q4 3:43
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 6 yds to the EMU 24
98.7%
-0.4
Q4 3:17
Noah Kim pass incomplete
98.7%
0.0
Q4 3:11
Tavierre Dunlap run for 3 yds to the EMU 27
98.7%
0.0
Q4 2:40
Tavierre Dunlap run for 6 yds to the EMU 33 for a 1ST down
98.7%
0.0
Q4 2:17
Noah Kim run for 4 yds to the EMU 37
98.7%
0.0
Q4 1:56
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 4 yds to the EMU 41
98.7%
0.0
Q4 1:56
Timeout Miami (OH), clock 01:56
98.7%
0.0
Q4 1:52
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the EMU 44 for a 1ST down
98.7%
0.0
Q4 1:35
Noah Kim pass complete to Harold Mack for 10 yds to the M-OH 46 for a 1ST down
98.7%
0.0
Q4 1:23
Noah Kim sacked by Christian McKinney for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line
98.7%
0.0
Q4 1:23
Timeout Miami (OH), clock 01:23
98.7%
0.0
Q4 1:16
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 6 yds to the M-OH 44
98.7%
0.0
Q4 1:10
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Joshua Long
98.7%
0.0
Q4 1:04
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 23 yds to the M-OH 21 for a 1ST down
98.7%
0.0
Q4 0:58
Nick Devereaux 21 Yd pass from Noah Kim (Noah Kim Pass to Joshua Long for Two-Point Conversion)
94.9%
-3.8
M-OH · Drive 23END OF GAME · 3 plays · -4 yds
Q4 0:54
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 14 yds
95.1%
+0.2
Q4 0:47
H. Hesson takes a knee
95.6%
+0.5
Q4 0:00
H. Hesson takes a knee
95.6%
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:26
Noah Kim pass complete to Harold Mack for 12 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)
-9.2
TD · Q1 5:25
Jordan Brunson run for 1 yd for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)
+7.6
TD · Q2 6:46
Noah Kim pass complete to Harold Mack for 51 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)
-6.6