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CMU

Central Michigan 27 at Bowling Green 6

BGSU
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGFGEnd of GameFG-5.5BGSU 8.6%Cade Graham 47 yd FG GOODAWAY 27 - HOME 6 · Q3 7:09
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:09 · Cade Graham 47 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Home team on offense−34.7Score differential−18.6Garbage-time factor−6.4Pregame prior+3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:39: Angel Flores run for 1 yd for a TD (Cade Graham KICK) — CMU win probability +6.4 pts (now 46%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:04: Angel Flores run for 6 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK) — CMU win probability +8.2 pts (now 56%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 3:48: Cade Graham 38 yd FG GOOD — CMU win probability +5.3 pts (now 65%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:06: Angel Flores run for 3 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK) — CMU win probability +15.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 7:09: Cade Graham 47 yd FG GOOD — CMU win probability +5.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 11 of 11CMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 10:43BGSU 4th & 18 at CMU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    59.3%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:09CMU 4th & 8 at CMU 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:41BGSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:06CMU 4th & 11 at BGSU 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    38.4%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:17BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:59BGSU 4th & 2 at BGSU 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    41.9%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:59BGSU 4th & 2 at BGSU 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    41.9%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:48CMU 4th & 3 at BGSU 20, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.1%−0.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    54.0%−4.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:53BGSU 4th & 6 at CMU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:01BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 34, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    20.0%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:01BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 34, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    20.0%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:09CMU 4th & 7 at BGSU 29, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−6.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:57BGSU 4th & 22 at BGSU 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−3.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:33CMU 4th & 13 at CMU 41, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−1.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:03CMU 4th & 10 at BGSU 36, up 21
    Close callPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−<0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:38BGSU 4th & 1 at CMU 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.5%−0.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:17CMU 4th & 13 at BGSU 34, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:55BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 13:39CMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:04CMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:06CMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:1759% → 59%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
58.7%
Cameron Pettaway run for 22 yds to the BGSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
58.7%
Cameron Pettaway run for 5 yds to the CMU 48Similar
Q1 13:59
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-8
58.8%
Lucian Anderson III sacked by Michael Heldman for a loss of 8 yards to the BGSU 44Similar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+39
58.7%
Lucian Anderson III run for 24 yds to the CMU 32 for a 1ST down Central Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (Jordan Kwiatkowski) to the CMU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
59.1%
Chris McMillian run for 2 yds to the CMU 15Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 8
OPP 15
-10
59.1%
(12:39) No Huddle-Shotgun Pettaway,Cameron rush middle for 1 yard loss to the CMU16 (Kwiatkowski,Jordan; Spann,Caleb) PENALTY BGSU Holding (Fatukasi,Tunde) 10 yards from CMU15 to CMU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 18
OPP 25
+3
59.1%
Chris McMillian run for 3 yds to the CMU 22Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 15
OPP 22
-3
59.0%
Chris McMillian run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMU 25Similar
Q1 10:43
4TH & 18
OPP 25
+43
59.1%
Jackson Kleather 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
59.3%
PENALTY BGSU Offside (Odom,AJ) 5 yards from BGSU35 to BGSU30. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:1441% → 40%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
59.2%
Joe Labas run for 6 yds to the CMU 36Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+5
59.1%
Joe Labas run for 5 yds to the CMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
59.2%
Nahree Biggins run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMU 39Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+3
59.5%
Joe Labas run for 3 yds to the CMU 42Similar
Q1 7:39
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+1
59.6%
Angel Flores pass complete to Brock Townsend for 1 yd to the CMU 43Similar
Q1 7:09
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
60.1%
Declan Duley punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Brennan Ridley at the BGSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2260% → 59%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.6%
Cameron Pettaway run for no gain to the BGSU 25Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.6%
Cameron Pettaway run for 5 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
59.5%
Lucian Anderson III pass incomplete to RJ Garcia IISimilar
Q1 5:41
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
59.1%
John Henderson punt for 41 yds , Caleb Spann returns for no gain to the CMU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 4:2640% → 40%
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
60.0%
Angel Flores run for 1 yd to the CMU 30Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+5
60.1%
Trey Cornist run for 5 yds to the CMU 35Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+6
60.1%
Angel Flores run for 6 yds to the CMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
59.5%
Bowling Green Penalty, (15 Yards) to the BGSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-4
59.2%
Brock Townsend run for a loss of 4 yards to the BGSU 43Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 14
OPP 43
+3
59.4%
Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the BGSU 40Similar
Q1 1:31
3RD & 11
OPP 40
0
59.5%
Nahree Biggins run for no gain to the BGSU 40Similar
Q1 1:06
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
60.5%
Declan Duley punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Brennan Ridley at the BGSU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5INT
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:1660% → 60%
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
59.8%
Chris McMillian run for 8 yds to the BGSU 16Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 16
0
60.0%
Chris McMillian run for no gain to the BGSU 16Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+7
59.3%
Cameron Pettaway run for 7 yds to the BGSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
60.1%
Lucian Anderson III pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for 3 yds to the BGSU 26Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-26
60.2%
Lucian Anderson III pass intercepted Jordan Kwiatkowski return for 26 yds to the BGSU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 13:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.8%
Angel Flores run for 1 yd for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:0856% → 54%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
55.8%
Chris McMillian run for 5 yds to the BGSU 31Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 5
OWN 31
-2
56.0%
Cameron Pettaway run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 29Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 7
OWN 29
-5
54.9%
(12:18) PENALTY BGSU False Start (Padgett,Alex) 5 yards from BGSU29 to BGSU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 12
OWN 24
+5
54.4%
Lucian Anderson III pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 5 yds to the BGSU 29Similar
Q2 11:17
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
54.0%
John Henderson punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Caleb Spann at the CMU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 3:1045% → 55%
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
54.9%
Joe Labas pass incomplete to Collin PayneSimilar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
55.0%
Joe Labas pass incomplete to Collin PayneSimilar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+63
55.8%
Joe Labas pass complete to Collin Payne for 63 yds to the BGSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+13
52.3%
Nahree Biggins run for 13 yds to the BGSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
51.9%
PENALTY CMU False Start (Blum,Ryan) 5 yards from BGSU03 to BGSU08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
51.7%
Justin Ruffin Jr. run for 6 yds to the BGSU 2Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
51.5%
Angel Flores run for 1 yd to the BGSU 1Similar
Q2 8:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
52.2%
(08:45) Shotgun Flores,Angel rush left for 0 yards to the BGSU01 (Kelly,Dierre; Pascal,Kal-El) PENALTY BGSU Offside (Afogho,David). NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
52.2%
PENALTY CMU False Start (Nehf,Matthew) 5 yards from BGSU01 to BGSU06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
43.9%
Angel Flores run for 6 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)Similar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
44.7%
PENALTY BGSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Odom,AJ) 15 yards from CMU35 to CMU50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9DOWNS
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:5343% → 41%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
43.3%
Cameron Pettaway run for 1 yd to the BGSU 20Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+3
42.8%
Cameron Pettaway run for 3 yds to the BGSU 23Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 6
OWN 23
-5
41.6%
PENALTY BGSU False Start (Johnson,Jyrin) 5 yards from BGSU23 to BGSU18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 11
OWN 18
+9
41.3%
Lucian Anderson III run for 9 yds to the BGSU 27Similar
Q2 5:59
4TH & 2
OWN 27
0
41.1%
John Henderson run for no gain to the BGSU 27Similar
Q2 5:59
4TH & 2
OWN 27
0
41.1%
John Henderson run for no gain to the BGSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0359% → 65%
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
41.2%
Nahree Biggins run for 4 yds to the BGSU 23Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-3
40.7%
Tyson Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the BGSU 26Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+6
40.7%
Joe Labas run for 6 yds to the BGSU 20Similar
Q2 3:48
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+38
35.5%
Cade Graham 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11FG
11 plays · 43 yds · 2:4436% → 39%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
35.7%
Kaderris Roberts run for 3 yds to the BGSU 29Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+5
35.3%
PENALTY CMU Offside (Fisher,Dylan) 5 yards from BGSU29 to BGSU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+17
35.5%
Lucian Anderson III pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 17 yds to the CMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
36.4%
Kaderris Roberts run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 49Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+16
34.8%
Lucian Anderson III pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for 16 yds to the CMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
36.3%
Kaderris Roberts run for 1 yd to the CMU 34Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+3
35.1%
Lucian Anderson III pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 3 yds to the CMU 31Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 6
OPP 31
0
34.2%
Lucian Anderson III pass incomplete to Finn HoganSimilar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+49
38.5%
Jackson Kleather 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:4663% → 66%
Q2 0:46
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
37.0%
Angel Flores run for 5 yds to the CMU 27Similar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
36.4%
Langston Lewis run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMU 22Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
37.0%
Angel Flores run for 11 yds to the CMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
34.1%
Brock Townsend run for 3 yds to the CMU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:5462% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
37.6%
Nahree Biggins run for 1 yd to the CMU 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
37.8%
Joe Labas run for 10 yds to the CMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
36.8%
Joe Labas pass complete to Tommy McIntosh for 9 yds to the CMU 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+5
35.9%
Shotgun Labas,Joe pass incomplete deep left to McIntosh,Tommy thrown to BGSU25 broken up by McClendon,Jalen PENALTY BGSU Offside (Afogho,David) 5 yards from CMU45 to CMU50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
36.1%
Nahree Biggins run for 6 yds to the BGSU 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+5
35.9%
Angel Flores run for 5 yds to the BGSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+37
36.1%
Brock Townsend run for 37 yds to the BGSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
32.1%
PENALTY CMU Delay Of Game (Flores,Angel) 5 yards from BGSU02 to BGSU07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
16.6%
Angel Flores run for 3 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)Similar
Q3 11:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
16.8%
PENALTY BGSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 4 yards from BGSU07 to BGSU03, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14DOWNS
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:4721% → 20%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
20.8%
Cameron Pettaway run for 7 yds to the BGSU 32Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
21.1%
Lucian Anderson III run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 31Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
19.9%
Lucian Anderson III pass complete to Allen Middleton for 3 yds to the BGSU 34Similar
Q3 9:01
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-2
19.7%
Mar'Kel Porter run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 32Similar
Q3 9:01
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-2
19.7%
Mar'Kel Porter run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4585% → 91%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
15.3%
Brock Townsend run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 34Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 12
OPP 34
0
14.9%
Angel Flores run for no gain to the BGSU 34Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 12
OPP 34
+5
14.2%
Angel Flores run for 5 yds to the BGSU 29Similar
Q3 7:09
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+47
8.6%
Cade Graham 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:0812% → 8%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
11.8%
Lucian Anderson III pass incomplete to Chris McMillianSimilar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+23
11.7%
RJ Garcia II run for 23 yds to the BGSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
12.1%
(06:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Anderson III,Lucian pass incomplete deep left to Hogan,Finn thrown to CMU45 QB hurried by Kwiatkowski,Jordan, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (Carroll,Kalen) 9 yards from BGSU35 to BGSU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
9.8%
Lucian Anderson III run for 8 yds to the CMU 48Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 2
OPP 48
-15
10.3%
Bowling Green Penalty, (-15 Yards) to the BGSU 38Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 16
OWN 38
-6
8.8%
Lucian Anderson III sacked by Michael Heldman for a loss of 6 yards to the BGSU 32Similar
Q3 4:57
4TH & 22
OWN 32
0
8.1%
John Henderson punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 3:1294% → 96%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
5.9%
Trey Cornist run for 14 yds to the CMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-20
5.2%
(04:09) Cornist,Trey rush middle for 0 yards to the CMU44 (Lampron,Gideon) PENALTY CMU Illegal Formation CMU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Saurbeck,Jacob) 20 yards from CMU44 to CMU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 30
OWN 24
+6
5.4%
Angel Flores run for 6 yds to the CMU 30Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 24
OWN 30
+9
5.1%
Angel Flores run for 9 yds to the CMU 39Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 15
OWN 39
-5
4.5%
PENALTY CMU False Start (Smith,Dasan) 5 yards from CMU39 to CMU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 20
OWN 34
+7
4.7%
Nahree Biggins run for 7 yds to the CMU 41Similar
Q3 1:33
4TH & 13
OWN 41
0
4.5%
Declan Duley punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18INT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:016% → 5%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
5.9%
Lucian Anderson III pass incomplete to RJ Garcia IISimilar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
5.8%
Lucian Anderson III pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 9 yds to the BGSU 29Similar
Q3 0:49
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+4
5.8%
Lucian Anderson III pass complete to Cameron Pettaway for 4 yds to the BGSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
5.6%
Lucian Anderson III pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 2 yds to the BGSU 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+7
5.3%
Lucian Anderson III pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for 7 yds to the BGSU 42Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+3
5.7%
Chris McMillian run for 3 yds to the BGSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-19
5.2%
Lucian Anderson III pass intercepted Jaion Jackson return for 19 yds to the BGSU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:0797% → 97%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
3.3%
Trey Cornist run for no gain to the BGSU 36Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-2
3.1%
Trey Cornist run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 38Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+2
3.0%
Brock Townsend run for 2 yds to the BGSU 36Similar
Q4 12:03
4TH & 10
OPP 36
0
3.2%
Declan Duley punt for 20 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 37 yds · 1:123% → 4%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+28
3.4%
Lucian Anderson III pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 28 yds to the BGSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
3.6%
Lucian Anderson III pass incomplete to Allen MiddletonSimilar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
3.5%
Lucian Anderson III pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for 1 yd to the BGSU 45Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+8
3.3%
Lucian Anderson III pass complete to Allen Middleton for 8 yds to the CMU 47Similar
Q4 10:38
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
3.5%
Lucian Anderson III run for no gain to the CMU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 5:1298% → 99%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
2.2%
Angel Flores run for 4 yds to the BGSU 49Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+3
2.0%
Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the BGSU 46Similar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+3
2.0%
Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the BGSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
1.8%
Nahree Biggins run for 12 yds to the BGSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
1.6%
Nahree Biggins run for 2 yds to the BGSU 29Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
1.5%
Angel Flores run for no gain to the BGSU 29Similar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
1.3%
Nahree Biggins run for no gain to the BGSU 29Similar
Q4 5:31
4TH & 8
OPP 29
-5
1.2%
PENALTY CMU Delay Of Game (Flores,Angel) 5 yards from BGSU29 to BGSU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:17
4TH & 13
OPP 34
0
1.2%
Declan Duley punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22END OF GAME
13 plays · 57 yds · 5:081% → 1%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+13
1.2%
Lucian Anderson III pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 13 yds to the BGSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-7
1.2%
(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Anderson III,Lucian pass complete deep middle to Hogan,Finn caught at BGSU35, for 34 yards to the BGSU48 (Deasfernandes,Brenden) PENALTY BGSU Holding (Fatukasi,Tunde) 7 yards from BGSU14 to BGSU07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 17
OWN 7
-9
1.1%
Bowling Green Penalty, (-9 Yards) to the BGSU 9Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 15
OWN 9
+11
1.1%
Lucian Anderson III run for 11 yds to the BGSU 20Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+19
1.1%
Lucian Anderson III pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 19 yds to the BGSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
1.1%
Lucian Anderson III pass complete to Jacob Harris for 6 yds to the BGSU 45Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 4
OWN 45
-6
1.0%
Lucian Anderson III sacked by Keshawn Hayden for a loss of 6 yards to the BGSU 39 Lucian Anderson III fumbled, recovered by CMU James Thomas Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+9
1.0%
Lucian Anderson III pass complete to Jacob Harris for 9 yds to the BGSU 48Similar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+7
0.9%
Chris Edmonds run for 7 yds to the CMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-15
0.9%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun Anderson III,Lucian pass complete short middle to Garcia II,RJ caught at CMU27, for 26 yards to the CMU19 (Blackwell,Maddix) PENALTY BGSU Face Mask (Harris,Alex) 15 yards from CMU45 to BGSU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 25
OWN 40
0
0.8%
Lucian Anderson III pass incomplete to RJ Garcia IISimilar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 25
OWN 40
+11
0.8%
Lucian Anderson III run for 11 yds to the CMU 49Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 49
+7
0.8%
PaSean Wimberly run for 7 yds to the CMU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:06
Angel Flores run for 3 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)
-15.5
TD · Q2 8:04
Angel Flores run for 6 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)
-8.2
TD · Q2 13:39
Angel Flores run for 1 yd for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)
-6.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com