AKR
Akron 28 at Ball State 42
BALL2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Scheumann Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey play
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:00 · K. Kelly takes a knee
01
BALL has the ball
+24
02
Market gave BALL a 47% pregame chance
−14
03
BALL leading by 21
+12
04
Blowout context favors the offense
+7
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
BALL · Drive 1DOWNS · 5 plays · 9 yds
Q1 15:00
Owen Wiley kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q1 14:53
Qua Ashley run for 3 yds to the BALL 28
+2.9
Q1 14:21
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Donovan Hamilton
+0.3
Q1 14:07
Kiael Kelly run for 6 yds to the BALL 34
0.0
Q1 13:38
Qua Ashley run for no gain to the BALL 34
-0.3
AKR · Drive 2TD · 5 plays · 34 yds
Q1 13:27
Jordan Gant run for no gain to the BALL 34
-6.0
Q1 13:09
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for 10 yds to the BALL 24 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 12:40
Jordan Gant run for 2 yds to the BALL 22
0.0
Q1 12:08
Jordan Gant run for 3 yds to the BALL 19
0.0
Q1 11:42
Israel Polk 19 Yd pass from Ben Finley (Michael Johnson Jr. Pass to Max Whisner for Two-Point Conversion)
-14.3
BALL · Drive 3TD · 12 plays · 75 yds
Q1 11:42
Owen Wiley kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+1.3
Q1 11:39
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qian Magwood
+0.6
Q1 11:28
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Isaiah Thacker for 10 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 10:57
Qua Ashley run for 7 yds to the BALL 42
0.0
Q1 10:18
Qua Ashley run for 4 yds to the BALL 46 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q1 9:24
Ty Robinson pass complete to Drew Cassens for 37 yds to the AKR 17 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q1 8:48
Kiael Kelly pass complete to TJ Horton for 3 yds to the AKR 20
+1.5
Q1 8:20
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Eric Weatherly for 7 yds to the AKR 13
+0.1
Q1 7:40
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Donovan Hamilton for 6 yds to the AKR 7 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 7:02
Kiael Kelly run for no gain to the AKR 7
+0.2
Q1 6:16
(06:20) Shotgun Kelly,Kiael pass incomplete short right to Ashley,Qua thrown to Akr10 PENALTY Akr Offside (Durham,Cyrus) 4 yards from Akr07 to Akr03. NO PLAY.
+0.3
Q1 6:13
Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds for a TD (Carson Holmer KICK)
+16.4
AKR · Drive 4PUNT · 5 plays · 2 yds
Q1 6:13
DC Pippin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-2.8
Q1 6:07
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Israel Polk
-1.5
Q1 6:02
Akron Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declined
0.0
Q1 5:54
Ben Finley pass complete to Kyan Mason for 2 yds to the AKR 27
0.0
Q1 5:16
Joseph Castle punt for 51 yds , Joedrick Lewis returns for 6 yds to the BALL 28
0.0
BALL · Drive 5TD · 8 plays · 72 yds
Q1 5:08
Qua Ashley run for 4 yds to the BALL 32
+1.5
Q1 4:32
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 17 yds to the BALL 49 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 3:59
Kiael Kelly sacked by Cyrus Durham for a loss of 6 yards to the BALL 43
+0.9
Q1 3:17
Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the BALL 46
-0.3
Q1 2:39
PENALTY BSU False Start (Cook,Tristan) 5 yards from BSU46 to BSU41. NO PLAY.
-0.2
Q1 2:14
Kiael Kelly run for 33 yds to the AKR 26 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 1:33
Qua Ashley run for no gain to the AKR 26
+2.6
Q1 0:45
Kiael Kelly run for 26 yds for a TD (Carson Holmer KICK)
+15.9
AKR · Drive 6PUNT · 5 plays · 7 yds
Q1 0:45
DC Pippin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-1.3
Q1 0:36
Jordan Gant run for 3 yds to the AKR 28
-6.9
Q1 0:17
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Cameron Monteiro
0.0
Q1 0:00
Ben Finley pass complete to Jordan Gant for 4 yds to the AKR 32
0.0
Q2 14:53
Joseph Castle punt for 34 yds , Joedrick Lewis returns for 1 yd to the BALL 35
0.0
BALL · Drive 7FUMBLE · 7 plays · 4 yds
Q2 14:45
Kiael Kelly sacked by Julien Laventure for a loss of 3 yards to the BALL 32
+6.9
Q2 14:00
TJ Horton run for 8 yds to the BALL 40
0.0
Q2 13:54
Timeout Ball State, clock 13:54
+0.2
Q2 13:39
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Koby Gross for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 13:04
TJ Horton run for 7 yds to the AKR 43
+0.9
Q2 12:41
Kiael Kelly sacked by Bruno Dall for a loss of 4 yards to the AKR 47
+0.1
Q2 11:57
Kiael Kelly sacked by Markus Boswell for a loss of 14 yards to the BALL 39 Kiael Kelly fumbled, recovered by AKR Julien Laventure , return for 0 yards
+0.8
AKR · Drive 8DOWNS · 4 plays · 3 yds
Q2 11:49
Sean Patrick run for 2 yds to the BALL 37
-10.0
Q2 11:30
Sean Patrick run for no gain to the BALL 37
+2.2
Q2 10:43
Ben Finley pass complete to Jordan Gant for 1 yd to the BALL 36
+0.2
Q2 10:08
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Myles Walker
+0.8
BALL · Drive 9MISSED FG · 10 plays · 28 yds
Q2 10:08
Timeout Ball State, clock 10:08
+7.1
Q2 10:02
Akron Penalty, Personal Foul (Nehemiah Musika) to the AKR 47 for a 1ST down
-0.8
Q2 9:36
Kiael Kelly run for 6 yds to the AKR 41
+0.8
Q2 9:04
Qua Ashley run for 6 yds to the AKR 35 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q2 8:19
Kiael Kelly run for a loss of 2 yards to the AKR 37
0.0
Q2 7:46
(07:48) PENALTY BSU False Start (Weatherly,Eric) 5 yards from Akr37 to Akr42. NO PLAY.
+1.0
Q2 7:32
PENALTY Akr Offside (Durham,Cyrus) 5 yards from Akr42 to Akr37. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q2 7:16
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qua Ashley for 1 yd to the AKR 36
0.0
Q2 6:46
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Eric Weatherly
-0.2
Q2 6:41
Carson Holmer 53 yd FG MISSED
-0.7
AKR · Drive 10PUNT · 4 plays · -15 yds
Q2 6:34
Ben Finley sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the AKR 31
-4.6
Q2 6:02
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Cameron Monteiro
0.0
Q2 5:58
Ben Finley sacked by Nathan Voorhis for a loss of 10 yards to the AKR 21
+0.1
Q2 5:16
Joseph Castle punt for 37 yds
0.0
BALL · Drive 11PUNT · 4 plays · 7 yds
Q2 5:16
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Eric Weatherly
+4.8
Q2 5:16
TJ Horton run for 7 yds to the BALL 49
0.0
Q2 5:16
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qian Magwood
+0.4
Q2 4:18
Adam Saul punt for 47 yds
-0.4
AKR · Drive 12TD · 13 plays · 96 yds
Q2 4:18
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Israel Polk
-4.6
Q2 4:18
Ben Finley pass complete to Kyan Mason for 10 yds to the AKR 14 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 4:18
Ben Finley run for 11 yds to the AKR 25 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 4:18
Ben Finley pass complete to Myles Walker for 4 yds to the AKR 29
0.0
Q2 2:43
Jordan Gant run for 12 yds to the AKR 41 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 2:14
Ben Finley sacked by Darin Conley for a loss of 7 yards to the AKR 34
-0.9
Q2 2:14
Timeout Akron, clock 02:14
+1.0
Q2 2:04
Ball State Penalty, Personal Foul (Jack Beebe) to the AKR 49 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q2 2:00
Timeout Ball State, clock 02:00
-1.7
Q2 1:55
Ben Finley pass complete to Marcel Williams for 13 yds to the BALL 38 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:46
Jordan Gant run for 1 yd to the BALL 37
-0.9
Q2 1:26
Ben Finley pass complete to Kyan Mason for 37 yds for a TD (Matthew Schramm KICK)
-23.5
Q2 1:24
(01:24) Wiley,Owen kickoff 49 yards to the BSU16 Weatherly,Eric return 6 yards to the BSU22, out of bounds at BSU22 PENALTY Akr Illegal Formation (Johnson,DiMarco) 5 yards from Akr35 to Akr30. NO PLAY.
+26.1
BALL · Drive 13PUNT · 7 plays · 2 yds
Q2 1:14
Owen Wiley kickoff for 56 yds , TJ Horton return for 2 yds to the BALL 16
-24.5
Q2 1:07
Qua Ashley run for 4 yds to the BALL 20
+6.8
Q2 0:46
Timeout Akron, clock 00:46
0.0
Q2 0:44
Kiael Kelly run for a loss of 4 yards to the BALL 16
0.0
Q2 0:41
Timeout Akron, clock 00:41
0.0
Q2 0:38
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Eric Weatherly for 2 yds to the BALL 18
0.0
Q2 0:32
Adam Saul punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AKR 30
0.0
AKR · Drive 14END OF HALF · 3 plays · 13 yds
Q2 0:26
Ben Finley pass complete to Conner Cravaack for 12 yds to the AKR 42 for a 1ST down
-6.6
Q2 0:20
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun Finley,Ben rush left for 4 yards gain to the Akr46, out of bounds at Akr46 PENALTY Akr Holding (Motley-Simmons,Jayme) 10 yards from Akr42 to Akr32. NO PLAY.
-0.8
Q2 0:00
Jordan Gant run for 11 yds to the AKR 43
+0.8
AKR · Drive 15DOWNS · 6 plays · 36 yds
Q3 14:57
DC Pippin kickoff for 5 yds , Julien Laventure return for no gain to the AKR 35
+7.2
Q3 14:48
Jordan Gant run for 27 yds to the BALL 38 for a 1ST down
-5.9
Q3 14:48
Jordan Gant run for 3 yds to the BALL 35
-1.9
Q3 14:16
Jordan Gant run for 4 yds to the BALL 31
0.0
Q3 13:52
Jordan Gant run for 2 yds to the BALL 29
0.0
Q3 12:39
Jordan Gant run for no gain to the BALL 29
+0.7
BALL · Drive 16PUNT · 4 plays · 1 yds
Q3 12:39
Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the BALL 30
+7.1
Q3 12:39
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Ty Robinson
0.0
Q3 12:00
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Ty Robinson
0.0
Q3 11:48
Adam Saul punt for 40 yds
0.0
AKR · Drive 17PUNT · 3 plays · 8 yds
Q3 11:48
Ben Finley pass complete to Conner Cravaack for 5 yds to the AKR 35
-5.9
Q3 11:48
Sean Patrick run for 3 yds to the AKR 38
0.0
Q3 11:48
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Marcel Williams
-0.8
BALL · Drive 18TD · 1 play · 72 yds
Q3 9:54
Qua Ashley run for 69 yds for a TD (Carson Holmer KICK)
+30.1
AKR · Drive 19FG · 9 plays · 63 yds
Q3 9:54
DC Pippin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q3 9:54
Ben Finley pass complete to Tim Grear Jr. for 37 yds to the BALL 38 for a 1ST down
-7.3
Q3 9:54
No Huddle-Shotgun Finley,Ben pass incomplete deep middle to Mason,Kyan thrown to BSU01 PENALTY BSU Pass Interference (Gravely Jr.,Michael) 15 yards from BSU38 to BSU23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
-2.9
Q3 9:54
Ben Finley sacked by Ameir Glenn for a loss of 5 yards to the BALL 28
0.0
Q3 9:54
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for 14 yds to the BALL 14
0.0
Q3 9:54
Jordan Gant run for 2 yds to the BALL 12 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 9:54
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Jordan Gant
0.0
Q3 9:54
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Myles Walker
0.0
Q3 9:54
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Tim Grear Jr.
0.0
AKR · Drive 17PUNT · 1 play · 8 yds
Q3 9:00
Joseph Castle punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALL 28
-19.3
BALL · Drive 18TD · 1 play · 72 yds
Q3 9:00
Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the BALL 31
+6.4
AKR · Drive 19FG · 1 play · 63 yds
Q3 7:28
Matthew Schramm 29 yd FG GOOD
+6.4
BALL · Drive 20TD · 5 plays · 75 yds
Q3 7:28
Owen Wiley kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+2.1
Q3 7:28
Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds to the BALL 29
+7.4
Q3 7:28
Shotgun Kelly,Kiael pass incomplete deep right to Magwood,Qian thrown to Akr40 PENALTY Akr Pass Interference (Reed,Elijah) 15 yards from BSU29 to BSU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q3 7:28
Qua Ashley run for 27 yds to the AKR 29 for a 1ST down
+0.8
Q3 5:52
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Koby Gross for 29 yds for a TD (Carson Holmer KICK)
+16.4
AKR · Drive 21DOWNS · 7 plays · 32 yds
Q3 5:45
DC Pippin kickoff for 63 yds , Brandon Hills return for 22 yds to the AKR 24
-0.1
Q3 5:43
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Israel Polk
-0.5
Q3 5:31
Ben Finley pass complete to Tim Grear Jr. for 27 yds to the BALL 49 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 4:55
Sean Patrick run for 8 yds to the BALL 41
+0.6
Q3 4:23
Sean Patrick run for a loss of 3 yards to the BALL 44
+0.4
Q3 3:51
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Myles Walker
+0.3
Q3 3:46
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Myles Walker
0.0
BALL · Drive 22INT · 4 plays · 5 yds
Q3 3:38
Qua Ashley run for 4 yds to the BALL 48
+1.3
Q3 3:33
Timeout Ball State, clock 03:33
+0.1
Q3 3:20
Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the BALL 49
0.0
Q3 2:40
Kiael Kelly pass intercepted DiMarco Johnson return for no gain to the AKR 48
+0.3
AKR · Drive 23TD · 5 plays · 52 yds
Q3 2:31
Ben Finley run for 21 yds to the BALL 31 for a 1ST down
-2.2
Q3 1:57
Ben Finley run for 2 yds to the BALL 29
-1.5
Q3 1:23
Ben Finley pass complete to Tim Grear Jr. for 10 yds to the BALL 19 for a 1ST down
+2.2
Q3 0:53
Ben Finley pass complete to Conner Cravaack for 15 yds to the BALL 4 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 0:24
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Schramm KICK)
-23.8
BALL · Drive 24TD · 14 plays · 75 yds
Q3 0:24
Owen Wiley kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+3.1
Q3 0:00
Qua Ashley run for 4 yds to the BALL 29
+5.9
Q4 14:51
Qua Ashley run for no gain to the BALL 29
0.0
Q4 14:13
(14:17) Shotgun Kelly,Kiael pass incomplete short right to Hamilton,Donovan thrown to BSU45 broken up by Kamara,Ben PENALTY Akr Pass Interference (Kamara,Ben) 15 yards from BSU29 to BSU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
+1.2
Q4 14:08
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Eric Weatherly
+0.8
Q4 14:08
PENALTY BSU False Start (Roberts,Aaron) 5 yards from BSU44 to BSU39. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q4 14:08
PENALTY Akr Offside (Frazier,Dahvon) 5 yards from BSU39 to BSU44. NO PLAY.
-0.2
Q4 14:01
Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the BALL 46
+0.2
Q4 13:17
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Koby Gross for 42 yds Koby Gross fumbled, recovered by BALL Donovan Hamilton for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q4 12:29
Qua Ashley run for 4 yds to the AKR 8
+1.0
Q4 12:06
Kiael Kelly run for 7 yds to the AKR 1 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 11:36
(11:41) Shotgun Ashley,Qua rush middle for 0 yards to the Akr01 (Laventure,Julien; Dall,Bruno) PENALTY Akr Illegal Substitution. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q4 11:18
Qua Ashley run for no gain to the AKR 1
0.0
Q4 10:43
Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd for a TD (Carson Holmer KICK)
+16.8
AKR · Drive 25FG · 14 plays · 74 yds
Q4 10:43
DC Pippin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-0.2
Q4 10:31
Ben Finley pass complete to Sean Patrick for 14 yds to the AKR 39 for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q4 10:07
Sean Patrick run for 8 yds to the AKR 47
0.0
Q4 9:40
Sean Patrick run for 6 yds to the BALL 47 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q4 9:14
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for 25 yds to the BALL 22 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q4 8:39
Jordan Gant run for 9 yds to the BALL 13
-0.6
Q4 7:59
Jordan Gant run for 5 yds to the BALL 8 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 7:34
Timeout Akron, clock 07:34
+3.5
Q4 7:25
Ben Finley run for 3 yds to the BALL 5
0.0
Q4 7:01
Jordan Gant run for 4 yds to the BALL 1
+0.3
Q4 6:52
Timeout Ball State, clock 06:52
+0.9
Q4 6:27
Jordan Gant run for no gain to the BALL 1
0.0
Q4 5:47
Matthew Schramm 19 yd FG GOOD
-8.1
Q4 5:34
TJ Horton 90 Yd Kickoff Return (Carson Holmer Kick)
+9.9
AKR · Drive 26INT · 9 plays · 23 yds
Q4 5:34
DC Pippin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+5.4
Q4 5:30
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Myles Walker
-1.0
Q4 5:22
Ben Finley pass complete to Tim Grear Jr. for 13 yds to the AKR 38 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 5:05
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Myles Walker
0.0
Q4 4:57
Jordan Gant run for 5 yds to the AKR 43
0.0
Q4 4:25
Ben Finley pass complete to Kyan Mason for 4 yds to the AKR 47
+0.1
Q4 3:45
Jordan Gant run for 1 yd to the AKR 48 for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q4 3:25
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Israel Polk
0.0
Q4 3:16
Ben Finley pass intercepted Roman Pearson return for 7 yds to the BALL 42
0.0
BALL · Drive 27PUNT · 6 plays · 0 yds
Q4 3:09
Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the BALL 43
+0.6
Q4 2:20
Qua Ashley run for 2 yds to the BALL 45
0.0
Q4 2:20
Timeout Akron, clock 02:20
0.0
Q4 2:09
Kiael Kelly run for a loss of 3 yards to the BALL 42
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Ball State, clock 02:00
0.0
Q4 1:50
Adam Saul punt for 58 yds for a touchback
+0.3
AKR · Drive 28INT · 2 plays · 11 yds
Q4 1:45
Ben Finley pass complete to Marcel Williams for 11 yds to the AKR 31 for a 1ST down
-0.8
Q4 1:37
Ben Finley pass intercepted Joedrick Lewis return for 16 yds to the AKR 21
0.0
BALL · Drive 29END OF GAME · 4 plays · -12 yds
Q4 1:26
K. Kelly takes a knee
+0.8
Q4 0:44
K. Kelly takes a knee
0.0
Q4 0:02
PENALTY BSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from Akr26 to Akr31. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q4 0:00
K. Kelly takes a knee
+0.1
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:54
Qua Ashley run for 69 yds for a TD (Carson Holmer KICK)
+30.1
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:24
(01:24) Wiley,Owen kickoff 49 yards to the BSU16 Weatherly,Eric return 6 yards to the BSU22, out of bounds at BSU22 PENALTY Akr Illegal Formation (Johnson,DiMarco) 5 yards from Akr35 to Akr30. NO PLAY.
+26.1
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:14
Owen Wiley kickoff for 56 yds , TJ Horton return for 2 yds to the BALL 16
-24.5