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NIU

Northern Illinois 10 at Eastern Michigan 16

EMU
2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:40 · Mitchell Tomasek punt for 50 yds, fair catch by DeAree Rogers at the NIU 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialTime remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Home team on offense+4.1Garbage-time factor+0.5Pregame prior−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Score differential+0.6Time remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 4:26: Telly Johnson Jr. run for 80 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK) — NIU win probability +14.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 8:31: Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 6 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK) — EMU win probability +31.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:31: Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 08:31 — NIU win probability +7.3 pts (now 35%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 5:40: Rudy Kessinger 28 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +10.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 5:40: Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 05:40 — NIU win probability +9.9 pts (now 27%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 10NIU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 13:12EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:53NIU 4th & 9 at EMU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:16EMU 4th & 4 at NIU 17, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.4%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    48.3%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:15NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    48.8%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:38NIU 4th & 1 at EMU 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    48.0%−1.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    48.0%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:40NIU 4th & 4 at EMU 13, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.1%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    44.7%−3.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:22EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:21NIU 4th & 3 at EMU 22, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.9%−0.6
    72% to make
    Punt
    46.2%−5.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:37EMU 4th & 1 at NIU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    51.7%−2.5
    32% to make
    Punt
    51.7%−2.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:42EMU 4th & 2 at NIU 31, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.3%−0.9
    54% to make
    Punt
    51.8%−2.5
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:50NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−1.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:23EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−1.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:17NIU 4th & 5 at NIU 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−1.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:54NIU 4th & 8 at NIU 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:40EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 30, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%−1.7
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:09EMU 4th & 8 at NIU 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    38.1%−2.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:46NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−3.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:40EMU 4th & 5 at NIU 10, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.3%−0.6
    88% to make
    Punt
    52.9%−19.0
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:40NIU 4th & 2 at EMU 49, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.8%−8.0
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:18EMU 4th & 6 at NIU 47, up 6
    Close callPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%−0.4
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:04NIU 4th & 4 at EMU 48, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.6%−7.5
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:40NIU 4th & 10 at EMU 27, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.4%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    8.6%−3.8
    62% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−7.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1NIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 4:26NIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 8:31EMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:3646% → 47%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
46.1%
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 5 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
46.2%
Dontae McMillan run for 4 yds to the EMU 34Similar
Q1 13:54
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
46.3%
Dontae McMillan run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 33Similar
Q1 13:12
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+19
46.5%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 35 yds , DeAree Rogers returns for 19 yds to the EMU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1254% → 53%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
46.3%
Lazaro Rogers run for a loss of 2 yards to the NIU 49Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+3
46.5%
Lazaro Rogers run for 3 yds to the EMU 48Similar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
46.5%
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to Gary GivensSimilar
Q1 11:53
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
46.8%
Brady Davidson punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 4:3347% → 49%
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
46.9%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Dontae McMillanSimilar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
46.9%
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 11 yds to the EMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
47.0%
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the EMU 34Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
47.1%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+12
47.0%
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 12 yds to the EMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
47.6%
Dontae McMillan run for 8 yds to the NIU 46Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 2
OPP 46
0
47.8%
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for no gain to the NIU 46Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+3
47.9%
Noah Kim run for 3 yds to the NIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
48.2%
Noah Kim run for 7 yds to the NIU 36Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+13
48.2%
Dontae McMillan run for 13 yds to the NIU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
48.6%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Dontae McMillanSimilar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
48.6%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Nick DevereauxSimilar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+6
48.3%
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 6 yds to the NIU 17Similar
Q1 7:16
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+35
49.0%
Rudy Kessinger 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4FG
19 plays · 62 yds · 8:2951% → 53%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
49.0%
Chavon Wright run for 3 yds to the NIU 28Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
49.1%
Chavon Wright run for no gain to the NIU 28Similar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
49.8%
Brady Davidson pass complete to Telly Johnson Jr. for 6 yds to the NIU 34Similar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
50.0%
Chavon Wright run for 3 yds to the NIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
49.4%
Brady Davidson pass complete to Gary Givens for 16 yds to the EMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
48.7%
Chavon Wright run for 7 yds to the EMU 40Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 3
OPP 40
0
48.7%
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to Gary GivensSimilar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+2
48.8%
Brady Davidson run for 2 yds to the EMU 38Similar
Q1 2:38
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+4
49.2%
Chavon Wright run for 4 yds to the EMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
48.1%
Chavon Wright run for 2 yds to the EMU 32Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+3
48.2%
Lazaro Rogers run for 3 yds to the EMU 29Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+10
48.8%
(00:47) No Huddle-Shotgun Davidson,Brady pass incomplete short left to Dimopoulos,George thrown to EMU26 PENALTY EMU Holding (Dobbs,Caleb) 10 yards from EMU29 to EMU19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
48.2%
Brady Davidson pass complete to Gary Givens for 5 yds to the EMU 14Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+3
48.2%
Chavon Wright run for 3 yds to the EMU 11Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 2
OPP 11
-2
49.0%
Chavon Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 13Similar
Q2 13:40
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+30
47.3%
Andrew Glass 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:0750% → 49%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
49.5%
Dontae McMillan run for 8 yds to the EMU 26Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+4
50.2%
Noah Kim run for 4 yds to the EMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-6
49.9%
Noah Kim run for a loss of 6 yards to the EMU 24Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 16
OWN 24
+2
49.6%
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 2 yds to the EMU 22Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 18
OWN 22
+15
48.8%
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 15 yds to the EMU 37Similar
Q2 10:22
4TH & 3
OWN 37
+15
49.3%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 46 yds , DeAree Rogers returns for 15 yds to the NIU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6MISSED FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:5152% → 53%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
48.2%
Chavon Wright run for 2 yds to the NIU 34Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+5
48.1%
Jalen Macon run for 5 yds to the NIU 39Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+3
47.5%
Jalen Macon run for 3 yds to the NIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
47.0%
Lazaro Rogers run for 2 yds to the NIU 44Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+27
45.9%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 27 yds to the EMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
44.0%
Jalen Macon run for 8 yds to the EMU 21Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 2
OPP 21
0
44.0%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the EMU 21Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 2
OPP 21
-1
45.3%
Jalen Macon run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 22Similar
Q2 5:21
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+40
46.6%
Andrew Glass 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7FG
14 plays · 47 yds · 3:3153% → 61%
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
52.9%
Noah Kim pass complete to Jamarien Wheeler for 14 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
54.1%
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 4 yds to the EMU 40Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+10
55.4%
Joey Mattord run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
50
+9
56.2%
Noah Kim run for 9 yds to the NIU 41Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 1
OPP 41
0
56.6%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Porter RooksSimilar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 1
OPP 41
0
55.9%
James Jointer Jr. run for no gain to the NIU 41Similar
Q2 2:37
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+2
54.4%
James Jointer Jr. run for 2 yds to the NIU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
56.9%
Dontae McMillan run for 8 yds to the NIU 31Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 2
OPP 31
0
57.3%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 2
OPP 31
0
55.8%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Joshua LongSimilar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+49
60.5%
Rudy Kessinger 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:3537% → 36%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
62.6%
Brady Davidson pass complete to Jake Appleget for 6 yds to the NIU 31Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
61.4%
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to George DimopoulosSimilar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
62.6%
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to Gary GivensSimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
63.7%
Jake Ference punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:2260% → 58%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
59.9%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Ben ProsperSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
59.6%
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 2 yds to the EMU 35Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
58.8%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Porter RooksSimilar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
57.8%
punt for 49 yds , DeAree Rogers returns for no gain to the NIU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:1537% → 38%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
62.9%
Chavon Wright run for 11 yds to the NIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
62.3%
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun Davidson,Brady pass intercepted by Salas,Juan at NIU49 Salas,Juan return 33 yards to the NIU16, out of bounds at NIU16 PENALTY EMU Holding (Deener,Tyrelle) 10 yards from NIU26 to NIU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
61.6%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the NIU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2444% → 41%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
56.3%
Lazaro Rogers run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 25Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
56.9%
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to Andrew BondSimilar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+6
58.0%
Brady Davidson pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 6 yds to the NIU 31Similar
Q3 13:17
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
58.6%
Jake Ference punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12INT
10 plays · 34 yds · 3:1358% → 61%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
58.0%
Dontae McMillan run for 6 yds to the EMU 32Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+4
58.8%
Dontae McMillan run for 4 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
58.7%
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 2 yds to the EMU 38Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+2
59.1%
James Jointer Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMU 40Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+10
58.2%
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
50
+13
61.4%
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 13 yds to the NIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
61.9%
(10:29) Shotgun Kim,Noah pass complete short left to Rooks,Porter caught at NIU31, for 6 yards to the NIU31 (Jammeh,Muhammad; Finley,Jacob) PENALTY EMU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Gallegos,Nicholas) 5 yards from NIU37 to NIU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+2
60.6%
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the NIU 40Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 13
OPP 40
+11
61.0%
Northern Illinois Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (11 Yards) to the NIU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:5643% → 40%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
57.3%
Lazaro Rogers run for 3 yds to the NIU 20Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+6
57.9%
Brady Davidson pass complete to Telly Johnson Jr. for 6 yds to the NIU 26Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+9
57.3%
Chavon Wright run for 9 yds to the NIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
56.4%
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to Telly Johnson Jr.Similar
Q3 8:11
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
57.1%
Lazaro Rogers run for 3 yds to the NIU 38Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-1
56.6%
Chavon Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 37Similar
Q3 6:54
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
60.1%
Jake Ference punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0761% → 59%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
60.9%
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the EMU 25Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
61.2%
Noah Kim run for no gain to the EMU 25Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+5
59.7%
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 5 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q3 4:40
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
59.2%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 50 yds, fair catch by DeAree Rogers at the NIU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
36.3%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 80 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 3:1035% → 34%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
35.2%
Noah Kim run for 4 yds to the EMU 29Similar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
34.3%
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 4 yds to the EMU 33Similar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
34.4%
Dontae McMillan run for 8 yds to the EMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
36.6%
Dontae McMillan run for 1 yd to the EMU 42Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
35.3%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Ben ProsperSimilar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+11
34.1%
Noah Kim pass complete to Jamarien Wheeler for 11 yds to the NIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
38.2%
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the NIU 45Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
38.1%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Jamarien WheelerSimilar
Q3 1:16
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
36.9%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Jamarien WheelerSimilar
Q3 1:09
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
33.5%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:1565% → 64%
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
35.0%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the NIU 2Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 2
+4
35.0%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the NIU 6Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 8
OWN 6
+8
36.3%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 8 yds to the NIU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
33.1%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the NIU 16Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+1
33.2%
Jalen Macon run for 1 yd to the NIU 17Similar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 7
OWN 17
0
34.4%
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to DeAree RogersSimilar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 7
OWN 17
0
35.9%
Jake Ference punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 64 yds · 4:0635% → 73%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
34.7%
Dontae McMillan run for 20 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
38.7%
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the NIU 41Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 7
OPP 41
-5
38.5%
PENALTY EMU False Start (Prosper,Benson) 5 yards from NIU41 to NIU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+14
36.2%
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 14 yds to the NIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
40.6%
Dontae McMillan run for 5 yds to the NIU 27Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 5
OPP 27
-4
40.5%
Dontae McMillan run for a loss of 4 yards to the NIU 31Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+10
37.8%
Noah Kim run for 10 yds to the NIU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
41.1%
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 15 yds to the NIU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
41.0%
Dontae McMillan run for no gain to the NIU 6Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
72.8%
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 6 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:3835% → 36%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
65.5%
Chavon Wright run for 6 yds to the NIU 31Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-39
64.1%
Brady Davidson pass intercepted Bryce Llewellyn return for 39 yds to the NIU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20FG
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:5872% → 83%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
71.8%
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the NIU 13Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+3
71.7%
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the NIU 10Similar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 5
OPP 10
-5
70.2%
PENALTY EMU False Start (Snively,Owen) 5 yards from NIU10 to NIU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+5
71.6%
Dontae McMillan run for 5 yds to the NIU 10Similar
Q4 5:40
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
82.5%
Rudy Kessinger 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:4626% → 25%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
73.6%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the NIU 37Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+6
72.3%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the NIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
73.0%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the NIU 46Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+2
71.8%
Brady Davidson pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 2 yds to the NIU 48Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+3
73.2%
Chavon Wright run for 3 yds to the EMU 49Similar
Q4 2:40
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
75.3%
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to DeAree RogersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:1595% → 94%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
94.9%
Dontae McMillan run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 9
50
+2
94.8%
Ben Prosper run for 2 yds to the NIU 48Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+1
94.8%
Noah Kim run for 1 yd to the NIU 47Similar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
94.1%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 23DOWNS
13 plays · 53 yds · 1:3411% → 12%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
89.5%
Brady Davidson pass complete to George Dimopoulos for 3 yds to the NIU 23Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
89.1%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the NIU 24Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+22
89.6%
Brady Davidson pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 17 yds to the NIU 41 for a 1ST down Eastern Michigan Penalty, Delay Of Game (Joshua Scott) to the NIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
87.2%
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to DeAree RogersSimilar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
88.3%
Brady Davidson pass complete to La'Don Bryant for 6 yds to the EMU 48Similar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
86.7%
Brady Davidson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 4
OPP 48
+21
88.6%
Brady Davidson pass complete to Gary Givens for 21 yds to the EMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
78.7%
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to Chavon WrightSimilar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
81.0%
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to Gary GivensSimilar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
86.6%
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to Gary GivensSimilar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 10
OPP 27
0
88.1%
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to Gary GivensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
96.7%
N. Kim takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:31
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 6 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)
+31.8
TD · Q3 4:26
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 80 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)
-14.2
FG · Q4 5:40
Rudy Kessinger 28 yd FG GOOD
+10.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com