NIU
Northern Illinois 10 at Eastern Michigan 16
EMU2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Rynearson Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey play
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EMU · Drive 1PUNT · 6 plays · 8 yds
Q1 15:00
Andrew Glass kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
43.6%
0.0
Q1 14:48
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 5 yds to the EMU 30
46.6%
+3.0
Q1 14:27
Dontae McMillan run for 4 yds to the EMU 34
46.8%
+0.3
Q1 13:54
Dontae McMillan run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 33
46.8%
0.0
Q1 13:23
Timeout Northern Illinois, clock 13:23
45.8%
-1.0
Q1 13:12
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 35 yds , DeAree Rogers returns for 19 yds to the EMU 49
45.8%
0.0
NIU · Drive 2PUNT · 5 plays · 1 yds
Q1 13:12
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 13:12
37.2%
-8.6
Q1 13:05
Lazaro Rogers run for a loss of 2 yards to the NIU 49
36.9%
-0.3
Q1 12:34
Lazaro Rogers run for 3 yds to the EMU 48
37.2%
+0.3
Q1 11:59
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to Gary Givens
36.9%
-0.3
Q1 11:53
Brady Davidson punt for 48 yds for a touchback
37.2%
+0.3
EMU · Drive 3FG · 14 plays · 63 yds
Q1 11:49
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Dontae McMillan
43.5%
+6.2
Q1 11:41
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 11 yds to the EMU 31 for a 1ST down
43.5%
0.0
Q1 11:16
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the EMU 34
43.5%
0.0
Q1 10:48
Noah Kim pass incomplete
43.5%
0.0
Q1 10:36
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 12 yds to the EMU 46 for a 1ST down
43.5%
0.0
Q1 10:29
Dontae McMillan run for 8 yds to the NIU 46
44.4%
+0.9
Q1 10:08
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for no gain to the NIU 46
45.3%
+0.9
Q1 9:37
Noah Kim run for 3 yds to the NIU 43 for a 1ST down
45.1%
-0.2
Q1 9:14
Noah Kim run for 7 yds to the NIU 36
46.0%
+0.9
Q1 8:42
Dontae McMillan run for 13 yds to the NIU 23 for a 1ST down
45.8%
-0.2
Q1 8:12
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Dontae McMillan
45.9%
+0.1
Q1 8:04
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Nick Devereaux
45.9%
0.0
Q1 7:55
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 6 yds to the NIU 17
45.7%
-0.2
Q1 7:16
Rudy Kessinger 35 yd FG GOOD
50.6%
+4.9
NIU · Drive 4FG · 19 plays · 62 yds
Q1 7:16
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
50.0%
-0.5
Q1 7:09
Chavon Wright run for 3 yds to the NIU 28
47.1%
-2.9
Q1 6:38
Chavon Wright run for no gain to the NIU 28
47.1%
0.0
Q1 5:57
Brady Davidson pass complete to Telly Johnson Jr. for 6 yds to the NIU 34
48.4%
+1.2
Q1 5:15
Chavon Wright run for 3 yds to the NIU 37 for a 1ST down
48.4%
0.0
Q1 4:48
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 04:48
48.4%
0.0
Q1 4:37
Brady Davidson pass complete to Gary Givens for 16 yds to the EMU 47 for a 1ST down
48.4%
0.0
Q1 4:08
Chavon Wright run for 7 yds to the EMU 40
46.1%
-2.3
Q1 3:27
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to Gary Givens
45.3%
-0.8
Q1 3:16
Brady Davidson run for 2 yds to the EMU 38
45.3%
0.0
Q1 2:38
Chavon Wright run for 4 yds to the EMU 34 for a 1ST down
46.1%
+0.8
Q1 2:02
Chavon Wright run for 2 yds to the EMU 32
46.5%
+0.5
Q1 1:22
Lazaro Rogers run for 3 yds to the EMU 29
46.5%
0.0
Q1 0:45
(00:47) No Huddle-Shotgun Davidson,Brady pass incomplete short left to Dimopoulos,George thrown to EMU26 PENALTY EMU Holding (Dobbs,Caleb) 10 yards from EMU29 to EMU19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
46.5%
0.0
Q1 0:00
Brady Davidson pass complete to Gary Givens for 5 yds to the EMU 14
46.5%
0.0
Q2 14:56
Chavon Wright run for 3 yds to the EMU 11
46.5%
0.0
Q2 14:12
Chavon Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 13
47.3%
+0.7
Q2 13:40
Andrew Glass 30 yd FG GOOD
39.8%
-7.5
Q2 13:40
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 13:40
52.8%
+13.1
EMU · Drive 5PUNT · 7 plays · 19 yds
Q2 13:36
Andrew Glass kickoff for 54 yds , Jayvin Norman return for 7 yds to the EMU 18
40.3%
-12.5
Q2 13:29
Dontae McMillan run for 8 yds to the EMU 26
46.5%
+6.2
Q2 12:59
Noah Kim run for 4 yds to the EMU 30 for a 1ST down
46.5%
0.0
Q2 12:08
Noah Kim run for a loss of 6 yards to the EMU 24
46.5%
0.0
Q2 11:33
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 2 yds to the EMU 22
46.3%
-0.2
Q2 11:00
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 15 yds to the EMU 37
46.3%
+0.1
Q2 10:22
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 46 yds , DeAree Rogers returns for 15 yds to the NIU 32
46.2%
-0.1
NIU · Drive 6MISSED FG · 10 plays · 46 yds
Q2 10:22
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 10:22
41.0%
-5.2
Q2 10:12
Chavon Wright run for 2 yds to the NIU 34
41.0%
0.0
Q2 9:33
Jalen Macon run for 5 yds to the NIU 39
41.0%
0.0
Q2 9:03
Jalen Macon run for 3 yds to the NIU 42 for a 1ST down
40.2%
-0.9
Q2 8:33
Lazaro Rogers run for 2 yds to the NIU 44
39.9%
-0.3
Q2 7:49
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 27 yds to the EMU 29 for a 1ST down
37.4%
-2.4
Q2 7:21
Jalen Macon run for 8 yds to the EMU 21
36.4%
-1.0
Q2 6:48
Telly Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the EMU 21
36.4%
0.0
Q2 6:05
Jalen Macon run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 22
36.4%
0.0
Q2 5:21
Andrew Glass 40 yd FG MISSED
37.2%
+0.8
EMU · Drive 7FG · 14 plays · 47 yds
Q2 5:21
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 05:21
46.1%
+8.9
Q2 5:13
Noah Kim pass complete to Jamarien Wheeler for 14 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST down
45.9%
-0.3
Q2 4:51
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 4 yds to the EMU 40
46.3%
+0.5
Q2 4:25
Joey Mattord run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
47.0%
+0.7
Q2 4:03
Noah Kim run for 9 yds to the NIU 41
47.0%
0.0
Q2 3:28
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Porter Rooks
48.3%
+1.3
Q2 3:21
James Jointer Jr. run for no gain to the NIU 41
48.1%
-0.3
Q2 2:37
James Jointer Jr. run for 2 yds to the NIU 39 for a 1ST down
47.6%
-0.4
Q2 2:04
Dontae McMillan run for 8 yds to the NIU 31
48.2%
+0.5
Q2 2:00
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 02:00
49.1%
+0.9
Q2 1:52
Noah Kim pass incomplete
49.1%
0.0
Q2 1:47
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Joshua Long
48.8%
-0.3
Q2 1:42
Rudy Kessinger 49 yd FG GOOD
53.7%
+4.9
Q2 1:42
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 01:42
40.5%
-13.3
NIU · Drive 8PUNT · 5 plays · 6 yds
Q2 1:42
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
52.1%
+11.6
Q2 1:25
Brady Davidson pass complete to Jake Appleget for 6 yds to the NIU 31
51.9%
-0.2
Q2 1:07
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to George Dimopoulos
51.9%
0.0
Q2 0:59
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to Gary Givens
51.9%
0.0
Q2 0:50
Jake Ference punt for 36 yds
51.9%
0.0
EMU · Drive 9PUNT · 4 plays · 2 yds
Q2 0:45
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Ben Prosper
52.1%
+0.2
Q2 0:39
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 2 yds to the EMU 35
52.1%
0.0
Q2 0:31
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Porter Rooks
52.1%
0.0
Q2 0:23
punt for 49 yds , DeAree Rogers returns for no gain to the NIU 15
51.8%
-0.3
NIU · Drive 10END OF HALF · 3 plays · 24 yds
Q2 0:15
Chavon Wright run for 11 yds to the NIU 26 for a 1ST down
52.3%
+0.5
Q2 0:01
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun Davidson,Brady pass intercepted by Salas,Juan at NIU49 Salas,Juan return 33 yards to the NIU16, out of bounds at NIU16 PENALTY EMU Holding (Deener,Tyrelle) 10 yards from NIU26 to NIU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
52.3%
0.0
Q2 0:00
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the NIU 39
52.3%
0.0
NIU · Drive 11PUNT · 5 plays · 5 yds
Q3 14:50
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 64 yds , Dev'ion Reynolds return for 25 yds to the NIU 26
55.9%
+3.7
Q3 14:41
Lazaro Rogers run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 25
51.2%
-4.7
Q3 14:01
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to Andrew Bond
51.2%
0.0
Q3 13:53
Brady Davidson pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 6 yds to the NIU 31
51.2%
0.0
Q3 13:17
Jake Ference punt for 43 yds
51.2%
0.0
EMU · Drive 12INT · 10 plays · 34 yds
Q3 13:17
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 13:17
56.0%
+4.8
Q3 13:09
Dontae McMillan run for 6 yds to the EMU 32
56.1%
+0.1
Q3 12:51
Dontae McMillan run for 4 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST down
56.1%
0.0
Q3 12:10
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 2 yds to the EMU 38
56.6%
+0.5
Q3 11:40
James Jointer Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMU 40
56.7%
+0.1
Q3 11:14
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
56.5%
-0.2
Q3 10:46
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 13 yds to the NIU 37 for a 1ST down
57.2%
+0.7
Q3 10:26
(10:29) Shotgun Kim,Noah pass complete short left to Rooks,Porter caught at NIU31, for 6 yards to the NIU31 (Jammeh,Muhammad; Finley,Jacob) PENALTY EMU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Gallegos,Nicholas) 5 yards from NIU37 to NIU42. NO PLAY.
57.9%
+0.7
Q3 10:10
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the NIU 40
60.3%
+2.5
Q3 9:56
Northern Illinois Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (11 Yards) to the NIU 17
60.6%
+0.3
NIU · Drive 13PUNT · 7 plays · 20 yds
Q3 9:50
Lazaro Rogers run for 3 yds to the NIU 20
52.2%
-8.4
Q3 9:18
Brady Davidson pass complete to Telly Johnson Jr. for 6 yds to the NIU 26
52.2%
0.0
Q3 8:55
Chavon Wright run for 9 yds to the NIU 35 for a 1ST down
52.2%
0.0
Q3 8:17
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to Telly Johnson Jr.
52.2%
0.0
Q3 8:11
Lazaro Rogers run for 3 yds to the NIU 38
52.2%
0.0
Q3 7:31
Chavon Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 37
51.3%
-0.9
Q3 6:54
Jake Ference punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMU 22
52.2%
+0.9
EMU · Drive 14PUNT · 5 plays · 8 yds
Q3 6:54
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 06:54
59.0%
+6.8
Q3 6:47
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the EMU 25
59.0%
0.0
Q3 6:01
Noah Kim run for no gain to the EMU 25
59.0%
0.0
Q3 5:17
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 5 yds to the EMU 30
59.0%
0.0
Q3 4:40
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 50 yds, fair catch by DeAree Rogers at the NIU 20
58.6%
-0.4
NIU · Drive 15TD · 2 plays · 80 yds
Q3 4:40
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 04:40
51.0%
-7.6
Q3 4:26
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 80 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)
28.9%
-22.1
EMU · Drive 16PUNT · 11 plays · 30 yds
Q3 4:26
Andrew Glass kickoff for 62 yds fair catch by Quincy Byas at the EMU 25
28.9%
0.0
Q3 4:19
Noah Kim run for 4 yds to the EMU 29
35.7%
+6.8
Q3 3:48
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 4 yds to the EMU 33
34.5%
-1.2
Q3 3:19
Dontae McMillan run for 8 yds to the EMU 41 for a 1ST down
34.5%
0.0
Q3 2:54
Dontae McMillan run for 1 yd to the EMU 42
35.1%
+0.6
Q3 2:23
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Ben Prosper
35.1%
0.0
Q3 2:12
Noah Kim pass complete to Jamarien Wheeler for 11 yds to the NIU 47 for a 1ST down
34.9%
-0.2
Q3 1:50
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the NIU 45
36.3%
+1.4
Q3 1:20
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Jamarien Wheeler
36.3%
0.0
Q3 1:16
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Jamarien Wheeler
36.1%
-0.2
Q3 1:09
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 41 yds
36.1%
0.0
NIU · Drive 17PUNT · 7 plays · 13 yds
Q3 1:01
Telly Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the NIU 2
28.1%
-8.0
Q3 0:00
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the NIU 6
27.7%
-0.4
Q4 14:51
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 8 yds to the NIU 14 for a 1ST down
27.7%
0.0
Q4 14:10
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the NIU 16
27.2%
-0.4
Q4 13:32
Jalen Macon run for 1 yd to the NIU 17
27.2%
0.0
Q4 12:54
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to DeAree Rogers
25.8%
-1.4
Q4 12:46
Jake Ference punt for 47 yds
25.8%
0.0
EMU · Drive 18TD · 12 plays · 64 yds
Q4 12:44
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 12:44
32.2%
+6.4
Q4 12:37
Dontae McMillan run for 20 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST down
30.5%
-1.7
Q4 12:15
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the NIU 41
32.2%
+1.7
Q4 11:51
PENALTY EMU False Start (Prosper,Benson) 5 yards from NIU41 to NIU46. NO PLAY.
32.3%
0.0
Q4 11:26
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 14 yds to the NIU 32 for a 1ST down
31.4%
-0.9
Q4 11:14
Dontae McMillan run for 5 yds to the NIU 27
32.6%
+1.2
Q4 10:53
Dontae McMillan run for a loss of 4 yards to the NIU 31
32.6%
0.0
Q4 10:13
Noah Kim run for 10 yds to the NIU 21 for a 1ST down
32.3%
-0.2
Q4 9:45
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 15 yds to the NIU 6 for a 1ST down
32.2%
-0.1
Q4 9:18
Dontae McMillan run for no gain to the NIU 6
32.2%
0.0
Q4 8:31
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 6 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)
64.1%
+31.8
Q4 8:31
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 08:31
21.7%
-42.3
NIU · Drive 19INT · 3 plays · 6 yds
Q4 8:31
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
62.5%
+40.8
Q4 8:26
Chavon Wright run for 6 yds to the NIU 31
57.9%
-4.6
Q4 7:48
Brady Davidson pass intercepted Bryce Llewellyn return for 39 yds to the NIU 15
57.9%
0.0
EMU · Drive 20FG · 6 plays · 5 yds
Q4 7:38
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the NIU 13
65.1%
+7.1
Q4 7:11
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the NIU 10
65.1%
0.0
Q4 6:49
PENALTY EMU False Start (Snively,Owen) 5 yards from NIU10 to NIU15. NO PLAY.
64.8%
-0.2
Q4 6:19
Dontae McMillan run for 5 yds to the NIU 10
64.8%
0.0
Q4 5:40
Rudy Kessinger 28 yd FG GOOD
76.8%
+12.0
Q4 5:40
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 05:40
57.9%
-18.9
NIU · Drive 21DOWNS · 7 plays · 19 yds
Q4 5:33
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 56 yds , Elijah Porter return for 23 yds to the NIU 32
76.9%
+18.9
Q4 5:26
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the NIU 37
69.3%
-7.5
Q4 4:48
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the NIU 43 for a 1ST down
68.8%
-0.5
Q4 4:24
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the NIU 46
68.6%
-0.3
Q4 3:49
Brady Davidson pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 2 yds to the NIU 48
69.3%
+0.8
Q4 3:16
Chavon Wright run for 3 yds to the EMU 49
68.2%
-1.2
Q4 2:40
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to DeAree Rogers
72.3%
+4.2
EMU · Drive 22PUNT · 7 plays · 4 yds
Q4 2:35
Timeout Northern Illinois, clock 02:35
84.2%
+11.8
Q4 2:33
Dontae McMillan run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line
84.2%
0.0
Q4 2:32
Ben Prosper run for 2 yds to the NIU 48
84.2%
0.0
Q4 2:32
Timeout Northern Illinois, clock 02:32
84.2%
0.0
Q4 2:26
Noah Kim run for 1 yd to the NIU 47
84.2%
0.0
Q4 2:26
Timeout Northern Illinois, clock 02:26
84.2%
0.0
Q4 2:18
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 47 yds for a touchback
84.2%
0.0
NIU · Drive 23DOWNS · 13 plays · 53 yds
Q4 2:14
Brady Davidson pass complete to George Dimopoulos for 3 yds to the NIU 23
73.5%
-10.6
Q4 1:58
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 01:58
74.5%
+0.9
Q4 1:54
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the NIU 24
74.5%
0.0
Q4 1:51
Brady Davidson pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 17 yds to the NIU 41 for a 1ST down Eastern Michigan Penalty, Delay Of Game (Joshua Scott) to the NIU 46 for a 1ST down
74.5%
0.0
Q4 1:46
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to DeAree Rogers
74.0%
-0.4
Q4 1:36
Brady Davidson pass complete to La'Don Bryant for 6 yds to the EMU 48
74.6%
+0.6
Q4 1:17
Brady Davidson pass incomplete
74.6%
0.0
Q4 1:17
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 01:17
74.6%
0.0
Q4 1:04
Brady Davidson pass complete to Gary Givens for 21 yds to the EMU 27 for a 1ST down
74.6%
0.0
Q4 0:55
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to Chavon Wright
71.9%
-2.7
Q4 0:50
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to Gary Givens
71.9%
0.0
Q4 0:46
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to Gary Givens
71.9%
0.0
Q4 0:40
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to Gary Givens
71.9%
0.0
EMU · Drive 24END OF GAME · 1 play · -3 yds
Q4 0:00
N. Kim takes a knee
85.7%
+13.8
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 8:31
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 08:31
-42.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 8:31
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+40.8
TD · Q4 8:31
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 6 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)
+31.8