BALL
Ball State 0 at Western Michigan 42
WMU2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Waldo Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey play
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
BALL · Drive 1PUNT · 5 plays · 0 yds
Q1 14:54
Hunter Smith kickoff for 36 yds , TJ Horton return for no gain to the BALL 35 Ball State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) to the BALL 29
71.8%
0.0
Q1 14:42
Qian Magwood run for 1 yd to the BALL 20
69.0%
-2.8
Q1 14:21
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 6 yds to the BALL 26
69.0%
0.0
Q1 13:55
Kiael Kelly sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the BALL 19
69.0%
0.0
Q1 13:14
Adam Saul punt for 34 yds
69.0%
0.0
WMU · Drive 2DOWNS · 9 plays · 34 yds
Q1 13:08
Broc Lowry run for 5 yds to the BALL 48
72.4%
+3.4
Q1 12:37
Broc Lowry pass complete to Blake Bosma for 10 yds to the BALL 38 for a 1ST down
73.2%
+0.8
Q1 12:06
Jalen Buckley run for 7 yds to the BALL 31
73.5%
+0.3
Q1 11:21
Broc Lowry pass complete to Michael Brescia for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 32
73.5%
0.0
Q1 10:55
Broc Lowry run for 4 yds to the BALL 28 for a 1ST down
73.3%
-0.2
Q1 10:15
Broc Lowry pass incomplete to Blake Bosma
73.5%
+0.2
Q1 10:04
Broc Lowry run for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 30
73.5%
0.0
Q1 9:23
Broc Lowry pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 9 yds to the BALL 21
73.4%
-0.1
Q1 8:55
Broc Lowry run for 2 yds to the BALL 19
72.8%
-0.6
BALL · Drive 3PUNT · 6 plays · 11 yds
Q1 8:40
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Eric Weatherly for 2 yds to the BALL 17
68.7%
-4.1
Q1 8:08
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 13 yds to the BALL 30 for a 1ST down
68.8%
+0.1
Q1 7:47
Qian Magwood run for a loss of 7 yards to the BALL 23
68.8%
0.0
Q1 7:04
Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds to the BALL 27
68.8%
0.0
Q1 6:22
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Eric Weatherly for 3 yds to the BALL 30
67.7%
-1.0
Q1 5:42
Adam Saul punt for 28 yds
67.7%
0.0
BALL · Drive 4DOWNS · 6 plays · 3 yds
Q1 5:35
Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the WMU 47
65.5%
-2.2
Q1 4:56
(05:04) No Huddle-Shotgun Kelly,Kiael rush right for 5 yards gain to the WMU42 (Saipaia,Sefa; Davis,Micah) PENALTY BSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from WMU47 to BSU48. NO PLAY.
65.5%
0.0
Q1 4:32
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 7 yds to the WMU 45
65.7%
+0.3
Q1 4:05
Timeout Western Michigan, clock 04:05
64.0%
-1.7
Q1 3:52
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Drew Cassens for 4 yds to the WMU 41
63.9%
-0.1
Q1 3:18
TJ Horton run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMU 45
64.5%
+0.6
WMU · Drive 5TD · 3 plays · 55 yds
Q1 2:54
Broc Lowry pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 52 yds to the BALL 3 for a 1ST down
70.2%
+5.7
Q1 2:23
Broc Lowry run for 2 yds to the BALL 1
71.3%
+1.0
Q1 1:56
Ofa Mataele run for 1 yd for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)
81.9%
+10.7
BALL · Drive 6FUMBLE · 6 plays · 2 yds
Q1 1:56
Hunter Smith kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
81.2%
-0.7
Q1 1:49
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Elisha Durham
79.8%
-1.4
Q1 1:40
Qua Ashley run for 9 yds to the BALL 34
79.8%
0.0
Q1 1:02
Qua Ashley run for no gain to the BALL 34
79.8%
0.0
Q1 0:26
PENALTY WMU Offside (Al-Garawi,Mustafi) 5 yards from BSU34 to BSU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
79.7%
-0.1
Q1 0:15
Jamarion McDougle run for a loss of 12 yards to the BALL 27 Jamarion McDougle fumbled, recovered by WMU Tate Hallock
79.3%
-0.4
WMU · Drive 7TD · 4 plays · 27 yds
Q1 0:00
Ofa Mataele run for 5 yds to the BALL 22
81.7%
+2.4
Q2 14:51
Ofa Mataele run for 5 yds to the BALL 17 for a 1ST down
81.7%
0.0
Q2 14:09
Broc Lowry pass complete to Cade Conley for 12 yds to the BALL 5 for a 1ST down
81.7%
0.0
Q2 13:47
Broc Lowry pass complete to Michael Brescia for 5 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)
92.2%
+10.5
BALL · Drive 8PUNT · 7 plays · 18 yds
Q2 13:43
Hunter Smith kickoff for 57 yds , TJ Horton return for 9 yds to the BALL 17
92.1%
-0.1
Q2 13:29
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Eric Weatherly for 1 yd to the BALL 18
87.9%
-4.2
Q2 12:40
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Koby Gross for 10 yds to the BALL 28 for a 1ST down
87.9%
0.0
Q2 12:21
Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds to the BALL 32
87.9%
0.0
Q2 11:36
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qua Ashley for 3 yds to the BALL 35
88.0%
0.0
Q2 11:01
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete
88.0%
0.0
Q2 10:55
Adam Saul punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Keivin Boone-Nelson II at the WMU 27
88.0%
0.0
WMU · Drive 9TD · 7 plays · 73 yds
Q2 10:49
Ball State Penalty, Personal Foul (Justin Thomas) to the WMU 43 for a 1ST down
92.1%
+4.2
Q2 10:49
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the WMU 28
92.1%
0.0
Q2 8:46
Broc Lowry pass complete to Baylin Brooks for 1 yd to the WMU 44
92.2%
0.0
Q2 8:46
Broc Lowry run for 5 yds to the WMU 49
92.2%
0.0
Q2 8:35
Broc Lowry pass complete to Talique Williams for 24 yds to the BALL 27 for a 1ST down
92.1%
-0.1
Q2 8:16
Aveion Chenault run for 25 yds to the BALL 2 for a 1ST down
92.2%
+0.1
Q2 8:16
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)
97.1%
+4.8
BALL · Drive 10PUNT · 9 plays · 16 yds
Q2 8:16
Hunter Smith kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
97.1%
0.0
Q2 8:09
Qua Ashley run for 2 yds to the BALL 27
96.9%
-0.2
Q2 7:28
Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds to the BALL 31
96.9%
0.0
Q2 6:38
Kiael Kelly run for 13 yds to the BALL 44 for a 1ST down
96.9%
0.0
Q2 6:05
Qua Ashley run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line
96.9%
0.0
Q2 5:29
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qua Ashley
96.8%
-0.1
Q2 5:14
Kiael Kelly sacked by Nadame Tucker for a loss of 9 yards to the BALL 41
96.8%
0.0
Q2 4:40
Adam Saul punt for 44 yds , Keivin Boone-Nelson II returns for 1 yd to the WMU 16
96.9%
+0.1
Q2 4:40
Adam Saul punt for 44 yds , Keivin Boone-Nelson II returns for 1 yd to the WMU 16
96.9%
0.0
WMU · Drive 11PUNT · 10 plays · 34 yds
Q2 4:36
Broc Lowry pass incomplete to Baylin Brooks
97.3%
+0.4
Q2 4:26
Broc Lowry pass complete to Christian Leary for 3 yds to the WMU 19
97.3%
0.0
Q2 3:49
Broc Lowry pass complete to Christian Leary for 10 yds to the WMU 29 for a 1ST down
97.3%
0.0
Q2 3:13
Broc Lowry pass complete to Talique Williams for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
97.3%
0.0
Q2 2:31
Broc Lowry pass complete to Talique Williams for 4 yds to the BALL 46
97.3%
0.0
Q2 2:06
Devin Miles run for 5 yds to the BALL 41
97.3%
0.0
Q2 2:00
Timeout Western Michigan, clock 02:00
97.3%
0.0
Q2 1:51
Devin Miles run for a loss of 4 yards to the BALL 45
97.3%
0.0
Q2 1:14
PENALTY WMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from BSU45 to BSU50. NO PLAY.
97.3%
0.0
Q2 1:04
Ryan Millmore punt for 50 yds for a touchback
97.3%
0.0
BALL · Drive 12PUNT · 8 plays · 28 yds
Q2 1:01
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ty Robinson for 6 yds to the BALL 26
97.4%
+0.1
Q2 0:43
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ty Robinson for 15 yds to the BALL 41 for a 1ST down
97.5%
+0.1
Q2 0:42
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Eric Weatherly
97.4%
0.0
Q2 0:36
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qua Ashley
97.4%
0.0
Q2 0:36
Timeout Western Michigan, clock 00:36
97.4%
0.0
Q2 0:19
Kiael Kelly run for 7 yds to the BALL 48
97.3%
-0.1
Q2 0:11
Timeout Western Michigan, clock 00:11
97.3%
0.0
Q2 0:02
Adam Saul punt for 52 yds for a touchback
97.3%
0.0
WMU · Drive 13END OF HALF · 1 play · -1 yds
Q2 0:00
B. Lowry takes a knee
97.2%
-0.1
WMU · Drive 14PUNT · 6 plays · 1 yds
Q3 14:53
Carson Holmer kickoff for 64 yds , Devin Miles return for 16 yds to the WMU 17
97.5%
+0.3
Q3 14:53
PENALTY WMU False Start (Whitenack,Hunter) 5 yards from WMU17 to WMU12. NO PLAY.
97.3%
-0.2
Q3 14:43
Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the WMU 12
97.3%
0.0
Q3 14:02
Broc Lowry pass complete to Talique Williams for 3 yds to the WMU 15
97.3%
0.0
Q3 13:18
Broc Lowry pass complete to Talique Williams for 3 yds to the WMU 18
97.4%
+0.1
Q3 12:50
Ryan Millmore punt for 56 yds
97.4%
0.0
BALL · Drive 15PUNT · 5 plays · 1 yds
Q3 12:43
TJ Horton run for 6 yds to the BALL 32
97.4%
0.0
Q3 12:08
Kiael Kelly sacked by Nadame Tucker for a loss of 5 yards to the BALL 27
97.5%
+0.1
Q3 11:34
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Ty Robinson
97.5%
0.0
Q3 11:24
Adam Saul punt for 48 yds , Keivin Boone-Nelson II returns for 2 yds to the WMU 27
97.5%
0.0
Q3 11:24
Adam Saul punt for 48 yds , Keivin Boone-Nelson II returns for 2 yds to the WMU 27
97.5%
0.0
WMU · Drive 16TD · 8 plays · 73 yds
Q3 11:10
Broc Lowry pass complete to Baylin Brooks for 18 yds to the WMU 45 for a 1ST down
97.4%
-0.1
Q3 10:44
Broc Lowry run for 15 yds to the BALL 40 for a 1ST down Western Michigan Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Yards) to the BALL 40 for a 1ST down
97.3%
-0.1
Q3 10:20
Ofa Mataele run for no gain to the BALL 40
97.4%
+0.1
Q3 10:02
Broc Lowry pass incomplete to Aveion Chenault
97.4%
-0.1
Q3 9:54
Broc Lowry run for 13 yds to the BALL 27 for a 1ST down
97.4%
0.0
Q3 9:08
Broc Lowry run for 6 yds to the BALL 21
97.3%
-0.1
Q3 8:27
Broc Lowry pass complete to Aveion Chenault for 7 yds to the BALL 14 for a 1ST down
97.3%
0.0
Q3 7:59
Broc Lowry pass complete to Aveion Chenault for 14 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)
98.6%
+1.3
BALL · Drive 17PUNT · 5 plays · -6 yds
Q3 7:53
Hunter Smith kickoff for 62 yds , Eric Weatherly return for 13 yds to the BALL 16
98.6%
0.0
Q3 7:44
Kiael Kelly sacked by Nadame Tucker for a loss of 4 yards to the BALL 12
98.2%
-0.4
Q3 7:06
Qua Ashley run for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 10
98.2%
0.0
Q3 6:37
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Koby Gross
98.2%
0.0
Q3 6:26
Adam Saul punt for 52 yds
98.2%
0.0
WMU · Drive 18MISSED FG · 12 plays · 49 yds
Q3 6:17
Broc Lowry pass complete to Blake Bosma for 16 yds to the BALL 46 for a 1ST down
98.6%
+0.4
Q3 6:04
Devin Miles run for 6 yds to the BALL 40
98.6%
0.0
Q3 5:30
Broc Lowry pass incomplete to Terence Marshall
98.7%
+0.1
Q3 5:23
Devin Miles run for 15 yds to the BALL 25 for a 1ST down
98.7%
0.0
Q3 4:45
Devin Miles run for 3 yds to the BALL 22
98.7%
0.0
Q3 4:10
Broc Lowry run for 5 yds to the BALL 17
98.7%
0.0
Q3 3:40
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the BALL 16
98.7%
0.0
Q3 3:08
Broc Lowry run for 5 yds to the BALL 11 for a 1ST down
98.7%
0.0
Q3 2:38
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the BALL 31 for a 1ST down
98.7%
0.0
Q3 2:00
Devin Miles run for 5 yds to the BALL 21
98.7%
0.0
Q3 1:40
Broc Lowry pass complete to Baylin Brooks for 8 yds to the BALL 13
98.7%
0.0
Q3 1:09
Palmer Domschke 31 yd FG MISSED
98.7%
0.0
BALL · Drive 19PUNT · 6 plays · 1 yds
Q3 0:57
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Eric Weatherly for 2 yds to the BALL 22
98.5%
-0.3
Q3 0:52
Timeout Western Michigan, clock 00:52
98.4%
-0.1
Q3 0:44
Kiael Kelly run for 5 yds to the BALL 27
98.4%
0.0
Q3 0:00
Kiael Kelly sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the BALL 21
98.4%
0.0
Q4 14:52
Adam Saul punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Keivin Boone-Nelson II at the BALL 49
98.4%
0.0
Q4 14:52
Adam Saul punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Keivin Boone-Nelson II at the BALL 49
98.4%
0.0
WMU · Drive 20INT · 1 play · 0 yds
Q4 14:45
Brady Jones pass intercepted Eric McClain return for 6 yds to the BALL 42
98.7%
+0.3
BALL · Drive 21PUNT · 5 plays · 2 yds
Q4 14:23
Elijah Jackson run for 2 yds to the BALL 44
98.3%
-0.3
Q4 13:57
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qian Magwood
98.3%
0.0
Q4 13:51
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Ty Robinson
98.3%
0.0
Q4 13:43
Adam Saul punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Keivin Boone-Nelson II at the WMU 22
98.3%
0.0
Q4 13:43
Adam Saul punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Keivin Boone-Nelson II at the WMU 22
98.3%
0.0
WMU · Drive 22TD · 9 plays · 78 yds
Q4 13:32
Broc Lowry run for 11 yds to the WMU 33 for a 1ST down
98.6%
+0.3
Q4 12:57
Ofa Mataele run for 4 yds to the WMU 37
98.6%
0.0
Q4 12:15
Broc Lowry pass complete to Aveion Chenault for 8 yds to the WMU 45 for a 1ST down
98.6%
0.0
Q4 11:43
Broc Lowry pass complete to Michael Brescia for 8 yds to the BALL 47
98.6%
0.0
Q4 11:07
Devin Miles run for 1 yd to the BALL 46
98.6%
0.0
Q4 10:26
Broc Lowry pass complete to Michael Brescia for 3 yds to the BALL 43 for a 1ST down
98.6%
0.0
Q4 9:44
Broc Lowry pass complete to Cade Conley for 3 yds to the BALL 40
98.7%
+0.1
Q4 9:07
Devin Miles run for 3 yds to the BALL 37
98.7%
0.0
Q4 8:26
Broc Lowry run for 37 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)
99.1%
+0.4
BALL · Drive 23FUMBLE · 3 plays · 2 yds
Q4 8:23
Hunter Smith kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.1%
0.0
Q4 8:10
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Eric Weatherly for no gain to the BALL 25
98.3%
-0.8
Q4 7:51
Qua Ashley run for 2 yds to the BALL 27 Qua Ashley fumbled, recovered by WMU Domanick Moon
98.3%
0.0
WMU · Drive 24TD · 9 plays · 27 yds
Q4 7:36
Brady Jones run for 2 yds to the BALL 25
99.1%
+0.8
Q4 7:06
Devin Miles run for 3 yds to the BALL 22
99.1%
0.0
Q4 6:20
Brady Jones run for 7 yds to the BALL 15 for a 1ST down
99.1%
0.0
Q4 5:45
Devin Miles run for 6 yds to the BALL 9
99.1%
0.0
Q4 5:02
Brady Jones run for 4 yds to the BALL 5 for a 1ST down
99.0%
-0.1
Q4 4:07
Devin Miles run for 3 yds to the BALL 2
99.0%
0.0
Q4 3:42
Devin Miles run for no gain to the BALL 2
99.0%
0.0
Q4 3:42
PENALTY BSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (McClain,Eric) 1 yard from BSU02 to BSU01, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
99.0%
0.0
Q4 3:42
Brady Jones pass complete to Cade Conley for 1 yd for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)
99.0%
0.0
BALL · Drive 25PUNT · 6 plays · 7 yds
Q4 3:42
Hunter Smith kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.0%
0.0
Q4 3:33
TJ Horton run for 2 yds to the BALL 27
98.8%
-0.2
Q4 2:57
TJ Horton run for 5 yds to the BALL 32
98.8%
0.0
Q4 2:12
Aidan Leffler pass incomplete to Elisha Durham
98.8%
0.0
Q4 2:08
Adam Saul punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Keivin Boone-Nelson II at the WMU 23
98.8%
0.0
Q4 2:08
Adam Saul punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Keivin Boone-Nelson II at the WMU 23
98.8%
0.0
WMU · Drive 26PUNT · 4 plays · 2 yds
Q4 2:00
Mark Konecny run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMU 21 Mark Konecny fumbled, recovered by WMU Mark Konecny
99.0%
+0.2
Q4 1:50
Tre' Hartwell run for 3 yds to the WMU 24
99.0%
0.0
Q4 1:04
Tre' Hartwell run for 1 yd to the WMU 25
99.0%
0.0
Q4 0:22
Ryan Millmore punt for 53 yds , Qian Magwood returns for no gain to the BALL 20
99.0%
0.0
BALL · Drive 27END OF GAME · 1 play · 3 yds
Q4 0:00
Jalen Alexander run for 3 yds to the BALL 23
98.8%
-0.2
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:56
Ofa Mataele run for 1 yd for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)
+10.7
TD · Q2 13:47
Broc Lowry pass complete to Michael Brescia for 5 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)
+10.5
KEY PLAY · Q1 2:54
Broc Lowry pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 52 yds to the BALL 3 for a 1ST down
+5.7