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WMU

Western Michigan 21 at Massachusetts 3

MASS
2025 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:02 · AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Jake McConnachie
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Pregame prior−9.2Home team on offense−15.6Score differential−7.8Garbage-time factor−7.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:23: Broc Lowry pass complete to Michael Brescia for 8 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +5.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:34: Ofa Mataele run for 9 yds to the WMU 18 — MASS win probability +5.2 pts (now 31%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:26: Broc Lowry run for 4 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +8.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. SACK · Q3 0:00: AJ Hairston sacked by Nadame Tucker for a loss of 10 yards to the WMU 28 — MASS win probability +5.2 pts (now 20%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:04: Devin Miles run for 25 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +6.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 6 of 11WMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 9:42MASS 4th & 4 at WMU 18, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.1%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    24.5%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:41MASS 4th & 16 at MASS 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:22WMU 4th & 12 at MASS 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    69.7%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:01MASS 4th & 11 at WMU 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    29.5%−2.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:14MASS 4th & 2 at MASS 44, down 4
    Close callPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:42WMU 4th & 8 at MASS 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    68.9%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:44MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−1.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:23WMU 4th & 4 at WMU 49, up 4
    Close callPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:52MASS 4th & 13 at MASS 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−3.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:43WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:43WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:50MASS 4th & 12 at MASS 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−2.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:29WMU 4th & 4 at MASS 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    69.1%−1.0
    58% to make
    Punt
    61.0%−9.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:09MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 46, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:02MASS 4th & 5 at WMU 13, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.9%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    17.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    11.0%−6.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:02MASS 4th & 5 at WMU 13, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.9%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    17.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    11.0%−6.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:28WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 25, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:51MASS 4th & 12 at WMU 12, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 9:23WMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 1:26WMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 8:04WMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 5:1217% → 20%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
16.9%
Brandon Hood run for 2 yds to the MASS 27Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+22
17.1%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 22 yds to the MASS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
17.4%
Brandon Hood run for no gain to the MASS 49Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+17
17.7%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 17 yds to the WMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
18.1%
Brandon Rose run for 6 yds to the WMU 28Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 4
OPP 28
0
18.3%
Brandon Rose pass incomplete to Jacquon GibsonSimilar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+4
18.3%
Elijah Faulkner run for 4 yds to the WMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
18.7%
Elijah Faulkner run for 7 yds to the WMU 17Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 3
OPP 17
-5
19.2%
(11:09) Shotgun Price,Juwaun rush middle for 17 yards gain to the WMU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 11:04 PENALTY UMass Illegal Formation (Adkins,Reece) 5 yards from WMU17 to WMU22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+1
20.0%
Elijah Faulkner run for 1 yd to the WMU 21Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+3
19.8%
Brandon Hood run for 3 yds to the WMU 18Similar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+36
20.0%
Derek Morris 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2FUMBLE
7 plays · 30 yds · 1:5080% → 79%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
20.0%
Broc Lowry run for 2 yds to the WMU 30Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+1
20.2%
Broc Lowry run for 1 yd to the WMU 31Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
20.7%
Broc Lowry pass incomplete to Michael BresciaSimilar
Q1 8:08
4TH & 7
OWN 31
+15
21.1%
(08:19) Millmore,Ryan punt 59 yards to the UMass10 PENALTY UMass Personal Foul (Dia-Johnson,Kezion) 15 yards from WMU31 to WMU46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
20.5%
Jalen Buckley run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 6
50
+8
20.7%
Jalen Buckley run for 8 yds to the MASS 42 Jalen Buckley fumbled, recovered by WMU Tyler MartinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:4422% → 21%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
21.5%
Brandon Rose pass incomplete to Donnie GraySimilar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-6
21.4%
Brandon Rose sacked by Nadame Tucker for a loss of 6 yards to the MASS 36Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 16
OWN 36
0
21.1%
Brandon Rose pass incomplete to Donnie GraySimilar
Q1 6:41
4TH & 16
OWN 36
+11
21.1%
Keegan Andrews punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMU 21 , Joshua Franklin returns for 11 yds to the WMU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 4:1178% → 76%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
21.9%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 13 yds to the WMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
21.9%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Baylin Brooks for 8 yds to the WMU 42Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+4
21.9%
Jalen Buckley run for 4 yds to the WMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
22.2%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Michael Brescia for 9 yds to the MASS 45Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+3
22.2%
Ofa Mataele run for 3 yds to the MASS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-15
22.7%
(03:56) Shotgun Lowry,Broc pass complete short left to Bosma,Blake caught at UMass38, for 13 yards to the UMass29 (Davis,Shymell) PENALTY WMU Pass Interference (Mataele,Ofa) 15 yards from UMass42 to WMU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 25
OWN 43
0
23.6%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Christian Leary for no gain to the WMU 43Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 25
OWN 43
+13
24.0%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Baylin Brooks for 13 yds to the MASS 44Similar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 12
OPP 44
0
23.8%
Broc Lowry pass incomplete to Talique WilliamsSimilar
Q1 2:22
4TH & 12
OPP 44
0
24.5%
Ryan Millmore punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MASS 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5MISSED FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 5:1024% → 27%
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+27
24.1%
Juwaun Price run for 27 yds to the MASS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
25.3%
Juwaun Price run for 2 yds to the MASS 44Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+5
25.9%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 5 yds to the MASS 49Similar
Q1 0:32
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+4
26.0%
Juwaun Price run for 4 yds to the WMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
27.0%
Brandon Rose run for 2 yds to the WMU 45Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+4
27.1%
Elijah Faulkner run for 4 yds to the WMU 41Similar
Q2 14:28
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+14
27.1%
Juwaun Price run for 14 yds to the WMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
28.2%
Juwaun Price run for 3 yds to the WMU 24Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
28.6%
Brandon Rose pass incomplete to Max DowlingSimilar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 7
OPP 24
-10
28.2%
Massachusetts Penalty, (-10 Yards) to the WMU 31Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 14
OPP 31
+3
28.1%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 3 yds to the WMU 28Similar
Q2 12:01
4TH & 11
OPP 28
+46
27.3%
Derek Morris 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 2:2772% → 78%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
27.9%
Devin Miles run for 3 yds to the WMU 31Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+12
28.0%
(11:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Lowry,Broc pass incomplete short left to Dieudonne,Malique thrown to WMU45 broken up by Greene,Malcolm, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UMass Pass Interference (Greene,Malcolm) 12 yards from WMU31 to WMU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
27.7%
Devin Miles run for 6 yds to the WMU 49Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+7
27.5%
Devin Miles run for 7 yds to the MASS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+36
27.6%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Aveion Chenault for 36 yds to the MASS 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
22.2%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Michael Brescia for 8 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:5125% → 26%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
24.9%
Elijah Faulkner run for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 22Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+8
25.0%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 8 yds to the MASS 30Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+6
24.3%
Brandon Hood run for 6 yds to the MASS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
25.6%
Brandon Hood run for 8 yds to the MASS 44Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
27.1%
Brandon Hood run for no gain to the MASS 44Similar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
26.8%
Brandon Rose pass incomplete to Jacquon GibsonSimilar
Q2 6:14
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
25.9%
Keegan Andrews punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Joshua Franklin at the WMU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8MISSED FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 4:2475% → 76%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
25.3%
Broc Lowry run for 5 yds to the WMU 14Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+11
25.4%
Broc Lowry run for 11 yds to the WMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
25.3%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Baylin Brooks for 15 yds to the WMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
24.0%
Broc Lowry pass incomplete to Talique WilliamsSimilar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
24.5%
Jalen Buckley run for 4 yds to the WMU 44Similar
Q2 3:34
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+7
24.6%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Blake Bosma for 7 yds to the MASS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
23.2%
Broc Lowry pass incomplete to Jalen BuckleySimilar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+17
23.2%
Broc Lowry run for 17 yds to the MASS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
22.6%
Devin Miles run for 1 yd to the MASS 31Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 9
OPP 31
-4
22.1%
Devin Miles run for a loss of 4 yards to the MASS 35Similar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 13
OPP 35
+5
23.7%
Broc Lowry run for 5 yds to the MASS 30Similar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+48
24.4%
Palmer Domschke 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5126% → 26%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
26.1%
Brandon Rose sacked by Rodney McGraw for a loss of 10 yards to the MASS 20Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 20
OWN 20
+15
25.7%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 15 yds to the MASS 35Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
26.0%
Brandon Rose pass incomplete to Donnie GraySimilar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+27
25.7%
Keegan Andrews punt for 47 yds , Joshua Franklin returns for 27 yds to the WMU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:3469% → 69%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
30.9%
Ofa Mataele run for 9 yds to the WMU 18Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+1
31.1%
Ofa Mataele run for 1 yd to the WMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 4:1873% → 71%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
27.1%
Broc Lowry run for 9 yds to the WMU 27Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+5
26.3%
Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the WMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
27.0%
Broc Lowry run for 4 yds to the WMU 36Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+7
26.8%
Jalen Buckley run for 7 yds to the WMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
26.7%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Talique Williams for 3 yds to the WMU 46Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
26.6%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Cade Conley for no gain to the WMU 46Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+3
27.3%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Ofa Mataele for 3 yds to the WMU 49Similar
Q3 10:23
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
28.6%
Ryan Millmore punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:2330% → 29%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
29.9%
Elijah Faulkner run for a loss of 2 yards to the MASS 18Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-1
30.0%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Kenyon Massey for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 17Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 13
OWN 17
0
29.0%
Brandon Rose pass incomplete to Max DowlingSimilar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
28.5%
Keegan Andrews punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Joshua Franklin at the WMU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5771% → 69%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
29.0%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Talique Williams for 3 yds to the WMU 38Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+1
28.0%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the WMU 39Similar
Q3 7:53
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
29.1%
Broc Lowry pass incomplete to Malique DieudonneSimilar
Q3 7:43
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
31.2%
Ryan Millmore punt for 50 yds , Samuel Baddoo returns for no gain to the MASS 10Similar
Q3 7:43
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
31.2%
Ryan Millmore punt for 50 yds , Samuel Baddoo returns for no gain to the MASS 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:4130% → 28%
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
29.9%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Max Dowling for 2 yds to the MASS 12Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
29.9%
Brandon Rose pass incomplete to Donnie GraySimilar
Q3 6:56
3RD & 8
OWN 12
-5
28.8%
(06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun Rose,Brandon pass complete short middle to McConnachie,Jake caught at UMass25, for 23 yards to the UMass35 (Wofford,Aaron) PENALTY UMass Illegal Shift (Gray,Donnie) 5 yards from UMass12 to UMass07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 13
OWN 7
+1
28.6%
Brandon Rose pass complete to Max Dowling for 1 yd to the MASS 8Similar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 12
OWN 8
0
28.2%
Keegan Andrews punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 50 yds · 4:0773% → 85%
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
50
+15
26.7%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Aveion Chenault for 15 yds to the MASS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
25.8%
Broc Lowry pass incomplete to Aveion ChenaultSimilar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
25.8%
Broc Lowry pass incomplete to Malique DieudonneSimilar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+6
27.5%
Broc Lowry run for 6 yds to the MASS 29Similar
Q3 4:29
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+6
27.5%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Talique Williams for 6 yds to the MASS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
23.8%
Broc Lowry run for 5 yds to the MASS 18Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+3
23.5%
Devin Miles run for 3 yds to the MASS 15Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+5
24.9%
Broc Lowry run for 5 yds to the MASS 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
23.2%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 6 yds to the MASS 4Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
14.6%
Broc Lowry run for 4 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:1716% → 15%
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
16.4%
PENALTY WMU Offside (Tucker,Nadame) 5 yards from UMass25 to UMass30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:12
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+15
16.9%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Kenyon Massey for 15 yds to the MASS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
17.5%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Donnie GraySimilar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
17.1%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Donnie GraySimilar
Q3 0:27
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+1
16.2%
AJ Hairston run for 1 yd to the MASS 46 Massachusetts Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 0:09
4TH & 9
OWN 46
+36
15.0%
Keegan Andrews punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5820% → 16%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
20.1%
AJ Hairston sacked by Nadame Tucker for a loss of 10 yards to the WMU 28Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 20
OPP 28
0
18.7%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Donnie GraySimilar
Q4 14:38
3RD & 20
OPP 28
+15
17.0%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Brandon Hood for 15 yds to the WMU 13Similar
Q4 14:02
4TH & 5
OPP 13
0
16.3%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Jake McConnachieSimilar
Q4 14:02
4TH & 5
OPP 13
0
16.3%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Jake McConnachieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 87 yds · 5:5084% → 97%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
15.6%
Ofa Mataele run for 4 yds to the WMU 17Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+8
14.5%
Broc Lowry run for 8 yds to the WMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
14.4%
(12:48) No Huddle-Shotgun Mataele,Ofa rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WMU29 (Igwenagu,Zukudo) PENALTY WMU Holding (Whitenack,Hunter) 10 yards from WMU25 to WMU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+6
14.5%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Christian Leary for 6 yds to the WMU 21Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+10
13.9%
Broc Lowry run for 10 yds to the WMU 31Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+12
13.7%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Christian Leary for 12 yds to the WMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
11.3%
Ofa Mataele run for 1 yd to the WMU 44Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+8
10.7%
Talique Williams run for 8 yds to the MASS 48Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
10.6%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the MASS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
10.0%
Jalen Buckley run for 7 yds to the MASS 39Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+14
9.5%
Jalen Buckley run for 14 yds to the MASS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
2.7%
Devin Miles run for 25 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19INT
11 plays · 60 yds · 2:254% → 3%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
3.8%
Juwaun Price run for 4 yds to the MASS 29Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
3.1%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Max Dowling for 4 yds to the MASS 33Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+12
2.5%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Jake McConnachie for 12 yds to the MASS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
2.5%
Elijah Faulkner run for 1 yd to the MASS 46Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+19
2.5%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Jake McConnachie for 19 yds to the WMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
2.9%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Kezion Dia-JohnsonSimilar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+15
2.8%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Reece Adkins for 15 yds to the WMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
2.9%
(05:30) No Huddle-Shotgun Hairston,AJ pass incomplete deep left to Massey,Kenyon thrown to WMU00 PENALTY WMU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from WMU20 to WMU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 5
OPP 15
0
2.9%
AJ Hairston pass intercepted Domanick Moon return for no gain to the WMU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:5498% → 98%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
2.1%
Broc Lowry run for no gain to the WMU 21Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+4
1.8%
Jalen Buckley run for 4 yds to the WMU 25Similar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
1.8%
Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the WMU 25Similar
Q4 4:28
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
1.6%
Ryan Millmore punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MASS 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 35 yds · 3:311% → 1%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
0.9%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Kenyon Massey for 9 yds to the MASS 49Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+12
0.8%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Brandon Hood for 12 yds to the WMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
0.9%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Donnie Gray for 8 yds to the WMU 31Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+8
0.9%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Kenyon Massey for 8 yds to the WMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
1.0%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Dallas Elliott for 14 yds to the WMU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
1.0%
AJ Hairston run for 2 yds to the WMU 7Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
0.8%
AJ Hairston pass incomplete to Dallas ElliottSimilar
Q4 1:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
0.7%
AJ Hairston sacked by Tyson Lee for a loss of 5 yards to the WMU 12Similar
Q4 0:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
-13
0.6%
AJ Hairston sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the WMU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:1999% → 99%
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
0.8%
B. Lowry takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
0.8%
B. Lowry takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:26
Broc Lowry run for 4 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)
-8.6
TD · Q4 8:04
Devin Miles run for 25 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)
-6.8
TD · Q2 9:23
Broc Lowry pass complete to Michael Brescia for 8 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)
-5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com