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OHIO

Ohio 14 at Ball State 20

BALL
2025 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGSAFETYTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:04 · Magnus Haines punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALL 30 , Qian Magwood returns for 7 yds to the BALL 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Pregame prior−2.3Home team on offense−10.3Garbage-time factor−4.4Score differential−4.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:24: Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 23 yds for a TD (David Dellenbach KICK) — OHIO win probability +4.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:05: Kiael Kelly run for 13 yds for a TD (Carson Holmer KICK) — BALL win probability +11.7 pts (now 26%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 0:25: Carson Holmer 22 yd FG GOOD — BALL win probability +5.9 pts (now 33%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. SAFETY · Q4 8:39: Parker Navarro run for 1 yd for a SAFETY Parker Navarro fumbled, recovered by OHIO Sieh Bangura for a SAFETY — BALL win probability +4.8 pts (now 37%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:57: Qian Magwood 43 Yd pass from Kiael Kelly (Kiael Kelly Pass to Donovan Hamilton for Two-Point Conversion) — BALL win probability +59.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 9 of 11OHIO made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:17OHIO 4th & 10 at BALL 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    79.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:06BALL 4th & 15 at BALL 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:31OHIO 4th & 2 at BALL 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.7%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    77.5%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    76.6%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:37BALL 4th & 8 at BALL 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:23BALL 4th & 11 at OHIO 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    21.8%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:32OHIO 4th & 19 at BALL 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%−1.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:21BALL 4th & 13 at OHIO 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    22.2%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:03BALL 4th & 4 at OHIO 4, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    16.3%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    12.7%−4.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:03BALL 4th & 4 at OHIO 4, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    16.3%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    12.7%−4.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:25BALL 4th & 3 at BALL 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:32OHIO 4th & 8 at OHIO 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:05BALL 4th & 2 at OHIO 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    14.7%−0.6
    85% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−5.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:48OHIO 4th & 1 at BALL 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    75.2%−3.8
    28% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−2.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:25BALL 4th & 4 at OHIO 5, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.7%−0.9
    92% to make
    Punt
    13.1%−12.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:31OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 48, up 4
    Close callPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:42BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:02BALL 4th & 6 at BALL 43, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%−1.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:04OHIO 4th & 11 at OHIO 29, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−6.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:39OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:24OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:05BALL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:57BALL Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    79.7%−1.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    80.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1MISSED FG
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:2786% → 85%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+44
13.9%
Parker Navarro run for 44 yds to the BALL 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
14.0%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Dom DorwartSimilar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+1
14.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the BALL 31Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 9
OPP 31
-10
14.4%
(13:25) No Huddle-Shotgun Navarro,Parker pass complete short middle to Hendricks,Chase caught at BSU16, for 16 yards to the BSU15 (Chea,Alfred; Yates,Willizhuan) PENALTY OU Holding (Jones,Jordon) 10 yards from BSU31 to BSU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 19
OPP 41
+9
14.8%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Dom Dorwart for 9 yds to the BALL 32Similar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+49
15.0%
David Dellenbach 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:0415% → 16%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
15.1%
Kiael Kelly run for a loss of 3 yards to the BALL 29Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+1
15.4%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qua Ashley for 1 yd to the BALL 30Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 12
OWN 30
-5
15.5%
PENALTY BSU False Start (Cook,Tristan) 5 yards from BSU30 to BSU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 17
OWN 25
+2
15.6%
Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the BALL 27Similar
Q1 10:06
4TH & 15
OWN 27
0
15.9%
Adam Saul punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3DOWNS
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:2784% → 83%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
50
+5
15.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the BALL 45Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+29
16.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 29 yds to the BALL 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-15
16.2%
(08:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Navarro,Parker pass incomplete short right to Hendricks,Chase thrown to BSU05 PENALTY OU Face Mask (Jones,Jordon) 15 yards from BSU16 to BSU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 25
OPP 31
0
16.3%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase HendricksSimilar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 25
OPP 31
+19
16.4%
Parker Navarro run for 19 yds to the BALL 12Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+4
16.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the BALL 8Similar
Q1 7:31
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+1
16.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the BALL 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4717% → 17%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
17.2%
Qua Ashley run for 2 yds to the BALL 9Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 8
OWN 9
0
17.2%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Donovan HamiltonSimilar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 8
OWN 9
0
17.0%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Donovan HamiltonSimilar
Q1 6:37
4TH & 8
OWN 9
0
17.2%
Adam Saul punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Chase Hendricks at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 1:5883% → 84%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
50
+4
17.2%
Duncan Brune run for 4 yds to the BALL 46Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+7
17.2%
Duncan Brune run for 7 yds to the BALL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+37
17.2%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 37 yds to the BALL 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
17.0%
Duncan Brune run for 1 yd to the BALL 1Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
15.6%
Duncan Brune run for 1 yd for a TD (David Dellenbach KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 3:0017% → 17%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
17.0%
Kiael Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
16.9%
Qua Ashley run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 8
50
+10
17.0%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 10 yds to the OHIO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
17.6%
TJ Horton run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 41Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+3
17.6%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to TJ Horton for 3 yds to the OHIO 38Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 8
OPP 38
-3
17.6%
Qua Ashley run for a loss of 3 yards to the OHIO 41Similar
Q1 1:23
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
16.9%
Adam Saul punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
13 plays · 32 yds · 5:4483% → 81%
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
17.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the OHIO 21Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+6
17.3%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 6 yds to the OHIO 27Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+8
17.1%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Jake Bruno for 8 yds to the OHIO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
17.0%
Ohio Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Parker Navarro) to the OHIO 28Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+16
17.6%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 16 yds to the OHIO 44Similar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+5
16.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
16.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the BALL 48Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
16.8%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Jake BrunoSimilar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+9
17.0%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 9 yds to the BALL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
16.9%
Parker Navarro sacked by Nathan Voorhis for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 41Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 12
OPP 41
-7
17.1%
Parker Navarro sacked by Nathan Voorhis for a loss of 7 yards to the BALL 48Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 19
OPP 48
0
18.1%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase HendricksSimilar
Q2 10:32
4TH & 19
OPP 48
0
18.7%
Magnus Haines punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:0819% → 18%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
18.5%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Donovan HamiltonSimilar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
18.5%
Kiael Kelly run for 15 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
18.7%
Kiael Kelly run for 9 yds to the BALL 44Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+6
20.0%
Qua Ashley run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
50
0
20.4%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Donovan HamiltonSimilar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 10
50
+10
20.2%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Eric Weatherly for 10 yds to the OHIO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
20.8%
Kiael Kelly run for a loss of 3 yards to the OHIO 43Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 13
OPP 43
0
19.5%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qian MagwoodSimilar
Q2 7:31
3RD & 13
OPP 43
0
19.0%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Elisha DurhamSimilar
Q2 7:21
4TH & 13
OPP 43
0
18.1%
Adam Saul punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OHIO 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:4282% → 87%
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
17.8%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 14 yds to the OHIO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
17.1%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 11 yds to the BALL 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
17.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the BALL 42Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
17.1%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Mason WilliamsSimilar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+13
17.3%
Parker Navarro run for 13 yds to the BALL 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
16.9%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 11 yds to the BALL 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
17.0%
Parker Navarro sacked by Nathan Voorhis for a loss of 5 yards to the BALL 23Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 15
OPP 23
0
17.4%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Mason WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 15
OPP 23
+23
13.1%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 23 yds for a TD (David Dellenbach KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10DOWNS
19 plays · 71 yds · 3:1314% → 13%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
13.5%
Qua Ashley run for a loss of 4 yards to the BALL 21Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+11
13.2%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Donovan Hamilton for 11 yds to the BALL 32Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
13.6%
TJ Horton run for 3 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
13.5%
Qua Ashley run for no gain to the BALL 35Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
13.3%
Kiael Kelly run for 5 yds to the BALL 40Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+35
13.8%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 35 yds to the OHIO 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
15.0%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Eric Weatherly for 4 yds to the OHIO 21Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+20
15.0%
Kiael Kelly run for 20 yds to the OHIO 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
13.9%
Kiael Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 2Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
13.6%
TJ Horton run for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 4Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
12.8%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Maximus Webster for no gain to the OHIO 4Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
12.6%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Koby GrossSimilar
Q2 0:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
12.6%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Koby GrossSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
9.4%
(00:00) Kneel down by Ohio at OU 02 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2614% → 14%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
13.5%
Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the BALL 27Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
13.6%
Kiael Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:03
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
13.2%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qua Ashley for 5 yds to the BALL 32Similar
Q3 13:25
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
13.7%
Adam Saul punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OHIO 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4687% → 87%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
12.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the OHIO 36Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
12.2%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Jake BrunoSimilar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
12.4%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase HendricksSimilar
Q3 12:32
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
12.9%
Magnus Haines punt for 64 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:1913% → 26%
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
13.2%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Dahya PatelSimilar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
13.1%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Elisha Durham for 7 yds to the BALL 27Similar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
13.2%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 4 yds to the BALL 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
13.3%
(11:11) Shotgun Kelly,Kiael rush middle for 3 yards loss to the BSU28 (Crable,Jay) PENALTY OU Face Mask (Crable,Jay) 15 yards from BSU31 to BSU46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+23
14.3%
Jamarion McDougle run for 23 yds to the OHIO 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
14.7%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Kameron Anthony for 5 yds to the OHIO 26Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 5
OPP 26
0
14.9%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qian MagwoodSimilar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+5
14.4%
Kiael Kelly run for 5 yds to the OHIO 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
14.9%
Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds to the OHIO 17Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+5
14.4%
Qua Ashley run for 5 yds to the OHIO 12Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 1
OPP 12
-1
13.9%
Kiael Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 13Similar
Q3 7:05
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+13
25.6%
Kiael Kelly run for 13 yds for a TD (Carson Holmer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:0880% → 80%
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
20.1%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Duncan BruneSimilar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
20.5%
Parker Navarro run for 7 yds to the OHIO 44Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+4
19.6%
Duncan Brune run for 4 yds to the OHIO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
19.3%
Duncan Brune run for 3 yds to the BALL 49Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+2
18.9%
Duncan Brune run for 2 yds to the BALL 47Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+4
19.3%
Duncan Brune run for 4 yds to the BALL 43Similar
Q3 3:48
4TH & 1
OPP 43
-4
19.9%
Parker Navarro run for a loss of 4 yards to the BALL 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:1127% → 33%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
27.2%
Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 7
50
+5
28.1%
Kiael Kelly run for 5 yds to the OHIO 45Similar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
28.6%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Donovan HamiltonSimilar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+15
26.9%
(02:28) Shotgun Kelly,Kiael pass incomplete short right to Magwood,Qian thrown to OU 26 PENALTY OU Pass Interference (Thomeson,Jalen) 15 yards from OU 45 to OU 30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+19
30.9%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qua Ashley for 19 yds to the OHIO 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
31.0%
TJ Horton run for 3 yds to the OHIO 8Similar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+3
31.4%
Qua Ashley run for 3 yds to the OHIO 5Similar
Q3 0:29
3RD & 4
OPP 5
0
27.5%
Kiael Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:25
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+22
33.4%
Carson Holmer 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:2973% → 73%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
26.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 4 yds to the OHIO 29Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
26.1%
Parker Navarro run for 15 yds to the OHIO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+43
24.6%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Delaney Crawford for 43 yds to the BALL 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
25.2%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the OHIO 48Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
25.1%
Parker Navarro run for no gain to the OHIO 48Similar
Q4 12:31
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
27.4%
Magnus Haines punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:4032% → 33%
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
31.6%
Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the BALL 6Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+11
31.6%
TJ Horton run for 11 yds to the BALL 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
32.8%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Elisha DurhamSimilar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+7
32.4%
Qua Ashley run for 7 yds to the BALL 24Similar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+10
32.5%
TJ Horton run for 10 yds to the BALL 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
34.3%
Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the BALL 35Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+2
34.1%
TJ Horton run for 2 yds to the BALL 37Similar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
33.4%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Koby GrossSimilar
Q4 8:42
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
32.6%
Adam Saul punt for 62 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19SF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
37.3%
Parker Navarro run for 1 yd for a SAFETY Parker Navarro fumbled, recovered by OHIO Sieh Bangura for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:2644% → 44%
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+18
44.2%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Jamarion McDougle for 18 yds to the BALL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
46.5%
Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the BALL 40Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 9
OWN 40
-10
46.6%
(07:28) Shotgun Kelly,Kiael pass incomplete short right thrown to BSU42 PENALTY BSU Holding (Horton,TJ) 10 yards from BSU40 to BSU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 19
OWN 30
+6
43.5%
Eric Weatherly run for 6 yds to the BALL 36Similar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 13
OWN 36
+7
42.6%
Kiael Kelly run for 7 yds to the BALL 43Similar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
44.3%
Adam Saul punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Chase Hendricks at the OHIO 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:5065% → 69%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
35.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the OHIO 20Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+10
34.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 10 yds to the OHIO 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
30.6%
Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the OHIO 30Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
29.6%
Sieh Bangura run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 29Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
30.0%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase HendricksSimilar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 11
OWN 29
+7
31.4%
Magnus Haines punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALL 30 , Qian Magwood returns for 7 yds to the BALL 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22TD
14 plays · 70 yds · 1:5743% → 96%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
42.9%
Kiael Kelly run for 6 yds to the BALL 36Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+3
44.1%
Qua Ashley run for 3 yds to the BALL 39Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+1
43.5%
Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the BALL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
41.7%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qua AshleySimilar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
39.5%
PENALTY OU Offside (Crable,Jay) 5 yards from BSU40 to BSU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+3
43.0%
Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the BALL 48Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+3
42.3%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qua Ashley for 3 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
42.3%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Donovan Hamilton for 7 yds to the OHIO 42Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 3
OPP 42
-1
44.3%
Qua Ashley run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 43Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+43
95.8%
Qian Magwood 43 Yd pass from Kiael Kelly (Kiael Kelly Pass to Donovan Hamilton for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
96.3%
PENALTY OU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Pearson,Tank) 15 yards from BSU35 to BSU50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23END OF GAME
11 plays · 45 yds · 0:4314% → 23%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
85.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 9 yds to the OHIO 34Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
85.9%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for no gain to the OHIO 34Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
86.8%
Parker Navarro run for 5 yds to the OHIO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
86.9%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 5 yds to the OHIO 44Similar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+13
85.4%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 13 yds to the BALL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
83.7%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Dom DorwartSimilar
Q4 0:02
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+13
84.4%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 13 yds to the BALL 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
76.9%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase HendricksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:57
Qian Magwood 43 Yd pass from Kiael Kelly (Kiael Kelly Pass to Donovan Hamilton for Two-Point Conversion)
+59.1
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+23.1
TD · Q3 7:05
Kiael Kelly run for 13 yds for a TD (Carson Holmer KICK)
+11.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com