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Rhode Island 14 at Western Michigan 47

WMU
2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadURI aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreURI score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of GameFG—WMU 99.9%Hunter Smith 21 yd FG GOODAWAY 14 - HOME 47 · Q4 2:36
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:36 · Hunter Smith 21 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Home team on offense+36.1Score differential+27.3Pregame prior+1.1Blowout margin+11.8Garbage-time factor+14.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+16.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:35: Broc Lowry run for 4 yds for a TD Rhode Island Penalty, Defensive Holding (Ayinde Johnson) declined (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +4.4 pts (now 74%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:59: Broc Lowry pass complete to Aveion Chenault for 10 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +4.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:54: Ofa Mataele run for 22 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +11.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:20: Devin Miles run for 1 yd for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +5.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:35: Ofa Mataele run for 3 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +5.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8URI made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 10:01WMU 4th & 1 at URI 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.4%−0.3
    64% to make
    Punt
    67.6%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:48WMU 4th & 11 at URI 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    65.1%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:50URI 4th & 8 at URI 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:00WMU 4th & 1 at URI 5, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.9%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    64.6%−1.3
    92% to make
    Punt
    60.8%−5.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:01URI 4th & 18 at URI 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−1.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:35WMU 4th & 16 at WMU 32, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−1.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:23URI 4th & 8 at URI 27, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:12WMU 4th & 7 at URI 23, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:57URI 4th & 15 at URI 20, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:54WMU 4th & 3 at URI 31, up 34
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:45URI 4th & 16 at WMU 23, down 30
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:35WMU 4th & 1 at URI 28, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:36WMU 4th & 3 at URI 3, up 30
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5URI made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:49URI Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:35WMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:59WMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:54WMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:20WMU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:35WMU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:54URI Touchdown, down 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
URIDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:0525% → 26%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.2%
Antwain Littleton Jr. run for 2 yds to the URI 27Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+56
75.0%
Devin Farrell pass complete to Marquis Buchanan for 56 yds to the WMU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+15
74.8%
(13:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Farrell,Devin pass incomplete short right to Buchanan,Marquis thrown to WMU00 PENALTY WMU Pass Interference (Franklin,Josh) 15 yards from WMU17 to WMU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
74.5%
Antwain Littleton Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Garth White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2FG
17 plays · 68 yds · 6:4375% → 72%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
74.5%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Devin Miles for a loss of 1 yard to the WMU 20Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+5
74.3%
PENALTY URI Offside (Pena,A.J.) 5 yards from WMU20 to WMU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
74.2%
Broc Lowry run for 5 yds to the WMU 30Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+20
73.9%
Ofa Mataele run for 5 yds to the WMU 35 for a 1ST down Rhode Island Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (A.J. Pena) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
50
+15
74.0%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Devin Miles for 15 yds to the URI 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
73.9%
Devin Miles run for no gain to the URI 35Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
73.6%
Broc Lowry pass incomplete to Talique WilliamsSimilar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+9
73.3%
Broc Lowry run for 9 yds to the URI 26Similar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+6
72.9%
Broc Lowry run for 6 yds to the URI 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
73.0%
Broc Lowry pass incomplete to Michael BresciaSimilar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+7
73.0%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Talique Williams for 7 yds to the URI 13Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+4
72.4%
Ofa Mataele run for 4 yds to the URI 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
72.4%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Blake Bosma for a loss of 1 yard to the URI 10Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
72.2%
Ofa Mataele run for a loss of 1 yard to the URI 11Similar
Q1 6:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
71.5%
Broc Lowry pass incomplete to Talique WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
72.3%
Palmer Domschke 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:5228% → 28%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.1%
Antwain Littleton Jr. run for 2 yds to the URI 27Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
71.8%
Devin Farrell pass incomplete to Marquis BuchananSimilar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
72.0%
Devin Farrell pass incomplete to Greg Gaines IIISimilar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
72.2%
James Allen punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 7:0772% → 74%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
71.5%
Ofa Mataele run for 8 yds to the WMU 36Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+5
71.9%
Ofa Mataele run for 5 yds to the WMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
71.8%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Terence Marshall for 4 yds to the WMU 45Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
71.6%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Christian Leary for no gain to the WMU 45Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+6
71.0%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 6 yds to the URI 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
71.6%
Devin Miles run for 4 yds to the URI 45Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+9
71.3%
Broc Lowry run for 9 yds to the URI 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+22
71.1%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Blake Bosma for 22 yds to the URI 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
71.3%
Cole Cabana run for 6 yds to the URI 8Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+1
71.1%
Broc Lowry run for 1 yd to the URI 7Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+2
70.4%
Ofa Mataele run for 2 yds to the URI 5Similar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+1
69.5%
Broc Lowry run for 1 yd to the URI 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
73.9%
Broc Lowry run for 4 yds for a TD Rhode Island Penalty, Defensive Holding (Ayinde Johnson) declined (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:2528% → 27%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
72.4%
Antwain Littleton Jr. run for 1 yd to the URI 22Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
72.4%
Devin Farrell pass incomplete to Greg Gaines IIISimilar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 9
OWN 22
-9
72.9%
Devin Farrell sacked by Kershawn Fisher for a loss of 9 yards to the URI 13Similar
Q2 12:01
4TH & 18
OWN 13
0
73.4%
James Allen punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Christian Leary at the WMU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:4473% → 79%
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
73.1%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Devin Miles for 8 yds to the URI 47Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 2
OPP 47
-1
73.4%
Ofa Mataele run for a loss of 1 yard to the URI 48Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+3
73.1%
Broc Lowry run for 3 yds to the URI 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
73.8%
Devin Miles run for 8 yds to the URI 37Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+3
73.8%
Broc Lowry run for 3 yds to the URI 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+24
73.9%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Talique Williams for 24 yds to the URI 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
78.5%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Aveion Chenault for 10 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 7FUMBLE
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3123% → 23%
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
77.5%
Devin Farrell pass complete to Antwain Littleton Jr. for 2 yds to the URI 23Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+10
77.8%
(07:16) No Huddle-Shotgun Farrell,Devin pass intercepted by Sims,Jarvarius at URI46, End Of Play PENALTY WMU Holding (Moore,Dillon) 10 yards from URI23 to URI33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
77.1%
Antwain Littleton Jr. run for 4 yds to the URI 37Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 6
OWN 37
-8
76.8%
Devin Farrell sacked by Marcel Tyler for a loss of 8 yards to the URI 29 Devin Farrell fumbled, recovered by WMU Kershawn Fisher , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 29 yds · 1:1379% → 91%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
78.7%
Cole Cabana run for 1 yd to the URI 28Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+6
79.0%
Broc Lowry run for 6 yds to the URI 22Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+22
90.7%
Ofa Mataele run for 22 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 9INT
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:0414% → 16%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
85.7%
Devin Farrell pass complete to Marquis Buchanan for 11 yds to the URI 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
85.2%
Devin Farrell pass incomplete to Aboraa KwartengSimilar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+26
85.5%
Devin Farrell pass complete to Connor Finer for 26 yds to the WMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
84.1%
Antwain Littleton Jr. run for 6 yds to the WMU 32Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 4
OPP 32
-5
83.6%
PENALTY URI False Start (Robinson,Demetri) 5 yards from WMU32 to WMU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+24
84.3%
Devin Farrell pass complete to Connor Finer for 24 yds to the WMU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
83.9%
Devin Farrell pass incomplete to Aboraa KwartengSimilar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-45
84.0%
Devin Farrell pass intercepted Micah Davis return for 45 yds to the WMU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 55 yds · 2:1491% → 94%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
90.5%
Devin Miles run for 3 yds to the WMU 48Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+18
90.1%
Devin Miles run for 18 yds to the URI 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
90.4%
Broc Lowry run for 7 yds to the URI 27Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+3
90.3%
Devin Miles run for 3 yds to the URI 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
90.7%
Devin Miles run for 5 yds to the URI 19Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+2
90.6%
Broc Lowry run for 2 yds to the URI 17Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+16
88.6%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Baylin Brooks for 16 yds to the URI 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.3%
Devin Miles run for 1 yd for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 11END OF HALF
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:148% → 8%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
92.5%
Antwain Littleton Jr. run for 11 yds to the URI 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+24
92.5%
Devin Farrell pass complete to Marquis Buchanan for 24 yds to the WMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
92.0%
Devin Farrell pass complete to Antwain Littleton Jr. for 5 yds to the WMU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
94.4%
Ofa Mataele run for 13 yds to the WMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
94.6%
Broc Lowry pass incomplete to Malique DieudonneSimilar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
94.6%
Broc Lowry pass incomplete to Ofa MataeleSimilar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-6
94.5%
Broc Lowry sacked by Moses Meus for a loss of 6 yards to the WMU 32Similar
Q3 13:35
4TH & 16
OWN 32
0
94.0%
Ryan Millmore punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Angel Sanchez at the URI 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 13FUMBLE
1 play · -6 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
93.3%
Antwain Littleton Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the URI 3 Antwain Littleton Jr. fumbled, recovered by WMU Sefa Saipaia Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.4%
Ofa Mataele run for 3 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:491% → 1%
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.9%
Devin Farrell pass complete to Greg Gaines III for 8 yds to the URI 33Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
98.9%
Devin Farrell pass complete to Antwain Littleton Jr. for no gain to the URI 33Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-6
99.0%
Devin Farrell sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the URI 27Similar
Q3 11:23
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.0%
punt for 43 yds , Joshua Franklin returns for no gain to the WMU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 4:5499% → 100%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
99.0%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Baylin Brooks for 16 yds to the WMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.1%
Devin Miles run for 5 yds to the URI 49Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+6
99.3%
Devin Miles run for 6 yds to the URI 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.3%
Devin Miles run for no gain to the URI 43Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+17
99.4%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Christian Leary for 17 yds to the URI 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
99.4%
Devin Miles run for 1 yd to the URI 25Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+2
99.5%
Broc Lowry run for 2 yds to the URI 23Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
99.5%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Terence Marshall for no gain to the URI 23Similar
Q3 6:12
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+41
99.5%
Palmer Domschke 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:081% → 0%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Devin Farrell pass incomplete to Marquis BuchananSimilar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.5%
Devin Farrell sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the URI 20Similar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
99.6%
Devin Farrell pass incomplete to Marquis BuchananSimilar
Q3 4:57
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+30
99.6%
James Allen punt for 48 yds , Joshua Franklin returns for 30 yds to the URI 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:37100% → 100%
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
99.6%
Cole Cabana run for 9 yds to the URI 29Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 1
OPP 29
-2
99.6%
Cole Cabana run for a loss of 2 yards to the URI 31Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 3
OPP 31
0
99.6%
Cole Cabana run for no gain to the URI 31Similar
Q3 2:54
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+49
99.7%
Palmer Domschke 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 19TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:550% → 0%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Antwain Littleton Jr. run for 3 yds to the URI 28Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
99.8%
Devin Farrell pass complete to Connor Finer for 15 yds to the URI 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+26
99.8%
Devin Farrell pass complete to Marquis Buchanan for 26 yds to the WMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+16
99.7%
Devin Farrell pass complete to Connor Finer for 16 yds to the WMU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
99.7%
Devin Farrell pass complete to Greg Gaines III for 5 yds to the WMU 10Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+5
99.7%
Antwain Littleton Jr. run for 5 yds to the WMU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.7%
Devin Farrell pass complete to Antwain Littleton Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Garth White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20FUMBLE
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:34100% → 100%
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
Tre' Hartwell run for 1 yd to the WMU 26Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-9
99.8%
Brady Jones run for a loss of 9 yards to the WMU 17 Brady Jones fumbled, recovered by URI Antonio MorganSimilar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-9
99.8%
Brady Jones run for a loss of 9 yards to the WMU 17 Brady Jones fumbled, recovered by URI Antonio MorganSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · -17 yds · 2:120% → 0%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.8%
Antwain Littleton Jr. run for no gain to the WMU 17Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+5
99.8%
Antwain Littleton Jr. run for 5 yds to the WMU 12Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 5
OPP 12
-11
99.8%
Devin Farrell sacked by Marcel Tyler for a loss of 11 yards to the WMU 23Similar
Q4 11:45
4TH & 16
OPP 23
-11
99.8%
Devin Farrell sacked by Will Gerig for a loss of 11 yards to the WMU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22INT
13 plays · 38 yds · 6:06100% → 100%
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.8%
Cole Cabana run for 2 yds to the WMU 36Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Brady Jones pass complete to Cole Cabana for no gain to the WMU 36Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+13
99.8%
Brady Jones pass complete to Terence Marshall for 13 yds to the WMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
99.9%
Brady Jones run for 6 yds to the URI 45Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Tre' Hartwell run for no gain to the URI 45Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 4
OPP 45
-5
99.9%
PENALTY WMU False Start (Krause,Jacob) 5 yards from URI45 to URI50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 9
50
+13
99.9%
Brady Jones run for 13 yds to the URI 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
99.9%
Brady Jones run for 4 yds to the URI 33Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+3
99.9%
Tre' Hartwell run for 3 yds to the URI 30Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+2
99.9%
Tre' Hartwell run for 2 yds to the URI 28Similar
Q4 5:35
4TH & 1
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Brady Jones pass intercepted Andre DePina-Gray return for no gain to the URI 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:020% → 0%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
99.9%
Devin Farrell pass complete to Antwain Littleton Jr. for 10 yds to the URI 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Devin Farrell pass complete to Marquis Buchanan for no gain to the URI 25Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
99.9%
Devin Farrell sacked by Jori Benson for a loss of 8 yards to the URI 17 Devin Farrell fumbled, recovered by WMU Jori Benson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24FG
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:35100% → 100%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
99.9%
Tre' Hartwell run for 11 yds to the URI 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.9%
Tre' Hartwell run for 1 yd to the URI 5Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
100.0%
Tre' Hartwell run for 2 yds to the URI 3Similar
Q4 2:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
100.0%
Mark Konecny pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
99.9%
Hunter Smith 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 25END OF GAME
9 plays · 45 yds · 2:200% → 0%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Conner Kenyon pass complete to Connor Finer for 3 yds to the URI 28Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
100.0%
Gabe Winowich run for 6 yds to the URI 34Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+12
100.0%
Conner Kenyon pass complete to Marquis Buchanan for 12 yds to the URI 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Conner Kenyon pass incomplete to Connor FinerSimilar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
100.0%
Gabe Winowich run for 2 yds to the URI 48Similar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+8
100.0%
Gabe Winowich run for 8 yds to the WMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
100.0%
Gabe Winowich run for 2 yds to the WMU 42Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+12
100.0%
Conner Kenyon pass complete to Marquis Buchanan for 12 yds to the WMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:54
Ofa Mataele run for 22 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)
+11.7
TD · Q2 0:20
Devin Miles run for 1 yd for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)
+5.7
TD · Q3 13:35
Ofa Mataele run for 3 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)
+5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com