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LIN

Lindenwood 0 at Miami (OH) 38

M-OH
2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadLIN aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreLIN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:08 · A.J. Vinatieri punt for 54 yds , Lynel Billups-Williams returns for 9 yds to the M-OH 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 76Pregame prior+26.0Home team on offense+12.9Score differential+4.4Garbage-time factor+2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:21: Jermaine Agee 8 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Dom Dzioban Kick) — M-OH win probability +1.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: LIN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:32: Henry Hesson pass complete to Kam Perry for 31 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK) — M-OH win probability +3.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:43: Henry Hesson pass complete to Brady Simmons for 9 yds to the LIN 41 — M-OH win probability +2.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Kellan McLaughlin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — LIN win probability +1.6 pts (now 7%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:49: Kenny Tracy run for 20 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK) — M-OH win probability +1.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 6 of 9LIN made the numbers' call on 6 of 12
  1. Q1 11:34M-OH 4th & 3 at M-OH 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:42M-OH 4th & 1 at LIN 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.8%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    90.6%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:21LIN 4th & 8 at LIN 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:59LIN 4th & 3 at M-OH 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    9.5%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:59LIN 4th & 3 at M-OH 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    9.5%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:47M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:09LIN 4th & 8 at M-OH 31, down 7
    Close callPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    10.5%
    54% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:32M-OH 4th & 7 at LIN 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    86.9%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:56LIN 4th & 11 at LIN 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:00LIN 4th & 4 at LIN 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:26M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 43, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:08LIN 4th & 9 at LIN 11, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:13M-OH 4th & 2 at LIN 48, up 17
    Close callPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:49LIN 4th & 5 at LIN 10, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 13:00LIN 4th & 1 at LIN 34, down 17
    Close callPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q3 9:07M-OH 4th & 1 at LIN 33, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.1%−1.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−1.8
    average punt
  17. Q3 5:51LIN 4th & 10 at M-OH 40, down 24
    Close callPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q3 3:37M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 6, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  19. Q3 2:01LIN 4th & 20 at LIN 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:50M-OH 4th & 2 at LIN 5, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:26LIN 4th & 1 at LIN 34, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 8:21M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:32M-OH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:49M-OH Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:27M-OH Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:23M-OH Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:1691% → 91%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
91.3%
Kenny Tracy run for 10 yds to the M-OH 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.2%
Henry Hesson run for 6 yds to the M-OH 31Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
91.1%
Keith Reynolds run for 10 yds to the M-OH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
90.9%
Kenny Tracy run for 5 yds to the M-OH 46Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+2
90.8%
Kenny Tracy run for 2 yds to the M-OH 48Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
90.6%
Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Keith ReynoldsSimilar
Q1 11:34
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
90.5%
Pierse Stainton punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Christopher Bennett Jr. at the LIN 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 2INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
90.5%
Nate Glantz pass intercepted Silas Walters return for no gain to the LIN 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4691% → 90%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
90.6%
(11:29) PENALTY Mia False Start (Shane,Brian) 5 yards from Lin14 to Lin19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+4
90.6%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Brian Shane for 4 yds to the LIN 15Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 11
OPP 15
0
90.5%
Kenny Tracy run for no gain to the LIN 15Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 11
OPP 15
+10
90.3%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Cole Weaver for 10 yds to the LIN 5Similar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 1
OPP 5
-1
90.1%
D'Shawntae Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIN 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 4PUNT TD
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:1710% → 9%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+11
89.9%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Drew Krobath for 11 yds to the LIN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
89.8%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to Rico BondSimilar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
89.8%
Jared Rhodes run for 2 yds to the LIN 19Similar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 8
OWN 19
0
89.6%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to CJ ReeseSimilar
Q1 8:21
4TH & 8
OWN 19
+8
90.6%
Jermaine Agee 8 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Dom Dzioban Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 3:1610% → 10%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
90.4%
Rico Bond run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIN 24Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+14
90.4%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Rico Bond for 14 yds to the LIN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
90.1%
Steve Hall run for 9 yds to the LIN 47Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+2
89.9%
Steve Hall run for 2 yds to the LIN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
89.8%
(06:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Glantz,Nate pass incomplete short right to Smith,Jalen thrown to Mia45 PENALTY Mia Offside (Trick,Adam) 5 yards from Lin49 to Mia46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 5
OPP 46
+2
89.7%
Steve Hall run for 2 yds to the M-OH 44Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 3
OPP 44
0
89.6%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to CJ ReeseSimilar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
89.6%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Steve Hall for no gain to the M-OH 44Similar
Q1 4:59
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
89.7%
A.J. Vinatieri punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Lynel Billups-Williams at the M-OH 10Similar
Q1 4:59
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
89.7%
A.J. Vinatieri punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Lynel Billups-Williams at the M-OH 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:0390% → 90%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
90.0%
Kenny Tracy run for 12 yds to the M-OH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
90.0%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 6 yds to the M-OH 43Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
90.1%
Kenny Tracy run for 3 yds to the M-OH 46Similar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
89.9%
Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Keith ReynoldsSimilar
Q1 2:47
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
89.6%
Pierse Stainton punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 49 yds · 2:3211% → 11%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
89.5%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Rico Bond for 12 yds to the LIN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
89.1%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Jalen Smith for 12 yds to the LIN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
88.8%
Nate Glantz run for no gain to the LIN 44Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+8
88.8%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Jalen Smith for 8 yds to the M-OH 48Similar
Q1 0:49
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+15
88.5%
(00:52) Shotgun Glantz,Nate pass incomplete deep middle to Smith,Jalen thrown to Mia25 broken up by Walker Jr.,Adrian PENALTY Mia Pass Interference (Walker Jr.,Adrian) 15 yards from Mia48 to Mia33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
88.1%
Steve Hall run for 2 yds to the M-OH 31Similar
Q1 0:19
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
88.0%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to Rico BondSimilar
Q1 0:15
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
88.3%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to Jalen SmithSimilar
Q1 0:09
4TH & 8
OPP 31
0
88.8%
A.J. Vinatieri punt for 19 yds, fair catch by Lynel Billups-Williams at the M-OH 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8FG
10 plays · 72 yds · 4:2889% → 89%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
89.0%
Keith Reynolds run for 12 yds to the M-OH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+25
89.0%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Kam Perry for 25 yds to the M-OH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
89.4%
Kenny Tracy run for 5 yds to the LIN 46Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+15
89.4%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 15 yds to the LIN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
89.3%
Henry Hesson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+12
89.3%
Kenny Tracy run for 12 yds to the LIN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
89.2%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Keith Reynolds for no gain to the LIN 19Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+3
89.1%
Kenny Tracy run for 3 yds to the LIN 16Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
88.8%
Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Kam PerrySimilar
Q2 10:32
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+33
88.9%
Dom Dzioban 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2411% → 11%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
88.9%
Nate Glantz sacked by Jackson Kuwatch for a loss of 2 yards to the LIN 23Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
89.0%
Nate Glantz run for 1 yd to the LIN 24Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
89.3%
Lindenwood Penalty, Offensive Holding (Rico Bond) declinedSimilar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+7
89.5%
A.J. Vinatieri punt for 42 yds , Lynel Billups-Williams returns for 7 yds to the M-OH 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 1:1289% → 94%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
89.2%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Braylon Isom for 12 yds to the LIN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
89.4%
Kenny Tracy run for 16 yds to the LIN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
94.1%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Kam Perry for 31 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:267% → 7%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.8%
Jared Rhodes run for 3 yds to the LIN 28Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
92.6%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Jalen Smith for 3 yds to the LIN 31Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
92.7%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to Drew KrobathSimilar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+7
92.9%
A.J. Vinatieri punt for 36 yds , Lynel Billups-Williams returns for 7 yds to the M-OH 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2894% → 94%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
94.3%
Kenny Tracy run for 2 yds to the M-OH 42Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+1
94.3%
Keith Reynolds run for 1 yd to the M-OH 43Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
94.2%
Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Keith ReynoldsSimilar
Q2 4:26
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
93.9%
Pierse Stainton punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Christopher Bennett Jr. at the LIN 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:127% → 7%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
93.0%
Steve Hall run for 2 yds to the LIN 12Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+1
93.1%
Nate Glantz run for 1 yd to the LIN 13Similar
Q2 2:53
3RD & 7
OWN 13
-2
93.3%
Nate Glantz sacked by Oscar McWood for a loss of 2 yards to the LIN 11Similar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 9
OWN 11
+9
93.4%
A.J. Vinatieri punt for 54 yds , Lynel Billups-Williams returns for 9 yds to the M-OH 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:4895% → 94%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
94.6%
Kenny Tracy run for 4 yds to the M-OH 48Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+4
94.4%
Kenny Tracy run for 4 yds to the LIN 48Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 2
OPP 48
0
94.2%
Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Deion ColzieSimilar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
94.0%
Pierse Stainton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Christopher Bennett Jr. at the LIN 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:197% → 7%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
93.1%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to Drew KrobathSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+5
93.1%
Nate Glantz run for 5 yds to the LIN 10Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 5
OWN 10
0
93.0%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to Jalen SmithSimilar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 5
OWN 10
+7
93.1%
A.J. Vinatieri punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , Lynel Billups-Williams returns for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16MISSED FG
13 plays · 43 yds · 0:4295% → 94%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
50
+9
95.0%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Brady Simmons for 9 yds to the LIN 41Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+19
94.9%
Kenny Tracy run for 19 yds to the LIN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
95.0%
(00:33) PENALTY Mia False Start (Smith,Eric) 5 yards from Lin22 to Lin27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 15
OPP 27
+6
95.0%
Henry Hesson run for 6 yds to the LIN 21Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
94.8%
Henry Hesson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+14
94.6%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Keith Reynolds for 14 yds to the LIN 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
94.3%
Henry Hesson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
94.5%
Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Deion ColzieSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
94.1%
Dom Dzioban 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
95.1%
(00:01) Kneel down by Lindenwood at Lin19 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:547% → 6%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.2%
Jared Rhodes run for 3 yds to the LIN 28Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
93.3%
Nate Glantz run for 5 yds to the LIN 33Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
93.2%
Jared Rhodes run for 1 yd to the LIN 34Similar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
93.6%
A.J. Vinatieri punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 5:0594% → 98%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
93.6%
Kenny Tracy run for 6 yds to the M-OH 26Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+10
94.0%
Lindenwood Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the M-OH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
94.3%
Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Cole WeaverSimilar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+20
94.3%
Keith Reynolds run for 20 yds to the LIN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
95.3%
Kenny Tracy run for 3 yds to the LIN 39Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+5
95.3%
Kenny Tracy run for 5 yds to the LIN 34Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+1
95.3%
Kenny Tracy run for 1 yd to the LIN 33Similar
Q3 9:07
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+1
95.2%
D'Shawntae Jones run for 1 yd to the LIN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
95.8%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Keith Reynolds for 12 yds to the LIN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
97.7%
Kenny Tracy run for 20 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 1:512% → 2%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.6%
Jared Rhodes run for 9 yds to the LIN 34Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
97.6%
Jared Rhodes run for 3 yds to the LIN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.7%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to Drew KrobathSimilar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+15
97.7%
Miami (OH) Penalty, Personal Foul (Silas Walters) to the M-OH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.7%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to Drew KrobathSimilar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
97.7%
Nate Glantz pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
97.8%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to Rico BondSimilar
Q3 5:51
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
97.8%
A.J. Vinatieri punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:0598% → 98%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
98.0%
Josh Ringer run for 1 yd to the M-OH 4Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+4
98.0%
Lynel Billups-Williams run for 4 yds to the M-OH 8Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 5
OWN 8
+3
98.3%
Josh Ringer run for 3 yds to the M-OH 11Similar
Q3 3:45
4TH & 2
OWN 11
-5
98.2%
PENALTY Mia Delay Of Game (Stainton,Pierse) 5 yards from Mia11 to Mia06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:37
4TH & 7
OWN 6
0
98.2%
Pierse Stainton punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Christopher Bennett Jr. at the LIN 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:272% → 1%
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
98.2%
Steve Hall run for 9 yds to the M-OH 49Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+6
98.1%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Steve Hall for 6 yds to the LIN 45Similar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 7
OWN 45
-13
98.5%
Lindenwood Penalty, Intentional Grounding (-13 Yards) to the LIN 32Similar
Q3 2:01
4TH & 20
OWN 32
0
98.6%
A.J. Vinatieri punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 1:2899% → 100%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
98.6%
Henry Hesson run for 1 yd to the M-OH 30Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+4
99.1%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Lynel Billups-Williams for 4 yds to the M-OH 34Similar
Q3 0:27
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+66
99.8%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Kam Perry for 66 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 24INT
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:520% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Nate Glantz run for 2 yds to the LIN 27Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
99.8%
Steve Hall run for 1 yd to the LIN 28Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+33
99.8%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Drew Krobath for 33 yds to the M-OH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to Jalen SmithSimilar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-1
99.8%
Steve Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 40Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 11
OPP 40
-40
99.8%
Nate Glantz pass intercepted Eli Coppess return for 40 yds to the M-OH 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 25TD
14 plays · 53 yds · 8:36100% → 100%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.8%
Jordan Brunson run for 1 yd to the M-OH 48Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+6
99.8%
Thomas Gotkowski run for 6 yds to the LIN 46Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+3
99.8%
Jordan Brunson run for 3 yds to the LIN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
99.9%
Jordan Brunson run for 12 yds to the LIN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
99.9%
Jordan Brunson run for 7 yds to the LIN 24Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+11
99.9%
Jordan Brunson run for 11 yds to the LIN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
99.9%
Thomas Gotkowski run for 5 yds to the LIN 8Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 5
OPP 8
-3
99.9%
Jordan Brunson run for a loss of 3 yards to the LIN 11Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+6
99.9%
Antwon Thomas run for 6 yds to the LIN 5Similar
Q4 6:50
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+4
99.9%
Jordan Brunson run for 4 yds to the LIN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Jordan Brunson run for no gain to the LIN 1Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Jordan Brunson run for no gain to the LIN 1Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Jordan Brunson run for 1 yd for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:510% → 0%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Jared Rhodes run for 7 yds to the LIN 32Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
La'Revious Woods run for no gain to the LIN 32Similar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
100.0%
Pops Battle run for 2 yds to the LIN 34Similar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.9%
A.J. Vinatieri punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 13 yds · 2:17100% → 100%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
100.0%
Thomas Gotkowski run for 9 yds to the M-OH 29Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+8
100.0%
D'Shawntae Jones run for 8 yds to the M-OH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
100.0%
(01:17) Kneel down by Miami (OH) at Mia35 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 35
-2
100.0%
(00:36) Kneel down by Miami (OH) at Mia33 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:32
Henry Hesson pass complete to Kam Perry for 31 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)
+3.9
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:43
Henry Hesson pass complete to Brady Simmons for 9 yds to the LIN 41
+2
TD · Q3 7:49
Kenny Tracy run for 20 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)
+1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com