Try the model
2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:02 · Declan Duley punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Juan Salas at the EMU 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 70Home team on offense+13.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.4Garbage-time factor+4.6Score differential+6.0Pregame prior+3.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:03: Nahree Biggins run for 49 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK) — CMU win probability +6.3 pts (now 67%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:46: Angel Flores pass complete to Langston Lewis for 2 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK) — CMU win probability +12.0 pts (now 81%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 5:57: Timeout Central Michigan, clock 05:57 — CMU win probability +11.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:45: Noah Kim 14 Yd Run (Rudy Kessinger Kick) — EMU win probability +9.3 pts (now 31%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 7:08: Cade Graham 22 yd FG GOOD — CMU win probability +2.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 10EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 7:54EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:25EMU 4th & 19 at CMU 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−1.4
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    27.0%−3.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:05CMU 4th & 1 at EMU 4, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.4%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    67.4%−2.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−7.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:57EMU 4th & 8 at CMU 20, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    14.5%−6.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:02CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 37, up 15
    Close callPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:02CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 37, up 15
    Close callPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:09EMU 4th & 6 at EMU 29, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:04CMU 4th & 5 at EMU 19, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    79.3%−2.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:08CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 34, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    75.5%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:19CMU 4th & 5 at CMU 42, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:35EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 30, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:47CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 36, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%−2.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:47CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 36, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%−2.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:09CMU 4th & 1 at EMU 38, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    82.2%−4.0
    38% to make
    Punt
    82.1%−4.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:08CMU 4th & 4 at EMU 4, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.2%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    83.0%−6.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:17EMU 4th & 4 at CMU 23, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.8%−0.9
    70% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−2.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:36CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:03CMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:46CMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:45EMU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:1556% → 59%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+47
56.3%
Joe Labas pass complete to Tommy McIntosh for 47 yds to the EMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
56.5%
Nahree Biggins run for 2 yds to the EMU 26Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+6
56.6%
Nahree Biggins run for 6 yds to the EMU 20Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+3
56.7%
Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the EMU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
56.9%
Angel Flores run for 8 yds to the EMU 9Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 2
OPP 9
-1
57.1%
Nahree Biggins run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 10Similar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+4
57.0%
Joe Labas pass complete to Brock Townsend for 4 yds to the EMU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
57.3%
Brock Townsend run for 5 yds to the EMU 1Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.4%
Joe Labas pass complete to Brock Townsend for 1 yd for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2841% → 41%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
58.7%
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 6 yds to the EMU 32Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+3
58.7%
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the EMU 35Similar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 1
OWN 35
-1
58.7%
Dontae McMillan run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 34Similar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
59.5%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4359% → 67%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
59.3%
Joe Labas pass complete to Tyson Davis for 8 yds to the CMU 33Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
59.9%
Trey Cornist run for 6 yds to the CMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
60.3%
Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the CMU 42Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+9
60.9%
Angel Flores run for 9 yds to the EMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
66.8%
Nahree Biggins run for 49 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 3:3036% → 37%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
64.0%
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 11 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
63.6%
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 7 yds to the EMU 43Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
63.6%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Porter RooksSimilar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+31
63.5%
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 16 yds to the CMU 41 for a 1ST down Central Michigan Penalty, Blocking Out Of Bounds (Jaion Jackson) to the CMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
63.3%
Noah Kim run for 4 yds to the CMU 22Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+5
63.5%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 5 yds to the CMU 17Similar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+2
63.5%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 2 yds to the CMU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
63.5%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
63.5%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 10
OPP 15
-15
64.3%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the CMU 24Similar
Q1 1:25
4TH & 19
OPP 24
+41
63.3%
Rudy Kessinger 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:3363% → 81%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
62.8%
Angel Flores run for 2 yds to the CMU 27Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
63.1%
Angel Flores run for 9 yds to the CMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
64.1%
Nahree Biggins run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMU 35Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+37
63.6%
Angel Flores run for 37 yds to the EMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
65.2%
Trey Cornist run for 2 yds to the EMU 26Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+13
65.5%
Joe Labas pass complete to Nahree Biggins for 13 yds to the EMU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
67.7%
Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the EMU 10Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
68.2%
Angel Flores pass incomplete to DeCorion TempleSimilar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+6
67.8%
Joe Labas run for 6 yds to the EMU 4Similar
Q2 12:05
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+3
67.6%
Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the EMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
69.1%
Trey Cornist run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 2Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.1%
Angel Flores pass complete to Langston Lewis for 2 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6FG
14 plays · 69 yds · 4:3423% → 27%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
76.8%
Dontae McMillan run for 1 yd to the EMU 12Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+4
76.6%
Noah Kim pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 4 yds to the EMU 16Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+8
76.9%
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 8 yds to the EMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
76.7%
Noah Kim run for 3 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
76.8%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Nick DevereauxSimilar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+15
77.5%
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 15 yds to the EMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+22
76.2%
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 22 yds to the CMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
74.6%
Dontae McMillan run for 14 yds to the CMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
74.2%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 2 yds to the CMU 20Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
74.7%
Noah Kim run for no gain to the CMU 20Similar
Q2 6:01
3RD & 8
OPP 20
0
75.7%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Joshua LongSimilar
Q2 5:57
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+38
73.5%
Rudy Kessinger 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:4585% → 87%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
84.9%
Brock Townsend run for 10 yds to the CMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
85.4%
Brock Townsend run for 1 yd to the CMU 29Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+2
85.8%
Angel Flores run for 2 yds to the CMU 31Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+6
86.1%
Joe Labas pass complete to Langston Lewis for 6 yds to the CMU 37Similar
Q2 3:02
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
86.5%
Declan Duley punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Juan Salas at the EMU 15Similar
Q2 3:02
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
86.5%
Declan Duley punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Juan Salas at the EMU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 1:3720% → 19%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
79.8%
Noah Kim sacked by Michael Heldman for a loss of 3 yards to the EMU 12Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 13
OWN 12
0
80.3%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Dontae McMillanSimilar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 13
OWN 12
+13
80.5%
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 13 yds to the EMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
80.6%
Dontae McMillan run for 4 yds to the EMU 29Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
80.6%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
81.0%
Noah Kim run for no gain to the EMU 29Similar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+11
81.5%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 43 yds , Caleb Spann returns for 11 yds to the CMU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9MISSED FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 1:0286% → 84%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
86.4%
Joe Labas pass complete to Nahree Biggins for 5 yds to the CMU 44Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+6
86.4%
Joe Labas pass complete to Langston Lewis for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
50
+12
86.9%
Joe Labas pass complete to Langston Lewis for 12 yds to the EMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
87.0%
Joe Labas pass complete to Langston Lewis for 5 yds to the EMU 33Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+4
86.2%
Nahree Biggins run for 4 yds to the EMU 29Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+5
84.6%
Angel Flores run for 5 yds to the EMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
85.5%
Angel Flores pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
85.5%
Joe Labas pass incomplete to Tyson DavisSimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+5
84.3%
Joe Labas pass complete to Nahree Biggins for 5 yds to the EMU 19Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+36
83.6%
Cade Graham 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
83.0%
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the EMU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 4:0122% → 31%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
78.0%
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
50
+6
76.9%
Dontae McMillan run for 6 yds to the CMU 44Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 4
OPP 44
-5
76.5%
PENALTY EMU False Start (Snively,Owen) 5 yards from CMU44 to CMU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:39
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+2
77.7%
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the CMU 47Similar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+3
78.2%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 3 yds to the CMU 44Similar
Q3 12:27
4TH & 4
OPP 44
+15
78.6%
(12:30) Shotgun Kim,Noah pass incomplete short right to Long,Joshua thrown to CMU30 PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (Rikard,Elijah) 15 yards from CMU44 to CMU29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
76.5%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 11 yds to the CMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
77.3%
Noah Kim sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the CMU 21Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+7
78.4%
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 7 yds to the CMU 14Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+14
69.2%
Noah Kim 14 Yd Run (Rudy Kessinger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 4:2174% → 78%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.9%
Joe Labas pass incomplete to Rusty VanWetzinga IVSimilar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
73.6%
Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the CMU 28Similar
Q3 9:49
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
73.2%
Joe Labas pass complete to Langston Lewis for 6 yds to the CMU 34Similar
Q3 9:08
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
73.6%
Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the CMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
75.9%
Brock Townsend run for 5 yds to the CMU 42Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
77.7%
Brock Townsend run for 2 yds to the CMU 44Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 3
OWN 44
-2
76.9%
Angel Flores run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMU 42Similar
Q3 6:19
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+33
77.6%
Declan Duley punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMU 40 Eastern Michigan Penalty, Blocking Out Of Bounds (Joey Mattord) to the EMU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3025% → 23%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.5%
Noah Kim pass complete to Tavierre Dunlap for 5 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
74.7%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Nick DevereauxSimilar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
75.7%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q3 5:35
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
77.4%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 43 yds , Caleb Spann returns for no gain to the CMU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4378% → 80%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
78.4%
Angel Flores run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMU 26Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+8
79.6%
Joe Labas pass complete to Langston Lewis for 8 yds to the CMU 34Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+2
80.0%
Brock Townsend run for 2 yds to the CMU 36Similar
Q3 3:47
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+11
79.8%
Declan Duley punt for 50 yds , Juan Salas returns for 11 yds to the EMU 25Similar
Q3 3:47
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+11
79.8%
Declan Duley punt for 50 yds , Juan Salas returns for 11 yds to the EMU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15INT
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:3322% → 22%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
77.6%
Dontae McMillan run for 9 yds to the EMU 16Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+7
79.2%
Dontae McMillan run for 7 yds to the EMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
79.6%
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 4 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+12
79.2%
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 12 yds to the EMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
78.5%
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the EMU 41Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+4
79.3%
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 4 yds to the EMU 45Similar
Q3 0:22
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+5
78.7%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
50
0
77.6%
Noah Kim pass intercepted Maddix Blackwell return for no gain to the CMU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16FG
17 plays · 72 yds · 7:5283% → 96%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
82.7%
Nahree Biggins run for 5 yds to the CMU 29Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+12
83.2%
Joe Labas pass complete to Tommy McIntosh for 12 yds to the CMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
86.3%
Nahree Biggins run for 8 yds to the CMU 49Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+4
87.0%
Nahree Biggins run for 4 yds to the EMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
87.6%
Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the EMU 44Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+2
88.2%
Angel Flores run for 2 yds to the EMU 42Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 5
OPP 42
-5
87.7%
PENALTY CMU False Start (Blum,Ryan) 5 yards from EMU42 to EMU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+9
87.7%
Angel Flores run for 9 yds to the EMU 38Similar
Q4 11:09
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+12
86.9%
Angel Flores run for 12 yds to the EMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
89.7%
Nahree Biggins run for 3 yds to the EMU 23Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+13
91.3%
Angel Flores run for 13 yds to the EMU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
91.4%
Angel Flores run for 1 yd to the EMU 9Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
93.5%
Nahree Biggins run for 1 yd to the EMU 8Similar
Q4 7:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
93.8%
Brock Townsend run for 4 yds to the EMU 4Similar
Q4 7:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
96.4%
Cade Graham 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17MISSED FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 2:348% → 8%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
91.8%
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 19 yds to the EMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
90.8%
Dontae McMillan run for 9 yds to the EMU 48Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+13
90.0%
Dontae McMillan run for 13 yds to the CMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
90.2%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+10
90.3%
(05:46) No Huddle-Shotgun Kim,Noah pass incomplete short right to Long,Joshua thrown to CMU29, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (Spann,Caleb) 10 yards from CMU39 to CMU29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
89.0%
Noah Kim run for 3 yds to the CMU 26Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+3
89.0%
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 3 yds to the CMU 23Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 4
OPP 23
0
90.0%
Tavierre Dunlap run for no gain to the CMU 23Similar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+40
92.1%
Rudy Kessinger 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18Uncategorized
11 plays · 56 yds · 3:3398% → 99%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
97.5%
Nahree Biggins run for 5 yds to the CMU 28Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
97.8%
Nahree Biggins run for no gain to the CMU 28Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+7
98.2%
Angel Flores run for 7 yds to the CMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+28
98.4%
Nahree Biggins run for 28 yds to the EMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+22
98.7%
Brock Townsend run for 22 yds to the EMU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
99.0%
J. Labas takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 12
OPP 17
-2
99.1%
J. Labas takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 14
OPP 19
-2
98.9%
J. Labas takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:46
Angel Flores pass complete to Langston Lewis for 2 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)
+12
FG · Q2 5:57
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 05:57
+11.3
TD · Q3 10:45
Noah Kim 14 Yd Run (Rudy Kessinger Kick)
-9.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com