EMU
Eastern Michigan 13 at Central Michigan 24
CMU2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey play
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CMU · Drive 1TD · 10 plays · 75 yds
Q1 15:00
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
54.5%
0.0
Q1 14:51
Joe Labas pass complete to Tommy McIntosh for 47 yds to the EMU 28 for a 1ST down
56.8%
+2.3
Q1 14:11
Nahree Biggins run for 2 yds to the EMU 26
59.5%
+2.7
Q1 13:37
Nahree Biggins run for 6 yds to the EMU 20
59.5%
0.0
Q1 13:00
Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the EMU 17 for a 1ST down
59.2%
-0.2
Q1 12:19
Angel Flores run for 8 yds to the EMU 9
59.5%
+0.2
Q1 11:38
Nahree Biggins run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 10
59.5%
0.0
Q1 10:57
Joe Labas pass complete to Brock Townsend for 4 yds to the EMU 6 for a 1ST down
59.2%
-0.2
Q1 10:13
Brock Townsend run for 5 yds to the EMU 1
59.5%
+0.2
Q1 9:36
Joe Labas pass complete to Brock Townsend for 1 yd for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)
72.4%
+13.0
EMU · Drive 2PUNT · 5 plays · 8 yds
Q1 9:30
Cade Graham kickoff for 64 yds , Jayvin Norman return for 25 yds to the EMU 26
71.6%
-0.8
Q1 9:22
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 6 yds to the EMU 32
68.2%
-3.4
Q1 8:52
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the EMU 35
68.0%
-0.1
Q1 8:37
Dontae McMillan run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 34
68.0%
0.0
Q1 7:54
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMU 25
68.2%
+0.2
CMU · Drive 3TD · 7 plays · 75 yds
Q1 7:54
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 07:54
71.0%
+2.8
Q1 7:46
Joe Labas pass complete to Tyson Davis for 8 yds to the CMU 33
71.0%
0.0
Q1 7:06
Trey Cornist run for 6 yds to the CMU 39 for a 1ST down
71.0%
0.0
Q1 6:27
Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the CMU 42
72.0%
+1.0
Q1 5:48
Angel Flores run for 9 yds to the EMU 49 for a 1ST down
72.0%
0.0
Q1 5:04
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 05:04
69.6%
-2.4
Q1 5:03
Nahree Biggins run for 49 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)
83.5%
+0.1
EMU · Drive 4FG · 12 plays · 51 yds
Q1 5:04
Cade Graham kickoff for 63 yds
83.4%
+13.8
Q1 4:55
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 11 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST down
80.1%
-3.4
Q1 4:24
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 7 yds to the EMU 43
80.1%
0.0
Q1 3:54
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Porter Rooks
80.1%
0.0
Q1 3:46
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 16 yds to the CMU 41 for a 1ST down Central Michigan Penalty, Blocking Out Of Bounds (Jaion Jackson) to the CMU 26 for a 1ST down
80.1%
0.0
Q1 3:33
Noah Kim run for 4 yds to the CMU 22
78.8%
-1.2
Q1 3:05
Tavierre Dunlap run for 5 yds to the CMU 17
78.8%
0.0
Q1 2:25
Tavierre Dunlap run for 2 yds to the CMU 15 for a 1ST down
78.8%
0.0
Q1 1:52
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.
78.7%
-0.2
Q1 1:49
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.
78.7%
0.0
Q1 1:43
Eastern Michigan Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the CMU 24
78.7%
0.0
Q1 1:25
Rudy Kessinger 41 yd FG GOOD
75.4%
-3.3
CMU · Drive 5TD · 16 plays · 75 yds
Q1 1:25
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
76.1%
+0.8
Q1 1:19
Angel Flores run for 2 yds to the CMU 27
78.1%
+1.9
Q1 0:42
Angel Flores run for 9 yds to the CMU 36 for a 1ST down
78.1%
0.0
Q1 0:00
Nahree Biggins run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMU 35
78.2%
+0.1
Q2 14:52
Angel Flores run for 37 yds to the EMU 28 for a 1ST down
78.0%
-0.2
Q2 14:17
Trey Cornist run for 2 yds to the EMU 26
78.6%
+0.5
Q2 13:41
Joe Labas pass complete to Nahree Biggins for 13 yds to the EMU 13 for a 1ST down
78.6%
0.0
Q2 13:33
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 13:33
81.8%
+3.2
Q2 13:29
Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the EMU 10
81.8%
0.0
Q2 12:48
Angel Flores pass incomplete to DeCorion Temple
81.8%
0.0
Q2 12:43
Joe Labas run for 6 yds to the EMU 4
81.6%
-0.2
Q2 12:05
Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the EMU 1 for a 1ST down
81.4%
-0.2
Q2 11:23
Trey Cornist run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 2
81.8%
+0.4
Q2 10:46
Angel Flores pass complete to Langston Lewis for 2 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)
89.9%
+8.0
Q2 10:46
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 10:46
82.9%
-7.0
Q2 10:40
Cade Graham kickoff for 65 yds , Jayvin Norman return for 5 yds to the EMU 40 Eastern Michigan Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the EMU 11
82.4%
-0.5
EMU · Drive 6FG · 14 plays · 69 yds
Q2 10:31
Dontae McMillan run for 1 yd to the EMU 12
87.0%
+4.6
Q2 10:31
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 10:31
87.0%
0.0
Q2 10:18
Noah Kim pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 4 yds to the EMU 16
87.0%
0.0
Q2 9:50
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 8 yds to the EMU 24 for a 1ST down
87.0%
0.0
Q2 9:21
Noah Kim run for 3 yds to the EMU 27
87.0%
0.0
Q2 8:54
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Nick Devereaux
87.0%
0.0
Q2 8:37
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 15 yds to the EMU 42 for a 1ST down
87.4%
+0.4
Q2 8:08
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 22 yds to the CMU 36 for a 1ST down
87.6%
+0.2
Q2 7:44
Dontae McMillan run for 14 yds to the CMU 22 for a 1ST down
86.9%
-0.7
Q2 7:22
Tavierre Dunlap run for 2 yds to the CMU 20
86.7%
-0.2
Q2 6:36
Noah Kim run for no gain to the CMU 20
86.7%
0.0
Q2 6:01
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Joshua Long
86.7%
0.0
Q2 5:57
Rudy Kessinger 38 yd FG GOOD
83.0%
-3.8
Q2 5:57
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 05:57
89.1%
+6.2
CMU · Drive 7PUNT · 7 plays · 19 yds
Q2 5:52
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 65 yds , Nahree Biggins return for 18 yds to the CMU 18
84.0%
-5.1
Q2 5:47
Brock Townsend run for 10 yds to the CMU 28 for a 1ST down
85.8%
+1.8
Q2 5:08
Brock Townsend run for 1 yd to the CMU 29
85.8%
0.0
Q2 4:29
Angel Flores run for 2 yds to the CMU 31
86.8%
+1.0
Q2 3:40
Joe Labas pass complete to Langston Lewis for 6 yds to the CMU 37
86.8%
0.0
Q2 3:02
Declan Duley punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Juan Salas at the EMU 15
86.6%
-0.2
Q2 3:02
Declan Duley punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Juan Salas at the EMU 15
86.6%
0.0
EMU · Drive 8PUNT · 9 plays · 14 yds
Q2 2:46
Noah Kim sacked by Michael Heldman for a loss of 3 yards to the EMU 12
85.6%
-1.0
Q2 2:17
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Dontae McMillan
85.6%
0.0
Q2 2:07
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 13 yds to the EMU 25 for a 1ST down
85.6%
-0.1
Q2 2:00
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 02:00
85.6%
0.0
Q2 1:50
Dontae McMillan run for 4 yds to the EMU 29
85.6%
0.0
Q2 1:29
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.
85.6%
0.0
Q2 1:24
Noah Kim run for no gain to the EMU 29
85.6%
0.0
Q2 1:24
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 01:24
85.6%
0.0
Q2 1:09
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 43 yds , Caleb Spann returns for 11 yds to the CMU 39
85.6%
0.0
CMU · Drive 9MISSED FG · 11 plays · 42 yds
Q2 1:06
Joe Labas pass complete to Nahree Biggins for 5 yds to the CMU 44
86.8%
+1.2
Q2 1:00
Joe Labas pass complete to Langston Lewis for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
86.8%
0.0
Q2 0:47
Joe Labas pass complete to Langston Lewis for 12 yds to the EMU 38 for a 1ST down
86.8%
0.0
Q2 0:39
Joe Labas pass complete to Langston Lewis for 5 yds to the EMU 33
86.9%
+0.1
Q2 0:24
Nahree Biggins run for 4 yds to the EMU 29
86.6%
-0.3
Q2 0:24
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 00:24
86.6%
+0.1
Q2 0:18
Angel Flores run for 5 yds to the EMU 24 for a 1ST down
86.6%
0.0
Q2 0:16
Angel Flores pass incomplete
86.8%
+0.2
Q2 0:12
Joe Labas pass incomplete to Tyson Davis
86.8%
0.0
Q2 0:07
Joe Labas pass complete to Nahree Biggins for 5 yds to the EMU 19
86.8%
0.0
Q2 0:04
Cade Graham 36 yd FG MISSED
87.0%
+0.2
EMU · Drive 10END OF HALF · 1 play · 2 yds
Q2 0:00
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the EMU 22
85.7%
-1.4
EMU · Drive 11TD · 12 plays · 69 yds
Q3 14:54
Cade Graham kickoff for 65 yds , Jayvin Norman return for 31 yds to the EMU 31
85.8%
+0.1
Q3 14:54
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 14:54
84.5%
-1.3
Q3 14:46
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
85.2%
+0.7
Q3 14:22
Dontae McMillan run for 6 yds to the CMU 44
84.5%
-0.7
Q3 14:01
PENALTY EMU False Start (Snively,Owen) 5 yards from CMU44 to CMU49. NO PLAY.
84.5%
0.0
Q3 13:39
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the CMU 47
84.4%
-0.1
Q3 13:02
Tavierre Dunlap run for 3 yds to the CMU 44
84.4%
0.0
Q3 12:27
(12:30) Shotgun Kim,Noah pass incomplete short right to Long,Joshua thrown to CMU30 PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (Rikard,Elijah) 15 yards from CMU44 to CMU29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
84.4%
0.0
Q3 12:22
Tavierre Dunlap run for 11 yds to the CMU 18 for a 1ST down
84.0%
-0.3
Q3 11:43
Noah Kim sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the CMU 21
84.5%
+0.4
Q3 11:09
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 7 yds to the CMU 14
84.5%
0.0
Q3 10:45
Noah Kim 14 Yd Run (Rudy Kessinger Kick)
73.3%
-1.6
CMU · Drive 12PUNT · 9 plays · 17 yds
Q3 10:46
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
74.9%
-9.6
Q3 10:40
Joe Labas pass incomplete to Rusty VanWetzinga IV
76.4%
+3.1
Q3 10:34
Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the CMU 28
76.4%
0.0
Q3 9:49
Joe Labas pass complete to Langston Lewis for 6 yds to the CMU 34
76.4%
0.0
Q3 9:08
Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the CMU 37 for a 1ST down
75.9%
-0.5
Q3 8:28
Brock Townsend run for 5 yds to the CMU 42
76.6%
+0.7
Q3 7:50
Brock Townsend run for 2 yds to the CMU 44
78.7%
+2.1
Q3 7:02
Angel Flores run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMU 42
78.5%
-0.2
Q3 6:19
Declan Duley punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMU 40 Eastern Michigan Penalty, Blocking Out Of Bounds (Joey Mattord) to the EMU 25
78.9%
+0.4
EMU · Drive 13PUNT · 5 plays · 5 yds
Q3 6:19
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 06:19
78.8%
-0.1
Q3 6:05
Noah Kim pass complete to Tavierre Dunlap for 5 yds to the EMU 30
78.8%
0.0
Q3 5:47
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Nick Devereaux
78.8%
0.0
Q3 5:43
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.
78.8%
0.0
Q3 5:35
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 43 yds , Caleb Spann returns for no gain to the CMU 27
78.8%
0.0
CMU · Drive 14PUNT · 5 plays · 9 yds
Q3 5:30
Angel Flores run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMU 26
80.3%
+1.5
Q3 4:47
Joe Labas pass complete to Langston Lewis for 8 yds to the CMU 34
81.7%
+1.4
Q3 4:09
Brock Townsend run for 2 yds to the CMU 36
81.7%
0.0
Q3 3:47
Declan Duley punt for 50 yds , Juan Salas returns for 11 yds to the EMU 25
81.3%
-0.4
Q3 3:47
Declan Duley punt for 50 yds , Juan Salas returns for 11 yds to the EMU 7
81.3%
0.0
EMU · Drive 15INT · 8 plays · 43 yds
Q3 3:40
Dontae McMillan run for 9 yds to the EMU 16
79.0%
-2.2
Q3 3:13
Dontae McMillan run for 7 yds to the EMU 23 for a 1ST down
79.0%
0.0
Q3 2:43
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 4 yds to the EMU 27
79.0%
0.0
Q3 2:02
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 12 yds to the EMU 39 for a 1ST down
80.4%
+1.4
Q3 1:35
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the EMU 41
80.4%
0.0
Q3 0:58
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 4 yds to the EMU 45
80.4%
0.0
Q3 0:22
Tavierre Dunlap run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
80.4%
0.0
Q3 0:07
Noah Kim pass intercepted Maddix Blackwell return for no gain to the CMU 24
80.1%
-0.3
CMU · Drive 16FG · 17 plays · 72 yds
Q3 0:00
Nahree Biggins run for 5 yds to the CMU 29
81.9%
+1.8
Q4 14:51
Joe Labas pass complete to Tommy McIntosh for 12 yds to the CMU 41 for a 1ST down
81.9%
0.0
Q4 14:49
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 14:49
82.0%
+0.2
Q4 14:25
Nahree Biggins run for 8 yds to the CMU 49
82.0%
0.0
Q4 13:43
Nahree Biggins run for 4 yds to the EMU 47 for a 1ST down
82.2%
+0.1
Q4 13:09
Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the EMU 44
82.2%
0.0
Q4 12:33
Angel Flores run for 2 yds to the EMU 42
82.2%
0.0
Q4 12:00
PENALTY CMU False Start (Blum,Ryan) 5 yards from EMU42 to EMU47. NO PLAY.
82.3%
+0.2
Q4 11:50
Angel Flores run for 9 yds to the EMU 38
82.0%
-0.3
Q4 11:09
Angel Flores run for 12 yds to the EMU 26 for a 1ST down
82.4%
+0.4
Q4 10:32
Nahree Biggins run for 3 yds to the EMU 23
83.5%
+1.0
Q4 9:56
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 09:56
84.7%
+1.3
Q4 9:48
Angel Flores run for 13 yds to the EMU 10 for a 1ST down
85.9%
+1.2
Q4 9:15
Angel Flores run for 1 yd to the EMU 9
85.8%
-0.1
Q4 8:28
Nahree Biggins run for 1 yd to the EMU 8
85.8%
0.0
Q4 7:44
Brock Townsend run for 4 yds to the EMU 4
85.8%
0.0
Q4 7:08
Cade Graham 22 yd FG GOOD
90.3%
+4.5
EMU · Drive 17MISSED FG · 10 plays · 57 yds
Q4 7:08
Cade Graham kickoff for 58 yds , Jayvin Norman return for 13 yds to the EMU 20
90.0%
-0.3
Q4 6:51
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 19 yds to the EMU 39 for a 1ST down
88.4%
-1.7
Q4 6:17
Dontae McMillan run for 9 yds to the EMU 48
88.4%
0.0
Q4 5:54
Dontae McMillan run for 13 yds to the CMU 39 for a 1ST down
88.4%
0.0
Q4 5:48
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.
88.3%
-0.1
Q4 5:41
(05:46) No Huddle-Shotgun Kim,Noah pass incomplete short right to Long,Joshua thrown to CMU29, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (Spann,Caleb) 10 yards from CMU39 to CMU29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
88.3%
0.0
Q4 5:21
Noah Kim run for 3 yds to the CMU 26
88.7%
+0.5
Q4 5:14
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 3 yds to the CMU 23
88.7%
0.0
Q4 4:53
Tavierre Dunlap run for no gain to the CMU 23
89.2%
+0.4
Q4 4:17
Rudy Kessinger 40 yd FG MISSED
89.2%
0.0
CMU · Drive 18Uncategorized · 11 plays · 56 yds
Q4 4:11
Nahree Biggins run for 5 yds to the CMU 28
90.6%
+1.5
Q4 4:10
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 04:10
90.6%
0.0
Q4 4:07
Nahree Biggins run for no gain to the CMU 28
90.6%
0.0
Q4 4:07
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 04:07
90.6%
0.0
Q4 4:03
Angel Flores run for 7 yds to the CMU 35 for a 1ST down
90.6%
0.0
Q4 3:15
Nahree Biggins run for 28 yds to the EMU 37 for a 1ST down
90.6%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Brock Townsend run for 22 yds to the EMU 15 for a 1ST down
90.6%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 02:00
90.7%
+0.1
Q4 1:59
J. Labas takes a knee
91.1%
+0.3
Q4 0:39
J. Labas takes a knee
91.2%
+0.1
Q4 0:38
J. Labas takes a knee
91.2%
0.0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q1 5:04
Cade Graham kickoff for 63 yds
+13.8
TD · Q1 9:36
Joe Labas pass complete to Brock Townsend for 1 yd for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)
+13
KEY PLAY · Q3 10:46
Nathan Dibert kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-9.6