Try the model
BGSU

Bowling Green 20 at Ohio 35

OHIO
2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Peden Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:35 · Magnus Haines punt for 36 yds , Brennan Ridley returns for no gain to the BGSU 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 167Pregame prior+1.5Home team on offense+30.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+23.1Score differential+15.4Garbage-time factor+14.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+7.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:08: Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 25 yds for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK) — OHIO win probability +9.3 pts (now 84%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:42: Parker Navarro run for 5 yds for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK) — OHIO win probability +7.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:41: Chris McMillian run for 15 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK) — BGSU win probability +10.2 pts (now 17%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:41: Timeout Ohio, clock 09:41 — OHIO win probability +10.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:20: Parker Navarro run for 34 yds for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK) — OHIO win probability +6.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 7BGSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 10:02OHIO 4th & 2 at BGSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    70.1%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:41BGSU 4th & 8 at OHIO 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    25.3%−2.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:49OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:31BGSU 4th & 3 at BGSU 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:30OHIO 4th & 3 at OHIO 44, up 11
    Close callPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:30OHIO 4th & 3 at OHIO 44, up 11
    Close callPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:45BGSU 4th & 4 at OHIO 15, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−0.4
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−3.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:29OHIO 4th & 3 at BGSU 39, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    78.0%−1.9
    36% to make
    Punt
    78.2%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:22BGSU 4th & 21 at BGSU 22, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−4.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:37BGSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 26, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:15OHIO 4th & 10 at OHIO 42, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:11BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 49, down 15
    Close callPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:10BGSU 4th & 18 at midfield, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:35OHIO 4th & 11 at OHIO 49, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5BGSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 12:59OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:02BGSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:35OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:08OHIO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:42OHIO Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:41BGSU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.1%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.6%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:20OHIO Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1INT TD
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5126% → 26%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
74.1%
Cameron Pettaway run for 3 yds to the OHIO 48Similar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+4
74.1%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for 4 yds to the OHIO 44Similar
Q1 14:50
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+12
74.1%
Lucian Anderson III run for 12 yds to the OHIO 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-71
74.0%
Drew Pyne pass intercepted Cameron Hollobaugh return for 71 yds for a TD Bowling Green Penalty, (-15 Yards) to the BGSU 0 (Brack Peacock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5726% → 27%
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
74.3%
Cameron Pettaway run for 8 yds to the BGSU 33Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
74.1%
Drew Pyne run for 7 yds to the BGSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+33
74.2%
Chris McMillian run for 33 yds to the OHIO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
74.0%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Chris McMillian for 1 yd to the OHIO 26Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 9
OPP 26
-1
74.0%
Chris McMillian run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 27Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+27
72.6%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for 27 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:2773% → 76%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
73.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the OHIO 28Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
73.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the OHIO 33Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
73.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the OHIO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
73.3%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 6 yds to the OHIO 45Similar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+24
73.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 24 yds to the BGSU 16 for a 1ST down Ohio Penalty, Offensive Holding (Rodney Harris II) to the BGSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
73.6%
Ohio Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BGSU 40Similar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
73.6%
Parker Navarro run for 1 yd to the BGSU 39Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
73.6%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Rodney Harris IISimilar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+7
73.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 7 yds to the BGSU 32Similar
Q1 10:02
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+13
73.3%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 13 yds to the BGSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
76.0%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 19 yds for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4FG
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:4925% → 28%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+38
74.7%
RJ Garcia II run for 38 yds to the OHIO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
73.7%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Allen Middleton for 9 yds to the OHIO 24Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+4
73.6%
Chris McMillian run for 4 yds to the OHIO 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
73.6%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Finn Hogan for 10 yds to the OHIO 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
73.6%
Lucian Anderson III run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 11Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
73.7%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Jyrin JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+3
73.8%
Drew Pyne run for 3 yds to the OHIO 8Similar
Q1 1:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
72.0%
Jackson Kleather 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:4872% → 71%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
71.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 11 yds to the OHIO 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
72.1%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Jake Bruno for 2 yds to the OHIO 34Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+2
71.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the OHIO 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
71.6%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase HendricksSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
71.0%
Magnus Haines punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Brennan Ridley at the BGSU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:1828% → 28%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-4
72.2%
Kaderris Roberts run for a loss of 4 yards to the BGSU 22Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 14
OWN 22
+3
72.6%
Kaderris Roberts run for 3 yds to the BGSU 25Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+8
72.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for 8 yds to the BGSU 33Similar
Q2 12:31
4TH & 3
OWN 33
+13
72.4%
John Henderson punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OHIO 43 , Chase Hendricks returns for 13 yds to the OHIO 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:2374% → 84%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
73.7%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Dom DorwartSimilar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+14
73.3%
Parker Navarro run for 14 yds to the BGSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
74.0%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Dom Dorwart for 7 yds to the BGSU 36Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+1
74.0%
run for 1 yd to the BGSU 25 fumbled, recovered by BGSU Parker Navarro for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
74.2%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase HendricksSimilar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
83.5%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 25 yds for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8INT
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:2122% → 23%
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
77.6%
PENALTY BGSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from BGSU27 to BGSU22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+15
77.9%
Chris McMillian run for 15 yds to the BGSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
77.2%
Drew Pyne pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 21 yds to the OHIO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
77.6%
Cameron Pettaway run for 5 yds to the OHIO 37Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+6
77.3%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Winn Sharp for 6 yds to the OHIO 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
77.1%
Chris McMillian run for 5 yds to the OHIO 26Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 5
OPP 26
-37
77.2%
Drew Pyne pass intercepted Tank Pearson return for 37 yds to the OHIO 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:1185% → 84%
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
85.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the OHIO 40Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
85.2%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the OHIO 43Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+1
84.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the OHIO 44Similar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+27
83.9%
Magnus Haines punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BGSU 43 , Brennan Ridley returns for 27 yds to the BGSU 29 Bowling Green Penalty, (Yards) to the BGSU 43Similar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+29
83.9%
Magnus Haines punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BGSU 14 , Brennan Ridley returns for 29 yds to the BGSU 27 Bowling Green Penalty, (10 Yards) to the BGSU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 3:4517% → 21%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
83.2%
Chris McMillian run for 3 yds to the BGSU 17Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+6
83.3%
Chris McMillian run for 6 yds to the BGSU 23Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+1
83.5%
Mar'Kel Porter run for 1 yd to the BGSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+18
83.1%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Finn Hogan for 18 yds to the BGSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
82.5%
Kaderris Roberts run for 12 yds to the OHIO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
82.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Pyne,Drew pass incomplete deep right to Garcia II,RJ thrown to Ohio17 broken up by Pearson,Tank PENALTY Ohio Offside (Reagans lll,Derek) 5 yards from Ohio46 to Ohio41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 5
OPP 41
+6
82.4%
Cameron Pettaway run for 6 yds to the OHIO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
82.0%
Drew Pyne pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 8 yds to the OHIO 27Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+6
81.6%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Cameron Pettaway for 6 yds to the OHIO 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
81.6%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Finn HoganSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
82.0%
Drew Pyne run for 6 yds to the OHIO 15Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 4
OPP 15
0
82.3%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to RJ Garcia IISimilar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+33
79.0%
Jackson Kleather 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11MISSED FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 0:4584% → 83%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
83.8%
Parker Navarro run for 1 yd to the OHIO 26Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
83.4%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Dom Dorwart for 4 yds to the OHIO 30Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
83.2%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Dom Dorwart for 8 yds to the OHIO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
84.6%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 11 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
85.0%
Parker Navarro run for 6 yds to the BGSU 45Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+24
83.4%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Caleb Gossett for 24 yds to the BGSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+38
83.1%
Brack Peacock 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12INT
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:2780% → 80%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
80.3%
Duncan Brune run for 4 yds to the OHIO 27Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+16
79.8%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 16 yds to the OHIO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
81.4%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+11
81.0%
Duncan Brune run for 11 yds to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
81.7%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase HendricksSimilar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
81.5%
Duncan Brune run for 2 yds to the BGSU 44Similar
Q3 14:22
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+5
80.8%
Parker Navarro run for 5 yds to the BGSU 39Similar
Q3 11:29
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
80.3%
Parker Navarro pass intercepted JoJo Johnson return for no gain to the BGSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 2:0722% → 19%
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
77.9%
Chris McMillian run for no gain to the BGSU 33Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
78.3%
Chris McMillian run for 2 yds to the BGSU 35Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 8
OWN 35
-13
79.0%
Drew Pyne sacked by Jay Crable for a loss of 13 yards to the BGSU 22Similar
Q3 9:22
4TH & 21
OWN 22
0
80.8%
John Henderson punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14FUMBLE
3 plays · 31 yds · 0:4482% → 84%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+34
82.0%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 34 yds to the BGSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
84.1%
Parker Navarro sacked by Myles Bradley for a loss of 3 yards to the BGSU 36 Parker Navarro fumbled, recovered by BGSU Isaiah Thomison , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · -7 yds · 1:2923% → 24%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
77.4%
Cameron Pettaway run for 7 yds to the BGSU 43Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 3
OWN 43
-1
76.3%
Lucian Anderson III run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 42Similar
Q3 7:09
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-13
76.5%
Lucian Anderson III sacked by Cameron Hollobaugh for a loss of 13 yards to the BGSU 27 Lucian Anderson III fumbled, recovered by OHIO Jay Crable , return for 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16TD
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:2785% → 92%
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+17
84.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 17 yds to the BGSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
84.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the BGSU 5Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
91.7%
Parker Navarro run for 5 yds for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:0512% → 10%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
88.4%
PENALTY BGSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from BGSU25 to BGSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
88.5%
Cameron Pettaway run for 2 yds to the BGSU 22Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+1
88.8%
Drew Pyne pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 1 yd to the BGSU 23Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+3
89.0%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Mar'Kel Porter for 3 yds to the BGSU 26Similar
Q3 3:37
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
90.0%
John Henderson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Chase Hendricks at the OHIO 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2296% → 95%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
95.8%
Parker Navarro run for no gain to the OHIO 42Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
95.7%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase HendricksSimilar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
95.5%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for no gain to the OHIO 42Similar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
95.3%
Magnus Haines punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brennan Ridley at the BGSU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 3:049% → 7%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-4
91.5%
Drew Pyne sacked by Evan Herrmann for a loss of 4 yards to the BGSU 17Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 14
OWN 17
+5
91.7%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 5 yds to the BGSU 22Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+23
91.8%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Finn Hogan for 23 yds to the BGSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
90.9%
Cameron Pettaway run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
50
-7
92.2%
Drew Pyne sacked by Jay Crable for a loss of 7 yards to the BGSU 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 43
+6
93.1%
Drew Pyne run for 6 yds to the BGSU 49Similar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
92.7%
John Henderson punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OHIO 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20FUMBLE
5 plays · 56 yds · 2:4298% → 98%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+13
97.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 13 yds to the OHIO 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
97.6%
Duncan Brune run for 5 yds to the OHIO 28Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+33
97.7%
Duncan Brune run for 33 yds to the BGSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
97.8%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 11 yds to the BGSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-6
98.4%
Parker Navarro run for a loss of 6 yards to the BGSU 45 Parker Navarro fumbled, recovered by BGSU MJ CannonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 1:486% → 17%
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
93.8%
Chris McMillian run for 7 yds to the OHIO 48Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 3
OPP 48
0
93.3%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Chris McMillianSimilar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+4
94.0%
Drew Pyne pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 4 yds to the OHIO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
93.6%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Cameron Pettaway for 11 yds to the OHIO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+18
92.8%
Cameron Pettaway run for 18 yds to the OHIO 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
82.6%
Chris McMillian run for 15 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2193% → 99%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the OHIO 26Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
92.3%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 7 yds to the OHIO 33Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
92.1%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 8 yds to the OHIO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
93.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the OHIO 43Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-5
93.2%
PENALTY Ohio False Start 5 yards from Ohio43 to Ohio38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+28
93.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 28 yds to the BGSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
99.3%
Parker Navarro run for 34 yds for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:034% → 3%
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
95.8%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to RJ Garcia IISimilar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-8
95.8%
Drew Pyne sacked by Jay Crable for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 18
50
0
96.3%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Jacob HarrisSimilar
Q4 5:10
4TH & 18
50
0
97.4%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Jacob HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:3599% → 100%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
50
0
99.4%
Duncan Brune run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 10
50
+2
99.4%
Duncan Brune run for 2 yds to the BGSU 48Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 8
OPP 48
-3
99.4%
Parker Navarro sacked by Myles Bradley for a loss of 3 yards to the OHIO 49Similar
Q4 3:35
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
99.6%
Magnus Haines punt for 36 yds , Brennan Ridley returns for no gain to the BGSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 25INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:262% → 2%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
97.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Cameron Pettaway for 3 yds to the BGSU 18Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
97.9%
Drew Pyne pass intercepted DJ Walker return for no gain to the BGSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 5 yds · 3:09100% → 100%
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
99.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the BGSU 29Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+1
99.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the BGSU 28Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+7
99.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 7 yds to the BGSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
99.5%
P. Navarro takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 24
-3
99.6%
P. Navarro takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:41
Chris McMillian run for 15 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)
-10.2
TD · Q4 9:41
Timeout Ohio, clock 09:41
+10
TD · Q2 10:08
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 25 yds for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK)
+9.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com