AKR
Akron 3 at Toledo 45
TOL2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Glass Bowl
Speed4x
Win probability · TOL
modelTOL aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey play
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TOL · Drive 1TD · 2 plays · 28 yds
Q1 14:51
Brayden Johnson kickoff for 45 yds , Bryson Hammer return for 52 yds to the AKR 28
88.4%
0.0
Q1 14:44
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 28 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
94.6%
+6.2
AKR · Drive 2PUNT · 5 plays · 2 yds
Q1 14:38
Robert Hammond III kickoff for 60 yds , Brandon Hills return for 24 yds to the AKR 29
94.5%
-0.1
Q1 14:24
Jordan Gant run for a loss of 2 yards to the AKR 27
93.4%
-1.1
Q1 14:02
Michael Johnson Jr. pass complete to Marcel Williams for 4 yds to the AKR 31
93.4%
0.0
Q1 13:40
Michael Johnson Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan Gant
93.4%
0.0
Q1 13:32
Joseph Castle punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Bryson Hammer at the TOL 24
93.4%
0.0
TOL · Drive 3TD · 7 plays · 76 yds
Q1 13:24
Chip Trayanum run for 10 yds to the TOL 34 for a 1ST down
94.5%
+1.1
Q1 12:43
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Terrell Crosby Jr. for 19 yds to the AKR 47 for a 1ST down
94.5%
0.0
Q1 12:23
Chip Trayanum run for no gain to the AKR 47
94.7%
+0.2
Q1 11:40
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 17 yds to the AKR 30 for a 1ST down
94.9%
+0.2
Q1 11:07
Chip Trayanum run for 20 yds to the AKR 10 for a 1ST down
94.9%
0.0
Q1 10:36
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for a loss of 1 yard to the AKR 11
94.9%
0.0
Q1 9:59
Chip Trayanum run for 11 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
98.6%
+3.7
AKR · Drive 4PUNT · 10 plays · 15 yds
Q1 9:54
Robert Hammond III kickoff for 60 yds , Brandon Hills return for 16 yds to the AKR 21
98.6%
0.0
Q1 9:48
Michael Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the AKR 24
97.5%
-1.1
Q1 9:19
Jordan Gant run for 6 yds to the AKR 30
97.5%
0.0
Q1 9:00
Timeout Akron, clock 09:00
97.8%
+0.3
Q1 8:54
Jordan Gant run for 4 yds to the AKR 34 for a 1ST down
97.8%
0.0
Q1 8:29
Michael Johnson Jr. pass incomplete to Marcel Williams
98.1%
+0.4
Q1 8:17
Michael Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the AKR 36
98.1%
0.0
Q1 7:38
Michael Johnson Jr. pass incomplete to Israel Polk
98.1%
0.0
Q1 7:29
Joseph Castle punt for 41 yds , Bryson Hammer returns for 5 yds to the TOL 28
98.1%
0.0
Q1 7:29
Joseph Castle punt for 41 yds , Bryson Hammer returns for 2 yds to the TOL 15
98.1%
0.0
TOL · Drive 5PUNT · 4 plays · 5 yds
Q1 7:23
Kenji Christian run for no gain to the TOL 15
98.9%
+0.8
Q1 6:48
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 5 yds to the TOL 20
98.9%
0.0
Q1 6:13
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Jacob Petersen
98.9%
0.0
Q1 6:06
Emilio Duran punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Terence Thomas at the TOL 48
98.8%
0.0
AKR · Drive 6PUNT · 5 plays · -17 yds
Q1 5:57
Michael Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line
97.8%
-1.0
Q1 5:17
Michael Johnson Jr. sacked by Jeremiah Peters for a loss of 10 yards to the AKR 40
97.8%
0.0
Q1 4:34
PENALTY AKRON Delay Of Game (Johnson Jr.,Michael) 5 yards from AKRON40 to AKRON35. NO PLAY.
97.9%
0.0
Q1 4:11
Jordan Gant run for no gain to the AKR 35
97.9%
0.0
Q1 3:42
Joseph Castle punt for 53 yds , Bryson Hammer returns for 13 yds to the TOL 25
97.9%
0.0
TOL · Drive 7TD · 11 plays · 75 yds
Q1 3:25
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Kenji Christian for 2 yds to the TOL 27
98.8%
+1.0
Q1 2:48
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 21 yds to the TOL 48 for a 1ST down
98.8%
0.0
Q1 2:18
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 14 yds to the AKR 38 for a 1ST down
98.8%
0.0
Q1 1:45
Chip Trayanum run for 13 yds to the AKR 25 for a 1ST down
98.9%
+0.1
Q1 1:13
Chip Trayanum run for 4 yds to the AKR 21
98.9%
0.0
Q1 0:41
Chip Trayanum run for 6 yds to the AKR 15 for a 1ST down
98.9%
0.0
Q1 0:00
Kenji Christian run for 3 yds to the AKR 12
98.8%
0.0
Q2 14:54
Kenji Christian run for 6 yds to the AKR 6
98.8%
0.0
Q2 14:23
Kenji Christian run for 3 yds to the AKR 3 for a 1ST down
98.8%
0.0
Q2 14:04
(14:05) No Huddle-Shotgun Trayanum,Chip rush middle for 2 yards gain to the AKRON01 fumbled by Trayanum,Chip at AKRON01 forced by Hull,Ronald recovered by AKRON Dall,Bruno at AKRON01, End Of Play PENALTY AKRON Offside (Murphy,CJ) 1 yard from AKRON03 to AKRON02. NO PLAY.
98.9%
0.0
Q2 13:41
Tucker Gleason run for 2 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
99.5%
+0.7
AKR · Drive 8PUNT · 6 plays · 25 yds
Q2 13:41
Robert Hammond III kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.5%
0.0
Q2 13:35
Toledo Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the AKR 41 for a 1ST down
99.0%
-0.6
Q2 13:06
Michael Johnson Jr. pass complete to Jordan Gant for 1 yd to the AKR 42
99.0%
0.0
Q2 12:33
Michael Johnson Jr. sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the AKR 34
99.0%
0.0
Q2 11:53
Michael Johnson Jr. pass incomplete to Israel Polk
99.0%
0.0
Q2 11:45
Joseph Castle punt blocked by Isaac Zay blocked by Isaac Zay Brayden Johnson return to the 50 yard line
99.0%
0.0
TOL · Drive 9TD · 3 plays · 50 yds
Q2 11:23
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Eric Holley III for 13 yds to the AKR 37 for a 1ST down
99.5%
+0.5
Q2 11:03
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 11 yds to the AKR 26 for a 1ST down
99.5%
0.0
Q2 10:27
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 26 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
99.8%
+0.3
AKR · Drive 10FG · 20 plays · 54 yds
Q2 10:27
Robert Hammond III kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.8%
0.0
Q2 10:08
Michael Johnson Jr. pass complete to Tim Grear Jr. for 5 yds to the AKR 30
99.5%
-0.3
Q2 9:47
Jordan Gant run for 4 yds to the AKR 34
99.5%
0.0
Q2 9:11
Jordan Gant run for 1 yd to the AKR 35 for a 1ST down
99.5%
0.0
Q2 8:35
Jordan Gant run for 5 yds to the AKR 40
99.5%
0.0
Q2 7:56
Michael Johnson Jr. run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
99.5%
0.0
Q2 7:20
Michael Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the TOL 43
99.5%
0.0
Q2 6:41
Marquese Williams run for 8 yds to the TOL 35 for a 1ST down
99.5%
0.0
Q2 6:13
Marquese Williams run for 1 yd to the TOL 34
99.5%
0.0
Q2 5:33
Michael Johnson Jr. pass incomplete to Cameron Monteiro
99.6%
+0.1
Q2 5:25
Jordan Gant run for a loss of 2 yards to the TOL 36
99.6%
0.0
Q2 4:38
Michael Johnson Jr. pass complete to Kyan Mason for 15 yds to the TOL 21 for a 1ST down
99.6%
0.0
Q2 4:04
Jordan Gant run for no gain to the TOL 21
99.6%
0.0
Q2 3:24
Michael Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the TOL 16
99.6%
0.0
Q2 3:04
Michael Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the TOL 13 for a 1ST down Akron Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jayme Motley-Simmons) to the TOL 11 for a 1ST down
99.6%
0.0
Q2 2:33
Michael Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the TOL 15
99.6%
0.0
Q2 2:07
Michael Johnson Jr. pass incomplete to Cameron Monteiro
99.6%
0.0
Q2 2:02
Marquese Williams run for a loss of 6 yards to the TOL 21
99.6%
0.0
Q2 2:00
Timeout Toledo, clock 02:00
99.5%
0.0
Q2 1:56
Owen Wiley 39 yd FG GOOD
99.4%
-0.2
TOL · Drive 11TD · 8 plays · 72 yds
Q2 1:52
Brayden Johnson kickoff for 40 yds , Hudson Miller return for 3 yds to the TOL 28
99.4%
0.0
Q2 1:42
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 12 yds to the TOL 40 for a 1ST down
99.8%
+0.4
Q2 1:31
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jacob Petersen for 28 yds to the AKR 32 for a 1ST down
99.8%
0.0
Q2 1:03
(01:14) No Huddle Gleason,Tucker rush middle for 4 yards gain to the AKRON28, End Of Play PENALTY TOLEDO False Start (Rhett,Cole) 5 yards from AKRON32 to AKRON37. NO PLAY.
99.8%
0.0
Q2 0:42
Timeout Toledo, clock 00:42
99.8%
0.0
Q2 0:34
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 11 yds to the AKR 26
99.8%
0.0
Q2 0:23
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Eric Holley III for 26 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
99.9%
+0.1
Q2 0:23
Toledo Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Eric Holley III) to the TOL 10
99.9%
0.0
AKR · Drive 12END OF HALF · 2 plays · -3 yds
Q2 0:23
Robert Hammond III kickoff for 90 yds for a touchback
99.9%
0.0
Q2 0:00
M. Johnson Jr. takes a knee
99.6%
-0.3
AKR · Drive 13PUNT · 5 plays · 2 yds
Q3 15:00
Robert Hammond III kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.9%
+0.2
Q3 14:33
Michael Johnson Jr. pass complete to Jordan Gant for no gain to the AKR 25
99.6%
-0.2
Q3 14:12
Jordan Gant run for 7 yds to the AKR 32
99.6%
0.0
Q3 13:27
Michael Johnson Jr. pass complete to Marquese Williams for 5 yds to the AKR 27
99.6%
0.0
Q3 12:53
Joseph Castle punt for 55 yds
99.6%
0.0
TOL · Drive 14PUNT · 8 plays · 30 yds
Q3 12:47
Chip Trayanum run for 9 yds to the TOL 27
99.9%
+0.2
Q3 12:21
John Alan Richter pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 6 yds to the TOL 33 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q3 11:56
Chip Trayanum run for 5 yds to the TOL 38
99.9%
0.0
Q3 11:19
John Alan Richter pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 8 yds to the TOL 46 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q3 10:51
John Alan Richter run for 3 yds to the TOL 49
99.9%
0.0
Q3 10:34
Chip Trayanum run for a loss of 1 yard to the TOL 48
99.9%
0.0
Q3 10:04
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph
99.9%
0.0
Q3 9:55
Emilio Duran punt for 52 yds for a touchback
99.9%
0.0
AKR · Drive 15PUNT · 4 plays · 8 yds
Q3 9:47
Jordan Gant run for no gain to the AKR 20
99.7%
-0.2
Q3 9:13
Michael Johnson Jr. pass complete to Cameron Monteiro for 8 yds to the AKR 28
99.7%
0.0
Q3 8:37
Michael Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the AKR 28
99.7%
0.0
Q3 7:56
Joseph Castle punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Bryson Hammer at the TOL 22
99.7%
0.0
TOL · Drive 16PUNT · 4 plays · 8 yds
Q3 7:49
Kenji Christian run for 5 yds to the TOL 27
99.9%
+0.2
Q3 7:16
Chip Trayanum run for a loss of 2 yards to the TOL 25
99.9%
0.0
Q3 6:27
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 5 yds to the TOL 30
99.9%
0.0
Q3 5:51
Emilio Duran punt for 48 yds
99.9%
0.0
AKR · Drive 17FUMBLE · 8 plays · 43 yds
Q3 5:34
Brayden Roggow pass complete to Israel Polk for 14 yds to the AKR 36 for a 1ST down
99.7%
-0.2
Q3 5:11
Marquese Williams run for 5 yds to the AKR 41
99.7%
0.0
Q3 4:44
Cam Macon run for 7 yds to the AKR 48 for a 1ST down
99.7%
0.0
Q3 4:18
Brayden Roggow pass incomplete to Israel Polk
99.7%
0.0
Q3 4:01
Brayden Roggow pass complete to Luke Reed for 7 yds to the TOL 45
99.7%
0.0
Q3 3:24
Cam Macon run for 1 yd to the TOL 44
99.7%
0.0
Q3 2:41
Brayden Roggow pass complete to Israel Polk for 2 yds to the TOL 42 for a 1ST down
99.7%
0.0
Q3 2:18
Cam Macon run for 7 yds to the TOL 35 Cam Macon fumbled, recovered by AKR Nasir Bowers
99.7%
0.0
TOL · Drive 18FG · 5 plays · 42 yds
Q3 2:07
Tucker Gleason run for 35 yds to the AKR 30 for a 1ST down
99.9%
+0.2
Q3 1:35
Connor Walendzak run for 7 yds to the AKR 23
99.9%
0.0
Q3 0:54
Connor Walendzak run for no gain to the AKR 23
99.9%
0.0
Q3 0:15
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to CC Ezirim
99.9%
0.0
Q3 0:12
Dylan Cunanan 40 yd FG GOOD
99.9%
0.0
AKR · Drive 19PUNT · 5 plays · 7 yds
Q3 0:08
Robert Hammond III kickoff for 65 yds , Brandon Hills return for 18 yds to the AKR 18
99.9%
0.0
Q3 0:04
Brayden Roggow pass incomplete to Cameron Monteiro
99.7%
-0.2
Q3 0:00
Brayden Roggow pass complete to Myles Walker for 7 yds to the AKR 25
99.7%
0.0
Q4 14:56
Brayden Roggow pass incomplete to Myles Walker
99.7%
0.0
Q4 14:43
Joseph Castle punt for 48 yds , Bryson Hammer returns for 28 yds to the AKR 45
99.7%
0.0
TOL · Drive 20TD · 4 plays · 45 yds
Q4 14:32
Kalieb Osborne run for 17 yds to the AKR 28 for a 1ST down
99.9%
+0.2
Q4 13:56
Connor Walendzak run for 3 yds to the AKR 25
99.9%
0.0
Q4 13:25
Connor Walendzak run for 4 yds to the AKR 21
99.9%
0.0
Q4 12:48
Kalieb Osborne run for 21 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
99.9%
0.0
AKR · Drive 21PUNT · 5 plays · 3 yds
Q4 12:43
Robert Hammond III kickoff for 56 yds , Brandon Hills return for 31 yds to the AKR 40
99.9%
0.0
Q4 12:34
Jordan Gant run for a loss of 2 yards to the AKR 38
99.8%
-0.1
Q4 12:03
Brayden Roggow pass incomplete
99.8%
0.0
Q4 11:50
Brayden Roggow pass complete to Tim Grear Jr. for 5 yds to the AKR 43
99.8%
0.0
Q4 11:14
Joseph Castle punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Bryson Hammer at the TOL 15
99.8%
0.0
TOL · Drive 22MISSED FG · 9 plays · 52 yds
Q4 11:01
Kalieb Osborne pass complete to Julian Allen for 6 yds to the TOL 21
99.9%
+0.1
Q4 10:39
Willie Shaw III run for 5 yds to the TOL 26 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 10:01
Willie Shaw III run for 3 yds to the TOL 29
99.9%
0.0
Q4 9:33
Kalieb Osborne pass incomplete to Julian Allen
99.9%
0.0
Q4 9:06
Kalieb Osborne pass complete to Tashi Braceful for 36 yds to the AKR 35 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 8:51
Willie Shaw III run for 3 yds to the AKR 32
99.9%
0.0
Q4 8:11
Mike Drennen II run for 4 yds to the AKR 28
99.9%
0.0
Q4 7:32
Kalieb Osborne sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the AKR 33
99.9%
0.0
Q4 6:49
Dylan Cunanan 51 yd FG MISSED
99.9%
0.0
AKR · Drive 23PUNT · 6 plays · 18 yds
Q4 6:40
Cam Macon run for 1 yd to the AKR 34
99.8%
-0.1
Q4 5:59
Brayden Roggow pass complete to Marcel Williams for 11 yds to the AKR 45 for a 1ST down
99.8%
0.0
Q4 5:43
Cam Macon run for 1 yd to the AKR 46
99.8%
0.0
Q4 5:14
Brayden Roggow pass complete to Myles Walker for 5 yds to the TOL 49
99.8%
0.0
Q4 4:40
Brayden Roggow pass incomplete to Kyan Mason
99.8%
0.0
Q4 4:34
Joseph Castle punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Bryson Hammer at the TOL 15
99.8%
0.0
TOL · Drive 24END OF GAME · 8 plays · 58 yds
Q4 4:25
Willie Shaw III run for 13 yds to the TOL 28 for a 1ST down
99.9%
+0.1
Q4 3:44
Willie Shaw III run for 4 yds to the TOL 32
99.9%
0.0
Q4 3:06
Kalieb Osborne run for 9 yds to the TOL 41 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 2:21
Mike Drennen II run for 4 yds to the TOL 45
99.9%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Toledo, clock 02:00
99.9%
0.0
Q4 1:47
Mike Drennen II run for 8 yds to the AKR 47 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 1:08
Jake DeHaan run for 13 yds to the AKR 34 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 0:00
Mike Drennen II run for 7 yds to the AKR 27
99.9%
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 14:44
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 28 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
+6.2
TD · Q1 9:59
Chip Trayanum run for 11 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
+3.7
KEY PLAY · Q1 14:24
Jordan Gant run for a loss of 2 yards to the AKR 27
-1.1