Try the model
GWEB

Gardner-Webb 35 at Ohio 52

OHIO
2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Peden Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadGWEB aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreGWEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:04 · Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase Hendricks
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Pregame prior+30.6Home team on offense+10.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Garbage-time factor+5.1Score differential+1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:30: Nate Hampton pass complete to Quasean Holmes for 68 yds for a TD (Charlie Viorel KICK) — GWEB win probability +4.6 pts (now 11%) (top driver: GWEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:54: Duncan Brune run for 1 yd for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK) — OHIO win probability +5.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:06: Nate Hampton pass complete to Chris Lofton for 42 yds for a TD (Charlie Viorel KICK) — GWEB win probability +6.6 pts (now 10%) (top driver: GWEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:25: Sieh Bangura run for 32 yds for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK) — OHIO win probability +4.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:48: Quasean Holmes run for 5 yds for a TD (Charlie Viorel KICK) — GWEB win probability +5.8 pts (now 8%) (top driver: GWEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4GWEB made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00GWEB 4th & 4 at GWEB 31, tied
    Close callWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:03OHIO 4th & 8 at OHIO 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:03GWEB 4th & 2 at OHIO 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 11:03GWEB 4th & 2 at OHIO 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:24OHIO 4th & 12 at GWEB 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    91.9%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:51GWEB 4th & 5 at GWEB 28, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:49GWEB 4th & 13 at OHIO 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    10.7%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:04OHIO 4th & 2 at GWEB 41, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    91.3%−1.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    91.5%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:42GWEB 4th & 9 at GWEB 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:05OHIO 4th & 17 at OHIO 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−1.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:12GWEB 4th & 7 at GWEB 14, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:06GWEB 4th & 3 at OHIO 42, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%−1.0
    30% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:25GWEB 4th & 3 at midfield, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:57GWEB 4th & 6 at GWEB 23, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 6 of 7GWEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 6:31GWEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:20GWEB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:59OHIO Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:55OHIO Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:30GWEB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:01OHIO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:28OHIO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:54OHIO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:06GWEB Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 11:25OHIO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 7:48GWEB Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.0%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 4:00OHIO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GWEBDrive 1INT
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:293% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Nate Hampton run for no gain to the GWEB 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Nate Hampton pass incomplete to Cole SchniederSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.5%
Nate Hampton run for 6 yds to the GWEB 31Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+34
97.5%
Jackson Marshall run for 34 yds to the OHIO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
97.5%
Quasean Holmes run for 17 yds to the OHIO 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
97.1%
Nate Hampton pass intercepted Michael Mack II return for no gain to the OHIO 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2897% → 97%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
97.1%
Sieh Bangura run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 11Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 11
OWN 11
+3
97.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the OHIO 14Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 8
OWN 14
0
97.1%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Sieh BanguraSimilar
Q1 11:03
4TH & 8
OWN 14
+32
96.9%
Magnus Haines punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OHIO 37 , Anthony Lowe returns for 32 yds to the OHIO 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 3TD
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:323% → 5%
Q1 11:03
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+5
96.9%
Nate Hampton run for 5 yds to the OHIO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
96.8%
Nate Hampton pass complete to Anthony Lowe for 2 yds to the OHIO 22Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+2
96.8%
Nate Hampton pass complete to Chris Lofton for 2 yds to the OHIO 20Similar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+4
96.9%
Nate Hampton run for 4 yds to the OHIO 16Similar
Q1 11:03
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+8
96.9%
Nate Hampton pass complete to Anthony Lowe for 8 yds to the OHIO 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
96.8%
Nate Hampton pass complete to Anthony Lowe for 2 yds to the OHIO 35Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+3
96.8%
Quasean Holmes run for 3 yds to the OHIO 32Similar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+3
96.8%
Quasean Holmes run for 3 yds to the OHIO 29Similar
Q1 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
95.3%
Quasean Holmes run for 8 yds for a TD (Charlie Viorel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4FG
9 plays · 26 yds · 2:5796% → 95%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
95.5%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase HendricksSimilar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+18
95.5%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 18 yds to the GWEB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
95.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 10 yds to the GWEB 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
95.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the GWEB 11Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 9
OPP 11
-2
95.6%
Parker Navarro sacked by Robert Holtz for a loss of 2 yards to the GWEB 13Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 11
OPP 13
-1
95.5%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Max Rodarte for a loss of 1 yard to the GWEB 14Similar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+31
94.9%
Brack Peacock 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:045% → 7%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
94.9%
Nate Hampton pass complete to Anthony Lowe for 13 yds to the GWEB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
94.8%
Carson Gresock run for 9 yds to the GWEB 47Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+3
94.7%
Carson Gresock run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
50
+2
94.7%
Nate Hampton pass complete to Jabre Bevineau for 2 yds to the OHIO 48Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+48
92.8%
Carson Gresock run for 48 yds for a TD (Charlie Viorel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:2193% → 93%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
92.9%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 14 yds to the GWEB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
93.1%
Parker Navarro run for 2 yds to the GWEB 42Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+7
93.1%
Duncan Brune run for 7 yds to the GWEB 35Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+1
92.4%
Duncan Brune run for 1 yd to the GWEB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+32
92.6%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Duncan Brune for 32 yds to the GWEB 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
92.5%
Duncan Brune run for 1 yd to the GWEB 1Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
92.6%
PENALTY Ohio False Start (Marinaro,Nick) 5 yards from GWU01 to GWU06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
92.6%
Duncan Brune run for 4 yds to the GWEB 2Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.7%
Duncan Brune run for 2 yds for a TD (Brack Peacock PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:017% → 8%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
92.6%
Anthony Lowe run for 5 yds to the GWEB 28Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+2
92.5%
Quasean Holmes run for 2 yds to the GWEB 30Similar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+2
92.5%
run for 2 yds to the GWEB 28 fumbled, recovered by GWEB Aaron McIverSimilar
Q2 10:51
4TH & 5
OWN 28
+18
91.8%
Brady Braun punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OHIO 31 , Max Rodarte returns for 18 yds to the OHIO 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 2:5691% → 94%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
91.3%
Parker Navarro run for 5 yds to the OHIO 36Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+7
91.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 7 yds to the OHIO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+21
91.6%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 21 yds to the GWEB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+16
91.9%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 16 yds to the GWEB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
92.2%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Rodney Harris IISimilar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+12
92.2%
Parker Navarro run for 12 yds to the GWEB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
94.0%
Sieh Bangura 8 Yd Run (Mason Williams Pass to Parker Navarro for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 9TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:257% → 11%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.5%
Quasean Holmes run for 1 yd to the GWEB 26Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
93.5%
Nate Hampton run for 6 yds to the GWEB 32Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+68
88.8%
Nate Hampton pass complete to Quasean Holmes for 68 yds for a TD (Charlie Viorel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:2991% → 93%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
90.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the OHIO 31Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
91.2%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 8 yds to the OHIO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
91.2%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Dom DorwartSimilar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+18
91.1%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 18 yds to the GWEB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
93.4%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 43 yds for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:127% → 8%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.7%
Nate Hampton pass complete to Anthony Lowe for 5 yds to the GWEB 30Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+27
92.5%
Nate Hampton pass complete to Elvin Fofanah for 27 yds to the OHIO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
91.9%
Carson Gresock run for 3 yds to the OHIO 40Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+4
91.9%
Jabre Bevineau run for 4 yds to the OHIO 36Similar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 3
OPP 36
0
92.0%
Nate Hampton run for no gain to the OHIO 36Similar
Q2 5:01
4TH & 3
OPP 36
-10
92.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hampton,Nate pass complete short right to Borders,Caleb caught at Ohio25, for 36 yards to the Ohio00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:00 PENALTY GWU Holding (Fitzpatrick,Will) 10 yards from Ohio36 to Ohio46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 13
OPP 46
0
92.5%
Jackson Dorr punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 1:2192% → 94%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
91.5%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Caleb GossettSimilar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+17
91.4%
Parker Navarro run for 17 yds to the OHIO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+35
91.8%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Dom Dorwart for 35 yds to the GWEB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
92.6%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase HendricksSimilar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+1
92.6%
Duncan Brune run for 1 yd to the GWEB 27Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+25
92.0%
Parker Navarro run for 25 yds to the GWEB 2 for a 1ST down Gardner-Webb Penalty, Personal Foul (Robert Holtz) to the GWEB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
92.4%
Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the GWEB 1Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 13MISSED FG
8 plays · 39 yds · 0:285% → 6%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
95.1%
Nate Hampton pass complete to Anthony Lowe for 11 yds to the GWEB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
95.0%
Nate Hampton pass complete to Caleb Borders for 21 yds to the OHIO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
94.5%
Nate Hampton pass incomplete to Chris LoftonSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
94.7%
Nate Hampton pass complete to Cole Schnieder for 7 yds to the OHIO 36Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+53
94.3%
Charlie Viorel 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:5694% → 93%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
93.8%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 14 yds to the OHIO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
94.1%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 8 yds to the OHIO 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+4
94.2%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the GWEB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
94.2%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Dom DorwartSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
94.2%
Sieh Bangura run for 7 yds to the GWEB 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+1
94.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the GWEB 41Similar
Q3 12:04
4TH & 2
OPP 41
0
93.4%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase HendricksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:227% → 7%
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
92.9%
Nate Hampton pass complete to Chris Lofton for 5 yds to the GWEB 47Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-2
92.7%
Quasean Holmes run for a loss of 2 yards to the GWEB 45Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+2
92.6%
Nate Hampton pass complete to Quasean Holmes for 2 yds to the GWEB 43Similar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
93.1%
Brady Braun punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 5:3793% → 91%
Q3 10:42
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+16
92.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Dom Dorwart for 16 yds to the OHIO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
93.1%
Parker Navarro run for 1 yd to the OHIO 38Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+5
93.1%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 5 yds to the OHIO 43Similar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+5
93.0%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 5 yds to the OHIO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
93.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the OHIO 49Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+3
93.4%
Parker Navarro run for 18 yds to the GWEB 33 for a 1ST down Ohio Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jordon Jones) to the GWEB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
93.5%
Duncan Brune run for a loss of 1 yard to the GWEB 49Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 11
OPP 49
0
93.4%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase HendricksSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
92.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 6 yds to the OHIO 21Similar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 11
OPP 49
-6
92.9%
Parker Navarro sacked by Antonio O'Berry for a loss of 6 yards to the OHIO 45Similar
Q3 5:05
4TH & 17
OWN 45
+3
91.2%
Magnus Haines punt for 47 yds , Anthony Lowe returns for 3 yds to the GWEB 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:539% → 8%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
91.2%
Carson Gresock run for 3 yds to the GWEB 14Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 7
OWN 14
0
91.3%
Nate Hampton pass incomplete to Anthony LoweSimilar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 7
OWN 14
0
91.8%
Nate Hampton pass incomplete to Carson GresockSimilar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 7
OWN 14
+27
92.1%
Brady Braun punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OHIO 25 , Chase Hendricks returns for 27 yds to the OHIO 41 Ohio Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jaymar Mundy) to the OHIO 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1893% → 99%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
92.9%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Caleb Gossett for 15 yds to the OHIO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
93.4%
Duncan Brune run for 20 yds to the GWEB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
93.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Navarro,Parker sacked for loss of 8 yards to the GWU48 (Griffin,Javin) PENALTY GWU Personal Foul (Griffin,Javin) 15 yards from GWU40 to GWU25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
93.6%
Duncan Brune run for 7 yds to the GWEB 18Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+17
93.3%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 17 yds to the GWEB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.5%
Duncan Brune run for 1 yd for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 19TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:483% → 10%
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.7%
Nate Hampton pass incomplete to Quasean HolmesSimilar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
96.7%
Nate Hampton pass incomplete to Elvin FofanahSimilar
Q3 1:54
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+13
96.8%
Nate Hampton pass complete to Anthony Lowe for 13 yds to the GWEB 38 for a 1ST down Ohio Penalty, Defensive Holding (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
96.4%
Nate Hampton pass incomplete to Jabre BevineauSimilar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
96.5%
Quasean Holmes run for 8 yds to the GWEB 46Similar
Q3 1:54
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
96.5%
Quasean Holmes run for no gain to the GWEB 46Similar
Q3 1:54
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+5
96.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hampton,Nate pass incomplete deep left to Bevineau,Jabre thrown to Ohio28 PENALTY Ohio Offside (Luqman,Anas) 5 yards from GWU46 to Ohio49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
96.3%
Nate Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
96.5%
Quasean Holmes run for 2 yds to the OHIO 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+5
96.6%
Nate Hampton run for 5 yds to the OHIO 42Similar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 3
OPP 42
+42
90.0%
Nate Hampton pass complete to Chris Lofton for 42 yds for a TD (Charlie Viorel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4194% → 99%
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
94.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 24 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
94.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the GWEB 47Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+12
94.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 12 yds to the GWEB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
94.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the GWEB 32Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+32
99.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 32 yds for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 21TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:372% → 8%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
97.8%
Nate Hampton pass complete to Anthony Lowe for 18 yds to the GWEB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
97.7%
Carson Gresock run for 1 yd to the GWEB 44Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+3
97.7%
Carson Gresock run for 3 yds to the GWEB 47Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+3
97.7%
Nate Hampton run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 3
50
+43
97.8%
Nate Hampton pass complete to Caleb Borders for 43 yds to the OHIO 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
97.6%
Nate Hampton pass complete to Cole Schnieder for 2 yds to the OHIO 5Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
91.8%
Quasean Holmes run for 5 yds for a TD (Charlie Viorel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 3:4898% → 100%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
98.1%
Duncan Brune run for 3 yds to the GWEB 42Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+9
98.1%
Duncan Brune run for 9 yds to the GWEB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
98.2%
Duncan Brune run for 4 yds to the GWEB 29Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+8
98.1%
Duncan Brune run for 8 yds to the GWEB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Duncan Brune run for 1 yd for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:581% → 1%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
98.6%
Cole Pennington pass incomplete to Kory JonesSimilar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
98.6%
Daniel Moyer run for 4 yds to the GWEB 23Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
98.6%
Cole Pennington pass incomplete to Kory JonesSimilar
Q4 2:57
4TH & 6
OWN 23
0
98.7%
Brady Braun punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Chase Hendricks at the OHIO 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24END OF GAME
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:57100% → 100%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.6%
Doe Boyland run for 3 yds to the OHIO 38Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
99.6%
Doe Boyland run for 2 yds to the OHIO 40Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+19
99.3%
Nick Poulos run for 19 yds to the GWEB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
99.4%
Doe Boyland run for 12 yds to the GWEB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
99.5%
N. Poulos takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:06
Nate Hampton pass complete to Chris Lofton for 42 yds for a TD (Charlie Viorel KICK)
-6.6
TD · Q4 7:48
Quasean Holmes run for 5 yds for a TD (Charlie Viorel KICK)
-5.8
TD · Q3 1:54
Duncan Brune run for 1 yd for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK)
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com