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WAG

Wagner 10 at Central Michigan 49

CMU
2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadWAG aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreWAG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:15 · Vincent Muscillo punt for 71 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 78Pregame prior+33.1Home team on offense+19.1Score differential−0.7Blowout margin+4.6Garbage-time factor+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 8:34: Nicholas Romero 33 yd FG GOOD — WAG win probability +0.5 pts (now 6%) (top driver: WAG has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 8:34: Timeout Central Michigan, clock 08:34 — CMU win probability +1.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:22: Joe Labas pass complete to Nahree Biggins for 88 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK) — CMU win probability +2.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:41: Joe Labas pass complete to Tommy McIntosh for 33 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK) — CMU win probability +0.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:16: Joe Labas pass complete to Tyson Davis for 33 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK) — CMU win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WAG made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 12:44WAG 4th & 2 at WAG 33, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:09WAG 4th & 24 at WAG 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:41CMU 4th & 9 at CMU 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:34WAG 4th & 4 at CMU 15, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.5%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:40WAG 4th & 12 at WAG 24, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:29CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 47, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.0%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:15WAG 4th & 6 at WAG 29, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:56CMU 4th & 9 at CMU 36, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:28WAG 4th & 7 at WAG 25, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:54CMU 4th & 1 at WAG 45, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:09WAG 4th & 3 at WAG 32, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:40WAG 4th & 15 at WAG 20, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:02WAG 4th & 5 at CMU 24, down 39
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:08CMU 4th & 8 at CMU 36, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:12WAG 4th & 3 at WAG 37, down 39
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:24CMU 4th & 4 at CMU 34, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:33WAG 4th & 6 at WAG 22, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7WAG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:20CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:15CMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:22CMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:41CMU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:16CMU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:43CMU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:54CMU Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:56WAG Touchdown, down 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAGDrive 1INT TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:343% → 3%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Andre Hines Jr run for no gain to the WAG 25Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-30
97.1%
Jack Stevens pass intercepted Dakota Cochran return for 30 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 2FUMBLE
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:253% → 3%
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.1%
Andre Hines Jr run for 3 yds to the WAG 28Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
97.0%
Jack Stevens sacked by Michael Heldman for 0 yards to the WAG 28Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
97.0%
Jack Stevens pass complete to Sekou Kamau for 5 yds to the WAG 33Similar
Q1 12:44
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+8
96.9%
Jack Stevens pass complete to Johans Bars for 8 yds to the WAG 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
96.9%
Sekou Kamau run for 2 yds to the WAG 43Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-7
96.8%
Jack Stevens sacked by Michael Heldman for a loss of 7 yards to the WAG 36 Jack Stevens fumbled, recovered by CMU Dakota Cochran , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:2997% → 97%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
96.8%
Nahree Biggins run for 3 yds to the WAG 33Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+2
96.8%
Nahree Biggins run for 2 yds to the WAG 31Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+17
96.7%
Joe Labas pass complete to Langston Lewis for 17 yds to the WAG 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
96.7%
Nahree Biggins run for 1 yd to the WAG 13Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+8
96.6%
Angel Flores run for 8 yds to the WAG 5Similar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+3
96.5%
(08:31) Shotgun Labas,Joe pass incomplete short right to McIntosh,Tommy thrown to WAG00 PENALTY WAG Offside (Barnes,Logan) 3 yards from WAG05 to WAG02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.9%
Angel Flores run for 2 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 18 yds · 4:033% → 4%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.7%
Sekou Kamau run for 1 yd to the WAG 26Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
96.7%
Jack Stevens pass complete to Sekou Kamau for 7 yds to the WAG 33Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
96.7%
Sekou Kamau run for no gain to the WAG 33Similar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+5
96.6%
(06:45) Muscillo,Vincent punt 51 yards to the CMU16 PENALTY CMU Running Into The Kicker (Hayden,Keshawn) 5 yards from WAG33 to WAG38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
96.5%
Sekou Kamau run for 4 yds to the WAG 42Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
96.5%
Jack Stevens pass incomplete to Teree McDonaldSimilar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+15
96.5%
(06:00) Shotgun Stevens,Jack sacked for loss of 6 yards to the WAG36 (Sanchez III,Fernando) PENALTY CMU Face Mask (Sanchez III,Fernando) 15 yards from WAG42 to CMU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
96.4%
Sekou Kamau run for no gain to the CMU 43Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-10
96.4%
(05:16) No Huddle-Shotgun Barton,Jordan rush middle for 0 yards to the CMU43 (Demma,Korver) PENALTY WAG Illegal Use Of Hands (Bryant,Caleb) 10 yards from CMU43 to WAG47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 20
OWN 47
+4
96.4%
Jordan Barton pass complete to Teree McDonald for 4 yds to the WAG 43Similar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 24
OWN 43
0
96.4%
Jordan Barton pass incomplete to Teree McDonaldSimilar
Q1 4:09
4TH & 24
OWN 43
0
96.4%
Vincent Muscillo punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 5:2396% → 96%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-5
96.2%
(04:09) Shotgun Flores,Angel rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CMU06 (Lampley,Akil) PENALTY CMU Illegal Use Of Hands (Temple,Decorion). NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
96.1%
Angel Flores run for 5 yds to the CMU 6Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+2
96.1%
Trey Cornist run for 2 yds to the CMU 8Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+10
96.3%
Angel Flores run for 10 yds to the CMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
96.4%
Joe Labas pass complete to Tommy McIntosh for 6 yds to the CMU 24Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 4
OWN 24
-1
96.3%
Trey Cornist run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMU 23Similar
Q1 0:37
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+8
96.2%
Joe Labas pass complete to Tyson Davis for 8 yds to the CMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
96.3%
Trey Cornist run for 4 yds to the CMU 35Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+2
96.2%
Nahree Biggins run for 2 yds to the CMU 37Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 4
OWN 37
-5
96.2%
Angel Flores run for a loss of 5 yards to the CMU 32Similar
Q2 13:41
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
96.0%
Declan Duley punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Cole Lakatos at the WAG 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 6FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 5:024% → 6%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
95.7%
Matt Morad run for 2 yds to the WAG 32Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+15
95.6%
Central Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (Fernando Sanchez III) to the CMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
95.3%
Matt Morad run for 6 yds to the CMU 40Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+6
95.1%
Matt Morad run for 6 yds to the CMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
95.0%
Matt Morad run for 3 yds to the CMU 31Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+3
94.8%
Jordan Barton run for 3 yds to the CMU 28Similar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+7
94.8%
Jordan Barton run for 7 yds to the CMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
94.7%
Sekou Kamau run for 1 yd to the CMU 20Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+5
94.6%
Jordan Barton run for 5 yds to the CMU 15Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 4
OPP 15
0
94.7%
Jordan Barton pass incomplete to Malik CooperSimilar
Q2 8:34
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+33
94.2%
Nicholas Romero 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7TD
1 play · 88 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+88
97.8%
Joe Labas pass complete to Nahree Biggins for 88 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:334% → 4%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
96.4%
Matt Morad run for 1 yd to the WAG 6Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+7
96.4%
Matt Morad run for 7 yds to the WAG 13Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 2
OWN 13
+13
96.3%
Jordan Barton pass complete to Malik Cooper for 13 yds to the WAG 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
96.2%
Matt Morad run for 4 yds to the WAG 30Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-6
96.0%
Jordan Barton sacked by Korver Demma for a loss of 6 yards to the WAG 24Similar
Q2 5:16
3RD & 12
OWN 24
0
96.2%
Jordan Barton run for no gain to the WAG 24Similar
Q2 4:40
4TH & 12
OWN 24
0
96.2%
Vincent Muscillo punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:5198% → 98%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
97.6%
Trey Cornist run for 2 yds to the CMU 40Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+7
97.6%
Joe Labas run for 7 yds to the CMU 47Similar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
97.5%
Angel Flores run for no gain to the CMU 47Similar
Q2 2:29
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+1
97.3%
Angel Flores run for 1 yd to the CMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
97.1%
Langston Lewis run for 19 yds to the WAG 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
97.1%
Joe Labas pass incomplete to DeCorion TempleSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+33
98.0%
Joe Labas pass complete to Tommy McIntosh for 33 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:224% → 4%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.0%
Jordan Barton pass incomplete to Teree McDonaldSimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.0%
Jordan Barton pass complete to Teree McDonald for 1 yd to the WAG 26Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
96.0%
Jordan Barton pass complete to Malik Cooper for 3 yds to the WAG 29Similar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
95.9%
Vincent Muscillo punt for 71 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 0:5198% → 100%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
97.6%
Joe Labas pass complete to Langston Lewis for 7 yds to the CMU 27Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+11
98.1%
Joe Labas pass complete to Langston Lewis for 11 yds to the CMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
98.6%
Nahree Biggins run for 7 yds to the CMU 45Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+6
98.7%
Joe Labas pass complete to Nahree Biggins for 6 yds to the WAG 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
98.7%
Joe Labas pass complete to Langston Lewis for 4 yds to the WAG 45Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+12
98.7%
Joe Labas pass complete to Nahree Biggins for 12 yds to the WAG 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
99.5%
Joe Labas pass complete to Tyson Davis for 33 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.4%
J. Barton takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:5999% → 100%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.4%
Trey Cornist run for 10 yds to the CMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
99.4%
Trey Cornist run for a loss of 6 yards to the CMU 29Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 16
OWN 29
+7
99.5%
Trey Cornist run for 7 yds to the CMU 36Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
99.5%
Joe Labas pass incomplete to DeCorion TempleSimilar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
99.5%
Declan Duley punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cole Lakatos at the WAG 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:191% → 1%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.5%
Jordan Barton pass complete to Jeremiah Colclough for 2 yds to the WAG 20Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+5
99.5%
Sekou Kamau run for 5 yds to the WAG 25Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Jordan Barton pass incomplete to Teree McDonaldSimilar
Q3 11:28
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Vincent Muscillo punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Caleb Spann at the CMU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 5:40100% → 100%
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.6%
Brock Townsend run for 11 yds to the CMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.7%
Brock Townsend run for 5 yds to the WAG 49Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
99.7%
Brock Townsend run for 3 yds to the WAG 46Similar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+1
99.7%
Brock Townsend run for 1 yd to the WAG 45Similar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+7
99.7%
Angel Flores run for 7 yds to the WAG 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
99.7%
Langston Lewis run for 16 yds to the WAG 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
99.7%
Trey Cornist run for 1 yd to the WAG 21Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+3
99.7%
Trey Cornist run for 3 yds to the WAG 18Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 6
OPP 18
-5
99.8%
PENALTY CMU False Start (Sickler,Dane) 5 yards from WAG18 to WAG23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 11
OPP 23
+1
99.8%
Joe Labas pass complete to DeCorion Temple for 16 yds to the WAG 7 for a 1ST down Central Michigan Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Dasan Smith) to the WAG 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.8%
Angel Flores pass complete to Brock Townsend for 22 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:200% → 0%
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.8%
Jordan Barton pass complete to Richard Perkins Jr. for 7 yds to the WAG 32Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Jordan Barton pass complete to Richard Perkins Jr. for no gain to the WAG 32Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Jordan Barton pass incomplete to Johans BarsSimilar
Q3 4:09
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+46
99.8%
Vincent Muscillo punt for 47 yds , Caleb Spann returns for 46 yds to the WAG 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17TD
3 plays · 33 yds · 1:10100% → 100%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
99.8%
Trey Cornist run for 1 yd to the WAG 32Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+29
99.8%
Trey Cornist run for 29 yds to the WAG 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Angel Flores run for 3 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 2:080% → 0%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
99.9%
(02:54) Shotgun Barton,Jordan pass complete short right to Redd-Hubbard,Malik caught at WAG26, for 16 yards to the WAG41 (Jones,Keyton), out of bounds PENALTY WAG Pass Interference (Bryant,Caleb) 12 yards from WAG25 to WAG13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+4
99.9%
Matt Morad run for 4 yds to the WAG 17Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+1
99.9%
Jordan Barton run for 1 yd to the WAG 18Similar
Q3 1:20
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+2
99.9%
Matt Morad run for 2 yds to the WAG 20Similar
Q3 0:40
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Vincent Muscillo punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WAG 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:38100% → 100%
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
99.9%
Kadenn Rose run for 10 yds to the WAG 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
99.9%
Kadenn Rose run for 8 yds to the WAG 22Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+3
99.9%
Kadenn Rose run for 3 yds to the WAG 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
99.9%
PENALTY CMU False Start (Booth,Jacob) 5 yards from WAG19 to WAG24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+75
99.9%
Austin Bailey 75 Yd Fumble Return (Nicholas Romero Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
99.9%
Ethan Lane pass complete to Kadenn Rose for 10 yds Kadenn Rose fumbled, recovered by WAG Akil LampleySimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
99.9%
Ethan Lane pass complete to Kadenn Rose for 10 yds Kadenn Rose fumbled, recovered by WAG Akil LampleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
99.9%
Uriah Moats-Maynard run for 1 yd to the CMU 28Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+2
99.9%
Uriah Moats-Maynard run for 2 yds to the CMU 26Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+2
99.9%
Uriah Moats-Maynard run for 2 yds to the CMU 24Similar
Q4 12:02
4TH & 5
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Benjamin Newman pass incomplete to Malik ReddSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:46100% → 100%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.9%
Jason Philpot-Dixon run for 4 yds to the CMU 28Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Jason Philpot-Dixon run for 6 yds to the CMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Jason Philpot-Dixon run for no gain to the CMU 34Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Ethan Lane pass incomplete to Jason Philpot-DixonSimilar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
Jason Philpot-Dixon run for 2 yds to the CMU 36Similar
Q4 9:08
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Declan Duley punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:480% → 0%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
David Lonergan run for 3 yds to the WAG 33Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
David Lonergan run for 3 yds to the WAG 36Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+1
99.9%
Benjamin Newman pass complete to Cole Lakatos for 1 yd to the WAG 37Similar
Q4 7:12
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Joshua Brown punt for 60 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 31 yds · 2:36100% → 100%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
99.9%
Jakivion Calip run for 5 yds to the CMU 8Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+20
99.9%
Jakivion Calip run for 20 yds to the CMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Jakivion Calip run for 4 yds to the CMU 32Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Jakivion Calip run for 2 yds to the CMU 34Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Ethan Lane pass incomplete to Justin Ruffin Jr.Similar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Declan Duley punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Cole Lakatos at the WAG 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
100.0%
Andrew Ransome run for 3 yds to the WAG 21Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 7
OWN 21
-1
100.0%
Andrew Ransome run for a loss of 1 yard to the WAG 20Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+2
100.0%
Benjamin Newman pass complete to Richard Perkins Jr. for 2 yds to the WAG 22Similar
Q4 2:33
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
100.0%
Joshua Brown punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Justin Ruffin Jr. at the CMU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · 10 yds · 2:27100% → 100%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
100.0%
Jakivion Calip run for 2 yds to the CMU 36Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+7
100.0%
Mekhi Jenkins run for 7 yds to the CMU 43Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+2
100.0%
Germanuel Tanelus run for 2 yds to the CMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
100.0%
E. Lane takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:22
Joe Labas pass complete to Nahree Biggins for 88 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)
+2.1
FG · Q2 8:34
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 08:34
+1.5
TD · Q2 1:41
Joe Labas pass complete to Tommy McIntosh for 33 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com