WAG
Wagner 10 at Central Michigan 49
CMU2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadWAG aheadconfidence bandkey play
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WAG · Drive 1INT TD · 3 plays · 0 yds
Q1 15:00
Cade Graham kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
95.9%
0.0
Q1 14:54
Andre Hines Jr run for no gain to the WAG 25
95.4%
-0.5
Q1 14:20
Jack Stevens pass intercepted Dakota Cochran return for 30 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)
97.1%
+1.7
WAG · Drive 2FUMBLE · 8 plays · 11 yds
Q1 14:20
Cade Graham kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
97.7%
+0.6
Q1 14:14
Andre Hines Jr run for 3 yds to the WAG 28
97.1%
-0.6
Q1 13:45
Jack Stevens sacked by Michael Heldman for 0 yards to the WAG 28
97.1%
0.0
Q1 13:45
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 13:45
97.6%
+0.6
Q1 13:25
Jack Stevens pass complete to Sekou Kamau for 5 yds to the WAG 33
97.6%
0.0
Q1 12:44
Jack Stevens pass complete to Johans Bars for 8 yds to the WAG 41 for a 1ST down
97.6%
-0.1
Q1 12:22
Sekou Kamau run for 2 yds to the WAG 43
97.5%
-0.1
Q1 11:49
Jack Stevens sacked by Michael Heldman for a loss of 7 yards to the WAG 36 Jack Stevens fumbled, recovered by CMU Dakota Cochran , return for 0 yards
97.4%
0.0
CMU · Drive 3TD · 8 plays · 36 yds
Q1 11:44
Nahree Biggins run for 3 yds to the WAG 33
98.1%
+0.7
Q1 11:01
Nahree Biggins run for 2 yds to the WAG 31
98.1%
0.0
Q1 10:23
Joe Labas pass complete to Langston Lewis for 17 yds to the WAG 14 for a 1ST down
98.1%
0.0
Q1 9:48
Nahree Biggins run for 1 yd to the WAG 13
98.1%
0.0
Q1 9:12
Angel Flores run for 8 yds to the WAG 5
98.1%
0.0
Q1 8:31
(08:31) Shotgun Labas,Joe pass incomplete short right to McIntosh,Tommy thrown to WAG00 PENALTY WAG Offside (Barnes,Logan) 3 yards from WAG05 to WAG02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
98.0%
-0.1
Q1 8:15
Angel Flores run for 2 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)
98.8%
0.0
Q1 8:15
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 08:15
97.9%
-0.9
WAG · Drive 4PUNT · 13 plays · 18 yds
Q1 8:16
Cade Graham kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
98.9%
+0.8
Q1 8:12
Sekou Kamau run for 1 yd to the WAG 26
98.5%
+0.6
Q1 7:41
Jack Stevens pass complete to Sekou Kamau for 7 yds to the WAG 33
98.5%
0.0
Q1 7:22
Sekou Kamau run for no gain to the WAG 33
98.6%
0.0
Q1 6:34
(06:45) Muscillo,Vincent punt 51 yards to the CMU16 PENALTY CMU Running Into The Kicker (Hayden,Keshawn) 5 yards from WAG33 to WAG38. NO PLAY.
98.4%
-0.1
Q1 6:30
Sekou Kamau run for 4 yds to the WAG 42
98.1%
-0.3
Q1 6:00
Jack Stevens pass incomplete to Teree McDonald
98.1%
0.0
Q1 5:56
(06:00) Shotgun Stevens,Jack sacked for loss of 6 yards to the WAG36 (Sanchez III,Fernando) PENALTY CMU Face Mask (Sanchez III,Fernando) 15 yards from WAG42 to CMU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
98.1%
0.0
Q1 5:43
Sekou Kamau run for no gain to the CMU 43
98.0%
-0.1
Q1 5:09
(05:16) No Huddle-Shotgun Barton,Jordan rush middle for 0 yards to the CMU43 (Demma,Korver) PENALTY WAG Illegal Use Of Hands (Bryant,Caleb) 10 yards from CMU43 to WAG47. NO PLAY.
98.0%
0.0
Q1 4:50
Jordan Barton pass complete to Teree McDonald for 4 yds to the WAG 43
98.1%
+0.1
Q1 4:19
Jordan Barton pass incomplete to Teree McDonald
98.1%
0.0
Q1 4:09
Vincent Muscillo punt for 56 yds
98.1%
0.0
CMU · Drive 5PUNT · 11 plays · 31 yds
Q1 4:04
(04:09) Shotgun Flores,Angel rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CMU06 (Lampley,Akil) PENALTY CMU Illegal Use Of Hands (Temple,Decorion). NO PLAY.
98.7%
+0.6
Q1 3:48
Angel Flores run for 5 yds to the CMU 6
98.7%
0.0
Q1 3:09
Trey Cornist run for 2 yds to the CMU 8
98.7%
0.0
Q1 2:28
Angel Flores run for 10 yds to the CMU 18 for a 1ST down
98.7%
0.0
Q1 1:45
Joe Labas pass complete to Tommy McIntosh for 6 yds to the CMU 24
98.7%
0.0
Q1 1:14
Trey Cornist run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMU 23
98.7%
0.0
Q1 0:37
Joe Labas pass complete to Tyson Davis for 8 yds to the CMU 31 for a 1ST down
98.7%
0.0
Q1 0:00
Trey Cornist run for 4 yds to the CMU 35
98.7%
0.0
Q2 14:56
Nahree Biggins run for 2 yds to the CMU 37
98.7%
0.0
Q2 14:08
Angel Flores run for a loss of 5 yards to the CMU 32
98.7%
0.0
Q2 13:41
Declan Duley punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Cole Lakatos at the WAG 30
98.7%
0.0
WAG · Drive 6FG · 12 plays · 55 yds
Q2 13:36
Matt Morad run for 2 yds to the WAG 32
98.0%
-0.7
Q2 12:59
Central Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (Fernando Sanchez III) to the CMU 46 for a 1ST down
98.0%
0.0
Q2 12:35
Matt Morad run for 6 yds to the CMU 40
98.0%
0.0
Q2 12:03
Matt Morad run for 6 yds to the CMU 34 for a 1ST down
98.0%
0.0
Q2 11:26
Matt Morad run for 3 yds to the CMU 31
97.9%
-0.1
Q2 10:52
Jordan Barton run for 3 yds to the CMU 28
97.8%
0.0
Q2 10:11
Jordan Barton run for 7 yds to the CMU 21 for a 1ST down
97.8%
0.0
Q2 9:43
Sekou Kamau run for 1 yd to the CMU 20
97.5%
-0.3
Q2 8:53
Jordan Barton run for 5 yds to the CMU 15
97.5%
0.0
Q2 8:38
Jordan Barton pass incomplete to Malik Cooper
97.5%
0.0
Q2 8:34
Nicholas Romero 33 yd FG GOOD
97.2%
-0.3
Q2 8:34
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 08:34
98.6%
+1.4
CMU · Drive 7TD · 1 play · 88 yds
Q2 8:22
Joe Labas pass complete to Nahree Biggins for 88 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)
99.6%
+1.0
WAG · Drive 8PUNT · 8 plays · 19 yds
Q2 8:22
Cade Graham kickoff for 60 yds , Karlos Grier return for no gain to the WAG 5
99.6%
0.0
Q2 8:13
Matt Morad run for 1 yd to the WAG 6
98.9%
-0.7
Q2 7:49
Matt Morad run for 7 yds to the WAG 13
98.9%
0.0
Q2 7:01
Jordan Barton pass complete to Malik Cooper for 13 yds to the WAG 26 for a 1ST down
98.9%
0.0
Q2 6:29
Matt Morad run for 4 yds to the WAG 30
98.7%
-0.2
Q2 5:56
Jordan Barton sacked by Korver Demma for a loss of 6 yards to the WAG 24
98.7%
0.0
Q2 5:16
Jordan Barton run for no gain to the WAG 24
98.7%
0.0
Q2 4:40
Vincent Muscillo punt for 38 yds
98.7%
0.0
CMU · Drive 9TD · 9 plays · 62 yds
Q2 4:40
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 04:40
99.6%
+0.9
Q2 4:32
Trey Cornist run for 2 yds to the CMU 40
99.6%
0.0
Q2 3:48
Joe Labas run for 7 yds to the CMU 47
99.6%
0.0
Q2 3:06
Angel Flores run for no gain to the CMU 47
99.6%
0.0
Q2 2:29
Angel Flores run for 1 yd to the CMU 48 for a 1ST down
99.6%
0.0
Q2 2:00
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 02:00
99.6%
0.0
Q2 1:52
Langston Lewis run for 19 yds to the WAG 33 for a 1ST down
99.6%
0.0
Q2 1:46
Joe Labas pass incomplete to DeCorion Temple
99.6%
0.0
Q2 1:41
Joe Labas pass complete to Tommy McIntosh for 33 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)
99.8%
+0.2
WAG · Drive 10PUNT · 5 plays · 4 yds
Q2 1:41
Cade Graham kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.8%
0.0
Q2 1:37
Jordan Barton pass incomplete to Teree McDonald
99.6%
-0.3
Q2 1:32
Jordan Barton pass complete to Teree McDonald for 1 yd to the WAG 26
99.6%
0.0
Q2 1:24
Jordan Barton pass complete to Malik Cooper for 3 yds to the WAG 29
99.6%
0.0
Q2 1:15
Vincent Muscillo punt for 71 yds for a touchback
99.6%
0.0
CMU · Drive 11TD · 9 plays · 80 yds
Q2 1:07
Joe Labas pass complete to Langston Lewis for 7 yds to the CMU 27
99.8%
+0.3
Q2 0:51
Joe Labas pass complete to Langston Lewis for 11 yds to the CMU 38 for a 1ST down
99.8%
0.0
Q2 0:41
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 00:41
99.8%
0.0
Q2 0:41
Nahree Biggins run for 7 yds to the CMU 45
99.8%
0.0
Q2 0:36
Joe Labas pass complete to Nahree Biggins for 6 yds to the WAG 49 for a 1ST down
99.8%
0.0
Q2 0:28
Joe Labas pass complete to Langston Lewis for 4 yds to the WAG 45
99.8%
0.0
Q2 0:28
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 00:28
99.8%
0.0
Q2 0:22
Joe Labas pass complete to Nahree Biggins for 12 yds to the WAG 33 for a 1ST down
99.8%
0.0
Q2 0:16
Joe Labas pass complete to Tyson Davis for 33 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)
99.9%
+0.1
WAG · Drive 12END OF HALF · 2 plays · -2 yds
Q2 0:16
Cade Graham kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.9%
0.0
Q2 0:00
J. Barton takes a knee
99.7%
-0.2
CMU · Drive 13PUNT · 6 plays · 11 yds
Q3 15:00
Ryan Liszner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.8%
+0.1
Q3 14:55
Trey Cornist run for 10 yds to the CMU 35 for a 1ST down
99.9%
+0.1
Q3 14:13
Trey Cornist run for a loss of 6 yards to the CMU 29
99.9%
0.0
Q3 13:27
Trey Cornist run for 7 yds to the CMU 36
99.9%
0.0
Q3 13:03
Joe Labas pass incomplete to DeCorion Temple
99.9%
0.0
Q3 12:56
Declan Duley punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cole Lakatos at the WAG 22
99.9%
0.0
WAG · Drive 14PUNT · 4 plays · 3 yds
Q3 12:47
Jordan Barton pass complete to Jeremiah Colclough for 2 yds to the WAG 20
99.8%
-0.1
Q3 12:11
Sekou Kamau run for 5 yds to the WAG 25
99.8%
0.0
Q3 11:32
Jordan Barton pass incomplete to Teree McDonald
99.8%
0.0
Q3 11:28
Vincent Muscillo punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Caleb Spann at the CMU 35
99.8%
0.0
CMU · Drive 15TD · 11 plays · 65 yds
Q3 11:23
Brock Townsend run for 11 yds to the CMU 46 for a 1ST down
99.9%
+0.1
Q3 10:54
Brock Townsend run for 5 yds to the WAG 49
99.9%
0.0
Q3 10:16
Brock Townsend run for 3 yds to the WAG 46
99.9%
0.0
Q3 9:37
Brock Townsend run for 1 yd to the WAG 45
99.9%
0.0
Q3 8:54
Angel Flores run for 7 yds to the WAG 38 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q3 8:13
Langston Lewis run for 16 yds to the WAG 22 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q3 7:40
Trey Cornist run for 1 yd to the WAG 21
99.9%
0.0
Q3 7:02
Trey Cornist run for 3 yds to the WAG 18
99.9%
0.0
Q3 6:24
PENALTY CMU False Start (Sickler,Dane) 5 yards from WAG18 to WAG23. NO PLAY.
99.9%
0.0
Q3 5:57
Joe Labas pass complete to DeCorion Temple for 16 yds to the WAG 7 for a 1ST down Central Michigan Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Dasan Smith) to the WAG 22 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q3 5:43
Angel Flores pass complete to Brock Townsend for 22 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)
99.9%
0.0
WAG · Drive 16PUNT · 5 plays · 7 yds
Q3 5:43
Cade Graham kickoff for 64 yds
99.9%
0.0
Q3 5:29
Jordan Barton pass complete to Richard Perkins Jr. for 7 yds to the WAG 32
99.9%
0.0
Q3 4:57
Jordan Barton pass complete to Richard Perkins Jr. for no gain to the WAG 32
99.9%
0.0
Q3 4:24
Jordan Barton pass incomplete to Johans Bars
99.9%
0.0
Q3 4:09
Vincent Muscillo punt for 47 yds , Caleb Spann returns for 46 yds to the WAG 33
99.9%
0.0
CMU · Drive 17TD · 3 plays · 33 yds
Q3 4:04
Trey Cornist run for 1 yd to the WAG 32
99.9%
0.0
Q3 3:22
Trey Cornist run for 29 yds to the WAG 3 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q3 2:54
Angel Flores run for 3 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)
99.9%
0.0
WAG · Drive 18PUNT · 6 plays · -5 yds
Q3 2:54
Cade Graham kickoff for 64 yds
99.9%
0.0
Q3 2:48
(02:54) Shotgun Barton,Jordan pass complete short right to Redd-Hubbard,Malik caught at WAG26, for 16 yards to the WAG41 (Jones,Keyton), out of bounds PENALTY WAG Pass Interference (Bryant,Caleb) 12 yards from WAG25 to WAG13. NO PLAY.
99.9%
0.0
Q3 2:26
Matt Morad run for 4 yds to the WAG 17
99.9%
0.0
Q3 1:52
Jordan Barton run for 1 yd to the WAG 18
99.9%
0.0
Q3 1:20
Matt Morad run for 2 yds to the WAG 20
99.9%
0.0
Q3 0:40
Vincent Muscillo punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WAG 40
99.9%
0.0
CMU · Drive 19FUMBLE RETURN TD · 5 plays · 15 yds
Q3 0:34
Kadenn Rose run for 10 yds to the WAG 30 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q3 0:00
Kadenn Rose run for 8 yds to the WAG 22
99.9%
0.0
Q4 14:54
Kadenn Rose run for 3 yds to the WAG 19 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 14:23
PENALTY CMU False Start (Booth,Jacob) 5 yards from WAG19 to WAG24. NO PLAY.
99.9%
0.0
Q4 13:56
Austin Bailey 75 Yd Fumble Return (Nicholas Romero Kick)
99.9%
0.0
CMU · Drive 20FUMBLE · 3 plays · 10 yds
Q4 13:56
Nicholas Romero kickoff for 46 yds , Brock Townsend return for no gain to the CMU 19
99.9%
0.0
Q4 13:48
Ethan Lane pass complete to Kadenn Rose for 10 yds Kadenn Rose fumbled, recovered by WAG Akil Lampley
99.9%
0.0
Q4 13:48
Ethan Lane pass complete to Kadenn Rose for 10 yds Kadenn Rose fumbled, recovered by WAG Akil Lampley
99.9%
0.0
WAG · Drive 21DOWNS · 4 plays · 5 yds
Q4 13:41
Uriah Moats-Maynard run for 1 yd to the CMU 28
99.9%
0.0
Q4 13:10
Uriah Moats-Maynard run for 2 yds to the CMU 26
99.9%
0.0
Q4 12:42
Uriah Moats-Maynard run for 2 yds to the CMU 24
99.9%
0.0
Q4 12:02
Benjamin Newman pass incomplete to Malik Redd
99.9%
0.0
CMU · Drive 22PUNT · 6 plays · 12 yds
Q4 11:54
Jason Philpot-Dixon run for 4 yds to the CMU 28
99.9%
0.0
Q4 11:18
Jason Philpot-Dixon run for 6 yds to the CMU 34 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 10:32
Jason Philpot-Dixon run for no gain to the CMU 34
99.9%
0.0
Q4 9:55
Ethan Lane pass incomplete to Jason Philpot-Dixon
99.9%
0.0
Q4 9:49
Jason Philpot-Dixon run for 2 yds to the CMU 36
99.9%
0.0
Q4 9:08
Declan Duley punt for 34 yds
99.9%
0.0
WAG · Drive 23PUNT · 4 plays · 7 yds
Q4 9:00
David Lonergan run for 3 yds to the WAG 33
99.9%
0.0
Q4 8:26
David Lonergan run for 3 yds to the WAG 36
99.9%
0.0
Q4 7:48
Benjamin Newman pass complete to Cole Lakatos for 1 yd to the WAG 37
99.9%
0.0
Q4 7:12
Joshua Brown punt for 60 yds
99.9%
0.0
CMU · Drive 24PUNT · 6 plays · 31 yds
Q4 7:00
Jakivion Calip run for 5 yds to the CMU 8
99.9%
0.0
Q4 6:22
Jakivion Calip run for 20 yds to the CMU 28 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 5:46
Jakivion Calip run for 4 yds to the CMU 32
99.9%
0.0
Q4 5:06
Jakivion Calip run for 2 yds to the CMU 34
99.9%
0.0
Q4 4:30
Ethan Lane pass incomplete to Justin Ruffin Jr.
99.9%
0.0
Q4 4:24
Declan Duley punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Cole Lakatos at the WAG 18
99.9%
0.0
WAG · Drive 25PUNT · 5 plays · 4 yds
Q4 4:17
Andrew Ransome run for 3 yds to the WAG 21
99.9%
0.0
Q4 3:38
Andrew Ransome run for a loss of 1 yard to the WAG 20
99.9%
0.0
Q4 3:02
Timeout Wagner, clock 03:02
99.9%
0.0
Q4 2:54
Benjamin Newman pass complete to Richard Perkins Jr. for 2 yds to the WAG 22
99.9%
0.0
Q4 2:33
Joshua Brown punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Justin Ruffin Jr. at the CMU 34
99.9%
0.0
CMU · Drive 26END OF GAME · 5 plays · 10 yds
Q4 2:27
Jakivion Calip run for 2 yds to the CMU 36
100.0%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 02:00
99.9%
0.0
Q4 1:52
Mekhi Jenkins run for 7 yds to the CMU 43
99.9%
0.0
Q4 1:19
Germanuel Tanelus run for 2 yds to the CMU 45 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 0:00
E. Lane takes a knee
99.9%
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 14:20
Jack Stevens pass intercepted Dakota Cochran return for 30 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)
+1.7
KEY PLAY · Q2 8:34
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 08:34
+1.4
TD · Q2 8:22
Joe Labas pass complete to Nahree Biggins for 88 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)
+1