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UNH

New Hampshire 29 at Ball State 34

BALL
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadUNH aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreUNH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGSAFETYFGEnd of GameFG-15.2BALL 71.6%Nick Reed 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 29 - HOME 34 · Q4 4:16
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:16 · Nick Reed 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+22.5+11.30−11.3−22.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Home team on offense+6.9Pregame prior+0.9Garbage-time factor+1.9Score differential+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.8Time remaining+2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:12: Qua Ashley run for 72 yds for a TD (Carson Holmer KICK) — BALL win probability +9.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:47: Matt Vezza run for 2 yds for a TD (Nick Reed KICK) — UNH win probability +14.2 pts (now 48%) (top driver: UNH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:20: Kiael Kelly pass complete to Kameron Anthony for 10 yds for a TD (Carson Holmer KICK) — BALL win probability +8.9 pts (now 74%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:56: Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qua Ashley for 27 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — BALL win probability +10.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:16: Nick Reed 29 yd FG GOOD — UNH win probability +15.2 pts (now 28%) (top driver: UNH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNH made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:53BALL 4th & 5 at BALL 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:20UNH 4th & 1 at UNH 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    41.0%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:22UNH 4th & 12 at BALL 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    41.1%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:31UNH 4th & 17 at BALL 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%−1.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    40.9%−0.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:54UNH 4th & 7 at BALL 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    38.5%−5.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:58UNH 4th & 12 at UNH 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−2.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:46UNH 4th & 10 at BALL 34, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.1%
    47% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:56BALL 4th & 9 at UNH 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:11UNH 4th & 16 at BALL 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    9.7%−1.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:16UNH 4th & 9 at BALL 11, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−3.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−8.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:39BALL 4th & 10 at BALL 46, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:00UNH 4th & 7 at UNH 43, down 5
    Numbers favored punt by 3.5 ptsWent for it · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.4%−3.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UNH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 13:53UNH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:48BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:22UNH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 4:29BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:12BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:47UNH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:20BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:56BALL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1PUNT TD
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5963% → 62%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
62.8%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Koby GrossSimilar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
62.8%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qua AshleySimilar
Q1 14:39
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+5
62.8%
Kiael Kelly run for 5 yds to the BALL 41Similar
Q1 13:53
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+30
62.4%
Brendan Tighe 30 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Nick Reed Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:4862% → 63%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
62.3%
Qua Ashley run for 4 yds to the BALL 35Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+7
62.1%
TJ Horton run for 7 yds to the BALL 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
62.0%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Eric Weatherly for 10 yds to the UNH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
61.9%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to TJ Horton for 6 yds to the UNH 42Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+2
61.9%
TJ Horton run for 2 yds to the UNH 40Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+40
63.1%
Kiael Kelly run for 40 yds for a TD (Carson Holmer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 3TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:1338% → 42%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
62.5%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Caleb Burke for 5 yds to the UNH 30Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
62.4%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Caleb Burke for no gain to the UNH 30Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
62.6%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Caleb Burke for 8 yds to the UNH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
62.0%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Caleb Burke for 1 yd to the UNH 39Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
62.0%
Matt Vezza pass incomplete to Colby RamshawSimilar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+27
62.1%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Chase Wilson for 27 yds to the BALL 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
61.2%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Myles Thomason for 9 yds to the BALL 25Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+6
61.1%
Myles Thomason run for 6 yds to the BALL 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
60.9%
Logan Perez run for 6 yds to the BALL 13Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+13
57.3%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Chase Wilson for 13 yds for a TD (Nick Reed KICK)Similar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
58.0%
(05:22) Reed,Nick onside kickoff 11 yards to the UNH46 PENALTY UNH Offside (Fillion,Josh) 5 yards from UNH35 to UNH30. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 0:3259% → 63%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
58.7%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Donovan Hamilton for 21 yds to the UNH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
63.3%
Qua Ashley run for 43 yds for a TD (Carson Holmer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 5PUNT
12 plays · 41 yds · 5:4938% → 39%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
61.9%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Chase Wilson for 10 yds to the UNH 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
61.8%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Chase Wilson for 4 yds to the UNH 31Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+3
61.5%
Elliot Meine run for 3 yds to the UNH 34Similar
Q1 2:04
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+2
61.1%
Matt Vezza run for 2 yds to the UNH 36Similar
Q1 1:20
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+9
61.5%
Matt Vezza run for 9 yds to the UNH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
60.1%
Matt Vezza pass incomplete to Logan PerezSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+15
60.3%
Elliot Meine run for 15 yds to the BALL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
59.6%
Elliot Meine run for no gain to the BALL 40Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-2
59.5%
Matt Vezza sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 42Similar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 12
OPP 42
0
60.3%
Matt Vezza pass incomplete to Caleb BurkeSimilar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 12
OPP 42
0
61.5%
Matt Guidebeck punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6INT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:0862% → 62%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
61.9%
PENALTY BSU False Start (Mosier,Cole) 5 yards from BSU10 to BSU05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+7
61.8%
Qua Ashley run for 7 yds to the BALL 12Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
61.8%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Kameron AnthonySimilar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+8
61.0%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 8 yds to the BALL 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
61.9%
Kiael Kelly pass intercepted Duncan Moreland return for a loss of 3 yards to the BALL 48Similar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
61.9%
Kiael Kelly pass intercepted Duncan Moreland return for a loss of 3 yards to the BALL 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 2:3741% → 39%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
59.0%
Myles Thomason run for 1 yd to the BALL 47Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+10
58.9%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Peyton Strickland for 10 yds to the BALL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
58.7%
Josh Fillion pass incomplete to Logan PerezSimilar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-15
58.7%
(10:42) Shotgun Vezza,Matt pass incomplete short right to Strickland,Peyton thrown to BSU25 broken up by Chea,Alfred PENALTY UNH Face Mask (Olajide,Tolu) 15 yards from BSU37 to UNH48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 25
OWN 48
0
60.1%
Matt Vezza pass incomplete to Chase WilsonSimilar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 25
OWN 48
+8
60.6%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Chase Wilson for 8 yds to the BALL 44Similar
Q2 9:31
4TH & 17
OPP 44
+37
61.0%
Matt Guidebeck punt for 32 yds , Eric Weatherly returns for no gain to the BALL 7 Eric Weatherly fumbled, recovered by UNH Raleigh Collins IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 8MISSED FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2943% → 42%
Q2 9:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
57.3%
Logan Perez run for 2 yds to the BALL 5Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
57.2%
Matt Vezza pass incomplete to Ryan BlaggSimilar
Q2 8:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
58.0%
Matt Vezza sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 7Similar
Q2 7:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
58.3%
Nick Reed 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:3562% → 71%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
61.7%
Qua Ashley run for 8 yds to the BALL 28Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+72
70.9%
Qua Ashley run for 72 yds for a TD (Carson Holmer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 10TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 5:2031% → 48%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
69.4%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Caleb Burke for 17 yds to the UNH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
68.4%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Chase Wilson for 9 yds to the BALL 49Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+6
67.1%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Josh Fillion for 6 yds to the BALL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
67.6%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Logan Perez for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 44Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+12
69.6%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Colby Ramshaw for 12 yds to the BALL 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
68.0%
Matt Vezza pass incomplete to Colby RamshawSimilar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+8
68.0%
Myles Thomason run for 8 yds to the BALL 24Similar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+4
69.1%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Drew Danson for 4 yds to the BALL 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
67.7%
PENALTY UNH False Start (Olajide,Tolu) 5 yards from BSU20 to BSU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+14
68.6%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Colby Ramshaw for 14 yds to the BALL 11Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 1
OPP 11
0
67.9%
Matt Vezza pass incomplete to Chase WilsonSimilar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+7
69.1%
Ball State Penalty, Targeting (7 Yards) to the BALL 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
66.4%
Myles Thomason run for 5 yds to the BALL 2Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
51.8%
Matt Vezza run for 2 yds for a TD (Nick Reed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 1:1761% → 74%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
60.6%
TJ Horton run for 7 yds to the BALL 32Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
62.1%
Kiael Kelly run for 6 yds to the BALL 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
62.0%
(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun Kelly,Kiael pass incomplete short left to Robinson,Ty thrown to UNH45 PENALTY UNH Pass Interference (Skinner,Zeroun) 15 yards from BSU38 to UNH47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
63.8%
Eric Weatherly run for 5 yds to the UNH 42Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+8
63.9%
Kiael Kelly run for 8 yds to the UNH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+20
64.8%
Kiael Kelly run for 20 yds to the UNH 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
64.7%
Eric Weatherly run for 9 yds to the UNH 5Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 1
OPP 5
-5
64.7%
PENALTY BSU False Start (Hess,Otto) 5 yards from UNH05 to UNH10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
73.6%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Kameron Anthony for 10 yds for a TD (Carson Holmer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 12MISSED FG
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:1031% → 33%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
68.6%
Matt Vezza pass incomplete to Chase WilsonSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+15
69.5%
Matt Vezza run for 15 yds to the BALL 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+52
66.6%
Nick Reed 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:3129% → 27%
Q3 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
71.2%
Myles Thomason run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNH 27Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 12
OWN 27
0
71.8%
Matt Vezza pass incomplete to Caleb BurkeSimilar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 12
OWN 27
0
72.8%
Matt Vezza pass incomplete to Caleb BurkeSimilar
Q3 13:58
4TH & 12
OWN 27
+7
73.5%
Matt Guidebeck punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALL 26 , Qian Magwood returns for 7 yds to the BALL 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:5573% → 86%
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
72.8%
Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the BALL 29Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+23
73.0%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to TJ Horton for 8 yds to the UNH 37 for a 1ST down New Hampshire Penalty, Personal Foul (Tim Bonagura) to the UNH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
74.9%
TJ Horton run for 5 yds to the UNH 43Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+5
75.6%
TJ Horton run for 5 yds to the UNH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
75.8%
TJ Horton run for 8 yds to the UNH 30Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+1
76.3%
Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the UNH 29Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+2
75.4%
Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the UNH 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
85.7%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qua Ashley for 27 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 15FG
13 plays · 59 yds · 5:5016% → 19%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-4
84.4%
Myles Thomason run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNH 3Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 14
OWN 3
0
84.7%
Matt Vezza pass incomplete to Josh FillionSimilar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 14
OWN 3
+15
85.0%
Matt Vezza run for 15 yds to the UNH 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
84.6%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Chase Wilson for 13 yds to the UNH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
83.9%
Myles Thomason run for 2 yds to the UNH 33Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+4
84.2%
Myles Thomason run for 4 yds to the UNH 37Similar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+16
84.4%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Caleb Burke for 16 yds to the BALL 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
83.4%
Elliot Meine run for 4 yds to the BALL 43Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+9
84.1%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Peyton Strickland for 9 yds to the BALL 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
83.4%
Matt Vezza pass incomplete to Logan PerezSimilar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
83.5%
Matt Vezza pass incomplete to Chase WilsonSimilar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
85.0%
Matt Vezza pass incomplete to Chase WilsonSimilar
Q3 3:46
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+52
81.4%
Nick Reed 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16PUNT
14 plays · 25 yds · 6:3882% → 86%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
82.0%
Qua Ashley run for no gain to the BALL 11Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+6
82.0%
Qua Ashley run for 6 yds to the BALL 17Similar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+6
81.5%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qua Ashley for 6 yds to the BALL 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
83.4%
Eric Weatherly run for 7 yds to the BALL 30Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 3
OWN 30
-4
84.0%
Kiael Kelly sacked by Jordan Mcallister for a loss of 4 yards to the BALL 26Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+9
83.9%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Koby Gross for 9 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
85.1%
TJ Horton run for no gain to the BALL 35Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-2
84.5%
TJ Horton run for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 33Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+17
84.3%
Kiael Kelly run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
50
+1
87.1%
Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the UNH 49Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
87.2%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Ty RobinsonSimilar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
86.3%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Ty RobinsonSimilar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
85.7%
Adam Saul punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:3914% → 10%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.6%
Myles Thomason run for 5 yds to the UNH 30Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
84.5%
Matt Vezza pass incomplete to Chase WilsonSimilar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+30
85.6%
Matt Vezza run for 30 yds to the BALL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
84.8%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Drew Danson for 9 yds to the BALL 31Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 1
OPP 31
-6
84.6%
Matt Vezza sacked by DeJuan Echoles Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the BALL 37Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 7
OPP 37
-9
86.8%
Matt Vezza sacked by Nathan Voorhis for a loss of 9 yards to the BALL 46Similar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 16
OPP 46
0
89.8%
Matt Guidebeck punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18SF
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-5
89.1%
Kiael Kelly run for a loss of 5 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 19FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:3915% → 28%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
85.0%
Matt Vezza run for 6 yds to the UNH 46Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
84.7%
Myles Thomason run for no gain to the UNH 46Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+42
86.1%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Caleb Burke for 42 yds to the BALL 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
81.9%
Matt Vezza run for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 13Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+2
84.1%
Myles Thomason run for 2 yds to the BALL 11Similar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
86.8%
Matt Vezza pass incomplete to Caleb BurkeSimilar
Q4 4:16
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+29
71.6%
Nick Reed 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20PUNT
12 plays · 11 yds · 2:3086% → 94%
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
86.3%
Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the BALL 36Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+8
88.0%
Qua Ashley run for 8 yds to the BALL 44Similar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-10
88.8%
(03:07) Shotgun Kelly,Kiael rush left for 0 yards to the BSU44 (Johnson,D.J.; Stone,Jackson) PENALTY BSU Holding (Hood,Chris) 10 yards from BSU44 to BSU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+12
87.3%
Kiael Kelly run for 12 yds to the BALL 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
92.0%
Kiael Kelly run for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 44Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+3
93.5%
Qua Ashley run for 3 yds to the BALL 47Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 9
OWN 47
-1
93.9%
Kiael Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 46Similar
Q4 1:39
4TH & 10
OWN 46
+5
93.8%
Adam Saul punt for 49 yds , Myles Thomason returns for 5 yds to the UNH 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 33 yds · 1:2812% → 9%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
88.0%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Josh Fillion for 6 yds to the UNH 16Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 4
OWN 16
0
87.8%
Matt Vezza pass incomplete to Josh FillionSimilar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+7
88.7%
Matt Vezza run for 7 yds to the UNH 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
87.8%
Matt Vezza run for 9 yds to the UNH 32Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+8
85.6%
Matt Vezza pass complete to Myles Thomason for 8 yds to the UNH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
89.0%
Matt Vezza run for 1 yd to the UNH 41Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
89.5%
Matt Vezza pass incomplete to Caleb BurkeSimilar
Q4 0:13
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+2
90.4%
Matt Vezza run for 2 yds to the UNH 43Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
90.9%
Matt Vezza pass incomplete to Chase WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 4:16
Nick Reed 29 yd FG GOOD
-15.2
TD · Q2 1:47
Matt Vezza run for 2 yds for a TD (Nick Reed KICK)
-14.2
TD · Q3 9:56
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qua Ashley for 27 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+10.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com