Try the model
LIU

Long Island University 28 at Eastern Michigan 23

EMU
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Rynearson Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadLIU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreLIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q4Q1Q2Q4Q1Q2Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q2Q3Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:49 · Will Lynch punt for 55 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q4Q1Q2Q4Q1Q2Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q2Q3Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4Play 53Pregame prior+37.8Home team on offense−1.2Score differential−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 3:19: Timeout Long Island University, clock 03:19 — LIU win probability +65.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: LIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:21: Luca Stanzani run for 14 yds for a TD (Lance Maiberg KICK) — LIU win probability +31.4 pts (now 76%) (top driver: LIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:21: Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 12:21 — EMU win probability +22.1 pts (now 46%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:41: Noah Kim pass complete to Jamarien Wheeler for 5 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK) — EMU win probability +12.4 pts (now 18%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:41: Timeout Long Island University, clock 00:41 — LIU win probability +15.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9LIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:03EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:43EMU 4th & 10 at LIU 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    87.5%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:43EMU 4th & 10 at LIU 14, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    88.2%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:05EMU 4th & 17 at EMU 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:49LIU 4th & 6 at LIU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:05EMU 4th & 17 at EMU 38, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:58EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 44, down 5
    Close callPunted · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:21LIU 4th & 7 at LIU 49, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:13LIU 4th & 7 at LIU 39, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−1.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:30LIU 4th & 6 at EMU 44, up 5
    Close callPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    28.5%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:07LIU 4th & 1 at EMU 1, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    46.9%−6.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    30.0%−23.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:06LIU 4th & 3 at EMU 7, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.3%−1.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    23.3%−11.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:06LIU 4th & 3 at EMU 7, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.3%−1.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    23.3%−11.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:14EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 33, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−2.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:13LIU 4th & 7 at LIU 39, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−1.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:26EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 28, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−1.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:07LIU 4th & 1 at EMU 1, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    46.9%−6.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    30.0%−23.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:27EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 14, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    43.6%−4.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1LIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:46LIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 1:56LIU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−0.5
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 0:41EMU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.7%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3692% → 92%
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
92.0%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 1 yd to the EMU 32Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+6
91.9%
Noah Kim pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 6 yds to the EMU 38Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+2
91.8%
Noah Kim run for 2 yds to the EMU 40Similar
Q1 13:03
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
91.6%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Kam Ingram at the LIU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 90 yds · 2:118% → 10%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
91.6%
Kam Ingram run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIU 9Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 11
OWN 9
0
91.5%
Chris Howell pass incomplete to Deion RichardsonSimilar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 11
OWN 9
+11
91.4%
Ethan Greenwood run for 11 yds to the LIU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
91.2%
Ethan Greenwood pass complete to Evan Brooks for 15 yds to the LIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
90.4%
Ethan Greenwood run for 65 yds for a TD (Lance Maiberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3FG
16 plays · 58 yds · 5:4291% → 89%
Q1 12:25
2ND & 11
OWN 9
0
91.1%
Chris Howell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 11
OWN 9
+11
91.1%
Ethan Greenwood run for 11 yds to the LIU 20Similar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
90.7%
Ethan Greenwood pass to Evan Brooks for 15 yds to the LIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
90.3%
Ethan Greenwood run for 65 yds to the EMU 0, for a TD (Lance Maiberg KICK)Similar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
90.3%
Dontae McMillan run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 27Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+14
90.0%
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 14 yds to the EMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
89.9%
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 13 yds to the LIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+21
89.8%
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 21 yds to the LIU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
89.7%
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the LIU 22 Dontae McMillan fumbled, recovered by EMU Dontae McMillanSimilar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+8
89.6%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 8 yds to the LIU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
89.4%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 2 yds to the LIU 12Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 8
OPP 12
-2
89.2%
Tavierre Dunlap run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIU 14Similar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
88.7%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Joshua LongSimilar
Q1 6:43
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
89.2%
Rudy Kessinger 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4PUNT
22 plays · 22 yds · 8:2891% → 86%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
90.6%
Dontae McMillan run for a loss of 1 yards to the EMU 27Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+14
90.4%
Noah Kim pass to Ben Prosper for 14 yds to the EMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
90.4%
Noah Kim pass to Joshua Long for 13 yds to the LIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+21
90.3%
Noah Kim pass to Nick Devereaux for 21 yds to the LIU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
90.3%
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the , Dontae McMillan runSimilar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+8
90.3%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 8 yds to the Similar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
90.2%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 2 yds to the LIU 12Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 8
OPP 12
-2
89.8%
Tavierre Dunlap run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIU 14Similar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
89.4%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:43
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
89.1%
Rudy Kessinger 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+16
87.9%
Noah Kim pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 16 yds to the EMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
87.7%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 8 yds to the EMU 40Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+1
87.9%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 1 yd to the EMU 41Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+4
87.4%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 4 yds to the EMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
87.2%
Noah Kim pass complete to Tavierre Dunlap for 3 yds to the EMU 42Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 13
OWN 42
0
86.5%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 13
OWN 42
+4
86.2%
Noah Kim pass complete to James Jointer Jr. for 4 yds to the EMU 38Similar
Q1 2:05
4TH & 17
OWN 38
0
86.0%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Chase Davis at the LIU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4711% → 11%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.2%
Kam Ingram run for 4 yds to the LIU 29Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
88.7%
Ethan Greenwood pass incomplete to Deion RichardsonSimilar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
88.9%
Ethan Greenwood pass incomplete to Jayden SimpsonSimilar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
89.0%
Will Lynch punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6TD
14 plays · 70 yds · 11:1789% → 84%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.2%
Kam Ingram run for 4 yds to the LIU 29Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
88.7%
Ethan Greenwood pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
88.9%
Ethan Greenwood pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
89.0%
Will Lynch punt for 55 yds to the LIU Similar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
84.0%
Noah Kim run for 3 yds to the EMU 33Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
83.6%
Noah Kim pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 6 yds to the EMU 39Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+5
83.8%
Noah Kim run for 5 yds to the EMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
83.8%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
83.3%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Nick DevereauxSimilar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+20
82.7%
Noah Kim run for 20 yds to the LIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
83.7%
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the LIU 33Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+33
83.8%
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 33 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
17 plays · 24 yds · 14:1788% → 82%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+16
87.6%
Noah Kim pass to Terry Lockett Jr. for 16 yds to the EMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
87.4%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 8 yds to the EMU 40Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+1
87.4%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 1 yd to the EMU 41Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+4
87.2%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 4 yds to the EMU 45Similar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
87.0%
Noah Kim pass to Tavierre Dunlap for a loss of 3 yards to the EMU 42Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 13
OWN 42
0
86.4%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 13
OWN 42
-4
86.2%
Noah Kim pass to James Jointer Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the EMU 38Similar
Q1 2:05
4TH & 17
OWN 38
0
85.8%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 48 yds to the EMU Similar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
81.9%
Ethan Greenwood run for 2 yds to the LIU 27Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
81.1%
Ethan Greenwood run for 3 yds to the LIU 30Similar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+16
80.7%
Ethan Greenwood pass complete to Evan Brooks for 16 yds to the LIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
78.1%
Ethan Greenwood run for 5 yds to the EMU 49Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-2
80.9%
Luca Stanzani run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIU 49Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
80.8%
Luca Stanzani pass incomplete to Jayden SimpsonSimilar
Q2 6:21
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
81.7%
Will Lynch punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 3:1314% → 18%
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+74
85.7%
Ethan Greenwood pass complete to Luca Stanzani for 74 yds to the EMU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
84.2%
O'Shawn Ross Jr. run for no gain to the EMU 12Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
83.4%
Ethan Greenwood run for 3 yds to the EMU 9Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+7
83.6%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Ethan Greenwood for 7 yds to the EMU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
82.7%
O'Shawn Ross Jr. run for no gain to the EMU 2Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
82.2%
Ethan Greenwood run for 2 yds for a TD (Lance Maiberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9PUNT
14 plays · 24 yds · 12:4985% → 80%
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+74
85.1%
Ethan Greenwood pass to Luca Stanzani for 74 yds to the EMU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
83.4%
O'Shawn Ross Jr. runSimilar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
83.0%
Ethan Greenwood run for 3 yds to the Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+7
82.8%
Luca Stanzani pass to Ethan Greenwood for 7 yds to the EMU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
81.8%
O'Shawn Ross Jr. runSimilar
Q2 13:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.3%
Ethan Greenwood run for 2 yds to the EMU 0, for a TD (Lance Maiberg KICK)Similar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
81.8%
Noah Kim pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 7 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+11
81.4%
Noah Kim pass complete to Tanner Lemaster for 11 yds to the EMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
81.3%
Dontae McMillan run for 4 yds to the EMU 42Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
81.6%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+2
80.9%
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 2 yds to the EMU 44Similar
Q2 3:58
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
79.6%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 13 yds · 14:5419% → 33%
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
81.4%
Ethan Greenwood run for 2 yds to the LIU 27Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
82.5%
Ethan Greenwood run for 3 yds to the LIU 30Similar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+16
83.5%
Ethan Greenwood pass to Evan Brooks for 16 yds to the LIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
81.3%
Ethan Greenwood run for 5 yds to the Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-2
80.7%
Luca Stanzani run for a loss of 2 yards to the Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
80.7%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:21
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
81.6%
Will Lynch punt for 31 yds to the LIU Similar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
70.0%
Noah Kim pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 10 yds to the EMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
70.2%
Dontae McMillan run for 1 yd to the EMU 31Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+2
69.6%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 2 yds to the EMU 33Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
68.2%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Joshua LongSimilar
Q3 10:14
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
67.0%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 11PUNT
13 plays · 17 yds · 13:5718% → 38%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
81.8%
Noah Kim pass to Terry Lockett Jr. for 7 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+11
81.4%
Noah Kim pass to Tanner Lemaster for 11 yds to the EMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
81.3%
Dontae McMillan run for 4 yds to the EMU 42Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
81.6%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+2
80.9%
Noah Kim pass to Ben Prosper for 2 yds to the EMU 44Similar
Q2 3:58
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
79.6%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
66.1%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to O'Shawn Ross Jr. for 9 yds to the LIU 31Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+5
63.1%
Luca Stanzani run for 5 yds to the LIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
62.2%
Kam Ingram run for 6 yds to the LIU 42Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-3
59.4%
Kam Ingram run for a loss of 3 yards to the LIU 39 Kam Ingram fumbled, recovered by LIU Kam IngramSimilar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
60.3%
Luca Stanzani pass incomplete to Jaiden DozierSimilar
Q3 7:13
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
62.3%
Will Lynch punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 12PUNT
15 plays · 2 yds · 12:2421% → 39%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
79.4%
O'Shawn Ross Jr. run for 6 yds to the LIU 26Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
78.3%
Kam Ingram run for 2 yds to the LIU 28Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
78.5%
O'Shawn Ross Jr. run for 3 yds to the LIU 31Similar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
77.3%
Luca Stanzani run for 10 yds to the LIU 41Similar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
75.7%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
76.1%
Kam Ingram run for 4 yds to the LIU 45Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+7
75.9%
Luca Stanzani pass to O'Shawn Ross Jr. for 7 yds to the EMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
74.5%
Luca Stanzani pass to Jaron Kelley for 4 yds to the EMU 44Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
74.3%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
74.6%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
75.9%
Will Lynch punt for 41 yds to the LIU Similar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
63.7%
Noah Kim run for 2 yds to the EMU 28Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
63.2%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
61.4%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q3 6:26
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
60.6%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Chase Davis at the LIU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 13DOWNS
15 plays · 77 yds · 16:2223% → 70%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
77.3%
Dontae McMillan run for 1 yd to the EMU 4Similar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+19
60.2%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Deion Richardson for 19 yds to the LIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
57.3%
Kam Ingram run for 2 yds to the LIU 39Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+7
54.7%
Luca Stanzani run for 7 yds to the LIU 46Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+34
52.8%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Jaiden Dozier for 34 yds to the EMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
48.7%
Kam Ingram run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 22Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 12
OPP 22
+7
48.0%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Kam Ingram for 7 yds to the EMU 15Similar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+7
31.8%
Deion Richardson run for 7 yds to the EMU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
30.0%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Jaron Kelley for 5 yds to the EMU 3Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
28.0%
Kam Ingram run for 2 yds to the EMU 1Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
28.6%
O'Shawn Ross Jr. run for no gain to the EMU 1Similar
Q4 14:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+4
29.7%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to O'Shawn Ross Jr. for 4 yds to the EMU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 14MISSED FG
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:4539% → 45%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
61.5%
Deion Richardson run for 19 yds to the EMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+32
57.4%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Chris Howell for 32 yds to the EMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
55.8%
O'Shawn Ross Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 15Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+8
54.4%
Luca Stanzani run for 8 yds to the EMU 7Similar
Q3 12:11
3RD & 3
OPP 7
0
53.2%
Luca Stanzani pass incomplete to Deion RichardsonSimilar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+23
55.0%
Lance Maiberg 23 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 14 yds · 17:3039% → 76%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
61.5%
Deion Richardson run for 19 yds to the EMU 46Similar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+32
57.4%
Luca Stanzani pass to Chris Howell for 32 yds to the EMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
55.8%
O'Shawn Ross Jr. run for a loss of 1 yards to the EMU 15Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+8
54.4%
Luca Stanzani run for 8 yds to the Similar
Q3 12:11
3RD & 3
OPP 7
0
53.2%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+23
55.0%
Lance Maiberg 23 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
23.7%
Luca Stanzani run for 14 yds for a TD (Lance Maiberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 15:1667% → 47%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
66.9%
Noah Kim pass to Terry Lockett Jr. for 10 yds to the EMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
66.9%
Dontae McMillan run for 1 yd to the EMU 31Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+2
66.2%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 2 yds to the EMU 33Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
64.9%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:14
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
64.1%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 45 yds to the EMU Similar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
45.2%
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 19 yds to the LIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
47.1%
Dontae McMillan run for 40 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 17TD
28 plays · 75 yds · 23:0846% → 99%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
53.7%
Luca Stanzani pass to O'Shawn Ross Jr. for 9 yds to the LIU 31Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+5
50.8%
Luca Stanzani run for 5 yds to the LIU 36Similar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
49.3%
Kam Ingram run for 6 yds to the LIU 42Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-3
46.4%
Kam Ingram run for a loss of 3 yards to the , Kam Ingram runSimilar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
47.0%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:13
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
49.0%
Will Lynch punt for 35 yds to the LIU Similar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
26.0%
Kam Ingram run for 9 yds to the LIU 34Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
24.0%
Kam Ingram run for 2 yds to the LIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
22.6%
Kam Ingram run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIU 34Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+3
22.6%
Kam Ingram run for 3 yds to the LIU 37Similar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+17
20.7%
Luca Stanzani run for 17 yds to the EMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
16.7%
Luca Stanzani run for 3 yds to the EMU 43Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+8
14.9%
O'Shawn Ross Jr. run for 8 yds to the EMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
13.7%
O'Shawn Ross Jr. run for 4 yds to the EMU 31Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+3
12.8%
Luca Stanzani run for 3 yds to the EMU 28Similar
Q4 5:23
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+7
11.7%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Deion Richardson for 7 yds to the EMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
8.6%
O'Shawn Ross Jr. run for no gain to the EMU 21Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-1
10.9%
Deion Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 22Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+16
9.8%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Jayden Simpson for 16 yds to the EMU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
7.0%
O'Shawn Ross Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMU 4Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
6.8%
O'Shawn Ross Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMU 2Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.9%
Luca Stanzani run for 2 yds for a TD (Lance Maiberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18TD
15 plays · 56 yds · 21:2446% → 18%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
45.6%
Noah Kim run for 2 yds to the EMU 28Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
45.0%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
43.1%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:26
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
42.7%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 54 yds to the EMU Similar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
5.6%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Nick DevereauxSimilar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+20
5.4%
Noah Kim pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 20 yds to the LIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
6.1%
Noah Kim pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 7 yds to the LIU 29Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 3
OPP 29
0
7.4%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+18
6.1%
Noah Kim pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 6 yds to the LIU 23 for a 1ST down Long Island University Penalty, Personal Foul (Ja'Nyus Morgan) to the LIU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
7.6%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Jamarien WheelerSimilar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+6
7.5%
Noah Kim run for 6 yds to the LIU 5Similar
Q4 0:41
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
17.5%
Noah Kim pass complete to Jamarien Wheeler for 5 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 19END OF GAME
14 plays · -2 yds · 21:1745% → 98%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+19
55.1%
to Deion Richardson for 19 yds to the LIU 37 for a 1ST down, Luca Stanzani passSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
52.5%
Kam Ingram run for 2 yds to the LIU 39Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+7
50.1%
Luca Stanzani run for 7 yds to the LIU 46Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+34
48.0%
Luca Stanzani pass to Jaiden Dozier for 34 yds to the EMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
44.3%
Kam Ingram run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 22Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 12
OPP 22
+7
43.5%
Luca Stanzani pass to Kam Ingram for 7 yds to the EMU 15Similar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+7
39.8%
Deion Richardson run for 7 yds to the EMU 8Similar
Q3 1:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
37.9%
Luca Stanzani pass to Jaron Kelley for 5 yds to the EMU 3Similar
Q3 0:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
37.0%
Kam Ingram run for 2 yds to the EMU 1Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
34.5%
O'Shawn Ross Jr. runSimilar
Q4 14:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
35.5%
Luca Stanzani pass to O'Shawn Ross Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the EMU 5Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
2.4%
L. Stanzani takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3246% → 41%
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
46.1%
Dontae McMillan run for 7 yds to the EMU 12Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+1
45.2%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 1 yd to the EMU 13Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 2
OWN 13
+1
42.7%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 1 yd to the EMU 14Similar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 1
OWN 14
0
41.4%
Tavierre Dunlap run for no gain to the EMU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:19
Timeout Long Island University, clock 03:19
-65.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-41.4
TD · Q4 12:21
Luca Stanzani run for 14 yds for a TD (Lance Maiberg KICK)
-31.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com