Try the model
LAF

Lafayette 7 at Bowling Green 26

BGSU
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 28, 2025 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadLAF aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreLAF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · L. Anderson III takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:20: Mar'Kel Porter 4 Yd Run (Jackson Kleather Kick) — BGSU win probability +3.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 10:11: Jackson Kleather 56 Yd Field Goal — BGSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:39: Elijah Steward 5 Yd pass from Dean DeNobile (Jack Simonetta Kick) — LAF win probability +5.3 pts (now 8%) (top driver: LAF has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 1:10: Jackson Kleather 39 Yd Field Goal — BGSU win probability +1.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 12:25: Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Mason Kuehner — LAF win probability +1.0 pts (now 5%) (top driver: LAF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8LAF made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:10LAF 4th & 7 at LAF 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:46BGSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:23LAF 4th & 2 at BGSU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    9.8%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:15BGSU 4th & 12 at LAF 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:22LAF 4th & 4 at BGSU 47, down 10
    Close callPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:55BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:55LAF 4th & 14 at LAF 12, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:57BGSU 4th & 2 at LAF 6, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    87.6%−0.7
    91% to make
    Punt
    85.0%−3.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:57LAF 4th & 4 at LAF 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:30LAF 4th & 8 at LAF 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:11BGSU 4th & 6 at LAF 38, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.5%−0.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:39LAF 4th & 5 at BGSU 5, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−2.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:10BGSU 4th & 3 at LAF 21, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.8%−0.5
    74% to make
    Punt
    88.7%−4.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:25LAF 4th & 8 at BGSU 46, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    4.8%−0.6
    23% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:21BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 49, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:21LAF 4th & 10 at LAF 14, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:47BGSU 4th & 5 at LAF 18, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−1.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:09LAF 4th & 14 at LAF 31, down 19
    Close callPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2LAF made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:49BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:20BGSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:39LAF Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LAFDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:257% → 7%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
92.9%
Ethan Weber run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 20Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 11
OWN 20
0
92.8%
Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Elijah StewardSimilar
Q1 13:54
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+4
92.8%
Dean DeNobile pass complete to Mason Kuehner for 4 yds to the LAF 24Similar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
92.7%
Christian Bush punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Brennan Ridley at the BGSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1893% → 92%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
92.7%
Chris McMillian run for 2 yds to the BGSU 32Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+3
92.6%
Chris McMillian run for 3 yds to the BGSU 35Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
92.5%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Jyrin JohnsonSimilar
Q1 11:46
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
92.4%
John Henderson punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 4DOWNS
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:148% → 8%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
92.4%
Kente Edwards run for 2 yds to the LAF 23Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
92.3%
Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Ethan HosakSimilar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+12
92.3%
Dean DeNobile pass complete to Jakyre Henley for 12 yds to the LAF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
92.2%
Jakyre Henley run for a loss of 2 yards to the LAF 33Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+22
92.1%
Dean DeNobile pass complete to Ethan Hosak for 22 yds to the BGSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
91.9%
Dean DeNobile pass complete to Mason Kuehner for 4 yds to the BGSU 41Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+4
91.9%
Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 4 yds to the BGSU 37Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 2
OPP 37
0
91.7%
Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Ethan HosakSimilar
Q1 8:23
4TH & 2
OPP 37
0
91.8%
Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Elijah StewardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5FG
18 plays · 51 yds · 9:0292% → 91%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
92.0%
Chris McMillian run for 2 yds to the BGSU 39Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+7
92.1%
Drew Pyne pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 7 yds to the BGSU 46Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
91.9%
Cameron Pettaway run for 2 yds to the BGSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
91.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Cameron Pettaway for 7 yds to the BGSU 41Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 17
OWN 41
+10
91.7%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Finn Hogan for 10 yds to the LAF 49Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+5
91.7%
(06:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Pyne,Drew pass incomplete short to Hogan,Finn thrown to LC45 PENALTY LC Offside (Selvitelli,Dominic) 5 yards from LC49 to LC44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+4
91.8%
Chris McMillian run for 4 yds to the LAF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
91.8%
Chris McMillian run for 3 yds to the LAF 37Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+7
91.7%
Kaderris Roberts run for 7 yds to the LAF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
91.7%
Kaderris Roberts run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 31Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+14
91.6%
Chris McMillian run for 14 yds to the LAF 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
91.5%
Chris McMillian run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 18Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+10
91.3%
Chris McMillian run for 10 yds to the LAF 8Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+1
91.1%
Chris McMillian run for 1 yd to the LAF 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
91.1%
Chris McMillian run for 2 yds to the LAF 5Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
91.0%
Kaderris Roberts run for 1 yd to the LAF 4Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-8
90.8%
Drew Pyne sacked by Robert Stevens for a loss of 8 yards to the LAF 12Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
90.6%
Jackson Kleather 30 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:459% → 10%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
90.7%
Bowling Green Penalty, (15 Yards) to the LAF 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
90.3%
Ethan Weber run for 4 yds to the BGSU 49Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+2
90.1%
Kente Edwards run for 2 yds to the BGSU 47Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
90.0%
Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Mason KuehnerSimilar
Q2 12:22
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
90.3%
Christian Bush punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Brennan Ridley at the BGSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:1890% → 90%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+10
90.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Finn Hogan for 10 yds to the BGSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
90.3%
Kaderris Roberts run for 11 yds to the BGSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
90.5%
Kaderris Roberts run for 2 yds to the BGSU 35Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+2
90.3%
Cameron Pettaway run for 2 yds to the BGSU 37Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
90.2%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Jyrin JohnsonSimilar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
89.7%
John Henderson punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:5010% → 9%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
90.2%
Ethan Weber run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 15Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+3
90.3%
Dean DeNobile pass complete to Ethan Weber for 3 yds to the LAF 18Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 8
OWN 18
-6
90.5%
Dean DeNobile sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the LAF 12Similar
Q2 7:55
4TH & 14
OWN 12
+9
90.7%
Christian Bush punt for 42 yds , Brennan Ridley returns for 9 yds to the LAF 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9DOWNS
10 plays · 40 yds · 4:5091% → 90%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
90.7%
Chris McMillian run for 2 yds to the LAF 43Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
90.6%
Chris McMillian run for no gain to the LAF 43Similar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+25
90.2%
Lafayette Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Michael Vaughn) to the LAF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
90.5%
Cameron Pettaway run for 12 yds to the LAF 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
90.6%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Brennan Ridley for 8 yds to the LAF 17Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+3
90.6%
Cameron Pettaway run for 3 yds to the LAF 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
90.5%
Cameron Pettaway run for 6 yds to the LAF 8Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 4
OPP 8
0
90.4%
Cameron Pettaway run for no gain to the LAF 8Similar
Q2 3:28
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+2
90.3%
Nakai Amachree run for 2 yds to the LAF 6Similar
Q2 2:57
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+1
89.7%
Nakai Amachree run for 1 yd to the LAF 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5410% → 10%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
89.9%
Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Elijah StewardSimilar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+6
89.9%
Kente Edwards run for 6 yds to the LAF 11Similar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 4
OWN 11
0
90.1%
Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Carson PersingSimilar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 4
OWN 11
0
90.3%
Christian Bush punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LAF 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 1:2991% → 94%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
90.6%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Reis Stocksdale for 17 yds to the LAF 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
90.7%
Kaderris Roberts run for 4 yds to the LAF 24Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+11
90.8%
Kaderris Roberts run for 11 yds to the LAF 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
90.8%
Kaderris Roberts run for 3 yds to the LAF 10Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+6
90.2%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for 6 yds to the LAF 4Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+4
93.6%
Mar'Kel Porter 4 Yd Run (Jackson Kleather Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
93.3%
D. DeNobile takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:236% → 6%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.8%
Kente Edwards run for 1 yd to the LAF 26Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
94.1%
Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Elijah StewardSimilar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+1
94.2%
Dean DeNobile run for 1 yd to the LAF 27Similar
Q3 13:30
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
94.2%
Christian Bush punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BGSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14FG
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:0194% → 98%
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.2%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Blane Cleaver for no gain to the BGSU 35Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
94.2%
Chris McMillian run for 1 yd to the BGSU 36Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+22
94.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 22 yds to the LAF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
95.3%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Allen MiddletonSimilar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
95.3%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Chris McMillian for 5 yds to the LAF 37Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 5
OPP 37
-1
95.8%
Drew Pyne sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 38Similar
Q3 10:11
4TH & 6
OPP 38
+56
97.6%
Jackson Kleather 56 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 15TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:213% → 8%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.4%
Dean DeNobile run for 4 yds to the LAF 29Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
97.3%
Dean DeNobile run for 7 yds to the LAF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.3%
Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Carson PersingSimilar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
97.4%
Dean DeNobile pass complete to Ethan Hosak for 8 yds to the LAF 44Similar
Q3 8:11
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
97.6%
Kente Edwards run for 3 yds to the LAF 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
97.5%
Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 14 yds to the BGSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
97.6%
Jason Penza run for 9 yds to the BGSU 30 Lafayette Penalty, Illegal Block (Ethan Hosak) to the BGSU 40Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+17
97.6%
Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 17 yds to the BGSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
97.3%
Ethan Weber run for 2 yds to the BGSU 21Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+7
97.4%
Bowling Green Penalty, (7 Yards) to the BGSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
97.4%
Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Mason KuehnerSimilar
Q3 4:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
97.4%
Kente Edwards run for 4 yds to the BGSU 3Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
97.7%
Kente Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 5Similar
Q3 3:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
92.4%
Elijah Steward 5 Yd pass from Dean DeNobile (Jack Simonetta Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16FG
8 plays · 21 yds · 5:5895% → 95%
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
94.6%
Kaderris Roberts run for 14 yds to the LAF 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
94.9%
Kaderris Roberts run for 2 yds to the LAF 26Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
95.2%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Kaderris RobertsSimilar
Q3 1:46
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+5
95.1%
Drew Pyne run for 5 yds to the LAF 21Similar
Q3 1:10
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+39
96.3%
Jackson Kleather 39 Yd Field GoalSimilar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
95.2%
Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Mason KuehnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:275% → 5%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
94.8%
Jason Penza run for 5 yds to the LAF 43Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+9
94.8%
Jason Penza run for 9 yds to the BGSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
94.7%
sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the LAF 47Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 15
OWN 47
+3
95.2%
Dean DeNobile pass complete to Jakyre Henley for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 12
50
+9
95.2%
Dean DeNobile pass complete to Mason Kuehner for 9 yds to the BGSU 41Similar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 3
OPP 41
-5
95.2%
(13:05) No Huddle-Shotgun DeNobile,Dean pass complete deep left to Steward,Elijah caught at BGSU12, for 0 yards to the BGSU41 (McClendon,Jalen) PENALTY LC Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Adams,Spencer) 5 yards from BGSU41 to BGSU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
95.2%
Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Mason KuehnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:5597% → 97%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
97.4%
Chris McMillian run for 2 yds to the BGSU 48Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
97.4%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Winn SharpSimilar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+6
97.3%
Mar'Kel Porter run for 6 yds to the LAF 46Similar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 2
OPP 46
-5
97.2%
PENALTY BGSU Delay Of Game (Pyne,Drew) 5 yards from LC46 to BGSU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:21
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
97.2%
John Henderson punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:514% → 3%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
96.5%
Kente Edwards run for 3 yds to the LAF 6Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+6
96.7%
Kente Edwards run for 6 yds to the LAF 12Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+2
96.6%
Kente Edwards run for 2 yds to the LAF 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
96.6%
Jason Penza pass complete to Dean DeNobile for no gain to the LAF 14Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
96.6%
Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Carson PersingSimilar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 10
OWN 14
0
96.7%
Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Carson PersingSimilar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
96.7%
Christian Bush punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:2597% → 99%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
97.3%
Cameron Pettaway run for 3 yds to the BGSU 32Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+25
97.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 25 yds to the LAF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
97.8%
Cameron Pettaway run for 7 yds to the LAF 36Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+13
97.8%
Kaderris Roberts run for 13 yds to the LAF 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
98.0%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jacob Harris for 6 yds to the LAF 17Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 4
OPP 17
-1
98.1%
Kaderris Roberts run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 18Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
98.1%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Kaderris RobertsSimilar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+35
99.0%
Jackson Kleather 35 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 21FG
8 plays · 53 yds · 3:222% → 2%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
98.3%
Jakyre Henley run for 3 yds to the LAF 27Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+2
98.2%
Jakyre Henley run for 2 yds to the LAF 29Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+6
98.3%
Jason Penza pass complete to Devin Paige for 6 yds to the LAF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
98.3%
Ethan Weber run for 3 yds to the LAF 38Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
98.3%
Ethan Weber run for no gain to the LAF 38Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-7
98.3%
Jason Penza sacked by Myles Bradley for a loss of 7 yards to the LAF 31Similar
Q4 1:09
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
97.8%
Christian Bush punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Brennan Ridley at the BGSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22PUNT
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:5399% → 99%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
98.7%
Nakai Amachree run for 2 yds to the BGSU 32Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-2
98.8%
L. Anderson III takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:39
Elijah Steward 5 Yd pass from Dean DeNobile (Jack Simonetta Kick)
-5.3
TD · Q2 0:20
Mar'Kel Porter 4 Yd Run (Jackson Kleather Kick)
+3.4
FG · Q3 10:11
Jackson Kleather 56 Yd Field Goal
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com