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RICE

Rice 3 at South Florida 52

USF
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025 · Raymond James Stadium
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Win probability · USF
modelUSF aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playUSF scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:15 · (04:24) #91 A.Bacchetta punt 40 yards to the USF20, out of bounds at USF20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 161Pregame prior+5.4Home team on offense+36.2Score differential+31.0Blowout margin+19.3Garbage-time factor+10.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:25: (09:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #11 K.Singleton caught at Rice00, for 5 yards to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:25, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Rice Holding declined #7 N.Gramatica kick attempt good (H: #37 C.Leon, LS: #95 G.Cates) — USF win probability +0.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:59: (03:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete deep right to #11 K.Singleton caught at Rice26, for 47 yards to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:59, 1ST DOWN #7 N.Gramatica kick attempt good (H: #37 C.Leon, LS: #95 G.Cates) — USF win probability +1.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:21: (11:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short middle to #6 M.Reuben caught at Rice44, for 60 yards to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:21, 1ST DOWN #7 N.Gramatica kick attempt good (H: #37 C.Leon, LS: #95 G.Cates) — USF win probability +1.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:54: (06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Davenport rush left for 2 yards gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:54 #7 N.Gramatica kick attempt good (H: #37 C.Leon, LS: #95 G.Cates) — USF win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:00: Enock Gota 44 Yd Field Goal — RICE win probability +1.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USF made the numbers' call on 3 of 5RICE made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 12:49RICE 4th & 18 at RICE 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:25USF 4th & 1 at RICE 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.6%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:10RICE 4th & 1 at USF 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    5.5%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:48RICE 4th & 9 at USF 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    5.3%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:18RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:48RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 22, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:34USF 4th & 2 at USF 41, up 28
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:10RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 39, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:07USF 4th & 4 at USF 31, up 25
    Close callWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:57RICE 4th & 3 at USF 13, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−<0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:41USF 4th & 6 at RICE 6, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:44RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 13, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:15RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 40, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:53USF 4th & 1 at USF 47, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USF made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:25USF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:59USF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:54USF Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:39USF Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:33USF Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:044% → 4%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.4%
(15:00) Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Rice27 (#7 J.Shuler; #11 D.Harris)Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-7
96.3%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins sacked for loss of 7 yards to the Rice20 (#63 J.Celiscar)Similar
Q1 13:47
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+5
96.2%
PENALTY Rice False Start (#55 N.Fehoko) 5 yards from Rice20 to Rice15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+2
96.2%
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush right for 2 yards gain to the Rice17 (#24 M.Harris)Similar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
96.1%
(13:01) #91 A.Bacchetta punt 41 yards to the USF42 PENALTY USF Holding (#32 G.Jenkins) 10 yards from USF42 to USF32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 2TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 3:2096% → 96%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
96.1%
(12:49) Shotgun #25 N.Davenport rush left for 6 yards gain to the USF38 (#4 M.Williams; #75 B.Boenisch)Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-1
96.0%
(12:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Davenport rush middle for 1 yard loss to the USF37 (#75 B.Boenisch; #26 T.Anyanwu)Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+15
95.8%
(11:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #25 N.Davenport caught at USF41, for 15 yards to the Rice48 (#0 A.Awe; #27 J.Kane), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
95.9%
(11:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short right to #11 K.Singleton caught at Rice47, for 4 yards to the Rice44 (#0 A.Awe; #6 J.Chavez)Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+4
95.8%
(11:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Davenport rush left for 4 yards gain to the Rice40 (#0 A.Awe; #26 T.Anyanwu)Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+5
95.7%
(10:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Davenport rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Rice35 (#6 J.Chavez; #26 T.Anyanwu), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
95.7%
(10:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete short left to #16 J.Koger thrown to Rice31 broken up by #5 J.HarperSimilar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+21
95.7%
(10:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush left for 21 yards gain to the Rice14 (#6 J.Chavez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
95.7%
(10:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete short left to #16 J.Koger thrown to Rice00Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+6
95.6%
(10:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Davenport rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Rice08 (#5 J.Harper; #3 T.Morris)Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+3
95.6%
(09:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Davenport rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Rice05 (#26 T.Anyanwu; #0 A.Awe)Similar
Q1 9:25
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+5
95.8%
(09:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #11 K.Singleton caught at Rice00, for 5 yards to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:25, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Rice Holding declined #7 N.Gramatica kick attempt good (H: #37 C.Leon, LS: #95 G.Cates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 52 yds · 5:094% → 5%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.7%
(09:22) Shotgun #1 A.Turner rush right for 7 yards gain to the Rice32 (#3 J.Duclona), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
95.6%
(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush right for 1 yard gain to the Rice33 (#7 J.Shuler; #5 F.Gaskin)Similar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+24
95.5%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush right for 24 yards gain to the USF43 (#3 J.Duclona), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
95.3%
(07:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass incomplete short middle to #6 D.Dickmann thrown to USF30 broken up by #1 B.KnoxSimilar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
95.3%
(07:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush right for 5 yards gain to the USF38 (#34 R.Watson III)Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+6
95.2%
(06:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Turner rush right for 6 yards gain to the USF32 (#34 R.Watson III), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
95.0%
(06:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 D.Hardemann rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USF30 (#24 M.Harris)Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+5
94.9%
(05:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Turner rush left for 5 yards gain to the USF25 (#24 M.Harris), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+2
94.9%
(04:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 D.Hardemann rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USF23 (#22 D.Rucker; #28 R.Jenkins)Similar
Q1 4:10
4TH & 1
OPP 23
0
94.8%
(04:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass incomplete short right to #27 D.Hardemann thrown to USF30 QB hurried by #7 J.Shuler, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 4TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 1:0595% → 96%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
95.0%
(04:10) Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 6 yards gain to the USF29 (#94 B.Bays; #57 A.Clemmons)Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+6
95.0%
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Davenport rush middle for 6 yards gain to the USF35 (#3 T.Morris; #9 P.Stevenson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
94.9%
(03:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #16 J.Koger caught at USF45, for 18 yards to the Rice47 (#27 J.Kane; #5 J.Harper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
96.0%
(03:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete deep right to #11 K.Singleton caught at Rice26, for 47 yards to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:59, 1ST DOWN #7 N.Gramatica kick attempt good (H: #37 C.Leon, LS: #95 G.Cates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 5:034% → 5%
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
95.6%
(02:59) Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Rice33 (#3 J.Duclona)Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
95.4%
(02:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush left for 1 yard gain to the Rice34 (#24 M.Harris)Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
95.4%
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Rice36 (#63 J.Celiscar; #11 D.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
95.3%
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Turner rush right for 0 yards to the Rice36 (#4 M.Williams II), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+18
95.3%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short middle to #1 A.Turner caught at Rice34, for 18 yards to the USF46 (#3 J.Duclona), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
95.1%
(15:00) Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USF44 (#7 J.Shuler; #99 D.Lee)Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-2
95.0%
(14:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush middle for 2 yards loss to the USF46 (#34 R.Watson III)Similar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+1
95.1%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USF45 (#7 J.Shuler)Similar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
95.2%
(12:54) #91 A.Bacchetta punt 45 yards to the USF00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 6TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:2496% → 97%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
95.5%
(12:48) Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete short left to #19 J.Smith thrown to USF25Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
95.5%
(12:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Isaac rush middle for 8 yards gain to the USF28 (#6 J.Chavez)Similar
Q2 12:18
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+2
95.4%
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush right for 2 yards gain to the USF30 (#0 A.Awe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
95.5%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 0 yards to the USF30 (#0 A.Awe)Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+10
95.5%
(11:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #19 J.Smith caught at USF37, for 10 yards to the USF40 (#27 J.Kane; #5 J.Harper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
97.3%
(11:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short middle to #6 M.Reuben caught at Rice44, for 60 yards to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:21, 1ST DOWN #7 N.Gramatica kick attempt good (H: #37 C.Leon, LS: #95 G.Cates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:583% → 3%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.2%
(11:21) Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush left for 0 yards to the Rice25 (#7 J.Shuler; #5 F.Gaskin)Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.3%
(10:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short middle to #1 A.Turner caught at Rice22, for 3 yards to the Rice28 (#22 D.Rucker), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 9:53
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+1
97.3%
(10:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short left to #86 J.Falk caught at Rice26, for 1 yard to the Rice29 (#7 J.Shuler; #5 F.Gaskin)Similar
Q2 9:18
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+37
97.3%
(09:27) #91 A.Bacchetta punt 37 yards to the USF34 #80 J.Porter return for loss of 1 yard to the USF33 (#31 J.Clark; #48 W.Freeman)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 8TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 2:1598% → 99%
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
97.6%
(09:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 0 yards to the USF33 (#99 C.Clark-Jolivet; #3 T.Morris)Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+22
97.6%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush left for 22 yards gain to the Rice45, out of bounds at Rice45, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
97.7%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Davenport rush left for 1 yard loss to the Rice46 (#3 T.Morris; #16 C.Nwajuaku)Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
97.6%
(08:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete short right to #11 K.Singleton thrown to Rice35 broken up by #7 O.Porter QB hurried by #0 A.AweSimilar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+5
97.5%
(07:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass intercepted by #3 T.Morris at Rice35 PENALTY Rice Offside (#94 B.Bays) 5 yards from Rice46 to Rice41. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+34
97.6%
(07:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete deep right to #11 K.Singleton caught at Rice10, for 34 yards to the Rice07 (#7 O.Porter), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Rice Offside declined Rice Pass Interference declinedSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
97.7%
(07:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush right for 5 yards gain to the Rice02 (#3 T.Morris; #26 T.Anyanwu)Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.8%
(06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Davenport rush left for 2 yards gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:54 #7 N.Gramatica kick attempt good (H: #37 C.Leon, LS: #95 G.Cates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:551% → 1%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
99.1%
(06:48) Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush left for 3 yards gain to the Rice18 (#28 R.Jenkins; #99 D.Lee)Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+4
99.1%
(06:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short right to #6 D.Dickmann caught at Rice15, for 4 yards to the Rice22 (#0 J.Lee)Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 3
OWN 22
0
99.1%
(05:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Turner rush right for 0 yards to the Rice22 (#1 B.Knox)Similar
Q2 4:48
4TH & 3
OWN 22
+1
99.1%
(04:58) #91 A.Bacchetta punt 46 yards to the USF32 #80 J.Porter return 1 yard to the USF33 (#6 J.Chavez)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0899% → 99%
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
99.0%
(04:48) Shotgun #4 S.Franklin rush right for 5 yards gain to the USF38 (#20 B.Fletcher)Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+3
99.1%
(04:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 S.Franklin rush right for 3 yards gain to the USF41 (#0 A.Awe; #75 B.Boenisch)Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 2
OWN 41
0
99.0%
(03:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete deep right to #11 K.Singleton thrown to Rice23 broken up by #7 O.PorterSimilar
Q2 3:34
4TH & 2
OWN 41
0
99.0%
(03:40) #37 C.Leon punt 39 yards to the Rice20 fair catch by #6 D.Dickmann at Rice20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11FG
18 plays · 54 yds · 3:221% → 2%
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
99.1%
(03:34) Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short middle to #1 A.Turner caught at Rice16, for 10 yards to the Rice30 (#4 M.Williams II; #22 D.Rucker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.1%
(02:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush left for 3 yards gain to the Rice33 (#22 D.Rucker)Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+3
99.1%
(02:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short middle to #1 A.Turner caught at Rice30, for 3 yards to the Rice36 (#11 D.Harris)Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+3
99.3%
(02:00) Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush left for 3 yards gain to the Rice39 (#4 M.Williams II)Similar
Q2 1:10
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+5
99.3%
(01:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Rice44 (#7 J.Shuler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.4%
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass incomplete deep right to #23 P.Matthews thrown to USF30Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
99.4%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush right for 4 yards gain to the Rice48 (#24 M.Harris)Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+15
99.4%
(00:29) Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass incomplete short left to #49 M.Barnett thrown to USF40 QB hurried by #24 M.Harris PENALTY USF Targeting (#7 J.Shuler) 15 yards from Rice48 to USF37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.4%
(00:20) Shotgun #5 D.Devillier pass incomplete short right to #6 D.Dickmann thrown to USF27 broken up by #22 D.RuckerSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+11
99.3%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Devillier pass complete short left to #1 A.Turner caught at USF34, for 11 yards to the USF26 (#34 R.Watson III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.3%
(00:13) Shotgun #5 D.Devillier pass incomplete short right to #22 R.Guillo thrown to USF14Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
99.3%
(00:08) Shotgun #5 D.Devillier pass incomplete deep left to #1 A.Turner thrown to USF00Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+44
97.8%
Enock Gota 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 12TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:4599% → 100%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
(15:00) Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete short left to #11 K.Singleton thrown to USF30 broken up by #75 B.BoenischSimilar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.7%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #6 M.Reuben caught at USF28, for 3 yards to the USF28 (#20 B.Fletcher; #6 J.Chavez)Similar
Q3 14:03
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
98.7%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush right for 3 yards gain to the USF31 (#3 T.Morris; #26 T.Anyanwu)Similar
Q3 13:07
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+15
98.8%
(13:25) No Huddle #29 T.Kinkle rush left for 15 yards gain to the USF46 (#80 D.Kasemervisz), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
99.0%
(12:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short right to #6 M.Reuben caught at USF43, for 9 yards to the Rice45 (#7 O.Porter; #9 P.Stevenson)Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+22
99.0%
(12:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Davenport rush middle for 22 yards gain to the Rice23 (#6 J.Chavez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
99.0%
(12:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete short left thrown to Rice20 PENALTY Rice Holding (#5 J.Harper) 10 yards from Rice23 to Rice13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
99.0%
(11:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Davenport rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Rice08 (#6 J.Chavez; #16 C.Nwajuaku)Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 5
OPP 8
0
99.1%
(11:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete short right to #11 K.Singleton thrown to Rice00 broken up by #7 O.PorterSimilar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+7
99.0%
(11:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #6 M.Reuben caught at Rice02, for 7 yards to the Rice01 (#0 A.Awe; #9 P.Stevenson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-6
99.6%
(10:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #51 Z.Herring rush left for 6 yards loss to the Rice07 (#16 C.Nwajuaku; #5 J.Harper)Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.6%
(10:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #16 J.Koger caught at Rice00, for 7 yards to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:13 #7 N.Gramatica kick attempt good (H: #37 C.Leon, LS: #95 G.Cates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13DOWNS
9 plays · 61 yds · 3:081% → 1%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.5%
(10:09) Shotgun #5 D.Devillier rush left for 10 yards gain to the Rice35 (#21 J.Stokes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
99.5%
(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Devillier pass complete short middle to #1 A.Turner caught at Rice32, for 11 yards to the Rice46 (#25 Z.Hamilton; #4 M.Williams II) PENALTY Rice Holding (#60 S.Sullivan) 10 yards from Rice35 to Rice25. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 20
OWN 25
0
99.6%
(09:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Devillier pass incomplete short left to #1 A.Turner thrown to Rice40Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 20
OWN 25
+55
99.6%
(09:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Devillier pass complete short middle to #1 A.Turner caught at Rice22, for 55 yards to the USF20 (#21 J.Stokes), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.4%
(08:49) Shotgun #6 D.Dickmann rush left for 0 yards to the USF20 (#5 F.Gaskin)Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+6
99.4%
(08:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Devillier rush middle for 6 yards gain to the USF14 (#25 Z.Hamilton)Similar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+1
99.2%
(07:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Devillier rush left for 1 yard gain to the USF13 (#25 Z.Hamilton; #10 I.Singleton)Similar
Q3 6:57
4TH & 3
OPP 13
-1
98.8%
(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Devillier pass complete short middle to #1 A.Turner caught at USF17, for 1 yard loss to the USF14, End Of Play, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 14FG
16 plays · 80 yds · 5:09100% → 100%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
99.7%
(06:56) Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush left for 1 yard gain to the USF15 (#20 B.Fletcher; #26 T.Anyanwu)Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+8
99.7%
(06:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short right to #11 K.Singleton caught at USF15, for 8 yards to the USF23 (#9 P.Stevenson; #7 O.Porter)Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+2
99.7%
(06:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Isaac rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USF25 (#5 J.Harper; #96 D.Botts), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.7%
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 12 yards gain to the USF37 (#0 A.Awe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.8%
(05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 S.Franklin rush right for 2 yards gain to the USF39 (#3 T.Morris; #30 E.Morris)Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+6
99.8%
(04:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush right for 6 yards gain to the USF45 (#0 A.Awe), out of bounds PENALTY Rice Holding (#20 B.Fletcher) 10 yards from USF45 to Rice45, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
99.8%
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #19 J.Smith caught at Rice48, for 10 yards to the Rice35 (#9 P.Stevenson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.8%
(04:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush right for 3 yards gain to the Rice32 (#94 B.Bays) PENALTY Rice Holding (#7 O.Porter) 10 yards from Rice32 to Rice22, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
99.8%
(03:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 S.Franklin rush left for 7 yards gain to the Rice15 (#9 P.Stevenson)Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+11
99.8%
(03:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #6 M.Reuben caught at Rice17, for 11 yards to the Rice04 (#75 B.Boenisch), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.8%
(02:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 S.Franklin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Rice02 (#0 A.Awe; #3 T.Morris)Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.8%
(02:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush right for 2 yards gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 02:26 PENALTY Rice Holding offsetting USF Holding offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 2:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.8%
(02:26) No Huddle #4 S.Franklin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Rice01 (#0 A.Awe; #26 T.Anyanwu)Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+5
99.8%
PENALTY USF False Start (#51 Z.Herring) 5 yards from Rice01 to Rice06. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.8%
(01:49) No Huddle #17 B.Brown pass incomplete short left to #16 J.Koger thrown to Rice00Similar
Q3 1:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
99.8%
(01:44) #7 N.Gramatica field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #37 C.Leon, LS: #95 G.Cates), clock 01:41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:530% → 0%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
99.9%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Devillier pass incomplete short left to #23 P.Matthews thrown to Rice17Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+1
99.9%
(01:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Devillier rush right for 1 yard gain to the Rice13 (#8 T.Mitchell; #28 R.Jenkins)Similar
Q3 0:54
3RD & 9
OWN 13
0
99.9%
(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Devillier pass incomplete short left to #1 A.Turner thrown to Rice15Similar
Q3 0:44
4TH & 9
OWN 13
+14
99.9%
(00:53) #91 A.Bacchetta punt 51 yards to the USF36 #80 J.Porter return 14 yards to the Rice50, out of bounds at Rice50Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 16TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 0:56100% → 100%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
50
+12
99.8%
(00:43) #17 B.Brown rush right for 12 yards gain to the Rice38 (#94 B.Bays; #30 E.Morris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+27
99.8%
(00:20) No Huddle #17 B.Brown pass complete deep right to #11 K.Singleton caught at Rice13, for 27 yards to the Rice11 (#9 P.Stevenson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
99.9%
(15:00) Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Rice05 (#75 B.Boenisch; #94 B.Bays)Similar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
(14:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:39, 1ST DOWN #7 N.Gramatica kick attempt good (H: #37 C.Leon, LS: #95 G.Cates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17FUMBLE
6 plays · 36 yds · 2:150% → 0%
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
(14:32) Shotgun #8 L.Scheerhorn rush right for 0 yards to the Rice25 (#21 J.Stokes; #25 Z.Hamilton)Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
PENALTY Rice False Start (#55 N.Fehoko) 5 yards from Rice25 to Rice20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+20
99.9%
(13:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 L.Scheerhorn rush left for 20 yards gain to the Rice40 (#25 Z.Hamilton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+26
99.9%
(12:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 26 yards gain to the USF34 (#0 J.Lee; #28 R.Jenkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
99.9%
(12:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 L.Scheerhorn rush middle for 5 yards loss to the USF39 fumbled by #8 L.Scheerhorn at USF39 recovered by USF #99 D.Lee at USF39, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 18TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 3:29100% → 100%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
99.9%
(12:07) Shotgun #4 S.Franklin rush middle for 9 yards gain to the USF48 (#20 B.Fletcher)Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 1
OWN 48
0
99.9%
(11:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 S.Franklin rush middle for 0 yards to the USF48 (#8 J.Mutombo; #16 C.Nwajuaku)Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+3
99.9%
(10:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 S.Franklin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Rice49 (#75 B.Boenisch; #6 J.Chavez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.9%
(10:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Moore pass incomplete short right to #12 J.Alexis thrown to Rice40Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+33
99.9%
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 S.Franklin rush right for 33 yards gain to the Rice16 (#3 T.Morris), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
99.9%
(10:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Moore pass complete short left to #80 J.Porter caught at Rice18, for 3 yards to the Rice13 (#9 P.Stevenson; #0 A.Awe)Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+8
99.9%
(09:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Moore rush left for 8 yards gain to the Rice05 (#96 D.Botts), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.9%
(09:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Moore rush right for 2 yards gain to the Rice03 (#96 D.Botts; #6 J.Chavez)Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
(08:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Moore pass complete short left to #85 C.Helms caught at Rice05, for 3 yards to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:33 #42 A.Zouagui kick attempt good (H: #37 C.Leon, LS: #49 E.Bonnett)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 4:100% → 0%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
(08:32) Shotgun #27 D.Hardemann rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Rice28 (#41 J.Smith)Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
(07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 L.Scheerhorn rush middle for 0 yards to the Rice28 (#14 E.Jones; #53 G.Leach)Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+7
100.0%
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 L.Scheerhorn rush left for 7 yards gain to the Rice35 (#25 Z.Hamilton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
100.0%
(06:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 L.Scheerhorn rush left for 1 yard gain to the Rice36 (#32 G.Jenkins), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+2
100.0%
(05:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 D.Hardemann rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Rice38 (#93 R.Scott III; #32 G.Jenkins)Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+2
100.0%
(05:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Turner rush left for 2 yards gain to the Rice40 (#32 G.Jenkins; #53 G.Leach), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
100.0%
(04:24) #91 A.Bacchetta punt 40 yards to the USF20, out of bounds at USF20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 20END OF GAME
11 plays · 32 yds · 3:37100% → 100%
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
(04:14) Shotgun #15 A.Isaac rush right for 3 yards gain to the USF23 (#94 B.Bays; #6 J.Chavez)Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
99.9%
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Moore pass incomplete short right to #84 C.Roberts thrown to USF21 broken up by #20 B.FletcherSimilar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+15
100.0%
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Moore pass incomplete deep left to #85 C.Helms thrown to Rice35 PENALTY Rice Pass Interference (#10 M.Bility) 15 yards from USF23 to USF38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
100.0%
(03:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Isaac rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USF41 (#9 P.Stevenson; #6 J.Chavez)Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+6
100.0%
(02:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Isaac rush middle for 6 yards gain to the USF47 (#6 J.Chavez)Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
100.0%
(02:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Isaac rush right for 0 yards to the USF47 (#0 A.Awe; #98 R.Rooks)Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+7
100.0%
(01:59) Shotgun #3 G.Moore rush right for 7 yards gain to the Rice46 (#7 O.Porter; #26 T.Anyanwu), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
100.0%
(01:11) Kneel down by #3 G.Moore at Rice47 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 11
OPP 47
-1
100.0%
(00:30) Kneel down by #3 G.Moore at Rice48 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:21
(11:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short middle to #6 M.Reuben caught at Rice44, for 60 yards to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:21, 1ST DOWN #7 N.Gramatica kick attempt good (H: #37 C.Leon, LS: #95 G.Cates)
+1.8
FG · Q2 0:00
Enock Gota 44 Yd Field Goal
-1.5
TD · Q2 6:54
(06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Davenport rush left for 2 yards gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:54 #7 N.Gramatica kick attempt good (H: #37 C.Leon, LS: #95 G.Cates)
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com