Try the model
CLT

Charlotte 0 at Tulane 27

TULN
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025 · Yulman Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:45 · (00:45) #95 B.Long punt 49 yards to the TLN21 fair catch by #1 O.Hayes at TLN21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 77Pregame prior+33.3Home team on offense+18.0Score differential+12.3Garbage-time factor+3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:13: (06:10) #12 J.Retzlaff rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:13, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Durkin kick attempt good (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #57 J.Arredondo) — TULN win probability +0.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 8:06: (08:19) Shotgun #12 G.Loftis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TLN11 (#1 J.Tchienchou) — CLT win probability +1.0 pts (now 4%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:00: (03:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short left to #7 S.Preston caught at CLT28, for 5 yards to the CLT28 (#12 C.Clinkscales) — TULN win probability +0.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:09: (01:09) #12 J.Retzlaff rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:09 #91 P.Durkin kick attempt good (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #57 J.Arredondo) — TULN win probability +2.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:04: (01:02) Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete short left to #6 R.Gainey Jr. caught at CLT23, for 3 yards to the CLT28 (#4 C.Rodgers), out of bounds — CLT win probability +0.6 pts (now 2%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 6CLT made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 10:56CLT 4th & 7 at CLT 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:42CLT 4th & 22 at TULN 37, down 14
    Close callPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:07CLT 4th & 7 at CLT 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:08CLT 4th & 5 at TULN 7, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:39TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:45CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:06CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:37TULN 4th & 23 at CLT 37, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.3%
    40% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:42CLT 4th & 19 at CLT 40, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:54TULN 4th & 7 at CLT 18, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:34CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 43, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:10TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 18, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:22CLT 4th & 25 at CLT 26, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:51TULN 4th & 7 at CLT 34, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:35CLT 4th & 16 at CLT 39, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:20TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 45, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:34TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:13TULN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:09TULN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:2398% → 97%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.5%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass incomplete short left to #7 S.Preston thrown to TLN39Similar
Q1 14:38
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+13
97.4%
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short middle to #5 A.Brown-Stephens caught at TLN48, for 13 yards to the TLN48 (#12 C.Clinkscales), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
97.4%
(14:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.McClure rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CLT47 (#51 J.Solomon; #32 C.Simpson)Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+25
97.3%
(14:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.McClure rush middle for 25 yards gain to the CLT22 (#2 T.McGee; #51 J.Solomon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
97.3%
(13:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.McClure rush left for 2 yards gain to the CLT20 (#19 K.Schmitz)Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+19
97.2%
(12:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short middle to #1 O.Hayes caught at CLT23, for 19 yards to the CLT01 (#32 C.Simpson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was inbounds". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.3%
(12:34) #23 J.Gordon rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:34 #91 P.Durkin kick attempt good (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #57 J.Arredondo)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:273% → 3%
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.2%
(12:29) Shotgun #25 C.Smith rush left for 1 yard gain to the CLT26 (#1 J.Tchienchou; #4 C.Rodgers)Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
97.1%
(11:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete short left to #7 E.Mason caught at CLT30, for 7 yards to the CLT33 (#3 J.White), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
97.1%
PENALTY CLT False Start (#75 K.Fernandez) 5 yards from CLT33 to CLT28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
97.1%
(11:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass incomplete deep right to #5 J.Nicholas thrown to TLN35Similar
Q1 10:56
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
97.1%
(10:56) #95 B.Long punt 44 yards to the TLN28 fair catch by #1 O.Hayes at TLN28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 4:2397% → 97%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
97.0%
(10:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short left to #11 T.Shackelford caught at TLN33, for 5 yards to the TLN33 (#11 D.Bootle II)Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
97.0%
(10:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.McClure rush right for 0 yards to the TLN33 (#6 J.Conley)Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+6
96.9%
(09:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short right to #16 G.Mmahat caught at TLN37, for 6 yards to the TLN39 (#40 R.Williford), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
96.9%
(09:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Gordon rush middle for 9 yards gain to the TLN48 (#58 X.Miles; #9 C.Grant)Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+21
96.9%
(08:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short right to #15 Z.Lewis Jr. caught at CLT40, for 21 yards to the CLT31 (#40 R.Williford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+21
96.8%
(08:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Gordon rush left for 21 yards gain to the CLT10 (#1 C.Curtain; #11 D.Bootle II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
96.8%
(07:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 A.Brown-Stephens rush right for 6 yards gain to the CLT04 (#40 R.Williford)Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
96.7%
(06:52) Shotgun #25 J.McClure rush right for 3 yards gain to the CLT01 (#8 D.Edwards)Similar
Q1 6:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.1%
(06:10) #12 J.Retzlaff rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:13, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Durkin kick attempt good (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #57 J.Arredondo)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4PUNT
12 plays · 38 yds · 5:163% → 3%
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.9%
(06:13) Shotgun #25 C.Smith rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CLT29 (#4 C.Rodgers; #5 H.Dyson III)Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
96.8%
(05:28) Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete short right to #25 C.Smith caught at CLT24, for 3 yards to the CLT32 (#4 C.Rodgers; #1 J.Tchienchou)Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+13
96.8%
(04:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete short right to #5 J.Nicholas caught at CLT30, for 13 yards to the CLT45 (#20 J.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
96.8%
(04:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 R.Gainey Jr. rush middle for 2 yards loss to the CLT43 (#9 J.Norman)Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+9
96.8%
(03:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete short right to #8 S.Brown caught at CLT48, for 9 yards to the TLN48 (#15 S.Howard)Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+23
96.6%
(02:46) Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete deep right to #8 S.Brown caught at TLN26, for 23 yards to the TLN25 (#20 J.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-15
96.4%
(02:10) Shotgun Charlotte rush middle for 15 yards loss to the TLN40, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 25
OPP 40
+3
96.6%
(01:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete short right to #25 C.Smith caught at TLN37, for 3 yards to the TLN37 (#20 J.Johnson)Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 22
OPP 37
0
96.6%
(00:49) Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass incomplete short left to #87 J.Young thrown to TLN35Similar
Q1 0:42
4TH & 22
OPP 37
0
96.6%
(00:50) #95 B.Long punt 26 yards to the TLN11 fair catch by #1 O.Hayes at TLN11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5INT
11 plays · 87 yds · 4:5597% → 97%
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
96.8%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short right to #5 A.Brown-Stephens caught at TLN22, for 15 yards to the TLN26 (#8 D.Edwards), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+19
96.8%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short middle to #5 A.Brown-Stephens caught at TLN33, for 19 yards to the TLN45 (#12 C.Clinkscales), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
96.9%
(14:55) Shotgun #6 B.Sullivan rush right for 8 yards gain to the CLT47 (#35 S.Taylor; #1 C.Curtain)Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 2
OPP 47
0
96.9%
(14:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass incomplete short right to #0 M.Turner thrown to CLT44 QB hurried by #19 K.SchmitzSimilar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+2
96.8%
(14:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Barnes III rush left for 2 yards gain to the CLT45 (#2 T.McGee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
96.8%
(13:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Barnes III rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CLT42 (#35 S.Taylor)Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+29
96.8%
(12:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short right to #82 J.Pascuzzi caught at CLT27, for 29 yards to the CLT13 (#6 J.Conley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
96.8%
(11:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.Turner rush middle for 7 yards gain to the CLT06 (#18 Z.Shockley)Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+4
96.8%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.Turner rush left for 4 yards gain to the CLT02 (#44 B.Mullen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-21
96.7%
(10:33) Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass intercepted by #19 K.Schmitz at CLT00 #19 K.Schmitz return 21 yards to the CLT21 (#12 J.Retzlaff)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:144% → 4%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
96.2%
(10:16) Shotgun #12 G.Loftis rush right for 1 yard gain to the CLT22 (#15 S.Howard), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+2
96.2%
(09:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 C.Smith rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CLT24 (#6 K.Hamilton; #4 C.Rodgers)Similar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 7
OWN 24
0
96.2%
(09:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass incomplete short left thrown to CLT32 QB hurried by #29 S.HopperSimilar
Q2 9:07
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
96.2%
(09:09) #95 B.Long punt 33 yards to the TLN43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:3497% → 97%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
96.6%
(09:07) Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short left to #15 Z.Lewis Jr. caught at TLN39, for 1 yard to the TLN44 (#6 J.Conley), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+33
96.5%
(08:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.McClure rush left for 1 yard gain to the TLN45 fumbled by #25 J.McClure at TLN45 forced by #24 J.Johnson recovered by CLT #5 T.Baldwin at TLN45 #5 T.Baldwin return 33 yards to the TLN12 (#12 J.Retzlaff). #82 J.Pascuzzi injured on the playSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8MISSED FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:584% → 4%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
95.6%
(08:19) Shotgun #12 G.Loftis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TLN11 (#1 J.Tchienchou)Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 9
OPP 11
-1
95.5%
(07:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete short right to #0 J.Bearns III caught at TLN12, for 1 yard loss to the TLN12 (#32 B.Despanie; #4 C.Rodgers)Similar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+5
95.6%
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete short left to #17 G.McGee caught at TLN10, for 5 yards to the TLN07 (#11 E.Shine)Similar
Q2 6:08
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+25
95.6%
(06:08) #37 L.Boyd field goal attempt from 25 yards NO GOOD (H: #95 B.Long, LS: #39 C.Garfield), clock 06:08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1296% → 96%
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-9
96.1%
(06:02) Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff rush middle for 9 yards loss to the TLN11, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 19
OWN 11
0
96.0%
(05:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass incomplete short right to #23 J.Gordon thrown to TLN10Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 19
OWN 11
+13
95.8%
(05:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short left to #5 A.Brown-Stephens caught at TLN23, for 13 yards to the TLN24 (#3 C.Gill; #13 G.Willis)Similar
Q2 4:39
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+5
95.7%
(04:39) #38 A.Clark punt 63 yards to the CLT13 #89 D.Eley return 5 yards to the CLT18 (#30 J.Moore) PENALTY CLT Illegal Block in Back declined CLT Holding (#11 D.Bootle II) 9 yards from CLT18 to CLT09. #19 S.Nicholas, #89 D.Eley injured on the playSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10INT
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:404% → 4%
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+10
95.9%
(04:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 R.Gainey Jr. rush middle for 10 yards gain to the CLT18 (#11 E.Shine), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
95.7%
(04:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 R.Gainey Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CLT21 (#15 S.Howard)Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 7
OWN 21
-13
95.7%
(03:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass intercepted by #7 K.Adams III at CLT46 #7 K.Adams III return 13 yards to the CLT33 (#8 S.Brown)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11TD
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:5196% → 99%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
96.3%
(03:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short left to #7 S.Preston caught at CLT28, for 5 yards to the CLT28 (#12 C.Clinkscales)Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+4
96.4%
(03:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short left to #23 J.Gordon caught at CLT31, for 4 yards to the CLT24 (#12 C.Clinkscales)Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+3
96.2%
(02:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff rush left for 3 yards gain to the CLT21 (#6 J.Conley; #9 C.Grant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+17
96.1%
(01:55) Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short left to #7 S.Preston caught at CLT10, for 17 yards to the CLT04 (#9 C.Grant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
96.0%
(01:27) #23 J.Gordon rush right for 3 yards gain to the CLT01 (#9 C.Grant; #35 S.Taylor). The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was down by contact". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q2 1:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.6%
(01:09) #12 J.Retzlaff rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:09 #91 P.Durkin kick attempt good (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #57 J.Arredondo)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:192% → 2%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.1%
(01:02) Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete short left to #6 R.Gainey Jr. caught at CLT23, for 3 yards to the CLT28 (#4 C.Rodgers), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
98.0%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete short left to #6 R.Gainey Jr. caught at CLT26, for 3 yards to the CLT31 (#20 J.Johnson), out of bounds. #50 R.Green injured on the playSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-1
98.0%
(00:58) Shotgun #12 G.Loftis sacked for loss of 1 yard to the CLT30 (#9 J.Norman)Similar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
98.1%
(00:45) #95 B.Long punt 49 yards to the TLN21 fair catch by #1 O.Hayes at TLN21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:1999% → 98%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
98.5%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short left to #5 A.Brown-Stephens caught at TLN25, for 7 yards to the TLN28 (#3 C.Gill; #11 D.Bootle II), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+3
98.6%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Gordon rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TLN31 (#35 S.Taylor; #5 T.Baldwin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
98.4%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass incomplete deep right to #5 A.Brown-Stephens thrown to CLT46 broken up by #3 C.GillSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
98.4%
(00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Gordon rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TLN32 (#35 S.Taylor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:442% → 2%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.0%
(15:00) Shotgun #25 C.Smith rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CLT28 (#95 T.McAlpine)Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
97.9%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Wilcke pass complete short right to #5 J.Nicholas caught at CLT29, for 1 yard to the CLT29 (#11 E.Shine), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+2
98.0%
(13:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Wilcke pass complete short left to #5 J.Nicholas caught at CLT30, for 2 yards to the CLT31 (#3 J.White)Similar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
98.1%
(13:13) #95 B.Long punt 37 yards to the TLN32 fair catch by #1 O.Hayes at TLN32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15MISSED FG
11 plays · 31 yds · 4:1898% → 98%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
98.4%
(13:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short middle to #82 J.Pascuzzi caught at TLN40, for 8 yards to the TLN40 (#0 R.Franklin; #1 C.Curtain)Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+1
98.4%
(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.McClure rush left for 1 yard gain to the TLN41 (#19 K.Schmitz; #35 S.Taylor)Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
98.4%
(11:55) No Huddle #12 J.Retzlaff rush middle for 0 yards to the TLN41 (#19 K.Schmitz) PENALTY CLT Offside (#51 J.Solomon) 5 yards from TLN41 to TLN46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+21
98.5%
(11:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short right to #7 S.Preston caught at CLT43, for 21 yards to the CLT33 (#12 C.Clinkscales), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
98.5%
(10:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short right to #23 J.Gordon caught at CLT34, for 9 yards to the CLT24 (#19 K.Schmitz; #0 R.Franklin)Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+10
98.5%
(10:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Gordon rush left for 16 yards gain to the CLT08 (#19 K.Schmitz) PENALTY TLN Holding (#56 S.Hurst) 10 yards from CLT24 to CLT34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+10
98.5%
(09:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass incomplete short right thrown to CLT20 QB hurried by #19 K.Schmitz PENALTY CLT Holding (#5 T.Baldwin) 10 yards from CLT34 to CLT24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
98.5%
(09:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.McClure rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CLT22 (#51 J.Solomon) PENALTY TLN UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#56 S.Hurst) 15 yards from CLT22 to CLT37Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 23
OPP 37
0
98.5%
(09:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Gordon rush right for 0 yards to the CLT37 (#11 D.Bootle II; #13 G.Willis)Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 23
OPP 37
0
98.5%
(08:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass incomplete short left to #5 A.Brown-Stephens thrown to CLT28 broken up by #13 G.WillisSimilar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 23
OPP 37
+55
98.3%
(08:35) #91 P.Durkin field goal attempt from 55 yards NO GOOD (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #57 J.Arredondo), clock 08:37, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 1:132% → 2%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
98.3%
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 R.Gainey Jr. rush middle for 1 yard loss to the CLT36 (#3 J.White)Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+2
98.3%
(07:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Wilcke rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CLT38 (#95 T.McAlpine; #4 C.Rodgers)Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
98.3%
(07:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Wilcke pass intercepted by #0 M.Westmoreland at CLT41, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
98.5%
(07:06) Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass intercepted by #6 J.Conley at CLT13 #6 J.Conley return 0 yards to the CLT13 (#15 Z.Lewis Jr.)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 3:042% → 1%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+24
98.4%
(07:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete short middle to #5 J.Nicholas caught at CLT31, for 24 yards to the CLT37 (#22 L.Green), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
98.3%
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 C.Smith rush right for 12 yards gain to the CLT49 (#7 K.Adams III), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
98.3%
(05:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete short left to #8 S.Brown caught at TLN46, for 5 yards to the TLN46 (#22 L.Green)Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+2
98.3%
(05:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 C.Smith rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TLN44 (#9 J.Norman; #90 E.Nairne)Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 3
OPP 44
-16
98.5%
(04:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Loftis sacked for loss of 16 yards to the CLT40 (#13 T.Smith)Similar
Q3 3:42
4TH & 19
OWN 40
0
98.7%
(03:48) #95 B.Long punt 49 yards to the TLN11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19FG
12 plays · 71 yds · 4:3299% → 99%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+25
98.6%
(03:37) Shotgun #25 J.McClure rush right for 25 yards gain to the TLN36 (#44 B.Mullen; #6 J.Conley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
98.7%
(03:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short left to #5 A.Brown-Stephens caught at TLN47, for 19 yards to the CLT45 (#8 D.Edwards), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
98.8%
(02:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short middle to #88 J.Reid caught at CLT43, for 8 yards to the CLT37 (#9 C.Grant), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 2
OPP 37
0
99.0%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Gordon rush right for 0 yards to the CLT37 (#40 R.Williford)Similar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+6
99.0%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Gordon rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CLT31 (#9 C.Grant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.1%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass incomplete short left to #15 Z.Lewis Jr. thrown to CLT34Similar
Q3 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+10
99.1%
(00:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short middle to #5 A.Brown-Stephens caught at CLT26, for 10 yards to the CLT21 (#8 D.Edwards), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
99.1%
(00:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short left to #1 O.Hayes caught at CLT21, for 3 yards to the CLT18 (#40 R.Williford). #1 O.Hayes injured on the playSimilar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 7
OPP 18
-5
99.1%
(00:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short left to #23 J.Gordon caught at CLT24, for 5 yards loss to the CLT23 fumbled by #23 J.Gordon at CLT24 forced by #20 Y.Talib, out of bounds at CLT23Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 12
OPP 23
+5
99.1%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short middle to #5 A.Brown-Stephens caught at CLT20, for 5 yards to the CLT18 fumbled by #5 A.Brown-Stephens at CLT19 forced by #8 D.Edwards recovered by TLN #50 J.Hall at CLT18, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 13:54
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+36
99.2%
(13:52) #91 P.Durkin field goal attempt from 36 yards GOOD (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #57 J.Arredondo), clock 13:54Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 1:461% → 1%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
99.2%
(13:42) Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete short right to #8 S.Brown caught at CLT33, for 7 yards to the CLT33, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+6
99.2%
(13:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Baldwin rush right for 6 yards gain to the CLT39 (#93 E.Champaigne), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.2%
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass incomplete short left to #8 S.Brown thrown to CLT43 broken up by #3 J.WhiteSimilar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+9
99.2%
(12:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete short left to #88 M.Burris caught at CLT45, for 9 yards to the CLT48 (#22 L.Green), out of bounds PENALTY CLT UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting TLN UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsettingSimilar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+5
99.3%
PENALTY CLT False Start (#88 M.Burris) 5 yards from CLT48 to CLT43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
99.3%
(11:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass incomplete deep right to #5 J.Nicholas thrown to TLN23Similar
Q4 11:34
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
99.4%
(11:41) #95 B.Long punt 47 yards to the TLN10 fair catch by #80 O.Mitchell Jr. at TLN10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1399% → 99%
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
99.3%
(11:34) Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short right to #82 J.Pascuzzi caught at TLN12, for 6 yards to the TLN16 (#6 J.Conley)Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+2
99.3%
(10:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Barnes III rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TLN18 (#35 S.Taylor)Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 2
OWN 18
0
99.3%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass incomplete short right to #7 S.Preston thrown to TLN32Similar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 2
OWN 18
0
99.3%
(10:11) #38 A.Clark punt 41 yards to the CLT41 fair catch by #5 J.Nicholas at CLT41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -15 yds · 1:341% → 1%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
99.4%
(10:05) Shotgun #6 R.Gainey Jr. rush left for 5 yards loss to the CLT36 (#4 C.Rodgers)Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+1
99.5%
(09:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 R.Gainey Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CLT37 (#4 C.Rodgers)Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+4
99.5%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete short right to #17 G.McGee caught at CLT40, for 4 yards to the CLT41 (#13 T.Smith) PENALTY CLT UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#58 D.Davis) 15 yards from CLT41 to CLT26Similar
Q4 8:22
4TH & 25
OWN 26
0
99.5%
(08:33) #95 B.Long punt 43 yards to the TLN31 fair catch by #80 O.Mitchell Jr. at TLN31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:1799% → 100%
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
99.4%
(08:21) Shotgun #25 J.McClure rush left for 2 yards gain to the TLN33 (#35 S.Taylor)Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+13
99.4%
(07:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short middle to #16 G.Mmahat caught at TLN41, for 13 yards to the TLN46 (#0 R.Franklin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+17
99.5%
(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short left to #11 T.Shackelford caught at CLT45, for 17 yards to the CLT37 (#0 R.Franklin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
99.5%
(07:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short left to #16 G.Mmahat caught at CLT39, for 6 yards to the CLT31 (#0 R.Franklin), out of bounds. #0 R.Franklin injured on the playSimilar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 4
OPP 31
-3
99.6%
(06:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short right to #5 A.Brown-Stephens caught at CLT37, for 3 yards loss to the CLT34 (#1 C.Curtain; #3 C.Gill)Similar
Q4 5:56
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
99.6%
(05:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass incomplete short right to #16 G.Mmahat thrown to CLT29Similar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+52
99.9%
(05:50) #91 P.Durkin field goal attempt from 52 yards GOOD (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #57 J.Arredondo), clock 05:51Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:590% → 0%
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
100.0%
(05:51) Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete short middle to #7 E.Mason caught at CLT42, for 20 yards to the CLT45 (#7 K.Adams III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
100.0%
(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete short right to #8 S.Brown caught at TLN50, for 5 yards to the CLT50, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 5
50
-2
100.0%
(04:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass complete short right to #6 R.Gainey Jr. caught at CLT47, for 2 yards loss to the CLT48 (#0 M.Westmoreland)Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 7
OWN 48
-5
100.0%
(04:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Loftis sacked for loss of 9 yards to the CLT39 (#0 M.Westmoreland, #99 J.Lewis)Similar
Q4 3:35
4TH & 16
OWN 39
0
100.0%
(03:36) #95 B.Long punt 50 yards to the TLN11 fair catch by #80 O.Mitchell Jr. at TLN11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
100.0%
(03:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Sullivan rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TLN14 (#44 B.Mullen)Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+4
100.0%
(03:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Sullivan rush left for 4 yards gain to the TLN18 (#35 S.Taylor)Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+21
100.0%
(02:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Sullivan pass complete deep left to #23 J.Gordon caught at TLN39, for 21 yards to the TLN39 (#40 R.Williford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
100.0%
(02:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Sullivan rush left for 1 yard gain to the TLN40 (#2 T.McGee), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+2
100.0%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Sullivan rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TLN42 (#35 S.Taylor)Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+3
100.0%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.McClure rush right for 3 yards gain to the TLN45 (#40 R.Williford; #18 Z.Shockley)Similar
Q4 0:20
4TH & 4
OWN 45
+17
100.0%
(00:23) #34 W.Hudlow punt 34 yards to the CLT21 #5 J.Nicholas return 17 yards to the CLT38 (#24 M.Igbinoghene), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:060% → 0%
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
100.0%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.Loftis pass incomplete short left to #2 T.McGee thrown to CLT37Similar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-2
100.0%
(00:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 R.Gainey Jr. rush left for 2 yards loss to the CLT36 (#37 H.Lawson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:09
(01:09) #12 J.Retzlaff rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:09 #91 P.Durkin kick attempt good (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #57 J.Arredondo)
+2.9
KEY PLAY · Q2 8:06
(08:19) Shotgun #12 G.Loftis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TLN11 (#1 J.Tchienchou)
-1
KEY PLAY · Q2 2:00
(03:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short left to #7 S.Preston caught at CLT28, for 5 yards to the CLT28 (#12 C.Clinkscales)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com