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UAB

UAB 31 at Tulsa 24

TLSA
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025 · Chapman Stadium
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Win probability · TLSA
modelTLSA aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playTLSA scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+1.7TLSA 70.5%(03:33) #11 S.Morgan field goalattempt from 26 yards GOOD (H: #29A.Davies, LS: #42 A.Fedigan), clock03:30AWAY 7 - HOME 3 · Q1 3:30
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:30 · (03:33) #11 S.Morgan field goal attempt from 26 yards GOOD (H: #29 A.Davies, LS: #42 A.Fedigan), clock 03:30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Pregame prior+20.0Home team on offense−0.8Garbage-time factor−0.5Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:32: (00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Presley rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:32, 1ST DOWN #11 S.Morgan kick attempt good (H: #29 A.Davies, LS: #42 A.Fedigan) — TLSA win probability +8.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:24: (10:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short left to #6 B.Hawkins Jr. caught at Tulsa02, for 8 yards to the Tulsa00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:24 #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #27 P.Foley, LS: #47 C.Moser) — UAB win probability +13.2 pts (now 41%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:55: (15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush left for 22 yards gain to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:55, 1ST DOWN #11 S.Morgan kick attempt good (H: #29 A.Davies, LS: #42 A.Fedigan) — TLSA win probability +23.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:42: (10:46) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 20 yards gain to the Tulsa00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:42, 1ST DOWN #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #27 P.Foley, LS: #47 C.Moser) — UAB win probability +29.8 pts (now 51%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:40: (03:41) #4 J.Jackson rush right for 3 yards gain to the Tulsa00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:40 #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #27 P.Foley, LS: #47 C.Moser) — UAB win probability +34.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TLSA made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UAB made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 11:15TLSA 4th & 1 at UAB 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    73.6%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    73.2%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:28UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:04TLSA 4th & 15 at TLSA 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:30TLSA 4th & 8 at UAB 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    65.4%−2.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:53TLSA 4th & 4 at UAB 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    69.0%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    65.9%−3.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:00UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.8%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:19UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.6%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:42UAB 4th & 13 at TLSA 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−1.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    23.7%−5.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:53UAB 4th & 6 at TLSA 31, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.1%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    37.2%−2.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:38TLSA 4th & 3 at TLSA 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:26UAB 4th & 2 at UAB 37, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:10TLSA 4th & 7 at UAB 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    63.6%−0.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    61.9%−2.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:29UAB 4th & 3 at UAB 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:53TLSA 4th & 8 at TLSA 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−2.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:56TLSA 4th & 9 at UAB 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%−3.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−6.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TLSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 7:13UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:51TLSA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:32TLSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:24UAB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:55TLSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:42UAB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.6%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:40UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.2 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%−1.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TLSADrive 1DOWNS
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:4075% → 74%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.5%
(15:00) Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush right for 1 yard gain to the Tulsa26 (#15 J.Rogers)Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+16
74.3%
(14:32) Shotgun #10 B.Hayes rush left for 16 yards gain to the Tulsa42 (#29 T.McDaniel), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
74.3%
(13:57) Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush right for 7 yards gain to the Tulsa49 (#14 J.Vessel)Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+18
74.3%
(13:27) Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete short left to #7 Z.Steptoe caught at UAB40, for 18 yards to the UAB33 (#29 T.McDaniel; #24 T.Watson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
74.3%
(12:53) Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UAB29 (#0 D.Hightower; #5 E.Toussom)Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+4
74.3%
(12:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes rush left for 4 yards gain to the UAB25, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+1
74.2%
(12:00) Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB24 (#6 C.Pitcher; #54 K.Mosley)Similar
Q1 11:15
4TH & 1
OPP 24
0
73.8%
(11:24) #9 S.Kittleman rush middle for 0 yards to the UAB24 (#14 J.Vessel; #5 E.Toussom), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:3626% → 27%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+17
73.6%
(11:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short left to #17 E.Lagg caught at UAB30, for 17 yards to the UAB41 (#18 Z.Williams; #21 S.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
73.2%
(10:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush left for 5 yards gain to the UAB46 (#13 N.Campbell; #99 T.Newhouse)Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+1
73.0%
(10:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB47 (#27 Z.Woodham)Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
72.9%
(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete short right thrown to UAB50 QB hurried by #10 T.HardimanSimilar
Q1 9:28
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
73.1%
(09:34) #27 P.Foley punt 53 yards to the Tulsa00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:1873% → 73%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
73.3%
(09:26) Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass incomplete short left to #23 L.Lucas thrown to Tulsa24 QB hurried by #5 E.ToussomSimilar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
73.2%
PENALTY Tulsa False Start (#15 J.Smith) 5 yards from Tulsa20 to Tulsa15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 15
OWN 15
0
73.2%
(09:22) Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass incomplete deep left to #18 D.Gee Jr. thrown to Tulsa44Similar
Q1 9:13
3RD & 15
OWN 15
0
72.9%
(09:17) Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass incomplete short middle to #23 L.Lucas thrown to Tulsa30Similar
Q1 9:04
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
72.8%
(09:12) #29 A.Davies punt 29 yards to the Tulsa44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4TD
5 plays · 44 yds · 1:4528% → 31%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
72.5%
(09:03) No Huddle #3 I.Jacobs rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Tulsa40 (#0 R.Coney; #26 J.Anglin)Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+4
72.3%
(08:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short middle to #5 K.Brown caught at Tulsa43, for 4 yards to the Tulsa36, out of bounds at Tulsa36Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+16
72.2%
(08:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 I.Jacobs rush middle for 16 yards gain to the Tulsa20 (#1 C.Lewis; #27 Z.Woodham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
71.7%
(07:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 S.Beebe rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Tulsa18 (#0 R.Coney)Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+18
69.0%
(07:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short left to #0 I.Hooks caught at Tulsa01, for 18 yards to the Tulsa00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:13, 1ST DOWN #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #27 P.Foley, LS: #47 C.Moser)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 5FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:3070% → 71%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
70.0%
(07:05) Shotgun #7 Z.Steptoe rush left for 5 yards gain to the Tulsa32 (#23 D.Lee)Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+10
69.9%
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush right for 10 yards gain to the Tulsa42 (#20 A.Brown; #17 R.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
69.9%
(06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete short right to #19 G.Tempest caught at Tulsa36, for 4 yards to the Tulsa46 (#6 C.Pitcher), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+9
69.8%
(05:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete short left to #18 D.Gee Jr. caught at Tulsa50, for 9 yards to the UAB45 (#20 A.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+37
69.7%
(05:20) Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete deep right to #6 J.Emmers caught at UAB08, for 37 yards to the UAB08, out of bounds at UAB08, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
70.0%
(04:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush right for 1 yard gain to the UAB07 (#9 D.Warren; #59 C.Burge)Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
69.6%
(04:14) Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UAB08 (#59 C.Burge; #5 E.Toussom)Similar
Q1 3:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
68.8%
(03:38) Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass incomplete short middle to #23 L.Lucas thrown to UAB00 broken up by #6 C.Pitcher QB hurried by #90 Z.JohnsonSimilar
Q1 3:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
70.5%
(03:33) #11 S.Morgan field goal attempt from 26 yards GOOD (H: #29 A.Davies, LS: #42 A.Fedigan), clock 03:30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6INT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:1730% → 31%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
69.9%
(03:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 S.Beebe rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UAB25 (#99 T.Newhouse; #11 J.Burnett)Similar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+5
69.5%
(02:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short middle to #17 E.Lagg caught at UAB30, for 5 yards to the UAB30 (#18 Z.Williams)Similar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+3
69.1%
(02:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UAB33 (#33 W.Alexander; #88 N.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
68.6%
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush left for 3 yards loss to the UAB30 (#13 N.Campbell)Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 13
OWN 30
-14
68.9%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass intercepted by #16 D.Robinson at UAB38 #16 D.Robinson return 14 yards to the UAB24, out of bounds at UAB24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 7DOWNS
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0671% → 69%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
70.8%
(01:04) Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UAB22 (#9 D.Warren)Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 8
OPP 22
-3
70.7%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes rush middle for 3 yards loss to the UAB25 (#90 Z.Johnson)Similar
Q1 0:12
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+7
69.8%
(00:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UAB18 (#5 E.Toussom)Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 4
OPP 18
-4
69.1%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes sacked for loss of 4 yards to the UAB22 (#59 C.Burge), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8DOWNS
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:5032% → 34%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
68.2%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 I.Jacobs rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB23 (#33 W.Alexander; #41 W.Upshaw)Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+3
68.1%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 I.Jacobs rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UAB26 (#41 W.Upshaw)Similar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+6
68.0%
(13:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna rush right for 6 yards gain to the UAB32 (#18 Z.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
66.4%
(12:58) Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short right to #0 I.Hooks caught at UAB35, for 4 yards to the UAB36 (#1 C.Lewis)Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+4
65.8%
(12:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UAB40 (#32 H.Ball)Similar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+1
65.2%
(11:42) No Huddle #7 J.Kitna rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB41 (#33 W.Alexander)Similar
Q2 11:00
4TH & 1
OWN 41
-2
65.8%
(11:04) No Huddle #11 S.Beebe rush left for 2 yards loss to the UAB39 (#16 D.Robinson), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 9TD
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:0169% → 73%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
68.8%
(10:59) Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush left for 8 yards gain to the UAB31 (#15 J.Rogers; #18 D.Gulley)Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+3
69.3%
(10:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UAB28 (#5 E.Toussom), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
69.2%
(10:07) Shotgun #1 B.Presley rush left for 15 yards gain to the UAB13 (#14 J.Vessel), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
68.6%
(09:31) Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UAB14 (#9 D.Warren)Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+12
68.4%
(09:00) Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass incomplete short right to #7 Z.Steptoe thrown to UAB00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (#18 D.Gulley) 12 yards from UAB14 to UAB02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
68.5%
(08:55) Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB01 (#9 D.Warren; #6 C.Pitcher)Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
68.3%
(08:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush left for 0 yards to the UAB01 (#5 E.Toussom; #9 D.Warren)Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.0%
(07:55) Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete short left to #84 J.Roberts caught at UAB00, for 1 yard to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:51 #11 S.Morgan kick attempt good (H: #29 A.Davies, LS: #42 A.Fedigan)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10FG
18 plays · 62 yds · 6:0529% → 36%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.1%
(07:51) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 0 yards to the UAB25 (#32 H.Ball)Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
71.2%
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UAB35 (#21 S.Smith; #26 J.Anglin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
70.2%
(06:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 I.Jacobs rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB36 (#0 R.Coney; #13 N.Campbell)Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+8
70.1%
(05:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short right to #85 A.Ferguson caught at UAB39, for 8 yards to the UAB44 (#15 A.Williams), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
68.8%
(05:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete short left to #6 B.Hawkins Jr. thrown to UAB50Similar
Q2 5:19
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+7
69.7%
(05:24) No Huddle #4 J.Jackson rush right for 7 yards gain to the Tulsa49 (#0 R.Coney; #16 D.Robinson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
68.0%
(04:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna rush right for 4 yards gain to the Tulsa45 (#90 J.Hjelle)Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+7
68.0%
(04:04) Shotgun #11 S.Beebe rush right for 7 yards gain to the Tulsa38 (#16 D.Robinson; #0 R.Coney), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
67.7%
(03:28) Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short left to #17 E.Lagg caught at Tulsa33, for 17 yards to the Tulsa21 (#21 S.Smith; #18 Z.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+18
66.0%
(02:50) Shotgun #11 S.Beebe rush left for 18 yards gain to the Tulsa03 (#18 Z.Williams), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
65.8%
(02:12) Shotgun #15 R.Burton rush middle for 0 yards to the Tulsa03 (#21 S.Smith; #33 W.Alexander)Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
65.1%
(02:00) Shotgun #15 R.Burton rush right for 2 yards loss to the Tulsa05 (#16 D.Robinson)Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-8
66.7%
(01:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna sacked for loss of 8 yards to the Tulsa13 (#9 D.Collins)Similar
Q2 1:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
63.7%
(01:42) #39 J.Delange field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #27 P.Foley, LS: #47 C.Moser), clock 01:42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 11TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 0:5667% → 80%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+42
67.4%
(01:37) Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete deep right to #7 Z.Steptoe caught at UAB29, for 42 yards to the UAB25 QB hurried by #2 E.Odinjor, out of bounds at UAB25, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
70.8%
(01:26) Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush left for 8 yards gain to the UAB17 (#14 J.Vessel; #20 A.Brown)Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+5
70.8%
(01:11) Shotgun #1 B.Presley rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UAB12 (#20 A.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
70.7%
(00:53) Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete short left to #19 G.Tempest caught at UAB08, for 7 yards to the UAB05 (#20 A.Brown; #5 E.Toussom)Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+5
79.6%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Presley rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:32, 1ST DOWN #11 S.Morgan kick attempt good (H: #29 A.Davies, LS: #42 A.Fedigan)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0823% → 25%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
76.9%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UAB33 (#11 J.Burnett)Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
75.3%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 0 yards to the UAB33 (#10 T.Hardiman; #32 H.Ball)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 4:3224% → 41%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
76.5%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 I.Jacobs rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UAB34 (#0 R.Coney; #33 W.Alexander)Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+23
75.1%
(14:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 I.Jacobs rush middle for 23 yards gain to the Tulsa43 (#18 Z.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
74.2%
(13:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 I.Jacobs rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Tulsa41 (#33 W.Alexander)Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+9
74.3%
(13:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Tulsa32 (#7 E.Green; #19 T.Cooper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
72.8%
(13:11) No Huddle #7 J.Kitna pass complete short left to #17 E.Lagg caught at Tulsa31, for 4 yards to the Tulsa28 (#0 R.Coney), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 6
OPP 28
0
72.6%
(12:35) #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete short right to #0 I.Hooks thrown to Tulsa29Similar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+19
74.2%
(12:32) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush right for 19 yards gain to the Tulsa09 (#21 S.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
72.5%
(11:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 0 yards to the Tulsa09 (#10 T.Hardiman; #90 J.Hjelle)Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
72.4%
(11:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Tulsa08 (#19 T.Cooper; #90 J.Hjelle)Similar
Q3 10:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
59.2%
(10:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short left to #6 B.Hawkins Jr. caught at Tulsa02, for 8 yards to the Tulsa00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:24 #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #27 P.Foley, LS: #47 C.Moser)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 14INT
5 plays · 28 yds · 0:2765% → 68%
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
65.3%
(09:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush left for 23 yards gain to the Tulsa48 (#1 S.Bryant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
68.3%
(08:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush left for 4 yards gain to the UAB48 (#18 D.Gulley)Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+1
68.9%
(08:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB47 (#54 K.Mosley)Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 5
OPP 47
-50
68.2%
(08:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass intercepted by #29 T.McDaniel at UAB15 #29 T.McDaniel return 50 yards to the Tulsa35 (#73 C.East)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15MISSED FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2743% → 40%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
57.3%
(08:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short left to #0 I.Hooks caught at Tulsa32, for 5 yards to the Tulsa30 (#1 C.Lewis)Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+3
56.7%
(08:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 S.Beebe rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Tulsa27 (#90 J.Hjelle; #0 R.Coney)Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 2
OPP 27
-4
57.9%
(07:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna sacked for loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa31 (#90 J.Hjelle)Similar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+49
60.5%
(06:57) #39 J.Delange field goal attempt from 49 yards NO GOOD (H: #27 P.Foley, LS: #47 C.Moser), clock 06:53Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1065% → 64%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
65.2%
(06:53) Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush right for 7 yards gain to the Tulsa38 (#20 A.Brown; #1 S.Bryant)Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 3
OWN 38
0
67.6%
(06:25) Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush middle for 0 yards to the Tulsa38 (#17 R.Williams; #90 Z.Johnson)Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
65.9%
(05:53) Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass incomplete short middle to #7 Z.Steptoe thrown to Tulsa45Similar
Q3 5:38
4TH & 3
OWN 38
+13
63.5%
(05:49) #29 A.Davies punt 46 yards to the UAB16 #0 I.Hooks return 13 yards to the UAB29 (#88 E.Potts)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0639% → 39%
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
60.7%
(05:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UAB33 (#0 R.Coney; #33 W.Alexander)Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+3
59.1%
(05:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush left for 3 yards gain to the UAB36 (#7 E.Green)Similar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+1
59.0%
(04:20) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB37 (#99 T.Newhouse; #27 Z.Woodham)Similar
Q3 3:26
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
60.6%
(03:32) #27 P.Foley punt 48 yards to the Tulsa15 fair catch by #19 G.Tempest at Tulsa15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 18TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 3:3163% → 87%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
63.0%
(03:26) Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass intercepted by #1 S.Bryant at Tulsa26 #1 S.Bryant return 26 yards to the Tulsa00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 03:15 PENALTY UAB Holding (#43 B.Davies) 10 yards from Tulsa15 to Tulsa25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.3%
(03:15) Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass incomplete deep right to #7 Z.Steptoe thrown to UAB40Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
63.0%
(03:08) Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush right for 9 yards gain to the Tulsa34 (#14 J.Vessel)Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
64.0%
(02:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush right for 2 yards gain to the Tulsa36 (#14 J.Vessel; #54 K.Mosley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+26
64.5%
(02:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete deep left to #19 G.Tempest caught at UAB38, for 26 yards to the UAB38, out of bounds at UAB38, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
67.5%
(02:04) Shotgun #10 B.Hayes rush middle for 2 yards loss to the UAB40 (#9 D.Warren)Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 12
OPP 40
+2
66.5%
(01:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush right for 2 yards gain to the UAB38 (#14 J.Vessel; #90 Z.Johnson)Similar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+3
65.7%
(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush right for 3 yards gain to the UAB35 (#14 J.Vessel)Similar
Q3 0:10
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+13
63.5%
(00:21) Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete short left to #2 A.Allen caught at UAB34, for 13 yards to the UAB22 (#59 C.Burge; #6 C.Pitcher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
87.4%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush left for 22 yards gain to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:55, 1ST DOWN #11 S.Morgan kick attempt good (H: #29 A.Davies, LS: #42 A.Fedigan)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:2120% → 17%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
79.8%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 I.Jacobs rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UAB32 (#16 D.Robinson; #26 J.Anglin)Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
77.9%
PENALTY UAB False Start (#3 I.Jacobs) 5 yards from UAB32 to UAB27. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
81.5%
(14:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UAB32 (#10 T.Hardiman)Similar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
82.0%
(13:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short right to #8 E.McCray caught at UAB32, for 0 yards to the UAB32 (#16 D.Robinson)Similar
Q4 12:29
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-2
83.0%
(12:39) #27 P.Foley punt 35 yards to the Tulsa33 muffed by #19 G.Tempest at Tulsa33 recovered by UAB #3 I.Jacobs at Tulsa31, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20TD
4 plays · 31 yds · 1:4323% → 51%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
77.0%
(12:29) Shotgun #3 I.Jacobs rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Tulsa27 (#27 Z.Woodham; #18 Z.Williams)Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+2
77.1%
(12:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 I.Jacobs rush right for 2 yards gain to the Tulsa25 (#88 N.Johnson; #7 E.Green)Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+5
79.0%
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short middle to #0 I.Hooks caught at Tulsa20, for 5 yards to the Tulsa20 (#27 Z.Woodham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
49.2%
(10:46) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 20 yards gain to the Tulsa00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:42, 1ST DOWN #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #27 P.Foley, LS: #47 C.Moser)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3663% → 59%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
63.2%
(10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass incomplete short left to #23 L.Lucas thrown to Tulsa50 QB hurried by #59 C.BurgeSimilar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
62.7%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush right for 3 yards gain to the Tulsa41 (#14 J.Vessel; #1 S.Bryant)Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 7
OWN 41
-1
61.6%
(09:48) Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete short middle to #7 Z.Steptoe caught at Tulsa40, for 1 yard loss to the Tulsa40 QB hurried by #90 Z.Johnson (#0 D.Hightower)Similar
Q4 8:53
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
59.0%
(09:03) #29 A.Davies punt 50 yards to the UAB10 #0 I.Hooks return 0 yards to the UAB10 (#88 E.Potts; #13 N.Campbell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 5:0544% → 89%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
56.3%
(08:52) No Huddle #11 S.Beebe rush right for 1 yard gain to the UAB11 (#33 W.Alexander; #0 R.Coney)Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 9
OWN 11
-1
56.6%
(08:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 S.Beebe rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UAB10 (#41 W.Upshaw; #90 J.Hjelle)Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+14
58.1%
(07:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short left to #0 I.Hooks caught at UAB23, for 14 yards to the UAB24, out of bounds at UAB24, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
54.1%
(07:07) #4 J.Jackson rush right for 6 yards gain to the UAB30 (#15 A.Williams)Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
51.3%
(06:26) #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 0 yards to the UAB30 (#16 D.Robinson)Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+57
53.2%
(05:44) Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete deep middle to #5 K.Brown caught at Tulsa50, for 57 yards to the Tulsa13 (#21 S.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
44.7%
(05:11) #3 I.Jacobs rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Tulsa11 (#99 T.Newhouse; #0 R.Coney)Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+6
44.5%
(04:48) #3 I.Jacobs rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Tulsa05 (#19 T.Cooper; #15 A.Williams)Similar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+2
46.2%
(04:07) #4 J.Jackson rush right for 2 yards gain to the Tulsa03 (#0 R.Coney; #99 T.Newhouse), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
11.5%
(03:41) #4 J.Jackson rush right for 3 yards gain to the Tulsa00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:40 #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #27 P.Foley, LS: #47 C.Moser)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 33 yds · 2:3227% → 16%
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
26.6%
(03:35) Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush left for 5 yards gain to the UAB49 (#9 D.Warren; #15 J.Rogers)Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-2
28.1%
(03:11) Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush middle for 2 yards loss to the Tulsa49 (#5 E.Toussom)Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+8
23.0%
(02:43) Shotgun #7 Z.Steptoe rush right for 8 yards gain to the UAB43 (#14 J.Vessel), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
26.7%
(02:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass incomplete deep right to #15 J.Smith thrown to UAB00Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
25.1%
(02:31) Shotgun #1 B.Presley rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UAB37 (#14 J.Vessel)Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+15
24.5%
(02:06) Shotgun #1 B.Presley rush right for 15 yards gain to the UAB22 (#14 J.Vessel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
28.6%
(01:58) Shotgun #10 B.Hayes rush middle for 2 yards loss to the UAB24 (#59 C.Burge)Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 12
OPP 24
0
24.5%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass incomplete short right to #19 G.Tempest thrown to UAB06 QB hurried by #59 C.BurgeSimilar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 12
OPP 24
+3
19.9%
(01:36) Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete short right to #23 L.Lucas caught at UAB21, for 3 yards to the UAB21 (#1 S.Bryant)Similar
Q4 0:56
4TH & 9
OPP 21
0
16.1%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass incomplete deep left to #7 Z.Steptoe thrown to UAB00 broken up by #18 D.Gulley, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24END OF GAME
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:1294% → 95%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
5.9%
(00:56) #4 J.Jackson rush right for 14 yards gain to the UAB35 (#18 Z.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
5.6%
(00:49) #3 I.Jacobs rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UAB40 (#99 T.Newhouse; #88 N.Johnson)Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-3
5.0%
(00:42) Kneel down by UAB at UAB37 for loss of 3 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-2
5.3%
(00:38) Kneel down by UAB at UAB35 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:40
(03:41) #4 J.Jackson rush right for 3 yards gain to the Tulsa00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:40 #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #27 P.Foley, LS: #47 C.Moser)
-34.6
TD · Q4 10:42
(10:46) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 20 yards gain to the Tulsa00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:42, 1ST DOWN #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #27 P.Foley, LS: #47 C.Moser)
-29.8
TD · Q4 14:55
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Allen rush left for 22 yards gain to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:55, 1ST DOWN #11 S.Morgan kick attempt good (H: #29 A.Davies, LS: #42 A.Fedigan)
+23.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com