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UNT

North Texas 56 at Rice 24

RICE
2025 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2025 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+0.1RICE 0.3%(05:38) #28 E.Gota field goal attemptfrom 27 yards GOOD (H: #91A.Bacchetta, LS: #48 W.Freeman), clock05:38AWAY 49 - HOME 24 · Q4 5:38
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:38 · (05:38) #28 E.Gota field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #91 A.Bacchetta, LS: #48 W.Freeman), clock 05:38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Home team on offense−50.1Pregame prior−4.7Score differential−46.4Garbage-time factor−19.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−7.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:42: (01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Turner rush right for 12 yards gain to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:42, 1ST DOWN #28 E.Gota kick attempt good (H: #91 A.Bacchetta, LS: #48 W.Freeman) — RICE win probability +3.7 pts (now 26%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:26: (10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush right for 4 yards gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:26 #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates) — UNT win probability +6.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:34: (06:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete deep right to #6 T.Williams III caught at Rice11, for 56 yards to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:34, 1ST DOWN #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates) — UNT win probability +6.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:05: (03:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #10 W.Young caught at UNT20, for 84 yards to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:05, 1ST DOWN #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates) — UNT win probability +5.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:55: (12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker rush right for 1 yard gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:55 #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates) — UNT win probability +5.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 8 of 8UNT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 7:38UNT 4th & 6 at UNT 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:55RICE 4th & 1 at UNT 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.1%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:41UNT 4th & 1 at RICE 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.2%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    70.6%−1.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    66.6%−5.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:59RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:24UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    75.4%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:21RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:34RICE 4th & 8 at UNT 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:20UNT 4th & 8 at UNT 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:02RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:12RICE 4th & 9 at UNT 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:02UNT 4th & 4 at RICE 34, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    96.6%−0.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:38RICE 4th & 8 at UNT 9, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:54RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 30, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 8:56RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:42RICE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:52UNT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:26UNT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:05UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:55UNT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:14UNT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:04RICE Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:10UNT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:46UNT Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1TD
13 plays · 86 yds · 5:5211% → 16%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
11.4%
(14:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Rice19 (#90 E.Day)Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+11
11.7%
(14:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush left for 11 yards gain to the Rice30 (#32 E.Wesloski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
12.0%
(13:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Turner rush right for 8 yards gain to the Rice38 (#0 W.Jones II)Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+4
12.3%
(12:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Rice42 (#32 E.Wesloski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
12.7%
(12:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short middle to #1 A.Turner caught at Rice40, for 16 yards to the UNT42 (#0 W.Jones II; #12 P.Smith-Young), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
13.0%
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass incomplete short middle to #49 M.Barnett thrown to UNT24Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+11
13.1%
(11:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush left for 11 yards gain to the UNT31 (#0 W.Jones II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
13.4%
(11:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNT26 (#12 P.Smith-Young)Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+6
13.6%
(10:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Turner rush left for 6 yards gain to the UNT20 (#32 E.Wesloski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
13.9%
(10:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNT17 (#32 E.Wesloski)Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 7
OPP 17
-1
14.3%
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short right to #1 A.Turner caught at UNT18, for 1 yard loss to the UNT18, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+18
15.5%
(08:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush right for 18 yards gain to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:56, 1ST DOWN #28 E.Gota kick attempt good (H: #91 A.Bacchetta, LS: #48 W.Freeman)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1085% → 84%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
15.3%
(08:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNT29 (#0 A.Awe; #96 D.Botts)Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
15.7%
(08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker rush middle for 0 yards to the UNT29, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
16.2%
(07:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass incomplete short right to #10 W.Young thrown to UNT32Similar
Q1 7:38
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
16.5%
(07:41) #41 S.Evans punt 42 yards to the Rice29 fair catch by #6 D.Dickmann at Rice29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 5:4916% → 26%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
16.4%
(07:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 D.Hardemann rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Rice31 (#6 T.Fields)Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 8
OWN 31
-4
17.0%
(06:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Turner rush right for 4 yards loss to the Rice27 (#12 P.Smith-Young)Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 12
OWN 27
+25
17.3%
(06:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short left to #1 A.Turner caught at Rice31, for 25 yards to the UNT48 (#32 E.Wesloski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
18.6%
(05:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short right to #6 D.Dickmann caught at UNT41, for 10 yards to the UNT38 (#1 D.Fisher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
19.2%
(04:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 D.Hardemann rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UNT28 (#32 E.Wesloski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
19.8%
(04:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UNT19 (#1 D.Fisher; #42 B.Knox)Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+6
20.4%
(03:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UNT13 (#19 K.Allen; #90 E.Day), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
21.2%
(02:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNT10 (#19 K.Allen; #8 R.Outland Jr.)Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 7
OPP 10
-2
21.7%
(02:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short right to #1 A.Turner caught at UNT13, for 2 yards loss to the UNT12 QB hurried by #9 J.Durgan (#32 E.Wesloski; #93 T.Washington)Similar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+12
25.5%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Turner rush right for 12 yards gain to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:42, 1ST DOWN #28 E.Gota kick attempt good (H: #91 A.Bacchetta, LS: #48 W.Freeman)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4TD
3 plays · 76 yds · 0:3476% → 79%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
24.4%
(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush left for 2 yards gain to the UNT26 (#57 A.Clemmons)Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+74
21.4%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete deep middle to #10 W.Young caught at Rice30, for 74 yards to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:52, 1ST DOWN #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:4322% → 25%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
22.0%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Rice39 (#1 D.Fisher; #40 K.Huddleston)Similar
Q1 0:08
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+4
23.3%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Rice43 (#1 D.Fisher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
23.5%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 D.Hardemann rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Rice47 (#19 K.Allen)Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+3
24.2%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 D.Hardemann rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Rice50 (#9 J.Durgan; #95 R.Vargas Jr.)Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 3
50
+2
24.6%
(13:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 D.Hardemann rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNT48 (#9 J.Durgan; #8 R.Outland Jr.)Similar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
24.8%
(12:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 D.Hardemann rush middle for 0 yards to the UNT48 (#9 J.Durgan), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:1477% → 81%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+25
23.3%
(12:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short middle to #18 T.Lewis caught at Rice40, for 25 yards to the Rice27 (#6 J.Chavez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
22.5%
(12:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #24 C.Hawkins caught at Rice20, for 12 yards to the Rice15 (#3 T.Morris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
22.7%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush left for 5 yards gain to the Rice10 (#8 J.Mutombo)Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+4
23.1%
(11:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush right for 4 yards gain to the Rice06 (#3 T.Morris; #4 M.Williams)Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 1
OPP 6
0
24.2%
(11:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 0 yards to the Rice06 (#27 J.Kane; #26 T.Anyanwu)Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+2
25.3%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Rice04 (#0 A.Awe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
19.0%
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush right for 4 yards gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:26 #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1022% → 23%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
22.4%
(10:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Rice37 (#90 E.Day)Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
23.5%
(09:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush left for 0 yards to the Rice37, out of bounds at Rice37Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
22.9%
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass incomplete short middle to #49 M.Barnett thrown to Rice40 QB hurried by #90 E.DaySimilar
Q2 8:59
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
22.5%
(08:59) #91 A.Bacchetta punt 40 yards to the UNT23 fair catch by #1 M.Coleman at UNT23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:2078% → 84%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
21.9%
(08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass incomplete short middle to #87 B.Young Jr. thrown to UNT35Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+8
22.1%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UNT31 (#27 J.Kane)Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+1
21.4%
(08:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #1 M.Coleman caught at UNT32, for 1 yard to the UNT32 (#14 E.Dotson; #3 T.Morris)Similar
Q2 7:24
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+4
22.6%
(07:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNT36 (#75 B.Boenisch; #0 A.Awe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
21.9%
(06:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UNT44 (#27 J.Kane; #57 A.Clemmons)Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+56
15.9%
(06:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete deep right to #6 T.Williams III caught at Rice11, for 56 yards to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:34, 1ST DOWN #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:0417% → 17%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
16.9%
(06:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush right for 4 yards gain to the Rice29 (#6 T.Fields)Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
17.4%
(05:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush left for 7 yards gain to the Rice36 (#13 J.Lataimua), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
17.7%
(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Rice38 (#32 E.Wesloski; #12 P.Smith-Young)Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-6
18.1%
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins sacked for loss of 6 yards to the Rice32 (#42 B.Knox)Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+5
17.0%
(03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Rice37 (#42 B.Knox)Similar
Q2 3:21
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
17.1%
(03:21) #91 A.Bacchetta punt 47 yards to the UNT16 fair catch by #1 M.Coleman at UNT16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10TD
1 play · 84 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+84
12.0%
(03:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #10 W.Young caught at UNT20, for 84 yards to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:05, 1ST DOWN #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 1:1512% → 13%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
11.9%
(02:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Rice24 (#32 E.Wesloski; #90 E.Day)Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+25
11.9%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Turner rush right for 25 yards gain to the Rice49 (#3 E.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
13.1%
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short right to #1 A.Turner caught at Rice47, for 0 yards to the Rice49 (#1 D.Fisher)Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
12.9%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short left to #6 D.Dickmann caught at UNT48, for 6 yards to the UNT45 (#3 E.Jackson)Similar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 4
OPP 45
-4
13.7%
(01:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush middle for 4 yards loss to the UNT49 (#32 E.Wesloski)Similar
Q2 1:34
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
13.2%
(01:34) #91 A.Bacchetta punt 44 yards to the UNT05Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 1:0789% → 90%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+11
10.8%
(01:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 11 yards gain to the UNT16 (#9 P.Stevenson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+24
10.6%
(01:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short middle to #10 W.Young caught at UNT24, for 24 yards to the UNT40 (#9 P.Stevenson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
10.0%
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush right for 2 yards loss to the UNT38 (#75 B.Boenisch)Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 12
OWN 38
0
10.2%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass incomplete short middle to #1 M.Coleman thrown to UNT40 broken up by #75 B.BoenischSimilar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+9
10.3%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short left to #1 M.Coleman caught at UNT44, for 9 yards to the UNT47 (#9 P.Stevenson; #6 J.Chavez)Similar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 3
OWN 47
+5
10.1%
PENALTY UNT False Start (#67 B.Nelson) 5 yards from UNT47 to UNT42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
10.3%
(00:20) #41 S.Evans punt 41 yards to the Rice17 fair catch by #6 D.Dickmann at Rice17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
11.1%
(00:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Rice20 (#30 B.Allen Jr.)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 1:4988% → 96%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
11.7%
(14:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNT31 (#4 M.Williams; #96 D.Botts)Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+41
11.7%
(14:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete deep left to #10 W.Young caught at Rice48, for 41 yards to the Rice28 (#0 A.Awe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
10.1%
(13:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short middle to #1 M.Coleman caught at Rice15, for 15 yards to the Rice13 (#4 M.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
10.0%
(13:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 12 yards gain to the Rice01 (#7 O.Porter; #27 J.Kane), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
4.4%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker rush right for 1 yard gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:55 #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 26 yds · 5:347% → 6%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
7.4%
(12:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Rice28 (#6 T.Fields; #40 K.Huddleston)Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-4
7.4%
(12:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush right for 4 yards loss to the Rice24 (#0 W.Jones II)Similar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+14
6.9%
(11:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush right for 14 yards gain to the Rice38 (#13 J.Lataimua; #32 E.Wesloski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
7.5%
(11:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short middle to #1 A.Turner caught at Rice37, for 1 yard loss to the Rice37 (#13 J.Lataimua; #6 T.Fields)Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+6
6.9%
(10:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Rice43 (#0 W.Jones II; #94 J.Williams)Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+1
6.9%
(09:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush right for 1 yard gain to the Rice44 (#6 T.Fields)Similar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 4
OWN 44
+6
6.1%
(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short left to #1 A.Turner caught at UNT50, for 6 yards to the Rice50 (#0 W.Jones II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
50
-4
6.1%
(08:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush middle for 4 yards loss to the Rice46 (#42 B.Knox)Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+5
5.5%
(07:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short middle to #49 M.Barnett caught at Rice50, for 5 yards to the UNT49 (#32 E.Wesloski)Similar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
5.9%
(07:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass incomplete short right to #1 A.Turner thrown to UNT47Similar
Q3 7:12
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
5.7%
(07:12) #91 A.Bacchetta punt 35 yards to the UNT14 fair catch by #22 L.Sides at UNT14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 3:4997% → 99%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+46
3.1%
(07:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short middle to #10 W.Young caught at UNT27, for 46 yards to the Rice40 (#27 J.Kane), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
2.2%
(06:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush right for 6 yards gain to the Rice34 (#30 E.Morris; #57 A.Clemmons)Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
2.0%
(05:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass incomplete short middle to #18 T.Lewis thrown to Rice17Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
2.0%
(05:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 0 yards to the Rice34 (#3 T.Morris; #57 A.Clemmons)Similar
Q3 5:02
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+7
2.3%
(05:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short left to #22 L.Sides caught at Rice27, for 7 yards to the Rice27 (#7 O.Porter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
1.9%
(04:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short left to #6 T.Williams III caught at Rice23, for 6 yards to the Rice21 (#4 M.Williams)Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+9
1.8%
(04:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Rice12 (#6 J.Chavez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
1.7%
(03:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #4 C.Dorner caught at Rice14, for 5 yards to the Rice07 (#0 A.Awe)Similar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+7
0.7%
(03:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:14, 1ST DOWN #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:051% → 4%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.9%
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Turner rush left for 9 yards gain to the Rice34 (#2 D.Armstead)Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
0.8%
(02:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 D.Hardemann rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Rice35 (#32 E.Wesloski; #97 J.Pierce), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
0.8%
(02:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Turner rush left for 6 yards gain to the Rice41 (#32 E.Wesloski)Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+36
0.7%
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 D.Hardemann rush left for 36 yards gain to the UNT23 (#12 P.Smith-Young), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
0.9%
(01:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 D.Hardemann rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNT20 (#32 E.Wesloski; #97 J.Pierce)Similar
Q3 0:22
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+5
0.8%
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 D.Hardemann rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNT15 (#90 E.Day; #94 J.Williams)Similar
Q3 0:04
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+15
3.6%
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short middle to #1 A.Turner caught at UNT16, for 15 yards to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:04, 1ST DOWN #28 E.Gota kick attempt good (H: #91 A.Bacchetta, LS: #48 W.Freeman)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5498% → 100%
Q3 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.6%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #10 W.Young caught at UNT22, for 3 yards to the UNT28 (#4 M.Williams)Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+22
1.6%
(14:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short middle to #4 C.Dorner caught at UNT38, for 22 yards to the UNT50 (#4 M.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
50
+16
1.4%
(14:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short middle to #22 L.Sides caught at Rice40, for 16 yards to the Rice34 (#26 T.Anyanwu; #0 A.Awe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
1.3%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush right for 3 yards gain to the Rice31 (#0 A.Awe)Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+10
1.3%
(13:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #10 W.Young caught at Rice24, for 10 yards to the Rice21 (#4 M.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
1.3%
(12:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short left to #10 W.Young caught at Rice21, for 13 yards to the Rice08 (#9 P.Stevenson; #4 M.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
0.3%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:10 #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 6:270% → 0%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
0.4%
(12:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Turner rush right for 10 yards gain to the Rice35 (#6 T.Fields), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
0.3%
(11:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short left to #23 P.Matthews caught at Rice48, for 16 yards to the UNT49 (#25 K.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
0.3%
(10:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNT46 (#26 S.Burrell; #93 T.Washington)Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+8
0.3%
(10:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush right for 8 yards gain to the UNT38 (#95 R.Vargas Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
0.2%
(09:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass incomplete short middle to #49 M.Barnett thrown to UNT22 broken up by #3 E.JacksonSimilar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+12
0.2%
(09:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush right for 12 yards gain to the UNT26, out of bounds at UNT26, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
0.2%
(08:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass incomplete deep middle to #6 D.Dickmann thrown to UNT00Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+6
0.2%
(08:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Turner rush right for 6 yards gain to the UNT20 (#32 E.Wesloski; #1 D.Fisher)Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+9
0.2%
(07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush right for 9 yards gain to the UNT11 (#3 E.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
0.2%
(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short right to #6 D.Dickmann caught at UNT10, for 1 yard to the UNT10 (#0 W.Jones II; #1 D.Fisher)Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 9
OPP 10
-1
0.2%
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush right for 1 yard loss to the UNT11 (#1 D.Fisher)Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+2
0.2%
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush right for 2 yards gain to the UNT09 (#32 E.Wesloski)Similar
Q4 5:38
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+27
0.3%
(05:38) #28 E.Gota field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #91 A.Bacchetta, LS: #48 W.Freeman), clock 05:38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 1:39100% → 100%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
0.2%
(05:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Jimerson Jr. rush right for 12 yards gain to the Rice35, out of bounds at Rice35, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+22
0.2%
(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Gray rush left for 22 yards gain to the Rice13 (#4 M.Williams), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
0.2%
(04:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Gray rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Rice11 (#75 B.Boenisch; #15 M.Aribisala)Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
0.2%
(03:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Gray rush middle for 11 yards gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:46, 1ST DOWN #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:480% → 0%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.1%
(03:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass incomplete short right to #6 D.Dickmann thrown to Rice29 broken up by #30 B.Allen Jr.Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.1%
(03:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short middle to #19 S.Pierre caught at Rice23, for 5 yards to the Rice30 (#12 P.Smith-Young)Similar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
0.1%
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass incomplete deep right to #23 P.Matthews thrown to UNT35Similar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+7
0.1%
(02:57) #91 A.Bacchetta punt 50 yards to the UNT20 #1 M.Coleman return 7 yards to the UNT27 (#48 W.Freeman; #3 T.Morris)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22END OF GAME
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:14100% → 100%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
0.2%
(02:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Jimerson Jr. rush right for 9 yards gain to the UNT36 (#3 T.Morris), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+6
0.2%
(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Gray rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UNT42 (#27 J.Kane), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
0.2%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Gray rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNT44 (#94 B.Bays)Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+5
0.2%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Gray rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNT49 (#27 J.Kane; #9 P.Stevenson)Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+4
0.2%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Jimerson Jr. rush left for 4 yards gain to the Rice47 (#4 M.Williams), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
0.2%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Gray rush middle for 0 yards to the Rice47 (#0 A.Awe)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:26
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush right for 4 yards gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:26 #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates)
-6.3
TD · Q2 6:34
(06:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete deep right to #6 T.Williams III caught at Rice11, for 56 yards to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:34, 1ST DOWN #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates)
-6.1
TD · Q3 12:55
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker rush right for 1 yard gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:55 #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates)
-5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com