2025 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · NAVY
modelNAVY aheadUSF aheadconfidence bandkey playNAVY scoreUSF score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:48 · (06:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #6 M.Reuben caught at Navy33, for 8 yards to the Navy30 (#14 J.Campbell), 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
This game in five plays
- TD · Q3 12:32: (12:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush left for 3 yards gain to the Navy00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:32 #7 N.Gramatica kick attempt good (H: #37 C.Leon, LS: #95 G.Cates) — USF win probability +12.1 pts (now 45%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
- TD · Q4 13:59: (14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 60 yards gain to the Navy00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:59, 1ST DOWN #6 M.Reuben pass attempt Successful — USF win probability +23.2 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
- TD · Q4 9:29: (09:30) No Huddle #5 B.Woodson rush left for 20 yards gain to the USF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:29, 1ST DOWN #17 N.Kirkwood kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Carlson, LS: #92 R.Fry) — NAVY win probability +15.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
- TD · Q4 6:14: (06:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Davenport pass complete deep left to #16 J.Koger caught at Navy00, for 29 yards to the Navy00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:14, 1ST DOWN #7 N.Gramatica kick attempt failed (H: #37 C.Leon, LS: #95 G.Cates) — USF win probability +28.0 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
- TD · Q4 1:55: Mudia Reuben 41 Yd pass from Byrum Brown (Byrum Brown Pass to Keshaun Singleton for Two-Point Conversion) — USF win probability +27.6 pts (now 35%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
NAVY made the numbers' call on 6 of 8USF made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
- Q1 12:21USF 4th & 1 at NAVY 46, down 4Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.3% before the snapGo for itTheir call69.3%70% to convertField goal69.0%−0.323% to makePunt69.1%−0.2average punt
- Q1 11:46USF 4th & 8 at NAVY 46, down 4Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snapGo for it68.8%−<0.134% to convertField goal68.7%−0.123% to makePuntTheir call68.9%average punt
- Q1 6:40USF 4th & 3 at NAVY 4, down 4Close callKicked a field goal · 66.1% before the snapGo for it66.2%45% to convertField goalTheir call66.0%−0.293% to makePunt64.2%−2.0average punt
- Q1 1:10USF 4th & 15 at USF 45, down 4Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snapGo for it61.5%−0.917% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call62.4%average punt
- Q2 10:52NAVY 4th & 4 at NAVY 31, up 5Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snapGo for it39.7%−0.348% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call40.1%average punt
- Q2 8:56USF 4th & 3 at USF 10, down 5Close callPunted · 55.8% before the snapGo for it56.0%51% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call55.5%−0.5average punt
- Q2 4:30NAVY 4th & 21 at USF 27, up 12Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.0% before the snapGo for it56.7%−3.18% to convertField goalTheir call59.8%62% to makePunt53.6%−6.2average punt
- Q2 1:20USF 4th & 1 at NAVY 31, down 15Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.1% before the snapGo for itTheir call35.6%71% to convertField goal34.2%−1.454% to makePunt32.8%−2.8average punt
- Q2 0:16NAVY 4th & 16 at NAVY 41, up 15Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snapGo for it68.6%−0.616% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call69.2%average punt
- Q3 13:37NAVY 4th & 6 at NAVY 29, up 15Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.0% before the snapGo for it71.0%−0.839% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call71.8%average punt
- Q3 7:27NAVY 4th & 3 at USF 46, up 8Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.2% before the snapGo for itTheir call69.6%52% to convertField goal65.7%−3.923% to makePunt68.1%−1.5average punt
- Q3 5:01NAVY 4th & 9 at USF 41, up 8Close callPunted · 72.4% before the snapGo for it72.8%32% to convertField goal71.6%−1.232% to makePuntTheir call72.5%−0.3average punt
- Q3 3:45USF 4th & 10 at USF 6, down 8Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snapGo for it22.6%−3.926% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call26.5%average punt
- Q4 14:17NAVY 4th & 7 at USF 14, up 8Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.7% before the snapGo for it78.5%−1.534% to convertField goalTheir call80.0%84% to makePunt67.1%−13.0average punt
- Q4 6:48USF 4th & 1 at NAVY 38, down 10Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.1% before the snapGo for itTheir call11.8%70% to convertField goal9.6%−2.238% to makePunt9.5%−2.3average punt
- Q4 0:06NAVY 4th & 11 at USF 34, up 3Numbers favored field goal by 6.5 ptsWent for it · 89.9% before the snapGo for itTheir call88.1%−6.527% to convertField goal94.5%47% to makePunt87.6%−7.0average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NAVY made the numbers' call on 3 of 4USF made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
- Q1 0:00NAVY Touchdown, up 10 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call43.6%97% to makeGo for two43.5%−0.145% to convert
- Q2 7:00NAVY Touchdown, up 11 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call54.3%97% to makeGo for two54.2%−0.145% to convert
- Q3 12:32USF Touchdown, down 9 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call40.3%97% to makeGo for two40.1%−0.245% to convert
- Q4 13:59USF Touchdown, down 5 before the tryClose callWent for two · convertedKick38.2%97% to makeGo for twoTheir call37.9%−0.345% to convert
- Q4 9:29NAVY Touchdown, up 9 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call86.9%97% to makeGo for two86.6%−0.445% to convert
- Q4 6:14USF Touchdown, down 4 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · missedKickTheir call28.4%97% to makeGo for two27.3%−1.045% to convert
- Q4 3:59NAVY Touchdown, up 10 before the tryClose callKicked · madeKickTheir call93.1%−0.297% to makeGo for two93.3%45% to convert
- Q4 1:55USF Touchdown, down 5 before the tryAgrees with the numbersWent for two · convertedKick10.4%−0.697% to makeGo for twoTheir call10.9%45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartUSFDrive 1PUNT11 plays · 33 yds · 3:0372% → 70%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
28.3%
(14:55) Shotgun #25 N.Davenport rush right for 4 yards gain to the USF25 (#35 L.Pirris; #56 M.Parker)Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
28.4%
(14:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush left for 5 yards gain to the USF30 (#18 P.Hamilton)Similar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+5
28.6%
(14:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USF31 (#10 N.Bell; #56 M.Parker) PENALTY Navy Offside (#96 L.Robinson) 5 yards from USF30 to USF35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
28.7%
(13:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USF39 (#58 C.Cauley; #14 J.Campbell)Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
28.9%
(13:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #16 J.Koger caught at USF47, for 5 yards to the USF44 (#10 N.Bell)Similar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+8
29.1%
(13:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Davenport rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Navy48 (#14 J.Campbell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+2
29.2%
(12:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Davenport rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Navy46 (#14 J.Campbell; #95 G.Willis)Similar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
29.4%
(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete deep left to #16 J.Koger thrown to Navy05Similar
Q1 12:21
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
29.6%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush left for 0 yards to the Navy46 (#58 C.Cauley; #90 J.Moutome)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 2TD5 plays · 88 yds · 1:4730% → 31%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
30.0%
(11:45) Shotgun #11 B.Horvath rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Navy13 (#11 D.Harris)Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+10
30.3%
(11:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 E.Heidenreich rush left for 10 yards gain to the Navy23 (#3 J.Duclona), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY USF Offside declinedSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
30.5%
(10:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Horvath pass incomplete short left to #22 E.Heidenreich thrown to Navy27 broken up by #5 F.GaskinSimilar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+1
30.5%
(10:41) No Huddle #46 A.Tecza rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Navy24 (#24 M.Harris)Similar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+76
30.8%
(10:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #46 A.Tecza rush middle for 76 yards gain to the USF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:53, 1ST DOWN #17 N.Kirkwood kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Carlson, LS: #92 R.Fry)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 3FG9 plays · 77 yds · 2:5669% → 67%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
31.3%
(09:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #25 N.Davenport caught at USF15, for 3 yards to the USF22 (#0 K.McShan; #58 C.Cauley)Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+5
31.5%
PENALTY USF False Start (#72 C.Best) 5 yards from USF22 to USF17. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 12
OWN 17
+5
31.9%
(09:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short right to #81 C.Neptune caught at USF14, for 5 yards to the USF22 (#17 J.Ross) PENALTY Navy Roughing The Passer (#90 J.Moutome) 15 yards from USF22 to USF37, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+52
31.8%
(08:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete deep right to #11 K.Singleton caught at Navy25, for 52 yards to the Navy11 (#17 J.Ross), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
31.4%
(08:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete short left to #16 J.Koger thrown to Navy00Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+3
31.5%
(08:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Navy08 (#53 M.Bleazard)Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+4
32.0%
(07:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Navy04 (#49 A.Klenk; #40 C.Robinson)Similar
Q1 6:40
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+22
32.8%
(06:40) #7 N.Gramatica field goal attempt from 22 yards GOOD (H: #37 C.Leon, LS: #95 G.Cates), clock 06:40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 4FUMBLE8 plays · 45 yds · 3:0533% → 36%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
33.2%
(06:39) #46 A.Tecza rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Navy29 (#2 T.Ward; #3 J.Duclona)Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
33.6%
(06:04) No Huddle #11 B.Horvath rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Navy30 (#4 M.Williams II; #24 M.Harris)Similar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+22
33.7%
(05:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #46 A.Tecza rush middle for 22 yards gain to the USF48 (#22 D.Rucker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
35.1%
(05:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Chatman rush left for 3 yards gain to the USF45 (#2 T.Ward)Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+10
35.5%
(04:27) No Huddle #11 B.Horvath pass complete short right to #22 E.Heidenreich caught at USF45, for 10 yards to the USF35 (#22 D.Rucker), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
36.0%
(04:09) No Huddle #22 E.Heidenreich rush right for 6 yards gain to the USF29 (#7 J.Shuler)Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 4
OPP 29
-1
36.4%
(03:34) No Huddle Navy rush middle for 1 yard loss to the USF30 fumbled by Navy at USF29 recovered by USF #24 M.Harris at USF30 #24 M.Harris return 5 yards to the USF35 (#79 H.Smith II)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 5PUNT8 plays · 10 yds · 2:1465% → 63%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
35.0%
(03:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 S.Franklin rush right for 1 yard gain to the USF36 (#17 J.Ross)Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+6
35.2%
(03:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #4 S.Franklin caught at USF32, for 6 yards to the USF42 (#16 G.Sessi)Similar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+8
34.6%
(02:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short right to #11 K.Singleton caught at USF40, for 8 yards to the USF50 (#56 M.Parker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
50
+5
34.5%
(02:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #6 M.Reuben caught at Navy49, for 5 yards to the Navy45 (#56 M.Parker; #18 P.Hamilton)Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
34.6%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete short left to #16 J.Koger thrown to Navy35Similar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+5
34.7%
PENALTY USF False Start (#67 T.Shrader) 5 yards from Navy45 to Navy50. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:47
3RD & 10
50
-3
35.3%
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown sacked for loss of 5 yards to the USF45 (#56 M.Parker, #90 J.Moutome)Similar
Q1 1:10
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
37.0%
(01:15) #39 L.Goater punt 44 yards to the Navy11 fair catch by #24 B.Chatman at Navy11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 6TD3 plays · 89 yds · 1:0436% → 44%
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
36.3%
(01:09) #11 B.Horvath rush left for 3 yards gain to the Navy14 (#11 D.Harris; #24 M.Harris)Similar
Q1 0:23
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+82
36.7%
(00:35) No Huddle #11 B.Horvath pass complete deep middle to #22 E.Heidenreich caught at Navy48, for 82 yards to the USF04 (#2 T.Ward), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7TD6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0258% → 64%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
42.5%
(15:00) Shotgun #15 A.Isaac rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USF30 (#16 G.Sessi)Similar
Q2 14:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
42.3%
(14:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Isaac rush left for 0 yards to the USF30 (#56 M.Parker; #49 A.Klenk)Similar
Q2 13:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+42
44.2%
(13:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short middle to #19 J.Smith caught at USF45, for 42 yards to the Navy28 (#10 N.Bell; #16 G.Sessi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
42.0%
(13:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Isaac rush middle for 16 yards gain to the Navy12 (#0 K.McShan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 8PUNT5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5138% → 39%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
38.3%
(12:52) Shotgun #11 B.Horvath pass complete short left to #24 B.Chatman caught at Navy24, for 2 yards to the Navy27 (#24 M.Harris; #22 D.Rucker), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
38.7%
(12:16) No Huddle #11 B.Horvath rush left for 0 yards to the Navy27 (#24 M.Harris; #99 D.Lee)Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+4
38.4%
(11:38) No Huddle #11 B.Horvath rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Navy31 (#7 J.Shuler; #4 M.Williams II)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 9PUNT5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5659% → 57%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
40.9%
PENALTY USF False Start (#51 Z.Herring) 1 yard from USF03 to USF02. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+1
41.0%
(10:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Davenport rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USF03 (#58 C.Cauley; #96 L.Robinson)Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+3
41.6%
(10:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Davenport rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USF06 (#58 C.Cauley; #96 L.Robinson)Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 7
OWN 6
+4
42.6%
(09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush left for 4 yards gain to the USF10 (#35 L.Pirris)Similar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 3
OWN 10
0
43.3%
(09:02) #39 L.Goater punt 34 yards to the USF44, out of bounds at USF44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 10TD5 plays · 44 yds · 1:5045% → 59%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+21
45.2%
(08:55) #11 B.Horvath rush right for 21 yards gain to the USF23 (#34 R.Watson III), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
45.9%
(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 E.Heidenreich rush right for 11 yards gain to the USF12 (#7 J.Shuler), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
47.2%
PENALTY Navy False Start (#73 S.Crowley) 5 yards from USF12 to USF17. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+3
47.5%
(07:40) #46 A.Tecza rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USF14 (#24 M.Harris; #63 J.Celiscar)Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+14
58.6%
(07:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Horvath pass complete short right to #46 A.Tecza caught at USF00, for 14 yards to the USF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:00, 1ST DOWN #17 N.Kirkwood kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Carlson, LS: #92 R.Fry)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11INT3 plays · 3 yds · 0:2945% → 45%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
55.1%
(06:59) Shotgun #4 S.Franklin rush right for 3 yards gain to the USF28 (#53 M.Bleazard; #58 C.Cauley)Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-27
55.4%
(06:35) Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass intercepted by #18 P.Hamilton at USF43 QB hurried by #96 L.Robinson #18 P.Hamilton return 27 yards to the USF16 (#17 B.Brown)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 12FG5 plays · -11 yds · 1:5060% → 64%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
59.6%
(06:23) #11 B.Horvath rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USF15 (#24 M.Harris; #2 T.Ward)Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
60.4%
(05:44) #11 B.Horvath pass incomplete short right to #46 A.Tecza thrown to USF00 PENALTY Navy Ineligible Downfield on Pass declinedSimilar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+15
59.8%
(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Horvath pass complete short right to #82 N.Kent caught at USF04, for 11 yards to the USF04, End Of Play PENALTY Navy Personal Foul 15 yards from USF15 to USF30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 24
OPP 30
+3
60.1%
(05:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Horvath rush left for 3 yards gain to the USF27, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 21
OPP 27
+44
63.5%
(04:30) #17 N.Kirkwood field goal attempt from 44 yards GOOD (H: #15 J.Carlson, LS: #92 R.Fry), clock 04:30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13DOWNS12 plays · 44 yds · 3:0137% → 38%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
62.7%
(04:28) Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USF28 (#90 J.Moutome)Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
62.4%
(04:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #16 J.Koger caught at USF36, for 9 yards to the USF37 (#10 N.Bell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
62.7%
(03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Isaac rush right for 4 yards gain to the USF41 (#58 C.Cauley; #40 C.Robinson)Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+8
62.9%
(03:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 8 yards gain to the USF49 (#58 C.Cauley; #16 G.Sessi), 1ST DOWN. #98 K.Whiteside injured on the playSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
63.2%
(02:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Isaac rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Navy48 (#14 J.Campbell)Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+8
63.5%
(02:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short middle to #15 A.Isaac caught at Navy45, for 8 yards to the Navy40 (#58 C.Cauley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
63.4%
(02:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Isaac rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Navy38 fumbled by #15 A.Isaac at Navy38 forced by #18 P.Hamilton recovered by USF #8 W.Sullivan at Navy38, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+4
63.5%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Navy34 (#56 M.Parker; #35 L.Pirris)Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+3
60.9%
(01:51) Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #16 J.Koger caught at Navy36, for 3 yards to the Navy31 (#95 G.Willis)Similar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 1
OPP 31
0
61.8%
(01:21) #56 C.Skinner rush middle for 0 yards to the Navy31 (#56 M.Parker; #96 L.Robinson), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 14PUNT7 plays · 10 yds · 1:0067% → 68%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
67.4%
(01:18) Shotgun #11 B.Horvath rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Navy32 (#5 F.Gaskin)Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+15
67.8%
(00:44) #11 B.Horvath pass complete short left to #22 E.Heidenreich caught at Navy47, for 15 yards to the Navy47 (#2 T.Ward), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
69.4%
(00:33) No Huddle #11 B.Horvath pass incomplete short middle to #22 E.Heidenreich thrown to USF39Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
68.1%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Horvath rush right for 2 yards gain to the Navy49 (#4 M.Williams II), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-4
67.1%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Horvath sacked for loss of 8 yards to the Navy41 (#8 T.Mitchell, #63 J.Celiscar)Similar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 16
OWN 41
0
68.2%
(00:19) #15 J.Carlson punt 38 yards to the USF21 fair catch by #81 C.Neptune at USF21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 15END OF HALF5 plays · 11 yds · 0:0932% → 31%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
68.3%
(00:13) Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete deep right to #11 K.Singleton thrown to USF43 broken up by #40 C.RobinsonSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
67.7%
(00:02) Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete deep right to #11 K.Singleton thrown to Navy26Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+11
69.4%
(00:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short middle to #16 J.Koger caught at USF32, for 11 yards to the USF32 (#16 G.Sessi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 16PUNT5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1771% → 70%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.2%
(14:59) #11 B.Horvath rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Navy29 (#7 J.Shuler)Similar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
71.1%
(14:17) Shotgun #46 A.Tecza rush middle for 0 yards to the Navy29 (#15 D.Flowers; #24 M.Harris)Similar
Q3 13:37
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+7
70.4%
(13:43) #15 J.Carlson punt 46 yards to the USF25 #81 C.Neptune return 7 yards to the USF32, out of bounds at USF32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 17TD4 plays · 68 yds · 0:5130% → 45%
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+36
69.6%
(13:36) Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete deep left to #16 J.Koger caught at Navy34, for 36 yards to the Navy32 (#10 N.Bell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
67.3%
(13:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short right to #6 M.Reuben caught at Navy29, for 7 yards to the Navy25 (#18 P.Hamilton)Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+22
67.2%
(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 22 yards gain to the Navy03 (#16 G.Sessi; #10 N.Bell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
55.1%
(12:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush left for 3 yards gain to the Navy00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:32 #7 N.Gramatica kick attempt good (H: #37 C.Leon, LS: #95 G.Cates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 18PUNT16 plays · 42 yds · 7:1863% → 72%
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
62.6%
(12:25) #24 B.Chatman rush right for 2 yards gain to the Navy19 (#5 F.Gaskin)Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+1
62.7%
(11:45) No Huddle #11 B.Horvath rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Navy20 (#7 J.Shuler; #24 M.Harris)Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+16
62.4%
(11:04) No Huddle #11 B.Horvath pass complete short left to #86 J.Guerin caught at Navy32, for 16 yards to the Navy36 (#5 F.Gaskin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
65.4%
(10:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Horvath rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Navy42 (#5 F.Gaskin; #24 M.Harris)Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
67.5%
(09:46) No Huddle #11 B.Horvath rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Navy45 (#7 J.Shuler)Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
66.9%
(09:13) No Huddle #11 B.Horvath rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Navy47 (#99 D.Lee; #7 J.Shuler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
68.8%
(08:35) No Huddle #22 E.Heidenreich pass incomplete deep right to #82 N.Kent thrown to USF28 QB hurried by #11 D.HarrisSimilar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
68.7%
(08:30) No Huddle #46 A.Tecza rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Navy49 (#8 T.Mitchell)Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
68.6%
(07:48) No Huddle #11 B.Horvath pass incomplete deep left to #22 E.Heidenreich thrown to USF20 broken up by #3 J.DuclonaSimilar
Q3 7:44
4TH & 8
OWN 49
+5
66.7%
(07:44) #15 J.Carlson punt 38 yards to the USF13 #81 C.Neptune return 4 yards to the USF17 (#35 L.Pirris; #56 M.Parker) PENALTY USF Running Into The Kicker (#25 Z.Hamilton) 5 yards from Navy49 to USF46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 7:27
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+4
67.8%
(07:30) Shotgun #11 B.Horvath rush right for 4 yards gain to the USF42 (#24 M.Harris), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. #11 B.Horvath injured on the playSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
71.1%
(07:09) #5 B.Woodson rush left for 1 yard loss to the USF43 (#2 T.Ward; #8 T.Mitchell)Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 11
OPP 43
0
73.5%
(06:22) No Huddle #5 B.Woodson rush middle for 0 yards to the USF43 (#8 T.Mitchell; #63 J.Celiscar)Similar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+2
72.4%
(05:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Chatman rush left for 2 yards gain to the USF41 (#7 J.Shuler; #24 M.Harris)Similar
Q3 5:01
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
72.1%
(05:08) #15 J.Carlson punt 35 yards to the USF06 fair catch by #81 C.Neptune at USF06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 19PUNT4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0930% → 26%
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
70.4%
(05:00) Shotgun #4 S.Franklin rush middle for 0 yards to the USF06 (#58 C.Cauley)Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 6
0
71.0%
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 S.Franklin rush right for 0 yards to the USF06 (#0 K.McShan)Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 10
OWN 6
0
72.8%
(03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete short left to #16 J.Koger thrown to USF22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 20FG11 plays · 38 yds · 4:2278% → 83%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
77.5%
(03:44) #46 A.Tecza rush right for 6 yards gain to the USF46 (#7 J.Shuler; #5 F.Gaskin)Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+7
78.7%
(03:03) No Huddle #22 E.Heidenreich rush left for 7 yards gain to the USF39 (#24 M.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
79.6%
(02:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Horvath rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USF37 (#15 D.Flowers; #99 D.Lee)Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
80.3%
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Horvath pass incomplete deep middle to #22 E.Heidenreich thrown to USF00 QB hurried by #11 D.HarrisSimilar
Q3 1:24
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+5
79.4%
(01:31) No Huddle #11 B.Horvath pass complete short left to #24 B.Chatman caught at USF38, for 5 yards to the USF32 (#24 M.Harris)Similar
Q3 0:46
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+15
78.6%
(00:46) No Huddle #11 B.Horvath pass incomplete deep middle to #24 B.Chatman thrown to USF10 PENALTY USF Pass Interference (#2 T.Ward) 15 yards from USF32 to USF17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
81.6%
(00:41) No Huddle #11 B.Horvath pass incomplete short right to #22 E.Heidenreich thrown to USF00Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
81.6%
(00:37) No Huddle #46 A.Tecza rush middle for 0 yards to the USF17 (#7 J.Shuler; #8 T.Mitchell)Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+3
81.1%
(14:58) Shotgun #11 B.Horvath pass complete short middle to #36 J.Collins caught at USF17, for 3 yards to the USF14 (#4 M.Williams II; #7 J.Shuler)Similar
Q4 14:17
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+31
82.6%
(14:17) #17 N.Kirkwood field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #15 J.Carlson, LS: #92 R.Fry), clock 14:17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 21TD3 plays · 75 yds · 0:1419% → 42%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
80.8%
(14:13) Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete deep left to #19 J.Smith thrown to Navy27 PENALTY Navy Pass Interference (#10 N.Bell) 15 yards from USF25 to USF40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
57.6%
(14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 60 yards gain to the Navy00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:59, 1ST DOWN #6 M.Reuben pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 22TD10 plays · 75 yds · 4:2463% → 86%
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
63.1%
(13:57) #11 B.Horvath rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Navy33 (#5 F.Gaskin). #11 B.Horvath injured on the playSimilar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
65.3%
PENALTY Navy Encroachment (#36 J.Collins) 5 yards from Navy33 to Navy28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
63.8%
(13:15) Shotgun #5 B.Woodson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Navy35 (#34 R.Watson III; #2 T.Ward), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
64.7%
(12:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 B.Woodson pass complete short left to #22 E.Heidenreich caught at Navy44, for 7 yards to the Navy42 (#2 T.Ward)Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+2
67.9%
(11:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 B.Woodson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Navy44 (#4 M.Williams II; #8 T.Mitchell)Similar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
67.2%
(11:20) No Huddle #5 B.Woodson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Navy46 (#99 D.Lee; #40 J.Merrifield), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
69.8%
(10:37) No Huddle #22 E.Heidenreich rush right for 2 yards gain to the Navy48 (#34 R.Watson III; #10 I.Singleton)Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+32
70.4%
(10:04) No Huddle #5 B.Woodson pass complete short left to #22 E.Heidenreich caught at USF34, for 32 yards to the USF20 (#5 F.Gaskin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
86.2%
(09:30) No Huddle #5 B.Woodson rush left for 20 yards gain to the USF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:29, 1ST DOWN #17 N.Kirkwood kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Carlson, LS: #92 R.Fry)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 23TD12 plays · 83 yds · 2:5213% → 42%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
86.7%
(09:21) Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush left for 4 yards gain to the USF21 (#18 P.Hamilton), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+9
87.0%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Davenport rush middle for 9 yards gain to the USF30 (#56 M.Parker; #0 K.McShan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
85.8%
(08:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #16 J.Koger caught at USF35, for 5 yards to the USF35 (#56 M.Parker), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-1
85.4%
(08:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #16 J.Koger caught at USF34, for 1 yard loss to the USF34, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+19
87.9%
(07:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short right to #8 W.Sullivan caught at USF40, for 19 yards to the Navy47 (#16 G.Sessi), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
85.9%
(07:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete deep right to #11 K.Singleton thrown to Navy02Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
86.0%
(07:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete short right to #1 J.Echols thrown to Navy47 broken up by #35 L.PirrisSimilar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+9
87.3%
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Navy38 (#35 L.Pirris; #16 G.Sessi)Similar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+8
87.8%
(06:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #6 M.Reuben caught at Navy33, for 8 yards to the Navy30 (#14 J.Campbell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
86.2%
(06:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Davenport rush right for 1 yard gain to the Navy29 (#58 C.Cauley)Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+29
58.2%
(06:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Davenport pass complete deep left to #16 J.Koger caught at Navy00, for 29 yards to the Navy00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:14, 1ST DOWN #7 N.Gramatica kick attempt failed (H: #37 C.Leon, LS: #95 G.Cates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 24TD5 plays · 75 yds · 2:0776% → 94%
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
76.0%
(06:12) #46 A.Tecza rush right for 9 yards gain to the Navy34 (#1 B.Knox)Similar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
79.8%
(05:27) #46 A.Tecza rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Navy36 (#24 M.Harris; #7 J.Shuler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
83.5%
(04:47) #5 B.Woodson rush middle for 0 yards to the Navy36 (#40 J.Merrifield)Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+64
94.0%
(04:07) Shotgun #5 B.Woodson rush right for 64 yards gain to the USF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:59, 1ST DOWN #17 N.Kirkwood kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Carlson, LS: #92 R.Fry)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 25TD7 plays · 75 yds · 1:537% → 35%
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.1%
(03:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short right to #11 K.Singleton caught at USF33, for 9 yards to the USF34 (#18 P.Hamilton; #90 J.Moutome)Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
91.9%
(03:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Isaac rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USF36 (#56 M.Parker; #95 G.Willis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
93.6%
(03:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #16 J.Koger caught at Navy50, for 15 yards to the Navy49, out of bounds at Navy49, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
93.0%
(02:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush left for 7 yards gain to the Navy42 (#35 L.Pirris), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+1
92.7%
(02:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush right for 1 yard gain to the Navy41 (#17 J.Ross), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+41
65.1%
Mudia Reuben 41 Yd pass from Byrum Brown (Byrum Brown Pass to Keshaun Singleton for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 26DOWNS11 plays · 9 yds · 1:4389% → 94%
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
88.8%
(01:53) #46 A.Tecza rush right for 1 yard gain to the USF42 (#11 D.Harris; #8 T.Mitchell)Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+9
89.9%
(01:46) Shotgun #5 B.Woodson rush middle for 9 yards gain to the USF33 (#7 J.Shuler; #11 D.Harris), 1ST DOWN. #2 T.Ward injured on the playSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
93.7%
(00:59) #11 B.Horvath rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USF32 (#5 F.Gaskin)Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+3
93.7%
(00:55) Shotgun #22 E.Heidenreich rush right for 3 yards gain to the USF29 (#11 D.Harris)Similar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
94.6%
(00:52) Shotgun #11 B.Horvath rush middle for 0 yards to the USF29 (#22 D.Rucker; #63 J.Celiscar)Similar
Q4 0:06
4TH & 11
OPP 34
0
94.4%
(00:06) Shotgun #5 B.Woodson pass incomplete deep right to #22 E.Heidenreich thrown to USF00, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 27FUMBLE2 plays · 19 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
87.6%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short middle to #11 K.Singleton caught at USF43, for 19 yards to the Navy47 lateral to #80 J.Porter for 6 yards gain to the USF45 lateral to #25 N.Davenport for 8 yards gain to the Navy47 fumbled by #25 N.Davenport at Navy47 recovered by Navy #7 K.Abraham at Navy47, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:14
(06:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Davenport pass complete deep left to #16 J.Koger caught at Navy00, for 29 yards to the Navy00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:14, 1ST DOWN #7 N.Gramatica kick attempt failed (H: #37 C.Leon, LS: #95 G.Cates)
-28
TD · Q4 1:55
Mudia Reuben 41 Yd pass from Byrum Brown (Byrum Brown Pass to Keshaun Singleton for Two-Point Conversion)
-27.6
TD · Q4 13:59
(14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 60 yards gain to the Navy00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:59, 1ST DOWN #6 M.Reuben pass attempt Successful
-23.2