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UNT

North Texas 53 at UAB 24

UAB
2025 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025 · Protective Stadium
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:25 · (00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass incomplete short left to #1 M.Coleman thrown to UAB38, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 88Home team on offense−28.8Pregame prior−23.5Score differential−12.2Garbage-time factor−4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:11: (03:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 11 yards gain to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:11, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UAB Offside declined #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates) — UNT win probability +3.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:34: (05:43) No Huddle #7 J.Kitna pass complete short middle to #6 B.Hawkins Jr. caught at UNT14, for 32 yards to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:34, 1ST DOWN #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #27 P.Foley, LS: #47 C.Moser) — UAB win probability +4.1 pts (now 10%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:55: (12:03) #15 R.Burton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:55 #6 B.Hawkins Jr. pass attempt Successful — UAB win probability +6.6 pts (now 13%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:37: (09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short left to #10 W.Young caught at UAB08, for 7 yards to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:37 #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates) — UNT win probability +5.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 6:37: (06:37) #39 J.Delange field goal attempt from 46 yards GOOD (H: #27 P.Foley, LS: #47 C.Moser), clock 06:37 — UAB win probability +2.4 pts (now 7%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:43UNT 4th & 1 at UAB 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    84.3%−0.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    84.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:20UAB 4th & 2 at UAB 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:41UAB 4th & 2 at UNT 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    10.6%−0.3
    62% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:23UNT 4th & 6 at UAB 28, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:01UAB 4th & 2 at UNT 17, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−4.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:25UNT 4th & 6 at UAB 44, up 24
    Close callWent for it · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    94.0%
    27% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:37UAB 4th & 10 at UNT 28, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−3.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:44UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 46, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:32UAB 4th & 1 at UNT 7, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:22UAB 4th & 2 at UNT 45, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.9
    25% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:43UNT 4th & 1 at UAB 33, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UNT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 8:48UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:15UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:11UNT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:07UNT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:34UAB Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:55UAB Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    9.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    9.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:37UNT Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:26UNT Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:00UAB Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.0%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:00UNT Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:5987% → 86%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
12.9%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #10 W.Young caught at UNT21, for 2 yards to the UNT27 (#29 T.McDaniel)Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
13.0%
(14:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush left for 4 yards gain to the UNT31 (#99 E.Smalls)Similar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
13.2%
(14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short left to #22 L.Sides caught at UNT35, for 7 yards to the UNT38 (#13 T.Crumpley), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
13.3%
(13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UNT48 (#13 T.Crumpley; #14 J.Vessel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
13.5%
(13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short middle to #10 W.Young caught at UAB40, for 15 yards to the UAB37 (#20 A.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
13.6%
(13:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #4 C.Dorner caught at UAB25, for 8 yards to the UAB29 (#23 D.Lee)Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 2
OPP 29
0
13.8%
(12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 0 yards to the UAB29 (#5 E.Toussom; #59 C.Burge)Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+1
13.9%
(12:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB28 (#90 Z.Johnson)Similar
Q1 11:43
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+2
14.2%
(11:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UAB26 (#14 J.Vessel; #55 J.Peterson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
14.3%
(11:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short left to #21 K.Sibley caught at UAB31, for 1 yard loss to the UAB27 (#5 E.Toussom)Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 11
OPP 27
+5
14.6%
(10:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Sibley rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UAB22 (#99 E.Smalls)Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+18
14.8%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short left to #6 T.Williams III caught at UAB20, for 18 yards to the UAB04 (#13 T.Crumpley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
14.8%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Sibley rush right for 4 yards loss to the UAB08 (#29 T.McDaniel) PENALTY UAB Illegal Substitution 2 yards from UAB04 to UAB02. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
15.0%
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB01 (#4 A.Morrison)Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
14.1%
(08:52) Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:48 #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2INT
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:4015% → 16%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
14.6%
(08:42) Shotgun #3 I.Jacobs rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UAB31 (#90 E.Day)Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+8
14.8%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short right to #4 J.Jackson caught at UAB28, for 8 yards to the UAB39 (#0 W.Jones II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
15.0%
(07:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush left for 15 yards gain to the UNT46 (#0 W.Jones II), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-39
15.6%
(07:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass intercepted by #1 D.Fisher at UNT05 #1 D.Fisher return 39 yards to the UNT44 (#0 I.Hooks)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 2:3085% → 87%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
14.6%
(06:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #10 W.Young caught at UNT40, for 3 yards to the UNT47 (#0 D.Hightower; #5 E.Toussom)Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+5
14.7%
(06:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush left for 5 yards gain to the UAB48 (#5 E.Toussom), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+10
14.9%
(05:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UAB38 (#11 P.Fisher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+34
15.0%
(05:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #10 W.Young caught at UAB35, for 34 yards to the UAB04 (#1 S.Bryant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
15.0%
(04:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 0 yards to the UAB04 (#99 E.Smalls)Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
13.1%
(04:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:15 #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
13.6%
(04:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 S.Beebe rush middle for 0 yards to the UAB22 fumbled by #11 S.Beebe at UAB22 forced by #32 E.Wesloski recovered by UNT #6 T.Fields at UAB22, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Fumble". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5TD
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:2587% → 90%
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
13.1%
(03:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass incomplete short middle to #22 L.Sides thrown to UNT20 broken up by #24 T.WatsonSimilar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
13.2%
(03:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass incomplete deep left to #22 L.Sides thrown to UAB00Similar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+11
13.2%
(03:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short middle to #1 M.Coleman caught at UAB15, for 11 yards to the UAB11 (#20 A.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
9.9%
(03:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 11 yards gain to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:11, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UAB Offside declined #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6DOWNS
17 plays · 50 yds · 6:1611% → 10%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
10.9%
(03:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush left for 9 yards gain to the UAB29 (#2 D.Armstead)Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+4
10.9%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UAB33 (#98 S.Clements; #6 T.Fields), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
10.7%
PENALTY UAB False Start (#77 L.Moore) 5 yards from UAB33 to UAB28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 15
OWN 28
0
10.5%
(01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete short right to #0 I.Hooks thrown to UAB36Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 15
OWN 28
+6
10.4%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short left to #0 I.Hooks caught at UAB34, for 6 yards to the UAB34 (#2 D.Armstead), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 0:54
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+7
10.4%
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short left to #18 X.Daisy caught at UAB41, for 7 yards to the UAB41 (#2 D.Armstead)Similar
Q1 0:20
4TH & 2
OWN 41
+13
10.5%
(00:20) #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 13 yards gain to the UNT46 (#12 P.Smith-Young), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
10.7%
(14:59) Shotgun #7 J.Kitna rush left for 1 yard gain to the UNT45 (#90 E.Day)Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
10.5%
(14:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete deep right to #0 I.Hooks thrown to UNT10Similar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+10
10.4%
(14:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short middle to #0 I.Hooks caught at UNT35, for 10 yards to the UNT35 (#0 W.Jones II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
10.6%
(13:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass complete short right to #11 S.Beebe caught at UNT34, for 7 yards to the UNT28 (#32 E.Wesloski), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+5
10.6%
PENALTY UAB False Start (#77 L.Moore) 5 yards from UNT28 to UNT33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
10.5%
(12:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete deep left to #6 B.Hawkins Jr. thrown to UNT12Similar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+6
10.3%
(12:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short right to #18 X.Daisy caught at UNT27, for 6 yards to the UNT27 (#1 D.Fisher)Similar
Q2 11:41
4TH & 2
OPP 27
-3
10.3%
(11:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 I.Jacobs rush left for 3 yards loss to the UNT30 (#98 S.Clements), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 0:1892% → 94%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+61
8.3%
(11:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete deep middle to #10 W.Young caught at UAB20, for 61 yards to the UAB09 (#11 P.Fisher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
6.1%
(11:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:07 #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:236% → 10%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.2%
(11:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short middle to #11 S.Beebe caught at UAB21, for 0 yards to the UAB25 (#3 E.Jackson)Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
5.8%
(10:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short left to #18 X.Daisy caught at UAB39, for 16 yards to the UAB41 (#2 D.Armstead; #12 P.Smith-Young), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
6.2%
(09:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete short middle to #0 I.Hooks thrown to UNT46Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
5.9%
(09:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 I.Jacobs rush left for 3 yards gain to the UAB44 (#90 E.Day)Similar
Q2 8:51
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+8
5.8%
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short middle to #17 E.Lagg caught at UAB50, for 8 yards to the UNT48 (#14 Q.Hammonds), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
6.1%
(08:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short middle to #4 J.Jackson caught at UNT48, for 3 yards to the UNT45 (#1 D.Fisher)Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+9
6.0%
(07:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UNT36 (#3 E.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
6.0%
(07:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush right for 1 yard loss to the UNT37 (#40 K.Huddleston)Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+5
5.7%
(06:25) No Huddle #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNT32 (#42 B.Knox)Similar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+32
9.8%
(05:43) No Huddle #7 J.Kitna pass complete short middle to #6 B.Hawkins Jr. caught at UNT14, for 32 yards to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:34, 1ST DOWN #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #27 P.Foley, LS: #47 C.Moser)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9FG
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:4593% → 93%
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
6.9%
(05:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker rush right for 0 yards to the UAB42 (#0 D.Hightower), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+10
6.8%
(04:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UAB32 (#29 T.McDaniel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
6.6%
(04:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass incomplete short left to #10 W.Young thrown to UAB30Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
6.6%
(04:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass incomplete short middle to #24 C.Hawkins thrown to UAB32Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+4
6.8%
(04:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker rush right for 4 yards gain to the UAB28 (#1 S.Bryant)Similar
Q2 3:23
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+46
6.9%
(03:23) #40 K.Nguma field goal attempt from 46 yards GOOD (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates), clock 03:23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10DOWNS
11 plays · 58 yds · 2:159% → 9%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
8.6%
(03:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush left for 4 yards gain to the UAB29 (#3 E.Jackson; #6 T.Fields)Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
8.4%
(02:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short middle to #6 B.Hawkins Jr. caught at UAB39, for 11 yards to the UAB40 (#3 E.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
8.8%
(02:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB41 (#3 E.Jackson; #9 J.Durgan)Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-2
9.1%
(01:59) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush left for 2 yards loss to the UAB39 (#14 Q.Hammonds)Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+36
8.5%
(01:53) Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete deep middle to #6 B.Hawkins Jr. caught at UNT39, for 36 yards to the UNT25 (#1 D.Fisher), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
9.9%
(01:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush left for 5 yards gain to the UNT20 (#3 E.Jackson)Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
9.3%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete deep right to #0 I.Hooks thrown to UNT00 broken up by #30 B.Allen Jr.Similar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+3
8.8%
(01:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short left to #3 I.Jacobs caught at UNT24, for 3 yards to the UNT17 (#32 E.Wesloski), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 2
OPP 17
0
8.9%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete short middle to #18 X.Daisy thrown to UNT16 QB hurried by #6 T.Fields, TURNOVER ON DOWNS. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete short middle to #18 X.Daisy thrown to UNT16 QB hurried by #6 T.Fields, TURNOVER ON DOWNS)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11DOWNS
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:2295% → 95%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+35
5.0%
(00:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #4 C.Dorner caught at UNT30, for 35 yards to the UAB48 (#11 P.Fisher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
4.8%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass incomplete short left to #22 L.Sides thrown to UAB30Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
5.2%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UAB44 (#29 T.McDaniel)Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
5.2%
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass incomplete short right to #4 C.Dorner thrown to UAB25Similar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
5.5%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass incomplete short left to #1 M.Coleman thrown to UAB38, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:158% → 8%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
8.3%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete deep middle to #0 I.Hooks thrown to UNT25Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-4
8.3%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna sacked for loss of 8 yards to the UAB36 (#98 S.Clements, #90 E.Day)Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 18
OWN 36
+29
7.5%
(00:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush left for 29 yards gain to the UNT35 (#14 Q.Hammonds), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:507% → 13%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
7.2%
(14:56) Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short right to #4 J.Jackson caught at UAB20, for 3 yards loss to the UAB22 (#1 D.Fisher)Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+15
7.0%
(14:27) Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short left to #6 B.Hawkins Jr. caught at UAB35, for 15 yards to the UAB37 (#0 W.Jones II; #14 Q.Hammonds), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+58
7.5%
(13:56) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush right for 58 yards gain to the UNT05 (#2 D.Armstead), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
8.7%
(13:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNT04 (#40 K.Huddleston)Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
6.8%
(12:45) Shotgun #3 I.Jacobs rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNT01 (#32 E.Wesloski; #0 W.Jones II)Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
13.4%
(12:03) #15 R.Burton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:55 #6 B.Hawkins Jr. pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 2:0091% → 96%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
9.1%
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 17 yards gain to the UAB32 (#0 D.Hightower), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
9.0%
(11:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UAB24 (#9 D.Warren)Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+4
8.8%
(10:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UAB20 (#0 D.Hightower; #9 D.Warren), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
8.7%
(10:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #10 W.Young caught at UAB21, for 13 yards to the UAB07 (#17 R.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
3.6%
(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short left to #10 W.Young caught at UAB08, for 7 yards to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:37 #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 2:504% → 7%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
4.3%
(09:34) No Huddle #11 S.Beebe rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UAB28 (#42 B.Knox)Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
4.3%
(09:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short right to #17 E.Lagg caught at UAB31, for 6 yards to the UAB34 (#1 D.Fisher), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
4.4%
(08:30) #7 J.Kitna rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UAB36 (#32 E.Wesloski; #9 J.Durgan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
4.2%
(07:51) No Huddle #7 J.Kitna pass complete short middle to #18 X.Daisy caught at UNT47, for 21 yards to the UNT43 (#6 T.Fields; #32 E.Wesloski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
4.1%
(06:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete short right to #0 I.Hooks thrown to UNT25 PENALTY UNT Pass Interference (#0 W.Jones II) 15 yards from UNT43 to UNT28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
4.5%
(06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete short left to #0 I.Hooks thrown to UNT23Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
4.3%
(06:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete short left to #17 E.Lagg thrown to UNT20 broken up by #0 W.Jones IISimilar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
4.1%
(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete short left to #0 I.Hooks thrown to UNT25 broken up by #30 B.Allen Jr. QB hurried by #90 E.DaySimilar
Q3 6:37
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
6.5%
(06:37) #39 J.Delange field goal attempt from 46 yards GOOD (H: #27 P.Foley, LS: #47 C.Moser), clock 06:37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0195% → 99%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
4.8%
(06:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short middle to #18 T.Lewis caught at UNT27, for 15 yards to the UNT40 (#16 I.Crozier), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
3.9%
(06:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNT42 (#6 C.Pitcher)Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+4
3.6%
(05:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush right for 4 yards gain to the UNT46 (#16 I.Crozier; #15 J.Rogers)Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+21
3.1%
(05:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #24 C.Hawkins caught at UNT47, for 21 yards to the UAB33 (#0 D.Hightower), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
2.9%
(04:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 16 yards gain to the UAB17 (#20 A.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
2.8%
(04:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short left to #1 M.Coleman caught at UAB20, for 11 yards to the UAB06 (#14 J.Vessel), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UAB Illegal Substitution declinedSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
2.7%
(04:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB05 (#9 D.Warren; #34 J.Allen)Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
1.3%
(03:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:26 #10 W.Young pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 6:171% → 2%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
1.0%
(03:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UAB24 (#6 T.Fields; #95 R.Vargas Jr.)Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+16
0.9%
(02:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short middle to #0 I.Hooks caught at UAB34, for 16 yards to the UAB40 (#1 D.Fisher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
0.9%
(02:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Elder rush right for 4 yards gain to the UAB44 (#25 K.Lewis; #6 T.Fields)Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+2
0.8%
(01:32) Shotgun #3 I.Jacobs rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UAB46 (#3 E.Jackson)Similar
Q3 0:57
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
0.8%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete deep middle to #18 X.Daisy thrown to UNT30Similar
Q3 0:44
4TH & 4
OWN 46
+8
0.8%
(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short middle to #0 I.Hooks caught at UNT46, for 8 yards to the UNT46 (#14 Q.Hammonds), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
0.9%
(00:12) Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short right to #18 X.Daisy caught at UNT33, for 13 yards to the UNT33 (#25 K.Lewis), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
0.9%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete short right to #18 X.Daisy thrown to UNT20 broken up by #2 D.Armstead QB hurried by #90 E.Day PENALTY UAB Ineligible Downfield on Pass declinedSimilar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
0.9%
(14:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 I.Jacobs rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNT31 (#26 S.Burrell)Similar
Q4 13:52
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+15
0.7%
(14:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short middle to #6 B.Hawkins Jr. caught at UNT16, for 15 yards to the UNT16 (#12 P.Smith-Young), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
0.7%
(13:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete short left to #12 J.Elder thrown to UNT00Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
0.7%
(13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete short right to #0 I.Hooks thrown to UNT00Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+5
0.7%
PENALTY UNT Offside (#90 E.Day) 5 yards from UNT16 to UNT11. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+4
0.7%
(13:27) Shotgun #3 I.Jacobs rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNT07 (#8 R.Outland Jr.)Similar
Q4 12:32
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+1
0.5%
(12:38) #7 J.Kitna rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNT06 (#40 K.Huddleston; #98 S.Clements), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
2.4%
(12:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 I.Jacobs rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:00 #7 J.Kitna pass attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18INT
10 plays · 42 yds · 3:302% → 2%
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
2.1%
(11:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete deep left to #0 I.Hooks thrown to UNT10Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-10
2.1%
(11:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna sacked for loss of 10 yards to the UAB37 (#40 K.Huddleston)Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 20
OWN 37
+18
1.8%
(11:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short middle to #6 B.Hawkins Jr. caught at UAB48, for 18 yards to the UNT45 (#3 E.Jackson)Similar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+10
2.0%
(10:28) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UNT35 (#6 T.Fields; #2 D.Armstead), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
2.1%
(09:46) Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short right to #0 I.Hooks caught at UNT29, for 11 yards to the UNT24 (#14 Q.Hammonds; #0 W.Jones II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
2.2%
(09:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete short left thrown to UNT20 QB hurried by #32 E.WesloskiSimilar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+13
2.1%
(09:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 S.Beebe rush middle for 13 yards gain to the UNT11 (#14 Q.Hammonds), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
2.1%
(08:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass intercepted by #0 W.Jones II at UNT01 QB hurried by #93 T.Washington #0 W.Jones II return 0 yards to the. The previous play is under automatic review - "Interception". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19TD
9 plays · 99 yds · 5:0599% → 100%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
1.3%
(08:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 0 yards to the UNT01 (#5 E.Toussom; #55 J.Peterson)Similar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+6
1.3%
(07:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UNT07 (#9 D.Warren; #55 J.Peterson)Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+51
1.2%
(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush right for 51 yards gain to the UAB42 (#23 D.Lee; #21 J.Baka), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
0.8%
(06:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Sibley rush middle for 0 yards to the UAB42 (#5 E.Toussom; #9 D.Warren)Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+8
0.8%
(05:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short left to #10 W.Young caught at UAB45, for 8 yards to the UAB34 (#20 A.Brown)Similar
Q4 4:29
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+1
0.7%
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB33 (#58 J.Mason; #34 J.Allen)Similar
Q4 3:43
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+3
0.6%
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UAB30 (#21 J.Baka), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
0.1%
(03:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete deep right to #4 C.Dorner caught at UAB05, for 30 yards to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:00, 1ST DOWN #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20INT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
0.1%
(02:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short right to #11 S.Beebe caught at UAB39, for 3 yards to the UAB43 (#6 T.Fields; #30 B.Allen Jr.)Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+2
0.1%
(02:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 I.Jacobs rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UAB45 (#40 K.Huddleston)Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+7
0.1%
(02:00) Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short right to #0 I.Hooks caught at UNT48, for 7 yards to the UNT48 (#3 E.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
0.1%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete short left to #12 J.Elder thrown to UNT40Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
0.1%
(01:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short right to #11 S.Beebe caught at UNT43, for 5 yards to the UNT43 (#25 K.Lewis), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
0.1%
(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass intercepted by #0 W.Jones II at UNT30, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21DOWNS
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:34100% → 100%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
0.1%
(01:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Gray rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNT33 (#0 D.Hightower; #9 D.Warren)Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
0.1%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Gray rush left for 6 yards gain to the UNT39 (#59 C.Burge)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:55
(12:03) #15 R.Burton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:55 #6 B.Hawkins Jr. pass attempt Successful
+6.6
TD · Q3 9:37
(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short left to #10 W.Young caught at UAB08, for 7 yards to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:37 #40 K.Nguma kick attempt good (H: #41 S.Evans, LS: #48 C.Yates)
-5.1
TD · Q2 5:34
(05:43) No Huddle #7 J.Kitna pass complete short middle to #6 B.Hawkins Jr. caught at UNT14, for 32 yards to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:34, 1ST DOWN #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #27 P.Foley, LS: #47 C.Moser)
+4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com