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TEM

Temple 13 at Army 14

ARMY
2025 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of GameFG-2.1ARMY 62.1%(00:24) #98 C.Hardin field goalattempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #7D.Atton, LS: #49 I.Hayse), clock 00:22AWAY 13 - HOME 14 · Q3 0:22
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:22 · (00:24) #98 C.Hardin field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #49 I.Hayse), clock 00:22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factor
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Pregame prior+3.9Home team on offense−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Score differential+0.1Blowout margin+0.7Garbage-time factor+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:19: (11:21) #33 J.Rendina rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Temple00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:19, 1ST DOWN #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #38 C.Allan, LS: #55 O.Walter) — ARMY win probability +5.4 pts (now 71%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:03: (04:07) Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass complete short left to #1 C.Chase caught at Army01, for 2 yards to the Army00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:03, 1ST DOWN #98 C.Hardin kick attempt good (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #49 I.Hayse) — TEM win probability +10.3 pts (now 41%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:39: (06:44) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 3 yards gain to the Temple00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:39 #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #38 C.Allan, LS: #55 O.Walter) — ARMY win probability +15.6 pts (now 74%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:53: Timeout Temple, clock 01:53 — TEM win probability +10.0 pts (now 33%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:47: (01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush left for 4 yards gain to the Temple04, End Of Play — ARMY win probability +12.9 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 7 of 7TEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 10:21TEM 4th & 5 at ARMY 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    31.2%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:23ARMY 4th & 10 at ARMY 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:08TEM 4th & 6 at ARMY 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    31.3%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:03TEM 4th & 2 at ARMY 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    26.0%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    20.2%−7.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:26ARMY 4th & 2 at TEM 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    65.3%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    64.8%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:59ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    55.2%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:45TEM 4th & 3 at ARMY 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    30.8%−1.9
    45% to make
    Punt
    29.8%−2.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:22TEM 4th & 6 at ARMY 13, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    20.9%−10.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:53ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 34, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    64.0%−2.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:22ARMY 4th & 14 at ARMY 46, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−4.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:53TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 8, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−2.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:27ARMY 4th & 1 at TEM 35, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    59.2%−8.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    56.6%−11.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:57ARMY 4th & 1 at TEM 14, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    64.8%−9.6
    84% to make
    Punt
    39.2%−35.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 11:19ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:03TEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:39ARMY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1PUNT
12 plays · 49 yds · 4:2735% → 35%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
65.3%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass incomplete short right to #11 K.Hollawayne thrown to Temple20 QB hurried by #40 E.FordSimilar
Q1 14:39
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+10
65.3%
(14:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass complete short left to #1 C.Chase caught at Temple12, for 10 yards to the Temple18 (#6 J.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
65.3%
(14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Ducker rush left for 11 yards gain to the Temple29 (#30 C.Matteson; #6 J.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
65.2%
(13:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush right for 11 yards gain to the Temple40 (#14 G.Shields), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
65.0%
(13:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Ducker rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Temple42 (#51 A.Thomas; #96 D.Stowers)Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+5
64.9%
(12:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Temple47 (#53 K.Fortner)Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+5
64.8%
(11:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass complete short right to #1 C.Chase caught at Army48, for 5 yards to the Army48 (#30 C.Matteson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
64.6%
(11:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Ducker rush right for 5 yards gain to the Army43 (#51 A.Thomas; #53 K.Fortner)Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
64.4%
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass incomplete short left to #1 C.Chase thrown to Army44Similar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
64.5%
(10:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass incomplete short right to #1 C.Chase thrown to Army35 broken up by #51 A.ThomasSimilar
Q1 10:21
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
64.7%
(10:30) #7 D.Atton punt 42 yards to the Army01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 3:5865% → 64%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
64.9%
PENALTY Army False Start (#71 P.Gennarelli). NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
64.9%
(10:20) No Huddle #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Army03 (#18 K.Surprenant; #92 K.Poteat)Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+5
64.8%
(09:41) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 5 yards gain to the Army08 (#24 B.Osueke)Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+3
64.4%
(09:06) #3 C.Hellums rush left for 3 yards gain to the Army11 (#33 C.Ordonez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
64.6%
(08:20) #3 C.Hellums rush left for 4 yards gain to the Army15 (#18 K.Surprenant)Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+1
64.5%
(07:39) #15 N.Short rush right for 1 yard gain to the Army16 (#24 B.Osueke)Similar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+5
64.1%
(06:59) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Army25 (#16 P.Lawton) PENALTY Army Illegal Shift 5 yards from Army16 to Army11. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
64.0%
(06:34) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass incomplete short left to #15 N.Short thrown to Army23Similar
Q1 6:23
4TH & 10
OWN 11
0
63.8%
(06:26) #46 J.Wagenseller punt 39 yards to the Army50 fair catch by #17 J.Bermudez at Temple50Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3MISSED FG
5 plays · 24 yds · 2:0637% → 36%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
50
+20
63.5%
(06:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Ducker rush middle for 20 yards gain to the Army30 (#40 E.Ford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
63.1%
(05:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Ducker rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Army26 (#51 A.Thomas)Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
62.9%
(05:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Ducker rush middle for 0 yards to the Army26 (#51 A.Thomas; #96 D.Stowers)Similar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
63.0%
(04:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass incomplete short right to #11 K.Hollawayne thrown to Army15 QB hurried by #53 K.FortnerSimilar
Q1 4:08
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+45
63.8%
(04:12) #98 C.Hardin field goal attempt from 45 yards NO GOOD (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #49 I.Hayse), clock 04:08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 7:4364% → 71%
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
64.3%
(04:06) No Huddle #33 J.Rendina rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Army36 (#18 K.Surprenant; #15 J.Morton)Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+2
65.0%
(03:32) #33 J.Rendina rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Army38 (#35 T.Whitaker; #56 K.Miles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
64.7%
(02:48) #27 S.Howard rush left for 2 yards gain to the Army40 (#15 J.Morton)Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+10
65.0%
(02:09) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush left for 10 yards gain to the Army50 (#33 C.Ordonez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
50
+3
65.4%
(01:21) Shotgun #8 H.Reed rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Temple47 (#88 A.Beckwith; #98 J.Auzenne)Similar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+6
65.6%
(00:38) #15 N.Short rush left for 6 yards gain to the Temple41 (#15 J.Morton), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 0:06
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+5
65.3%
(00:06) #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Temple39 (#88 A.Beckwith; #8 A.Haye, Jr.) PENALTY Temple Offside (#8 A.Haye, Jr.) 5 yards from Temple41 to Temple36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
65.6%
(15:00) No Huddle #33 J.Rendina rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Temple31 (#18 K.Surprenant; #44 T.Alualu)Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+5
65.9%
(14:16) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Temple26 (#56 K.Miles; #8 A.Haye, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
66.0%
(13:29) Shotgun #8 H.Reed rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Temple24 (#8 A.Haye, Jr.; #15 J.Morton)Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+12
66.0%
(12:44) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 12 yards gain to the Temple12 (#44 T.Alualu; #19 J.Castleberry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
66.0%
(11:44) No Huddle #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Temple09 (#18 K.Surprenant) PENALTY Temple Offside (#45 C.Calhoun) 5 yards from Temple12 to Temple07. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 5
OPP 7
+7
71.4%
(11:21) #33 J.Rendina rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Temple00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:19, 1ST DOWN #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #38 C.Allan, LS: #55 O.Walter)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:0631% → 41%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
69.3%
(11:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 H.Smith rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Temple29 (#52 K.Harris-Miller)Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
69.0%
(10:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass incomplete short left to #17 J.Bermudez thrown to Temple32 QB hurried by #53 K.FortnerSimilar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
69.8%
(10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass complete short right to #1 C.Chase caught at Temple34, for 6 yards to the Temple35 (#30 C.Matteson; #7 J.Mayes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
69.4%
(09:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Temple38 (#7 J.Mayes; #51 A.Thomas)Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+7
69.0%
(09:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Chase rush right for 7 yards gain to the Temple45 (#53 K.Fortner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
68.9%
(08:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass complete short middle to #17 J.Bermudez caught at Army39, for 18 yards to the Army37 (#20 C.Larkin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
68.7%
(07:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass complete short left to #1 C.Chase caught at Army38, for 8 yards to the Army29 (#6 J.Williams; #14 G.Shields)Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+8
67.5%
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Army21 (#20 C.Larkin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
67.5%
(06:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush right for 11 yards gain to the Army10 (#7 J.Mayes), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
67.6%
(05:54) PENALTY Temple False Start (#77 D.Barajas) 5 yards from Army10 to Army15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+6
68.0%
(05:27) Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Army09 (#40 E.Ford; #96 D.Stowers)Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
67.7%
(04:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass complete short left to #26 K.Mason caught at Army08, for 7 yards to the Army02 (#10 C.Searight)Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
69.0%
(04:12) Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass incomplete short right to #88 P.Clarke thrown to Army03Similar
Q2 4:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
58.7%
(04:07) Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass complete short left to #1 C.Chase caught at Army01, for 2 yards to the Army00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:03, 1ST DOWN #98 C.Hardin kick attempt good (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #49 I.Hayse)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6DOWNS
13 plays · 28 yds · 3:3063% → 63%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.0%
(04:03) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush left for 4 yards gain to the Army29 (#39 J.Jones)Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
63.3%
(03:25) Shotgun #33 J.Rendina rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Army33 (#33 C.Ordonez)Similar
Q2 2:49
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
62.7%
(02:53) #3 C.Hellums rush right for 3 yards gain to the Army36 (#15 J.Morton; #33 C.Ordonez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
63.4%
(02:08) #3 C.Hellums rush right for 0 yards to the Army36 (#39 J.Jones), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
62.9%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 N.Short rush right for 2 yards gain to the Army38 (#19 J.Castleberry)Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+10
62.3%
(01:19) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 10 yards gain to the Army48 (#15 J.Morton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
64.7%
(01:02) No Huddle #15 N.Short rush right for 4 yards gain to the Temple48 (#16 P.Lawton)Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+1
65.1%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 1 yard gain to the Temple47 (#19 J.Castleberry), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+3
64.4%
(00:53) Shotgun #8 H.Reed rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Temple44 (#92 K.Poteat)Similar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 2
OPP 44
-3
62.9%
(00:26) No Huddle #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 3 yards loss to the Temple47 (#30 J.Brown), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 0:1945% → 51%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
55.3%
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass complete short right to #20 J.Ducker caught at Temple50, for 5 yards to the Army48 (#14 G.Shields), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+17
54.5%
(00:20) Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass complete short right to #88 P.Clarke caught at Army35, for 17 yards to the Army31, out of bounds at Army31, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
53.4%
(00:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass complete short right to #20 J.Ducker caught at Army28, for 4 yards to the Army27, out of bounds at Army27Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+21
53.0%
(00:10) Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass complete short middle to #17 J.Bermudez caught at Army09, for 21 yards to the Army06 (#51 A.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
52.9%
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass incomplete short middle to #88 P.Clarke thrown to Army00. Army is challenging the ruling on the field - "Game Clock". PLAY STANDSSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
49.3%
(00:00) #98 C.Hardin field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #49 I.Hayse), clock 00:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 8:1656% → 74%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
56.2%
(15:00) #33 J.Rendina rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Army29 (#33 C.Ordonez; #56 K.Miles)Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
55.8%
(14:26) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush left for 4 yards gain to the Army33 (#18 K.Surprenant)Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
56.2%
(13:53) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush left for 5 yards gain to the Army38 (#16 P.Lawton; #8 A.Haye, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
56.1%
(13:09) Shotgun #34 C.Smith rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Army44 (#92 K.Poteat; #15 J.Morton)Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
57.7%
(12:29) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush left for 0 yards to the Army44 (#25 C.Stewart)Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+3
56.5%
(11:51) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Army47 (#24 B.Osueke; #56 K.Miles)Similar
Q3 10:59
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+26
55.5%
(11:14) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass complete short right to #44 P.Poloskey caught at Temple36, for 26 yards to the Temple27 QB hurried by #25 C.Stewart (#33 R.Kusch), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
59.2%
(10:33) Shotgun #34 C.Smith rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Temple23 (#19 J.Castleberry)Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+2
59.2%
(09:56) #27 S.Howard rush left for 2 yards gain to the Temple21 (#24 B.Osueke)Similar
Q3 9:06
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+4
57.3%
(09:12) #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Temple17 (#23 Z.Powell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
58.9%
(08:36) Shotgun #34 C.Smith rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Temple08 (#19 J.Castleberry)Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+4
58.8%
(08:02) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 4 yards gain to the Temple04 (#44 T.Alualu), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
58.7%
(07:19) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Temple03 (#23 Z.Powell; #99 C.Jones)Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
74.3%
(06:44) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 3 yards gain to the Temple00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:39 #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #38 C.Allan, LS: #55 O.Walter)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9FG
13 plays · 68 yds · 6:0431% → 38%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
68.9%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Ducker rush right for 5 yards gain to the Temple24 (#6 J.Williams)Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+34
68.5%
(05:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass complete short left to #88 P.Clarke caught at Temple43, for 34 yards to the Army42 (#51 A.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
64.9%
(05:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass incomplete short right to #20 J.Ducker thrown to Army44 QB hurried by #14 G.Shields and #52 K.Harris-MillerSimilar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
65.2%
(05:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Army41 (#98 D.Gray; #52 K.Harris-Miller)Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+6
65.9%
(04:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass complete short left to #11 K.Hollawayne caught at Army35, for 6 yards to the Army35, out of bounds at Army35Similar
Q3 3:45
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+5
66.8%
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass complete short right to #1 C.Chase caught at Army30, for 5 yards to the Army30 (#6 J.Williams), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
63.0%
(03:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass complete short right to #20 J.Ducker caught at Army33, for 9 yards to the Army21 (#99 J.Bousum)Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+4
62.5%
(02:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon rush right for 4 yards gain to the Army17 (#53 K.Fortner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
62.5%
(01:49) Shotgun #6 E.Simon rush right for 5 yards gain to the Army12 (#6 J.Williams)Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 5
OPP 12
0
62.4%
(01:12) No Huddle #6 E.Simon pass incomplete short right to #20 J.Ducker thrown to Army12 QB hurried by #47 N.NixonSimilar
Q3 1:01
3RD & 5
OPP 12
-1
64.1%
(01:06) No Huddle #20 J.Ducker rush middle for 1 yard loss to the Army13 (#51 A.Thomas; #10 C.Searight)Similar
Q3 0:22
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
62.1%
(00:24) #98 C.Hardin field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #49 I.Hayse), clock 00:22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 21 yds · 3:5465% → 62%
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
64.8%
(00:20) #3 C.Hellums rush right for 3 yards gain to the Army28 (#25 C.Stewart; #33 C.Ordonez)Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
65.1%
(14:59) #3 C.Hellums rush right for 4 yards gain to the Army32 (#33 C.Ordonez)Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
64.5%
(14:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 2 yards gain to the Army34 (#18 K.Surprenant)Similar
Q4 13:53
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
63.1%
(14:05) #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Army35 (#92 K.Poteat; #25 C.Stewart), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
65.2%
(13:22) #3 C.Hellums pass incomplete deep middle to #11 T.Olawole thrown to Temple30, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Temple Pass Interference (#13 D.Chavis) 15 yards from Army35 to Army50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
50
+10
69.0%
(13:11) #3 C.Hellums rush right for 6 yards gain to the Temple44 (#15 J.Morton), out of bounds PENALTY Army Holding (#85 N.Prior) 10 yards from Army50 to Army40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+5
65.7%
(12:58) #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Army45 (#30 C.Greene; #44 T.Alualu)Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+1
65.6%
(12:11) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Army46 (#88 A.Beckwith; #98 J.Auzenne)Similar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 14
OWN 46
0
63.8%
(11:34) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass incomplete short right to #27 S.Howard thrown to Temple42Similar
Q4 11:22
4TH & 14
OWN 46
0
62.0%
(11:27) #46 J.Wagenseller punt 46 yards to the Temple08 fair catch by #1 C.Chase at Temple08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2337% → 34%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
63.4%
(11:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 H.Smith rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Temple09 (#52 K.Harris-Miller)Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 9
OWN 9
-1
63.8%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Douglas rush left for 1 yard loss to the Temple08 (#20 C.Larkin), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 10
OWN 8
0
65.5%
(10:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass incomplete short right to #11 K.Hollawayne thrown to Temple19 QB hurried by #98 D.GraySimilar
Q4 9:53
4TH & 10
OWN 8
0
66.5%
(10:04) #7 D.Atton punt 50 yards to the Army42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12END OF GAME
24 plays · 53 yds · 9:1468% → 86%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
68.0%
(09:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #34 C.Smith rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Army47 (#92 K.Poteat)Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+9
69.1%
(09:14) #15 N.Short rush right for 9 yards gain to the Temple44 (#15 J.Morton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
70.0%
(08:33) #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Temple43 (#33 C.Ordonez)Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+4
70.4%
(07:52) Shotgun #15 N.Short rush left for 4 yards gain to the Temple39 (#15 J.Morton)Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+4
69.5%
(07:08) #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Temple35 (#52 R.Sykes; #39 J.Jones)Similar
Q4 6:27
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+1
67.6%
(06:35) #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Temple34 (#88 A.Beckwith; #30 C.Greene), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
71.9%
(05:55) #34 C.Smith rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Temple28 (#30 C.Greene; #88 A.Beckwith)Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+2
72.0%
(05:10) #3 C.Hellums rush left for 2 yards gain to the Temple26 (#33 C.Ordonez)Similar
Q4 4:26
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+3
70.1%
(04:31) #33 J.Rendina rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Temple23 (#25 C.Stewart), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
72.2%
(03:48) #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Temple19 (#92 K.Poteat)Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+3
74.8%
(03:04) #33 J.Rendina rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Temple16 (#33 C.Ordonez; #92 K.Poteat)Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+2
73.7%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Temple14 (#92 K.Poteat)Similar
Q4 1:57
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+1
72.8%
(02:00) No Huddle #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Temple13 (#8 A.Haye, Jr.; #92 K.Poteat), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
77.5%
(01:57) No Huddle #33 J.Rendina rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Temple08 (#18 K.Surprenant)Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+4
80.4%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush left for 4 yards gain to the Temple04, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+3
77.6%
(01:46) #3 C.Hellums rush left for 3 yards gain to the Temple01, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
86.3%
(01:10) Kneel down by #3 C.Hellums at Temple03 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
86.3%
(00:31) Kneel down by #3 C.Hellums at Temple05 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:39
(06:44) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 3 yards gain to the Temple00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:39 #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #38 C.Allan, LS: #55 O.Walter)
+15.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:47
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush left for 4 yards gain to the Temple04, End Of Play
+12.9
TD · Q2 4:03
(04:07) Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass complete short left to #1 C.Chase caught at Army01, for 2 yards to the Army00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:03, 1ST DOWN #98 C.Hardin kick attempt good (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #49 I.Hayse)
-10.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com