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TULN

Tulane 38 at Memphis 32

MEM
2025 · Week 11 · Nov 7, 2025 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:08 · (09:20) #30 L.Carrigan punt 47 yards to the TUL16 #1 O.Hayes return 16 yards to the TUL32, out of bounds at TUL32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Home team on offense−27.1Score differential−14.1Garbage-time factor−5.0Pregame prior+4.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:26: (09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete deep right to #5 A.Brown-Stephens caught at MEM12, for 54 yards to the MEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:26, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Durkin kick attempt good (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #57 J.Arredondo) — TULN win probability +9.8 pts (now 60%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:43: (00:48) Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short right to #7 S.Preston caught at MEM00, for 5 yards to the MEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:43 #91 P.Durkin kick attempt good (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #57 J.Arredondo) — TULN win probability +16.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:57: (15:00) #22 F.Peasant rush left for 1 yard gain to the TUL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:57 #32 M.Adcock pass attempt Successful — MEM win probability +17.5 pts (now 26%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:57: Timeout Tulane, clock 14:57 — TULN win probability +9.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:49: (07:55) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete deep right to #12 B.Kluse caught at TUL00, for 25 yards to the TUL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:49, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TUL Offside declined #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #46 T.Gillis, LS: #40 J.Zarut) — MEM win probability +25.8 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 7TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:42MEM 4th & 5 at MEM 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:53MEM 4th & 6 at MEM 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:46TULN 4th & 20 at TULN 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−1.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:45MEM 4th & 14 at MEM 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−2.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:27MEM 4th & 26 at TULN 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−1.5
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    39.1%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:51TULN 4th & 2 at MEM 12, up 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.1%−1.2
    86% to make
    Punt
    69.9%−10.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:08MEM 4th & 13 at MEM 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−2.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:41TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 35, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:38MEM 4th & 5 at TULN 12, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    6.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−5.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:53TULN 4th & 5 at TULN 30, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:56TULN 4th & 14 at TULN 21, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−6.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:59TULN 4th & 18 at TULN 28, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−5.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:55MEM 4th & 8 at TULN 35, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    13.0%−5.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−7.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 4TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:33TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:38MEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:58TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:55MEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:02TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 9:26TULN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:43TULN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:57MEM Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    13.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    12.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:49MEM Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.0%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:0660% → 60%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
60.1%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #0 J.Thompson caught at MEM29, for 5 yards to the MEM30 (#3 J.White)Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
60.2%
(14:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #4 C.Braham Jr. caught at MEM28, for 4 yards to the MEM34 (#4 C.Rodgers)Similar
Q1 13:47
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
60.2%
(13:57) Shotgun #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the MEM34 (#15 S.Howard; #10 G.Henderson)Similar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+4
60.1%
PENALTY MEM False Start (#61 C.Adams) 4 yards from MEM34 to MEM30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 12:42
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
60.0%
(12:53) #30 L.Carrigan punt 35 yards to the TUL35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2TD
1 play · 65 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
59.2%
(12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete deep middle to #7 S.Preston caught at MEM21, for 65 yards to the MEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:33, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Durkin kick attempt good (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #57 J.Arredondo)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3TD
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:4259% → 60%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.2%
(12:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short middle to #15 C.Ross caught at MEM23, for 2 yards to the MEM27 (#4 C.Rodgers)Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
59.1%
(12:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 14 yards gain to the MEM41 (#32 B.Despanie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
59.2%
(11:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass incomplete short right to #9 J.Hawkins thrown to MEM48Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
59.0%
(11:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MEM45 (#15 S.Howard)Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+55
60.4%
(10:47) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete deep middle to #9 J.Hawkins caught at TUL12, for 55 yards to the TUL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:38, 1ST DOWN #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #46 T.Gillis, LS: #40 J.Zarut)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4TD
11 plays · 35 yds · 5:3540% → 45%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
60.1%
(10:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Gordon rush middle for 12 yards gain to the TUL37 (#31 D.Ward; #2 C.Logan Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
59.9%
(10:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Gordon rush left for 19 yards gain (8) to the MEM44 (#24 K.Wilson), out of bounds PENALTY TUL Holding (#5 A.Brown-Stephens) 10 yards from TUL45 to TUL35Similar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 12
OWN 35
+9
60.1%
(09:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short right to #5 A.Brown-Stephens caught at TUL44, for 9 yards to the TUL44 (#5 C.Bracy)Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+13
59.5%
(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short left to #88 J.Reid caught at TUL45, for 13 yards to the MEM43, out of bounds at MEM43, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
59.3%
(08:22) Shotgun #2 Z.Mobley rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MEM39 (#3 S.Brumfield; #6 E.Roussaw Jr.)Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+24
59.0%
(07:51) Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete deep right to #83 B.Bohanon caught at MEM19, for 24 yards to the MEM15 (#1 O.Cooper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
58.8%
(07:08) Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff rush left for 4 yards gain to the MEM11 (#24 K.Wilson; #2 C.Logan Jr.)Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+4
58.7%
(06:29) Shotgun #25 J.McClure rush left for 4 yards gain to the MEM07 (#3 S.Brumfield; #31 D.Ward)Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+2
58.9%
(05:45) Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff rush left for 2 yards gain to the MEM05 (#7 D.Watts), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
54.8%
(05:00) Shotgun #23 J.Gordon rush left for 5 yards gain to the MEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:58 #91 P.Durkin kick attempt good (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #57 J.Arredondo)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5956% → 55%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
56.2%
(04:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis sacked for loss of 9 yards to the MEM16 (#0 M.Westmoreland)Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+4
55.8%
(04:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short left to #5 S.Smith caught at MEM10, for 4 yards to the MEM20 (#4 C.Rodgers), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+9
55.1%
(03:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #4 C.Braham Jr. caught at MEM29, for 9 yards to the MEM29 (#8 I.Wadsworth)Similar
Q1 2:53
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-2
54.7%
(03:03) #30 L.Carrigan punt 47 yards to the TUL24 #1 O.Hayes return for loss of 2 yards to the TUL22 (#1 C.Smith)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:0045% → 45%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
54.9%
(02:47) Shotgun #6 B.Sullivan pass incomplete short left to #1 O.Hayes thrown to TUL25 QB hurried by #7 D.WattsSimilar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
54.9%
(02:45) Shotgun #23 J.Gordon rush middle for 0 yards to the TUL22 (#99 P.Walker)Similar
Q1 1:56
3RD & 10
OWN 22
-10
54.7%
(02:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff sacked for loss of 10 yards to the TUL12 (#9 W.Whitlow Jr.) PENALTY TUL Intentional Grounding (#12 J.Retzlaff)Similar
Q1 1:46
4TH & 20
OWN 12
+7
55.1%
(01:53) #38 A.Clark punt 61 yards to the MEM27 #5 S.Smith return 7 yards to the MEM34 (#42 M.Williams)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 7TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 1:4355% → 62%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+21
54.7%
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Smith rush middle for 21 yards gain to the TUL45 (#7 K.Adams III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
55.9%
(01:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Smith rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TUL46 (#15 S.Howard)Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+4
55.4%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #4 C.Braham Jr. caught at TUL49, for 4 yards to the TUL42 (#95 T.McAlpine; #10 G.Henderson)Similar
Q1 0:04
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+21
55.3%
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. caught at TUL35, for 21 yards to the TUL21 (#1 J.Tchienchou), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
62.1%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Maiden rush middle for 21 yards gain to the TUL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:55, 1ST DOWN #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #46 T.Gillis, LS: #40 J.Zarut)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4941% → 50%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
59.1%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Barnes III rush left for 4 yards loss to the TUL21 (#1 O.Cooper)Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+15
59.3%
(14:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short middle to #7 S.Preston caught at TUL36, for 15 yards to the TUL36 (#1 O.Cooper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
58.5%
(13:41) No Huddle #23 J.Gordon rush left for 6 yards gain to the TUL42 (#1 O.Cooper; #3 S.Brumfield)Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+24
57.5%
(13:10) No Huddle #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete deep left to #83 B.Bohanon caught at MEM36, for 24 yards to the MEM34, out of bounds at MEM34, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
56.8%
(12:51) No Huddle #12 J.Retzlaff rush right for 1 yard gain to the MEM33 (#3 S.Brumfield; #5 C.Bracy)Similar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+33
50.1%
(12:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff rush left for 33 yards gain to the MEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:02, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Durkin kick attempt good (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #57 J.Arredondo)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:1553% → 51%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
52.5%
(12:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush left for 2 yards gain to the MEM27, out of bounds at MEM27 PENALTY MEM Personal Foul (#4 C.Braham Jr.) 12 yards from MEM25 to MEM13. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 22
OWN 13
0
52.1%
(11:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass incomplete short left to #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. thrown to MEM20Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 22
OWN 13
0
52.1%
(11:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass incomplete short right thrown to MEM23 QB hurried by #15 S.HowardSimilar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+8
51.3%
(11:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. rush middle for 8 yards gain to the MEM21 (#4 C.Rodgers)Similar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
50.6%
(10:53) #30 L.Carrigan punt 44 yards to the TUL35 fair catch by #1 O.Hayes at TUL35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 1:1049% → 60%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
50.7%
(10:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.McClure rush left for 5 yards gain to the TUL40 (#7 D.Watts)Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+6
49.5%
(10:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short right to #5 A.Brown-Stephens caught at TUL42, for 6 yards to the TUL46 (#2 C.Logan Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
39.7%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete deep right to #5 A.Brown-Stephens caught at MEM12, for 54 yards to the MEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:26, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Durkin kick attempt good (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #57 J.Arredondo)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 11FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 4:5142% → 41%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
41.9%
(09:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #4 C.Braham Jr. caught at MEM29, for 15 yards to the MEM40, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
42.7%
(08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MEM41 (#42 M.Williams)Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+10
42.0%
(08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #9 J.Hawkins caught at TUL49, for 10 yards to the TUL49, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
46.2%
(07:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush right for 11 yards gain to the TUL38, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
45.9%
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #6 M.Bussey caught at TUL32, for 6 yards to the TUL32 (#20 J.Johnson)Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+17
46.5%
(06:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. rush left for 17 yards gain to the TUL15, out of bounds at TUL15, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
46.2%
(06:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TUL16 (#48 J.Garner; #42 M.Williams)Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 11
OPP 16
0
45.8%
(05:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass incomplete short right to #4 C.Braham Jr. thrown to TUL00. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 11
OPP 16
-10
44.2%
(05:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis sacked for loss of 10 yards to the TUL26 (#15 S.Howard)Similar
Q2 4:34
4TH & 21
OPP 26
+5
40.7%
(04:35) PENALTY MEM False Start (#68 J.Young) 5 yards from TUL26 to TUL31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:27
4TH & 26
OPP 31
+49
40.5%
(04:32) #44 G.Spetic field goal attempt from 49 yards GOOD (H: #46 T.Gillis, LS: #40 J.Zarut), clock 04:27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 3:3558% → 80%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
42.5%
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short left to #11 T.Shackelford caught at TUL30, for 6 yards to the TUL31 (#31 D.Ward)Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
41.1%
(03:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Gordon rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TUL32 (#3 S.Brumfield)Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
41.6%
J. Retzlaff pass to Z. Lewis Jr. for 9 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
39.8%
(02:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass incomplete short right to #88 J.Reid thrown to TUL44Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+11
39.9%
(02:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short middle to #83 B.Bohanon caught at TUL50, for 11 yards to the MEM48 (#3 S.Brumfield), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
39.2%
(02:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Gordon rush left for 7 yards gain to the MEM41 (#2 C.Logan Jr.)Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+2
38.2%
(02:00) Shotgun #23 J.Gordon rush left for 2 yards gain to the MEM39 (#3 S.Brumfield)Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+4
37.9%
PENALTY TUL False Start (#11 T.Shackelford) 4 yards from MEM39 to MEM43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+21
37.0%
(01:23) #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short right to #11 T.Shackelford caught at MEM41, for 21 yards to the MEM22 (#21 S.Israel), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
36.4%
(01:16) PENALTY TUL False Start (#50 J.Hall) 5 yards from MEM22 to MEM27. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 15
OPP 27
+22
36.3%
(01:16) Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete deep left to #15 Z.Lewis Jr. caught at MEM05, for 22 yards to the MEM05, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
20.0%
(00:48) Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short right to #7 S.Preston caught at MEM00, for 5 yards to the MEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:43 #91 P.Durkin kick attempt good (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #57 J.Arredondo)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13END OF HALF
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:3327% → 26%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
26.9%
(00:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #4 C.Braham Jr. caught at MEM30, for 7 yards to the MEM32 (#15 S.Howard). #15 S.Howard injured on the playSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-8
27.4%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis sacked for loss of 8 yards to the MEM24 (#9 J.Norman)Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+12
25.1%
(00:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #4 C.Braham Jr. caught at MEM35, for 12 yards to the MEM36 (#5 H.Dyson III), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+10
27.1%
(00:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short left to #12 B.Kluse caught at MEM48, for 10 yards to the TUL48 (#4 C.Rodgers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
26.2%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. caught at MEM36, for 6 yards to the MEM42, out of bounds at MEM42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14FG
7 plays · 63 yds · 3:0477% → 87%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
22.8%
(15:00) Shotgun #23 J.Gordon rush middle for 13 yards gain to the TUL38 (#1 O.Cooper; #24 K.Wilson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+42
21.2%
(14:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete deep middle to #83 B.Bohanon caught at MEM42, for 42 yards to the MEM20 (#7 D.Watts; #24 K.Wilson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
20.0%
(14:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff rush middle for 3 yards loss to the MEM23 (#3 S.Brumfield)Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 13
OPP 23
+5
20.0%
(13:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Gordon rush left for 5 yards gain to the MEM18 (#3 S.Brumfield; #5 C.Bracy)Similar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+6
19.3%
(12:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short right to #15 Z.Lewis Jr. caught at MEM18, for 6 yards to the MEM12 (#2 C.Logan Jr.)Similar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+30
12.9%
(11:55) #91 P.Durkin field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #57 J.Arredondo), clock 11:51Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:3419% → 16%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
18.8%
(11:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short left to #9 J.Hawkins caught at MEM28, for 15 yards to the MEM40 (#1 J.Tchienchou), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
19.4%
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush middle for 4 yards loss to the MEM36 (#42 M.Williams)Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+8
17.4%
(10:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #4 C.Braham Jr. caught at MEM33, for 8 yards to the MEM44, out of bounds at MEM44Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-7
17.3%
(09:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis sacked for loss of 7 yards to the MEM37 (#4 C.Rodgers)Similar
Q3 9:08
4TH & 13
OWN 37
+16
15.5%
(09:20) #30 L.Carrigan punt 47 yards to the TUL16 #1 O.Hayes return 16 yards to the TUL32, out of bounds at TUL32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:1890% → 93%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
10.0%
(09:07) Shotgun #2 Z.Mobley rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TUL36 (#24 K.Wilson)Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+2
9.1%
(08:26) Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff rush right for 2 yards gain to the TUL38 (#23 C.Law)Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+2
8.2%
(07:37) Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff rush left for 2 yards gain to the TUL40 (#5 C.Bracy; #23 C.Law)Similar
Q3 6:48
4TH & 2
OWN 40
+5
7.5%
(06:48) PENALTY TUL Delay Of Game 5 yards from TUL40 to TUL35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:41
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
7.4%
(06:48) #38 A.Clark punt 42 yards to the MEM23 fair catch by #5 S.Smith at MEM23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17TD
16 plays · 76 yds · 6:2812% → 26%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
11.8%
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #0 J.Thompson caught at MEM28, for 5 yards to the MEM28 (#13 T.Smith)Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+14
9.5%
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short left to #9 J.Hawkins caught at MEM33, for 14 yards to the MEM42 (#42 M.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
9.6%
(05:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short left to #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. caught at MEM38, for 4 yards to the MEM46 (#4 C.Rodgers), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+6
9.0%
(05:09) Shotgun #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TUL48 (#42 M.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
8.9%
(04:27) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass incomplete short left to #4 C.Braham Jr. thrown to TUL40 QB hurried by #4 C.Rodgers PENALTY TUL Roughing The Passer (#4 C.Rodgers) 15 yards from TUL48 to TUL33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
9.5%
(04:20) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass incomplete deep right to #12 B.Kluse thrown to TUL01 PENALTY TUL Offside (#0 M.Westmoreland) 5 yards from TUL33 to TUL28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 5
OPP 28
+4
9.5%
(04:16) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #9 J.Hawkins caught at TUL29, for 4 yards to the TUL24 (#11 E.Shine)Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+7
8.7%
(03:37) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush right for 7 yards gain to the TUL17 (#1 J.Tchienchou), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
8.5%
(02:56) Shotgun #7 A.Maiden rush right for 2 yards gain to the TUL15 (#42 M.Williams; #48 J.Garner)Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+5
8.0%
(02:16) Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TUL10 (#42 M.Williams)Similar
Q3 1:32
3RD & 3
OPP 10
-2
7.2%
(01:38) Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 2 yards loss to the TUL12 (#6 K.Hamilton; #1 J.Tchienchou)Similar
Q3 0:38
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+11
6.6%
(00:55) Shotgun #7 A.Maiden rush left for 11 yards gain to the TUL01 (#32 B.Despanie; #20 J.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
9.6%
(00:03) Shotgun #7 A.Maiden rush left for 0 yards to the TUL01 (#90 E.Nairne; #98 P.Drammeh)Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
26.2%
(15:00) #22 F.Peasant rush left for 1 yard gain to the TUL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:57 #32 M.Adcock pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5884% → 84%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.1%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass incomplete short left to #5 A.Brown-Stephens thrown to TUL40Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
16.1%
(14:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.McClure rush left for 5 yards gain to the TUL30 (#7 D.Watts; #24 K.Wilson)Similar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
16.3%
(14:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass incomplete deep right to #5 A.Brown-Stephens thrown to TUL50 broken up by #9 W.Whitlow Jr.Similar
Q4 13:53
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
16.3%
(14:01) #38 A.Clark punt 51 yards to the MEM19 fair catch by #5 S.Smith at MEM19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 5:5220% → 41%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
20.0%
(13:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short middle to #0 J.Thompson caught at MEM26, for 7 yards to the MEM26 (#42 M.Williams)Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+8
20.1%
(13:10) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #5 S.Smith caught at MEM21, for 8 yards to the MEM34 (#7 K.Adams III; #30 J.Moore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
19.9%
(12:36) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short left to #12 B.Kluse caught at MEM31, for 8 yards to the MEM42 (#6 K.Hamilton)Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+2
20.8%
(12:06) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short left to #4 C.Braham Jr. caught at MEM41, for 2 yards to the MEM44, out of bounds at MEM44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-11
20.1%
(11:29) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis sacked for loss of 11 yards to the MEM33 (#6 K.Hamilton)Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 21
OWN 33
+8
15.9%
(10:47) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short left to #4 C.Braham Jr. caught at MEM31, for 8 yards to the MEM41 (#29 S.Hopper)Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 13
OWN 41
+32
15.3%
(10:09) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete deep right to #4 C.Braham Jr. caught at TUL27, for 32 yards to the TUL27 (#3 J.White), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
20.1%
(09:32) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush right for 0 yards to the TUL27 (#20 J.Johnson), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
18.2%
PENALTY MEM False Start (#70 P.Mitchell) 5 yards from TUL27 to TUL32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 15
OPP 32
+7
15.4%
(08:28) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #12 B.Kluse caught at TUL25, for 7 yards to the TUL25 (#20 J.Johnson)Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+25
41.3%
(07:55) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete deep right to #12 B.Kluse caught at TUL00, for 25 yards to the TUL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:49, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TUL Offside declined #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #46 T.Gillis, LS: #40 J.Zarut)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:5374% → 76%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
25.8%
(07:49) PENALTY TUL False Start (#50 J.Hall) 5 yards from TUL25 to TUL20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
26.7%
(07:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #83 B.Bohanon rush left for 1 yard gain to the TUL21 (#5 C.Bracy; #24 K.Wilson)Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
22.6%
(07:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass incomplete deep left to #5 A.Brown-Stephens thrown to MEM25Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
23.4%
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass incomplete short right to #83 B.Bohanon thrown to TUL33 broken up by #5 C.BracySimilar
Q4 6:56
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
24.4%
(07:03) #38 A.Clark punt 43 yards to the MEM36 #5 S.Smith return 0 yards to the MEM36 (#13 T.Smith) PENALTY MEM Holding (#4 S.Blair) 10 yards from MEM36 to MEM26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21INT
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:3732% → 30%
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
31.8%
(06:56) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis sacked for loss of 10 yards to the MEM16 (#5 H.Dyson III)Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 20
OWN 16
0
29.7%
(06:20) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass intercepted by #1 J.Tchienchou at TUL35 QB hurried by #4 C.Rodgers, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:0979% → 77%
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
20.6%
(06:08) No Huddle #23 J.Gordon rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TUL38 (#3 S.Brumfield)Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+10
18.5%
(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short middle to #23 J.Gordon caught at TUL43, for 7 yards to the TUL45 (#3 S.Brumfield; #6 E.Roussaw Jr.) PENALTY TUL Holding (#38 A.Clark) 10 yards from TUL38 to TUL28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 18
OWN 28
0
21.4%
(05:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass incomplete short right to #83 B.Bohanon thrown to TUL47 QB hurried by #6 E.Roussaw Jr.Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 18
OWN 28
0
21.9%
(05:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass incomplete short right to #15 Z.Lewis Jr. thrown to TUL41 broken up by #1 O.CooperSimilar
Q4 4:59
4TH & 18
OWN 28
0
22.9%
(05:03) #38 A.Clark punt 44 yards to the MEM28 fair catch by #5 S.Smith at MEM28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23DOWNS
11 plays · 37 yds · 3:0429% → 22%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
29.1%
(04:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Maiden rush left for 6 yards gain to the MEM34 (#3 J.White) PENALTY MEM Holding 10 yards from MEM28 to MEM18. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 20
OWN 18
0
27.9%
(04:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Maiden pass incomplete short right to #4 C.Braham Jr. thrown to MEM25 broken up by #4 C.RodgersSimilar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 20
OWN 18
+11
26.5%
(04:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Maiden pass complete short left to #12 B.Kluse caught at MEM29, for 11 yards to the MEM29, out of bounds at MEM29Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+22
24.5%
(04:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Maiden pass complete deep right to #12 B.Kluse caught at TUL50, for 22 yards to the TUL49, out of bounds at TUL49, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TUL Offside declinedSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
32.5%
(04:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Maiden pass complete short right to #4 C.Braham Jr. caught at TUL42, for 12 yards to the TUL37, out of bounds at TUL37, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
33.5%
(03:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Maiden rush right for 1 yard gain to the TUL36 (#7 K.Adams III)Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+6
32.9%
(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Maiden pass complete short right to #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. caught at TUL35, for 6 yards to the TUL30 (#42 M.Williams)Similar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 3
OPP 30
0
33.9%
(02:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the TUL30 (#29 S.Hopper)Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+5
27.9%
PENALTY MEM False Start (#12 B.Kluse) 5 yards from TUL30 to TUL35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 8
OPP 35
0
22.4%
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Maiden pass incomplete deep left to #4 C.Braham Jr. thrown to TUL05, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24END OF GAME
11 plays · 13 yds · 1:2190% → 95%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
9.6%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Gordon rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TUL39 (#7 D.Watts)Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
7.8%
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TUL41 (#3 S.Brumfield; #7 D.Watts)Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+10
6.3%
(01:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff rush right for 10 yards gain to the MEM49, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
5.0%
(01:39) Kneel down by #12 J.Retzlaff at MEM50 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 11
50
-1
5.1%
(00:55) Kneel down by #12 J.Retzlaff at TUL49 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 12
OWN 49
-1
5.5%
(00:30) Kneel down by #12 J.Retzlaff at TUL48 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:49
(07:55) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete deep right to #12 B.Kluse caught at TUL00, for 25 yards to the TUL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:49, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TUL Offside declined #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #46 T.Gillis, LS: #40 J.Zarut)
+25.8
TD · Q4 14:57
(15:00) #22 F.Peasant rush left for 1 yard gain to the TUL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:57 #32 M.Adcock pass attempt Successful
+17.5
TD · Q2 0:43
(00:48) Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short right to #7 S.Preston caught at MEM00, for 5 yards to the MEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:43 #91 P.Durkin kick attempt good (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #57 J.Arredondo)
-16.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com