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MEM

Memphis 38 at Rice 14

RICE
2025 · Week 10 · Oct 31, 2025 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:26 · (07:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short left to #86 J.Falk caught at Rice35, for 9 yards to the Rice36 (#31 D.Ward), 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 101Home team on offense−30.7Pregame prior−14.6Score differential−18.8Garbage-time factor−10.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:34: (02:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:34 #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #46 T.Gillis, LS: #40 J.Zarut) — MEM win probability +2.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:25: (12:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:25 #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #46 T.Gillis, LS: #40 J.Zarut) — MEM win probability +5.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:54: (07:54) No Huddle #22 F.Peasant rush left for 1 yard gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:54 #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #46 T.Gillis, LS: #40 J.Zarut) — MEM win probability +2.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:03: (02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short middle to #1 A.Turner caught at MEM00, for 12 yards to the MEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:03, 1ST DOWN #28 E.Gota kick attempt good (H: #91 A.Bacchetta, LS: #48 W.Freeman) — RICE win probability +4.6 pts (now 11%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:49: (00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:49 #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #46 T.Gillis, LS: #40 J.Zarut) — MEM win probability +1.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 8 of 10MEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:03RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:15RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:07MEM 4th & 6 at RICE 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:32RICE 4th & 18 at RICE 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−1.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:33RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:36RICE 4th & 9 at MEM 38, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    6.8%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00MEM 4th & 3 at RICE 19, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.7%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−2.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:58MEM 4th & 2 at MEM 43, up 24
    Close callPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:17RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 17, down 24
    Close callPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:14MEM 4th & 12 at MEM 33, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:26RICE 4th & 2 at RICE 27, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.8%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:58RICE 4th & 1 at MEM 43, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−1.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:10RICE 4th & 2 at RICE 32, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:47MEM 4th & 14 at MEM 46, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:12MEM 4th & 4 at MEM 31, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:04RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:35MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:34MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:25MEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:54MEM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:03RICE Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:49MEM Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:28RICE Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4917% → 18%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
17.3%
(14:56) Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Rice31 (#3 S.Brumfield; #24 K.Wilson)Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
17.5%
(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Rice32 (#3 S.Brumfield)Similar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-1
17.9%
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short left to #6 D.Dickmann caught at Rice31, for 1 yard loss to the Rice31 (#5 C.Bracy)Similar
Q1 13:03
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
18.1%
(13:06) #91 A.Bacchetta punt 38 yards to the MEM31 fair catch by #5 S.Smith at MEM31 PENALTY Rice Kick Catch Interference (#29 D.Hook) 15 yards from MEM31 to MEM46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 2:1482% → 82%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
18.1%
(12:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. caught at MEM46, for 12 yards to the Rice42 (#75 B.Boenisch), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
18.3%
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. rush right for 1 yard loss to the Rice43 (#29 D.Hook)Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 11
OPP 43
0
18.5%
(11:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush middle for 0 yards to the Rice43 (#4 M.Williams; #3 T.Morris)Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+5
18.9%
PENALTY MEM Illegal Snap (#52 Y.Walker) 5 yards from Rice43 to Rice48. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 16
OPP 48
+30
19.1%
(11:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short middle to #4 C.Braham Jr. caught at Rice31, for 30 yards to the Rice18 (#5 J.Harper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
18.0%
(10:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush left for 18 yards gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:35, 1ST DOWN #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #46 T.Gillis, LS: #40 J.Zarut)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1118% → 19%
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
18.4%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush left for 5 yards gain to the Rice30 (#31 D.Ward; #29 J.Denis)Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
18.7%
(09:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush right for 2 yards loss to the Rice28 (#99 P.Walker)Similar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
18.6%
(09:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass incomplete short right to #17 L.Ransom-Goelz thrown to Rice41 QB hurried by #7 D.WattsSimilar
Q1 9:15
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
18.5%
(09:15) #91 A.Bacchetta punt 48 yards to the MEM24, out of bounds at MEM24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:5581% → 81%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
18.7%
(09:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #6 M.Bussey caught at MEM24, for 1 yard to the MEM25 (#7 O.Porter)Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+12
18.8%
(08:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short left to #5 S.Smith caught at MEM30, for 12 yards to the MEM37 (#3 T.Morris; #16 C.Nwajuaku), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
18.7%
(07:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush left for 1 yard loss to the MEM36 (#7 O.Porter)Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+12
18.9%
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. rush right for 12 yards gain to the MEM48 (#4 M.Williams; #5 J.Harper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
18.8%
(06:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short middle to #5 S.Smith caught at MEM47, for 1 yard loss to the MEM47, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+5
19.0%
(05:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #22 F.Peasant caught at Rice48, for 5 yards to the Rice48 (#7 O.Porter)Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
19.0%
(05:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass incomplete deep middle to #6 M.Bussey thrown to Rice05Similar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
19.3%
(05:07) #30 L.Carrigan punt 35 yards to the Rice13, out of bounds at Rice13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · -6 yds · 1:0920% → 20%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
19.7%
(05:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush right for 2 yards gain to the Rice15 (#6 E.Roussaw Jr.)Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+1
19.9%
(04:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 D.Alexander rush right for 1 yard gain to the Rice16 (#6 E.Roussaw Jr.; #9 W.Whitlow Jr.)Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 7
OWN 16
-9
19.7%
(03:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush left for 9 yards loss to the Rice07 fumbled by #4 C.Jenkins at Rice10 forced by #24 K.Wilson recovered by MEM #24 K.Wilson at Rice07, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6TD
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:5581% → 83%
Q1 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
19.1%
(03:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. rush right for 1 yard gain to the Rice06 (#75 B.Boenisch; #3 T.Morris)Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
19.2%
(03:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush left for 4 yards gain to the Rice02 (#27 J.Kane; #3 T.Morris)Similar
Q1 2:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
16.7%
(02:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:34 #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #46 T.Gillis, LS: #40 J.Zarut)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:5217% → 17%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
17.3%
(02:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush left for 2 yards gain to the Rice27 (#6 E.Roussaw Jr.; #5 C.Bracy)Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
17.4%
(01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush left for 0 yards to the Rice27 (#31 D.Ward)Similar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
17.1%
(01:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins sacked for loss of 10 yards to the Rice17 (#99 P.Walker, #93 J.Bell)Similar
Q1 0:32
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
17.1%
(00:32) #91 A.Bacchetta punt 49 yards to the MEM34 fair catch by #5 S.Smith at MEM34 PENALTY Rice Kick Catch Interference (#4 M.Williams) 15 yards from MEM34 to MEM49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8TD
7 plays · 51 yds · 3:0184% → 90%
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
16.5%
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short middle to #0 J.Thompson caught at Rice35, for 16 yards to the Rice35, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
16.3%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush right for 6 yards gain to the Rice29 (#5 J.Harper)Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+16
16.3%
(14:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush middle for 16 yards gain to the Rice13 (#0 A.Awe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
16.0%
(13:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Smith rush left for 0 yards to the Rice13 (#0 A.Awe; #57 A.Clemmons)Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+12
16.0%
(12:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush right for 12 yards gain to the Rice01 (#0 A.Awe; #5 J.Harper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.1%
(12:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:25 #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #46 T.Gillis, LS: #40 J.Zarut)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4412% → 12%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
12.0%
(12:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 D.Hardemann rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Rice27 (#3 S.Brumfield; #98 J.Marable)Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
11.8%
(11:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 D.Hardemann rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Rice30 (#1 O.Cooper; #3 S.Brumfield)Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-2
11.7%
(11:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush right for 2 yards loss to the Rice28 (#3 S.Brumfield)Similar
Q2 10:33
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
11.5%
(10:33) #91 A.Bacchetta punt 48 yards to the MEM24 #5 S.Smith return 0 yards to the MEM24 (#4 M.Williams; #30 C.Morgan) PENALTY MEM Holding (#33 D.Mathena) 10 yards from MEM24 to MEM14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 2:2690% → 94%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
9.9%
(10:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #6 M.Bussey caught at MEM26, for 12 yards to the MEM26 (#14 E.Dotson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+49
9.7%
(09:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short left to #8 B.Dorsey caught at MEM21, for 49 yards to the Rice25 (#14 E.Dotson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
9.2%
PENALTY Rice Roughing The Passer (#30 E.Morris) 13 yards from Rice25 to Rice12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
9.1%
(09:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. rush middle for 11 yards gain to the Rice01 (#4 M.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
8.7%
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 0 yards to the Rice01 (#0 A.Awe; #99 C.Clark-Jolivet)Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
8.7%
(08:24) #2 B.Lewis rush middle for 0 yards to the Rice01 (#75 B.Boenisch; #0 A.Awe)Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.4%
(07:54) No Huddle #22 F.Peasant rush left for 1 yard gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:54 #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #46 T.Gillis, LS: #40 J.Zarut)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11TD
15 plays · 78 yds · 5:427% → 11%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.7%
Q. Jackson run for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
6.5%
(06:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Rice26 (#5 C.Bracy)Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+20
6.2%
(06:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush middle for 20 yards gain to the Rice46 (#5 C.Bracy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
6.8%
(06:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short right to #6 D.Dickmann caught at Rice46, for 6 yards to the MEM48 (#29 J.Denis)Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
6.6%
(06:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush middle for 0 yards to the MEM48 (#24 K.Wilson; #99 P.Walker)Similar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+9
6.4%
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short right to #6 D.Dickmann caught at MEM45, for 9 yards to the MEM39 (#31 D.Ward), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
6.6%
(05:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush right for 2 yards gain to the MEM37 (#3 S.Brumfield; #99 P.Walker)Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
6.3%
(04:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass incomplete short left to #17 L.Ransom-Goelz thrown to MEM32Similar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 8
OPP 37
-1
5.9%
(04:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short right to #1 A.Turner caught at MEM38, for 1 yard loss to the MEM38 (#24 K.Wilson)Similar
Q2 3:36
4TH & 9
OPP 38
+11
6.3%
(03:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short left to #1 A.Turner caught at MEM27, for 11 yards to the MEM27 (#5 C.Bracy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
5.8%
(03:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short middle to #1 A.Turner caught at MEM28, for 7 yards to the MEM20 (#5 C.Bracy)Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+10
5.2%
PENALTY MEM Holding (#31 D.Ward) 10 yards from MEM20 to MEM10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
6.5%
(02:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush middle for 2 yards loss to the MEM12 (#24 K.Wilson)Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
11.1%
(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short middle to #1 A.Turner caught at MEM00, for 12 yards to the MEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:03, 1ST DOWN #28 E.Gota kick attempt good (H: #91 A.Bacchetta, LS: #48 W.Freeman)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12FG
15 plays · 46 yds · 1:5793% → 94%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
7.4%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #87 B.Anderson caught at MEM28, for 3 yards to the MEM28 (#4 M.Williams; #0 A.Awe)Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+24
7.4%
(01:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush middle for 24 yards gain to the Rice48 (#7 O.Porter; #14 E.Dotson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
6.8%
(01:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass incomplete short right to #4 C.Braham Jr. thrown to Rice40 QB hurried by #26 T.AnyanwuSimilar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+11
6.8%
(01:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #4 C.Braham Jr. caught at Rice43, for 11 yards to the Rice37 (#14 E.Dotson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
6.8%
(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short left to #12 B.Kluse caught at Rice26, for 11 yards to the Rice26 (#7 O.Porter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
6.5%
(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Rice23 (#0 A.Awe; #16 C.Nwajuaku)Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+10
6.1%
PENALTY MEM Holding (#78 T.Burke) 10 yards from Rice23 to Rice33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 17
OPP 33
+4
6.1%
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short left to #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. caught at Rice35, for 4 yards to the Rice29 (#0 A.Awe)Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 13
OPP 29
+10
5.8%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short middle to #32 M.Adcock caught at Rice22, for 10 yards to the Rice19 (#9 P.Stevenson; #0 A.Awe)Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+37
5.9%
Gianni Spetic 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5094% → 94%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
6.4%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush left for 9 yards gain to the MEM44 (#27 J.Kane; #3 T.Morris)Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 1
OWN 44
-1
5.6%
(14:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MEM43 (#99 C.Clark-Jolivet; #3 T.Morris)Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
6.1%
(13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the MEM43 (#29 D.Hook; #75 B.Boenisch)Similar
Q3 12:58
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
6.0%
(12:58) #30 L.Carrigan punt 47 yards to the Rice10 fair catch by #11 T.Thompson at Rice10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:346% → 6%
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
6.4%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Rice14 (#3 S.Brumfield; #31 D.Ward)Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+4
6.3%
(12:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Rice18 (#99 P.Walker)Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 2
OWN 18
-1
6.1%
(12:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short right to #6 D.Dickmann caught at Rice16, for 1 yard loss to the Rice17 (#5 C.Bracy)Similar
Q3 11:17
4TH & 3
OWN 17
0
5.9%
(11:17) #91 A.Bacchetta punt 48 yards to the MEM35, out of bounds at MEM35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:5295% → 96%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
4.8%
(11:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #6 M.Bussey caught at MEM37, for 4 yards to the MEM39 (#3 T.Morris; #29 D.Hook)Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-8
4.5%
(10:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis sacked for loss of 8 yards to the MEM31 (#75 B.Boenisch)Similar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+2
4.1%
(09:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short middle to #87 B.Anderson caught at MEM31, for 2 yards to the MEM33 (#0 A.Awe; #3 T.Morris)Similar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
4.1%
(09:16) #30 L.Carrigan punt 48 yards to the Rice19 fair catch by #11 T.Thompson at Rice19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16INT
15 plays · 37 yds · 7:105% → 3%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
4.7%
(09:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass incomplete short middle to #17 L.Ransom-Goelz thrown to Rice37 QB hurried by #10 I.GreenSimilar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+2
4.6%
(09:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 D.Alexander rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Rice21 (#31 D.Ward)Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+6
4.5%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short left to #22 R.Guillo caught at Rice26, for 6 yards to the Rice27 (#5 C.Bracy)Similar
Q3 7:26
4TH & 2
OWN 27
+9
4.3%
(07:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short left to #86 J.Falk caught at Rice35, for 9 yards to the Rice36 (#31 D.Ward), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
4.3%
(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush left for 12 yards gain to the Rice48, out of bounds at Rice48, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
4.2%
(06:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 D.Alexander rush left for 2 yards gain to the Rice50 (#29 J.Denis; #31 D.Ward)Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 8
50
+4
4.1%
(05:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 L.Ransom-Goelz rush left for 4 yards gain to the MEM46 (#31 D.Ward)Similar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+3
4.1%
(05:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 D.Alexander rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MEM43 (#3 S.Brumfield; #99 P.Walker)Similar
Q3 4:58
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+3
4.0%
(05:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 D.Alexander rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MEM40 (#5 C.Bracy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
3.9%
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 D.Hardemann rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MEM36 (#99 P.Walker; #24 K.Wilson)Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+17
4.0%
(03:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 D.Hardemann rush middle for 17 yards gain to the MEM19 (#31 D.Ward), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
4.1%
(03:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass incomplete short left to #10 Q.Jackson thrown to MEM00Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+15
4.0%
PENALTY Rice Personal Foul (#53 L.Miller) 15 yards from MEM19 to MEM34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 25
OPP 34
-10
3.8%
(02:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Dickmann rush left for 10 yards loss to the MEM44 (#9 W.Whitlow Jr.)Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 35
OPP 44
-23
3.3%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass intercepted by #1 O.Cooper at MEM35 #1 O.Cooper return 23 yards to the Rice42 (#1 A.Turner) PENALTY Rice Personal Foul (#1 A.Turner) 15 yards from Rice42 to Rice27, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17TD
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:0598% → 100%
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
2.2%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass incomplete short left to #12 B.Kluse thrown to Rice24Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
2.3%
(01:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass incomplete short left to #1 C.Smith thrown to Rice16Similar
Q3 1:19
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+25
2.2%
(01:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short middle to #4 C.Braham Jr. caught at Rice21, for 25 yards to the Rice02 (#4 M.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.5%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 G.Desrosiers Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:49 #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #46 T.Gillis, LS: #40 J.Zarut)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:251% → 1%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
0.6%
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Rice27 (#88 R.Buell; #3 S.Brumfield)Similar
Q3 0:03
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+3
0.6%
(00:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 D.Hardemann rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Rice30 (#6 E.Roussaw Jr.)Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+2
0.6%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 D.Hardemann rush right for 2 yards gain to the Rice32 (#29 J.Denis; #90 T.Burton)Similar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
0.5%
(14:14) #91 A.Bacchetta punt 59 yards to the MEM09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 4:1399% → 100%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
0.6%
(14:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush right for 11 yards gain to the MEM20 (#28 L.Johnson; #29 D.Hook), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
0.6%
(13:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #9 J.Hawkins caught at MEM35, for 19 yards to the MEM39, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
0.5%
(12:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush right for 4 yards gain to the MEM43 (#27 J.Kane; #29 D.Hook)Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+7
0.5%
(11:57) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush middle for 7 yards gain to the MEM50 (#75 B.Boenisch; #0 A.Awe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
50
0
0.4%
(11:20) Shotgun #5 S.Smith rush left for 0 yards to the MEM50 (#16 C.Nwajuaku; #57 A.Clemmons)Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 10
50
0
0.4%
(10:35) Shotgun #7 A.Maiden pass incomplete short left to #11 G.Caldwell thrown to Rice40Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 10
50
-4
0.4%
(10:28) Shotgun #7 A.Maiden sacked for loss of 4 yards to the MEM46 (#26 T.Anyanwu)Similar
Q4 9:47
4TH & 14
OWN 46
+7
0.4%
(09:47) #30 L.Carrigan punt 37 yards to the Rice17 #11 T.Thompson return 7 yards to the Rice24 (#1 C.Smith)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20TD
14 plays · 76 yds · 6:090% → 1%
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
0.3%
(09:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush left for 3 yards gain to the Rice27 (#1 O.Cooper; #10 I.Green)Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+6
0.3%
(09:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Rice33 (#1 O.Cooper)Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+2
0.2%
(08:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush right for 2 yards gain to the Rice35 (#3 S.Brumfield; #24 K.Wilson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
0.2%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Rice40 (#7 D.Watts; #88 R.Buell)Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
0.2%
(07:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Rice42 (#6 E.Roussaw Jr.)Similar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+43
0.2%
(06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short middle to #26 T.Byars caught at Rice40, for 43 yards to the MEM15 (#24 K.Wilson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
0.2%
(06:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MEM11 (#24 K.Wilson)Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+9
0.2%
(05:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush right for 9 yards gain to the MEM02 (#24 K.Wilson; #3 S.Brumfield), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
0.2%
(05:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush middle for 0 yards to the MEM02 (#24 K.Wilson; #31 D.Ward)Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
0.2%
(04:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins rush right for 1 yard loss to the MEM03 (#5 C.Bracy; #48 J.Flaker)Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
0.2%
(03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MEM02 (#3 S.Brumfield; #10 I.Green)Similar
Q4 3:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
0.1%
PENALTY MEM Holding (#29 J.Denis) 1 yard from MEM02 to MEM01, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.1%
(03:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:28 #82 C.Allen kick attempt good (H: #91 A.Bacchetta, LS: #48 W.Freeman)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:0699% → 100%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.7%
(03:23) Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MEM30 (#26 T.Anyanwu; #75 B.Boenisch)Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
0.6%
(02:36) Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MEM31 (#26 T.Anyanwu; #3 T.Morris)Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
0.5%
(01:55) Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 0 yards to the MEM31 (#0 A.Awe)Similar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
0.5%
(01:12) #30 L.Carrigan punt 38 yards to the Rice31 fair catch by #11 T.Thompson at Rice31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:511% → 1%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
0.7%
(01:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 D.Alexander rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Rice33 (#8 C.Burden; #33 D.Mathena)Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+5
0.7%
PENALTY Rice False Start (#71 C.Principe) 5 yards from Rice33 to Rice28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+3
0.5%
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Devillier rush right for 3 yards gain to the Rice31 (#48 J.Flaker; #21 S.Israel)Similar
Q4 0:09
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
0.5%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Devillier pass incomplete short left to #19 S.Pierre thrown to Rice36Similar
Q4 0:04
4TH & 10
OWN 31
-1
0.5%
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Devillier rush middle for 1 yard loss to the Rice30 (#33 D.Mathena; #44 R.Grimes II), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
0.4%
(00:02) Kneel down by #7 A.Maiden at Rice35 for loss of 5 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:25
(12:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:25 #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #46 T.Gillis, LS: #40 J.Zarut)
-5.9
TD · Q2 2:03
(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Jenkins pass complete short middle to #1 A.Turner caught at MEM00, for 12 yards to the MEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:03, 1ST DOWN #28 E.Gota kick attempt good (H: #91 A.Bacchetta, LS: #48 W.Freeman)
+4.6
TD · Q1 2:34
(02:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:34 #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #46 T.Gillis, LS: #40 J.Zarut)
-2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com