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ARMY

Army 17 at Tulane 24

TULN
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+39.7TULN 60.0%Jake Retzlaff pass complete to BryceBohanon for 12 yds for a TD (PatrickDurkin KICK)AWAY 17 - HOME 17 · Q4 1:54
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:54 · Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 12 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Pregame prior+0.9Home team on offense+3.7Score differential−1.1Garbage-time factor−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:31: Cale Hellums run for 1 yd for a TD (Dawson Jones KICK) — ARMY win probability +20.8 pts (now 59%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:52: Jake Retzlaff run for 37 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK) — TULN win probability +16.8 pts (now 69%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:54: Cale Hellums run for 1 yd for a TD (Dawson Jones KICK) — ARMY win probability +36.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:54: Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 12 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK) — TULN win probability +39.7 pts (now 60%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:27: Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Shazz Preston for 26 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK) — TULN win probability +35.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ARMY made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00ARMY 4th & 2 at ARMY 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 15:00ARMY 4th & 1 at TULN 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    24.1%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 15:00ARMY 4th & 2 at TULN 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    24.2%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:16ARMY 4th & 9 at TULN 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    26.3%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:37TULN 4th & 2 at ARMY 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.3%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    71.9%−0.4
    90% to make
    Punt
    69.8%−2.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:37ARMY 4th & 2 at ARMY 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.4%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:31ARMY 4th & 11 at TULN 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    31.6%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:49TULN 4th & 7 at ARMY 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    63.9%−4.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:23ARMY 4th & 4 at TULN 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−1.0
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    26.1%−4.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:47TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−1.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:35ARMY 4th & 12 at ARMY 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−3.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:35ARMY 4th & 12 at ARMY 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−3.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:54TULN 4th & 8 at ARMY 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    12.9%−3.0
    86% to make
    Punt
    8.5%−7.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:28ARMY 4th & 3 at ARMY 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−2.0
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q3 6:31ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:52TULN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:54ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:54TULN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.2%−2.5
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:27TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARMYDrive 1MISSED FG
22 plays · 48 yds · 11:4422% → 26%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.9%
Carson Smith run for 3 yds to the ARMY 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
77.9%
Noah Short run for no gain to the ARMY 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
77.9%
Shotgun Hellums,Cale pass incomplete deep middle to Anderson,Brady thrown to TLN44 PENALTY TLN Holding (Shine,E'zaiah) 10 yards from ARM28 to ARM38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
77.9%
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the ARMY 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+3
77.9%
Jake Rendina run for 3 yds to the ARMY 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+2
77.9%
Cale Hellums run for 2 yds to the ARMY 46Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+6
77.9%
Cale Hellums run for 6 yds to the TULN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
77.9%
Carson Smith run for 2 yds to the TULN 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+5
77.9%
Noah Short run for 5 yds to the TULN 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+2
77.9%
Cale Hellums run for 2 yds to the TULN 39Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+1
77.9%
Cale Hellums run for 1 yd to the TULN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
77.9%
Cale Hellums run for 4 yds to the TULN 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+4
77.9%
Noah Short run for 4 yds to the TULN 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 30
0
77.9%
Carson Smith run for no gain to the TULN 30Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+2
77.9%
Cale Hellums run for 2 yds to the TULN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-15
77.9%
(06:04) Shotgun Bartosh,Briggs rush middle for 0 yards to the TLN28 (Hamilton,Kameron; White,Javion) PENALTY ARM Chop Block (Appleton,Henry) 15 yards from TLN28 to TLN43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 25
OPP 43
+6
77.9%
Cale Hellums run for 6 yds to the TULN 37Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 19
OPP 37
+3
74.7%
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the TULN 34Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 16
OPP 34
+7
75.0%
Briggs Bartosh run for 7 yds to the TULN 27Similar
Q1 3:16
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+44
74.5%
Dawson Jones 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2DOWNS
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:3975% → 75%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
75.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 8 yds to the TULN 35Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+11
75.6%
Javin Gordon run for 11 yds to the TULN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
75.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Shazz Preston for 13 yds to the ARMY 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
76.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Omari Hayes for 13 yds to the ARMY 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
76.4%
Brendan Sullivan run for no gain to the ARMY 28Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+9
76.4%
Brendan Sullivan run for 9 yds to the ARMY 19Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+3
75.7%
Jake Retzlaff run for 3 yds to the ARMY 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
76.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Zycarl Lewis Jr. for 6 yds to the ARMY 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 10
0
76.2%
Tulane Penalty, Illegal Motion (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+2
75.7%
Jake Retzlaff run for 2 yds to the ARMY 8Similar
Q2 13:37
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+1
74.9%
Brendan Sullivan run for 1 yd to the ARMY 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 3PUNT
15 plays · 51 yds · 6:0626% → 29%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+15
73.6%
(13:37) Hellums,Cale pass incomplete deep left to Olawole,Tobi thrown to ARM42 PENALTY TLN Pass Interference (Shine,E'zaiah) 15 yards from ARM07 to ARM22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
73.1%
Cale Hellums pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+8
73.1%
Cale Hellums run for 8 yds to the ARMY 30Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 2
OWN 30
0
73.0%
Cale Hellums run for no gain to the ARMY 30Similar
Q2 13:37
4TH & 2
OWN 30
+7
73.8%
Cale Hellums run for 7 yds to the ARMY 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
72.6%
PENALTY ARM False Start (Williams,Teddy) 5 yards from ARM37 to ARM32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+7
73.1%
Noah Short run for 7 yds to the ARMY 39Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+8
72.2%
Carson Smith run for 8 yds to the ARMY 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
71.8%
Cale Hellums pass complete to Tobi Olawole for 9 yds to the TULN 44Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+3
71.6%
Briggs Bartosh run for 3 yds to the TULN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
71.6%
Briggs Bartosh run for 2 yds to the TULN 39Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
71.7%
Cale Hellums pass incomplete to Brady AndersonSimilar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 8
OPP 39
-3
69.6%
Cale Hellums sacked by Jordan Norman for a loss of 3 yards to the TULN 42Similar
Q2 7:31
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
70.6%
James Wagenseller punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TULN 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4FG
17 plays · 75 yds · 5:4273% → 74%
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
72.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 7 yds to the TULN 20Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+2
73.3%
Javin Gordon run for 2 yds to the TULN 22Similar
Q2 7:31
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+4
72.8%
Jake Retzlaff run for 4 yds to the TULN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
73.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Justyn Reid for 11 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
73.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake pass incomplete short left to Lewis Jr.,Zycarl thrown to ARM48 PENALTY TLN Holding (Turner,Maurice) 10 yards from TLN37 to TLN27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 20
OWN 27
+11
73.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Justyn Reid for 11 yds to the TULN 38Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+23
73.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 23 yds to the ARMY 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
74.9%
Maurice Turner run for 5 yds to the ARMY 34Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+8
75.6%
Maurice Turner run for 8 yds to the ARMY 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
75.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Anthony Brown-StephensSimilar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+9
75.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Omari Hayes for 9 yds to the ARMY 17Similar
Q2 7:31
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+2
74.8%
Jake Retzlaff run for 2 yds to the ARMY 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
75.6%
Javin Gordon run for no gain to the ARMY 15Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
75.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 3 yds to the ARMY 12Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
73.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+30
74.3%
Patrick Durkin 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 5FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 1:2625% → 35%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
74.6%
Carson Smith run for 4 yds to the ARMY 29Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+39
74.1%
Cale Hellums pass complete to Brady Anderson for 39 yds to the TULN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
70.0%
Noah Short run for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 34Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 12
OPP 34
-1
70.8%
Carson Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 35Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 13
OPP 35
+9
74.6%
Cale Hellums run for 9 yds to the TULN 26Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+43
65.0%
Dawson Jones 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
70.0%
Javin Gordon run for 6 yds to the TULN 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1369% → 67%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.4%
Javin Gordon run for no gain to the TULN 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
69.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Anthony Brown-StephensSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+3
68.1%
Jake Retzlaff run for 3 yds to the TULN 28Similar
Q3 13:47
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
66.9%
Alec Clark punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARMY 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 7:1634% → 59%
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
65.6%
Noah Short run for 3 yds to the ARMY 23Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+9
65.7%
Carson Smith run for 9 yds to the ARMY 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
65.0%
Cale Hellums run for 7 yds to the ARMY 39Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+1
63.4%
Briggs Bartosh run for 1 yd to the ARMY 40Similar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
62.9%
Cale Hellums run for 2 yds to the TULN 49Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+6
62.7%
Noah Short run for 6 yds to the TULN 43Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+3
62.7%
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the TULN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+9
63.8%
Cale Hellums run for 9 yds to the ARMY 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
62.6%
Briggs Bartosh run for 2 yds to the TULN 38Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+32
62.7%
Cale Hellums pass complete to Brady Anderson for 32 yds to the TULN 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
61.5%
Cale Hellums run for 4 yds to the TULN 2Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
61.5%
Cale Hellums run for 1 yd to the TULN 1Similar
Q3 6:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.7%
Cale Hellums run for 1 yd for a TD (Dawson Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 1:3050% → 69%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
49.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Omari Hayes for 19 yds to the ARMY 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
51.7%
Javin Gordon run for 3 yds to the ARMY 36Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 7
OPP 36
-1
51.7%
Javin Gordon run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARMY 37Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+37
68.5%
Jake Retzlaff run for 37 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:1738% → 37%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
61.9%
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the ARMY 28Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
61.5%
Cale Hellums pass complete to Brady Anderson for 10 yds to the ARMY 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
60.0%
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the ARMY 41Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-8
58.9%
Cale Hellums run for a loss of 8 yards to the ARMY 33 Cale Hellums fumbled, recovered by ARMY Cale HellumsSimilar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+3
63.7%
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the ARMY 36Similar
Q3 1:35
4TH & 12
OWN 36
+2
62.7%
James Wagenseller punt for 34 yds , Omari Hayes returns for 2 yds to the TULN 32Similar
Q3 1:35
4TH & 12
OWN 36
+2
62.7%
James Wagenseller punt for 34 yds , Omari Hayes returns for 2 yds to the TULN 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11INT
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:2565% → 68%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
64.6%
Maurice Turner run for 3 yds to the TULN 35Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+15
65.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Shazz Preston for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
50
+3
68.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 3 yds to the ARMY 47Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+1
68.1%
Maurice Turner run for 1 yd to the ARMY 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+18
67.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 18 yds to the ARMY 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
69.3%
Maurice Turner run for 4 yds to the ARMY 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
69.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Bryce BohanonSimilar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
67.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass intercepted, touchback. Casey Larkin return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 8:1641% → 85%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
59.2%
Carson Smith run for 2 yds to the ARMY 22Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+6
59.5%
Cale Hellums run for 6 yds to the ARMY 28Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+16
59.2%
Cale Hellums run for 16 yds to the ARMY 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
55.6%
Briggs Bartosh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 48Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+4
55.0%
Briggs Bartosh run for 4 yds to the TULN 48Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+3
55.1%
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the TULN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
54.4%
Jake Rendina run for 2 yds to the TULN 43Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+11
54.5%
Cale Hellums pass complete to Noah Short for 11 yds to the TULN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
52.9%
Cale Hellums run for no gain to the TULN 32 Cale Hellums fumbled, recovered by ARMY Tex BrannanSimilar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
53.0%
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the TULN 29Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+9
55.1%
Cale Hellums run for 9 yds to the TULN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
52.4%
Cale Hellums run for 12 yds to the TULN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
52.4%
Cale Hellums run for 7 yds to the TULN 1Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
52.4%
Shotgun Hellums,Cale rush middle for 0 yards to the TLN01 (Tchienchou,Jack) PENALTY TLN Offside. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
15.5%
Cale Hellums run for 1 yd for a TD (Dawson Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:0025% → 60%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
25.2%
Javin Gordon run for 6 yds to the TULN 31Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
27.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 9 yds to the TULN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
28.1%
Javin Gordon run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
50
+2
30.1%
Javin Gordon run for 2 yds to the ARMY 48Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+16
30.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Shazz Preston for 16 yds to the ARMY 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
33.4%
Maurice Turner run for 8 yds to the ARMY 24Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+10
33.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 10 yds to the ARMY 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
33.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Jimmy CallowaySimilar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+1
33.8%
Javin Gordon run for 1 yd to the ARMY 13Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+1
31.0%
Jake Retzlaff run for 1 yd to the ARMY 12Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+12
60.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 12 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:2650% → 49%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
50.1%
Cale Hellums run for 2 yds to the ARMY 27Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
50.0%
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the ARMY 30Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
48.4%
Cale Hellums run for 2 yds to the ARMY 32Similar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+4
50.6%
James Wagenseller punt for 47 yds , Omari Hayes returns for 4 yds to the TULN 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:0155% → 97%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
54.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Javin Gordon for 3 yds to the TULN 28Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
55.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Bryce BohanonSimilar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
51.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 10 yds to the TULN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
57.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Shazz Preston for 16 yds to the ARMY 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
62.0%
Jake Retzlaff run for 10 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
62.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake pass incomplete short right to Hayes,Omari thrown to ARM20 PENALTY ARM Holding (Larkin,Casey) 10 yards from ARM36 to ARM26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
97.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Shazz Preston for 26 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16END OF GAME
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:2713% → 12%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.9%
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the ARMY 28Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+16
88.9%
Cale Hellums pass complete to Brady Anderson for 16 yds to the ARMY 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
87.5%
Cale Hellums run for 10 yds to the TULN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
88.5%
Cale Hellums pass complete to Samari Howard for 8 yds to the TULN 38Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 38
0
88.0%
Cale Hellums pass incomplete to Brady AndersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:54
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 12 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)
+39.7
TD · Q4 5:54
Cale Hellums run for 1 yd for a TD (Dawson Jones KICK)
-36.9
TD · Q4 0:27
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Shazz Preston for 26 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)
+35.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com