ARMY
Army 17 at Tulane 24
TULN2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Yulman Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey play
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:00 · Cale Hellums pass incomplete to Brady Anderson
01
ARMY has the ball
+15
02
Blowout context favors the defense
+9
03
Market gave TULN a 76% pregame chance
+3
04
ARMY trailing by 7
+2
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
ARMY · Drive 1MISSED FG · 22 plays · 48 yds
Q1 15:00
Patrick Durkin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q1 15:00
Carson Smith run for 3 yds to the ARMY 28
-1.7
Q1 15:00
Noah Short run for no gain to the ARMY 28
0.0
Q1 15:00
Shotgun Hellums,Cale pass incomplete deep middle to Anderson,Brady thrown to TLN44 PENALTY TLN Holding (Shine,E'zaiah) 10 yards from ARM28 to ARM38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q1 15:00
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the ARMY 41
-0.9
Q1 15:00
Jake Rendina run for 3 yds to the ARMY 44
-0.3
Q1 15:00
Cale Hellums run for 2 yds to the ARMY 46
-0.5
Q1 15:00
Cale Hellums run for 6 yds to the TULN 48 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q1 15:00
Carson Smith run for 2 yds to the TULN 46
-0.9
Q1 15:00
Noah Short run for 5 yds to the TULN 41
0.0
Q1 15:00
Cale Hellums run for 2 yds to the TULN 39
+0.2
Q1 15:00
Cale Hellums run for 1 yd to the TULN 38 for a 1ST down
+0.7
Q1 15:00
Cale Hellums run for 4 yds to the TULN 34
-1.0
Q1 15:00
Noah Short run for 4 yds to the TULN 30
+0.2
Q1 15:00
Carson Smith run for no gain to the TULN 30
+0.2
Q1 15:00
Cale Hellums run for 2 yds to the TULN 28 for a 1ST down
+0.7
Q1 15:00
(06:04) Shotgun Bartosh,Briggs rush middle for 0 yards to the TLN28 (Hamilton,Kameron; White,Javion) PENALTY ARM Chop Block (Appleton,Henry) 15 yards from TLN28 to TLN43. NO PLAY.
-1.0
Q1 15:00
Cale Hellums run for 6 yds to the TULN 37
0.0
Q1 4:47
Timeout Army, clock 04:47
-3.1
Q1 4:47
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the TULN 34
0.0
Q1 4:47
Briggs Bartosh run for 7 yds to the TULN 27
0.0
Q1 3:16
Dawson Jones 44 yd FG MISSED
+0.6
TULN · Drive 2DOWNS · 11 plays · 66 yds
Q1 3:16
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 8 yds to the TULN 35
+4.1
Q1 3:16
Javin Gordon run for 11 yds to the TULN 46 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 3:16
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Shazz Preston for 13 yds to the ARMY 41 for a 1ST down
+0.7
Q1 3:16
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Omari Hayes for 13 yds to the ARMY 28 for a 1ST down
+1.1
Q1 3:16
Brendan Sullivan run for no gain to the ARMY 28
0.0
Q1 3:16
Brendan Sullivan run for 9 yds to the ARMY 19
0.0
Q1 0:00
Jake Retzlaff run for 3 yds to the ARMY 16 for a 1ST down
-1.1
Q2 15:00
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Zycarl Lewis Jr. for 6 yds to the ARMY 10
+0.2
Q2 15:00
Tulane Penalty, Illegal Motion (Yards) declined
0.0
Q2 15:00
Jake Retzlaff run for 2 yds to the ARMY 8
-0.2
Q2 13:37
Brendan Sullivan run for 1 yd to the ARMY 7
-0.3
ARMY · Drive 3PUNT · 15 plays · 51 yds
Q2 13:37
(13:37) Hellums,Cale pass incomplete deep left to Olawole,Tobi thrown to ARM42 PENALTY TLN Pass Interference (Shine,E'zaiah) 15 yards from ARM07 to ARM22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
-4.0
Q2 13:37
Cale Hellums pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 13:37
Cale Hellums run for 8 yds to the ARMY 30
0.0
Q2 13:37
Cale Hellums run for no gain to the ARMY 30
0.0
Q2 13:37
Cale Hellums run for 7 yds to the ARMY 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 13:37
PENALTY ARM False Start (Williams,Teddy) 5 yards from ARM37 to ARM32. NO PLAY.
-0.2
Q2 13:37
Noah Short run for 7 yds to the ARMY 39
+0.2
Q2 13:37
Carson Smith run for 8 yds to the ARMY 47 for a 1ST down
-1.0
Q2 13:37
Cale Hellums pass complete to Tobi Olawole for 9 yds to the TULN 44
-1.0
Q2 13:37
Briggs Bartosh run for 3 yds to the TULN 41 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q2 13:37
Briggs Bartosh run for 2 yds to the TULN 39
-0.1
Q2 13:37
Cale Hellums pass incomplete to Brady Anderson
0.0
Q2 8:22
Timeout Army, clock 08:22
0.0
Q2 8:22
Cale Hellums sacked by Jordan Norman for a loss of 3 yards to the TULN 42
0.0
Q2 7:31
James Wagenseller punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TULN 13
-1.5
TULN · Drive 4FG · 17 plays · 75 yds
Q2 7:31
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 7 yds to the TULN 20
+7.2
Q2 7:31
Javin Gordon run for 2 yds to the TULN 22
0.0
Q2 7:31
Jake Retzlaff run for 4 yds to the TULN 26 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 7:31
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Justyn Reid for 11 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 7:31
No Huddle-Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake pass incomplete short left to Lewis Jr.,Zycarl thrown to ARM48 PENALTY TLN Holding (Turner,Maurice) 10 yards from TLN37 to TLN27. NO PLAY.
+0.2
Q2 7:31
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Justyn Reid for 11 yds to the TULN 38
-0.2
Q2 7:31
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 23 yds to the ARMY 39 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q2 7:31
Maurice Turner run for 5 yds to the ARMY 34
+1.3
Q2 7:31
Maurice Turner run for 8 yds to the ARMY 26 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 7:31
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Anthony Brown-Stephens
0.0
Q2 7:31
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Omari Hayes for 9 yds to the ARMY 17
0.0
Q2 7:31
Jake Retzlaff run for 2 yds to the ARMY 15 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q2 7:31
Javin Gordon run for no gain to the ARMY 15
+0.2
Q2 7:31
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 3 yds to the ARMY 12
0.0
Q2 2:00
Timeout Tulane, clock 02:00
-1.1
Q2 2:00
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 1:49
Patrick Durkin 30 yd FG GOOD
+3.8
ARMY · Drive 5FG · 9 plays · 49 yds
Q2 1:49
Patrick Durkin kickoff for 55 yds
-0.4
Q2 1:49
Carson Smith run for 4 yds to the ARMY 29
-1.5
Q2 1:49
Cale Hellums pass complete to Brady Anderson for 39 yds to the TULN 32 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:49
Noah Short run for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 34
-2.5
Q2 1:49
Carson Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 35
0.0
Q2 0:35
Timeout Army, clock 00:35
-0.2
Q2 0:35
Cale Hellums run for 9 yds to the TULN 26
0.0
Q2 0:27
Timeout Tulane, clock 00:27
-0.4
Q2 0:23
Dawson Jones 43 yd FG GOOD
-10.2
TULN · Drive 6END OF HALF · 2 plays · 6 yds
Q2 0:23
Anderson Britton kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+2.0
Q2 0:00
Javin Gordon run for 6 yds to the TULN 31
+6.1
TULN · Drive 7PUNT · 5 plays · 3 yds
Q3 15:00
Anderson Britton kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-4.9
Q3 15:00
Javin Gordon run for no gain to the TULN 25
+5.9
Q3 15:00
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Anthony Brown-Stephens
0.0
Q3 15:00
Jake Retzlaff run for 3 yds to the TULN 28
0.0
Q3 13:47
Alec Clark punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARMY 20
-0.7
ARMY · Drive 8TD · 13 plays · 80 yds
Q3 13:47
Noah Short run for 3 yds to the ARMY 23
-5.6
Q3 13:47
Carson Smith run for 9 yds to the ARMY 32 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 13:47
Cale Hellums run for 7 yds to the ARMY 39
0.0
Q3 13:47
Briggs Bartosh run for 1 yd to the ARMY 40
-1.1
Q3 13:47
Cale Hellums run for 2 yds to the TULN 49
-1.1
Q3 13:47
Noah Short run for 6 yds to the TULN 43
-0.3
Q3 13:47
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the TULN 40 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q3 13:47
Cale Hellums run for 9 yds to the ARMY 49 for a 1ST down
+1.5
Q3 13:47
Briggs Bartosh run for 2 yds to the TULN 38
-1.5
Q3 13:47
Cale Hellums pass complete to Brady Anderson for 32 yds to the TULN 6 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 13:47
Cale Hellums run for 4 yds to the TULN 2
0.0
Q3 13:47
Cale Hellums run for 1 yd to the TULN 1
0.0
Q3 6:31
Cale Hellums run for 1 yd for a TD (Dawson Jones KICK)
-21.8
TULN · Drive 9TD · 5 plays · 58 yds
Q3 6:22
Anderson Britton kickoff for 58 yds , Anthony Brown-Stephens return for 35 yds to the TULN 42
+2.0
Q3 6:22
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Omari Hayes for 19 yds to the ARMY 39 for a 1ST down
+8.0
Q3 6:22
Javin Gordon run for 3 yds to the ARMY 36
+2.4
Q3 6:22
Javin Gordon run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARMY 37
0.0
Q3 4:52
Jake Retzlaff run for 37 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)
+17.9
ARMY · Drive 10PUNT · 8 plays · 11 yds
Q3 4:52
Patrick Durkin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-2.0
Q3 4:52
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the ARMY 28
-5.3
Q3 4:52
Cale Hellums pass complete to Brady Anderson for 10 yds to the ARMY 38 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 4:52
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the ARMY 41
-1.1
Q3 4:52
Cale Hellums run for a loss of 8 yards to the ARMY 33 Cale Hellums fumbled, recovered by ARMY Cale Hellums
-0.3
Q3 4:52
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the ARMY 36
+1.4
Q3 1:35
James Wagenseller punt for 34 yds , Omari Hayes returns for 2 yds to the TULN 32
-0.9
Q3 1:35
James Wagenseller punt for 34 yds , Omari Hayes returns for 2 yds to the TULN 32
0.0
TULN · Drive 11INT · 8 plays · 44 yds
Q3 1:35
Maurice Turner run for 3 yds to the TULN 35
+5.9
Q3 1:35
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Shazz Preston for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 1:35
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 3 yds to the ARMY 47
+1.0
Q3 0:00
Maurice Turner run for 1 yd to the ARMY 46
+0.8
Q4 15:00
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 18 yds to the ARMY 28 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q4 15:00
Maurice Turner run for 4 yds to the ARMY 24
+0.6
Q4 15:00
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Bryce Bohanon
0.0
Q4 14:10
Jake Retzlaff pass intercepted, touchback. Casey Larkin return for no gain
-0.4
ARMY · Drive 12TD · 15 plays · 80 yds
Q4 14:10
Carson Smith run for 2 yds to the ARMY 22
-7.7
Q4 14:10
Cale Hellums run for 6 yds to the ARMY 28
0.0
Q4 14:10
Cale Hellums run for 16 yds to the ARMY 44 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 14:10
Briggs Bartosh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 48
-1.9
Q4 14:10
Briggs Bartosh run for 4 yds to the TULN 48
-0.3
Q4 14:10
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the TULN 45 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q4 14:10
Jake Rendina run for 2 yds to the TULN 43
0.0
Q4 14:10
Cale Hellums pass complete to Noah Short for 11 yds to the TULN 32 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q4 14:10
Cale Hellums run for no gain to the TULN 32 Cale Hellums fumbled, recovered by ARMY Tex Brannan
0.0
Q4 14:10
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the TULN 29
0.0
Q4 14:10
Cale Hellums run for 9 yds to the TULN 20 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 14:10
Cale Hellums run for 12 yds to the TULN 8 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 14:10
Cale Hellums run for 7 yds to the TULN 1
0.0
Q4 14:10
Shotgun Hellums,Cale rush middle for 0 yards to the TLN01 (Tchienchou,Jack) PENALTY TLN Offside. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q4 5:54
Cale Hellums run for 1 yd for a TD (Dawson Jones KICK)
-33.9
TULN · Drive 13TD · 13 plays · 75 yds
Q4 5:54
Anderson Britton kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+0.9
Q4 5:54
Javin Gordon run for 6 yds to the TULN 31
+4.4
Q4 5:54
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 9 yds to the TULN 40 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 5:54
Javin Gordon run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q4 5:54
Javin Gordon run for 2 yds to the ARMY 48
0.0
Q4 5:54
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Shazz Preston for 16 yds to the ARMY 32 for a 1ST down
+1.5
Q4 5:54
Maurice Turner run for 8 yds to the ARMY 24
+1.6
Q4 5:54
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 10 yds to the ARMY 14 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 5:54
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Jimmy Calloway
0.0
Q4 5:54
Javin Gordon run for 1 yd to the ARMY 13
0.0
Q4 5:54
Jake Retzlaff run for 1 yd to the ARMY 12
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Tulane, clock 02:00
-5.5
Q4 1:54
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 12 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)
+39.8
ARMY · Drive 14PUNT · 7 plays · 7 yds
Q4 1:54
Patrick Durkin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-1.6
Q4 1:54
Cale Hellums run for 2 yds to the ARMY 27
-10.9
Q4 1:48
Timeout Tulane, clock 01:48
0.0
Q4 1:48
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the ARMY 30
0.0
Q4 1:44
Timeout Tulane, clock 01:44
0.0
Q4 1:44
Cale Hellums run for 2 yds to the ARMY 32
0.0
Q4 1:37
Timeout Tulane, clock 01:37
0.0
TULN · Drive 15TD · 6 plays · 75 yds
Q4 1:28
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Javin Gordon for 3 yds to the TULN 28
+10.7
Q4 1:28
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Bryce Bohanon
0.0
Q4 1:28
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 10 yds to the TULN 38 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 1:28
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Shazz Preston for 16 yds to the ARMY 46 for a 1ST down
+0.6
Q4 1:28
Jake Retzlaff run for 10 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST down
+1.3
Q4 1:28
No Huddle-Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake pass incomplete short right to Hayes,Omari thrown to ARM20 PENALTY ARM Holding (Larkin,Casey) 10 yards from ARM36 to ARM26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
+0.3
ARMY · Drive 14PUNT · 1 play · 7 yds
Q4 1:28
James Wagenseller punt for 47 yds , Omari Hayes returns for 4 yds to the TULN 25
-12.9
TULN · Drive 15TD · 1 play · 75 yds
Q4 0:27
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Shazz Preston for 26 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)
+36.8
ARMY · Drive 16END OF GAME · 9 plays · 37 yds
Q4 0:27
Patrick Durkin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-0.1
Q4 0:27
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the ARMY 28
-2.5
Q4 0:21
Timeout Army, clock 00:21
-0.1
Q4 0:21
Cale Hellums pass complete to Brady Anderson for 16 yds to the ARMY 44 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 0:21
Cale Hellums run for 10 yds to the TULN 46 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q4 0:08
Timeout Army, clock 00:08
0.0
Q4 0:08
Cale Hellums pass complete to Samari Howard for 8 yds to the TULN 38
0.0
Q4 0:04
Timeout Army, clock 00:04
-0.6
Q4 0:00
Cale Hellums pass incomplete to Brady Anderson
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:54
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 12 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)
+39.8
TD · Q4 0:27
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Shazz Preston for 26 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)
+36.8
TD · Q4 5:54
Cale Hellums run for 1 yd for a TD (Dawson Jones KICK)
-33.9