Try the model
RICE

Rice 13 at UTSA 61

UTSA
2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Alamodome
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDSAFETYTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:46 · Caile Hogan punt for 33 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Home team on offense+30.5Score differential+26.1Pregame prior+10.7Blowout margin+13.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.6Garbage-time factor+9.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:14: Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 2 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK) — UTSA win probability +2.4 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:54: Owen McCown pass complete to AJ Wilson for 20 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK) — UTSA win probability +4.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:39: Owen McCown pass complete to DJ Allen Jr. for 43 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK) — UTSA win probability +1.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 4:57: Michael Petro 45 yd FG GOOD — UTSA win probability +2.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 14:16: Patrick Crayton Jr. pass intercepted Kendrick Blackshire return for 17 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK) — UTSA win probability +6.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 6RICE made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 7:53RICE 4th & 1 at UTSA 18, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.5%−0.3
    79% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−1.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:50RICE 4th & 14 at RICE 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:53RICE 4th & 15 at RICE 22, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−2.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:33UTSA 4th & 3 at UTSA 37, up 18
    Close callPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:29RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 20, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:30RICE 4th & 14 at RICE 21, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:57UTSA 4th & 28 at RICE 28, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−1.1
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:31RICE 4th & 5 at UTSA 49, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:07RICE 4th & 1 at UTSA 39, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:46UTSA 4th & 21 at RICE 37, up 49
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:07RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 29, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:32UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 36, up 51
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:41RICE 4th & 10 at UTSA 27, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:38UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 34, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:39UTSA 4th & 3 at RICE 46, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:47RICE 4th & 10 at midfield, down 48
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:09RICE 4th & 6 at UTSA 26, down 48
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:09RICE 4th & 6 at UTSA 26, down 48
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7RICE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:47UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:14UTSA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:54UTSA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:39UTSA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:14UTSA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:15RICE Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 14:16UTSA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:45UTSA Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0279% → 79%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.2%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTSA 28Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+57
79.0%
Owen McCown pass complete to AJ Wilson for 57 yds to the RICE 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
79.0%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Houston ThomasSimilar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+14
79.0%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 14 yds to the RICE 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.4%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Petro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 4:4721% → 22%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
79.2%
Chase Jenkins run for 6 yds to the RICE 31Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
79.1%
Chase Jenkins pass incomplete to Tyson ThompsonSimilar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
79.2%
Quinton Jackson run for 5 yds to the RICE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
79.1%
Quinton Jackson run for 4 yds to the RICE 40Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+33
78.9%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Drayden Dickmann for 33 yds to the UTSA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
78.6%
Quinton Jackson run for no gain to the UTSA 27Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
78.6%
Daelen Alexander run for 2 yds to the UTSA 25Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+7
78.8%
Aaron Turner run for 7 yds to the UTSA 18 Aaron Turner fumbled, recovered by RICE Sean SullivanSimilar
Q1 7:53
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+36
77.8%
Enock Gota 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3278% → 81%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
78.0%
Rice Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Marcus Williams) to the UTSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
78.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to Dan Dishman for 12 yds to the RICE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
78.4%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Devin McCuinSimilar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
78.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to DJ Allen Jr. for 2 yds to the RICE 44Similar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
78.4%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 3 yds to the RICE 11Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+9
78.4%
Will Henderson III run for 9 yds to the RICE 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
80.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 2 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:1521% → 20%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
79.5%
Chase Jenkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the RICE 22Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
80.1%
Chase Jenkins pass incomplete to Aaron TurnerSimilar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+4
80.3%
Chase Jenkins run for 4 yds to the RICE 26Similar
Q1 3:12
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-5
80.5%
PENALTY RICE False Start (Awe,Andrew) 5 yards from RICE26 to RICE21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:50
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
80.5%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 59 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:4880% → 86%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
80.3%
Owen McCown run for no gain to the UTSA 20Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+52
80.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 52 yds to the RICE 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
80.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to DJ Allen Jr. for 8 yds to the RICE 20Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+20
85.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to AJ Wilson for 20 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:4415% → 15%
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
85.1%
Patrick Crayton Jr. run for 2 yds to the RICE 29Similar
Q1 0:08
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
85.2%
Patrick Crayton Jr. pass incomplete to Aaron TurnerSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 29
-7
85.4%
Patrick Crayton Jr. sacked by Kendrick Blackshire for a loss of 7 yards to the RICE 22Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 15
OWN 22
0
85.5%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTSA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0286% → 86%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
85.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 2 yds to the UTSA 32Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+5
85.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Jamel Hardy Jr. for 5 yds to the UTSA 37Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
86.0%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to David Amador IISimilar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
85.6%
Caile Hogan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tyson Thompson at the RICE 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5614% → 14%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
85.8%
D'Andre Hardeman Jr. run for 1 yd to the RICE 19Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
86.0%
Patrick Crayton Jr. pass incomplete to Semaj PierreSimilar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+1
86.2%
Patrick Crayton Jr. pass complete to Semaj Pierre for 1 yd to the RICE 20Similar
Q2 12:29
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
86.3%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 21 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9TD
2 plays · 41 yds · 0:4387% → 89%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
86.9%
Robert Henry Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the RICE 43Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+43
88.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to DJ Allen Jr. for 43 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:0013% → 14%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
87.5%
Quinton Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the RICE 22Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+7
85.7%
run for 7 yds to the RICE 15 fumbled, recovered by RICE Drew DevillierSimilar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+6
86.0%
Drew Devillier pass complete to Aaron Turner for 6 yds to the RICE 21Similar
Q2 9:30
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+40
85.7%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 64 yds , Elliott Brow returns for 40 yds to the RICE 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11FG
11 plays · 17 yds · 4:2290% → 97%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
89.6%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 8 yds to the RICE 37Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+6
89.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 6 yds to the RICE 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
91.8%
(08:30) No Huddle-Shotgun McCown,Owen pass complete short left to McCuin,Devin caught at RICE34, for 2 yards loss to the RICE33 (Harper,Jerrick) PENALTY RICE Offside (Hook,Daveon) 5 yards from RICE31 to RICE26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 5
OPP 26
0
90.4%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Robert Henry Jr.Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+4
91.7%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 4 yds to the RICE 22Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+12
90.5%
Patrick Overmyer run for 2 yds to the RICE 20 for a 1ST down Rice Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Khary Crump) to the RICE 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
92.3%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 3 yds to the RICE 7Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-10
90.5%
(06:31) Shotgun Henry,Robert rush right for 7 yards gain to the RICE00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 06:26 PENALTY UTSA Holding (Rios,Ben) 10 yards from RICE07 to RICE17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
-12
92.6%
Owen McCown sacked by Daveon Hook for a loss of 12 yards to the RICE 29Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 29
+1
94.1%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 1 yd to the RICE 28Similar
Q2 4:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 28
+45
96.9%
Michael Petro 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 30 yds · 1:193% → 2%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
97.4%
Daelen Alexander run for 21 yds to the RICE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.3%
Drew Devillier pass incomplete to Drayden DickmannSimilar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
97.2%
Drew Devillier pass complete to Drayden Dickmann for no gain to the RICE 46Similar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+5
97.6%
(03:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Devillier,Drew pass complete short right to Dickmann,Drayden caught at RICE50, for 4 yards to the RICE50 (Pewee,Owen), out of bounds PENALTY UTSA Offside (Walley Jr.,James) 5 yards from RICE46 to UTSA49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
97.9%
Drew Devillier pass incomplete to Aaron TurnerSimilar
Q2 3:31
4TH & 5
OPP 49
+4
98.0%
Daelen Alexander run for 4 yds to the UTSA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:1198% → 98%
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
97.7%
Will Henderson III run for 2 yds to the UTSA 47Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
97.7%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+10
97.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 10 yds to the RICE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
98.3%
Will Henderson III run for 43 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 0:541% → 2%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.6%
Daelen Alexander run for a loss of 2 yards to the RICE 23Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+13
98.7%
Drew Devillier pass complete to Payton Matthews for 13 yds to the RICE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.6%
Drew Devillier pass incomplete to Aaron TurnerSimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
98.7%
Drew Devillier run for 4 yds to the RICE 40Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+57
98.9%
Daelen Alexander run for 57 yds to the UTSA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.1%
Daelen Alexander run for 3 yds for a TD (Enock Gota KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15END OF HALF
8 plays · 8 yds · 1:0898% → 98%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.3%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 5 yds to the UTSA 30Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
98.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to Jaren Randle for no gain to the UTSA 30Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
98.4%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 9 yds to the UTSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
98.4%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to AJ WilsonSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-5
98.4%
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun Henry,Robert rush left for 1 yard gain to the UTSA40 (Awe,Andrew) PENALTY UTSA Illegal Formation 5 yards from UTSA39 to UTSA34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 34
-1
98.4%
O. McCown takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16INT TD
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:248% → 1%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
92.1%
Patrick Crayton Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the RICE 20Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-17
98.9%
Patrick Crayton Jr. pass intercepted Kendrick Blackshire return for 17 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17FUMBLE RETURN TD
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:171% → 1%
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+30
98.8%
Daelen Alexander run for 30 yds to the RICE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
98.8%
Daelen Alexander run for 2 yds to the RICE 49Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+2
99.0%
D'Andre Hardeman Jr. run for 2 yds to the UTSA 49Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+9
99.0%
D'Andre Hardeman Jr. run for 9 yds to the UTSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+41
99.1%
Shad Banks Jr. 41 Yd Fumble Return (Michael Petro Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:321% → 0%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.5%
UTSA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the RICE 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.5%
Daelen Alexander run for 4 yds to the RICE 46Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+5
99.5%
Daelen Alexander run for 5 yds to the UTSA 49Similar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+1
99.5%
Daelen Alexander run for 1 yd to the UTSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
99.6%
Semaj Pierre run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 49Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+4
99.6%
Patrick Crayton Jr. pass complete to Semaj Pierre for 4 yds to the UTSA 45Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+6
99.6%
Tyvonn Byars run for 6 yds to the UTSA 39Similar
Q3 8:07
4TH & 1
OPP 39
-1
99.6%
Tyvonn Byars run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 2:10100% → 100%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
99.6%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 15 yds to the RICE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
99.6%
Will Henderson III run for 4 yds to the RICE 41Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+15
99.6%
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun Tennison,Brandon pass incomplete deep left to Wilson,AJ thrown to RICE09 broken up by Porter,Omari PENALTY RICE Pass Interference (Porter,Omari) 15 yards from RICE41 to RICE26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
99.6%
PENALTY UTSA Delay Of Game 5 yards from RICE26 to RICE31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 15
OPP 31
0
99.6%
Brandon Tennison pass incomplete to Patrick OvermyerSimilar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 15
OPP 31
-10
99.6%
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun Henderson III,Will rush right for 12 yards gain to the RICE19 (Stevenson,Peyton) PENALTY UTSA Holding (Overmyer,Patrick) 10 yards from RICE31 to RICE41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 25
OPP 41
0
99.6%
Brandon Tennison pass incomplete to Jamel Hardy Jr.Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 25
OPP 41
+4
99.6%
Brandon Tennison run for 4 yds to the RICE 37Similar
Q3 5:46
4TH & 21
OPP 37
0
99.6%
Caile Hogan punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20SF
3 plays · -4 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
99.8%
D'Andre Hardeman Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 3Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 11
OWN 3
+2
99.8%
Patrick Crayton Jr. pass complete to Aaron Turner for 2 yds to the RICE 1Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 13
OWN 1
-1
99.8%
Jon Jones SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21TD
2 plays · 57 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
99.7%
Will Henderson III run for 57 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:450% → 0%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.8%
D'Andre Hardeman Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the RICE 23Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
99.9%
D'Andre Hardeman Jr. run for 7 yds to the RICE 30Similar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-1
99.8%
Patrick Crayton Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 29Similar
Q3 2:07
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Brandon Tennison pass incomplete to Jaelen SmithSimilar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
99.8%
A'Marion Peterson run for 7 yds to the UTSA 37Similar
Q3 1:13
3RD & 3
OWN 37
-1
99.8%
A'Marion Peterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 36Similar
Q3 0:32
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Caile Hogan punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Drayden Dickmann at the RICE 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 24FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 5:190% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
99.9%
Tyvonn Byars run for 7 yds to the RICE 25Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Tyvonn Byars run for 1 yd to the RICE 26Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+32
99.9%
Tyvonn Byars run for 32 yds to the UTSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.9%
Tyvonn Byars run for 2 yds to the UTSA 40Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+6
99.9%
Lucas Scheerhorn pass complete to Aaron Turner for 6 yds to the UTSA 34Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+7
99.9%
D'Andre Hardeman Jr. run for 7 yds to the UTSA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
99.9%
D'Andre Hardeman Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 28Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+1
99.9%
Lucas Scheerhorn run for 1 yd to the UTSA 27Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
100.0%
Aaron Turner run for no gain to the UTSA 27Similar
Q4 9:41
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+45
99.9%
Chase Allen 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 25DOWNS
12 plays · 25 yds · 5:44100% → 100%
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Bryson Donnell run for 8 yds to the UTSA 33Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Bryson Donnell run for no gain to the UTSA 33Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Bryson Donnell run for 1 yd to the UTSA 34Similar
Q4 7:38
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
Brandon Tennison run for 1 yd to the UTSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.9%
Bryson Donnell run for 1 yd to the UTSA 36Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+11
99.9%
John Emery Jr. run for 11 yds to the UTSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
100.0%
John Emery Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTSA 45Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+10
100.0%
Brandon Tennison pass complete to Mekhi Anderson for 10 yds to the RICE 45Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 2
OPP 45
-1
100.0%
John Emery Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 46Similar
Q4 3:39
4TH & 3
OPP 46
-4
100.0%
John Emery Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 26DOWNS
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:210% → 0%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
50
+4
100.0%
Carson Morgan run for 4 yds to the UTSA 46Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+2
100.0%
Lucas Scheerhorn pass complete to Semaj Pierre for 2 yds to the UTSA 48Similar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 8
OPP 48
-2
100.0%
Lucas Scheerhorn run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 10
50
+20
100.0%
Lucas Scheerhorn pass complete to James Falk for 20 yds James Falk fumbled, recovered by RICE Christian Edgar for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
100.0%
Carson Morgan run for no gain to the UTSA 30Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
100.0%
Carson Morgan run for 3 yds to the UTSA 27Similar
Q4 0:16
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+1
100.0%
Lucas Scheerhorn run for 1 yd to the UTSA 26Similar
Q4 0:09
4TH & 6
OPP 26
0
100.0%
Lucas Scheerhorn pass incomplete to Semaj PierreSimilar
Q4 0:09
4TH & 6
OPP 26
0
100.0%
Lucas Scheerhorn pass incomplete to Semaj PierreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
100.0%
B. Tennison takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:16
Patrick Crayton Jr. pass intercepted Kendrick Blackshire return for 17 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK)
+6.7
TD · Q1 0:54
Owen McCown pass complete to AJ Wilson for 20 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK)
+4.7
FG · Q2 4:57
Michael Petro 45 yd FG GOOD
+2.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com