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NAVY

Navy 32 at Temple 31

TEM
2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadNAVY aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreNAVY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:19 · Carl Hardin 39 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 8Pregame prior−27.7Home team on offense+0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:59: Blake Horvath run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK) — NAVY win probability +17.9 pts (now 59%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 2:22: Alex Tecza run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK) — NAVY win probability +19.2 pts (now 53%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. FG · Q4 6:34: Nathan Kirkwood 48 yd FG GOOD — NAVY win probability +16.0 pts (now 55%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:16: Jay Ducker run for 1 yd for a TD (Carl Hardin KICK) — TEM win probability +30.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:39: B. Horvath run for 51 yds for a TD (B. Horvath pass to A. Tecza for Two-Point Conversion) — NAVY win probability +70.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NAVY made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 12:19TEM 4th & 9 at NAVY 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    27.4%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:12TEM 4th & 1 at NAVY 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.6%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:11NAVY 4th & 11 at NAVY 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:13TEM 4th & 5 at NAVY 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    32.4%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:29NAVY 4th & 5 at NAVY 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:03TEM 4th & 1 at NAVY 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    38.8%−3.0
    32% to make
    Punt
    39.1%−2.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:43NAVY 4th & 5 at NAVY 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:02NAVY 4th & 8 at NAVY 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−1.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:53NAVY 4th & 3 at NAVY 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.2%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:48TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:33NAVY 4th & 4 at NAVY 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    36.5%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:34NAVY 4th & 9 at TEM 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−2.6
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−6.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:39NAVY 4th & 1 at NAVY 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%−6.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4NAVY made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:18NAVY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:19TEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:25TEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:59NAVY Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:37TEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:22NAVY Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:16TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−1.7
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:39NAVY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 5.1 ptsWent for two · converted
    Kick
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    35.9%−5.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1MISSED FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:3122% → 23%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
21.5%
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the TEM 27Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
21.8%
Keveun Mason run for 5 yds to the TEM 32Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+46
22.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 46 yds to the NAVY 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
22.7%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+1
23.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to JoJo Bermudez for 1 yd to the NAVY 21Similar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 9
OPP 21
0
23.0%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Jay DuckerSimilar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+39
22.9%
Carl Hardin 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 2TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 1:5177% → 78%
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
22.9%
Alex Tecza run for 8 yds to the NAVY 29Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+14
23.1%
Brandon Chatman run for 14 yds to the NAVY 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
23.2%
Eli Heidenreich run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 3
50
+50
22.1%
Blake Horvath pass complete to Cody Howard for 50 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:5223% → 29%
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
22.6%
Jay Ducker run for 6 yds to the TEM 31Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
22.9%
Evan Simon pass complete to JoJo Bermudez for 11 yds to the TEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
23.2%
Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the TEM 43Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+2
23.2%
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the TEM 45Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+6
23.2%
Evan Simon pass complete to JoJo Bermudez for 6 yds to the NAVY 49Similar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+3
23.5%
Hunter Smith run for 3 yds to the NAVY 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
24.0%
Evan Simon pass complete to Colin Chase for 11 yds to the NAVY 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
24.5%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Kajiya HollawayneSimilar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+21
24.6%
Evan Simon run for 21 yds to the NAVY 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
24.8%
Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the NAVY 13Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+12
25.0%
Jay Ducker run for 12 yds to the NAVY 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
25.3%
Jay Ducker run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 2Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
28.8%
Evan Simon run for 2 yds for a TD (Carl Hardin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:0273% → 72%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.3%
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Alex TeczaSimilar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
27.3%
PENALTY NAV False Start (Norris,Jake) 5 yards from NAV25 to NAV20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
27.6%
Jackson Gutierrez run for 4 yds to the NAVY 24Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
27.9%
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Eli HeidenreichSimilar
Q1 2:11
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+17
28.4%
Jacob Carlson punt for 62 yds , JoJo Bermudez returns for 17 yds to the TEM 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5FG
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:4329% → 31%
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
28.5%
Evan Simon pass complete to Ryder Kusch for no gain to the TEM 31Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
28.8%
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 6 yds to the TEM 37Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+30
29.3%
Evan Simon pass complete to JoJo Bermudez for 30 yds to the NAVY 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+26
31.3%
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 26 yds to the NAVY 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
31.3%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Colin ChaseSimilar
Q2 14:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
31.4%
Hunter Smith run for 2 yds to the NAVY 5Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
31.2%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Tyler StewartSimilar
Q2 14:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
31.3%
Carl Hardin 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:2769% → 67%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
31.4%
Eli Heidenreich run for 16 yds to the NAVY 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
30.7%
Blake Horvath run for 4 yds to the NAVY 44Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
30.9%
Blake Horvath run for 4 yds to the NAVY 40 Blake Horvath fumbled, recovered by NAVY Michael BarrowSimilar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+5
32.6%
Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 5 yds to the NAVY 45Similar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
33.2%
Jacob Carlson punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7FUMBLE
13 plays · 53 yds · 6:5533% → 41%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
32.9%
Jay Ducker run for no gain to the TEM 20Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+13
33.2%
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 13 yds to the TEM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
33.9%
Evan Simon pass complete to Peter Clarke for 6 yds to the TEM 39Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+11
35.6%
Evan Simon pass complete to Peter Clarke for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
50
+2
36.5%
Evan Simon pass complete to Peter Clarke for 2 yds to the NAVY 48Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+3
37.0%
Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the NAVY 45Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+4
38.2%
Evan Simon pass complete to Jay Ducker for 4 yds to the NAVY 41Similar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+3
37.5%
Tyler Douglas run for 3 yds to the NAVY 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
39.7%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Colin ChaseSimilar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+21
39.7%
Colin Chase run for 21 yds to the NAVY 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
41.0%
Hunter Smith run for 4 yds to the NAVY 13Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 6
OPP 13
-4
42.0%
JoJo Bermudez run for a loss of 4 yards to the NAVY 17Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 10
OPP 17
-10
41.1%
Evan Simon sacked by Adam Klenk for a loss of 10 yards to the NAVY 27 Evan Simon fumbled, recovered by NAVY Job Grant , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2661% → 59%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
38.6%
Blake Horvath run for 1 yd to the NAVY 28Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+4
39.3%
Eli Heidenreich run for 4 yds to the NAVY 32Similar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
39.9%
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Joshua GuerinSimilar
Q2 2:43
4TH & 5
OWN 32
+8
41.2%
Jacob Carlson punt for 57 yds , JoJo Bermudez returns for 8 yds to the TEM 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 2:1140% → 58%
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
40.0%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Kajiya HollawayneSimilar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
39.9%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Jay DuckerSimilar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+13
38.7%
Evan Simon pass complete to Colin Chase for 13 yds to the TEM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
40.8%
Jay Ducker run for 8 yds to the TEM 40Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+5
42.9%
Jay Ducker run for 5 yds to the TEM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+20
43.2%
Evan Simon pass complete to Peter Clarke for 20 yds to the NAVY 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
45.4%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Colin ChaseSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
45.1%
Jay Ducker run for 5 yds to the NAVY 30Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+29
44.0%
Evan Simon pass complete to Colin Chase for 29 yds to the NAVY 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
57.5%
Jay Ducker run for 1 yd for a TD (Carl Hardin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:1845% → 43%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.0%
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Eli HeidenreichSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
55.4%
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Nathan KentSimilar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
55.9%
Alex Tecza run for 2 yds to the NAVY 27Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
57.1%
Jacob Carlson punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
54.1%
(00:00) Kneel down by Temple at TEM20 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 12TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 4:3345% → 59%
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
54.8%
Blake Horvath run for 15 yds to the NAVY 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
53.9%
Blake Horvath run for 4 yds to the NAVY 45Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
56.0%
Alex Tecza run for 2 yds to the NAVY 47Similar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+1
57.0%
Blake Horvath run for 1 yd to the NAVY 48Similar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 3
OWN 48
+35
59.9%
Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 35 yds to the TEM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
55.6%
Brandon Chatman run for 4 yds to the TEM 13Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+4
56.4%
Blake Horvath run for 4 yds to the TEM 9Similar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+7
58.7%
Blake Horvath run for 7 yds to the TEM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
40.8%
Blake Horvath run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 3:0748% → 71%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
48.1%
Jay Ducker run for 12 yds to the TEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
50.6%
Evan Simon run for 5 yds to the TEM 45Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+7
52.4%
Jay Ducker run for 7 yds to the NAVY 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+21
53.5%
Evan Simon pass complete to Hunter Smith for 21 yds to the NAVY 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
55.1%
Hunter Smith run for 1 yd to the NAVY 26Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+26
71.0%
Evan Simon pass complete to JoJo Bermudez for 26 yds for a TD (Carl Hardin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0833% → 53%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
67.3%
Alex Tecza run for 6 yds to the NAVY 31Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
66.9%
Blake Horvath pass complete to Brandon Chatman for 10 yds to the NAVY 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
67.1%
Blake Horvath run for 4 yds to the NAVY 45Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+32
67.7%
Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 32 yds to the TEM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
65.1%
Eli Heidenreich run for 6 yds to the TEM 17Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 4
OPP 17
0
65.5%
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Eli HeidenreichSimilar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+11
67.4%
Blake Horvath run for 11 yds to the TEM 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
66.3%
Alex Tecza run for 4 yds to the TEM 2Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
47.1%
Alex Tecza run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 1:5155% → 54%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
54.5%
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the TEM 27Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
54.5%
(01:39) Simon,Evan pass incomplete deep middle to Hollawayne,Kajiya thrown to NAV35 PENALTY NAV Pass Interference (Oniha,Ira) 15 yards from TEM27 to TEM42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
57.0%
Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the TEM 45Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-10
58.1%
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun Ducker,Jay rush left for 20 yards gain to the NAV35 (Pirris,Luke), out of bounds PENALTY TEM Holding (Hollawayne,Kajiya) 10 yards from TEM45 to TEM35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 17
OWN 35
+6
54.5%
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 6 yds to the TEM 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+5
54.2%
PENALTY NAV Offside (Pirris,Luke) 5 yards from TEM41 to TEM46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
57.0%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to JoJo BermudezSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
54.3%
Dante Atton punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brandon Chatman at the NAVY 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 16FG
17 plays · 59 yds · 8:0643% → 55%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
57.0%
Blake Horvath run for 6 yds to the NAVY 16Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+6
57.7%
Brandon Chatman run for 6 yds to the NAVY 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
57.7%
Alex Tecza run for 6 yds to the NAVY 28Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+15
56.6%
Blake Horvath run for 15 yds to the NAVY 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
54.9%
Blake Horvath run for 5 yds to the NAVY 48Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+1
54.1%
Eli Heidenreich run for 1 yd to the NAVY 49Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
54.5%
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Eli HeidenreichSimilar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 4
OWN 49
+8
57.9%
Blake Horvath run for 8 yds to the TEM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
54.0%
PENALTY NAV False Start (Acevedo,Jaylin) 5 yards from TEM43 to TEM48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+4
56.8%
Blake Horvath run for 4 yds to the TEM 44Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 11
OPP 44
0
56.2%
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Eli HeidenreichSimilar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+12
58.3%
Blake Horvath run for 12 yds to the TEM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
52.9%
Blake Horvath run for 5 yds to the TEM 27Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+2
52.8%
Charles Robinson run for 2 yds to the TEM 25Similar
Q4 6:44
3RD & 3
OPP 25
-6
55.0%
Jackson Gutierrez sacked by Curly Ordonez for a loss of 6 yards to the TEM 31Similar
Q4 6:34
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+48
44.7%
Nathan Kirkwood 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:0753% → 96%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.7%
Jay Ducker run for 5 yds to the TEM 30Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+23
54.0%
Keveun Mason run for 23 yds to the NAVY 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
60.0%
Jay Ducker run for 8 yds to the NAVY 39Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+1
60.6%
Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the NAVY 38Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
60.1%
Evan Simon run for 2 yds to the NAVY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
62.2%
Jay Ducker run for 7 yds to the NAVY 29Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 3
OPP 29
0
64.2%
Hunter Smith run for no gain to the NAVY 29Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+4
62.7%
Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the NAVY 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
65.5%
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the NAVY 23Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+22
65.5%
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 22 yds to the NAVY 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.4%
Jay Ducker run for 1 yd for a TD (Carl Hardin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 18TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 0:2910% → 80%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.9%
Jackson Gutierrez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
90.2%
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun Horvath,Blake pass incomplete deep right to Heidenreich,Eli thrown to TEM26 PENALTY TEM Pass Interference (Osueke,Ben) 15 yards from NAV25 to NAV40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
87.7%
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Nathan KentSimilar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
88.4%
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Eli HeidenreichSimilar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+9
89.5%
Blake Horvath pass complete to Alex Tecza for 9 yds to the NAVY 49Similar
Q4 0:39
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+51
20.4%
B. Horvath run for 51 yds for a TD (B. Horvath pass to A. Tecza for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19END OF GAME
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:2017% → 19%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
16.5%
Evan Simon pass complete to Peter Clarke for 8 yds to the TEM 33Similar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+10
16.5%
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 10 yds to the TEM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
15.9%
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 9 yds to the NAVY 48Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+8
22.6%
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 8 yds to the NAVY 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
18.9%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:39
B. Horvath run for 51 yds for a TD (B. Horvath pass to A. Tecza for Two-Point Conversion)
-70.1
TD · Q4 1:16
Jay Ducker run for 1 yd for a TD (Carl Hardin KICK)
+30.8
TD · Q3 2:22
Alex Tecza run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)
-19.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com