NAVY
Navy 32 at Temple 31
TEM2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Lincoln Financial Field
Speed4x
Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadNAVY aheadconfidence bandkey play
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
TEM · Drive 1MISSED FG · 8 plays · 54 yds
Q1 15:00
Lance Gossett kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
28.3%
0.0
Q1 14:50
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the TEM 27
30.7%
+2.4
Q1 14:21
Keveun Mason run for 5 yds to the TEM 32
31.0%
+0.2
Q1 13:42
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 46 yds to the NAVY 22 for a 1ST down
31.0%
0.0
Q1 13:03
Evan Simon pass incomplete
33.1%
+2.2
Q1 12:23
Evan Simon pass complete to JoJo Bermudez for 1 yd to the NAVY 21
33.1%
0.0
Q1 12:22
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Jay Ducker
32.9%
-0.2
Q1 12:19
Carl Hardin 39 yd FG MISSED
32.5%
-0.4
NAVY · Drive 2TD · 4 plays · 79 yds
Q1 12:09
Alex Tecza run for 8 yds to the NAVY 29
27.8%
-4.7
Q1 11:31
Brandon Chatman run for 14 yds to the NAVY 43 for a 1ST down
27.8%
0.0
Q1 10:51
Eli Heidenreich run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line
26.7%
-1.1
Q1 10:18
Blake Horvath pass complete to Cody Howard for 50 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)
15.0%
-11.6
TEM · Drive 3TD · 14 plays · 75 yds
Q1 10:18
Lance Gossett kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
15.9%
+0.9
Q1 10:11
Jay Ducker run for 6 yds to the TEM 31
18.8%
+2.9
Q1 9:27
Evan Simon pass complete to JoJo Bermudez for 11 yds to the TEM 42 for a 1ST down
18.8%
+0.1
Q1 9:06
Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the TEM 43
19.3%
+0.4
Q1 8:33
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the TEM 45
18.9%
-0.3
Q1 7:53
Evan Simon pass complete to JoJo Bermudez for 6 yds to the NAVY 49
19.2%
+0.3
Q1 7:12
Hunter Smith run for 3 yds to the NAVY 46 for a 1ST down
20.0%
+0.8
Q1 6:36
Evan Simon pass complete to Colin Chase for 11 yds to the NAVY 35 for a 1ST down
20.2%
+0.2
Q1 5:58
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Kajiya Hollawayne
20.9%
+0.8
Q1 5:47
Evan Simon run for 21 yds to the NAVY 14 for a 1ST down
20.9%
0.0
Q1 5:12
Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the NAVY 13
21.2%
+0.2
Q1 4:33
Jay Ducker run for 12 yds to the NAVY 1 for a 1ST down
21.2%
0.0
Q1 3:51
Jay Ducker run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 2
21.2%
0.0
Q1 3:19
Evan Simon run for 2 yds for a TD (Carl Hardin KICK)
33.9%
+12.7
NAVY · Drive 4PUNT · 6 plays · -1 yds
Q1 3:19
Carl Hardin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
31.7%
-2.2
Q1 3:13
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Alex Tecza
28.5%
-3.2
Q1 3:13
PENALTY NAV False Start (Norris,Jake) 5 yards from NAV25 to NAV20. NO PLAY.
28.5%
0.0
Q1 2:52
Jackson Gutierrez run for 4 yds to the NAVY 24
28.5%
0.0
Q1 2:28
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Eli Heidenreich
28.5%
0.0
Q1 2:11
Jacob Carlson punt for 62 yds , JoJo Bermudez returns for 17 yds to the TEM 31
28.5%
0.0
TEM · Drive 5FG · 8 plays · 64 yds
Q1 1:56
Evan Simon pass complete to Ryder Kusch for no gain to the TEM 31
31.7%
+3.2
Q1 1:22
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 6 yds to the TEM 37
31.8%
+0.1
Q1 0:45
Evan Simon pass complete to JoJo Bermudez for 30 yds to the NAVY 33 for a 1ST down
32.1%
+0.4
Q1 0:00
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 26 yds to the NAVY 7 for a 1ST down
34.6%
+2.4
Q2 14:55
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Colin Chase
34.6%
0.0
Q2 14:43
Hunter Smith run for 2 yds to the NAVY 5
34.7%
+0.1
Q2 14:16
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Tyler Stewart
34.5%
-0.2
Q2 14:13
Carl Hardin 23 yd FG GOOD
39.0%
+4.6
NAVY · Drive 6PUNT · 6 plays · 21 yds
Q2 14:08
Carl Hardin kickoff for 64 yds , Isaiah Bryant return for 23 yds to the NAVY 24
38.3%
-0.7
Q2 13:56
Eli Heidenreich run for 16 yds to the NAVY 40 for a 1ST down
35.3%
-3.0
Q2 13:37
Blake Horvath run for 4 yds to the NAVY 44
34.4%
-0.8
Q2 12:42
Blake Horvath run for 4 yds to the NAVY 40 Blake Horvath fumbled, recovered by NAVY Michael Barrow
33.7%
-0.8
Q2 12:03
Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 5 yds to the NAVY 45
34.4%
+0.8
Q2 11:29
Jacob Carlson punt for 55 yds for a touchback
34.0%
-0.5
TEM · Drive 7FUMBLE · 13 plays · 53 yds
Q2 11:13
Jay Ducker run for no gain to the TEM 20
38.9%
+4.9
Q2 10:39
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 13 yds to the TEM 33 for a 1ST down
39.5%
+0.6
Q2 10:12
Evan Simon pass complete to Peter Clarke for 6 yds to the TEM 39
39.6%
+0.1
Q2 9:41
Evan Simon pass complete to Peter Clarke for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
40.2%
+0.6
Q2 9:02
Evan Simon pass complete to Peter Clarke for 2 yds to the NAVY 48
40.6%
+0.4
Q2 8:30
Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the NAVY 45
40.9%
+0.3
Q2 7:38
Evan Simon pass complete to Jay Ducker for 4 yds to the NAVY 41
41.8%
+0.8
Q2 7:03
Tyler Douglas run for 3 yds to the NAVY 38 for a 1ST down
41.4%
-0.3
Q2 6:27
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Colin Chase
43.0%
+1.6
Q2 6:17
Colin Chase run for 21 yds to the NAVY 17 for a 1ST down
43.0%
0.0
Q2 5:33
Hunter Smith run for 4 yds to the NAVY 13
43.1%
+0.1
Q2 4:25
JoJo Bermudez run for a loss of 4 yards to the NAVY 17
44.3%
+1.2
Q2 4:18
Evan Simon sacked by Adam Klenk for a loss of 10 yards to the NAVY 27 Evan Simon fumbled, recovered by NAVY Job Grant , return for 0 yards
44.0%
-0.2
NAVY · Drive 8PUNT · 4 plays · 5 yds
Q2 4:09
Blake Horvath run for 1 yd to the NAVY 28
39.8%
-4.2
Q2 3:29
Eli Heidenreich run for 4 yds to the NAVY 32
39.8%
0.0
Q2 2:55
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Joshua Guerin
39.8%
0.0
Q2 2:43
Jacob Carlson punt for 57 yds , JoJo Bermudez returns for 8 yds to the TEM 19
39.8%
0.0
TEM · Drive 9TD · 12 plays · 81 yds
Q2 2:36
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Kajiya Hollawayne
42.5%
+2.7
Q2 2:29
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Jay Ducker
42.5%
0.0
Q2 2:19
Evan Simon pass complete to Colin Chase for 13 yds to the TEM 32 for a 1ST down
42.8%
+0.3
Q2 1:51
Jay Ducker run for 8 yds to the TEM 40
42.7%
-0.1
Q2 1:29
Jay Ducker run for 5 yds to the TEM 45 for a 1ST down
44.7%
+2.0
Q2 1:12
Evan Simon pass complete to Peter Clarke for 20 yds to the NAVY 35 for a 1ST down
45.9%
+1.2
Q2 0:47
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Colin Chase
47.0%
+1.1
Q2 0:43
Timeout Temple, clock 00:43
46.7%
-0.3
Q2 0:42
Jay Ducker run for 5 yds to the NAVY 30
47.0%
+0.3
Q2 0:28
Evan Simon pass complete to Colin Chase for 29 yds to the NAVY 1 for a 1ST down
46.6%
-0.4
Q2 0:28
Timeout Navy, clock 00:28
46.2%
-0.4
Q2 0:25
Jay Ducker run for 1 yd for a TD (Carl Hardin KICK)
64.9%
+18.7
NAVY · Drive 10PUNT · 6 plays · 2 yds
Q2 0:25
Carl Hardin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
64.6%
-0.3
Q2 0:20
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Eli Heidenreich
60.3%
-4.3
Q2 0:16
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Nathan Kent
60.8%
+0.5
Q2 0:13
Timeout Temple, clock 00:13
60.8%
0.0
Q2 0:11
Alex Tecza run for 2 yds to the NAVY 27
60.8%
0.0
Q2 0:02
Jacob Carlson punt for 51 yds
60.8%
0.0
TEM · Drive 11END OF HALF · 1 play · -2 yds
Q2 0:00
(00:00) Kneel down by Temple at TEM20 for loss of 2 yards.
65.4%
+4.5
NAVY · Drive 12TD · 10 plays · 74 yds
Q3 14:54
Carl Hardin kickoff for 61 yds , Isaiah Bryant return for 22 yds to the NAVY 26
64.7%
-0.7
Q3 14:32
Blake Horvath run for 15 yds to the NAVY 41 for a 1ST down
62.7%
-2.0
Q3 14:00
Blake Horvath run for 4 yds to the NAVY 45
62.7%
0.0
Q3 13:22
Alex Tecza run for 2 yds to the NAVY 47
62.7%
0.0
Q3 12:42
Blake Horvath run for 1 yd to the NAVY 48
62.7%
0.0
Q3 11:53
Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 35 yds to the TEM 17 for a 1ST down
65.4%
+2.7
Q3 11:37
Brandon Chatman run for 4 yds to the TEM 13
63.7%
-1.7
Q3 10:55
Blake Horvath run for 4 yds to the TEM 9
64.6%
+0.9
Q3 10:18
Blake Horvath run for 7 yds to the TEM 2 for a 1ST down
64.8%
+0.1
Q3 9:59
Blake Horvath run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)
41.5%
-23.2
TEM · Drive 13TD · 7 plays · 72 yds
Q3 9:54
Lance Gossett kickoff for 62 yds , Tyler Stewart return for 25 yds to the TEM 28
44.4%
+2.9
Q3 9:44
Jay Ducker run for 12 yds to the TEM 40 for a 1ST down
51.2%
+6.9
Q3 9:08
Evan Simon run for 5 yds to the TEM 45
51.9%
+0.6
Q3 8:04
Jay Ducker run for 7 yds to the NAVY 48 for a 1ST down
52.1%
+0.2
Q3 7:38
Evan Simon pass complete to Hunter Smith for 21 yds to the NAVY 27 for a 1ST down
52.6%
+0.4
Q3 7:10
Hunter Smith run for 1 yd to the NAVY 26
52.9%
+0.4
Q3 6:37
Evan Simon pass complete to JoJo Bermudez for 26 yds for a TD (Carl Hardin KICK)
68.9%
+16.0
NAVY · Drive 14TD · 10 plays · 75 yds
Q3 6:37
Carl Hardin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
68.3%
-0.6
Q3 6:30
Alex Tecza run for 6 yds to the NAVY 31
67.1%
-1.2
Q3 5:50
Blake Horvath pass complete to Brandon Chatman for 10 yds to the NAVY 41 for a 1ST down
67.1%
0.0
Q3 5:18
Blake Horvath run for 4 yds to the NAVY 45
67.1%
0.0
Q3 4:31
Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 32 yds to the TEM 23 for a 1ST down
67.5%
+0.3
Q3 4:08
Eli Heidenreich run for 6 yds to the TEM 17
66.8%
-0.7
Q3 3:38
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Eli Heidenreich
66.8%
0.0
Q3 3:31
Blake Horvath run for 11 yds to the TEM 6 for a 1ST down
66.8%
0.0
Q3 2:54
Alex Tecza run for 4 yds to the TEM 2
66.8%
0.0
Q3 2:22
Alex Tecza run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)
45.3%
-21.5
TEM · Drive 15PUNT · 10 plays · 21 yds
Q3 2:22
Lance Gossett kickoff for 65 yds
48.2%
+2.9
Q3 1:39
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the TEM 27
54.6%
+6.4
Q3 1:39
(01:39) Simon,Evan pass incomplete deep middle to Hollawayne,Kajiya thrown to NAV35 PENALTY NAV Pass Interference (Oniha,Ira) 15 yards from TEM27 to TEM42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
54.6%
0.0
Q3 1:39
Timeout Temple, clock 01:39
55.2%
+0.6
Q3 1:31
Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the TEM 45
55.2%
0.0
Q3 0:50
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun Ducker,Jay rush left for 20 yards gain to the NAV35 (Pirris,Luke), out of bounds PENALTY TEM Holding (Hollawayne,Kajiya) 10 yards from TEM45 to TEM35. NO PLAY.
55.5%
+0.2
Q3 0:00
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 6 yds to the TEM 41
54.6%
-0.9
Q4 15:00
PENALTY NAV Offside (Pirris,Luke) 5 yards from TEM41 to TEM46. NO PLAY.
55.0%
+0.4
Q4 14:55
Evan Simon pass incomplete to JoJo Bermudez
55.2%
+0.2
Q4 14:48
Dante Atton punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brandon Chatman at the NAVY 10
56.9%
+1.7
NAVY · Drive 16FG · 17 plays · 59 yds
Q4 14:40
Blake Horvath run for 6 yds to the NAVY 16
51.3%
-5.6
Q4 14:06
Brandon Chatman run for 6 yds to the NAVY 22 for a 1ST down
51.3%
0.0
Q4 13:30
Alex Tecza run for 6 yds to the NAVY 28
51.3%
0.0
Q4 12:47
Blake Horvath run for 15 yds to the NAVY 43 for a 1ST down
51.3%
0.0
Q4 12:05
Blake Horvath run for 5 yds to the NAVY 48
51.6%
+0.4
Q4 11:20
Eli Heidenreich run for 1 yd to the NAVY 49
50.8%
-0.8
Q4 10:44
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Eli Heidenreich
50.8%
0.0
Q4 10:33
Blake Horvath run for 8 yds to the TEM 43 for a 1ST down
51.8%
+1.0
Q4 10:09
PENALTY NAV False Start (Acevedo,Jaylin) 5 yards from TEM43 to TEM48. NO PLAY.
52.7%
+0.9
Q4 9:41
Blake Horvath run for 4 yds to the TEM 44
53.8%
+1.1
Q4 9:04
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Eli Heidenreich
53.9%
+0.1
Q4 8:52
Blake Horvath run for 12 yds to the TEM 32 for a 1ST down
53.9%
0.0
Q4 8:11
Blake Horvath run for 5 yds to the TEM 27
53.3%
-0.6
Q4 7:23
Charles Robinson run for 2 yds to the TEM 25
53.3%
0.0
Q4 6:44
Jackson Gutierrez sacked by Curly Ordonez for a loss of 6 yards to the TEM 31
53.6%
+0.3
Q4 6:39
Timeout Temple, clock 06:39
54.4%
+0.8
Q4 6:34
Nathan Kirkwood 48 yd FG GOOD
36.0%
-18.3
TEM · Drive 17TD · 13 plays · 75 yds
Q4 6:34
Lance Gossett kickoff for 60 yds
37.9%
+1.9
Q4 6:23
Jay Ducker run for 5 yds to the TEM 30
47.5%
+9.6
Q4 5:49
Keveun Mason run for 23 yds to the NAVY 47 for a 1ST down
47.5%
0.0
Q4 5:08
Jay Ducker run for 8 yds to the NAVY 39
49.6%
+2.1
Q4 4:26
Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the NAVY 38
50.0%
+0.4
Q4 3:44
Evan Simon run for 2 yds to the NAVY 36 for a 1ST down
50.4%
+0.4
Q4 3:04
Jay Ducker run for 7 yds to the NAVY 29
50.6%
+0.3
Q4 2:21
Hunter Smith run for no gain to the NAVY 29
50.6%
0.0
Q4 1:55
Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the NAVY 25 for a 1ST down
51.4%
+0.8
Q4 1:23
Timeout Navy, clock 01:23
51.2%
-0.2
Q4 1:22
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the NAVY 23
51.2%
0.0
Q4 1:19
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 22 yds to the NAVY 1 for a 1ST down
51.2%
0.0
Q4 1:16
Jay Ducker run for 1 yd for a TD (Carl Hardin KICK)
87.5%
+36.2
NAVY · Drive 18TD · 9 plays · 75 yds
Q4 1:16
Carl Hardin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
87.4%
-0.1
Q4 1:08
Jackson Gutierrez pass incomplete
80.2%
-7.2
Q4 1:05
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun Horvath,Blake pass incomplete deep right to Heidenreich,Eli thrown to TEM26 PENALTY TEM Pass Interference (Osueke,Ben) 15 yards from NAV25 to NAV40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
80.2%
0.0
Q4 0:59
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Nathan Kent
80.8%
+0.6
Q4 0:54
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Eli Heidenreich
80.8%
0.0
Q4 0:47
Blake Horvath pass complete to Alex Tecza for 9 yds to the NAVY 49
80.8%
0.0
Q4 0:47
Timeout Navy, clock 00:47
80.6%
-0.2
Q4 0:39
B. Horvath run for 51 yds for a TD (B. Horvath pass to A. Tecza for Two-Point Conversion)
20.2%
-60.5
Q4 0:39
Timeout Temple, clock 00:39
72.5%
+52.3
TEM · Drive 19END OF GAME · 6 plays · 35 yds
Q4 0:39
Lance Gossett kickoff for 60 yds
10.9%
-61.6
Q4 0:20
Evan Simon pass complete to Peter Clarke for 8 yds to the TEM 33
29.8%
+18.9
Q4 0:11
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 10 yds to the TEM 43 for a 1ST down
25.2%
-4.6
Q4 0:00
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 9 yds to the NAVY 48
16.0%
-9.2
Q4 0:00
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 8 yds to the NAVY 40 for a 1ST down
16.2%
+0.2
Q4 0:00
Evan Simon pass incomplete
16.8%
+0.6
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:39
Lance Gossett kickoff for 60 yds
-61.6
TD · Q4 0:39
B. Horvath run for 51 yds for a TD (B. Horvath pass to A. Tecza for Two-Point Conversion)
-60.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:39
Timeout Temple, clock 00:39
+52.3