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CLT

Charlotte 7 at Army 24

ARMY
2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:12 · Grayson Loftis pass complete to Jake Young for 6 yds to the CLT 49 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 124Pregame prior+7.1Home team on offense+29.8Score differential+21.6Garbage-time factor+7.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:40: Cale Hellums run for 1 yd for a TD (Dawson Jones KICK) — ARMY win probability +2.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:39: Carson Smith run for 5 yds for a TD (Dawson Jones KICK) — ARMY win probability +3.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Liam Boyd kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — CLT win probability +1.9 pts (now 8%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:16: Cale Hellums run for 1 yd for a TD (Dawson Jones KICK) — ARMY win probability +2.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:08: Grayson Loftis pass complete to KD Hunter-Gibson for 16 yds for a TD (Liam Boyd KICK) — CLT win probability +1.6 pts (now 2%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 5 of 6CLT made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 8:46CLT 4th & 16 at CLT 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:15CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:30CLT 4th & 2 at ARMY 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    15.0%−0.3
    81% to make
    Punt
    13.1%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:15ARMY 4th & 2 at ARMY 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    84.4%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:52CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.6%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:14CLT 4th & 5 at ARMY 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:20ARMY 4th & 5 at CLT 45, up 17
    Close callPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    93.0%−1.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:24CLT 4th & 17 at CLT 3, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−2.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:16ARMY 4th & 1 at CLT 1, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    93.4%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    89.9%−4.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:19CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.7%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:51ARMY 4th & 3 at CLT 27, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:42CLT 4th & 15 at CLT 22, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:25ARMY 4th & 13 at CLT 21, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:12CLT 4th & 3 at CLT 43, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:54ARMY 4th & 13 at CLT 28, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CLT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:40ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:39ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:16ARMY Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:08CLT Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1PUNT
14 plays · 26 yds · 5:5812% → 14%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
88.1%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 7 yds to the CLT 29Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+1
88.0%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 1 yd to the CLT 30Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+2
87.8%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 2 yds to the CLT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
87.6%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 5 yds to the CLT 37Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+4
87.4%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 4 yds to the CLT 41Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
87.2%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 2 yds to the CLT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
87.0%
PENALTY CHAR False Start (Fernandez,Kristos) 5 yards from CHAR43 to CHAR38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+14
86.9%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Sean Brown for 14 yds to the ARMY 48Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+2
86.6%
Zach Wilcke run for 2 yds to the ARMY 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
86.5%
Zach Wilcke pass incomplete to Javen NicholasSimilar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
86.4%
Zach Wilcke run for 2 yds to the ARMY 44Similar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 8
OPP 44
-8
86.2%
Zach Wilcke run for a loss of 8 yards to the CLT 48Similar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 16
OWN 48
0
86.4%
Bronson Long punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 5:0086% → 87%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
86.2%
Cale Hellums run for 5 yds to the ARMY 25Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
86.1%
Hayden Reed run for 4 yds to the ARMY 29Similar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+5
85.8%
Hayden Reed run for 5 yds to the ARMY 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
85.7%
Noah Short run for 5 yds to the ARMY 39Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+4
85.8%
Cale Hellums run for 4 yds to the ARMY 43Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+2
85.6%
Hayden Reed run for 2 yds to the ARMY 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
85.5%
Noah Short run for 4 yds to the ARMY 49Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+50
85.3%
Cale Hellums run for 50 yds to the CLT 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.4%
Cale Hellums run for 1 yd for a TD (Dawson Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0313% → 13%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
86.7%
Javen Nicholas run for 4 yds to the CLT 28Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+1
86.2%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Rod Gainey Jr. for 1 yd Rod Gainey Jr. fumbled, recovered by CLT Rod Gainey Jr.Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
86.4%
Zach Wilcke pass incomplete to Javen NicholasSimilar
Q1 2:15
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
86.7%
Bronson Long punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Lloyd Benson III at the ARMY 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4FUMBLE
1 play · 13 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
86.5%
Hayden Reed run for 13 yds to the ARMY 36 Hayden Reed fumbled, recovered by CLT Xavier MilesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:2814% → 15%
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
85.6%
Zach Wilcke run for 8 yds to the ARMY 28Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+4
85.1%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Sean Brown for 4 yds to the ARMY 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
84.9%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 4 yds to the ARMY 20Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+3
84.7%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 3 yds to the ARMY 17Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+1
85.1%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 1 yd to the ARMY 16Similar
Q2 14:30
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+1
85.4%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Javen Nicholas for 1 yd to the ARMY 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6TD
17 plays · 85 yds · 10:4386% → 90%
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
86.1%
Noah Short run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARMY 14Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+8
85.9%
Cale Hellums run for 8 yds to the ARMY 22Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+6
85.6%
Cale Hellums run for 6 yds to the ARMY 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
85.9%
Carson Smith run for 9 yds to the ARMY 37Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+4
86.3%
Carson Smith run for 4 yds to the ARMY 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
86.3%
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the ARMY 44Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+3
86.3%
Briggs Bartosh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 47Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+2
85.9%
Cale Hellums run for 2 yds to the ARMY 49Similar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+3
85.4%
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the CLT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
86.3%
Lloyd Benson III run for no gain to the CLT 48Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+11
86.5%
Cale Hellums run for 11 yds to the CLT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
86.6%
Jake Rendina run for 5 yds to the CLT 32Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+5
86.6%
Cale Hellums run for 5 yds to the CLT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
86.5%
Briggs Bartosh run for 14 yds to the CLT 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
86.5%
Cale Hellums run for 5 yds to the CLT 8Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+3
86.4%
Noah Short run for 3 yds to the CLT 5Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+5
90.1%
Carson Smith run for 5 yds for a TD (Dawson Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7DOWNS
14 plays · 27 yds · 2:0911% → 10%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.1%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Cameren Smith for 3 yds to the CLT 28Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
89.0%
Cameren Smith run for 2 yds to the CLT 30Similar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
89.3%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Sean Brown for 6 yds to the CLT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
89.2%
Zach Wilcke pass incomplete to Miles BurrisSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
89.4%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Sean Brown for 8 yds to the CLT 44Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
87.9%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 1 yd to the CLT 45Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
89.4%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 2 yds to the CLT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
89.3%
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Miles Burris for 5 yds to the ARMY 48Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
88.7%
Zach Wilcke pass incomplete to Gus McGeeSimilar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
88.9%
Zach Wilcke pass incomplete to Javen NicholasSimilar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
89.7%
Zach Wilcke pass incomplete to Sean BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8FG
11 plays · 31 yds · 1:0491% → 94%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
91.0%
Noah Short run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 8
50
+10
91.0%
Carson Smith run for 10 yds to the CLT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
91.6%
Cale Hellums run for 5 yds to the CLT 35Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
91.4%
Cale Hellums pass incomplete to Samari HowardSimilar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
91.0%
(00:27) Shotgun Hellums,Cale rush middle for 0 yards to the CHAR35 (Clinkscales,CJ) PENALTY ARMY Holding offsetting CHAR Face Mask offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+10
90.8%
Cale Hellums run for 10 yds to the CLT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
91.8%
Cale Hellums run for 4 yds to the CLT 21Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+38
93.6%
Dawson Jones 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:3292% → 94%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.3%
Briggs Bartosh run for 2 yds to the ARMY 27Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
92.4%
Briggs Bartosh run for 2 yds to the ARMY 29Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
91.9%
Cale Hellums pass complete to Tobi Olawole for 6 yds to the ARMY 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
92.6%
Cale Hellums run for 8 yds to the ARMY 43Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+7
93.3%
Carson Smith run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
50
+2
93.5%
Carson Smith run for 2 yds to the CLT 48Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
94.5%
Cale Hellums pass incomplete to Noah ShortSimilar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+3
94.3%
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the CLT 45Similar
Q3 10:20
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
94.0%
James Wagenseller punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Javen Nicholas at the CLT 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:477% → 6%
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-6
93.1%
Zach Wilcke sacked by Eric Ford for a loss of 6 yards to the CLT 4Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 16
OWN 4
-1
93.7%
Zach Wilcke run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLT 3Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 17
OWN 3
0
93.8%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for no gain to the CLT 3Similar
Q3 8:24
4TH & 17
OWN 3
0
93.9%
Bronson Long punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Lloyd Benson III at the ARMY 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11TD
8 plays · 54 yds · 3:5995% → 98%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
95.2%
Noah Short run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 6
50
-9
95.2%
Noah Short run for 6 yds to the CLT 44 Army Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Noah Short) to the ARMY 41Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+6
95.1%
Cale Hellums run for 6 yds to the ARMY 47Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+44
95.1%
Cale Hellums pass complete to Noah Short for 44 yds to the CLT 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
95.5%
Jake Rendina run for 5 yds to the CLT 4Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
95.6%
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the CLT 1Similar
Q3 4:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.6%
Cale Hellums run for no gain to the CLT 1Similar
Q3 4:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.1%
Cale Hellums run for 1 yd for a TD (Dawson Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:502% → 2%
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.0%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 9 yds to the CLT 34Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
97.9%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for no gain to the CLT 34Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
98.0%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for no gain to the CLT 34Similar
Q3 2:19
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
98.3%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for no gain to the CLT 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2299% → 99%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
98.5%
Dewayne Coleman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
98.5%
Dewayne Coleman run for 1 yd to the CLT 33Similar
Q3 1:28
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+6
98.5%
Hayden Reed run for 6 yds to the CLT 27Similar
Q3 0:51
4TH & 3
OPP 27
0
98.5%
Hayden Reed run for no gain to the CLT 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:012% → 1%
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
98.5%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 25Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+3
98.7%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Javen Nicholas for 3 yds to the CLT 22Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 15
OWN 22
0
98.7%
Grayson Loftis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 15
OWN 22
+20
98.7%
Bronson Long punt for 43 yds , Lloyd Benson III returns for 20 yds to the CLT 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15MISSED FG
7 plays · 24 yds · 3:0899% → 99%
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
98.8%
Hayden Reed run for 5 yds to the CLT 40Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+6
98.9%
Hayden Reed run for 6 yds to the CLT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
98.9%
Charlotte Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Xavier Miles) to the CLT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
99.0%
Briggs Bartosh run for 2 yds to the CLT 16Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 8
OPP 16
-5
99.0%
Lloyd Benson III run for a loss of 5 yards to the CLT 21Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 13
OPP 21
0
99.0%
Dewayne Coleman pass incomplete to Kavon PointerSimilar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 13
OPP 21
+38
98.9%
Dawson Jones 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16FUMBLE
6 plays · 38 yds · 2:231% → 1%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
99.0%
Grayson Loftis run for 15 yds to the CLT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
98.9%
Grayson Loftis sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the CLT 35Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+2
99.0%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 2 yds to the CLT 37Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+6
99.0%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Jake Young for 6 yds to the CLT 43Similar
Q4 9:12
4TH & 3
OWN 43
+6
99.1%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Jake Young for 6 yds to the CLT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
99.0%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 10 yds to the ARMY 41 Rod Gainey Jr. fumbled, recovered by CLT Stephen NnadozieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17MISSED FG
12 plays · 31 yds · 6:4699% → 100%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
99.2%
Hayden Reed run for 8 yds to the ARMY 49Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+3
99.2%
Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the CLT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
99.2%
Dewayne Coleman run for 5 yds to the CLT 43Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+5
99.3%
Dewayne Coleman run for 5 yds to the CLT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
99.4%
Briggs Bartosh run for 2 yds to the CLT 36Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+5
99.4%
Dewayne Coleman run for 5 yds to the CLT 31Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+6
99.4%
Dewayne Coleman run for 6 yds to the CLT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
99.5%
Dewayne Coleman run for a loss of 3 yards to the CLT 28Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+3
99.5%
Dewayne Coleman run for 3 yds to the CLT 25Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 10
OPP 25
-3
99.5%
Noah Short run for a loss of 3 yards to the CLT 28Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 13
OPP 28
+45
99.7%
Dawson Jones 45 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Dwight Bootle II (01:59) Jones,Dawson field goal attempt from 45 yards NO GOOD blocked by Bootle II,Dwight (H: Allan,Cooper, LS: Walter,Owen), clock 01:54 recovered by CHAR Williams II,DeQuinder at CHAR41, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 1:351% → 2%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.4%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Cameren Smith for 6 yds to the CLT 47Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
99.4%
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete to Cameren SmithSimilar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+10
99.4%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Jaylen Hampton for 10 yds to the ARMY 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
99.4%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Connor Adair for 5 yds to the ARMY 38Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+22
99.3%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Derrick Eley for 22 yds to the ARMY 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.3%
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete to Jaylen HamptonSimilar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
99.3%
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete to Connor AdairSimilar
Q4 0:08
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+16
97.7%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to KD Hunter-Gibson for 16 yds for a TD (Liam Boyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.7%
D. Coleman takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:39
Carson Smith run for 5 yds for a TD (Dawson Jones KICK)
+3.6
TD · Q3 4:16
Cale Hellums run for 1 yd for a TD (Dawson Jones KICK)
+2.5
TD · Q1 3:40
Cale Hellums run for 1 yd for a TD (Dawson Jones KICK)
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com