CLT
Charlotte 7 at Army 24
ARMY2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Michie Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey play
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CLT · Drive 1PUNT · 14 plays · 26 yds
Q1 14:55
Anderson Britton kickoff for 62 yds , Derrick Eley return for 19 yds to the CLT 22
87.1%
0.0
Q1 14:44
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 7 yds to the CLT 29
85.0%
-2.1
Q1 14:19
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 1 yd to the CLT 30
85.0%
0.0
Q1 13:41
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 2 yds to the CLT 32 for a 1ST down
85.0%
0.0
Q1 13:01
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 5 yds to the CLT 37
85.0%
0.0
Q1 12:26
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 4 yds to the CLT 41
84.9%
-0.1
Q1 11:45
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 2 yds to the CLT 43 for a 1ST down
84.3%
-0.6
Q1 11:18
PENALTY CHAR False Start (Fernandez,Kristos) 5 yards from CHAR43 to CHAR38. NO PLAY.
84.3%
0.0
Q1 10:50
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Sean Brown for 14 yds to the ARMY 48
83.5%
-0.8
Q1 10:23
Zach Wilcke run for 2 yds to the ARMY 46 for a 1ST down
82.7%
-0.8
Q1 10:00
Zach Wilcke pass incomplete to Javen Nicholas
82.7%
0.0
Q1 9:48
Zach Wilcke run for 2 yds to the ARMY 44
82.7%
0.0
Q1 9:01
Zach Wilcke run for a loss of 8 yards to the CLT 48
82.8%
+0.1
Q1 8:46
Bronson Long punt for 52 yds for a touchback
82.8%
0.0
ARMY · Drive 2TD · 9 plays · 80 yds
Q1 8:40
Cale Hellums run for 5 yds to the ARMY 25
85.9%
+3.1
Q1 8:05
Hayden Reed run for 4 yds to the ARMY 29
86.0%
0.0
Q1 7:29
Hayden Reed run for 5 yds to the ARMY 34 for a 1ST down
86.0%
0.0
Q1 6:56
Noah Short run for 5 yds to the ARMY 39
86.0%
0.0
Q1 6:17
Cale Hellums run for 4 yds to the ARMY 43
84.8%
-1.2
Q1 5:40
Hayden Reed run for 2 yds to the ARMY 45 for a 1ST down
84.7%
-0.1
Q1 5:02
Noah Short run for 4 yds to the ARMY 49
84.8%
+0.1
Q1 4:13
Cale Hellums run for 50 yds to the CLT 1 for a 1ST down
84.8%
0.0
Q1 3:40
Cale Hellums run for 1 yd for a TD (Dawson Jones KICK)
93.3%
+8.4
CLT · Drive 3PUNT · 5 plays · 5 yds
Q1 3:33
Anderson Britton kickoff for 54 yds , Derrick Eley return for 13 yds to the CLT 24
93.0%
-0.2
Q1 3:18
Javen Nicholas run for 4 yds to the CLT 28
92.0%
-1.0
Q1 2:23
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Rod Gainey Jr. for 1 yd Rod Gainey Jr. fumbled, recovered by CLT Rod Gainey Jr.
92.0%
-0.1
Q1 2:23
Zach Wilcke pass incomplete to Javen Nicholas
92.0%
0.0
Q1 2:15
Bronson Long punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Lloyd Benson III at the ARMY 23
91.9%
-0.1
ARMY · Drive 4FUMBLE · 1 play · 13 yds
Q1 2:07
Hayden Reed run for 13 yds to the ARMY 36 Hayden Reed fumbled, recovered by CLT Xavier Miles
92.9%
+1.0
CLT · Drive 5DOWNS · 6 plays · 21 yds
Q1 1:58
Zach Wilcke run for 8 yds to the ARMY 28
91.1%
-1.8
Q1 1:20
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Sean Brown for 4 yds to the ARMY 24 for a 1ST down
91.1%
0.0
Q1 0:47
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 4 yds to the ARMY 20
91.1%
0.0
Q1 0:00
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 3 yds to the ARMY 17
91.0%
-0.2
Q2 14:54
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 1 yd to the ARMY 16
91.0%
0.0
Q2 14:30
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Javen Nicholas for 1 yd to the ARMY 15
91.2%
+0.2
ARMY · Drive 6TD · 17 plays · 85 yds
Q2 14:22
Noah Short run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARMY 14
92.3%
+1.2
Q2 13:50
Cale Hellums run for 8 yds to the ARMY 22
92.3%
0.0
Q2 13:10
Cale Hellums run for 6 yds to the ARMY 28 for a 1ST down
92.3%
0.0
Q2 12:27
Carson Smith run for 9 yds to the ARMY 37
92.3%
0.0
Q2 11:50
Carson Smith run for 4 yds to the ARMY 41 for a 1ST down
92.6%
+0.3
Q2 11:15
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the ARMY 44
92.7%
0.0
Q2 10:35
Briggs Bartosh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 47
92.7%
0.0
Q2 10:03
Cale Hellums run for 2 yds to the ARMY 49
92.7%
+0.1
Q2 9:15
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the CLT 48 for a 1ST down
92.5%
-0.2
Q2 8:32
Lloyd Benson III run for no gain to the CLT 48
92.8%
+0.3
Q2 7:46
Cale Hellums run for 11 yds to the CLT 37 for a 1ST down
92.9%
+0.1
Q2 6:55
Jake Rendina run for 5 yds to the CLT 32
92.9%
0.0
Q2 6:18
Cale Hellums run for 5 yds to the CLT 27 for a 1ST down
92.7%
-0.1
Q2 5:32
Briggs Bartosh run for 14 yds to the CLT 13 for a 1ST down
92.7%
0.0
Q2 4:54
Cale Hellums run for 5 yds to the CLT 8
92.7%
0.0
Q2 4:13
Noah Short run for 3 yds to the CLT 5
92.7%
0.0
Q2 3:39
Carson Smith run for 5 yds for a TD (Dawson Jones KICK)
98.7%
+6.0
CLT · Drive 7DOWNS · 14 plays · 27 yds
Q2 3:39
Anderson Britton kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
98.7%
0.0
Q2 3:23
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Cameren Smith for 3 yds to the CLT 28
96.9%
-1.8
Q2 3:01
Cameren Smith run for 2 yds to the CLT 30
96.9%
0.0
Q2 2:29
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Sean Brown for 6 yds to the CLT 36 for a 1ST down
96.9%
0.0
Q2 2:06
Zach Wilcke pass incomplete to Miles Burris
97.3%
+0.3
Q2 2:00
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Sean Brown for 8 yds to the CLT 44
97.3%
0.0
Q2 2:00
Timeout Army, clock 02:00
97.1%
-0.2
Q2 1:54
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 1 yd to the CLT 45
97.1%
0.0
Q2 1:54
Timeout Charlotte, clock 01:54
97.0%
0.0
Q2 1:52
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 2 yds to the CLT 47 for a 1ST down
97.0%
0.0
Q2 1:32
Zach Wilcke pass complete to Miles Burris for 5 yds to the ARMY 48
97.0%
0.0
Q2 1:25
Zach Wilcke pass incomplete to Gus McGee
96.9%
-0.1
Q2 1:19
Zach Wilcke pass incomplete to Javen Nicholas
96.9%
0.0
Q2 1:14
Zach Wilcke pass incomplete to Sean Brown
96.9%
0.0
ARMY · Drive 8FG · 11 plays · 31 yds
Q2 1:04
Noah Short run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
98.8%
+1.9
Q2 0:47
Carson Smith run for 10 yds to the CLT 40 for a 1ST down
98.8%
0.0
Q2 0:32
Timeout Army, clock 00:32
98.9%
0.0
Q2 0:31
Cale Hellums run for 5 yds to the CLT 35
98.9%
0.0
Q2 0:27
Cale Hellums pass incomplete to Samari Howard
98.8%
0.0
Q2 0:22
(00:27) Shotgun Hellums,Cale rush middle for 0 yards to the CHAR35 (Clinkscales,CJ) PENALTY ARMY Holding offsetting CHAR Face Mask offsetting. NO PLAY.
98.8%
0.0
Q2 0:09
Cale Hellums run for 10 yds to the CLT 25 for a 1ST down
98.9%
+0.1
Q2 0:09
Timeout Army, clock 00:09
98.9%
0.0
Q2 0:04
Cale Hellums run for 4 yds to the CLT 21
98.9%
+0.1
Q2 0:03
Timeout Army, clock 00:03
98.9%
0.0
Q2 0:00
Dawson Jones 38 yd FG GOOD
99.2%
+0.2
ARMY · Drive 9PUNT · 10 plays · 30 yds
Q3 15:00
Liam Boyd kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
98.3%
-0.9
Q3 14:52
Briggs Bartosh run for 2 yds to the ARMY 27
99.1%
+0.8
Q3 14:19
Briggs Bartosh run for 2 yds to the ARMY 29
99.1%
0.0
Q3 13:34
Cale Hellums pass complete to Tobi Olawole for 6 yds to the ARMY 35 for a 1ST down
99.1%
0.0
Q3 13:04
Cale Hellums run for 8 yds to the ARMY 43
99.2%
+0.1
Q3 12:26
Carson Smith run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
99.2%
0.0
Q3 11:44
Carson Smith run for 2 yds to the CLT 48
99.1%
0.0
Q3 11:06
Cale Hellums pass incomplete to Noah Short
99.2%
+0.1
Q3 10:58
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the CLT 45
99.2%
0.0
Q3 10:20
James Wagenseller punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Javen Nicholas at the CLT 10
99.2%
0.0
CLT · Drive 10PUNT · 4 plays · -7 yds
Q3 10:11
Zach Wilcke sacked by Eric Ford for a loss of 6 yards to the CLT 4
98.4%
-0.8
Q3 9:32
Zach Wilcke run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLT 3
98.4%
0.0
Q3 8:58
Rod Gainey Jr. run for no gain to the CLT 3
98.4%
0.0
Q3 8:24
Bronson Long punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Lloyd Benson III at the ARMY 46
98.4%
0.0
ARMY · Drive 11TD · 8 plays · 54 yds
Q3 8:15
Noah Short run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line
99.2%
+0.8
Q3 7:36
Noah Short run for 6 yds to the CLT 44 Army Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Noah Short) to the ARMY 41
99.2%
0.0
Q3 7:13
Cale Hellums run for 6 yds to the ARMY 47
99.2%
0.0
Q3 6:35
Cale Hellums pass complete to Noah Short for 44 yds to the CLT 9 for a 1ST down
99.2%
0.0
Q3 5:57
Jake Rendina run for 5 yds to the CLT 4
99.3%
0.0
Q3 5:27
Cale Hellums run for 3 yds to the CLT 1
99.3%
0.0
Q3 4:42
Cale Hellums run for no gain to the CLT 1
99.3%
0.0
Q3 4:16
Cale Hellums run for 1 yd for a TD (Dawson Jones KICK)
99.6%
+0.3
CLT · Drive 12DOWNS · 5 plays · 9 yds
Q3 4:16
Anderson Britton kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.6%
0.0
Q3 4:09
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 9 yds to the CLT 34
99.3%
-0.3
Q3 3:43
Rod Gainey Jr. run for no gain to the CLT 34
99.3%
0.0
Q3 3:04
Rod Gainey Jr. run for no gain to the CLT 34
99.3%
0.0
Q3 2:19
Rod Gainey Jr. run for no gain to the CLT 34
99.3%
0.0
ARMY · Drive 13DOWNS · 4 plays · 7 yds
Q3 2:13
Dewayne Coleman pass incomplete
99.6%
+0.3
Q3 2:05
Dewayne Coleman run for 1 yd to the CLT 33
99.6%
0.0
Q3 1:28
Hayden Reed run for 6 yds to the CLT 27
99.6%
0.0
Q3 0:51
Hayden Reed run for no gain to the CLT 27
99.6%
0.0
CLT · Drive 14PUNT · 4 plays · -5 yds
Q3 0:43
Rod Gainey Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 25
99.3%
-0.3
Q3 0:00
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Javen Nicholas for 3 yds to the CLT 22
99.3%
0.0
Q4 14:54
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete
99.3%
0.0
Q4 14:42
Bronson Long punt for 43 yds , Lloyd Benson III returns for 20 yds to the CLT 45
99.3%
0.0
ARMY · Drive 15MISSED FG · 7 plays · 24 yds
Q4 14:33
Hayden Reed run for 5 yds to the CLT 40
99.6%
+0.3
Q4 13:57
Hayden Reed run for 6 yds to the CLT 34 for a 1ST down
99.6%
0.0
Q4 13:13
Charlotte Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Xavier Miles) to the CLT 18 for a 1ST down
99.6%
0.0
Q4 12:44
Briggs Bartosh run for 2 yds to the CLT 16
99.6%
0.0
Q4 12:12
Lloyd Benson III run for a loss of 5 yards to the CLT 21
99.6%
0.0
Q4 11:30
Dewayne Coleman pass incomplete to Kavon Pointer
99.6%
0.0
Q4 11:25
Dawson Jones 38 yd FG MISSED
99.6%
0.0
CLT · Drive 16FUMBLE · 6 plays · 38 yds
Q4 11:11
Grayson Loftis run for 15 yds to the CLT 36 for a 1ST down
99.4%
-0.3
Q4 10:48
Grayson Loftis sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the CLT 35
99.4%
0.0
Q4 10:25
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 2 yds to the CLT 37
99.4%
0.0
Q4 9:42
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Jake Young for 6 yds to the CLT 43
99.3%
0.0
Q4 9:12
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Jake Young for 6 yds to the CLT 49 for a 1ST down
99.3%
0.0
Q4 8:48
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 10 yds to the ARMY 41 Rod Gainey Jr. fumbled, recovered by CLT Stephen Nnadozie
99.3%
0.0
ARMY · Drive 17MISSED FG · 12 plays · 31 yds
Q4 8:40
Hayden Reed run for 8 yds to the ARMY 49
99.6%
+0.3
Q4 7:56
Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the CLT 48 for a 1ST down
99.7%
0.0
Q4 7:12
Dewayne Coleman run for 5 yds to the CLT 43
99.7%
0.0
Q4 6:30
Dewayne Coleman run for 5 yds to the CLT 38 for a 1ST down
99.7%
0.0
Q4 5:38
Briggs Bartosh run for 2 yds to the CLT 36
99.7%
0.0
Q4 5:01
Dewayne Coleman run for 5 yds to the CLT 31
99.7%
0.0
Q4 4:18
Dewayne Coleman run for 6 yds to the CLT 25 for a 1ST down
99.7%
0.0
Q4 3:31
Dewayne Coleman run for a loss of 3 yards to the CLT 28
99.7%
0.0
Q4 2:51
Dewayne Coleman run for 3 yds to the CLT 25
99.7%
0.0
Q4 2:06
Noah Short run for a loss of 3 yards to the CLT 28
99.7%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Army, clock 02:00
99.7%
0.0
Q4 1:54
Dawson Jones 45 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Dwight Bootle II (01:59) Jones,Dawson field goal attempt from 45 yards NO GOOD blocked by Bootle II,Dwight (H: Allan,Cooper, LS: Walter,Owen), clock 01:54 recovered by CHAR Williams II,DeQuinder at CHAR41, End Of Play.
99.7%
0.0
CLT · Drive 18TD · 8 plays · 59 yds
Q4 1:43
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Cameren Smith for 6 yds to the CLT 47
99.3%
-0.4
Q4 1:23
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete to Cameren Smith
99.3%
0.0
Q4 1:16
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Jaylen Hampton for 10 yds to the ARMY 43 for a 1ST down
99.3%
0.0
Q4 0:48
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Connor Adair for 5 yds to the ARMY 38
99.2%
0.0
Q4 0:48
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Derrick Eley for 22 yds to the ARMY 16 for a 1ST down
99.2%
0.0
Q4 0:19
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete to Jaylen Hampton
99.2%
0.0
Q4 0:19
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete to Connor Adair
99.2%
0.0
Q4 0:08
Grayson Loftis pass complete to KD Hunter-Gibson for 16 yds for a TD (Liam Boyd KICK)
98.7%
-0.5
ARMY · Drive 19END OF GAME · 2 plays · -1 yds
Q4 0:08
Liam Boyd kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
98.8%
+0.1
Q4 0:00
D. Coleman takes a knee
99.4%
+0.6
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 3:40
Cale Hellums run for 1 yd for a TD (Dawson Jones KICK)
+8.4
TD · Q2 3:39
Carson Smith run for 5 yds for a TD (Dawson Jones KICK)
+6
KEY PLAY · Q1 8:40
Cale Hellums run for 5 yds to the ARMY 25
+3.1