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UAB

UAB 33 at Florida Atlantic 53

FAU
2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:47 · Jalen Kitna sacked by Earl Miller Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 145Home team on offense+36.5Score differential+31.9Pregame prior+0.2Garbage-time factor+12.0Blowout margin+17.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:27: Easton Messer pass complete to Jayshon Platt for 48 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK) — FAU win probability +8.2 pts (now 81%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:04: Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Jabari Smith for 37 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK) — FAU win probability +5.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:47: Solomon Beebe run for 14 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — UAB win probability +7.0 pts (now 13%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:15: Solomon Beebe 13 Yd Run (Jalen Kitna Pass to Iverson Hooks for Two-Point Conversion) — UAB win probability +11.8 pts (now 24%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:29: Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dominique Henry for 43 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK) — FAU win probability +8.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UAB made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 13:19UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:19UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:03UAB 4th & 5 at UAB 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:04FAU 4th & 2 at UAB 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    66.5%−0.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    66.4%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:01UAB 4th & 16 at UAB 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:45UAB 4th & 24 at UAB 22, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−2.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:52UAB 4th & 5 at FAU 44, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    5.8%−2.0
    27% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:15UAB 4th & 2 at FAU 13, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    10.5%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:00FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    79.9%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:35UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 33, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−1.0
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:05UAB 4th & 16 at FAU 27, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:10FAU 4th & 1 at UAB 30, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:57FAU 4th & 8 at UAB 10, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:47UAB 4th & 15 at UAB 20, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UAB made the numbers' call on 0 of 2
  1. Q1 10:07FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:17FAU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:27FAU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:04FAU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:47UAB Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    11.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    11.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:15UAB Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    16.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    16.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:29FAU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:40FAU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:1535% → 35%
Q1 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Solomon Beebe for no gain to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
64.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Evan McCray for no gain to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
64.9%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Kaleb BrownSimilar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
65.0%
Patrick Foley punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Easton Messer at the FAU 31Similar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
65.0%
Patrick Foley punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Easton Messer at the FAU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:3065% → 67%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
64.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for no gain to the FAU 36Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
64.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Asaad WaseemSimilar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+10
64.5%
Easton Messer run for 10 yds to the FAU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+23
65.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 23 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
65.3%
Jayshon Platt run for 10 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
65.3%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 8 yds to the UAB 13Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+13
66.9%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 13 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4934% → 33%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.2%
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the UAB 26Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-7
66.5%
Jalen Kitna sacked by Wilky Denaud for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 19Similar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+11
66.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 11 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q1 8:03
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+31
67.2%
Patrick Foley punt for 46 yds , Easton Messer returns for 31 yds to the UAB 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:4668% → 72%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
67.5%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 47Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+7
67.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 7 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+3
67.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 3 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q1 6:04
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+3
67.5%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 3 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
68.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+26
68.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Jayshon Platt for 26 yds to the UAB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
68.5%
UAB Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Delvon Gulley) to the UAB 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
72.4%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 2 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5PUNT
12 plays · 23 yds · 4:0629% → 28%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
70.8%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Antonio Ferguson for 5 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
70.3%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
70.5%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-6
70.3%
Jalen Kitna sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+20
71.8%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kaleb Brown for 20 yds to the FAU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
70.8%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Moore,Logan) 5 yards from FAU46 to UAB49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 15
OWN 49
-3
71.0%
Jevon Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 46Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 18
OWN 46
+2
71.8%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Solomon Beebe for 2 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q1 1:08
3RD & 16
OWN 48
0
72.0%
UAB Penalty, Illegal Formation (Devin Hightower) declinedSimilar
Q1 1:01
4TH & 16
OWN 48
0
72.3%
Patrick Foley punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Easton Messer at the FAU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 81 yds · 0:2973% → 80%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
73.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Kaden Shields-DuttonSimilar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+33
73.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 33 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
81.2%
Easton Messer pass complete to Jayshon Platt for 48 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
80.4%
PENALTY UAB Targeting (Rogers,JaMichael) 15 yards from FAU35 to FAU50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · -14 yds · 1:3120% → 18%
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
80.1%
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the UAB 37Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+2
80.4%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Brandon Hawkins Jr. for 2 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-5
81.0%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Hawkins Jr.,Brandon) 5 yards from UAB35 to UAB30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 30
-3
81.1%
Jalen Kitna sacked by CJ Doggette Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 27Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 27
-5
81.1%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Elder,Jaylen) 5 yards from UAB27 to UAB22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:45
4TH & 24
OWN 22
+22
82.0%
Patrick Foley punt for 40 yds , Easton Messer returns for 22 yds to the UAB 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 40 yds · 0:4184% → 89%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
83.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Gemari Sands for 3 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+37
89.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Jabari Smith for 37 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9TD
17 plays · 77 yds · 7:0211% → 13%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
89.5%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+5
89.4%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 5 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-8
89.9%
Jalen Kitna sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 25Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 18
OWN 25
+9
90.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Solomon Beebe for 9 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+17
91.4%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 17 yds to the FAU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
91.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Brandon Hawkins Jr. for 5 yds to the FAU 44Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
90.5%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Iverson HooksSimilar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
90.9%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Antonio FergusonSimilar
Q2 8:52
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
91.2%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Iverson HooksSimilar
Q2 8:52
4TH & 5
OPP 44
+15
91.2%
(08:53) No Huddle-Shotgun Kitna,Jalen pass incomplete deep left to Hooks,Iverson thrown to FAU20 PENALTY FAU Pass Interference (Rogers Jr.,Derrick) 15 yards from FAU44 to FAU29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
90.8%
Isaiah Jacobs run for no gain to the FAU 29Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
91.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 4 yds to the FAU 25Similar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+6
93.4%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 6 yds to the FAU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
93.7%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Elijah LaggSimilar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+5
94.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Solomon Beebe for 5 yds to the FAU 14Similar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+14
87.0%
Solomon Beebe run for 14 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-6
90.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass intercepted Devin Hightower return for 6 yds to the FAU 21Similar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-7
90.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass intercepted Devin Hightower return for 7 yds to the FAU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11TD
4 plays · 21 yds · 2:0913% → 24%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
86.7%
Jevon Jackson run for no gain to the FAU 21Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+8
87.4%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Jevon Jackson for 8 yds to the FAU 13Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 2
OPP 13
0
88.1%
Nate Rogers run for no gain to the FAU 13Similar
Q2 3:15
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+13
76.3%
Solomon Beebe 13 Yd Run (Jalen Kitna Pass to Iverson Hooks for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 1:4679% → 93%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
78.6%
PENALTY UAB UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Crozier,Isaiah) 15 yards from FAU25 to FAU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
79.7%
Gemari Sands run for 1 yd to the FAU 41Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+1
80.2%
Gemari Sands run for 1 yd to the FAU 42Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+5
81.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Gemari Sands for 5 yds to the FAU 47Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 3
OWN 47
+11
81.1%
Gemari Sands run for 11 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
83.0%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun Sands,Gemari rush left for 8 yards gain to the UAB34 (Hightower,Devin; Royster,Pierre) PENALTY FAU Holding (Kirch,Michael) 10 yards from UAB42 to FAU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 20
OWN 48
+1
82.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 1 yd to the FAU 49Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 19
OWN 49
+8
83.2%
Gemari Sands run for 8 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+43
93.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dominique Henry for 43 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:547% → 9%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.0%
UAB Penalty, Defensive Offside (Devin Hightower) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
91.2%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 10 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
90.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Antonio Ferguson for 6 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
90.0%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Brandon Hawkins Jr.Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
90.6%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Brandon Hawkins Jr.Similar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
90.8%
Patrick Foley punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Easton Messer at the FAU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:2993% → 93%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
93.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 9 yds to the FAU 26Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+3
93.0%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 3 yds to the FAU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
92.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Asaad WaseemSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
92.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Jayshon PlattSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+4
93.2%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 4 yds to the FAU 33Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
93.0%
Logan Lupo punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:1293% → 98%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
50
+12
93.0%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 12 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
93.0%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 3 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+8
93.0%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 8 yds to the UAB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+16
93.0%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 16 yds to the UAB 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
93.9%
Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds to the UAB 9Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+7
94.0%
(12:28) No Huddle-Shotgun Veltkamp,Caden pass incomplete short left to Henry,Dom thrown to UAB00 PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Gulley,Delvon) 7 yards from UAB09 to UAB02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
94.2%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 1 yd to the UAB 1Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.4%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16FG
15 plays · 36 yds · 6:380% → 0%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
99.8%
Jevon Jackson run for 9 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+5
99.8%
Jevon Jackson run for 5 yds to the FAU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Solomon Beebe for 4 yds to the FAU 45Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+4
99.9%
Jevon Jackson run for 4 yds to the FAU 41Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+3
99.9%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 3 yds to the FAU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 9 yds to the FAU 29Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 1
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Isaiah Jacobs run for no gain to the FAU 29Similar
Q4 7:38
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+8
99.9%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 8 yds to the FAU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
99.9%
(06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun Kitna,Jalen pass incomplete deep right to Lagg,Elijah thrown to FAU00 PENALTY UAB Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Lepkowski,Adam) 5 yards from FAU21 to FAU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+2
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Jevon Jackson for 2 yds to the FAU 24Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+7
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 7 yds to the FAU 17Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Iverson HooksSimilar
Q4 5:25
4TH & 6
OPP 17
-10
99.9%
(05:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Kitna,Jalen rush middle for 13 yards gain to the FAU04 (Williams,Dillion) PENALTY UAB Holding (Moore,Logan) 10 yards from FAU17 to FAU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:05
4TH & 16
OPP 27
+45
99.9%
Jonah Delange 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.9%
(05:05) Simpson,Owen onside kickoff 10 yards to the UAB45 PENALTY UAB Illegal Motion (Toussom,Eddy) 5 yards from UAB35 to UAB30. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17FG
13 plays · 29 yds · 2:52100% → 100%
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.9%
Gemari Sands run for 5 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+2
99.9%
Gemari Sands run for 2 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+2
99.9%
Gemari Sands run for 2 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+18
99.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 18 yds to the UAB 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
99.9%
Gemari Sands run for 2 yds to the UAB 10Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+2
100.0%
Gemari Sands run for 2 yds to the UAB 8Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 6
OPP 8
-2
100.0%
Caden Veltkamp run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 10Similar
Q4 1:57
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+28
100.0%
Garrison Smith 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:030% → 0%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-15
100.0%
UAB Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the UAB 15Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+5
100.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 5 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to J.C. SivleySimilar
Q4 0:47
4TH & 15
OWN 20
-4
100.0%
Jalen Kitna sacked by Earl Miller Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:36100% → 100%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
100.0%
(00:43) Kneel down by Fla. Atlantic at UAB17 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 17
-1
100.0%
(00:24) Kneel down by Fla. Atlantic at UAB18 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:15
Solomon Beebe 13 Yd Run (Jalen Kitna Pass to Iverson Hooks for Two-Point Conversion)
-11.8
TD · Q2 1:29
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dominique Henry for 43 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)
+8.8
TD · Q1 0:27
Easton Messer pass complete to Jayshon Platt for 48 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)
+8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com