UAB
UAB 33 at Florida Atlantic 53
FAU2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · FAU Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey play
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UAB · Drive 1PUNT · 6 plays · 0 yds
Q1 15:00
Andrew Nelms kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
65.0%
0.0
Q1 14:34
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Solomon Beebe for no gain to the UAB 25
62.3%
-2.7
Q1 14:00
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Evan McCray for no gain to the UAB 25
62.3%
0.0
Q1 13:26
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Kaleb Brown
62.3%
0.0
Q1 13:19
Patrick Foley punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Easton Messer at the FAU 31
62.3%
0.0
Q1 13:19
Patrick Foley punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Easton Messer at the FAU 36
62.3%
0.0
FAU · Drive 2TD · 7 plays · 64 yds
Q1 12:37
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for no gain to the FAU 36
65.5%
+3.2
Q1 11:27
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Asaad Waseem
65.5%
0.0
Q1 10:07
Easton Messer run for 10 yds to the FAU 46 for a 1ST down
65.5%
0.0
Q1 10:07
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 23 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST down
66.3%
+0.8
Q1 10:07
Jayshon Platt run for 10 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST down
67.5%
+1.2
Q1 10:07
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 8 yds to the UAB 13
67.5%
0.0
Q1 10:07
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 13 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)
78.8%
+11.3
UAB · Drive 3PUNT · 5 plays · 5 yds
Q1 10:07
Andrew Nelms kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
78.0%
-0.8
Q1 9:52
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the UAB 26
75.1%
-2.9
Q1 9:17
Jalen Kitna sacked by Wilky Denaud for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 19
75.2%
+0.1
Q1 8:37
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 11 yds to the UAB 30
74.9%
-0.3
Q1 8:03
Patrick Foley punt for 46 yds , Easton Messer returns for 31 yds to the UAB 45
74.9%
+0.1
FAU · Drive 4TD · 8 plays · 45 yds
Q1 8:03
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 47
78.6%
+3.6
Q1 7:04
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 7 yds to the UAB 40
78.6%
0.0
Q1 6:49
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 3 yds to the UAB 37
78.5%
-0.1
Q1 6:04
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 3 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST down
78.3%
-0.1
Q1 5:49
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Easton Messer
79.0%
+0.7
Q1 5:36
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Jayshon Platt for 26 yds to the UAB 8 for a 1ST down
79.0%
0.0
Q1 5:21
UAB Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Delvon Gulley) to the UAB 2 for a 1ST down
79.0%
0.0
Q1 5:17
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 2 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)
87.1%
+8.1
UAB · Drive 5PUNT · 12 plays · 23 yds
Q1 5:17
Andrew Nelms kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
86.9%
-0.2
Q1 5:07
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Antonio Ferguson for 5 yds to the UAB 30
85.8%
-1.2
Q1 4:58
Timeout Florida Atlantic, clock 04:58
84.5%
-1.3
Q1 4:47
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST down
84.5%
0.0
Q1 4:30
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the UAB 40
84.5%
0.0
Q1 4:00
Jalen Kitna sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 34
84.5%
0.0
Q1 3:10
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kaleb Brown for 20 yds to the FAU 46 for a 1ST down
84.4%
0.0
Q1 2:53
PENALTY UAB False Start (Moore,Logan) 5 yards from FAU46 to UAB49. NO PLAY.
84.0%
-0.4
Q1 2:22
Jevon Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 46
84.1%
+0.1
Q1 1:35
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Solomon Beebe for 2 yds to the UAB 48
84.4%
+0.2
Q1 1:08
UAB Penalty, Illegal Formation (Devin Hightower) declined
84.2%
-0.2
Q1 1:01
Patrick Foley punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Easton Messer at the FAU 19
84.2%
0.0
FAU · Drive 6TD · 4 plays · 81 yds
Q1 0:56
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Kaden Shields-Dutton
86.7%
+2.5
Q1 0:46
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 33 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST down
86.7%
0.0
Q1 0:27
Easton Messer pass complete to Jayshon Platt for 48 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)
92.9%
+6.2
Q1 0:27
PENALTY UAB Targeting (Rogers,JaMichael) 15 yards from FAU35 to FAU50. NO PLAY.
86.7%
-6.2
UAB · Drive 7PUNT · 7 plays · -14 yds
Q1 0:26
Andrew Nelms kickoff for 14 yds , T'sai McDaniel return for no gain to the UAB 36
92.9%
+6.2
Q1 0:16
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the UAB 37
92.6%
-0.3
Q1 0:00
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Brandon Hawkins Jr. for 2 yds to the UAB 35
92.5%
0.0
Q2 15:00
PENALTY UAB False Start (Hawkins Jr.,Brandon) 5 yards from UAB35 to UAB30. NO PLAY.
92.5%
0.0
Q2 15:00
Jalen Kitna sacked by CJ Doggette Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 27
92.5%
0.0
Q2 15:00
PENALTY UAB False Start (Elder,Jaylen) 5 yards from UAB27 to UAB22. NO PLAY.
92.5%
0.0
Q2 13:45
Patrick Foley punt for 40 yds , Easton Messer returns for 22 yds to the UAB 40
92.6%
0.0
FAU · Drive 8TD · 2 plays · 40 yds
Q2 13:45
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Gemari Sands for 3 yds to the UAB 37
93.1%
+0.6
Q2 13:04
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Jabari Smith for 37 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)
96.8%
+3.7
UAB · Drive 9TD · 17 plays · 77 yds
Q2 12:58
Andrew Nelms kickoff for 64 yds , Solomon Beebe return for 22 yds to the UAB 23
96.7%
-0.1
Q2 12:49
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the UAB 28
94.7%
-2.0
Q2 12:01
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 5 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST down
94.7%
0.0
Q2 11:26
Jalen Kitna sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 25
94.7%
0.0
Q2 10:36
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Solomon Beebe for 9 yds to the UAB 34
94.7%
0.0
Q2 9:55
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 17 yds to the FAU 49 for a 1ST down
94.7%
0.0
Q2 9:18
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Brandon Hawkins Jr. for 5 yds to the FAU 44
94.7%
0.0
Q2 9:02
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Iverson Hooks
94.6%
-0.1
Q2 8:57
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Antonio Ferguson
94.6%
0.0
Q2 8:52
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Iverson Hooks
94.6%
0.0
Q2 8:52
(08:53) No Huddle-Shotgun Kitna,Jalen pass incomplete deep left to Hooks,Iverson thrown to FAU20 PENALTY FAU Pass Interference (Rogers Jr.,Derrick) 15 yards from FAU44 to FAU29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
94.6%
0.0
Q2 8:43
Isaiah Jacobs run for no gain to the FAU 29
94.6%
0.0
Q2 8:04
Isaiah Jacobs run for 4 yds to the FAU 25
94.6%
0.0
Q2 7:09
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 6 yds to the FAU 19 for a 1ST down
94.6%
0.0
Q2 6:31
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Elijah Lagg
94.6%
0.0
Q2 6:00
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Solomon Beebe for 5 yds to the FAU 14
94.6%
0.0
Q2 5:47
Solomon Beebe run for 14 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
93.6%
-1.0
FAU · Drive 10INT · 3 plays · 0 yds
Q2 5:41
Owen Simpson kickoff for 63 yds , Jayshon Platt return for 21 yds to the FAU 23
93.9%
+0.3
Q2 5:34
Caden Veltkamp pass intercepted Devin Hightower return for 6 yds to the FAU 21
95.0%
+1.1
Q2 5:34
Caden Veltkamp pass intercepted Devin Hightower return for 7 yds to the FAU 21
95.0%
0.0
UAB · Drive 11TD · 4 plays · 21 yds
Q2 5:24
Jevon Jackson run for no gain to the FAU 21
93.6%
-1.4
Q2 4:35
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Jevon Jackson for 8 yds to the FAU 13
93.6%
0.0
Q2 3:53
Nate Rogers run for no gain to the FAU 13
93.6%
0.0
Q2 3:15
Solomon Beebe 13 Yd Run (Jalen Kitna Pass to Iverson Hooks for Two-Point Conversion)
84.7%
-8.9
FAU · Drive 12TD · 13 plays · 75 yds
Q2 3:15
Owen Simpson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
85.3%
+0.6
Q2 3:15
PENALTY UAB UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Crozier,Isaiah) 15 yards from FAU25 to FAU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
87.3%
+2.0
Q2 3:02
Gemari Sands run for 1 yd to the FAU 41
87.4%
+0.1
Q2 2:33
Gemari Sands run for 1 yd to the FAU 42
87.3%
-0.1
Q2 2:33
Timeout UAB, clock 02:33
88.2%
+0.9
Q2 2:25
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Gemari Sands for 5 yds to the FAU 47
88.2%
0.0
Q2 2:00
Gemari Sands run for 11 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST down
87.9%
-0.3
Q2 2:00
Timeout Florida Atlantic, clock 02:00
88.2%
+0.3
Q2 1:55
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun Sands,Gemari rush left for 8 yards gain to the UAB34 (Hightower,Devin; Royster,Pierre) PENALTY FAU Holding (Kirch,Michael) 10 yards from UAB42 to FAU48. NO PLAY.
88.2%
0.0
Q2 1:48
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 1 yd to the FAU 49
88.2%
-0.1
Q2 1:36
Gemari Sands run for 8 yds to the UAB 43
88.2%
0.0
Q2 1:36
Timeout UAB, clock 01:36
88.1%
0.0
Q2 1:29
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dominique Henry for 43 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)
95.0%
+6.9
UAB · Drive 13PUNT · 8 plays · 16 yds
Q2 1:29
UAB Penalty, Defensive Offside (Devin Hightower) declined
94.9%
-0.1
Q2 1:29
Andrew Nelms kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
94.9%
0.0
Q2 1:15
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 10 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST down
93.9%
-1.0
Q2 0:52
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Antonio Ferguson for 6 yds to the UAB 41
93.9%
0.0
Q2 0:52
Timeout Florida Atlantic, clock 00:52
93.9%
0.0
Q2 0:46
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Brandon Hawkins Jr.
93.9%
0.0
Q2 0:41
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Brandon Hawkins Jr.
94.1%
+0.2
Q2 0:35
Patrick Foley punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Easton Messer at the FAU 17
94.1%
0.0
FAU · Drive 14PUNT · 7 plays · 16 yds
Q2 0:29
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 9 yds to the FAU 26
94.9%
+0.9
Q2 0:23
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 3 yds to the FAU 29 for a 1ST down
94.7%
-0.2
Q2 0:13
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Asaad Waseem
94.7%
0.0
Q2 0:11
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Jayshon Platt
94.7%
0.0
Q2 0:08
Timeout UAB, clock 00:08
94.7%
0.0
Q2 0:01
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 4 yds to the FAU 33
94.8%
+0.1
Q2 0:00
Logan Lupo punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 16
94.8%
0.0
FAU · Drive 15TD · 9 plays · 50 yds
Q3 14:52
Owen Simpson kickoff for 65 yds , Jayshon Platt return for 50 yds to the 50 yard line
94.2%
-0.6
Q3 14:52
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 12 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST down
94.4%
+0.1
Q3 14:52
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 3 yds to the UAB 35
94.5%
+0.1
Q3 14:52
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 8 yds to the UAB 27 for a 1ST down
94.5%
0.0
Q3 14:52
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 16 yds to the UAB 11 for a 1ST down
94.5%
0.0
Q3 12:51
Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds to the UAB 9
94.7%
+0.2
Q3 12:28
(12:28) No Huddle-Shotgun Veltkamp,Caden pass incomplete short left to Henry,Dom thrown to UAB00 PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Gulley,Delvon) 7 yards from UAB09 to UAB02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
94.7%
0.0
Q3 12:16
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 1 yd to the UAB 1
94.7%
0.0
Q3 11:40
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)
97.1%
+2.5
UAB · Drive 16FG · 15 plays · 36 yds
Q4 11:43
Jevon Jackson run for 9 yds to the UAB 46
95.1%
-2.0
Q4 11:22
Jevon Jackson run for 5 yds to the FAU 49 for a 1ST down
95.1%
0.0
Q4 10:45
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Solomon Beebe for 4 yds to the FAU 45
95.1%
0.0
Q4 10:12
Jevon Jackson run for 4 yds to the FAU 41
95.1%
0.0
Q4 9:23
Isaiah Jacobs run for 3 yds to the FAU 38 for a 1ST down
94.8%
-0.3
Q4 8:41
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 9 yds to the FAU 29
94.8%
0.0
Q4 8:08
Isaiah Jacobs run for no gain to the FAU 29
94.8%
0.0
Q4 7:38
Isaiah Jacobs run for 8 yds to the FAU 21 for a 1ST down
94.8%
0.0
Q4 6:57
(06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun Kitna,Jalen pass incomplete deep right to Lagg,Elijah thrown to FAU00 PENALTY UAB Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Lepkowski,Adam) 5 yards from FAU21 to FAU26. NO PLAY.
94.8%
0.0
Q4 6:43
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Jevon Jackson for 2 yds to the FAU 24
94.8%
0.0
Q4 6:02
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 7 yds to the FAU 17
94.8%
0.0
Q4 5:33
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Iverson Hooks
94.8%
0.0
Q4 5:25
(05:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Kitna,Jalen rush middle for 13 yards gain to the FAU04 (Williams,Dillion) PENALTY UAB Holding (Moore,Logan) 10 yards from FAU17 to FAU27. NO PLAY.
94.8%
0.0
Q4 5:05
Jonah Delange 45 yd FG GOOD
93.7%
-1.2
Q4 5:05
(05:05) Simpson,Owen onside kickoff 10 yards to the UAB45 PENALTY UAB Illegal Motion (Toussom,Eddy) 5 yards from UAB35 to UAB30. NO PLAY.
95.1%
+1.3
FAU · Drive 17FG · 13 plays · 29 yds
Q4 5:05
Patrick Foley kickoff for 11 yds
93.9%
+0.2
Q4 4:49
Gemari Sands run for 5 yds to the UAB 34
94.0%
-1.1
Q4 4:11
Gemari Sands run for 2 yds to the UAB 32
94.0%
0.0
Q4 3:29
Gemari Sands run for 2 yds to the UAB 30
94.1%
+0.1
Q4 3:29
Timeout Florida Atlantic, clock 03:29
94.0%
-0.1
Q4 3:10
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 18 yds to the UAB 12 for a 1ST down
94.0%
0.0
Q4 2:36
Gemari Sands run for 2 yds to the UAB 10
94.0%
0.0
Q4 2:36
Timeout UAB, clock 02:36
94.6%
+0.6
Q4 2:31
Gemari Sands run for 2 yds to the UAB 8
94.6%
0.0
Q4 2:31
Timeout UAB, clock 02:31
94.6%
0.0
Q4 2:12
Caden Veltkamp run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 10
94.6%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Florida Atlantic, clock 02:00
94.6%
0.0
Q4 1:57
Garrison Smith 28 yd FG GOOD
96.2%
+1.5
UAB · Drive 18DOWNS · 5 plays · -9 yds
Q4 1:57
Andrew Nelms kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
96.2%
0.0
Q4 1:50
UAB Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the UAB 15
95.0%
-1.2
Q4 1:18
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 5 yds to the UAB 20
95.0%
0.0
Q4 0:54
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to J.C. Sivley
95.0%
0.0
Q4 0:47
Jalen Kitna sacked by Earl Miller Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 16
95.0%
0.0
FAU · Drive 19END OF GAME · 2 plays · -2 yds
Q4 0:36
(00:43) Kneel down by Fla. Atlantic at UAB17 for loss of 1 yard.
96.2%
+1.1
Q4 0:00
(00:24) Kneel down by Fla. Atlantic at UAB18 for loss of 1 yard.
96.2%
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 10:07
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 13 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)
+11.3
TD · Q2 3:15
Solomon Beebe 13 Yd Run (Jalen Kitna Pass to Iverson Hooks for Two-Point Conversion)
-8.9
TD · Q1 5:17
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 2 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)
+8.1