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ECU

East Carolina 19 at Tulane 26

TULN
2025 · Week 7 · Oct 9, 2025 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadECU aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreECU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+1.1TULN 71.7%Patrick Durkin 21 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 9 · Q2 5:05
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:05 · Patrick Durkin 21 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 67Pregame prior+7.2Home team on offense+6.9Garbage-time factor+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Score differential+1.2Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:54: Katin Houser pass complete to Brock Spalding for 7 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK) — ECU win probability +13.9 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 2:43: Katin Houser run for 10 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — ECU win probability +13.2 pts (now 51%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:51: Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Zycarl Lewis Jr. for 63 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK) — TULN win probability +34.0 pts (now 73%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 5:48: Nick Mazzie 26 yd FG GOOD — ECU win probability +12.4 pts (now 50%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:35: Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Javin Gordon for 4 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK) — TULN win probability +28.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ECU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:10ECU 4th & 16 at ECU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:40TULN 4th & 11 at ECU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    67.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:21ECU 4th & 18 at ECU 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:48TULN 4th & 11 at ECU 11, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.1%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    68.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    66.6%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:29ECU 4th & 8 at ECU 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:37TULN 4th & 11 at ECU 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    64.4%−3.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:50ECU 4th & 7 at TULN 40, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    29.4%−0.7
    34% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:05TULN 4th & 3 at ECU 3, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.2%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    67.3%−5.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:08ECU 4th & 2 at ECU 44, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:36TULN 4th & 7 at ECU 21, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−1.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    72.1%−4.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:49TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 26, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:46TULN 4th & 18 at TULN 12, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−4.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:45ECU 4th & 7 at TULN 28, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    34.4%−12.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:01ECU 4th & 1 at ECU 24, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%−2.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:48ECU 4th & 8 at TULN 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−2.9
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    19.6%−16.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ECU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q3 11:54ECU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:43ECU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    46.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    46.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:51TULN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.3%−0.7
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:35TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−2.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:5038% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
62.5%
Katin Houser pass complete to Yannick Smith for 5 yds to the ECU 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
62.5%
Katin Houser pass complete to Mike Wright Jr. for 4 yds to the ECU 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
62.5%
PENALTY ECU False Start 5 yards from ECU34 to ECU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-10
62.5%
Katin Houser sacked by Harvey Dyson for a loss of 10 yards to the ECU 19Similar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
62.6%
Ryan Leavy punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2FG
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:3063% → 63%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
62.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Anthony Brown-StephensSimilar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+11
62.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Shazz Preston for 11 yds to the ECU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
62.7%
Javin Gordon run for 8 yds to the ECU 21Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+10
62.9%
Javin Gordon run for 10 yds to the ECU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
62.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Johnny PascuzziSimilar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-1
62.9%
Javin Gordon run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 12Similar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 11
OPP 12
0
62.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Shazz PrestonSimilar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+30
62.8%
Patrick Durkin 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:1937% → 37%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
62.8%
Katin Houser sacked by Jordan Norman for a loss of 5 yards to the ECU 20Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-3
62.9%
London Montgomery run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECU 17Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
63.0%
East Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul (Yannick Smith) declinedSimilar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
63.5%
Ryan Leavy punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Omari Hayes at the TULN 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4DOWNS
10 plays · 50 yds · 3:2863% → 63%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-15
63.3%
(09:21) Shotgun Gordon,Javin rush left for 4 yards gain to the TLN48 (Wilson,Zion) PENALTY TLN Chop Block (Hollifield,Jack) 15 yards from TLN44 to TLN29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:37
1ST & 25
OWN 29
+12
62.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Omari Hayes for 12 yds to the TULN 41Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+18
63.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 18 yds to the ECU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+17
63.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 17 yds to the ECU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
63.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Garrett Mmahat for 15 yds to the ECU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
63.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Tre ShackelfordSimilar
Q1 6:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-15
64.0%
(06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun Sullivan,Brendan rush middle for 9 yards gain to the ECU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 06:37 PENALTY TLN Chop Block (Hollifield,Jack) 15 yards from ECU09 to ECU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 24
+13
63.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Javin Gordon for 13 yds to the ECU 11Similar
Q1 5:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
63.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Javin GordonSimilar
Q1 5:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+5
63.1%
Patrick Durkin run for 5 yds to the ECU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:5637% → 36%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
63.4%
Parker Jenkins run for 5 yds to the ECU 11Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+4
63.4%
Parker Jenkins run for 4 yds to the ECU 15Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+2
63.6%
Parker Jenkins run for 2 yds to the ECU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
63.3%
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Anthony SmithSimilar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
63.4%
Parker Jenkins run for 2 yds to the ECU 19Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 8
OWN 19
0
63.7%
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Jayvontay ConnerSimilar
Q1 3:29
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
64.3%
Tomas O'Halloran punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:5263% → 67%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
63.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Garrett Mmahat for 12 yds to the TULN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
63.8%
Arnold Barnes III run for no gain to the TULN 42Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+15
63.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Shazz Preston for 15 yds to the ECU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
64.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Justyn Reid for 19 yds to the ECU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+18
64.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Anthony Miller for 18 yds to the ECU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
64.5%
PENALTY TLN False Start (Baker,Elijah) 5 yards from ECU06 to ECU11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
0
64.7%
Anthony Brown-Stephens run for no gain to the ECU 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-1
64.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Javin Gordon for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+1
64.0%
Jake Retzlaff run for 1 yd to the ECU 11Similar
Q2 13:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
66.6%
Patrick Durkin 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 7DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:4735% → 35%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
65.3%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 16 yds to the ECU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
64.4%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 4 yds to the ECU 45Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+12
63.9%
Katin Houser pass complete to Yannick Smith for 12 yds to the TULN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
63.6%
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Brock SpaldingSimilar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
63.7%
Katin Houser run for 6 yds to the TULN 37Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 4
OPP 37
-5
63.7%
(11:54) PENALTY ECU False Start (Riles,Desirrio) 5 yards from TLN37 to TLN42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+2
64.2%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 2 yds to the TULN 40Similar
Q2 10:50
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
65.5%
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Desirrio RilesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 5:4569% → 72%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
68.6%
Arnold Barnes III run for 11 yds to the ECU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
68.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 13 yds to the ECU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
68.9%
Arnold Barnes III run for 4 yds to the ECU 32Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+17
69.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 17 yds to the ECU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
69.0%
Arnold Barnes III run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 16Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+14
69.0%
Arnold Barnes III run for 14 yds to the ECU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
69.0%
PENALTY TLN False Start (Hurst,Shadre) 5 yards from ECU02 to ECU07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
71.3%
Javin Gordon run for 2 yds to the ECU 5Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
71.3%
Brendan Sullivan run for 2 yds to the ECU 3Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
70.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Tre ShackelfordSimilar
Q2 5:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
71.7%
Patrick Durkin 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:5728% → 27%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
71.7%
London Montgomery run for 7 yds to the ECU 32Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
70.5%
London Montgomery run for 2 yds to the ECU 34Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
71.0%
London Montgomery run for 2 yds to the ECU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
70.7%
London Montgomery run for 4 yds to the ECU 40Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-7
70.2%
Katin Houser sacked by Tre'Von McAlpine for a loss of 7 yards to the ECU 33Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+11
72.6%
Katin Houser pass complete to Jayvontay Conner for 11 yds to the ECU 44Similar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
72.8%
Tomas O'Halloran punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TULN 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 1:3275% → 80%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
74.5%
Javin Gordon run for 2 yds to the TULN 40Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+11
73.3%
Jake Retzlaff run for 11 yds to the ECU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
73.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 7 yds to the ECU 42Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+3
73.9%
Jake Retzlaff run for 3 yds to the ECU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
74.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake pass incomplete deep left to Brown-Stephens,Anthony thrown to ECU15 PENALTY ECU Pass Interference (Brown,TyMir) 15 yards from ECU39 to ECU24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
74.3%
Javin Gordon run for 3 yds to the ECU 21Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 7
OPP 21
0
76.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Justyn ReidSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
75.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Bryce BohanonSimilar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+40
79.6%
Patrick Durkin 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 28 yds · 0:3620% → 20%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
80.4%
Parker Jenkins run for 4 yds to the ECU 29Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
80.0%
Parker Jenkins run for 8 yds to the ECU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
79.9%
Katin Houser pass complete to Parker Jenkins for 16 yds to the TULN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0781% → 80%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
80.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 3 yds to the TULN 27Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-1
80.5%
Javin Gordon run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 26Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
79.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Shazz PrestonSimilar
Q3 13:49
4TH & 8
OWN 26
+12
79.7%
Alec Clark punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECU 30 , Kyler Pearson returns for 12 yds to the ECU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:5521% → 38%
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
78.6%
London Montgomery run for 6 yds to the ECU 36Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+1
77.9%
Katin Houser pass complete to London Montgomery for 1 yd to the ECU 37Similar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+4
78.4%
Katin Houser pass complete to London Montgomery for 4 yds to the ECU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+49
78.2%
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 49 yds to the TULN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
76.0%
London Montgomery run for 3 yds to the TULN 7Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
62.0%
Katin Houser pass complete to Brock Spalding for 7 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · -8 yds · 3:0169% → 68%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
68.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Jimmy Calloway for 5 yds to the TULN 25Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-10
69.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Gordon,Javin rush left for 11 yards gain to the TLN36 (Brown,TyMir) PENALTY TLN Holding (Hayes,Omari) 10 yards from TLN25 to TLN15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 15
OWN 15
-1
68.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Jamauri McClure for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 14Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 16
OWN 14
-7
67.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake pass complete short middle to Brown-Stephens,Anthony caught at TLN30, for 21 yards to the TLN35 (Duncanson,Ayden) PENALTY TLN Holding (Reed,Darion) 7 yards from TLN14 to TLN07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 23
OWN 7
+5
67.2%
Arnold Barnes III run for 5 yds to the TULN 12Similar
Q3 8:46
4TH & 18
OWN 12
+5
67.7%
Alec Clark punt for 50 yds , Kyler Pearson returns for 5 yds to the ECU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 15TD
16 plays · 57 yds · 6:0335% → 51%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
65.2%
TJ Engleman Jr. run for 5 yds to the ECU 48Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+4
64.1%
TJ Engleman Jr. run for 4 yds to the TULN 48Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+4
64.0%
Katin Houser run for 4 yds to the TULN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
63.6%
Katin Houser run for 7 yds to the TULN 37Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+4
63.2%
Katin Houser pass complete to TJ Engleman Jr. for 4 yds to the TULN 41Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+7
64.1%
TJ Engleman Jr. run for 7 yds to the TULN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
62.5%
TJ Engleman Jr. run for 3 yds to the TULN 31Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
62.1%
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Anthony SmithSimilar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+10
64.0%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 10 yds to the TULN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
62.0%
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Anthony SmithSimilar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+7
62.4%
Katin Houser run for 7 yds to the TULN 14Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 3
OPP 14
-1
63.5%
Katin Houser pass complete to Jaquaize Pettaway for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 15Similar
Q3 8:46
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+5
65.3%
PENALTY TLN Offside (Henderson,Gerrod) 5 yards from TLN15 to TLN10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
62.0%
TJ Engleman Jr. run for 1 yd to the TULN 9Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
62.0%
TJ Engleman Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 10Similar
Q3 2:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
48.9%
Katin Houser run for 10 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16FG
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:5753% → 60%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
46.9%
London Montgomery run for 7 yds to the TULN 24Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 3
OPP 24
-10
46.5%
No Huddle Houser,Katin pass complete short right to Montgomery,London caught at TLN28, for 5 yards to the TLN19 (Johnson,Jahiem) PENALTY ECU Holding (Mangrum,Payton) 10 yards from TLN24 to TLN34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 13
OPP 34
+3
47.9%
London Montgomery run for 3 yds to the TULN 31Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+3
48.9%
Katin Houser pass complete to Brock Spalding for 3 yds to the TULN 28Similar
Q3 0:45
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+46
39.8%
Nick Mazzie 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:2245% → 51%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+32
45.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 32 yds to the ECU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+24
50.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 24 yds to the ECU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
50.6%
Jake Retzlaff run for 5 yds to the ECU 2Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
50.5%
Arnold Barnes III run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECU 4 Arnold Barnes III fumbled, recovered by ECU Teagan WilkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:1660% → 61%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
39.6%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 1 yd to the ECU 5Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+4
40.1%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 4 yds to the ECU 9Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 5
OWN 9
+6
41.6%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 6 yds to the ECU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
39.3%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 4 yds to the ECU 19Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+3
39.2%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 3 yds to the ECU 22Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+2
40.3%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 2 yds to the ECU 24Similar
Q4 11:01
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
39.2%
Tomas O'Halloran punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Omari Hayes at the TULN 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19TD
1 play · 63 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
73.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Zycarl Lewis Jr. for 63 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 20FG
17 plays · 67 yds · 5:0332% → 50%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
68.2%
TJ Engleman Jr. run for 8 yds to the ECU 33Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
64.8%
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Anthony SmithSimilar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
67.3%
Katin Houser pass complete to Brock Spalding for 7 yds to the ECU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
65.7%
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Anthony SmithSimilar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
66.6%
Katin Houser pass complete to Yannick Smith for 15 yds to the TULN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
62.9%
TJ Engleman Jr. run for 5 yds to the TULN 40Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+5
62.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Houser,Katin pass incomplete short right to Pettaway,Jaquaize thrown to TLN32 PENALTY TLN Offside (Howard,Sam) 5 yards from TLN40 to TLN35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
61.3%
TJ Engleman Jr. run for 4 yds to the TULN 31Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+4
60.7%
TJ Engleman Jr. run for 4 yds to the TULN 27Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+20
62.7%
Katin Houser pass complete to TJ Engleman Jr. for 20 yds to the TULN 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
60.7%
PENALTY ECU False Start (Long,Kyle) 5 yards from TLN07 to TLN12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
61.2%
Katin Houser pass complete to TJ Engleman Jr. for 6 yds to the TULN 6Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
60.7%
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 5 yds to the TULN 1Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
62.5%
PENALTY ECU Delay Of Game 5 yards from TLN01 to TLN06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
62.6%
Katin Houser pass complete to TJ Engleman Jr. for 2 yds to the TULN 8Similar
Q4 5:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
50.2%
Nick Mazzie 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 5:1358% → 97%
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Bryce BohanonSimilar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
57.9%
Javin Gordon run for 6 yds to the TULN 31Similar
Q4 5:48
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
57.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 7 yds to the TULN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
60.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Javin Gordon for 8 yds to the TULN 46Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-5
63.4%
PENALTY TLN False Start (Baker,Elijah) 5 yards from TLN46 to TLN41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+4
62.4%
Bryce Bohanon run for 4 yds to the TULN 45Similar
Q4 5:48
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+12
61.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Zycarl Lewis Jr. for 12 yds to the ECU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
64.3%
Javin Gordon run for 3 yds to the ECU 40Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+3
63.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 3 yds to the ECU 37Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+5
63.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 5 yds to the ECU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
66.2%
Javin Gordon run for 2 yds to the ECU 30Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+15
68.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake rush right for 4 yards loss to the ECU34 (Reason,Rasheed) PENALTY ECU Face Mask (Craig,Ryheem) 15 yards from ECU30 to ECU15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
68.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Javin Gordon for 11 yds to the ECU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Javin Gordon for 4 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
6 plays · 46 yds · 0:307% → 11%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+22
93.0%
Katin Houser pass complete to Parker Jenkins for 22 yds to the ECU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
91.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Houser,Katin pass incomplete short left to Pettaway,Jaquaize thrown to TLN47 PENALTY TLN Pass Interference (White,Javion) 15 yards from ECU40 to TLN45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
90.5%
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Parker JenkinsSimilar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+9
91.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Houser,Katin pass incomplete short right to Conner,Jayvontay thrown to TLN35, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TLN Pass Interference (Adams III,Kevin) 9 yards from TLN45 to TLN36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
89.3%
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Jayvontay ConnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:51
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Zycarl Lewis Jr. for 63 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)
+34
TD · Q4 0:35
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Javin Gordon for 4 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)
+28.5
TD · Q3 11:54
Katin Houser pass complete to Brock Spalding for 7 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK)
-13.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com