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FAU

Florida Atlantic 27 at Rice 21

RICE
2025 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:23 · Logan Lupo punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the RICE 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Home team on offense−12.5Pregame prior+4.2Garbage-time factor−3.5Score differential−6.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:57: Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 38 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK) — FAU win probability +2.7 pts (now 44%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:22: Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 3 yds to the FAU 19 — FAU win probability +13.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 6:03: Garrison Smith 26 yd FG GOOD — FAU win probability +3.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:19: Chase Jenkins run for 2 yds for a TD (Enock Gota KICK) — RICE win probability +22.7 pts (now 31%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:07: Caden Veltkamp run for no gain to the FAU 19 — FAU win probability +10.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 8:52RICE 4th & 3 at FAU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    63.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:57FAU 4th & 5 at RICE 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    37.2%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    37.2%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:23RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:06RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:07FAU 4th & 7 at FAU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:44RICE 4th & 16 at RICE 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−2.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:36FAU 4th & 6 at RICE 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    45.4%−5.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:08RICE 4th & 14 at FAU 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−1.2
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    37.6%−2.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:23FAU 4th & 9 at RICE 42, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    61.8%−1.0
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:07FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    80.7%−3.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:03FAU 4th & 8 at RICE 8, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    77.6%−8.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 1 of 2FAU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:34RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:23FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:57FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:19RICE Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2660% → 61%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
60.0%
PENALTY FAU Offside (Doggette Jr.,CJ) 5 yards from Rice25 to Rice30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+3
60.1%
Quinton Jackson run for 3 yds to the RICE 33Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-1
60.1%
Quinton Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 32Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+68
60.5%
Quinton Jackson run for 68 yds for a TD (Enock Gota KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:5839% → 40%
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
60.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 14 yds to the FAU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
60.7%
Xavier Terrell run for 3 yds to the FAU 42Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+9
60.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Michael Kirch for 9 yds to the RICE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
60.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
60.9%
Xavier Terrell run for 4 yds to the RICE 45Similar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+15
61.0%
PENALTY Rice Pass Interference (Crump,Khary) 15 yards from Rice45 to Rice30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
59.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Michael Kirch for 30 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3DOWNS
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:2160% → 60%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
60.1%
Quinton Jackson run for 20 yds to the RICE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
60.5%
Quinton Jackson run for 3 yds to the RICE 48Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+2
60.6%
Quinton Jackson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 5
50
+2
60.6%
Daelen Alexander run for 2 yds to the FAU 48Similar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 3
OPP 48
+2
60.2%
Chase Jenkins run for 2 yds to the FAU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 1:3741% → 44%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
59.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dominique Henry for 5 yds to the RICE 49Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+6
59.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 6 yds to the RICE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
59.2%
Xavier Terrell run for 6 yds to the RICE 37Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
59.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 4
OPP 37
-1
59.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Xavier Terrell for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 38Similar
Q1 6:57
4TH & 5
OPP 38
+38
56.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 38 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:2357% → 55%
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
56.9%
Chase Jenkins run for 5 yds to the RICE 30Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
56.8%
Daelen Alexander run for no gain to the RICE 30Similar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
56.2%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Drayden Dickmann for 7 yds to the RICE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
56.4%
Aaron Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 36Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+1
56.0%
Quinton Jackson run for 1 yd to the RICE 37Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
55.3%
Chase Jenkins pass incomplete to Payton MatthewsSimilar
Q1 3:23
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+36
54.9%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 42 yds , Easton Messer returns for 36 yds to the RICE 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:5446% → 47%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
53.9%
Xavier Terrell run for 8 yds to the RICE 35Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 2
OPP 35
0
53.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Asaad WaseemSimilar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+4
53.7%
Xavier Terrell run for 4 yds to the RICE 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
53.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Dominique HenrySimilar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
53.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass intercepted Peyton Stevenson return for no gain to the RICE 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 3:0655% → 52%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
54.5%
D'Andre Hardeman Jr. run for 3 yds to the RICE 10Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+6
54.2%
D'Andre Hardeman Jr. run for 6 yds to the RICE 16Similar
Q1 0:53
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+1
53.5%
D'Andre Hardeman Jr. run for 1 yd to the RICE 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
53.7%
Aaron Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the RICE 15Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 12
OWN 15
0
53.5%
Chase Jenkins pass incomplete to Micah BarnettSimilar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 12
OWN 15
+3
52.8%
Quinton Jackson run for 3 yds to the RICE 18Similar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 9
OWN 18
+2
52.2%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 59 yds , Easton Messer returns for 2 yds to the FAU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:5247% → 48%
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
52.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 7 yds to the FAU 22Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+2
52.1%
Xavier Terrell run for 2 yds to the FAU 24Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+2
52.2%
Xavier Terrell run for 2 yds to the FAU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
52.0%
Caden Veltkamp run for a loss of 1 yard to the FAU 25Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
52.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+4
52.4%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 4 yds to the FAU 29Similar
Q2 11:07
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
52.5%
Logan Lupo punt for 45 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for no gain to the RICE 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 3:1352% → 48%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
51.9%
Chase Jenkins run for 9 yds to the RICE 33Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+2
53.0%
Quinton Jackson run for 2 yds to the RICE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
51.3%
Chase Jenkins run for 5 yds to the RICE 40Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-1
52.4%
Quinton Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 39Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 6
OWN 39
-10
50.5%
Chase Jenkins sacked by Eric Brantley Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the RICE 29Similar
Q2 7:44
4TH & 16
OWN 29
0
47.5%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Easton Messer at the FAU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10FG
7 plays · 54 yds · 3:0452% → 56%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
47.8%
PENALTY FAU False Start (Atcavage,Alex) 5 yards from FAU29 to FAU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 15
OWN 24
0
48.3%
Xavier Terrell run for no gain to the FAU 24Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+55
48.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 55 yds to the RICE 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-4
44.8%
Caden Veltkamp sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the RICE 25Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 14
OPP 25
+1
45.0%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 1 yd to the RICE 24Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 13
OPP 24
+7
45.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 7 yds to the RICE 17Similar
Q2 4:36
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+36
43.8%
Garrison Smith 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11MISSED FG
20 plays · 46 yds · 4:1143% → 37%
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
43.4%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Drayden Dickmann for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 24Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+14
43.1%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Braylen Walker for 14 yds to the RICE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
44.0%
Daelen Alexander run for 4 yds to the RICE 42Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+3
44.2%
Daelen Alexander run for 3 yds to the RICE 45Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+3
43.0%
Daelen Alexander run for 3 yds to the RICE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
43.1%
Quinton Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 47Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+14
40.9%
Aaron Turner run for 14 yds to the FAU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
42.2%
Quinton Jackson run for 6 yds to the FAU 33Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+3
42.9%
Quinton Jackson run for 3 yds to the FAU 30Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+5
41.3%
Quinton Jackson run for 5 yds to the FAU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.0%
Chase Jenkins pass incomplete to Aaron TurnerSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-15
39.5%
PENALTY Rice Pass Interference (Walker,Braylen) 15 yards from FAU25 to FAU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 25
OPP 40
0
37.4%
Chase Jenkins pass incomplete to Drayden DickmannSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 25
OPP 40
+11
36.5%
Quinton Jackson run for 11 yds to the FAU 29Similar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 14
OPP 29
+47
36.8%
Enock Gota 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12FUMBLE
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
37.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 4 yds Easton Messer fumbled, recovered by FAU Ty MorrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13PUNT
13 plays · 33 yds · 4:3760% → 64%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
39.7%
Xavier Terrell run for 11 yds to the FAU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
38.8%
Xavier Terrell run for 1 yd to the FAU 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
39.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Dominique HenrySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+9
39.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 9 yds to the FAU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
38.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 9 yds to the RICE 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 45
0
37.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Dominique HenrySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
38.5%
Gemari Sands run for 2 yds to the RICE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
38.1%
PENALTY FAU False Start (Jean,Scarlee) 5 yards from Rice43 to Rice48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 48
-1
38.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Gemari Sands for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 49
+5
38.8%
Gemari Sands run for 5 yds to the RICE 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+2
38.9%
Gemari Sands run for 2 yds to the RICE 42Similar
Q3 10:23
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
36.0%
Logan Lupo punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the RICE 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14FG
15 plays · 76 yds · 6:1978% → 94%
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
22.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 3 yds to the FAU 19Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+9
22.3%
Xavier Terrell run for 9 yds to the FAU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
19.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Jayshon PlattSimilar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
20.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 7 yds to the FAU 35Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+5
20.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 5 yds to the FAU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
15.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Jayshon Platt for 8 yds to the FAU 48Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+1
14.7%
Xavier Terrell run for 1 yd to the FAU 49Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
14.3%
Xavier Terrell run for no gain to the FAU 49Similar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+41
14.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Michael Kirch for 41 yds to the RICE 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
11.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Jayshon Platt for 2 yds to the RICE 12Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+4
11.5%
Xavier Terrell run for 4 yds to the RICE 8Similar
Q4 6:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
9.8%
Xavier Terrell run for no gain to the RICE 8Similar
Q4 6:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
5.9%
Garrison Smith 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:358% → 31%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
7.5%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Aaron Turner for 6 yds to the RICE 31Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+15
8.1%
Florida Atlantic Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Leon Hart Jr.) to the RICE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
8.1%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Braylen Walker for 2 yds to the RICE 33Similar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
8.5%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Aaron Turner for 9 yds to the FAU 43Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+3
9.3%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Aaron Turner for 3 yds to the FAU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+32
8.0%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Aaron Turner for 32 yds to the FAU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
8.0%
Chase Jenkins run for 7 yds to the FAU 1Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
8.0%
Quinton Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the FAU 2Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
30.8%
Chase Jenkins run for 2 yds for a TD (Enock Gota KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16END OF GAME
11 plays · 22 yds · 3:0786% → 96%
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
13.8%
Caden Veltkamp run for no gain to the FAU 19Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+2
13.4%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 2 yds to the FAU 21Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+10
11.8%
Caden Veltkamp run for 10 yds to the FAU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
8.0%
Xavier Terrell run for 8 yds to the FAU 39Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+1
5.3%
Xavier Terrell run for 1 yd to the FAU 40Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
5.0%
Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds to the FAU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
4.4%
(00:49) Kneel down by Fla. Atlantic at FAU41 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:19
Chase Jenkins run for 2 yds for a TD (Enock Gota KICK)
+22.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 12:22
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 3 yds to the FAU 19
-13.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:07
Caden Veltkamp run for no gain to the FAU 19
-10.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com