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RICE

Rice 28 at Charlotte 17

CLT
2025 · Week 4 · Sep 18, 2025 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:15 · Grayson Loftis pass complete to Sean Brown for 11 yds to the RICE 26 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 125Home team on offense−16.6Score differential−7.4Pregame prior−2.6Garbage-time factor−7.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 2:23: Liam Boyd 40 yd FG GOOD — CLT win probability +4.6 pts (now 52%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:18: Chase Jenkins run for 34 yds for a TD (Enock Gota KICK) — RICE win probability +15.0 pts (now 68%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:33: Daelen Alexander run for 13 yds for a TD (Enock Gota KICK) — RICE win probability +8.4 pts (now 77%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:31: Enock Gota kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — RICE win probability +20.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:27: Grayson Loftis pass complete to Javen Nicholas for 31 yds for a TD (Grayson Loftis pass to Javen Nicholas for Two-Point Conversion) — CLT win probability +10.0 pts (now 15%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 8 of 10RICE made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 8:51CLT 4th & 2 at RICE 12, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.7%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−1.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:02CLT 4th & 3 at CLT 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:04RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:49CLT 4th & 10 at RICE 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    46.3%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:53RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 17, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:55CLT 4th & 7 at RICE 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    40.8%−5.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:57RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 29, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:23CLT 4th & 3 at RICE 23, down 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.5%−0.5
    70% to make
    Punt
    44.3%−5.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00CLT 4th & 5 at RICE 24, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    34.8%−8.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:10CLT 4th & 27 at CLT 8, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−3.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:49RICE 4th & 22 at CLT 37, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%−2.8
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.1%
    40% to make
    Punt
    77.7%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:33CLT 4th & 18 at CLT 29, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−2.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:47RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 28, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−1.0
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:15CLT 4th & 7 at RICE 37, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    20.6%−0.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    20.3%−1.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:39RICE 4th & 12 at RICE 34, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−1.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:44CLT 4th & 18 at CLT 17, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:46RICE 4th & 2 at RICE 47, up 11
    Close callPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:25RICE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:18RICE Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:33RICE Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:27CLT Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    8.2%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    8.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1FG
16 plays · 63 yds · 5:5340% → 43%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
39.7%
Conner Harrell pass complete to E. Jai Mason for 5 yds to the CLT 30Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
40.0%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Miles Burris for 4 yds to the CLT 34Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
40.2%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 1 yd to the CLT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
40.3%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 5 yds to the CLT 40Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
40.7%
Conner Harrell run for 2 yds to the CLT 42Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+10
40.8%
Harrell, Conner pass incomplete to Mason, E. Jai, PENALTY RICE holding (Crump, Khary) 10 yards to the RICE48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CHARLOTTE.Similar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
41.1%
Harrell, Conner pass incomplete to Burris, Miles, PENALTY RICE pass interference (Crump, Khary) 12 yards to the RICE36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CHARLOTTE.Similar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
41.1%
Conner Harrell pass incomplete to E. Jai MasonSimilar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-1
41.3%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 37Similar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 11
OPP 37
+17
41.3%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Sean Brown for 17 yds to the RICE 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
42.0%
Harrell, Conner pass complete to Nicholas, Javen for 5 yards to the RICE15, PENALTY CHARLOTTE holding (Brown, Sean) 10 yards to the RICE30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 20
OPP 30
+7
42.0%
CJ Stokes run for 7 yds to the RICE 23Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 13
OPP 23
0
42.1%
Conner Harrell pass incomplete to Javen NicholasSimilar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 13
OPP 23
+11
41.8%
Conner Harrell pass complete to CJ Stokes for 11 yds to the RICE 12Similar
Q1 8:51
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+29
42.5%
Liam Boyd 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5557% → 60%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
42.8%
Quinton Jackson run for 6 yds to the RICE 31Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
42.6%
Quinton Jackson run for 11 yds to the RICE 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
42.6%
Aaron Turner run for 1 yd to the RICE 43Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+26
42.9%
Quinton Jackson run for 26 yds to the CLT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
42.4%
Daelen Alexander run for 7 yds to the CLT 24Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+3
42.6%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Landon Ransom-Goelz for 3 yds to the CLT 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
42.6%
Daelen Alexander run for 9 yds to the CLT 12Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+3
42.8%
Daelen Alexander run for 3 yds to the CLT 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
39.9%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Drayden Dickmann for 9 yds for a TD (Enock Gota KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1141% → 41%
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
41.1%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 1 yd to the CLT 26Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
41.1%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Miles Burris for 6 yds to the CLT 32Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
41.1%
Conner Harrell pass incomplete to E. Jai MasonSimilar
Q1 3:02
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
40.8%
Bronson Long punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the RICE 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3659% → 57%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
41.4%
Quinton Jackson run for 3 yds to the RICE 27Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-2
41.3%
Chase Jenkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the RICE 25Similar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
42.0%
Landon Ransom-Goelz run for no gain to the RICE 25Similar
Q1 1:04
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
42.6%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Javen Nicholas at the CLT 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:0943% → 41%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
42.7%
Harrell, Conner pass incomplete to Nicholas, Javen, PENALTY RICE personal foul (Porter, Omari) 15 yards to the RICE45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CHARLOTTE.Similar
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
43.3%
Conner Harrell run for 1 yd to the RICE 44Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 9
OPP 44
-1
43.3%
Conner Harrell pass complete to E. Jai Mason for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 45Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
42.3%
Conner Harrell pass incomplete to E. Jai MasonSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
41.4%
Bronson Long punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tyson Thompson at the RICE 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4258% → 57%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
42.1%
Daelen Alexander run for 2 yds to the RICE 10Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+4
42.1%
Daelen Alexander run for 4 yds to the RICE 14Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+3
42.6%
Quinton Jackson run for 3 yds to the RICE 17Similar
Q2 12:53
4TH & 1
OWN 17
0
42.8%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Javen Nicholas at the CLT 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 4:2742% → 45%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
42.1%
Cameren Smith run for 1 yd to the CLT 29Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
42.1%
Conner Harrell pass incomplete to E. Jai MasonSimilar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+20
41.2%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Gus McGee for 20 yds to the CLT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
44.1%
Conner Harrell pass complete to E. Jai Mason for 11 yds to the RICE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
44.6%
CJ Stokes run for 4 yds to the RICE 36Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-12
44.5%
CJ Stokes run for a loss of 12 yards to the RICE 48 CJ Stokes fumbled, forced by Marcus Williams, recovered by CLT Javen NicholasSimilar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 18
OPP 48
+19
42.0%
Conner Harrell run for 19 yds to the RICE 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
45.3%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 3 yds to the RICE 26Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+15
45.4%
Loftis, Grayson pass incomplete to Mason, E. Jai, PENALTY RICE pass interference (Crump, Khary) 15 yards to the RICE11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CHARLOTTE.Similar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
45.4%
Grayson Loftis run for 2 yds to the RICE 9Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+1
44.8%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Rod Gainey Jr. for 1 yd to the RICE 8Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
43.6%
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete to Ta'ir BrooksSimilar
Q2 7:55
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
45.3%
Liam Boyd 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4757% → 56%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
42.6%
Quinton Jackson run for 2 yds to the RICE 27Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
42.5%
Quinton Jackson run for 3 yds to the RICE 30Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-1
43.1%
Landon Ransom-Goelz run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 29Similar
Q2 5:57
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
44.5%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Javen Nicholas at the CLT 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:0045% → 52%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
45.1%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 4 yds to the CLT 36Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+23
46.6%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Javen Nicholas for 23 yds to the RICE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
48.0%
Grayson Loftis run for 3 yds to the RICE 38Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+8
48.3%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Javen Nicholas for 8 yds to the RICE 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
49.4%
Cameren Smith run for 5 yds to the RICE 25Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+2
49.4%
Cameren Smith run for 2 yds to the RICE 23Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 3
OPP 23
0
47.8%
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete to Ta'ir BrooksSimilar
Q2 2:23
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+40
52.4%
Liam Boyd 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 0:5250% → 68%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
50.2%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Drayden Dickmann for 12 yds to the RICE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
49.2%
Chase Jenkins run for 1 yd to the RICE 38Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
49.0%
Quinton Jackson run for no gain to the RICE 38Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+10
50.1%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Drayden Dickmann for 10 yds to the RICE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+18
47.4%
Quinton Jackson run for 18 yds to the CLT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
32.4%
Chase Jenkins run for 34 yds for a TD (Enock Gota KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11DOWNS
8 plays · 51 yds · 1:1036% → 36%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
36.1%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Gus McGee for 9 yds to the CLT 34Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+37
38.1%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 37 yds to the RICE 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
41.5%
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete to CJ StokesSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
41.4%
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete to Miles BurrisSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+5
38.8%
Grayson Loftis run for 5 yds to the RICE 24Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+42
36.4%
Liam Boyd 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0264% → 77%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
36.1%
Chase Jenkins run for 9 yds to the RICE 34Similar
Q3 13:57
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
34.4%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Aaron Turner for 5 yds to the RICE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
33.8%
Quinton Jackson run for 2 yds to the RICE 41Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+3
33.7%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Landon Ransom-Goelz for 3 yds to the RICE 44Similar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+37
33.4%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Tyson Thompson for 37 yds to the CLT 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
31.5%
Quinton Jackson run for 6 yds to the CLT 13Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+13
23.1%
Daelen Alexander run for 13 yds for a TD (Enock Gota KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -17 yds · 1:1526% → 24%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
26.2%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 1 yd to the CLT 26Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-13
25.9%
Loftis, Grayson pass incomplete to Nicholas, Javen, PENALTY CHARLOTTE pass interference (Nicholas, Javen) 13 yards to the CHARLOTTE13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 22
OWN 13
0
25.6%
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete to Miles BurrisSimilar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 22
OWN 13
-5
24.8%
Grayson Loftis sacked by Michael Daley for a loss of 5 yards to the CLT 8Similar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 27
OWN 8
0
24.4%
Bronson Long punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Tyson Thompson at the RICE 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14MISSED FG
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:0978% → 78%
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+23
22.4%
Chase Jenkins run for 23 yds to the CLT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
21.5%
D'Andre Hardeman Jr. run for 9 yds to the CLT 26Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+1
20.6%
D'Andre Hardeman Jr. run for 1 yd to the CLT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-10
20.3%
Jenkins, Chase pass complete to Turner, Aaron for 6 yards to the CHARLOTTE19, PENALTY RICE holding (Barnett, Micah) 10 yards to the CHARLOTTE35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 20
OPP 35
-2
20.4%
Chase Jenkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 37Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 22
OPP 37
0
20.3%
Quinton Jackson run for no gain to the CLT 37Similar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 22
OPP 37
0
20.0%
Chase Jenkins pass incomplete to Aaron TurnerSimilar
Q3 6:49
4TH & 22
OPP 37
+55
21.6%
Enock Gota 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:1625% → 22%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
24.8%
Charlotte Penalty, False Start (Mason Bowers) to the CLT 32Similar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+2
23.4%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Gus McGee for 2 yds to the CLT 34Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 13
OWN 34
0
23.4%
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete to Gus McGeeSimilar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 13
OWN 34
-5
22.4%
Grayson Loftis sacked by Michael Daley and Aquantis Clemmons for a loss of 5 yards to the CLT 29Similar
Q3 5:33
4TH & 18
OWN 29
0
21.6%
Bronson Long punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tyson Thompson at the RICE 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:1180% → 82%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
20.0%
Aaron Turner run for 3 yds to the RICE 27Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-2
19.1%
Chase Jenkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the RICE 25Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+8
18.0%
Tyson Thompson run for 8 yds to the RICE 33Similar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 1
OWN 33
-5
18.1%
Rice Penalty, False Start (Luke Miller) to the RICE 28Similar
Q3 2:47
4TH & 6
OWN 28
+26
18.1%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 53 yds , Javen Nicholas returns for 26 yds to the CLT 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17FUMBLE
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:1321% → 23%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
21.4%
Jariel Cobb run for 4 yds to the CLT 49Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+11
21.8%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Joey Bearns III for 11 yds to the RICE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
22.4%
Jariel Cobb run for 6 yds to the RICE 34Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 4
OPP 34
-3
23.9%
Grayson Loftis sacked by Tony Anyanwu for a loss of 3 yards to the RICE 37Similar
Q3 0:31
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
21.4%
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete to Javen NicholasSimilar
Q3 0:15
4TH & 7
OPP 37
+11
19.7%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Sean Brown for 11 yds to the RICE 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-17
23.2%
Grayson Loftis sacked by Ty Morris for a loss of 17 yards to the RICE 43 Grayson Loftis fumbled, forced by Ty Morris, recovered by RICE Tony Anyanwu , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:395% → 15%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
4.8%
Cameren Smith run for 9 yds to the CLT 34Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
5.2%
Cameren Smith run for 3 yds to the CLT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
4.9%
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete to Cameren SmithSimilar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
4.7%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to E. Jai Mason for 9 yds to the CLT 46Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+6
5.0%
Cameren Smith run for 6 yds to the RICE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
5.0%
Cameren Smith run for 2 yds to the RICE 46Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
5.0%
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete to Miles BurrisSimilar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+15
4.8%
Loftis, Grayson pass incomplete to Brown, Sean, PENALTY RICE pass interference (Crump, Khary) 15 yards to the RICE31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CHARLOTTE.Similar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
5.4%
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete to Cameren SmithSimilar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
5.2%
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete to Miles BurrisSimilar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+31
15.3%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Javen Nicholas for 31 yds for a TD (Grayson Loftis pass to Javen Nicholas for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 2:4089% → 91%
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
11.0%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Drayden Dickmann for 8 yds to the RICE 33Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
10.4%
D'Andre Hardeman Jr. run for 1 yd to the RICE 34Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
10.3%
D'Andre Hardeman Jr. run for 2 yds to the RICE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
9.2%
Chase Jenkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the RICE 34Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
9.5%
D'Andre Hardeman Jr. run for no gain to the RICE 34Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
9.1%
Chase Jenkins pass incomplete to Drayden DickmannSimilar
Q4 4:39
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
8.9%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Javen Nicholas at the CLT 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:519% → 7%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
8.5%
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete to Javen NicholasSimilar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
8.0%
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete to Miles BurrisSimilar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-8
7.6%
Grayson Loftis sacked by Michael Daley for a loss of 8 yards to the CLT 17Similar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
6.7%
Bronson Long punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tyson Thompson at the RICE 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4694% → 96%
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
6.2%
Tyvonn Byars run for 4 yds to the RICE 43Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+1
5.3%
Tyvonn Byars run for 1 yd to the RICE 44Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+3
4.0%
Semaj Pierre run for 3 yds to the RICE 47Similar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 2
OWN 47
+16
4.1%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 49 yds , Javen Nicholas returns for 16 yds to the CLT 37 Charlotte Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the CLT 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22END OF GAME
12 plays · 69 yds · 1:374% → 6%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+19
4.4%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Sean Brown for 19 yds to the CLT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
4.8%
Charlotte Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CLT 24Similar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 15
OWN 24
-7
4.3%
Grayson Loftis sacked by Tony Anyanwu for a loss of 7 yards to the CLT 17Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 22
OWN 17
+9
4.2%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Ta'ir Brooks for 9 yds to the CLT 26Similar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 13
OWN 26
+17
3.4%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Javen Nicholas for 17 yds to the CLT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
4.2%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Cameren Smith for 4 yds to the CLT 47Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+18
4.4%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Miles Burris for 18 yds to the RICE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
5.7%
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete to Ta'ir BrooksSimilar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
5.7%
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete to Gus McGeeSimilar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+14
4.6%
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Javen Nicholas for 14 yds to the RICE 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
5.9%
Grayson Loftis pass incomplete to Ta'ir BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 10:31
Enock Gota kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-20.1
TD · Q2 1:18
Chase Jenkins run for 34 yds for a TD (Enock Gota KICK)
-15
TD · Q4 7:27
Grayson Loftis pass complete to Javen Nicholas for 31 yds for a TD (Grayson Loftis pass to Javen Nicholas for Two-Point Conversion)
+10
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com