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UIW

Incarnate Word 20 at UTSA 48

UTSA
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadUIW aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreUIW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:22 · Caile Hogan punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tyler Morton at the UIW 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 183Pregame prior+0.4Home team on offense+35.8Score differential+28.2Garbage-time factor+12.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+13.5Blowout margin+12.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:49: Jaffer Murphy kickoff for 65 yds , Chedon James return for 16 yds to the UIW 49 Incarnate Word Penalty, Illegal Block (5 Yards) to the UIW 5 — UTSA win probability +5.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:40: Robert Henry Jr. 74 Yd Run (Michael Petro Kick) — UTSA win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:51: Chedon James 38 Yd pass from EJ Colson (Will Faris Kick) — UIW win probability +2.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UIW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:04: Owen McCown pass complete to AJ Wilson for 77 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK) — UTSA win probability +2.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:55: EJ Colson pass complete to Chedon James for 15 yds for a TD (Will Faris KICK) — UIW win probability +2.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UIW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 7 of 9UIW made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:10UIW 4th & 5 at UIW 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:28UTSA 4th & 6 at UIW 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    89.0%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:05UTSA 4th & 9 at UTSA 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:32UIW 4th & 8 at UIW 6, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:00UTSA 4th & 1 at UIW 8, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    87.6%−1.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    84.8%−3.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:38UIW 4th & 12 at UIW 35, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:38UTSA 4th & 6 at UIW 47, up 24
    Close callPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:38UIW 4th & 8 at UIW 37, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:04UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 29, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:54UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 46, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:16UIW 4th & 6 at UTSA 45, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:16UIW 4th & 6 at UTSA 45, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:19UTSA 4th & 3 at UIW 13, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:11UIW 4th & 14 at UIW 36, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:22UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 26, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:22UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 26, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UIW made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:46UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 13:40UTSA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:51UIW Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:04UTSA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:55UIW Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:19UIW Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.0%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:06UTSA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UIWDrive 1FUMBLE
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:306% → 7%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
93.6%
Harlan Dixon run for 7 yds to the UIW 32Similar
Q1 14:34
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
93.5%
Richard Torres pass complete to Jameson Garcia for 6 yds to the UIW 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
93.5%
Richard Torres pass complete to Isaiah Champagne for 8 yds to the UIW 46Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 2
OWN 46
0
93.3%
Richard Torres pass complete to Jameson Garcia for no gain to the UIW 46Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-13
93.2%
run for a loss of 13 yards to the UIW 33 fumbled, recovered by UIW Jimmy WyrickSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2TD
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:2893% → 93%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
93.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to DJ Allen Jr. for 2 yds to the UIW 31Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
93.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Robert Henry Jr. for no gain to the UIW 31Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+18
93.0%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 18 yds to the UIW 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
93.0%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 5 yds to the UIW 8Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 5
OPP 8
-5
92.9%
PENALTY UTSA False Start (Jones,Darrell) 5 yards from UIW08 to UIW13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
92.8%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Robert Henry Jr.Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+13
93.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 13 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:027% → 7%
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.9%
Timothy Carter run for 3 yds to the UIW 22 Timothy Carter fumbled, recovered by UIW Jawuan SingletarySimilar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
92.9%
Richard Torres pass incomplete to Jameson GarciaSimilar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+8
92.9%
Richard Torres pass complete to Timothy Carter for 8 yds to the UIW 30Similar
Q1 9:10
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
92.9%
Ryan Shamburger punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Devin McCuin at the UTSA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 3:3693% → 92%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
92.8%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 5 yds to the UTSA 29Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+19
92.8%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 19 yds to the UTSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
92.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to DJ Allen Jr. for 11 yds to the UIW 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
92.8%
(07:53) No Huddle McCown,Owen pass incomplete deep right to Allen,DJ thrown to UIW19 PENALTY UIW Targeting (Mathis,John) 15 yards from UIW41 to UIW26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
92.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to AJ Wilson for 9 yds to the UIW 17Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+4
92.8%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 4 yds to the UIW 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
92.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 3 yds to the UIW 10Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+3
92.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 3 yds to the UIW 7Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+1
92.5%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 1 yd to the UIW 9Similar
Q1 5:28
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
92.4%
Michael Petro 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 5INT
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:458% → 9%
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
92.2%
Jaylon Spears run for a loss of 1 yard to the UIW 11Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 11
OWN 11
+12
92.1%
Richard Torres pass complete to Jameson Garcia for 12 yds to the UIW 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
92.0%
Richard Torres pass complete to Chedon James for 7 yds to the UIW 30Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 3
OWN 30
-5
91.8%
(04:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Torres,Richard pass complete short left to Champagne,Isaiah caught at UIW30, for 17 yards to the UIW47 (Banks Jr.,Shad) PENALTY UIW Illegal Formation 5 yards from UIW30 to UIW25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
92.0%
Richard Torres pass complete to Jaylon Spears for no gain to the UIW 25Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+28
92.0%
Richard Torres pass complete to Jameson Garcia for 13 yds to the UTSA 38 for a 1ST down UTSA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Kenny Ozowalu) to the UTSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
91.5%
Richard Torres pass intercepted Davin Martin return for no gain to the UTSA 4Similar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
91.5%
Incarnate Word Penalty, Illegal Formation (Declan Williams) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:2592% → 91%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
91.7%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 2 yds to the UTSA 6Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+21
91.7%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 21 yds to the UTSA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
91.8%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun McCown,Owen pass incomplete deep left to McCuin,Devin thrown to UIW31 PENALTY UIW Pass Interference (Pierce,Christian) 15 yards from UTSA27 to UTSA42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
92.0%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 4 yds to the UTSA 46Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-2
91.9%
Robert Henry Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTSA 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 44
-1
91.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to Will Henderson III for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 43Similar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
91.1%
Caile Hogan punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:229% → 8%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
91.5%
Harlan Dixon run for 2 yds to the UIW 6Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 8
OWN 6
0
91.5%
Richard Torres pass incomplete to Jameson GarciaSimilar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 8
OWN 6
0
92.1%
Richard Torres pass incomplete to Zach MitchellSimilar
Q2 13:32
4TH & 8
OWN 6
0
92.2%
Ryan Shamburger punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Devin McCuin at the UIW 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8TD
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:2292% → 91%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
91.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to AJ Wilson for 11 yds to the UIW 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
92.0%
AJ Wilson run for 5 yds to the UIW 23Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+6
91.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 6 yds to the UIW 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
91.9%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 1 yd to the UIW 16Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+7
91.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Dan Dishman for 7 yds to the UIW 9Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+1
91.6%
Patrick Overmyer run for 1 yd to the UIW 8Similar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+5
91.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 5 yds to the UIW 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 9FUMBLE
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:364% → 4%
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-3
96.5%
Harlan Dixon run for a loss of 3 yards to the UIW 2Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 13
OWN 2
+4
96.5%
Harlan Dixon run for 4 yds to the UIW 6Similar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 9
OWN 6
+2
96.4%
Richard Torres pass complete to Jameson Garcia for 2 yds Jameson Garcia fumbled, recovered by UIW Shad Banks Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10TD
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.9%
Dan Dishman 4 Yd pass from Owen McCown (Michael Petro Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:164% → 4%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
96.2%
Richard Torres pass complete to Chedon James for 12 yds to the UIW 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
96.1%
Timothy Carter run for 1 yd to the UIW 38Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+7
96.1%
Richard Torres pass complete to Timothy Carter for 7 yds to the UIW 45Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 2
OWN 45
-5
96.0%
PENALTY UIW False Start (Key,Shontrail) 5 yards from UIW45 to UIW40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-5
96.2%
Timothy Carter run for a loss of 5 yards to the UIW 35Similar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
96.5%
Ryan Shamburger punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Devin McCuin at the UTSA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 3:5197% → 98%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.3%
Will Henderson III run for 5 yds to the UTSA 30Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
97.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to DJ Allen Jr. for 4 yds to the UTSA 34Similar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
97.2%
Patrick Overmyer run for 2 yds to the UTSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
97.4%
Will Henderson III run for 5 yds to the UTSA 41Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
97.5%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Devin McCuinSimilar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+8
97.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 8 yds to the UTSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
97.5%
Will Henderson III run for 3 yds to the UIW 48Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+4
97.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to DJ Allen Jr. for 4 yds to the UIW 44Similar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+3
97.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 3 yds to the UIW 47Similar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
97.7%
Owen McCown punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 0:533% → 2%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-3
97.0%
Incarnate Word Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-3 Yards) to the UIW 10Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+10
96.9%
Richard Torres pass complete to Jaylon Spears for 10 yds to the UIW 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-7
96.9%
Richard Torres sacked by Kenny Ozowalu for a loss of 7 yards to the UIW 13Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 17
OWN 13
0
97.0%
Richard Torres pass incomplete to Josh LorickSimilar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 17
OWN 13
+22
97.0%
Richard Torres pass complete to Matthew Ramirez for 22 yds to the UIW 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
96.8%
Richard Torres sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the UIW 29Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 16
OWN 29
0
98.1%
Richard Torres pass incomplete to Chedon JamesSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+8
98.2%
Richard Torres pass complete to Josh Lorick for 8 yds to the UIW 37Similar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
98.0%
Ryan Shamburger punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Devin McCuin at the UTSA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:3098% → 98%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
98.0%
Owen McCown run for 7 yds to the UTSA 31Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 3
OWN 31
0
98.0%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Devin McCuinSimilar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+4
97.9%
A'Marion Peterson run for 4 yds to the UTSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
97.8%
A'Marion Peterson run for 2 yds to the UTSA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1097% → 99%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.3%
Owen McCown run for 3 yds to the UTSA 28Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
97.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 2 yds to the UTSA 26Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+74
99.3%
Robert Henry Jr. 74 Yd Run (Michael Petro Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 16TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 0:311% → 3%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.4%
EJ Colson pass complete to Chedon James for 3 yds to the UTSA 47Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+9
99.5%
Jaylon Spears run for 9 yds to the UTSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
97.1%
Chedon James 38 Yd pass from EJ Colson (Will Faris Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17TD
3 plays · 81 yds · 0:3697% → 99%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
97.4%
Will Henderson III run for 4 yds to the UTSA 23Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+77
99.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to AJ Wilson for 77 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 18TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:571% → 3%
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
99.5%
EJ Colson pass complete to Chedon James for 19 yds to the UIW 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
99.5%
EJ Colson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 4
50
0
99.5%
EJ Colson pass incomplete to Jameson GarciaSimilar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 4
50
+4
99.4%
EJ Colson pass complete to Chedon James for 4 yds to the UTSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
99.5%
Timothy Carter run for 10 yds to the UTSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
99.5%
EJ Colson pass complete to Josh Lorick for 5 yds to the UTSA 31Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+3
99.4%
EJ Colson pass complete to Timothy Carter for 3 yds to the UTSA 28Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+6
99.5%
EJ Colson pass complete to Josh Lorick for 6 yds to the UTSA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
99.5%
UTSA Penalty, unnecessary roughness (10 Yards) to the UTSA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
99.5%
EJ Colson run for a loss of 5 yards to the UTSA 15Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
97.3%
EJ Colson pass complete to Chedon James for 15 yds for a TD (Will Faris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 3:3998% → 99%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
98.1%
Will Henderson III run for 3 yds to the UTSA 19Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+4
98.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to Patrick Overmyer for 4 yds to the UTSA 23Similar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+3
98.5%
Will Henderson III run for 3 yds to the UTSA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
98.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to DJ Allen Jr. for 3 yds to the UTSA 29Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 7
OWN 29
-2
98.6%
Robert Henry Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTSA 27Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+2
98.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to DJ Allen Jr. for 2 yds to the UTSA 29Similar
Q3 4:04
4TH & 7
OWN 29
+11
98.9%
Caile Hogan punt for 47 yds , Tyler Morton returns for 11 yds to the UIW 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 20INT
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:322% → 2%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
98.1%
EJ Colson pass complete to Jackson Lowe for 4 yds to the UIW 39Similar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+10
98.1%
EJ Colson pass complete to Harlan Dixon for 10 yds to the UIW 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
98.1%
EJ Colson pass complete to Josh Lorick for 7 yds to the UTSA 44Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+5
98.3%
Harlan Dixon run for 5 yds to the UTSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
98.4%
EJ Colson run for 7 yds to the UTSA 32Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 3
OPP 32
-18
98.0%
Josh Lorick pass intercepted Shad Banks Jr. return for 18 yds to the UTSA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:2499% → 99%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.3%
Will Henderson III run for no gain to the UTSA 32Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.3%
Will Henderson III run for 3 yds to the UTSA 35Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+9
99.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to Will Henderson III for 9 yds to the UTSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.4%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Willie McCoy IIISimilar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
99.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to AJ Wilson for 2 yds to the UTSA 46Similar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
99.4%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to AJ WilsonSimilar
Q4 13:54
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
99.4%
Caile Hogan punt for 42 yds , Tyler Morton returns for no gain to the UIW 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 43 yds · 1:231% → 1%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+39
98.9%
EJ Colson pass complete to Jameson Garcia for 39 yds to the UTSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.9%
EJ Colson pass incomplete to Chedon JamesSimilar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
98.9%
EJ Colson run for no gain to the UTSA 49Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+4
98.9%
EJ Colson pass complete to Jameson Garcia for 4 yds to the UTSA 45Similar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
98.9%
EJ Colson pass incomplete to Jameson GarciaSimilar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
98.9%
EJ Colson pass incomplete to Jameson GarciaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23FG
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:46100% → 100%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to DJ Allen Jr. for 3 yds to the UTSA 48Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+8
99.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to Robert Henry Jr. for 8 yds to the UIW 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
99.5%
Incarnate Word Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Drew Merrill) to the UIW 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
99.5%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 5 yds to the UIW 15Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+2
99.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to Patrick Overmyer for 2 yds to the UIW 13Similar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 3
OPP 13
0
99.5%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to AJ WilsonSimilar
Q4 9:19
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+31
99.9%
Michael Petro 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 24TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:520% → 1%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
UTSA Penalty, unnecessary roughness (15 Yards) to the UIW 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
EJ Colson pass incomplete to Jameson GarciaSimilar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.9%
EJ Colson pass complete to Jameson Garcia for 6 yds to the UIW 43Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
EJ Colson pass complete to Timothy Carter for 4 yds to the UIW 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.9%
EJ Colson pass incomplete to Josh LorickSimilar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+10
99.9%
EJ Colson pass complete to Josh Lorick for 10 yds to the UTSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
EJ Colson run for 3 yds to the UTSA 40Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+4
99.9%
Jaylon Spears run for 4 yds to the UTSA 36Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+36
99.2%
EJ Colson pass complete to Chedon James for 36 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 25TD
5 plays · 46 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
99.7%
Will Henderson III run for 7 yds to the UIW 39Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+15
99.7%
Incarnate Word Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jachai Pulley) to the UIW 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
99.7%
Will Henderson III run for 3 yds to the UIW 24Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+24
99.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 24 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
EJ Colson run for 4 yds to the UIW 29Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
99.9%
Jaylon Spears run for 11 yds to the UIW 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
EJ Colson pass incomplete to Jameson GarciaSimilar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
100.0%
EJ Colson pass incomplete to Matthew RamirezSimilar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-4
100.0%
EJ Colson sacked by Tim Huff Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the UIW 36Similar
Q4 2:11
4TH & 14
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Ryan Shamburger punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Elliott Brow at the UTSA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:38100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.9%
A'Marion Peterson run for 3 yds to the UTSA 26Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
A'Marion Peterson run for 1 yd to the UTSA 27Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 6
OWN 27
-1
99.9%
A'Marion Peterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 26Similar
Q4 0:22
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Caile Hogan punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tyler Morton at the UIW 32Similar
Q4 0:22
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Caile Hogan punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tyler Morton at the UIW 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
100.0%
Timothy Carter run for 5 yds to the UIW 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:49
Jaffer Murphy kickoff for 65 yds , Chedon James return for 16 yds to the UIW 49 Incarnate Word Penalty, Illegal Block (5 Yards) to the UIW 5
+5.5
TD · Q3 12:51
Chedon James 38 Yd pass from EJ Colson (Will Faris Kick)
-2.3
TD · Q3 7:55
EJ Colson pass complete to Chedon James for 15 yds for a TD (Will Faris KICK)
-2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com