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AKR

Akron 28 at UAB 31

UAB
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Protective Stadium
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:50 · Joseph Castle punt for 56 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Pregame prior+23.4Home team on offense−1.4Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:21: Nate Rogers run for 8 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK) — UAB win probability +2.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:48: Jalen Kitna pass complete to Jevon Jackson for 6 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK) — UAB win probability +5.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:53: Owen Wiley 23 yd FG GOOD — AKR win probability +2.9 pts (now 25%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 36%).
  4. TD · Q2 0:47: Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 5 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK) — UAB win probability +7.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:38: Sean Patrick run for 1 yd for a TD (B. Finley Run For Two-point Conversion) — AKR win probability +20.4 pts (now 34%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 7 of 8AKR made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 11:31UAB 4th & 4 at AKR 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    79.6%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    79.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:08UAB 4th & 3 at AKR 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    75.1%−0.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    74.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:02AKR 4th & 1 at UAB 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    23.7%−0.6
    51% to make
    Punt
    23.4%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:26AKR 4th & 9 at UAB 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    22.7%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:24UAB 4th & 10 at AKR 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    72.5%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:50AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:54AKR 4th & 9 at AKR 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:53AKR 4th & 6 at UAB 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    16.2%−5.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:04AKR 4th & 4 at AKR 27, down 11
    Close callPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:40UAB 4th & 3 at AKR 46, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    84.1%−1.7
    23% to make
    Punt
    85.1%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:31AKR 4th & 11 at UAB 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    13.9%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:44UAB 4th & 2 at UAB 39, up 11
    Close callPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:34AKR 4th & 2 at UAB 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    13.7%−0.9
    58% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−4.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:39UAB 4th & 7 at UAB 47, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:36UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%−2.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:13AKR 4th & 18 at UAB 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−2.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:44UAB 4th & 14 at AKR 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−3.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    81.7%−2.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:47AKR 4th & 19 at AKR 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.1%
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4AKR made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 14:49UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 14:38AKR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 8:36AKR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 4:21UAB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:48UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:47UAB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:38AKR Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    24.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    24.3%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
82.1%
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for 75 yds for a TD (Owen Wiley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:5282% → 81%
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
82.0%
Jevon Jackson run for 12 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
81.8%
Jevon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 38Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+11
81.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 11 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
81.7%
Jevon Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 47Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+8
81.5%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Brandon Hawkins Jr. for 8 yds to the AKR 45Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
81.5%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Elijah LaggSimilar
Q1 11:31
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
81.3%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Iverson HooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 2:4219% → 22%
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
81.0%
Sean Patrick run for 2 yds to the AKR 47Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+15
80.8%
UAB Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Amorie Morrison) to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
80.5%
Ben Finley run for 7 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+1
80.3%
Sean Patrick run for 1 yd to the UAB 28Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+5
80.4%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun Finley,Ben pass incomplete short right to Newell,Jake thrown to UAB25 PENALTY UAB Offside (Odinjor,Ezra) 5 yards from UAB28 to UAB23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
80.2%
Jordan Gant run for 4 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
80.1%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Jake NewellSimilar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+10
80.1%
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for 10 yds to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
79.7%
Sean Patrick run for 4 yds to the UAB 5Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
78.1%
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for 5 yds for a TD UAB Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declined (Owen Wiley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 3:5679% → 80%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
78.6%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Solomon Beebe for 3 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+8
78.5%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Evan McCray for 8 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
78.5%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Evan McCray for 14 yds to the AKR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
78.5%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Evan McCray for 8 yds to the AKR 32Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+1
78.5%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 1 yd to the AKR 31Similar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 1
OPP 31
-5
77.9%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Perez,Calib) 5 yards from Akron31 to Akron36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+3
77.7%
Solomon Beebe run for 3 yds to the AKR 33Similar
Q1 5:08
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+21
77.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to J.C. Sivley for 21 yds to the AKR 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
77.5%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to J.C. Sivley for 4 yds to the AKR 8Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+8
79.9%
Nate Rogers run for 8 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 2:4821% → 24%
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
78.7%
Sean Patrick run for 2 yds to the AKR 27Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+32
78.5%
Ben Finley pass complete to Kyan Mason for 32 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
77.5%
Sean Patrick run for no gain to the UAB 41Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
77.4%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Kyan MasonSimilar
Q1 2:47
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+9
77.4%
Ben Finley pass complete to Tim Grear Jr. for 9 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q1 2:02
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+12
76.9%
Jordan Gant run for 12 yds to the UAB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
75.8%
Ben Finley pass complete to Kyan Mason for 1 yd to the UAB 19Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
75.7%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Tim Grear Jr.Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
76.3%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Myles WalkerSimilar
Q1 1:26
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+36
76.2%
Owen Wiley 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 1:5476% → 77%
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
76.3%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
77.0%
Kaleb Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
76.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Solomon Beebe for 13 yds to the AKR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
77.0%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Jevon JacksonSimilar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+16
76.8%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kaleb Brown for 16 yds to the AKR 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
77.3%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Solomon BeebeSimilar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
77.2%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Solomon BeebeSimilar
Q2 14:29
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
76.5%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Iverson HooksSimilar
Q2 14:24
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+44
77.4%
Jonah Delange 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:1624% → 24%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
76.3%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jake Newell for 3 yds to the AKR 28Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
76.0%
Ben Finley pass complete to Sean Patrick for 8 yds to the AKR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
75.6%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Myles WalkerSimilar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
75.8%
Sean Patrick run for 4 yds to the AKR 40Similar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
75.2%
Ben Finley sacked for 0 yards to the AKR 40Similar
Q2 11:50
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
75.7%
Joseph Castle punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8TD
8 plays · 96 yds · 2:4576% → 82%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+48
76.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 48 yds to the AKR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
77.8%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 14 yds to the AKR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
78.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Elijah Lagg for 16 yds to the AKR 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
77.9%
Solomon Beebe run for 3 yds to the AKR 15Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
77.9%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Corri MillinerSimilar
Q2 9:23
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+4
77.2%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Brandon Hawkins Jr. for 4 yds to the AKR 11Similar
Q2 8:57
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+5
76.2%
PENALTY Akron Delay Of Game 5 yards from Akron11 to Akron06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
81.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Jevon Jackson for 6 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:4619% → 18%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.8%
Jordan Gant run for 5 yds to the AKR 30Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
80.7%
Ben Finley run for 6 yds to the AKR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
80.5%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Tim Grear Jr.Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
80.8%
Jordan Gant run for 1 yd to the AKR 37Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
81.1%
Akron Penalty, Personal Foul (Myles Walker) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+14
81.7%
Joseph Castle punt for 36 yds , Iverson Hooks returns for 14 yds to the UAB 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10INT
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:4381% → 82%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
81.4%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 10 yds to the AKR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
81.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 5 yds to the AKR 44Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+9
81.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 9 yds to the AKR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
81.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for no gain to the AKR 35Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
81.8%
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the AKR 34Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+10
81.3%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 10 yds to the AKR 24 for a 1ST down Akron Penalty, Defensive Offside (Myles Walker) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-44
81.9%
Jalen Kitna pass intercepted Markus Boswell return for 44 yds to the UAB 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11FG
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:5622% → 25%
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
78.0%
Ben Finley run for 9 yds to the UAB 22Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+12
77.6%
Sean Patrick run for 12 yds to the UAB 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
77.5%
Sean Patrick run for 2 yds to the UAB 8Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
77.3%
(02:43) No Huddle-Shotgun Finley,Ben pass incomplete short right to Williams,Marcel thrown to UAB00 PENALTY UAB Offside (Burge,Chris) 4 yards from UAB08 to UAB04. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
77.2%
Kyan Mason run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 5Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
77.8%
Ben Finley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 6Similar
Q2 1:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
74.9%
Owen Wiley 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 0:5278% → 87%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
78.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Jevon Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 37Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+14
77.4%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Brandon Hawkins Jr. for 14 yds to the AKR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
79.1%
Jevon Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 49Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+23
78.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 23 yds to the AKR 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
79.5%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 15 yds to the AKR 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
79.5%
Akron Penalty, unnecessary roughness (Alex Branch) to the AKR 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
79.5%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Corri MillinerSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
86.6%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 5 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:3814% → 15%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
85.7%
Jordan Gant run for 7 yds to the AKR 20Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+9
85.5%
Jordan Gant run for 9 yds to the AKR 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:4515% → 14%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
85.0%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Israel PolkSimilar
Q3 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+6
85.2%
Sean Patrick run for 6 yds to the AKR 27Similar
Q3 14:12
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
85.3%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Israel PolkSimilar
Q3 14:04
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
86.0%
Joseph Castle punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:1686% → 86%
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
85.8%
Jevon Jackson run for no gain to the UAB 23Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
85.8%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+24
85.2%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Brandon Hawkins Jr. for 24 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
86.8%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 1 yd to the UAB 48Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+6
86.8%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 6 yds to the AKR 46Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
86.5%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Elijah LaggSimilar
Q3 11:40
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
85.9%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Corri MillinerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16MISSED FG
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:5316% → 14%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+24
84.1%
Ben Finley pass complete to Myles Walker for 24 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-15
82.9%
Akron Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the UAB 39Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 19
OPP 39
-1
84.3%
Ben Finley sacked by Kyle Mosley for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 40Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 20
OPP 40
+9
85.2%
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for 9 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q3 9:31
4TH & 11
OPP 31
+48
85.8%
Owen Wiley 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3887% → 87%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
87.0%
Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+7
87.2%
run for 7 yds to the UAB 27 fumbled, recovered by UAB Jalen KitnaSimilar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 14
OWN 27
+12
86.2%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Jevon Jackson for 12 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q3 7:44
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
86.5%
Patrick Foley punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Sean Patrick at the AKR 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:0314% → 14%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
85.6%
Jordan Gant run for 2 yds to the AKR 30Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
85.6%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Kyan MasonSimilar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+12
86.4%
Ben Finley pass complete to Cameron Monteiro for 12 yds to the AKR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
85.0%
Jordan Gant run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 2
50
+13
83.7%
Jordan Gant run for 13 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
84.0%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Marcel WilliamsSimilar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+4
84.1%
Sean Patrick run for 4 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+4
84.3%
Sean Patrick run for 4 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q3 4:34
4TH & 2
OPP 29
0
85.9%
Sean Patrick run for no gain to the UAB 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:4588% → 88%
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
88.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 15 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
89.0%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 7 yds to the AKR 49Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 3
OPP 49
-4
89.4%
Jalen Kitna sacked by Bruno Dall for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 47Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
89.0%
UAB Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 2:39
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
88.4%
Patrick Foley punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AKR 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20TD
14 plays · 83 yds · 4:5312% → 34%
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
88.1%
Ben Finley run for 4 yds to the AKR 21Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+2
88.2%
Jordan Gant run for 2 yds to the AKR 23Similar
Q3 1:04
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+10
88.6%
Ben Finley pass complete to Tim Grear Jr. for 10 yds to the AKR 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
87.3%
Sean Patrick run for 2 yds to the AKR 35Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
87.4%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Tim Grear Jr.Similar
Q3 0:13
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+18
88.2%
Ben Finley pass complete to Myles Walker for 18 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
85.6%
Michael Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 5
OPP 42
-3
85.3%
Michael Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+17
85.5%
Ben Finley pass complete to Tim Grear Jr. for 17 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
83.4%
Sean Patrick run for 9 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+18
83.4%
Sean Patrick run for 18 yds to the UAB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.8%
Sean Patrick run for 1 yd for a TD (B. Finley Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:3675% → 73%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
74.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 7 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+2
75.3%
Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+3
73.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
74.8%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Iverson HooksSimilar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-9
75.1%
Jalen Kitna sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the UAB 21Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 19
OWN 21
+9
73.2%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Brandon Hawkins Jr. for 9 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q4 9:36
4TH & 10
OWN 30
+8
72.6%
Patrick Foley punt for 56 yds , Sean Patrick returns for 8 yds to the AKR 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:1328% → 27%
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
71.8%
Jordan Gant run for 4 yds to the AKR 26Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+3
71.0%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jake Newell for 3 yds to the AKR 29Similar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+8
71.5%
Ben Finley pass complete to Marcel Williams for 8 yds to the AKR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
69.6%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Myles WalkerSimilar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+12
70.2%
Ben Finley pass complete to Myles Walker for 12 yds to the AKR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
64.9%
Ben Finley pass complete to Marcel Williams for 11 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
64.5%
Sean Patrick run for 2 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-9
65.2%
Ben Finley sacked by J'Quan Mason for a loss of 9 yards to the UAB 47Similar
Q4 5:48
3RD & 17
OPP 47
-1
71.0%
Ben Finley sacked by Eli Ennis for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 5:13
4TH & 18
OPP 48
0
72.8%
Joseph Castle punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 3:2276% → 88%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
75.6%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Solomon Beebe for 12 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
79.0%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 8 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+4
82.9%
Jevon Jackson run for 4 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
87.0%
Jevon Jackson run for 4 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+12
87.5%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 12 yds to the AKR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
90.1%
Solomon Beebe run for no gain to the AKR 40Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
90.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Elijah Lagg for 4 yds to the AKR 44Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 14
OPP 44
0
88.6%
UAB Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 14
OPP 44
0
87.5%
Patrick Foley punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5114% → 10%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
85.8%
Ben Finley pass complete to Myles Walker for 15 yds to the AKR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
85.0%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Jake NewellSimilar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 15
OWN 30
-4
87.3%
Ben Finley sacked by Chris Burge for a loss of 4 yards to the AKR 26Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 19
OWN 26
0
89.0%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Marcel WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:47
4TH & 19
OWN 26
0
89.7%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Kyan MasonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:3595% → 96%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
95.2%
(00:46) Kneel down by UAB at Akron27 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 27
-1
96.0%
(00:18) Kneel down by UAB at Akron28 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:38
Sean Patrick run for 1 yd for a TD (B. Finley Run For Two-point Conversion)
-20.4
TD · Q2 0:47
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 5 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)
+7.1
TD · Q2 8:48
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Jevon Jackson for 6 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)
+5.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com