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ARMY

Army 27 at UTSA 24

UTSA
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:33 · (08:37) #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UTSA33 (#88 C.Blaylock; #19 J.Bowens III), 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Pregame prior+12.7Home team on offense−11.1Garbage-time factor−3.3Score differential−3.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:22: (13:32) #15 N.Short rush left for 81 yards gain to the UTSA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:22, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #38 C.Allan, LS: #55 O.Walter) — ARMY win probability +3.9 pts (now 23%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:46: Jaydan Mayes 73 Yd Interception Return (Dawson Jones Kick) — ARMY win probability +13.2 pts (now 38%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:55: (14:59) Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short left to #9 P.Overmyer caught at ARMY00, for 8 yards to the ARMY00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:55 #92 M.Petro kick attempt good (H: #20 C.Hogan, LS: #91 I.Hatfield) — UTSA win probability +25.4 pts (now 64%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 9:10: (09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short middle to #13 J.Hardy caught at ARMY00, for 7 yards to the ARMY00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:10, 1ST DOWN #92 M.Petro kick attempt good (H: #20 C.Hogan, LS: #91 I.Hatfield) — UTSA win probability +23.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:49: (02:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass complete short right to #44 P.Poloskey caught at UTSA00, for 4 yards to the UTSA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:49, 1ST DOWN #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #38 C.Allan, LS: #55 O.Walter) — ARMY win probability +65.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ARMY made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 12:49ARMY 4th & 7 at ARMY 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:29ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.3%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:06UTSA 4th & 1 at ARMY 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    73.4%−0.7
    74% to make
    Punt
    71.2%−2.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:15UTSA 4th & 5 at ARMY 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    71.4%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:01UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:31ARMY 4th & 1 at UTSA 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    28.5%−2.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:59ARMY 4th & 8 at UTSA 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−5.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:03UTSA 4th & 10 at ARMY 43, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.9%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    48.8%−1.8
    28% to make
    Punt
    50.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:09UTSA 4th & 3 at ARMY 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    47.5%−4.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    49.6%−2.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:33ARMY 4th & 1 at UTSA 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.4%−3.9
    45% to make
    Punt
    52.3%−5.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:27ARMY 4th & 8 at UTSA 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    52.5%−9.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:11UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:09ARMY 4th & 15 at ARMY 10, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%−4.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:33ARMY 4th & 19 at ARMY 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−8.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:59ARMY 4th & 2 at ARMY 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.7%−2.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:16ARMY 4th & 4 at UTSA 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.0%−5.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:20UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.0%−7.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:43UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:22ARMY Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:46ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:55UTSA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:10UTSA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:49ARMY Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−2.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARMYDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:5920% → 20%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
80.3%
(14:59) #15 N.Short rush right for 11 yards gain to the ARMY36 (#12 M.Wilkerson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
80.1%
(14:24) Shotgun #27 S.Howard rush right for 0 yards to the ARMY36 (#0 S.Banks Jr.)Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
80.0%
(13:38) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass incomplete short middle to #44 P.Poloskey thrown to UTSA45Similar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+3
80.0%
(13:35) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 3 yards gain to the ARMY39 (#13 C.Otutu)Similar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
79.8%
(12:56) #46 J.Wagenseller punt 42 yards to the UTSA19 fair catch by #8 D.Amador II at UTSA19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 4:5580% → 81%
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
79.8%
(12:49) Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short left to #84 A.Wilson caught at UTSA16, for 4 yards to the UTSA23 (#14 G.Shields)Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+2
79.7%
(12:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Henry rush right for 2 yards gain to the UTSA25 (#53 K.Fortner)Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+5
79.4%
(11:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Henry rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UTSA30 (#5 J.Weaver; #14 G.Shields), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
79.3%
(11:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short left to #8 D.Amador II caught at UTSA26, for 3 yards to the UTSA33 (#40 E.Ford; #92 J.Latore)Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-1
79.2%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Henry rush right for 1 yard loss to the UTSA32 (#7 J.Mayes)Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+19
78.8%
(09:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short right to #8 D.Amador II caught at UTSA47, for 19 yards to the ARMY49 (#20 C.Larkin; #7 J.Mayes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
79.3%
(09:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short right to #1 D.McCuin caught at ARMY43, for 9 yards to the ARMY40 (#7 J.Mayes), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+36
79.0%
(08:36) Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short left to #1 D.McCuin caught at ARMY27, for 36 yards to the ARMY04 (#51 A.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
80.7%
(07:48) Shotgun #8 D.Amador II pass complete short right to #9 P.Overmyer caught at ARMY00, for 4 yards to the ARMY00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:43. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELD #92 M.Petro kick attempt good (H: #20 C.Hogan, LS: #91 I.Hatfield)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 3DOWNS
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:0720% → 20%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
80.2%
(07:41) #15 N.Short rush right for 8 yards gain to the ARMY33 (#7 J.Wyrick), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
79.8%
(07:14) #34 C.Smith rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ARMY37 (#0 S.Banks Jr.; #88 C.Blaylock), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
79.9%
(06:36) #15 N.Short rush right for 1 yard gain to the ARMY38 (#7 J.Wyrick; #12 M.Wilkerson)Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+8
79.9%
(05:54) Shotgun #15 N.Short rush left for 8 yards gain to the ARMY46 (#2 O.Pewee), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
79.6%
(05:18) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 0 yards to the ARMY46 (#94 K.Ozowalu; #7 J.Wyrick)Similar
Q1 4:29
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
79.8%
(04:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush left for 0 yards to the ARMY46 (#0 S.Banks Jr.; #27 J.Rodgers), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4FG
13 plays · 31 yds · 5:0981% → 80%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
81.1%
(04:28) Shotgun #3 R.Henry rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ARMY40 (#51 A.Thomas; #53 K.Fortner)Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 4
OPP 40
0
81.2%
(03:46) Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass incomplete short left to #8 D.Amador II thrown to ARMY33 broken up by #30 C.Matteson QB hurried by #99 J.BousumSimilar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+10
80.7%
(03:40) Shotgun #3 R.Henry rush middle for 10 yards gain to the ARMY30 (#51 A.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
81.0%
(02:56) Shotgun #3 R.Henry rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ARMY22 (#40 E.Ford)Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+1
80.8%
(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Henry rush right for 1 yard gain to the ARMY21 (#14 G.Shields)Similar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 1
OPP 21
0
80.5%
(01:43) #9 P.Overmyer rush middle for 0 yards to the ARMY21 (#51 A.Thomas; #52 K.Harris-Miller)Similar
Q1 1:06
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+1
80.1%
(01:10) #9 P.Overmyer rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ARMY20 (#52 K.Harris-Miller; #92 J.Latore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
80.9%
(00:19) No Huddle #2 O.McCown pass incomplete deep right to #84 A.Wilson thrown to ARMY00 broken up by #30 C.Matteson QB hurried by #40 E.FordSimilar
Q1 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+2
80.9%
(00:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Henry rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ARMY18 (#5 J.Weaver; #62 J.Tuioti)Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+3
80.6%
(14:59) Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short left to #15 D.Allen caught at ARMY15, for 3 yards to the ARMY15 (#53 K.Fortner)Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
80.2%
(14:18) #92 M.Petro field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #20 C.Hogan, LS: #91 I.Hatfield), clock 14:15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 5TD
3 plays · 83 yds · 0:4119% → 23%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
80.9%
(14:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ARMY19 (#34 J.Walley Jr.)Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+81
77.0%
(13:32) #15 N.Short rush left for 81 yards gain to the UTSA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:22, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #38 C.Allan, LS: #55 O.Walter)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:1776% → 75%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.4%
(13:21) Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass incomplete short left to #0 H.Thomas thrown to UTSA28 QB hurried by #40 E.FordSimilar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
76.2%
(13:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short left to #8 D.Amador II caught at UTSA30, for 10 yards to the UTSA35 (#7 J.Mayes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
76.3%
(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short right to #8 D.Amador II caught at UTSA32, for 1 yard to the UTSA36 (#14 G.Shields)Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+3
76.3%
(11:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short middle to #23 W.Henderson III caught at UTSA33, for 3 yards to the UTSA39 (#97 C.Newton)Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
75.9%
(11:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass incomplete short middle to #9 P.Overmyer thrown to ARMY42Similar
Q2 11:01
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
75.3%
(11:09) #20 C.Hogan punt 58 yards to the ARMY03, out of bounds at ARMY03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7FG
17 plays · 87 yds · 8:0123% → 31%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
76.6%
(11:00) #15 N.Short rush right for 2 yards gain to the ARMY05 (#12 M.Wilkerson; #15 T.Milton) PENALTY UTSA Offside (#88 C.Blaylock) 5 yards from ARMY03 to ARMY08. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 5
OWN 8
+7
76.5%
(10:36) Shotgun #15 N.Short rush left for 7 yards gain to the ARMY15 (#7 J.Wyrick), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
76.2%
(10:15) Shotgun #33 J.Rendina rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ARMY21 (#2 O.Pewee)Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+32
75.6%
(09:33) #15 N.Short pass complete deep right to #84 B.Anderson caught at UTSA47, for 32 yards to the UTSA47 (#7 J.Wyrick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
73.9%
(09:08) #3 C.Hellums pass incomplete deep middle to #84 B.Anderson thrown to UTSA17Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
74.0%
(09:06) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 3 yards gain to the UTSA44 (#23 B.Tucker, Jr.)Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+6
73.9%
(08:25) #3 C.Hellums pass complete short right to #15 N.Short caught at UTSA38, for 6 yards to the UTSA38 (#7 J.Wyrick)Similar
Q2 7:31
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+6
76.4%
(07:38) No Huddle #3 C.Hellums rush right for 6 yards gain to the UTSA32 (#15 T.Milton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
74.2%
(06:57) #3 C.Hellums rush left for 0 yards to the UTSA32 (#26 B.Grays; #42 D.Wimberly)Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+1
74.0%
(06:12) Shotgun #15 N.Short rush left for 1 yard gain to the UTSA31 (#15 T.Milton)Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+7
74.9%
(05:25) Shotgun #15 N.Short rush right for 7 yards gain to the UTSA24 (#7 J.Wyrick), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 4:44
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+12
75.6%
(04:44) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass incomplete short right to #8 H.Reed thrown to UTSA05 PENALTY UTSA Offside declined UTSA Roughing The Passer (#97 K.Roberts-Day) 12 yards from UTSA24 to UTSA12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
73.3%
(04:39) Shotgun #34 C.Smith rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UTSA08 (#0 S.Banks Jr.)Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
0
73.1%
(04:05) Shotgun #27 S.Howard rush right for 0 yards to the UTSA08 (#12 M.Wilkerson)Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 6
OPP 8
-2
67.2%
(03:23) Shotgun #15 N.Short sacked for loss of 2 yards to the UTSA10 (#13 C.Otutu)Similar
Q2 2:59
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
69.0%
(03:00) #95 D.Jones field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #38 C.Allan, LS: #55 O.Walter), clock 02:59Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8INT TD
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:0574% → 62%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
73.5%
(02:58) Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short left to #8 D.Amador II caught at UTSA40, for 11 yards to the UTSA46 (#20 C.Larkin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
74.9%
(02:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short left to #84 A.Wilson caught at ARMY49, for 8 yards to the ARMY46 (#30 C.Matteson)Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+3
74.9%
(01:59) Shotgun #23 W.Henderson III rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ARMY43 (#40 E.Ford; #14 G.Shields), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
74.7%
(01:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown rush right for 7 yards gain to the ARMY36 (#53 K.Fortner)Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 3
OPP 36
0
74.7%
(01:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass incomplete short right to #1 D.McCuin thrown to ARMY29Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 3
OPP 36
-73
61.6%
Jaydan Mayes 73 Yd Interception Return (Dawson Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9DOWNS
13 plays · 38 yds · 0:3957% → 58%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
57.3%
(00:47) Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short right to #1 D.McCuin caught at UTSA14, for 4 yards to the UTSA15 (#51 A.Thomas)Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+14
57.3%
(00:42) Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short left to #1 D.McCuin caught at UTSA27, for 14 yards to the UTSA29 (#7 J.Mayes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
57.7%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass incomplete short right to #1 D.McCuin thrown to UTSA35Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
57.1%
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short right to #3 R.Henry caught at UTSA29, for 2 yards to the UTSA31 (#40 E.Ford), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+26
56.4%
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short left to #84 A.Wilson caught at UTSA50, for 26 yards to the ARMY43 (#5 J.Weaver), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
60.5%
(00:14) No Huddle #2 O.McCown pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
59.4%
(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass incomplete short left to #3 R.Henry thrown to ARMY45 QB hurried by #97 C.NewtonSimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
58.5%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass incomplete deep left to #84 A.Wilson thrown to ARMY16 broken up by #3 S.NnadozieSimilar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 10
OPP 43
-8
57.6%
(00:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown sacked for loss of 8 yards to the UTSA49 (#40 E.Ford), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:4557% → 56%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
56.8%
(14:59) Shotgun #23 W.Henderson III rush right for 2 yards gain to the UTSA27 (#92 J.Latore)Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+22
56.5%
(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Henry rush middle for 22 yards gain to the UTSA49 (#20 C.Larkin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
58.8%
(14:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Henry rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ARMY49 (#14 G.Shields)Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+5
59.0%
(13:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short right to #1 D.McCuin caught at UTSA49, for 5 yards to the ARMY44 (#20 C.Larkin), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
58.1%
(12:51) Shotgun #3 R.Henry rush middle for 0 yards to the ARMY44 (#51 A.Thomas)Similar
Q3 12:09
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+1
55.6%
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short left to #1 D.McCuin caught at ARMY46, for 1 yard to the ARMY43 (#20 C.Larkin; #7 J.Mayes), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11FG
14 plays · 37 yds · 7:2951% → 63%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
49.4%
(12:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Nwawuihe rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ARMY47 (#23 B.Tucker, Jr.)Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+5
48.6%
(11:29) #3 C.Hellums rush right for 5 yards gain to the UTSA48 (#15 T.Milton)Similar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+4
47.9%
(10:57) #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UTSA44 (#0 S.Banks Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
46.9%
(10:20) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 6 yards gain to the UTSA38 (#0 S.Banks Jr.; #12 M.Wilkerson)Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+3
46.0%
(09:35) Shotgun #15 N.Short rush left for 3 yards gain to the UTSA35 (#15 T.Milton)Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
45.7%
(09:02) #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 0 yards to the UTSA35 (#88 C.Blaylock; #90 D.Quaite Jr.)Similar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+2
47.2%
(08:37) #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UTSA33 (#88 C.Blaylock; #19 J.Bowens III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
42.9%
(07:57) Shotgun #7 G.Nwawuihe rush left for 2 yards gain to the UTSA31 (#35 J.Jones). #33 N.Anyanwu injured on the playSimilar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+7
42.3%
(07:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 7 yards gain to the UTSA24 (#3 D.Martin)Similar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
42.2%
(06:46) #3 C.Hellums rush right for 2 yards gain to the UTSA22 (#7 J.Wyrick; #23 B.Tucker, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
40.4%
(06:06) Shotgun #34 C.Smith rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UTSA19 (#1 T.Leonard)Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 7
OPP 19
0
39.8%
(05:32) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 0 yards to the UTSA19 (#2 O.Pewee). #94 K.Ozowalu injured on the playSimilar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 7
OPP 19
-1
40.3%
(05:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #34 C.Smith rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UTSA20 (#0 S.Banks Jr.)Similar
Q3 4:27
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+37
36.6%
(04:30) #95 D.Jones field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #38 C.Allan, LS: #55 O.Walter), clock 04:27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:0837% → 35%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
36.5%
(04:26) Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short right to #1 D.McCuin caught at UTSA31, for 17 yards to the UTSA42 (#30 C.Matteson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
38.1%
(03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 W.Henderson III rush left for 3 yards gain to the UTSA45 (#53 K.Fortner)Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
38.0%
(03:24) Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass incomplete short left to #8 D.Amador II thrown to UTSA49 broken up by #14 G.Shields QB hurried by #40 E.FordSimilar
Q3 3:18
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
36.2%
(03:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass incomplete short middle to #0 H.Thomas thrown to ARMY48 broken up by #30 C.MattesonSimilar
Q3 3:11
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
34.6%
(03:16) #20 C.Hogan punt 40 yards to the ARMY15 fair catch by #23 L.Benson III at ARMY15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:5265% → 65%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
35.1%
(03:10) No Huddle #15 N.Short rush right for 5 yards loss to the ARMY10 (#39 L.Brown Jr.)Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 15
OWN 10
0
34.8%
(02:31) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass incomplete deep right to #15 N.Short thrown to ARMY33Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 15
OWN 10
0
35.0%
(02:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass incomplete short left to #15 N.Short thrown to ARMY25 QB hurried by #17 D.MunnerlynSimilar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 15
OWN 10
+9
35.5%
(02:21) #46 J.Wagenseller punt 58 yards to the UTSA32 #8 D.Amador II return 9 yards to the UTSA41 (#55 O.Walter)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:0837% → 64%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
36.7%
(02:08) Shotgun #3 R.Henry rush left for 4 yards gain to the UTSA45 (#51 A.Thomas)Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+6
36.1%
(01:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short right to #0 H.Thomas caught at UTSA50, for 6 yards to the ARMY49 (#20 C.Larkin), 1ST DOWN. #20 C.Larkin injured on the playSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+40
36.8%
(01:08) Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete deep right to #9 P.Overmyer caught at ARMY18, for 40 yards to the ARMY09 (#5 J.Weaver), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
39.0%
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Henry rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ARMY08 (#99 J.Bousum)Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
63.9%
(14:59) Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short left to #9 P.Overmyer caught at ARMY00, for 8 yards to the ARMY00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:55 #92 M.Petro kick attempt good (H: #20 C.Hogan, LS: #91 I.Hatfield)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:0948% → 49%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
51.6%
(14:54) Shotgun #27 S.Howard rush right for 10 yards gain to the ARMY35 (#7 J.Wyrick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
50.2%
(14:09) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass incomplete deep middle to #15 N.Short thrown to UTSA43 QB hurried by #23 B.Tucker, Jr.Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-12
50.6%
(14:02) Shotgun #84 B.Anderson rush middle for 12 yards loss to the ARMY23 (#34 J.Walley Jr.)Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 22
OWN 23
+3
52.3%
(13:20) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ARMY26 (#23 B.Tucker, Jr.)Similar
Q4 12:33
4TH & 19
OWN 26
+9
51.1%
(12:43) #46 J.Wagenseller punt 48 yards to the UTSA26 #8 D.Amador II return 9 yards to the UTSA35 (#33 J.Rendina; #55 O.Walter)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 3:1953% → 80%
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
53.3%
(12:31) Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass incomplete short right to #0 H.Thomas thrown to UTSA42Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
53.2%
(12:27) Shotgun #23 W.Henderson III rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UTSA42 (#14 G.Shields)Similar
Q4 11:41
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+4
55.1%
(11:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short left to #23 W.Henderson III caught at UTSA39, for 4 yards to the UTSA46 (#51 A.Thomas), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+41
55.0%
(11:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 W.Henderson III rush middle for 41 yards gain to the ARMY13 (#51 A.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
57.1%
(10:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 W.Henderson III rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ARMY11 (#97 C.Newton)Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+4
57.2%
(09:57) Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short middle to #0 H.Thomas caught at ARMY11, for 4 yards to the ARMY07 (#30 C.Matteson)Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+7
80.3%
(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short middle to #13 J.Hardy caught at ARMY00, for 7 yards to the ARMY00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:10, 1ST DOWN #92 M.Petro kick attempt good (H: #20 C.Hogan, LS: #91 I.Hatfield)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:1625% → 79%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.0%
(09:09) #15 N.Short rush right for 2 yards gain to the ARMY27 (#12 M.Wilkerson), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
75.0%
(08:38) Shotgun #15 N.Short rush left for 4 yards gain to the ARMY31 (#15 T.Milton)Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
75.3%
(07:58) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush left for 2 yards gain to the ARMY33 (#12 M.Wilkerson)Similar
Q4 6:59
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+14
75.5%
(07:16) #3 C.Hellums pass complete short left to #27 S.Howard caught at ARMY47, for 14 yards to the ARMY47, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
70.9%
(06:50) No Huddle #3 C.Hellums rush left for 5 yards gain to the UTSA48 (#0 S.Banks Jr.)Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
69.8%
(06:13) #3 C.Hellums pass incomplete short middle to #86 T.Brannan thrown to UTSA29 broken up by #7 J.Wyrick. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 5:58
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+1
70.4%
(06:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 N.Short rush left for 1 yard gain to the UTSA47 (#94 K.Ozowalu; #13 C.Otutu)Similar
Q4 5:16
4TH & 4
OPP 47
+14
74.3%
(05:29) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass complete short middle to #44 P.Poloskey caught at UTSA36, for 14 yards to the UTSA33 (#0 S.Banks Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
69.6%
(04:54) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UTSA29 (#23 B.Tucker, Jr.)Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+19
71.1%
(04:28) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush left for 19 yards gain to the UTSA10 (#0 S.Banks Jr.), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was inbounds". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
71.5%
(03:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UTSA06 (#88 C.Blaylock)Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
71.4%
(02:57) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UTSA04 (#34 J.Walley Jr.; #98 J.Buxton)Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
20.6%
(02:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass complete short right to #44 P.Poloskey caught at UTSA00, for 4 yards to the UTSA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:49, 1ST DOWN #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #38 C.Allan, LS: #55 O.Walter)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:2033% → 28%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
33.3%
(02:48) Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short left to #9 P.Overmyer caught at UTSA30, for 11 yards to the UTSA36 (#14 G.Shields), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
34.6%
(02:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short right to #9 P.Overmyer caught at UTSA39, for 3 yards to the UTSA39 (#3 S.Nnadozie)Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-4
36.4%
(02:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown sacked for loss of 4 yards to the UTSA35 (#40 E.Ford). The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was down by contact". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (02:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass incomplete short right thrown to UTSA37 QB hurried by #40 E.Ford)Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+7
28.7%
(01:59) Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short middle to #9 P.Overmyer caught at UTSA40, for 7 yards to the UTSA42 (#7 J.Mayes)Similar
Q4 1:20
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
28.4%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass incomplete short left to #9 P.Overmyer thrown to UTSA47 broken up by #30 C.Matteson, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19END OF GAME
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:4090% → 95%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
9.9%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 11 yards gain to the UTSA31 (#15 T.Milton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
7.7%
(01:11) Kneel down by #3 C.Hellums at UTSA33 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 12
OPP 33
-2
5.4%
(00:32) Kneel down by #3 C.Hellums at UTSA35 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:49
(02:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass complete short right to #44 P.Poloskey caught at UTSA00, for 4 yards to the UTSA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:49, 1ST DOWN #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #38 C.Allan, LS: #55 O.Walter)
-65.6
TD · Q4 14:55
(14:59) Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short left to #9 P.Overmyer caught at ARMY00, for 8 yards to the ARMY00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:55 #92 M.Petro kick attempt good (H: #20 C.Hogan, LS: #91 I.Hatfield)
+25.4
TD · Q4 9:10
(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 O.McCown pass complete short middle to #13 J.Hardy caught at ARMY00, for 7 yards to the ARMY00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:10, 1ST DOWN #92 M.Petro kick attempt good (H: #20 C.Hogan, LS: #91 I.Hatfield)
+23.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com