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LAM

Lamar 0 at North Texas 51

UNT
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadLAM aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreLAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFUMBLETDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:42 · Sawyer Evans punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Kristian Pugh at the LAM 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Pregame prior+19.3Home team on offense+32.1Score differential+27.7Blowout margin+14.9Garbage-time factor+10.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:21: Drew Mestemaker run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — UNT win probability +0.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:46: Makenzie McGill II run for 1 yd for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK) — UNT win probability +0.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:35: Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Wyatt Young for 5 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK) — UNT win probability +1.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:53: Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Cameron Dorner for 25 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK) — UNT win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:57: Kali Nguma 28 yd FG GOOD — UNT win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 5LAM made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 8:29LAM 4th & 8 at LAM 42, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:54LAM 4th & 16 at LAM 19, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:00UNT 4th & 2 at LAM 47, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    94.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:51UNT 4th & 1 at LAM 2, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.7%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    94.1%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:38LAM 4th & 9 at LAM 16, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:39LAM 4th & 7 at LAM 39, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:57UNT 4th & 3 at LAM 10, up 27
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:20LAM 4th & 15 at LAM 12, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:17LAM 4th & 6 at LAM 29, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:40LAM 4th & 21 at LAM 33, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:42UNT 4th & 4 at LAM 43, up 51
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:04LAM 4th & 7 at LAM 35, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:05LAM 4th & 8 at UNT 37, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:18UNT 4th & 17 at UNT 44, up 51
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:28LAM 4th & 15 at LAM 28, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:21UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:46UNT Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:35UNT Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:53UNT Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:16UNT Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:41UNT Touchdown, up 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3396% → 96%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
96.3%
Makenzie McGill II run for a loss of 6 yards to the UNT 19Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+17
96.2%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Miles Coleman for 17 yds to the UNT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
96.1%
Drew Mestemaker run for 6 yds to the UNT 42Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+2
96.1%
Makenzie McGill II run for 2 yds to the UNT 44Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+6
96.0%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Miles Coleman for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
50
+2
96.0%
Kiefer Sibley run for 2 yds to the LAM 48Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+46
95.9%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Wyatt Young for 46 yds to the LAM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.9%
Drew Mestemaker run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:434% → 5%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.8%
Damien Moore run for 5 yds to the LAM 30Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
95.7%
Robert Coleman pass complete to JaCorey Hyder for 10 yds to the LAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
95.6%
Damien Moore run for 2 yds to the LAM 42Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+7
95.5%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Izaha Jones for 7 yds to the LAM 49Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 1
OWN 49
-2
95.4%
Damien Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the LAM 47Similar
Q1 8:36
4TH & 3
OWN 47
-5
95.4%
PENALTY LAMAR Delay Of Game 5 yards from LAMAR47 to LAMAR42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
95.4%
Mason Stallons punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNT 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:4395% → 96%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
95.4%
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Tre Williams IIISimilar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+24
95.4%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Cameron Dorner for 24 yds to the LAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
95.5%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Baron Tipton for 15 yds to the LAM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
95.4%
Lamar Penalty, Personal Foul (Ronnie Hamrick) to the LAM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
95.4%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Tre Williams III for 4 yds to the LAM 10Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+2
95.3%
Jayden Becks run for 2 yds to the LAM 8Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+7
95.2%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Cameron Dorner for 7 yds to the LAM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.2%
Kiefer Sibley run for no gain to the LAM 1Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.0%
Makenzie McGill II run for 1 yd for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:384% → 5%
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.6%
Major Bowden run for 2 yds to the LAM 27Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-4
95.5%
Izaha Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the LAM 23Similar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-4
95.5%
Robert Coleman sacked by Ethan Day for a loss of 4 yards to the LAM 19Similar
Q1 3:54
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+9
95.5%
Mason Stallons punt for 45 yds , Miles Coleman returns for 9 yds to the UNT 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5DOWNS
14 plays · 53 yds · 4:5196% → 96%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
95.9%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Miles Coleman for 8 yds to the LAM 47Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 2
OPP 47
-2
95.9%
Makenzie McGill II run for a loss of 2 yards to the LAM 49Similar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+2
95.9%
Drew Mestemaker run for 2 yds to the LAM 47Similar
Q1 2:00
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+7
95.7%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Tre Williams III for 7 yds to the LAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
95.9%
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Simeon EvansSimilar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+15
95.9%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun Mestemaker,Drew pass incomplete deep right to Evans,Simeon thrown to LAMAR19 PENALTY LAMAR Pass Interference (Rankin,DeMarcus) 15 yards from LAMAR40 to LAMAR25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
95.8%
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Terrence LewisSimilar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-10
95.8%
North Texas Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LAM 29Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 14
OPP 29
0
95.7%
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Tre Williams IIISimilar
Q1 0:37
3RD & 14
OPP 29
+18
95.6%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Miles Coleman for 18 yds to the LAM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
95.8%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Cameron Dorner for 4 yds to the LAM 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
95.8%
Makenzie McGill II run for 2 yds to the LAM 5Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+3
95.7%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Miles Coleman for 3 yds to the LAM 2Similar
Q2 13:51
4TH & 1
OPP 2
0
95.6%
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Tre Williams IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 4:035% → 5%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
95.1%
Damien Moore run for 5 yds to the LAM 7Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 5
OWN 7
+8
95.1%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Jayden Boyd for 8 yds to the LAM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
94.9%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Kyndon Fuselier for 4 yds to the LAM 19Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 6
OWN 19
-5
94.9%
PENALTY LAMAR False Start (Ripley,Elias) 5 yards from LAMAR19 to LAMAR14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+1
95.2%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Major Bowden for 1 yd to the LAM 15Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 10
OWN 15
-5
95.2%
PENALTY LAMAR Delay Of Game 5 yards from LAMAR15 to LAMAR10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+6
95.2%
Major Bowden run for 6 yds to the LAM 16Similar
Q2 9:38
4TH & 9
OWN 16
+38
95.2%
Mason Stallons punt blocked by Wyatt Young, punt out-of-bounds at the UNT 46 blocked by Wyatt YoungSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 2:5896% → 98%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
95.8%
Jayden Becks run for 6 yds to the LAM 48Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
95.9%
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Baron TiptonSimilar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+30
95.7%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Simeon Evans for 30 yds to the LAM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
95.9%
Drew Mestemaker run for 5 yds to the LAM 13Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+10
95.6%
Jayden Becks run for 10 yds to the LAM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
95.6%
Jayden Becks run for a loss of 2 yards to the LAM 5Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.5%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Wyatt Young for 5 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:443% → 3%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.4%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Jayden Boyd for 8 yds to the LAM 33Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
97.2%
Damien Moore run for 1 yd to the LAM 34Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
97.3%
Damien Moore run for 2 yds to the LAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
97.3%
Damien Moore run for 3 yds to the LAM 39Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
97.4%
Robert Coleman pass incomplete to Major BowdenSimilar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
97.4%
Robert Coleman pass incomplete to Kyndon FuselierSimilar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
97.5%
Mason Stallons punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Miles Coleman at the UNT 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 1:4098% → 99%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
97.9%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Caleb Hawkins for 9 yds to the UNT 33Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+12
98.0%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Cameron Dorner for 12 yds to the UNT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
98.0%
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Wyatt Young for a 1ST down Lamar Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Kristian Pugh) to the LAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
98.0%
Caleb Hawkins run for 1 yd to the LAM 39Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+14
98.1%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Wyatt Young for 14 yds to the LAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.3%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Cameron Dorner for 25 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 10INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-26
99.5%
Robert Coleman pass intercepted Trey Fields return for 26 yds to the LAM 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11FG
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:4099% → 99%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
99.3%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Baron Tipton for 3 yds to the LAM 20Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 13
OPP 20
-5
99.3%
PENALTY UNT Illegal Snap (Yanta II,Tay) 5 yards from LAMAR20 to LAMAR25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 18
OPP 25
0
99.2%
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Simeon EvansSimilar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 18
OPP 25
+15
99.2%
Drew Mestemaker run for 15 yds to the LAM 10Similar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+28
99.4%
Kali Nguma 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 12FUMBLE TD
7 plays · -22 yds · 0:261% → 0%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
99.5%
PENALTY LAMAR Delay Of Game 5 yards from LAMAR22 to LAMAR17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 15
OWN 17
-8
99.5%
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun Coleman,Robert rush right for 2 yards gain to the LAMAR19, out of bounds at LAMAR19 PENALTY LAMAR Holding (Boyd,Knox) 8 yards from LAMAR17 to LAMAR09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 23
OWN 9
+3
99.5%
Major Bowden run for 3 yds to the LAM 12Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 20
OWN 12
-6
99.5%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun Coleman,Robert pass complete short right to Bowden,Major caught at LAMAR08, for 16 yards to the LAMAR28, out of bounds at LAMAR28 PENALTY LAMAR Holding (Curtis,Zachary) 6 yards from LAMAR12 to LAMAR06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 26
OWN 6
0
99.6%
Robert Coleman run for a loss of 6 yards Robert Coleman fumbled, recovered by UNT Ethan Wesloski for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:181% → 0%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.5%
Robert Coleman pass incomplete to Kyndon FuselierSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-6
99.6%
Robert Coleman sacked by Zhaiylen Scott for a loss of 6 yards to the LAM 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:251% → 0%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
99.5%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Devyn Gibbs for 2 yds to the LAM 15Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 12
OWN 15
-3
99.6%
Damien Moore run for a loss of 3 yards to the LAM 12Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 15
OWN 12
0
99.6%
Robert Coleman pass incomplete to Morgan SampsonSimilar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 15
OWN 12
0
99.6%
Mason Stallons punt for 40 yds , Miles Coleman returns for no gain to the UNT 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 1:54100% → 100%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+30
99.6%
Kiefer Sibley run for 30 yds to the LAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
99.6%
Kiefer Sibley run for 4 yds to the LAM 18Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+16
99.7%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Terrence Lewis for 14 yds to the LAM 4 for a 1ST down Lamar Penalty, unnecessary roughness (Ronnie Hamrick) to the LAM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.7%
Kiefer Sibley run for 1 yd to the LAM 1Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Kiefer Sibley run for 1 yd for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:530% → 0%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Major Bowden run for 4 yds to the LAM 29Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Robert Coleman pass incomplete to Izaha JonesSimilar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Robert Coleman pass incomplete to Jaydn GirardSimilar
Q3 10:17
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Mason Stallons punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNT 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.7%
Makenzie McGill II run for 4 yds to the UNT 42Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+20
99.7%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Cameron Dorner for 20 yds to the LAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
99.7%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 6 yds to the LAM 32Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+32
99.8%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Wyatt Young for 32 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 8 yds · 4:010% → 0%
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Lamar Penalty, Defensive Offside (Xavier Coleman) declinedSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Major Bowden run for 4 yds to the LAM 29Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-3
99.8%
(08:04) No Huddle-Shotgun Coleman,Robert pass complete short left to Bowden,Major caught at LAMAR26, for 7 yards to the LAMAR36 (Hammonds,Quinton) PENALTY LAMAR Offside (Boyd,Jayden) 3 yards from LAMAR29 to LAMAR26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+18
99.9%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Kyndon Fuselier for 18 yds to the LAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Major Bowden for no gain to the LAM 44Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-7
99.9%
Robert Coleman sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the LAM 37Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 17
OWN 37
-5
99.9%
PENALTY LAMAR Delay Of Game 5 yards from LAMAR37 to LAMAR32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 22
OWN 32
+1
99.9%
Xavier Coleman run for 1 yd to the LAM 33Similar
Q3 4:40
4TH & 21
OWN 33
+4
99.9%
Mason Stallons punt for 32 yds , Simeon Evans returns for 4 yds to the UNT 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:46100% → 100%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
99.8%
Reese Poffenbarger run for 12 yds to the LAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.9%
Jayden Becks run for 5 yds to the LAM 44Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+2
99.9%
Jayden Becks run for 2 yds to the LAM 42Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 3
OPP 42
-1
99.9%
Jayden Becks run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAM 43Similar
Q3 1:42
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Sawyer Evans punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Kristian Pugh at the LAM 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 3:280% → 0%
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
99.9%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Major Bowden for 5 yds to the LAM 17Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+5
99.9%
Robert Coleman run for 5 yds to the LAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Robert Coleman pass incomplete to Kyndon FuselierSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.9%
Robert Coleman run for 3 yds to the LAM 25Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Kyndon Fuselier for 7 yds to the LAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Major Bowden run for 2 yds to the LAM 34Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Robert Coleman pass incomplete to Izaha JonesSimilar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-5
99.9%
PENALTY LAMAR Delay Of Game 5 yards from LAMAR34 to LAMAR29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+6
99.9%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Devyn Gibbs for 6 yds to the LAM 35Similar
Q4 13:04
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Mason Stallons punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNT 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21FUMBLE
8 plays · 25 yds · 4:21100% → 100%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Reese Poffenbarger run for 4 yds to the UNT 34Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Caleb Hawkins run for 3 yds to the UNT 37Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+8
99.9%
Reese Poffenbarger run for 8 yds to the UNT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Chris LewisSimilar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.9%
Caleb Hawkins run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 5
50
+8
99.9%
Caleb Hawkins run for 8 yds to the LAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
99.9%
Caleb Hawkins run for 1 yd to the LAM 41Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 9
OPP 41
-4
99.9%
Reese Poffenbarger run for a loss of 4 yards to the LAM 45 Reese Poffenbarger fumbled, recovered by LAM Jackson BandySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:130% → 0%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
100.0%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Kyndon Fuselier for 16 yds to the UNT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
100.0%
Damien Moore run for 2 yds to the UNT 37Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Damien Moore run for no gain to the UNT 37Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Lamar Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 8
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Robert Coleman pass incomplete to Devyn GibbsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 3:39100% → 100%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.9%
Ashton Gray run for 5 yds to the UNT 42Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
99.9%
Ashton Gray run for 2 yds to the UNT 44Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+7
100.0%
Ashton Gray run for 7 yds to the LAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
100.0%
Ashton Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 11
50
-1
100.0%
Ashton Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNT 49Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
100.0%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Dalton CarnesSimilar
Q4 3:24
4TH & 12
OWN 49
-5
100.0%
PENALTY UNT False Start (Young,Wyatt) 5 yards from UNT49 to UNT44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:18
4TH & 17
OWN 44
+7
100.0%
Sawyer Evans punt for 43 yds , Jaydn Girard returns for 7 yds to the LAM 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 8 yds · 1:380% → 0%
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
100.0%
Aiden McCown run for 8 yds to the LAM 28Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
100.0%
Aiden McCown run for 1 yd to the LAM 29Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+4
100.0%
Joshua Robinson run for 4 yds to the LAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Aiden McCown pass incomplete to Nyir JonesSimilar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Aiden McCown pass incomplete to Nyir JonesSimilar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Aiden McCown pass incomplete to Tyler BonkowskiSimilar
Q4 1:43
4TH & 10
OWN 33
-5
100.0%
PENALTY LAMAR Delay Of Game 5 yards from LAMAR33 to LAMAR28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 15
OWN 28
+11
100.0%
Mason Stallons punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNT 43 , Simeon Evans returns for 11 yds to the UNT 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
100.0%
R. Poffenbarger takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 40
-2
100.0%
R. Poffenbarger takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:35
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Wyatt Young for 5 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q2 1:53
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Cameron Dorner for 25 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)
+1.2
TD · Q1 5:46
Makenzie McGill II run for 1 yd for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)
+0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com