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VMI

VMI 7 at Navy 52

NAVY
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · NAVY
modelNAVY aheadVMI aheadconfidence bandkey playNAVY scoreVMI score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:05 · Ben Shrewsbury punt for 45 yds , Charles Robinson returns for 13 yds to the NAVY 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Pregame prior+2.0Home team on offense+36.3Score differential+30.7Garbage-time factor+8.6Blowout margin+19.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+15.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:07: Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 18 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK) — NAVY win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:17: Alex Tecza run for 6 yds for a TD VMI Penalty, Defensive Offside (Anthony Allen) declined (Nathan Kirkwood KICK) — NAVY win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:48: Eli Heidenreich run for 4 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK) — NAVY win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:13: Collin Shannon pass complete to Owen Sweeney for 75 yds for a TD (Ben Shrewsbury KICK) — VMI win probability +0.9 pts (now 1%) (top driver: VMI has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:50: Braxton Woodson run for 74 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK) — NAVY win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NAVY made the numbers' call on 2 of 3VMI made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 11:45VMI 4th & 15 at VMI 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:42VMI 4th & 8 at VMI 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00NAVY 4th & 10 at VMI 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:58VMI 4th & 11 at VMI 3, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:48VMI 4th & 1 at NAVY 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%−0.4
    23% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:26VMI 4th & 9 at VMI 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:22NAVY 4th & 6 at VMI 11, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:24NAVY 4th & 12 at VMI 47, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:27VMI 4th & 17 at VMI 39, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:06VMI 4th & 5 at NAVY 38, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:33VMI 4th & 24 at NAVY 43, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:34VMI 4th & 4 at VMI 31, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:05VMI 4th & 1 at VMI 44, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NAVY made the numbers' call on 7 of 7VMI made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:00NAVY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:07NAVY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:17NAVY Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:48NAVY Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:13VMI Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:50NAVY Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:39NAVY Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:37NAVY Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VMIDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 14 yds · 3:101% → 1%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.0%
Leo Boehling run for 2 yds to the VMI 27Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.0%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Noah Grevious for 5 yds to the VMI 32Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+12
99.0%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Owen Sweeney for 12 yds to the VMI 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
98.9%
PENALTY VMI False Start (Witt,Britin) 5 yards from VMI44 to VMI39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 15
OWN 39
0
98.9%
Leo Boehling run for no gain to the VMI 39Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 15
OWN 39
0
98.9%
Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Morgan McPhaulSimilar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 15
OWN 39
-5
98.9%
(12:21) PENALTY VMI False Start (Woodley,Tristan) 5 yards from VMI39 to VMI34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 20
OWN 34
+5
98.9%
Leo Boehling run for 5 yds to the VMI 39Similar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 15
OWN 39
0
98.8%
Ben Shrewsbury punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NAVY 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 2TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 5:3699% → 99%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
98.8%
Eli Heidenreich run for 4 yds to the NAVY 34Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
98.8%
Alex Tecza run for 7 yds to the NAVY 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
98.7%
Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 10 yds to the VMI 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
98.7%
Charles Robinson run for 7 yds to the VMI 42Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+5
98.6%
Blake Horvath run for 5 yds to the VMI 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
98.5%
Alex Tecza run for 3 yds to the VMI 34Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+15
98.5%
Eli Heidenreich run for 15 yds to the VMI 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
98.5%
Brandon Chatman run for 6 yds to the VMI 13Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+3
98.4%
Alex Tecza run for 3 yds to the VMI 10Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+3
98.3%
Alex Tecza run for 3 yds to the VMI 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.5%
Michael Barrow run for 7 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:022% → 2%
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-7
98.4%
Collin Shannon sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the VMI 17Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 17
OWN 17
+4
98.4%
Aslin Shipe run for 4 yds to the VMI 21Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 13
OWN 21
+5
98.3%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Cade Cox for 5 yds to the VMI 26Similar
Q1 3:42
4TH & 8
OWN 26
+18
98.3%
Ben Shrewsbury punt for 45 yds , Brandon Chatman returns for 18 yds to the NAVY 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 3:3498% → 98%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
98.3%
Blake Horvath run for 9 yds to the VMI 44Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 1
OPP 44
0
98.3%
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Brandon ChatmanSimilar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+4
98.2%
Alex Tecza run for 4 yds to the VMI 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
98.2%
Eli Heidenreich run for 2 yds to the VMI 38Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+3
98.1%
Alex Tecza run for 3 yds to the VMI 35Similar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
98.0%
Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for no gain to the VMI 35Similar
Q1 0:19
4TH & 5
OPP 35
-5
97.9%
PENALTY Navy Delay Of Game 5 yards from VMI35 to VMI40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
97.8%
Jacob Carlson punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:542% → 2%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
97.8%
Leo Boehling run for 2 yds to the VMI 6Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+4
97.7%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Owen Sweeney for 4 yds to the VMI 10Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 4
OWN 10
-7
97.7%
Collin Shannon sacked by Kendall Whiteside for a loss of 7 yards to the VMI 3Similar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 11
OWN 3
+5
97.7%
Ben Shrewsbury punt for 37 yds , Brandon Chatman returns for 5 yds to the VMI 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 6TD
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:4498% → 98%
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+25
97.7%
Eli Heidenreich run for 25 yds to the VMI 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
97.7%
Eli Heidenreich run for 4 yds to the VMI 6Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
97.6%
(11:56) Chatman,Brandon rush right for 6 yards gain to the VMI00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 11:51 PENALTY Navy Holding (Tecza,Alex) 10 yards from VMI06 to VMI16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+2
97.5%
Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 2 yds to the VMI 18Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+18
98.2%
Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 18 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:052% → 2%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
97.9%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Owen Sweeney for 8 yds to the VMI 26Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+7
97.8%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Morgan McPhaul for 7 yds to the VMI 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
97.8%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Malik McNeely for 12 yds to the VMI 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
97.7%
Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Malik McNeelySimilar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
97.7%
Aslin Shipe run for 4 yds to the VMI 49Similar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+5
97.6%
Aslin Shipe run for 5 yds to the NAVY 46Similar
Q2 7:48
4TH & 1
OPP 46
-11
97.6%
Collin Shannon sacked by MarcAnthony Parker for a loss of 11 yards to the VMI 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 8TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:2698% → 99%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
97.9%
Brandon Chatman run for 7 yds to the VMI 36Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+4
97.9%
Alex Tecza run for 4 yds to the VMI 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
97.8%
Blake Horvath pass complete to Luke Hutchison for 5 yds to the VMI 27Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+13
97.8%
Alex Tecza run for 13 yds to the VMI 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
97.8%
Brandon Chatman run for 8 yds to the VMI 6Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+6
99.0%
Alex Tecza run for 6 yds for a TD VMI Penalty, Defensive Offside (Anthony Allen) declined (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:471% → 1%
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
JoJo Crump pass incomplete to Morgan McPhaulSimilar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.8%
JoJo Crump run for 3 yds to the VMI 28Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+14
98.8%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Noah Grevious for 14 yds to the VMI 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
98.7%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Julio Carrecter for 5 yds to the VMI 47Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
98.7%
Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Owen SweeneySimilar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+4
98.7%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Aslin Shipe for 4 yds to the VMI 43Similar
Q2 2:26
4TH & 9
OWN 43
+17
98.8%
Ben Shrewsbury punt for 52 yds , Brandon Chatman returns for 17 yds to the NAVY 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 10TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 1:3099% → 100%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+22
98.9%
Alex Tecza run for 22 yds to the NAVY 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.0%
Eli Heidenreich run for 9 yds to the VMI 47Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+5
99.1%
Alex Tecza run for 5 yds to the VMI 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+35
99.1%
Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 35 yds to the VMI 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
99.1%
Brandon Chatman run for 3 yds to the VMI 4Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
Eli Heidenreich run for 4 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:420% → 0%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.6%
Leo Boehling run for 1 yd to the VMI 26Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
99.6%
Leo Boehling run for 7 yds to the VMI 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 12FG
16 plays · 66 yds · 7:31100% → 100%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
99.7%
Braxton Woodson run for 8 yds to the NAVY 31Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+10
99.7%
Alex Tecza run for 10 yds to the NAVY 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.7%
Eli Heidenreich run for 4 yds to the NAVY 45Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-2
99.7%
Brandon Chatman run for a loss of 2 yards to the NAVY 43Similar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+12
99.8%
Braxton Woodson pass complete to Nathan Kent for 12 yds to the VMI 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Braxton Woodson pass incomplete to Eli HeidenreichSimilar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
99.8%
Alex Tecza run for 4 yds to the VMI 41Similar
Q3 10:56
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+10
99.8%
Braxton Woodson pass complete to Alex Tecza for 10 yds to the VMI 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
99.8%
Brandon Chatman run for 5 yds to the VMI 26Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+4
99.8%
Charles Robinson run for 4 yds to the VMI 22Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+7
99.8%
Braxton Woodson run for 7 yds to the VMI 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.8%
Braxton Woodson pass incomplete to Nathan KentSimilar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
99.8%
Alex Tecza run for no gain to the VMI 15Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+4
99.8%
Braxton Woodson pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 4 yds to the VMI 11Similar
Q3 7:22
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+28
99.8%
Nathan Kirkwood 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 13TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
99.0%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Owen Sweeney for 75 yds for a TD (Ben Shrewsbury KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:1399% → 99%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
99.0%
Braxton Woodson run for 13 yds to the VMI 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.2%
Braxton Woodson pass incomplete to Luke HutchisonSimilar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.1%
Eli Heidenreich run for 3 yds to the VMI 42Similar
Q3 5:33
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
99.1%
Braxton Woodson pass incomplete to Charles RobinsonSimilar
Q3 5:33
4TH & 7
OPP 42
-5
99.1%
PENALTY Navy Delay Of Game 5 yards from VMI42 to VMI47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:24
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
99.0%
Jacob Carlson punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:521% → 1%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.1%
Leo Boehling run for no gain to the VMI 20Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.1%
Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Owen SweeneySimilar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+11
99.2%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Noah Grevious for 11 yds to the VMI 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-9
99.1%
Collin Shannon sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the VMI 37Similar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 19
OWN 37
+2
99.1%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Luke Schalow for 2 yds to the VMI 39Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 17
OWN 39
0
99.2%
Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Destin MooreSimilar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 17
OWN 39
0
99.2%
Ben Shrewsbury punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 16TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:2999% → 100%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.3%
Alex Tecza run for 2 yds to the NAVY 22Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
99.3%
Braxton Woodson run for 4 yds to the NAVY 26Similar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+74
99.9%
Braxton Woodson run for 74 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 17PUNT
14 plays · 32 yds · 4:130% → 0%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Julio CarrecterSimilar
Q3 0:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Julio Carrecter for 5 yds to the VMI 30Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+27
99.9%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Owen Sweeney for 27 yds to the NAVY 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
99.9%
Aslin Shipe run for 5 yds to the NAVY 38Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Malik McNeelySimilar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 5
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Malik McNeelySimilar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 5
OPP 38
+9
99.9%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Noah Grevious for 9 yds to the NAVY 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
99.9%
Leo Boehling run for 4 yds to the NAVY 25Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 6
OPP 25
-5
99.9%
PENALTY VMI False Start (Witt,Britin) 5 yards from Navy25 to Navy30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 11
OPP 30
-8
99.9%
Collin Shannon sacked by Landon Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the NAVY 38Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 19
OPP 38
-5
99.9%
(11:57) PENALTY VMI Delay Of Game (Shannon,Collin) 5 yards from Navy38 to Navy43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 24
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Malik McNeelySimilar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 24
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Ben Shrewsbury punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NAVY 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 18TD
4 plays · 94 yds · 1:46100% → 100%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+15
99.9%
VMI Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the NAVY 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.9%
Michael Barrow run for 2 yds to the NAVY 26Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+6
99.9%
Braxton Woodson run for 6 yds to the NAVY 32Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+68
99.9%
Braxton Woodson run for 68 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:570% → 0%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
Ebenezer McCarthy run for 7 yds to the VMI 32Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
100.0%
Luke Schalow run for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 31Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
JoJo Crump pass incomplete to Traveion SlaughterSimilar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Ben Shrewsbury punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NAVY 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 20TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 5:48100% → 100%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
99.9%
Mikey Pearson III run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 34Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+9
99.9%
Jackson Gutierrez run for 9 yds to the NAVY 43Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
100.0%
Shane Reynolds run for 3 yds to the NAVY 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+22
100.0%
Jackson Gutierrez run for 22 yds to the VMI 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
100.0%
TK Hodges run for 4 yds to the VMI 28Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+3
100.0%
Mikey Pearson III run for 3 yds to the VMI 25Similar
Q4 4:37
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+5
100.0%
Jackson Gutierrez run for 5 yds to the VMI 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
100.0%
Shane Reynolds run for 8 yds to the VMI 12Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+8
100.0%
TK Hodges run for 8 yds to the VMI 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Shane Reynolds run for 4 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
JoJo Crump pass incomplete to Traveion SlaughterSimilar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
100.0%
Luke Schalow run for 9 yds to the VMI 44Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Luke Schalow run for no gain to the VMI 44Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+13
100.0%
Ben Shrewsbury punt for 45 yds , Charles Robinson returns for 13 yds to the NAVY 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
100.0%
(01:05) Kneel down by Navy at Navy22 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 22
-2
100.0%
(00:29) Kneel down by Navy at Navy20 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:17
Alex Tecza run for 6 yds for a TD VMI Penalty, Defensive Offside (Anthony Allen) declined (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)
+1.2
TD · Q3 7:13
Collin Shannon pass complete to Owen Sweeney for 75 yds for a TD (Ben Shrewsbury KICK)
-0.9
TD · Q2 11:07
Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 18 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com