Try the model
ALST

Alabama State 42 at UAB 52

UAB
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 28, 2025 · Protective Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadALST aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreALST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG—UAB 91.8%Jonah Delange 42 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q1 11:39
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:39 · Jonah Delange 42 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Pregame prior+41.0Home team on offense+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:10: Andrew Body pass complete to Asa Gregg for 5 yds for a TD (Andrew Abu-Akel KICK) — ALST win probability +13.2 pts (now 47%) (top driver: ALST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:45: Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — UAB win probability +17.3 pts (now 69%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q3 4:10: Solomon Beebe run for 5 yds for a TD (J. Jackson Run For Two-point Conversion) — UAB win probability +16.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:09: Jamarie Hostzclaw run for 7 yds for a TD (Andrew Abu-Akel KICK) — ALST win probability +17.6 pts (now 31%) (top driver: ALST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:18: Andrew Body pass complete to Jalen Jones for 69 yds for a TD (Andrew Abu-Akel KICK) — ALST win probability +20.8 pts (now 29%) (top driver: ALST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 3ALST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:39UAB 4th & 4 at ALST 23, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.3%−<0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    89.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:32ALST 4th & 9 at ALST 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:32UAB 4th & 1 at ALST 3, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.0%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    84.1%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    81.8%−3.2
    average punt
  4. Q3 6:02ALST 4th & 11 at ALST 4, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−4.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  5. Q4 10:43UAB 4th & 4 at ALST 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    74.4%−3.9
    34% to make
    Punt
    75.4%−3.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ALST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:57ALST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:23UAB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:56ALST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:02UAB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:05ALST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:10ALST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:45UAB Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    63.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    62.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:10UAB Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    77.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    77.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:42UAB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 13:09ALST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 8:21UAB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 4:18ALST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.0%−0.6
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 1:19UAB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1FG
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:0892% → 92%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
92.4%
Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+16
92.3%
Jevon Jackson run for 16 yds to the ALST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
92.3%
Jevon Jackson run for 6 yds to the ALST 38Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+9
92.2%
Jevon Jackson run for 9 yds to the ALST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
92.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 4 yds to the ALST 25Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+2
92.0%
Solomon Beebe run for 2 yds to the ALST 23Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 4
OPP 23
0
91.8%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Iverson HooksSimilar
Q1 11:39
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+42
91.8%
Jonah Delange 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 2TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:218% → 9%
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
91.7%
Andrew Body pass complete to Jalen Jones for 15 yds to the ALST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
91.1%
Andrew Body run for 60 yds for a TD (Andrew Abu-Akel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 4:2091% → 91%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
91.2%
Jevon Jackson run for 6 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+12
91.2%
Jevon Jackson run for 12 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
91.0%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Corri MillinerSimilar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+11
90.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 11 yds to the ALST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
90.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Evan McCray for 7 yds to the ALST 37Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+4
90.8%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 4 yds to the ALST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
90.6%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 5 yds to the ALST 28Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+6
90.5%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 6 yds to the ALST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
90.4%
Jevon Jackson run for 8 yds to the ALST 14Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+1
90.3%
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the ALST 13Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+5
90.0%
PENALTY ASU Offside (Richardson,Myles) 5 yards from ASU13 to ASU08, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
90.8%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 8 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 4TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 6:1410% → 14%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-3
90.4%
Jamarie Hostzclaw run for a loss of 3 yards to the ALST 16Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 13
OWN 16
+6
90.3%
Andrew Body run for 6 yds to the ALST 22Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+35
90.2%
Andrew Body pass complete to Jalen Jones for 35 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
89.5%
(04:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Hostzclaw,Jamarie rush right for 6 yards gain to the UAB37 (Ennis,Eli) PENALTY UAB Offside (Morrison,Amorie) 5 yards from UAB43 to UAB38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 5
OPP 38
+3
89.3%
Jamarie Hostzclaw run for 3 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 2
OPP 35
-1
88.9%
Jamarie Hostzclaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 36Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+5
88.7%
Andrew Body run for 5 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
88.3%
Jamarie Hostzclaw run for 1 yd to the UAB 30Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+7
88.0%
Jamarie Hostzclaw run for 7 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q1 0:19
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+9
87.9%
Andrew Body run for 9 yds to the UAB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
85.6%
Andrew Body pass complete to Dylan Djete for 14 yds for a TD (Andrew Abu-Akel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5TD
4 plays · 81 yds · 0:4386% → 89%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+20
86.4%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 20 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
86.6%
Solomon Beebe run for 12 yds to the ALST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
88.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 49 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2112% → 12%
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.1%
Andrew Body run for 5 yds to the ALST 30Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
87.8%
Andrew Body pass incomplete to Derick HardenSimilar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-4
88.0%
Andrew Body sacked by Calvin Pitcher for a loss of 4 yards to the ALST 26Similar
Q2 12:32
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+19
88.3%
Harrison Tuck punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 48 , Iverson Hooks returns for 19 yds to the UAB 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:5088% → 87%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
88.1%
Solomon Beebe run for 5 yds to the ALST 47Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+9
88.1%
Solomon Beebe run for 9 yds to the ALST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
87.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 10 yds to the ALST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
87.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Solomon Beebe for 16 yds to the ALST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
87.8%
Jevon Jackson run for 6 yds to the ALST 6Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+2
87.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the ALST 4Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+1
87.2%
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the ALST 3Similar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 1
OPP 3
0
86.5%
Jevon Jackson run for no gain to the ALST 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 8TD
18 plays · 96 yds · 8:1814% → 28%
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
86.2%
Marcus Harris II run for 5 yds to the ALST 8Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+4
86.3%
Marcus Harris II run for 4 yds to the ALST 12Similar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+3
86.1%
Ajai Harrell run for 3 yds to the ALST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
85.5%
Jamarie Hostzclaw run for 4 yds to the ALST 19Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 6
OWN 19
0
85.2%
Andrew Body pass complete to Jalen Jones for no gain to the ALST 19Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+9
85.6%
Andrew Body run for 9 yds to the ALST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
84.6%
Andrew Body pass complete to Ajai Harrell for 11 yds to the ALST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
83.7%
Jamarie Hostzclaw run for 2 yds to the ALST 41Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+9
83.2%
Andrew Body pass complete to Ajai Harrell for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
50
+2
82.3%
Andrew Body run for 2 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+7
81.5%
Andrew Body run for 7 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
81.1%
Marcus Harris II run for 2 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
80.8%
Andrew Body pass incomplete to Dylan DjeteSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+18
80.9%
Andrew Body pass complete to Jalen Jones for 18 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
79.7%
Alabama State Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Andrew Body) to the UAB 25Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 14
OPP 25
-6
80.8%
Andrew Body sacked by Chris Burge for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 31Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 20
OPP 31
+31
72.1%
Andrew Body pass complete to Ajai Harrell for 31 yds for a TD (Andrew Abu-Akel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 9TD
13 plays · 68 yds · 4:3027% → 47%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
73.4%
Jamarie Hostzclaw run for 6 yds to the ALST 38Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+5
72.0%
Jamarie Hostzclaw run for 5 yds to the ALST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+25
71.2%
Andrew Body pass complete to Ajai Harrell for 25 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
69.3%
Jamarie Hostzclaw run for 12 yds to the UAB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
68.6%
Jamarie Hostzclaw run for 4 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+5
67.7%
Andrew Body run for 5 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+1
68.4%
Andrew Body run for 1 yd to the UAB 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
66.6%
Andrew Body pass incomplete to Jalen JonesSimilar
Q3 10:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
66.6%
PENALTY UAB Offside (Smalls,Eamon) 5 yards from UAB10 to UAB05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
66.3%
Karl Ligon run for no gain to the UAB 5Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
53.1%
Andrew Body pass complete to Asa Gregg for 5 yds for a TD (Andrew Abu-Akel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:0454% → 69%
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
54.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Brandon Hawkins Jr. for no gain to the UAB 34Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+23
53.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 33 yds to the ALST 33 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Illegal Block (Brandon Hawkins Jr.) to the ALST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
55.4%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Brandon Hawkins Jr.Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-1
54.9%
Jevon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALST 44Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+41
52.2%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Brandon Hawkins Jr. for 41 yds to the ALST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
69.4%
Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:3538% → 37%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
62.5%
Jahbari Kuykendall run for no gain to the ALST 5Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 5
-1
61.9%
Marcus Harris II run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALST 4Similar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 11
OWN 4
0
62.3%
Andrew Body pass incomplete to Dylan DjeteSimilar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 11
OWN 4
+19
63.2%
Harrison Tuck punt for 48 yds , Iverson Hooks returns for 19 yds to the ALST 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12TD
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:3568% → 82%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
67.5%
Jalen Kitna run for 7 yds to the ALST 26Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+13
66.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 13 yds to the ALST 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
66.0%
Solomon Beebe run for 8 yds to the ALST 5Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+5
82.1%
Solomon Beebe run for 5 yds for a TD (J. Jackson Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 13FUMBLE
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:2522% → 27%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
78.3%
Andrew Body run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
50
0
74.6%
Andrew Body pass incomplete to Ajai HarrellSimilar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 10
50
+2
76.0%
Jamarie Hostzclaw run for 2 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+15
76.0%
(02:43) No Huddle-Shotgun Body,Andrew pass incomplete deep right to Jones,Jalen thrown to UAB12 PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Vessel,Jeremiah) 15 yards from UAB48 to UAB33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-11
73.3%
Andrew Body run for a loss of 11 yards to the UAB 44 Andrew Body fumbled, recovered by UAB Devin HightowerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14TD
3 plays · 56 yds · 0:3280% → 90%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
79.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Xavier Daisy for 10 yds to the ALST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
90.1%
Jevon Jackson run for 46 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 15TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:2012% → 31%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
87.7%
Karl Ligon run for 1 yd to the ALST 33Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 9
OWN 33
-5
88.0%
(01:09) No Huddle-Shotgun Body,Andrew pass complete short middle to Saunders,Tyree caught at ASU47, for 14 yards to the ASU47 (Crozier,Isaiah) PENALTY ASU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Frazier,Jeremiah) 5 yards from ASU33 to ASU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 14
OWN 28
+2
89.9%
Andrew Body pass complete to Jamarie Hostzclaw for 2 yds to the ALST 30Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+15
90.3%
Andrew Body pass complete to Asa Gregg for 15 yds to the ALST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
87.7%
Andrew Body pass complete to Asa Gregg for 11 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+37
86.9%
Andrew Body pass complete to Jalen Jones for 37 yds to the UAB 7 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
69.2%
Jamarie Hostzclaw run for 7 yds for a TD (Andrew Abu-Akel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16TD
12 plays · 60 yds · 4:2881% → 94%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
80.5%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 7 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+7
80.9%
Jalen Kitna run for 7 yds to the ALST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
81.3%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Evan McCraySimilar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
80.8%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 4 yds to the ALST 42Similar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+2
80.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 2 yds to the ALST 40Similar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 4
OPP 40
+8
79.6%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 8 yds to the ALST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
82.5%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the ALST 27Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+1
82.5%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 1 yd to the ALST 26Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+21
81.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 21 yds to the ALST 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
94.0%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:489% → 29%
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.1%
Andrew Body pass complete to Dylan Djete for 4 yds to the ALST 29Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
90.8%
Andrew Body pass incomplete to Ajai HarrellSimilar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
91.6%
Andrew Body pass complete to Karl Ligon for 6 yds to the ALST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-63
91.4%
Alabama State Penalty, Personal Foul (-63 Yards) to the ALST 35Similar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
91.6%
Andrew Body run for 6 yds to the ALST 41Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-10
90.9%
(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun Body,Andrew pass complete short left to Jones,Jalen caught at ASU40, for 16 yards to the UAB43 (Cheek,Jalen), out of bounds PENALTY ASU Holding (Gregg,Asa) 10 yards from ASU41 to ASU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+5
92.6%
Andrew Body pass complete to Karl Ligon for 5 yds to the ALST 36Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 9
OWN 36
-5
92.1%
PENALTY ASU False Start (Daniels,Desmond) 5 yards from ASU36 to ASU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+69
71.3%
Andrew Body pass complete to Jalen Jones for 69 yds for a TD (Andrew Abu-Akel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18TD
14 plays · 67 yds · 2:4979% → 98%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
78.8%
Solomon Beebe run for 3 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
80.6%
Jalen Kitna pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+48
78.6%
Jevon Jackson run for 48 yds to the ALST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
85.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for no gain to the ALST 16Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+14
85.3%
(02:35) No Huddle-Shotgun Kitna,Jalen pass incomplete short right to Hooks,Iverson thrown to ASU00 PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (Lovett,Twillie) 14 yards from ASU16 to ASU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
85.6%
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the ALST 1Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
87.0%
(01:59) Jackson,Jevon rush right for 0 yards to the ASU01 (Lucius,Corey) PENALTY ASU Offside (Jarrett,Jaylan). NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
87.8%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Sneh,Brandon) 5 yards from ASU01 to ASU06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
87.5%
Isaiah Jacobs run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALST 7Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.3%
Solomon Beebe run for 7 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 19END OF GAME
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:095% → 6%
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.2%
Jamarie Hostzclaw run for 5 yds to the ALST 30Similar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
94.5%
Jahbari Kuykendall run for 3 yds to the ALST 33Similar
Q4 0:14
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
94.3%
Jahbari Kuykendall run for 8 yds to the ALST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
94.5%
Ashton Ashford run for 4 yds to the ALST 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:18
Andrew Body pass complete to Jalen Jones for 69 yds for a TD (Andrew Abu-Akel KICK)
-20.8
TD · Q4 13:09
Jamarie Hostzclaw run for 7 yds for a TD (Andrew Abu-Akel KICK)
-17.6
TD · Q3 7:45
Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+17.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com