2025 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025 · M. M. Roberts Stadium
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Win probability · USM
modelUSM aheadTROY aheadconfidence bandkey playUSM scoreTROY score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:05 · (12:07) #28 E.Crenshaw punt 43 yards to the USM02
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
This game in five plays
- TD · Q2 0:18: (00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short left to #2 P.Higgins caught at USM00, for 16 yards to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:18, 1ST DOWN #40 S.Renfroe kick attempt good (H: #28 E.Crenshaw, LS: #87 C.Walls) — TROY win probability +23.4 pts (now 66%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
- TD · Q3 2:46: Kadinn Morris 0 Yd Run (Creighton Wilbanks Kick) — USM win probability +24.9 pts (now 51%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
- TD · Q4 6:58: (07:03) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short middle to #7 R.Thomas caught at USM00, for 7 yards to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:58 #40 S.Renfroe kick attempt good (H: #28 E.Crenshaw, LS: #87 C.Walls) — TROY win probability +15.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
- TD · Q4 3:27: (03:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #7 C.Chester caught at TROY00, for 10 yards to the TROY00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:27, 1ST DOWN #1 B.Braxton pass attempt Successful #6 M.Davis pass attempt Successful — USM win probability +49.1 pts (now 56%) (top driver: USM hurrying with no timeouts left).
- TD · Q4 3:16: (03:27) #9 G.Crowder pass complete deep middle to #7 R.Thomas caught at USM40, for 75 yards to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:16, 1ST DOWN #40 S.Renfroe kick attempt good (H: #28 E.Crenshaw, LS: #87 C.Walls) — TROY win probability +42.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
USM made the numbers' call on 7 of 9TROY made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
- Q1 13:38USM 4th & 3 at USM 32, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 68.7% before the snapGo for it68.7%−<0.152% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call68.7%average punt
- Q1 12:05TROY 4th & 3 at USM 45, tiedClose callPunted · 31.6% before the snapGo for it31.7%52% to convertField goal31.5%−0.225% to makePuntTheir call31.6%−0.1average punt
- Q1 9:34TROY 4th & 9 at USM 40, tiedClose callPunted · 31.9% before the snapGo for it31.8%32% to convertField goal31.8%−0.134% to makePuntTheir call31.8%−<0.1average punt
- Q1 6:29USM 4th & 10 at midfield, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 67.4% before the snapGo for it67.3%−0.129% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call67.5%average punt
- Q1 0:20USM 4th & 8 at TROY 8, tiedAgrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.3% before the snapGo for it66.8%−0.226% to convertField goalTheir call67.1%90% to makePunt65.0%−2.1average punt
- Q2 9:24USM 4th & 13 at USM 32, down 7Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snapGo for it54.4%−2.320% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call56.7%average punt
- Q2 5:42USM 4th & 6 at TROY 9, down 7Close callKicked a field goal · 55.1% before the snapGo for it54.3%33% to convertField goalTheir call54.3%−0.189% to makePunt47.7%−6.6average punt
- Q2 1:47TROY 4th & 6 at TROY 46, up 4Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.8% before the snapGo for itTheir call43.2%40% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt42.9%−0.3average punt
- Q3 13:23TROY 4th & 1 at TROY 34, up 11Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.8% before the snapGo for itTheir call58.7%71% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt57.6%−1.1average punt
- Q3 10:39USM 4th & 18 at TROY 42, down 11Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.0% before the snapGo for it35.1%−1.713% to convertField goal36.0%−0.830% to makePuntTheir call36.8%average punt
- Q3 5:11TROY 4th & 3 at USM 43, up 11Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.0% before the snapGo for itTheir call69.3%52% to convertField goal65.9%−3.428% to makePunt67.2%−2.1average punt
- Q4 14:50TROY 4th & 24 at TROY 43, up 4Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snapGo for it51.5%−7.17% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call58.6%average punt
- Q4 12:05USM 4th & 9 at USM 43, down 4Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.0% before the snapGo for it40.8%−1.432% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call42.3%average punt
- Q4 2:15USM 4th & 10 at USM 41, down 10Close callWent for it · 6.8% before the snapGo for itTheir call7.1%−0.329% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt7.5%average punt
- Q4 0:26USM 4th & 4 at TROY 28, down 10Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.5% before the snapGo for it7.4%−0.548% to convertField goalTheir call8.0%60% to makePunt5.3%−2.7average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TROY made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
- Q2 10:05TROY Touchdown, up 6 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call41.9%97% to makeGo for two41.8%−0.145% to convert
- Q2 0:18TROY Touchdown, up 10 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call57.5%97% to makeGo for two57.4%−0.145% to convert
- Q3 2:46USM Touchdown, down 5 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call45.0%97% to makeGo for two44.8%−0.345% to convert
- Q4 6:58TROY Touchdown, up 10 before the tryClose callKicked · madeKickTheir call86.6%−0.497% to makeGo for two87.0%45% to convert
- Q4 3:27USM Touchdown, down 5 before the tryAgrees with the numbersWent for two · convertedKick20.7%−0.797% to makeGo for twoTheir call21.4%45% to convert
- Q4 3:16TROY Touchdown, up 9 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call92.0%97% to makeGo for two90.7%−1.345% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartUSMDrive 1PUNT5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0666% → 66%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
66.3%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #0 J.Pittman caught at USM25, for 3 yards to the USM28 (#5 K.Levine)Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
66.3%
(14:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush right for 5 yards gain to the USM33 (#7 J.Stringer; #15 T.Robbins)Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
66.3%
(14:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 1 yard loss to the USM32 (#3 D.Lafayette)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 2PUNT5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2634% → 34%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
66.1%
(13:38) #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USM48 (#14 J.Tapp; #36 B.Lewis)Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+3
65.9%
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #22 T.Meadows caught at TROY48, for 3 yards to the USM45 (#24 J.Battle)Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
65.8%
(12:16) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short right to #18 D.Epps thrown to USM40 broken up by #1 J.MotenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 3INT7 plays · 16 yds · 1:2266% → 66%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
66.1%
(12:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete deep middle to #6 M.Davis thrown to USM35 PENALTY TROY Offside (#19 D.Jackson Jr.) 5 yards from USM02 to USM07. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 5
OWN 7
+3
66.1%
(12:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USM10 (#99 J.Peterson; #7 J.Stringer)Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 2
OWN 10
+8
65.9%
(11:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 8 yards gain to the USM18 (#3 D.Lafayette; #6 J.Powe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
65.9%
(10:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete deep right to #8 B.Brown thrown to USM46Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
65.9%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass intercepted by #3 D.Lafayette at TROY45 broken up by #6 J.Powe, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 4PUNT5 plays · 15 yds · 0:5435% → 35%
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
65.3%
(10:43) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short middle to #7 R.Thomas caught at TROY49, for 14 yards to the USM41 (#17 M.Montgomery), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
65.1%
(10:09) Shotgun #1 J.Lovett rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USM40 (#22 C.Myrick)Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
65.0%
(09:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short left to #1 J.Lovett thrown to USM40Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
65.1%
(09:45) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short middle to #1 J.Lovett thrown to USM36Similar
Q1 9:34
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
65.5%
(09:37) #28 E.Crenshaw punt 37 yards to the USM03 fair catch by #9 E.Metcalf at USM03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 5PUNT10 plays · 47 yds · 2:5966% → 65%
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
65.8%
(09:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USM08 (#6 J.Powe)Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+10
65.7%
(09:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush middle for 10 yards gain to the USM18 (#6 J.Powe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
65.7%
(08:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USM22 (#3 D.Lafayette; #4 T.Thompson)Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+7
65.9%
(08:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush right for 7 yards gain to the USM29, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+21
65.9%
(07:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete deep left to #7 C.Chester caught at USM49, for 21 yards to the USM50, out of bounds at USM50, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
50
+1
66.2%
(07:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Carter rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TROY49 (#15 T.Robbins; #93 K.Curry)Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
66.1%
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete short middle to #7 C.Chester thrown to TROY36Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 9
OPP 49
-1
65.6%
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton sacked for loss of 1 yard to the TROY50 (#22 D.Smith)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 6PUNT4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1335% → 35%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
65.0%
(06:29) Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TROY23 (#35 C.Jones)Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
64.8%
(05:52) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short left to #7 R.Thomas thrown to TROY22 broken up by #23 A.Richard, Jr.Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+2
65.1%
(05:48) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short middle to #1 J.Lovett caught at TROY25, for 2 yards to the TROY25 (#30 G.Ponder)Similar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 5
OWN 25
-13
65.3%
(05:11) #28 E.Crenshaw punt 42 yards to the USM33 #9 E.Metcalf return 0 yards to the PENALTY TROY Kick Catch Interference (#23 K.Bradford) 15 yards from USM33 to USM48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 7MISSED FG11 plays · 44 yds · 3:2966% → 65%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
65.8%
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #14 R.Briggs Jr. caught at TROY46, for 8 yards to the TROY44 (#14 D.Daniel-Sisavanh)Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+4
66.0%
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush left for 4 yards gain to the TROY40 (#6 J.Powe; #21 J.Perry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
66.0%
(03:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete deep right to #7 C.Chester thrown to TROY12 PENALTY TROY Pass Interference (#8 J.White) 15 yards from TROY40 to TROY25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
66.3%
(03:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete deep right to #9 E.Metcalf thrown to TROY00 PENALTY TROY Offside (#93 K.Curry) 5 yards from TROY25 to TROY20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 5
OPP 20
0
66.4%
(02:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush left for 0 yards to the TROY20 (#8 J.White; #6 J.Powe)Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+10
66.4%
(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete short left to #9 E.Metcalf thrown to TROY02 broken up by #5 K.Levine PENALTY TROY Pass Interference (#5 K.Levine) 10 yards from TROY20 to TROY10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
66.4%
(01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 J.Robinson rush right for 8 yards gain to the TROY02 (#15 T.Robbins; #44 L.Hodge) PENALTY USM Holding (#62 A.Maui) 13 yards from TROY02 to TROY15Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+9
66.1%
(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush left for 9 yards gain to the TROY06 (#8 J.White)Similar
Q1 0:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
65.9%
(00:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete short right to #8 B.Brown thrown to TROY00 broken up by #5 K.Levine PENALTY TROY Offside (#93 K.Curry) 3 yards from TROY06 to TROY03. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
65.8%
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 J.Robinson rush middle for 5 yards loss to the TROY08 (#7 J.Stringer; #3 D.Lafayette)Similar
Q1 0:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+20
65.0%
(00:20) #40 C.Wilbanks field goal attempt from 20 yards NO GOOD (H: #17 K.McCormick, LS: #46 L.Beard), clock 00:12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 8TD16 plays · 80 yds · 5:1536% → 48%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
63.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Crowder rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TROY26 (#36 B.Lewis)Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
63.3%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short left to #18 D.Epps thrown to TROY30 broken up by #1 J.MotenSimilar
Q1 0:20
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
63.8%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short left to #2 P.Higgins caught at TROY30, for 5 yards to the TROY31 (#1 J.Moten; #53 J.Harper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+26
63.1%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete deep left to #1 J.Lovett caught at USM43, for 26 yards to the USM43 (#35 C.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
61.6%
(14:22) Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush left for 5 yards gain to the USM38 (#17 M.Montgomery; #41 A.Foster)Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+6
61.3%
(13:47) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #18 D.Epps caught at USM36, for 6 yards to the USM32 (#11 J.Pennix), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
60.8%
(13:17) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #7 R.Thomas caught at USM26, for 8 yards to the USM24 (#11 J.Pennix; #41 A.Foster)Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+6
60.5%
(12:53) Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 6 yards gain to the USM18 (#35 C.Jones; #16 J.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
60.3%
(12:29) Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush left for 2 yards gain to the USM16 (#3 I.Foster)Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+3
60.1%
(11:52) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USM13 (#14 J.Tapp; #36 B.Lewis)Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+7
60.6%
(11:07) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short left to #2 P.Higgins caught at USM10, for 7 yards to the USM06 (#3 I.Foster), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
59.7%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Lovett rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USM03 (#35 C.Jones; #41 A.Foster)Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
52.4%
(10:08) #22 T.Meadows rush left for 3 yards gain to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:05 #40 S.Renfroe kick attempt good (H: #28 E.Crenshaw, LS: #87 C.Walls)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 9PUNT6 plays · -3 yds · 0:3460% → 59%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
59.7%
(10:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush left for 3 yards loss to the USM32 (#2 S.Cattledge; #11 E.Davis)Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 13
OWN 32
0
59.3%
(09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete deep left to #2 T.Chapman thrown to TROY32Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 13
OWN 32
0
58.8%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete deep left to #7 C.Chester thrown to TROY44Similar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 13
OWN 32
0
58.6%
(09:29) #96 R.Harradine punt 38 yards to the TROY30 #2 S.Cattledge return 0 yards to the TROY30 (#13 M.Haygood)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 10INT4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5347% → 49%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
52.6%
(09:24) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #1 J.Lovett caught at TROY26, for 11 yards to the TROY41 (#22 C.Myrick; #17 M.Montgomery), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
52.9%
(09:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Crowder sacked for loss of 5 yards to the TROY36 (#98 J.McKinney, #9 J.Ishmael)Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+3
52.3%
(08:18) Shotgun #1 J.Lovett rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TROY39 (#35 C.Jones)Similar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 12
OWN 39
-37
51.5%
(07:41) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass intercepted by #11 J.Pennix at TROY50 #11 J.Pennix return 37 yards to the TROY13 (#65 T.Cappi)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 11FG5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3260% → 63%
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
60.2%
(07:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush middle for 0 yards to the TROY13 (#4 T.Thompson)Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
59.8%
(06:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush left for 4 yards gain to the TROY09 (#3 D.Lafayette; #15 T.Robbins)Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
58.4%
(05:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete short middle to #6 M.Davis thrown to TROY00Similar
Q2 5:42
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+27
62.7%
(05:46) #40 C.Wilbanks field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #17 K.McCormick, LS: #46 L.Beard), clock 05:42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 12TD17 plays · 75 yds · 5:1844% → 66%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
55.9%
(05:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TROY28 (#35 C.Jones)Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
56.8%
(05:10) Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush left for 2 yards gain to the TROY30 (#17 M.Montgomery; #22 C.Myrick)Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
57.0%
(04:30) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #2 P.Higgins caught at TROY35, for 12 yards to the TROY42 (#23 A.Richard, Jr.; #13 M.Haygood), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
54.9%
(03:48) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder rush left for 1 yard loss to the TROY41 (#35 C.Jones; #3 I.Foster)Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+5
58.1%
(03:08) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #18 D.Epps caught at TROY47, for 5 yards to the TROY46, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 2:12
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
59.7%
(02:24) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder rush left for 0 yards to the TROY46 (#13 M.Haygood)Similar
Q2 1:47
4TH & 6
OWN 46
+11
61.3%
(01:58) #28 E.Crenshaw pass complete short right to #22 D.Smith caught at USM45, for 11 yards to the USM43 (#24 J.Battle), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
57.9%
(01:26) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #18 D.Epps caught at USM46, for 8 yards to the USM35 (#36 B.Lewis)Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+5
56.8%
(01:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush right for 5 yards gain to the USM30 (#53 J.Harper; #30 G.Ponder), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
57.3%
(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USM29 (#22 C.Myrick; #14 J.Tapp)Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+10
58.0%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short middle to #2 P.Higgins caught at USM19, for 10 yards to the USM19 (#6 D.King), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
57.6%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush left for 3 yards gain to the USM16 (#36 B.Lewis)Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+16
34.2%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short left to #2 P.Higgins caught at USM00, for 16 yards to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:18, 1ST DOWN #40 S.Renfroe kick attempt good (H: #28 E.Crenshaw, LS: #87 C.Walls)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 13END OF HALF5 plays · -7 yds · 0:1041% → 41%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
41.1%
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #9 E.Metcalf caught at USM30, for 5 yards to the USM30, out of bounds at USM30Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
41.4%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton rush left for 4 yards gain to the USM34, out of bounds at USM34 PENALTY USM Holding (#75 H.Creel) 10 yards from USM30 to USM20. NO PLAYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 14DOWNS5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3059% → 59%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.4%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short right to #89 T.Swartz thrown to TROY34Similar
Q3 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
41.5%
(14:51) Shotgun #1 J.Lovett rush middle for 0 yards to the TROY25 (#35 C.Jones)Similar
Q3 14:06
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
41.7%
(14:14) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #18 D.Epps caught at TROY25, for 9 yards to the TROY34 (#36 B.Lewis)Similar
Q3 13:23
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
40.8%
(13:29) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder rush middle for 0 yards to the TROY34 (#7 I.Gibson; #90 N.Hallenbeck), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 15PUNT7 plays · -13 yds · 2:2944% → 35%
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
44.1%
(13:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete deep right to #9 E.Metcalf thrown to TROY11Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-5
44.0%
(13:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush left for 5 yards gain (-5) to the TROY29 (#6 J.Powe) PENALTY USM Holding (#56 G.Nunnery) 10 yards from TROY34 to TROY44Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 20
OPP 44
+9
40.9%
(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton rush middle for 9 yards gain to the TROY35 (#15 T.Robbins)Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+10
40.5%
(12:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete deep left to #88 K.Heath caught at TROY15, for 21 yards to the TROY14, out of bounds at TROY14 PENALTY USM Holding (#56 G.Nunnery) 10 yards from TROY35 to TROY45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 21
OPP 45
+3
38.8%
(11:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #9 E.Metcalf caught at TROY45, for 3 yards to the TROY42 (#4 T.Thompson; #69 J.Paramore)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 16DOWNS12 plays · 38 yds · 5:2264% → 71%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
35.7%
(10:37) Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 0 yards to the TROY19 (#35 C.Jones)Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+9
35.4%
(10:02) #22 T.Meadows rush left for 1 yard gain to the TROY20 (#3 I.Foster) PENALTY TROY Holding 9 yards from TROY19 to TROY10. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 19
OWN 10
+14
34.4%
(09:44) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short left to #8 T.Taylor caught at TROY22, for 14 yards to the TROY24 (#3 I.Foster; #22 C.Myrick)Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+15
33.7%
(09:03) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #1 J.Lovett caught at TROY30, for 15 yards to the TROY39 (#3 I.Foster; #13 M.Haygood), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
30.6%
(08:21) Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TROY42 (#13 M.Haygood)Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+8
30.0%
(07:45) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #18 D.Epps caught at USM49, for 8 yards to the TROY50 (#1 J.Moten), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
50
+5
28.8%
(07:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short left to #8 T.Taylor caught at TROY47, for 5 yards to the USM45 (#24 J.Battle; #33 A.Sledge)Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+2
28.3%
(06:27) Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USM43 (#98 J.McKinney)Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 3
OPP 43
0
27.6%
(05:43) #9 G.Crowder rush middle for 0 yards to the USM43 (#14 J.Tapp). #7 I.Gibson injured on the playSimilar
Q3 5:11
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
28.9%
(05:15) #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short left to #2 P.Higgins thrown to USM38 broken up by #3 I.Foster QB hurried by #14 J.Tapp, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 17TD6 plays · 57 yds · 2:1731% → 51%
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
30.6%
(05:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete deep right to #8 B.Brown thrown to TROY21 broken up by #14 D.Daniel-SisavanhSimilar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+10
29.8%
(05:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush left for 10 yards gain to the TROY47 (#14 D.Daniel-Sisavanh; #5 K.Levine), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-6
29.9%
(04:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton sacked for loss of 11 yards to the USM42 (#11 E.Davis, #7 J.Stringer)Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 21
OWN 42
+3
27.1%
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #9 E.Metcalf caught at USM45, for 3 yards to the USM45 (#5 K.Levine)Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 18
OWN 45
+30
26.0%
(03:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete deep left to #7 C.Chester caught at TROY25, for 30 yards to the TROY25 (#5 K.Levine), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 18PUNT11 plays · 18 yds · 2:0060% → 59%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
40.1%
(01:53) #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TROY29 (#7 I.Gibson; #14 J.Tapp)Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
38.8%
(01:35) #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TROY34 (#13 M.Haygood)Similar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+9
38.2%
(01:22) #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 9 yards gain to the TROY43 (#22 C.Myrick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
36.5%
(00:53) #7 R.Thomas rush left for 14 yards gain to the USM43 (#42 C.McClain), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
34.9%
(00:47) #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete deep left to #7 R.Thomas thrown to USM10 broken up by #11 J.PennixSimilar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-2
35.0%
(00:45) No Huddle #1 J.Lovett rush middle for 2 yards loss to the USM45 (#13 M.Haygood)Similar
Q3 0:03
3RD & 12
OPP 45
-7
36.2%
(00:03) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder sacked for loss of 7 yards to the TROY48 (#14 J.Tapp)Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 48
+5
41.0%
PENALTY TROY False Start (#85 F.Rogosch) 5 yards from TROY48 to TROY43. NO PLAYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 19PUNT9 plays · 35 yds · 2:3640% → 39%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
40.4%
(14:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the USM08 (#99 J.Peterson)Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+10
39.8%
(14:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete deep right to #6 M.Davis thrown to TROY50 PENALTY TROY Holding (#5 K.Levine) 10 yards from USM08 to USM18, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+24
41.5%
(14:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete deep left to #9 E.Metcalf caught at USM40, for 24 yards to the USM42 (#8 J.White), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
44.9%
(13:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton rush left for 1 yard gain to the USM43 (#22 D.Smith)Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+4
44.5%
(13:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USM47 (#7 J.Stringer)Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+1
44.0%
(12:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #9 E.Metcalf caught at USM48, for 1 yard to the USM48 (#3 D.Lafayette)Similar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 4
OWN 48
+5
41.7%
PENALTY USM False Start (#1 B.Braxton) 5 yards from USM48 to USM43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:05
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
39.2%
(12:11) #29 J.Murley punt 42 yards to the TROY15 #2 P.Higgins return 0 yards to the TROY15 (#3 C.Montgomery)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 20TD13 plays · 85 yds · 5:0063% → 95%
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
37.2%
(12:05) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #18 D.Epps caught at TROY13, for 4 yards to the TROY19 (#11 J.Pennix)Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+18
36.5%
(11:35) Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush right for 18 yards gain to the TROY37 (#22 C.Myrick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
31.8%
(10:57) Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush left for 5 yards gain to the TROY42 (#22 C.Myrick)Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+4
30.3%
(10:14) Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush left for 4 yards gain to the TROY46 (#3 I.Foster)Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+7
30.1%
(09:31) Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 7 yards gain to the USM47 (#35 C.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
28.7%
(09:10) No Huddle #7 R.Thomas rush left for 13 yards gain to the USM34 (#41 A.Foster), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
26.3%
(08:44) No Huddle #7 R.Thomas rush left for 12 yards gain to the USM22 (#1 J.Moten), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+14
25.0%
(08:31) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #7 R.Thomas caught at USM11, for 14 yards to the USM08 (#22 C.Myrick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
22.9%
(07:45) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #2 P.Higgins caught at USM07, for 1 yard to the USM07 (#3 I.Foster)Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
20.8%
(07:07) #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short right thrown to USM00 QB hurried by #41 A.FosterSimilar
Q4 6:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
4.9%
(07:03) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short middle to #7 R.Thomas caught at USM00, for 7 yards to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:58 #40 S.Renfroe kick attempt good (H: #28 E.Crenshaw, LS: #87 C.Walls)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 21TD10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2211% → 56%
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
10.7%
(06:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #24 J.Carter caught at USM26, for 11 yards to the USM36 (#24 R.Carter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
9.6%
(06:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #24 J.Carter caught at USM32, for 0 yards to the USM36 (#6 J.Powe)Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
9.4%
(06:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #2 T.Chapman caught at USM35, for 5 yards to the USM41 (#6 J.Powe)Similar
Q4 5:23
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+9
9.1%
(05:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #8 B.Brown caught at USM49, for 9 yards to the USM50 (#5 K.Levine), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
50
+7
8.4%
(05:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #0 J.Pittman caught at USM48, for 7 yards to the TROY43 (#8 J.White)Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 3
OPP 43
0
9.4%
(04:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete deep right to #9 E.Metcalf thrown to TROY20Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+7
8.8%
(04:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Carter rush left for 7 yards gain to the TROY36 (#8 J.White), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+26
7.3%
(03:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete deep left to #9 E.Metcalf caught at TROY11, for 26 yards to the TROY10, out of bounds at TROY10, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
56.4%
(03:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #7 C.Chester caught at TROY00, for 10 yards to the TROY00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:27, 1ST DOWN #1 B.Braxton pass attempt Successful #6 M.Davis pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 22TD2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
4.9%
(03:27) #9 G.Crowder pass complete deep middle to #7 R.Thomas caught at USM40, for 75 yards to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:16, 1ST DOWN #40 S.Renfroe kick attempt good (H: #28 E.Crenshaw, LS: #87 C.Walls)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 23MISSED FG21 plays · 47 yds · 2:394% → 6%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
4.4%
(03:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USM26 (#7 J.Stringer; #11 E.Davis)Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
4.3%
(02:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete short middle to #9 E.Metcalf thrown to USM38 broken up by #8 J.WhiteSimilar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
4.1%
(02:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #7 C.Chester caught at USM41, for 15 yards to the USM41, out of bounds at USM41, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
4.8%
(02:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete short right to #6 M.Davis thrown to TROY41Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
4.7%
(02:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete short left to #9 E.Metcalf thrown to TROY40Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
4.4%
(02:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete deep right to #8 B.Brown thrown to TROY35Similar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+13
5.1%
(02:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #8 B.Brown caught at TROY47, for 13 yards to the TROY46 (#7 J.Stringer; #17 M.Odom), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
5.5%
PENALTY USM False Start (#9 E.Metcalf) 5 yards from TROY46 to USM49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+3
6.3%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton rush right for 3 yards gain to the TROY48, out of bounds at TROY48Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 12
OPP 48
-5
6.7%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton sacked for loss of 5 yards to the USM47 (#22 D.Smith)Similar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 17
OWN 47
+5
4.9%
(01:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton sacked for loss of 8 yards to the USM39 (#22 D.Smith) PENALTY TROY Illegal Substitution 5 yards from USM47 to TROY48. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 12
OPP 48
+14
5.4%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #24 J.Carter caught at TROY44, for 14 yards to the TROY34 (#8 J.White), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
7.1%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete short right to #8 B.Brown thrown to TROY25 broken up by #8 J.WhiteSimilar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
7.0%
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #24 J.Carter caught at TROY41, for 1 yard to the TROY33 (#5 K.Levine)Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
6.2%
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete deep left to #7 C.Chester thrown to TROY00Similar
Q4 0:31
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+5
5.4%
PENALTY TROY Offside (#11 E.Davis) 5 yards from TROY33 to TROY28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+46
5.6%
(00:29) #40 C.Wilbanks field goal attempt from 46 yards NO GOOD (H: #17 K.McCormick, LS: #46 L.Beard), clock 00:26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 24END OF GAME2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:27
(03:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #7 C.Chester caught at TROY00, for 10 yards to the TROY00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:27, 1ST DOWN #1 B.Braxton pass attempt Successful #6 M.Davis pass attempt Successful
+49.1
TD · Q4 3:16
(03:27) #9 G.Crowder pass complete deep middle to #7 R.Thomas caught at USM40, for 75 yards to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:16, 1ST DOWN #40 S.Renfroe kick attempt good (H: #28 E.Crenshaw, LS: #87 C.Walls)
-42.2
TD · Q3 2:46
Kadinn Morris 0 Yd Run (Creighton Wilbanks Kick)
+24.9