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GASO

Georgia Southern 24 at Marshall 19

MRSH
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:16 · (08:25) #93 N.Totten punt 53 yards to the GS 11 #24 P.Plott return 1 yard to the GS 12 (#0 C.Smith; #16 J.Marshall)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 110Home team on offense−17.1Pregame prior+7.1Score differential−9.2Garbage-time factor−6.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:49: (00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short right to #0 C.Brown caught at MAR00, for 14 yards to the MAR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:49, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler) — GASO win probability +4.9 pts (now 42%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:41: (09:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short right to #0 C.Brown caught at MAR00, for 12 yards to the MAR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:41, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler) — GASO win probability +14.5 pts (now 77%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 3:49: (03:52) #95 T.Bryant field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler), clock 03:49 — GASO win probability +5.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:19: (02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #44 A.Roberts rush middle for 17 yards gain to the GS 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:19, 1ST DOWN #1 Z.Turner pass attempt failed — MRSH win probability +13.2 pts (now 32%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:19: (02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass complete deep right to #13 A.Norton caught at GS 10, for 41 yards to the GS 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:19, 1ST DOWN #90 L.Quinn kick attempt good (H: #93 N.Totten, LS: #46 G.Magorien) — MRSH win probability +27.8 pts (now 32%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 6GASO made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:06MRSH 4th & 13 at GASO 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    75.3%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:29GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:40MRSH 4th & 3 at MRSH 27, down 4
    Close callPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:51MRSH 4th & 4 at MRSH 49, down 11
    Close callPunted · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:33GASO 4th & 3 at GASO 39, up 11
    Close callPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:38GASO 4th & 3 at MRSH 23, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    44.9%−0.6
    70% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−4.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:52MRSH 4th & 7 at GASO 7, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    43.6%−5.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:03GASO 4th & 9 at MRSH 31, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    50.4%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:16MRSH 4th & 11 at MRSH 36, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−2.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:49GASO 4th & 6 at MRSH 6, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    68.4%−10.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:14GASO 4th & 2 at MRSH 44, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    75.7%−5.0
    27% to make
    Punt
    77.9%−2.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:34MRSH 4th & 10 at GASO 22, down 12
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.9 ptsWent for it · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.6%−1.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    8.5%−6.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:55GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 40, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 1 of 2GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:53GASO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:49GASO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:41GASO Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:19MRSH Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    26.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    26.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:19MRSH Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:3368% → 68%
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
68.4%
(14:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Barbie rush middle for 7 yards gain to the MAR46 (#9 J.Meyers; #1 B.Tyson)Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 3
OWN 46
-2
68.4%
(14:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass complete short left to #4 D.Lacey caught at MAR44, for 2 yards loss to the MAR44 (#23 D.Smith)Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+34
68.4%
(13:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass complete deep right to #4 D.Lacey caught at GS 25, for 34 yards to the GS 22, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
68.5%
(13:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Barbie rush right for 2 yards gain to the GS 20 (#9 J.Meyers; #94 E.Fears)Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 8
OPP 20
-5
68.5%
(12:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Barbie rush middle for 5 yards loss to the GS 25 (#91 D.Rhodes)Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 13
OPP 25
0
68.3%
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete short left to #81 T.Payne thrown to GS 20 QB hurried by #93 C.MooreSimilar
Q1 12:06
4TH & 13
OPP 25
+42
68.3%
(12:09) #90 L.Quinn field goal attempt from 42 yards GOOD (H: #93 N.Totten, LS: #46 G.Magorien), clock 12:06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1032% → 34%
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.4%
(12:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete short middle to #5 M.Sanders Jr. thrown to GS 30Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
68.4%
(12:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush right for 9 yards gain to the GS 34 (#20 T.Jeter)Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
68.3%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 T.Todd rush middle for 0 yards to the GS 34 (#0 C.Smith; #11 J.Pierre-Louis)Similar
Q1 10:29
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+9
68.4%
(10:32) No Huddle #12 J.French IV rush middle for 9 yards gain to the GS 43, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
68.0%
(10:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short left to #35 T.Todd caught at GS 43, for 11 yards to the MAR46 (#22 K.Martin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
67.9%
(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short right to #35 T.Todd caught at GS 45, for 2 yards to the MAR44 (#22 K.Martin)Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+7
67.9%
(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 T.Todd rush middle for 7 yards gain to the MAR37 (#22 K.Martin; #7 J.Parker)Similar
Q1 8:28
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+4
67.7%
(08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MAR33 (#70 N.Crowder; #56 S.Kaba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
65.6%
(07:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan pass complete deep left to #5 M.Sanders Jr. caught at MAR00, for 33 yards to the MAR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:53, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:5766% → 66%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
66.4%
(07:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Barbie rush left for 0 yards to the MAR20 (#94 E.Fears)Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
66.1%
(07:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass complete short left to #13 A.Norton caught at MAR24, for 7 yards to the MAR27 (#18 M.Stroud)Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
65.9%
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete short right to #4 D.Lacey thrown to MAR30 QB hurried by #1 B.TysonSimilar
Q1 6:40
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
65.6%
(06:45) #93 N.Totten punt 54 yards to the GS 19 fair catch by #24 P.Plott at GS 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 5:4134% → 42%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
65.9%
(06:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 B.Baker rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GS 20 (#8 J.Al-Amin; #99 J.Whyce)Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+5
65.8%
(05:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush right for 5 yards gain to the GS 25 (#20 T.Jeter)Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+9
65.5%
(05:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short right to #0 C.Brown caught at GS 34, for 9 yards to the GS 34 (#1 B.Trotter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
64.9%
(04:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 B.Baker rush middle for 7 yards gain to the GS 41 (#17 D.Smith)Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 3
OWN 41
0
64.4%
(04:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete short left to #5 M.Sanders Jr. thrown to GS 49Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+13
64.5%
(04:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short left to #33 B.Baker caught at GS 39, for 13 yards to the MAR46 (#11 J.Pierre-Louis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
63.8%
(03:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 B.Baker rush middle for 11 yards gain to the MAR35 (#17 D.Smith; #4 J.Green-McKnight), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
63.5%
(03:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete deep middle to #0 C.Brown thrown to MAR00 broken up by #20 T.JeterSimilar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
63.5%
(03:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MAR33 (#21 T.Martin; #22 K.Martin)Similar
Q1 2:12
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+14
63.4%
(02:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 T.Todd rush middle for 14 yards gain to the MAR19 (#0 C.Smith; #4 J.Green-McKnight), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
62.6%
(01:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete short left to #5 M.Sanders Jr. thrown to MAR00Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+5
62.7%
(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MAR14 (#22 K.Martin; #92 C.Chmura)Similar
Q1 0:49
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+14
57.8%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short right to #0 C.Brown caught at MAR00, for 14 yards to the MAR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:49, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:4460% → 59%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
59.6%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete short right thrown to MAR50 QB hurried by #9 J.MeyersSimilar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
59.4%
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MAR45 (#50 C.Ellis)Similar
Q1 0:06
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+4
58.8%
(00:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass complete short right to #2 M.Allen caught at MAR40, for 4 yards to the MAR49 (#9 J.Meyers; #19 A.Chaney)Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
58.8%
(14:55) #93 N.Totten punt 48 yards to the GS 03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:0241% → 45%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+14
59.2%
(14:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short right to #0 C.Brown caught at GS 13, for 14 yards to the GS 17 (#1 B.Trotter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
58.4%
(14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short left to #35 T.Todd caught at GS 14, for 3 yards to the GS 20 (#11 J.Pierre-Louis; #22 K.Martin)Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+12
56.7%
(13:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short left to #7 A.Green caught at GS 27, for 12 yards to the GS 32 (#1 B.Trotter; #16 J.Marshall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
56.0%
(13:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete short left to #35 T.Todd thrown to GS 38 QB hurried by #70 N.Crowder and #1 B.TrotterSimilar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
56.1%
(12:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 T.Todd rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GS 35 (#17 D.Smith; #20 T.Jeter)Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+4
55.7%
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush right for 4 yards gain to the GS 39 (#16 J.Marshall; #20 T.Jeter)Similar
Q2 11:33
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
54.9%
(11:44) #25 A.Smith punt 39 yards to the MAR22 #4 D.Lacey return 0 yards to the MAR22 (#15 T.Bradshaw; #16 A.Brown Sr.)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7INT
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:0956% → 55%
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
55.6%
(11:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Allen rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MAR28 (#1 B.Tyson; #51 K.Secka)Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 4
OWN 28
0
55.9%
(11:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Allen rush middle for 0 yards to the MAR28 (#18 M.Stroud)Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+23
55.1%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass complete deep left to #13 A.Norton caught at GS 49, for 23 yards to the GS 49 (#9 J.Meyers), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY GS Offside declinedSimilar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
56.8%
PENALTY MAR False Start (#59 E.Ferguson) 5 yards from GS 49 to MAR46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+25
55.6%
(10:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass complete short middle to #13 A.Norton caught at GS 40, for 25 yards to the GS 29 (#20 J.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
56.8%
(09:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Allen rush middle for 5 yards gain to the GS 24 (#23 D.Smith)Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 5
OPP 24
0
56.6%
(09:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete short left to #13 A.Norton thrown to GS 24 broken up by #18 M.Stroud QB hurried by #18 M.StroudSimilar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 5
OPP 24
-4
55.3%
(09:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass intercepted by #5 A.Jackson at GS 17 broken up by #93 C.Moore #5 A.Jackson return 4 yards to the GS 21 (#11 J.Baldwin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8DOWNS
11 plays · 56 yds · 3:2540% → 46%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
59.6%
(09:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short left to #35 T.Todd caught at GS 19, for 8 yards to the GS 29 (#2 D.Sweeting) PENALTY MAR Offside declinedSimilar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+3
56.8%
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 T.Todd rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GS 32 (#99 J.Whyce; #22 K.Martin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+27
58.2%
(08:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short left to #5 M.Sanders Jr. caught at GS 40, for 27 yards to the MAR41 (#0 C.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
55.6%
(08:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short left to #5 M.Sanders Jr. caught at MAR41, for 9 yards to the MAR32 (#3 M.Myers)Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+2
54.3%
(07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short right to #15 T.Bradshaw caught at MAR41, for 2 yards to the MAR30 (#4 J.Green-McKnight; #20 T.Jeter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
54.0%
(07:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short left to #7 A.Green caught at MAR30, for 3 yards to the MAR27 (#22 K.Martin; #3 M.Myers)Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
53.5%
(06:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete deep right to #0 C.Brown thrown to MAR03 broken up by #17 D.Smith QB hurried by #22 K.MartinSimilar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+4
54.0%
(06:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MAR23 (#55 P.Hutson III; #7 J.Parker)Similar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 3
OPP 23
0
54.4%
(05:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete deep right to #0 C.Brown thrown to MAR00 QB hurried by #4 J.Green-McKnight and #7 J.Parker, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9FG
13 plays · 70 yds · 3:3752% → 54%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
52.2%
(05:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Allen rush left for 7 yards gain to the MAR30 (#5 A.Jackson)Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+4
52.5%
(05:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Barbie rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MAR34 (#50 C.Ellis; #32 J.Bentley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
51.7%
(04:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass complete short left to #4 D.Lacey caught at MAR45, for 11 yards to the MAR45, out of bounds at MAR45, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
52.1%
(04:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass complete short middle to #13 A.Norton caught at GS 40, for 17 yards to the GS 38 (#19 A.Chaney), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
52.7%
(03:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass complete short right to #13 A.Norton caught at GS 39, for 17 yards to the GS 21 (#9 J.Meyers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
53.8%
(03:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete deep left to #4 D.Lacey thrown to GS 00Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+14
53.5%
(02:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Lacey rush right for 14 yards gain to the GS 07 (#1 B.Tyson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
53.6%
(02:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Barbie rush middle for 1 yard loss to the GS 08 (#91 D.Rhodes)Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
53.5%
(02:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Barbie rush right for 1 yard gain to the GS 07 (#9 J.Meyers)Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
50.0%
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Del Rio-Wilson pass incomplete short right to #4 D.Lacey thrown to GS 00Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
53.7%
(01:54) #90 L.Quinn field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD (H: #93 N.Totten, LS: #46 G.Magorien), clock 01:52Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10MISSED FG
11 plays · 43 yds · 1:4448% → 53%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
52.5%
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short left to #5 M.Sanders Jr. caught at GS 23, for 6 yards to the GS 31 (#0 C.Smith)Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
52.2%
(01:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 B.Baker rush right for 1 yard gain to the GS 32 (#9 J.Gilmore; #20 T.Jeter)Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
52.4%
(01:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush middle for 7 yards gain to the GS 39 (#9 J.Gilmore; #8 J.Al-Amin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+29
51.0%
(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short middle to #0 C.Brown caught at MAR46, for 29 yards to the MAR32 (#0 C.Smith; #9 J.Gilmore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
47.4%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete short right to #0 C.Brown thrown to MAR13Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
47.4%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete short right to #0 C.Brown thrown to MAR20 QB hurried by #8 J.Al-AminSimilar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+1
48.0%
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush left for 1 yard gain to the MAR31 (#1 B.Trotter; #8 J.Al-Amin)Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+49
47.1%
(00:00) #95 T.Bryant field goal attempt from 49 yards NO GOOD (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler), clock 00:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 4:5956% → 77%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
43.7%
(14:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short right to #0 C.Brown caught at GS 32, for 9 yards to the GS 33 (#3 M.Myers; #17 D.Smith)Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+17
42.3%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short right to #0 C.Brown caught at GS 32, for 17 yards to the GS 50 (#1 B.Trotter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
50
+9
40.5%
(14:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 T.Todd rush middle for 9 yards gain to the MAR41 (#0 C.Smith)Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+3
40.0%
(13:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 T.Todd rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MAR38 (#1 B.Trotter; #9 J.Gilmore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
39.8%
(13:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MAR36 (#9 J.Gilmore)Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+7
39.5%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short left to #5 M.Sanders Jr. caught at MAR30, for 7 yards to the MAR29 (#2 D.Sweeting)Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+10
39.2%
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short right to #0 C.Brown caught at MAR31, for 10 yards to the MAR19 (#0 C.Smith; #11 J.Pierre-Louis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
37.5%
(11:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan pass complete short right to #15 T.Bradshaw caught at MAR10, for 9 yards to the MAR10 (#1 B.Trotter; #8 J.Al-Amin)Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 1
OPP 10
-2
37.1%
(10:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 B.Baker rush right for 2 yards loss to the MAR12 (#8 J.Al-Amin; #1 B.Trotter)Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+12
22.6%
(09:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short right to #0 C.Brown caught at MAR00, for 12 yards to the MAR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:41, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:1229% → 27%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
29.4%
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Allen rush left for 4 yards loss to the MAR33 (#23 D.Smith; #5 A.Jackson)Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+3
27.3%
(08:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass complete short left to #81 T.Payne caught at MAR36, for 3 yards to the MAR36 (#19 A.Chaney; #1 B.Tyson)Similar
Q3 8:28
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
26.7%
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass incomplete short middle to #0 D.Tamarez thrown to GS 49 broken up by #12 T.Hill Jr.Similar
Q3 8:16
4TH & 11
OWN 36
+1
26.5%
(08:25) #93 N.Totten punt 53 yards to the GS 11 #24 P.Plott return 1 yard to the GS 12 (#0 C.Smith; #16 J.Marshall)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13FG
13 plays · 82 yds · 4:1578% → 88%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+43
22.5%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete deep right to #0 C.Brown caught at GS 43, for 43 yards to the MAR45 (#3 M.Myers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
20.1%
(07:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 T.Todd rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MAR46 (#7 J.Parker; #55 P.Hutson III)Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
19.7%
(06:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete deep right to #0 C.Brown thrown to MAR15Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+32
19.9%
(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short left to #5 M.Sanders Jr. caught at MAR31, for 32 yards to the MAR14 (#11 J.Pierre-Louis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
18.3%
(06:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 T.Todd rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MAR09 (#58 B.Ward; #11 J.Pierre-Louis)Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 5
OPP 9
0
17.6%
(05:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete short right to #0 C.Brown thrown to MAR00Similar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+7
17.7%
(05:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete short right to #0 C.Brown thrown to MAR00 PENALTY MAR Pass Interference (#3 M.Myers) 7 yards from MAR09 to MAR02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
17.2%
(05:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MAR01 (#9 J.Gilmore; #16 J.Marshall)Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
16.4%
(04:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 B.Baker rush middle for 0 yards to the MAR01 (#0 C.Smith)Similar
Q3 3:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
15.7%
(03:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete short right to #7 A.Green thrown to MAR00 broken up by #1 B.Trotter QB hurried by #22 K.MartinSimilar
Q3 3:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+5
17.1%
PENALTY GS Delay Of Game 5 yards from MAR01 to MAR06. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
11.6%
(03:52) #95 T.Bryant field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler), clock 03:49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:1318% → 32%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
17.5%
(03:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass complete short right to #4 D.Lacey caught at MAR47, for 10 yards to the MAR50 (#12 T.Hill Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
50
+24
17.8%
(03:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass complete short middle to #0 D.Tamarez caught at GS 35, for 24 yards to the GS 26 (#19 A.Chaney), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
18.4%
(02:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass complete short left to #44 A.Roberts caught at GS 25, for 9 yards to the GS 17 (#30 C.Allen)Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+17
31.6%
(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #44 A.Roberts rush middle for 17 yards gain to the GS 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:19, 1ST DOWN #1 Z.Turner pass attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15FUMBLE
15 plays · 61 yds · 7:0178% → 92%
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
21.7%
(02:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short left to #5 M.Sanders Jr. caught at GS 25, for 11 yards to the GS 36 (#17 D.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
20.7%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete short left to #5 M.Sanders Jr. thrown to GS 45Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
20.9%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 B.Baker rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GS 38 (#21 T.Martin; #22 K.Martin)Similar
Q3 1:04
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+10
19.1%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush right for 10 yards gain to the GS 48 (#17 D.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
17.9%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 B.Baker rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MAR48 (#58 B.Ward; #22 K.Martin)Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+3
16.6%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 B.Baker rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MAR45 (#55 P.Hutson III; #1 B.Trotter)Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+1
16.9%
(14:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MAR44 (#56 S.Kaba; #58 B.Ward)Similar
Q4 13:14
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+9
14.6%
(13:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan rush middle for 9 yards gain to the MAR35 (#1 B.Trotter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
10.2%
(12:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV sacked for loss of 1 yard to the MAR36 (#26 C.Clark-Glover) PENALTY MAR Targeting (#26 C.Clark-Glover) 15 yards from MAR36 to MAR21, 1ST DOWN. Marshall #26 C.Clark-Glover has been disqualifiedSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
8.9%
(11:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 B.Baker rush left for 10 yards gain to the MAR11 (#17 D.Smith; #7 J.Parker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
8.3%
(10:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 B.Baker rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MAR07 (#92 C.Chmura; #52 M.Warren)Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 6
OPP 7
-7
7.6%
(10:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush for 7 yards loss to the MAR14 fumbled by #12 J.French IV at MAR10 forced by #70 N.Crowder recovered by MAR #99 J.Whyce at MAR14, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16DOWNS
11 plays · 73 yds · 2:2817% → 13%
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
16.7%
(10:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass complete short right to #13 A.Norton caught at MAR16, for 15 yards to the MAR29 (#19 A.Chaney), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
17.7%
(09:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass complete short left to #0 D.Tamarez caught at MAR37, for 8 yards to the MAR37 (#12 T.Hill Jr.) PENALTY GS Illegal Use Of Hands (#94 E.Fears) 10 yards from MAR37 to MAR47, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
18.9%
(09:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass complete short right to #44 A.Roberts caught at MAR46, for 20 yards to the GS 33 (#2 B.Harrington), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
21.8%
(09:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass incomplete short middle to #11 J.Baldwin thrown to GS 15 broken up by #5 A.JacksonSimilar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
21.4%
(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass complete short right to #81 T.Payne caught at GS 30, for 3 yards to the GS 30 (#18 M.Stroud)Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+8
17.7%
(08:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass complete short left to #0 D.Tamarez caught at GS 24, for 8 yards to the GS 22 (#12 T.Hill Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
19.1%
(07:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass incomplete short left to #44 A.Roberts thrown to GS 03 QB hurried by #51 K.SeckaSimilar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
18.3%
(07:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass incomplete short middle to #0 D.Tamarez thrown to GS 20 broken up by #12 T.Hill Jr.Similar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
16.0%
(07:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass incomplete short left to #44 A.Roberts thrown to GS 16 QB hurried by #51 K.Secka and #18 M.StroudSimilar
Q4 7:34
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+9
13.3%
(07:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner rush middle for 9 yards gain to the GS 13 (#19 A.Chaney), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:2395% → 97%
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
5.4%
(07:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 T.Todd rush middle for 0 yards to the GS 13 (#70 N.Crowder; #1 B.Trotter)Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+17
5.3%
(06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 T.Todd rush left for 17 yards gain to the GS 30 (#1 B.Trotter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
4.3%
(06:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short left to #5 M.Sanders Jr. caught at GS 39, for 10 yards to the GS 40 (#2 D.Sweeting), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
3.7%
(05:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 T.Todd rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GS 42 (#56 S.Kaba; #1 B.Trotter)Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
3.4%
(04:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush right for 0 yards to the GS 42 fumbled by #12 J.French IV at GS 42 forced by #58 B.Ward (#58 B.Ward), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-2
3.2%
(04:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 T.Todd rush middle for 2 yards loss to the GS 40 (#58 B.Ward; #99 J.Whyce)Similar
Q4 3:55
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+10
3.3%
(04:04) #25 A.Smith punt 42 yards to the MAR18 #4 D.Lacey return 10 yards to the MAR28 (#26 C.Crouch)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:294% → 32%
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
3.9%
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass incomplete deep left to #0 D.Tamarez thrown to GS 35 QB hurried by #98 U.IlohSimilar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+15
3.7%
(03:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass complete short left to #13 A.Norton caught at MAR35, for 15 yards to the MAR43 (#1 B.Tyson; #9 J.Meyers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
4.0%
(03:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass complete short left to caught at MAR46, for 6 yards to the MAR49 (#9 J.Meyers)Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+10
4.2%
(03:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass complete short right to #0 D.Tamarez caught at GS 43, for 10 yards to the GS 41 (#23 D.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
32.0%
(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass complete deep right to #13 A.Norton caught at GS 10, for 41 yards to the GS 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:19, 1ST DOWN #90 L.Quinn kick attempt good (H: #93 N.Totten, LS: #46 G.Magorien)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19END OF GAME
13 plays · 7 yds · 1:4493% → 97%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
7.0%
(02:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 B.Baker rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MAR48 (#70 N.Crowder; #1 B.Trotter)Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+6
6.0%
(02:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan rush right for 6 yards gain to the MAR42 (#7 J.Parker)Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+3
6.2%
(02:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MAR39 (#99 J.Whyce; #7 J.Parker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
3.6%
(01:44) Kneel down by Ga. Southern at MAR40 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 11
OPP 40
-1
2.5%
(01:17) Kneel down by Ga. Southern at MAR41 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 12
OPP 41
-1
2.6%
(00:35) Kneel down by Ga. Southern at MAR42 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:19
(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Turner pass complete deep right to #13 A.Norton caught at GS 10, for 41 yards to the GS 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:19, 1ST DOWN #90 L.Quinn kick attempt good (H: #93 N.Totten, LS: #46 G.Magorien)
+27.8
TD · Q3 9:41
(09:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short right to #0 C.Brown caught at MAR00, for 12 yards to the MAR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:41, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler)
-14.5
TD · Q3 2:19
(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #44 A.Roberts rush middle for 17 yards gain to the GS 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:19, 1ST DOWN #1 Z.Turner pass attempt failed
+13.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com